EADS Earning 9m 2011 Final
EADS Earning 9m 2011 Final
EADS Earning 9m 2011 Final
10 November 2011
Highlights
Divisional Performance Guidance
9M Highlights
Commercial Update: Commercial success continues; Rate 44 per month for SA production still under investigation thanks to active campaigns;
Leasing 19% RoW 4%
Record Backlog and Overbooking allow monitoring of macro environment. Defence Update: Pressure on Defence Budgets. No change to overall environment Strategic Roadmap Progress:
Latin America 6% Middle East 10%
Europe 13%
Successful completion of Satair and Metron acquisitions; consolidation expected Q4; Vizada acquisition expected to close in the coming months. 9m Earnings Highlights: Better than expected 9m 2011 earnings lead to increase in guidance; Free Cash Flow before acquisitions +587 m; A350: EIS H1 2014 triggers a charge of -200 m on EBIT*; Positive one-off due to the A340 Programme termination. EBIT* impact of +192 m.
EADS 9m 2011 earnings
in bn Revenues
of which Defence
9m 2011 32.7
7.5
9m 2010 31.6
7.9
Change +4%
-5%
Strong order intake due to commercial aircraft momentum; Increase in EBIT* before one-off due to operational improvements from Eurocopter and Airbus Commercial activities and some favourable phasing at Airbus and in Headquarters.
* Pre-goodwill impairment and exceptionals ** Commercial order book based on list prices
AIRBUS
Comm.
AIRBUS
Military
in bn
0.38
1.8%
0.01
0.6%
One-off impacts:
Airbus Commercial $ PDP mismatch and balance sheet revaluation A350 Charge Positive one-off due to A340 Programme termination Other one-off Eurocopter Net charge, mainly Governmental programmes and SHAPE Other businesses Gain on disposal at EADS North America
(0.12)
0.01
EBIT* Reported
EADS 9m 2011 earnings
0.89
* Pre-goodwill impairment and exceptionals
9m 2011 in % of m Revenues EBIT* Self-financed R&D** EBIT* before R&D Interest result Other financial result Taxes 885 2,151 3,036 (9) (203) (198) 2.7% 6.6% 9.3% (0%) (0.6%) (0.6%)
9m 2010 in % of m Revenues 784 2,038 2,822 (176) (276) (96) 2.5% 6.5% 9.0% (0.6%) (0.9%) (0.3%)
1.3%
0.6%
See slide 23
* Pre-goodwill impairment and exceptionals ** IAS 38: 60 m capitalised during 9m 2011; 76 m capitalised during 9m 2010 *** Average number of shares outstanding: 811,713,726 in 9m 2011; 810,745,035 in 9m 2010
Contracting in Euro is progressing; Approximately 50% of EADS US$ revenues naturally hedged by US$ procurement; In 9m 2011, hedges of $ 13.5 bn* matured at an average hedge rate of 1 = $ 1.38; In 9m 2011, new hedge contracts of $ 15.0 bn, including $ 1 bn of options, were added at an average rate of 1= $ 1.38**.
EADS hedge portfolio*, 30 September 2011 ($ 71.8 bn), average rates of 1 = $ 1.38** and 1 = $ 1.61
US$ bn
25 20 15 10 5 0
20.9
1.5
19.6
1.0
Collars
14.5
Forward contracts
9.6 1.8
5.4
0.6
2011
Remaining 3 months
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016+
1.37 1.62
1.38 1.58
1.38 1.58
* Total hedge amount contains $/ and $/ designated hedges ** Includes collars at their least favourable rates
in m Net cash position at the beginning of the period Gross Cash Flow from Operations* Change in working capital of which Customer Financing Cash used for investing activities** of which Industrial Capex (additions) of which Others (incl. Vector Aerospace -432 m) Free Cash Flow** Free Cash Flow before customer financing**
Change in capital and non-controlling interests Change in treasury shares Contribution to plan assets of pension schemes Dividend Others
9m 2011 11,918 1,843 84 182 (1,772) (1,333) (439) 155 (27) (57) (1) (300) (182) (134) 11,399
9m 2010 9,797 1,553 531 (91) (1,293) (1,307) 14 791 882 (25) (14) (323) (6) 106 10,326
Highlights
Divisional Performance
Guidance
Airbus Division
Airbus Division
(after elimination)
11
Airbus Commercial
(excl. A400M)
Airbus Military
(Former MTAD, incl. A400M)
EBIT*
in % of revenues
295
1.3%
296
1.4%
306
1.4%
328
1.6%
5
0.3%
456,788
377,325
a) 376 aircraft with revenue recognition incl. 2 A330 sell downs in Q3 2011 b) 376 aircraft with revenue recognition: 2 A320 & 2 A330 on OP lease * Pre-goodwill impairment and exceptionals ** Capitalised R&D: 17 m in 9m 2011 and 46 m in 9m 2010 *** Commercial a/c valued at list prices, units excl. freighter conversions
Airbus Division
Airbus Commercial (excl. A400M)
Revenues +3%
376 deliveries with revenue recognition, thereof 2 LR Operating leases sold down in Q3 2011; + 2 A380, -2 SA vs. 9m 2010; Price improvement, net of escalation.
12
Key Achievements
Acquisition strategy confirmed: Completion of Satair A/S and US based Metron Aviation acquisitions; A350-900: Manufacturing and pre-assembly progressing across all pre final-assembly sites; Entry into FAL now Q1 2012; Entry into Service now H1 2014; A400M: Flying test continues, root cause of engine issues identified, substantial progress made towards solution; FSTA: Military and civil certifications achieved.
Eurocopter
in m Revenues R&D self-financed**
in % of revenues
13
Overview
Recovery in light and medium helicopter markets driven by US and Eastern Europe; 259 new net orders booked, above the 9m 2010 level, cancellation trend continues to slow.
EBIT*
in % of revenues
157
4.5%
121
3.9%
13,852 1,058
15,029 1,166
Revenues +12%
Impact after Vector Aerospace acquisition in Q3 ( +96 m); 323 deliveries compared to 367 h/c in 9m 2010.
Favourable mix from commercial deliveries and support; Operational improvement from SHAPE; 9m 2011 net charge of -120 m mainly for governmental programmes and SHAPE (vs. -70 m net charge in 9m 2010).
53% Civil
36% Product Support and Customer Services 15% Dev. & other
Key achievements
Contract for 20 EC225 signed with CHC, not yet booked; Successful flight tests of AS350 hybrid helicopter.
based on 9m 2011 EADS external revenues * Pre-goodwill impairment and exceptionals ** Capitalised R&D: 13 m in 9m 2011 and 21 m in 9m 2010
EADS 9m 2011 earnings
Astrium
in m Revenues R&D self-financed
in % of revenues
14
9m 2011 3,440 60
1.7%
9m 2010 3,226 50
1.5%
Revenues +7%
Higher satellite and launcher activity; Lower volume in services.
EBIT* +4%
Higher volume and productivity across the business linked to the AGILE transformation programme, reduced by lower services activity; Implementation of AGILE triggering higher R&D and some Non Recurring Costs in Q4 2011.
EBIT*
in % of revenues
165
4.8%
158
4.9%
Order book
14,687
15,300
Key Achievements
46th consecutive successful Ariane 5 launch; ESA technical acceptance of first two Galileo IOV satellites prior to launch in October;
62% Civil
Vizada acquisition to boost services business. Regulatory approvals are expected to be granted in the coming months; Work continuing on transformation programme, AGILE, to increase efficiency.
Cassidian
in m Revenues R&D self-financed
in % of revenues
15
EBIT*
in % of revenues
170
5.0%
204
5.9%
Order book
16,144
17,763
Revenue split
15% Cassidian Electronics 88% Defence 26% Cassidian Systems
Key Achievements
Eurofighter: India and Switzerland campaigns on-going. Progress in UAS: Acquisition of Survey Copter to further address tactical UAS market; First Euro Hawk ferry flight to Germany, mission system integration to begin.
12% Civil
based on 9m 2011 EADS external revenues, proforma split only. New organisation to be reflected from 2012 onwards.
Other Businesses
in m Revenues R&D self-financed
in % of revenues
16
9m 2011 833 7
0.8%
9m 2010 805 6
0.7%
Revenues +3%
Higer revenues at EADS North America on US Coast Guard and LUH; Rate increases at Sogerma and higher cabin seat activity offset perimeter adjustment following acquisition of Vector Aerospace by Eurocopter; Lower deliveries at ATR as expected.
EBIT*
in % of revenues
20
2.4%
(6) 2,228
Order book
3,196
EBIT*
EADS North America gain on disposal +10 m; Increases at ATR and Sogerma.
Revenue split
24% Sogerma 37% Defence 39% ATR 63% Civil 37% EADS NA
ATR
Historic order intake at ATR with 145 firm orders booked; 72 options; Backlog stands at 274 a/c; Production rate increase from 2012.
North America
Perfect on-time and on-budget performance on LUH deliveries.
Guidance
Guidance
Increase of guidance for Airbus orders, Revenues, EBIT* before one-off and Free Cash Flow Airbus Orders & Deliveries:
Airbus deliveries: 520 530 commercial aircraft; Gross Orders around 1,500.
18
Revenues:
EADS revenues should increase by more than 4% compared to 45.8 bn in 2010.
EBIT*/EPS:
EADS expects 2011 EPS before one-off to be around 0.9 (FY 2010: 0.86) Going forward, the reported EBIT* and EPS performance of EADS will be dependent on the Groups ability to execute on the A400M, A380 and A350 XWB programmes, in line with the commitments made to its customers Reported EBIT* and EPS also depend on exchange rate fluctuations; As previously communicated, at 1 = $ 1.35, the 2011 EPS should be above the 2010 level of 0.68; at 1 = $ 1.45, it may be below.
Appendix
20
in m Forex impact on EBIT* Deterioration of hedge rates (: $ 1.35 to 1.38) One-time impacts Revaluation of Airbus Commercial LMC provisions 2010 Revaluation of Airbus Military A400M provision 2010 Other one-off forex effect including PDP reversal BRIDGE (0.22) (0.03) 0.03 (0.05)
Compared to 9m 2010
(0.27)
21
One-offs (0.07)
(0.07)
Airbus
thereof: Airbus Commercial Airbus Military
(0.12)
0.01
0.02 0.08
EADS
EADS 9m 2011 earnings
1.07
* Pre-goodwill impairment and exceptionals
(0.18)
0.89
22
AIRBUS
Comm.
AIRBUS
Military
in bn
0.28
1.4%
(0.01)
One-off impacts:
Airbus Commercial
$ PDP mismatch and balance sheet revaluation Currency effect from revaluation of LMC provisions A380, A350 ($ and ) Other one-off
0.05
(0.01) 0.03 0.03
Airbus Military
A400M
(0.03) (0.07)
Eurcopter
One-time effects include a charge and margin adjustment for NH90, restructuring and KUH technical milestone recognition
EBIT* reported
0.78
23
* Pre-goodwill impairment and exceptionals 1 Average number of shares outstanding: 811,713,726 in 9m 2011; 810,745,035 in 9m 2010
24
9m 2011 in % of Revenues m Revenues self-financed R&D** EBITDA* EBIT* EBIT* before R&D Net income EPS*** Net Cash position at the end of the period Free Cash Flow 32,687 2,151 2,025 885 3,036 421 0.52 11,399 155
9m 2010 in % of Revenues m 31,554 2,038 1,900 784 2,822 198 0.24 10,326 791
* Pre-goodwill impairment and exceptionals ** IAS 38: 60 m capitalised during 9m 2011; 76 m capitalised during 9m 2010 *** Average number of shares outstanding: 811,713,726 in 9m 2011; 810,745,035 in 9m 2010
Shareholding structure
25
Contractual Partnership
SOGEADE Lagardre & French State SEPI Daimler
Free float
incl. Minor direct holdings: French State: 0.06% Treasury shares 0.44%
22.36%
5.44% 50.16%
22.36%* 49.84%
as at 30 September 2011
On 9 February 2007, Daimler reached an agreement with a consortium of private and public-sector investors by which it effectively reduced its shareholding in EADS by 7.5%, while retaining its voting rights over the entire 22.5% package of EADS shares at the time of the transaction.
26
1.40
1.37
1.35
1.37
1.38
1.35
1.30
1.36
1.32
1.25
1.20
1.15 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
2010
EADS 9m 2011 earnings
Average FY 2010
2011e
Average FY 2011e
27
Additions
1.4 0.6 (0.9) (2.9) (0.1) 0.5 (0.7) (0.2) 1.5 1.5 (0.7) (0.2) (0.2) (0.3) 1.0 (1.0) (0.3)
Sell Down
0.9 (1.3) 0.8 (1.1) (0.1) 0.3 (0.2) (0.1)
0.4 (2.2)
0.3
(0.5)
Gross Exposure 1 bn
(0.1)
Net change
(0.2) 1999
4.3
2000
3.9
2001
3.1
2002
3.8
2003
4.8
2004
4.6
2006
1.8
2007
1.5
2009
1.8
2010
1.7
Sep-11
1.4
30 September 2011
Gross exposure in $ bn
28
50% ATR
100% EC
Dec. 2010 Sept. 2011 Dec. 2010 Sept. 2011 Dec. 2010 $ 1.34 1,266
333
84
43
115
46
88
44
89
48
Estimated value of collateral Net exposure Provision and asset impairment Net exposure after provision
(75) 9 (9) 0
(105) 10 (10) 0
(57) 31 (31) 0
(62) 27 (27) 0
29
Q3 2011 93 63 62 81 23
8 15
Total EADS
10,751
11,246
322
378
EBIT* Calculation
30
in m EBIT* Exceptionals: Disposal of Goodwill Fair value depreciation Profit before finance cost and income taxes
31
in m
Sept. 2011
Dec. 2010
Gross cash Financing Debts Short-term Financing Debts Long-term Financing Debts Reported Net cash Airbus non-recourse debt Net cash excl. non-recourse
16,115
16,196
32
Maturity 2016*, undrawn Fully committed by 39 banks No financial covenants No MAC clause EMTN progamme Long term rating : Moodys: A1 S & P: A
*the facility provides for two 1-year extension options at the choice of the lender
EADS 9m 2011 earnings
33
in m
Non-current Assets
of which Intangible & Goodwill of which Property, plant & equipment of which Investments & Financial assets of which positive hedge mark-to-market of which Non-current securities
Current Assets
of which Inventory of which Cash of which Current securities of which positive hedge mark-to-market
45,531
24,166 5,117 4,718 625
41,990
20,862 5,030 5,834 364
Total Assets
Closing rate /$
87,998
1.35
83,187
1.34
34
in m
9,230 787
29
31,326
5,252 3,175 3,532 5,740 9,241 1,878
30,481
5,037 3,176 2,870 5,968 8,817 2,109
47,442
153 5,709 1,184 128 26,203 675
43,770
184 5,582 1,408 52 23,285 821
87,998
83,187
35
in m
Q1
H1
9m
FY
2010 6,264
5,989 384
2011 15,312
14,464 1,112
2010 13,853
12,965 1,007
2011 22,411
21,120 1,747
2010 21,740
20,446 1,540
2011
... ...
2010 29,978
27,673 2,684
7,013
6,707 434
Total EADS
9,854
8,950
21,936
20,308
32,687
31,554
45,752
36
in m
Q1
H1
9m
FY
2010 7
6 1
2011 202
223 3
2010 104
241 (161)
2011 295
306 5
2010 296
328 (35)
2011
2010 305
291 21
115
125 1
31 52 8 (14)
(3) (11)
26 41 21 (12)
(1) (11)
94 103 89 75
12 63
71 106 110 15
0 15
Total EADS
192
83
563
406
885
784
1,231
* Pre-goodwill impairment and exceptionals ** Airbus Commercial incl. EFW and excludes A400M
37
in m
Q1
H1
9m
FY
2010 11,158
11,035 146
2011 52,394
52,086 319
2010 24,542
24,302 285
2011 85,485
85,421 408
2010 47,949
47,384 626
2011
2010 68,223
68,210 152
3,748
3,647 105
Total EADS
6,268
14,382
58,099
30,768
93,907
57,722
83,147
38
in m
Q1
H1
9m
FY
2010 366,051
346,182 21,155
2011 407,094
386,101 22,061
2010 405,027
385,677 20,773
2011 456,788
436,427 21,672
2010 377,325
358,110 20,586
2011
2010 400,400
378,907 22,819
Total EADS
422,362
415,792
453,834
454,498
502,971
426,350
448,493