Mohamed Sayed Gad Meligy Final Assessment
Mohamed Sayed Gad Meligy Final Assessment
Mohamed Sayed Gad Meligy Final Assessment
Your answer
Your answer
9. There are different factors that affect the
depreciation and appreciation of currencies against
each other's, critically analyze these factors. And,
according to Jeff’s expectations about the British
pound, analyze whether the British pound will
appreciate or depreciate against the Dollar over
time. Analyze the extent to which Jeff’s company
will be favorably or unfavorably affected by the
future changes in the value of the pound. (8 marks)
the currency is always exposed to supply and
demand so there will be movement in the exchange
rate which can be affected by the following factors
1-Relative Inflation Rates
Changes in relative inflation rates can affect
international trade activity, which
influences the demand for and supply of currencies
and therefore influences exchange
rates.
2-Relative Interest Rates
Changes in relative interest rates affect investment
in foreign securities, which influences
the demand for and supply of currencies and
therefore influences exchange rates.
3-Relative Income Levels
A third factor affecting exchange rates is relative
income levels. Because income can
affect the amount of imports demanded, it can
affect exchange rates.
4-Government Controls
The governments of foreign countries can influence
the equilibrium exchange rate in many ways,
including (1) imposing foreign exchange barriers, (2)
imposing foreign trade barriers, (3) intervening
(buying and selling currencies) in the foreign
exchange markets, and (4) affecting macro
variables such as inflation, interest rates, and
income levels.
5-Expectations
Like other financial markets, foreign exchange
markets react to any news that may
have a future effect. News of a potential surge in
U.S. inflation may cause currency
traders to sell dollars, anticipating a future decline
in the Dollar’s value. This response
places immediate downward pressure on the Dollar.
Your answer
A. Forward Market
Forward contracts are customized agreements between two parties to fix the
exchange rate for a future transaction. This simple arrangement would easily
eliminate exchange rate risk, but it has some shortcomings, particularly getting a
counter party who would agree to fix the future rate for the amount and time
period in question may not be easy.
Advantages of Derivatives
Market efficiency
It is considered that derivatives increase the efficiency of financial
markets. With the help of derivative contracts, one can replicate the
payoff of the assets.
Disadvantages of Derivatives
High risk
The derivatives can be highly volatile which can incur significant losses.
Hence the risk factor in derivatives is largely high.
Speculation oriented
Jeffs company can use future or option contract to hedge against the
exchange rate risk but the limitation wil be as following
On the other hand Jeff bank is not likely to provide more reasonable
quotations for the spot rate of the British pound if it is the only bank in
town that provides foreign exchange services. It is because Jeff would
have no option but to transact with his bank. Presence of other banks
would increase competition and the possibility of obtaining a slightly
better exchange rate than the one offered by the Jeff's bank.
Your answer
13. The forward contracts is one the most important
and usable contract that could be used by the MNCs
to hedge the foreign exchange risk. Critically
analyze the extent to which you agree with the
statement. And, regarding Jeff's company, it is
thinking about using a forward contract to hedge
the anticipated receivables in pounds next month.
And his local bank quoted him a spot rate of $2.76
and a one month forward rate of $2.7546. Before
Jeff deciding to sell pounds one month forward, he
wants to be sure that the forward rate is
reasonable, given the prevailing spot rate. A one
month Treasury security in US currently offers a
yield of 2 percent, while a one-month Treasury
security in UK offers a yield of 2.5 percent. Critically
analyze the extent to which this one-month forward
rate will be reasonable for Jeff’s company given the
spot rate of $2.76, and provide him with your advice.
(10 marks)
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