MWaka Strategy
MWaka Strategy
MWaka Strategy
The Forex market is controlled through the BROKERS, HEDGE-FUNDS & BANKS, with
the HIGHEST market share percentage.
Below we can see a chart of the banks with the highest percentage of market shares in
the year of 2016.
These top market share holding banks work with professional traders known as "Market
Makers" AT (CITADEL) to "Generate Business" with clients and "Make markets" in
assets such as currencies.
A market maker generates "Business" with his clients (YOU AND I), (the retail traders) ,
by creating patterns on the charts that we can recognize.
The market maker uses the LIQUIDITY PROVIDERS shares to "make markets", his job
is to create a trading environment that entices the retail trader to enter the market.
Once the majority of the "retail traders" recognize the pattern that is presented on the
chart, the market maker will then either show the retail traders a bit of profit (to entice
them to use higher risk, leverage more & over trade), then once you (the retail trader)
are in over your head in trades with risk at max, the dealer SHIFTS the market
completely against you, and hits your stop loss before you know how to react.
NO MORE.
WHAT YOU WILL BE TAUGHT IN THE NEXT FEW LESSONS WILL CHANGE
EVERYTHING YOU'VE THOUGHT ABOUT FOREX, AND HOW THE MARKET
REALLY WORKS.
OVERVIEW
We will go over market structure and patterns that the DEALERS use to entice traders
into the market.
We will also be going over how to enter the market against the retail trading heard, and
in line with the Forex Dealers (Market Makers).
ONCE THE DEALER MAKES HIS MOVE, THE MARKET CAN SWING HUNDREDS
OF PIPS, AND IF YOUR TRADING "IN LINE WITH THE DEALER" YOU WILL HAVE A
MUCH HIGHER POTENTIAL FOR PROFIT IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME!
We will also go over trading psychology and patience, how to obtain trades with up to
1:10 or even 1:20 risk reward ratios with little to no drawdown.
Don’t think this is possible? You will be very surprised with what you will learn in the
next few lessons. Be prepared to enter a new paradigm.
THE DEALERS
The "SMART MONEY" sells to and buys from its clients and is
compensated by means of price differentials for the service of
GENERATING liquidity, MINIMIZING transaction costs and facilitating
TRADE.
As of 2008 there were over two thousand "known" market makers in the
US.
Market makers are mostly active during london and new york session.
During asian session, market makers will be replaced with what is known
as a "liquidity-sensitive automated market maker" that will move the
market sideways in perpetual consolidation for about 8 to 10 hours.
This is normally done during asian session as many retail traders in the
usa will be trading during this time. (1pm to 10pm~ct)
This short 10 hour consolidation phase is absolutely key for the london
and new york dealers, this phase gives the dealers an added amount of
liquidity that is needed to move the market when the dealers are ready to
do so.
Upon doing some simple research, we can see 2 main Market Maker
sessions. The New York Session and the London Session.
During these times the market will move much faster. you will many
times see that once asian consolidation is over, and london session
begins, the market may move in one direction for the entire length of
london session, then coming into new york session, completely reverse
and go in the opposite direction of london session.
If you trade london and new york session you know this is true, many
times one session is used to fake-out or give a false directional bias to
retail traders (dumb money), then the session changes over and a
complete reversal happens.
You see retail traders are extremely predictable, they see this 5.5 trillion
dollar a day market as some type of magical get rich quick "giving tree".
They think just because they watched a few youtube videos on how to
spot a "head and shoulders" pattern or "how to graph a trendline" that
suddenly they are given they key to success in this market...
But it’s what you cannot see which is the hardest to overcome, what is
on the inside...
PATIENCE. TIME
If you are still not sure if what i am telling you is the truth, you may visit
one of the various market makers websites at www.citadelsecurities.com
Citadel is the leading liquidity provider for the financial markets and
manages assets of nearly 150 billion dollars.
If you are still not sure if what I am telling you is the truth, you may
visit one of the various market makers websites at
www.citadelsecurities.com
Citadel is the leading liquidity provider for the financial markets and
manages assets of nearly 150 billion dollars.
In my career, I saw a data center used for trading that was so large I couldn’t see the
back wall. “We haven’t even used most of the computers you see here,” said the guy to
me. The firm had been operating been for more than ten years. That gives you an idea
of how just well-equipped and well-capitalized these guys is.
These guys have no problem investing millions to cut their ping from 2s to 1.99s. They
have no problems paying an additional $10,000,000 per month rent just to have a office
that is half a mile closing to Wall Street just so their orders will pass through a
milli-second faster. These people have no problems offering a $500,000 signing bonus
to grab the best financial engineering grads and then offering millions of dollars in
bonuses every year, even if the trader doesn’t perform all that well.
These people can test BILLIONS of possible technical analysis indicators and
combinations on about every single product that exists a million times by the time you
notice your little “A heads and shoulder pattern is forming!” These people can send a
million trade by the time your finger hits the “buy” button. These people can backtest
millions of strategies in real time by the time you blink your eyes. And despite all that,
the vast majority of these funds do not beat the market on a risk-adjusted basis over an
extended period of time.”
-Anonymous
Does this change your perspective a bit?.. Believe what you want, you can choose to
believe that the market is based upon the constant "fighting" of buyers and sellers,
or "bulls vs bears" and believe that invisible lines on the charts will help you succeed
and give you confidence...!
I once believed this to be true, until I changed my perspective. did the research, I
followed the money. The banks own the media who created the idea of mainstream
Technical Analysis as we know it today.
The future lessons will help you come to your senses and clear some of the
programming you were taught to believe.
What if I told you all you needed was 2 or 3 trades per week? what if I told you I had a
strategy that can perform at a 90+ percent win ratio? What if I told you, you could
potentially find trades with risk reward ratios of 1:10 or 1:20? What if I told you the
trades you will learn to take will instantly shift into profit and drawdown would be a
thing of the past? Would you believe me? It sounds crazy.. almost impossible.
These outcomes are all achievable with what you will be learning in future lessons.
With this being said take a moment and realize the truth in this
statement. I am not going to be pressing the buy or sell button
for you, I am not going to be there for you when you get greedy
or fearful. These aspects are completely out of my control.
This journey begins with you, I can only show you the door. I
cannot force you to walk through it. I can give you water, but I
cannot make you thirsty.
Before this journey can begin you must part from your retail
trading ways that you have been taught.
Your emotions will drive the decisions you make today, and your success WILL
depend upon your ability to understand and interpret them. When an emotion is
triggered in your brain, your nervous systems responds by creating feelings in
your body (what many people refer to as a "gut feeling") and certain thoughts in
your mind.
When you are trading and the market suddenly spikes an emotion is triggered,
just how much do you pay attention to your visceral response and the thoughts it
creates?
Emotions, when they are not disordered, provide information about your
circumstances in a simple, quick way that does not involve a lot of cognition
(thinking about it).
Have you ever been in a trade and making good profits, suddenly the market
spikes in the opposite direction, leaving you at break even or very little profit and
you close the trade instantly because of this rapid movement, only to see it was a
fakeout and price continued in your intended direction?
Your emotions WILL attempt to tell you if a situation is optimal or not aligned with your
goal, and how you might approach it.
However, when you get greedy and over leverage or over risk your account, your
emotions will be magnified and you will become delusional.
How many times have you over risked your account and stayed up for 2 days straight
babying your trades and hoping that your account doesn't get margin called..?
What is the Market Makers job? To get you to become an emotional wreck..
Market Makers cause THESE spikes and crazy movement in the Market to create an
emotional response inside you, this response created inside you will be DOUBLED if
you are over risking , causing you to lose control of your actions.
Have you ever been in a trade and you know the SL is going to get hit, but you still stay
in anyway?
How many times have you over risked and stopped yourself out because of a small
swing against you, only to see seconds later the trade goes profitable again?
How many times have you entered a trade just because of a spike YOU THOUGHT
WAS MOMENTUM? only to get stopped out mins later…
This is how the market maker gets into your MIND and controls what you do.
“There is a pattern in the markets…, not in the chaotic series of transactions, but in the
MINDS of the market participants THEMSELVES”
Fear, for example, can affect low-level visual processes, sad moods can alter
susceptibility to visual illusions, and goal-directed desires can change the apparent size
of goal-relevant objects. In addition, the layout of the physical environment, including
the apparent steepness of a hill and the distance to the ground from a balcony can both
be affected by emotional states. We propose that emotions provide embodied
information about the costs and benefits of anticipated action, information that can be
used automatically and immediately, circumventing the need for cogitating on the
possible consequences of potential actions.
Most of us assume quite reasonably that as we look at a hill, for example, the steepness
of the incline in our visual image is more or less the steepness of the hill in the world.
The reality, however, is that the incline is far less steep than it appears (most people
perceive a 5 degree hill to be 20 degrees or more). Moreover, our perception of the
steepness will change from one occasion to the next depending on our mood. For
example, when we are feeling sad, we will perceive the hill to be steeper than when we
are feeling happy. Such findings indicate that the perception of spatial layout is in fact
influenced by non-optical factors, including emotion.
Thus, even the most avid trader is likely to close his position upon noticing that his
house is on fire.. Even though the danger is not in the Market, but in his own mind.
People sometimes say that a person “can’t see the forest for the trees.” In doing so,
they imply an incompatibility between perceptions of details and perceptions of wholes.
Emotion also influences whether people focus on the forest or the trees.
When investigators induce happy or sad moods (for example, by having participants
spend a few minutes writing about a happy or sad event from their lives), participants in
happy moods often adopt a global perceptual style, whereas those in sad moods adopt
a local perceptual style
Now take this into the market place, when you are happy you look at the larger picture
(market traps, trend, general direction of market). however when you are sad or in fear,
you may pay closer attention to each individual candlestick on your chart and try to
interpret their meanings
LESSON #4 - A TRAUMA
BASED MARKET
The market makers main goal is to make money, he will do this by any
means necessary. even if this means mimicking the emotional response
structure of a catastrophic disaster. Yes, this is the game they have
played on us. By entering the market we have submitted ourselves into
an emotional battlefield and I can prove it.
ABOVE IS A CHART DEPICTING THE EMOTIONAL RESPONSE OF A
DISASTER.
This pattern plays out in micro and macro to form on all time frames. Above is an
example image of the micro within the macro.
FRACTALS are never-ending patterns... Fractals are infinitely complex patterns that are
self-similar across different scales. They are created by repeating a simple process over
and over in an ongoing feedback loop. Driven by recursion, fractals are images of
dynamic systems – the pictures of Chaos. Geometrically, they exist in between our
familiar dimensions. Fractal patterns are extremely familiar, since nature is full of
fractals. For instance: trees, rivers, coastlines, mountains, clouds, seashells, hurricanes,
etc. Abstract fractals – such as the Mandelbrot Set – can be generated by a computer
calculating a simple equation over and over.
The dealer has to make different variations of the pattern micro/macro pattern
above, in order to keep retail traders blinded to what is really happening.
We must realize that the people that created this system had a very great
understanding of human nature and the fractal geometry that make up our
thoughts, emotions and reality.
This is how the market is structured! this works on every market and every
currency pair, why? Because the only thing in common with all markets, is the
market participants. the emotional response to price will always be the same no
matter what market or currency you are trading.
Your task will be to recognize this pattern as it is being made and not take any
trades until you fully understand this structure. once you have seen different
variations of this pattern, it will become much easier to recognize them as the
dealer created them. We will go more into detail on exactly how and why the
dealers structure the market this way in coming lessons.
LESSON #6 - MANIPULATION
BASICS
To understand how the market is manipulated, let’s forget everything we were
ever taught as a retail trader about technical analysis.
If it were really that easy why do 95% of all traders fail? Why does the average
trader using the mainstream form of technical analysis blow his account within
the first 3 months of trading? Why is it that most traders using technical analysis
take 10+ years to even become profitable?
When a retail trader places a trade through his or her broker, the broker then
transfers all the orders into an order management system and sends that
information to the bank where a "Market Maker" can use the information and put
it through an algorithm that will make specific patterns in the market according to
where retail traders have their orders.
So, your order is going through an algorithm that scans your entry point, stop
loss, and take profit. this algorithm then fluctuates according to the mass amount
of orders it is receiving and where the retail traders have placed their stop losses,
with the intent to hit as many stop losses as possible while at the same time
avoiding to hit take profit level areas of retail traders.
You see we are the retail herd, we are very susceptible to persuasion in any way
or form and will do what the majority of others are doing just because we feel
more confident in our trades when someone else can back us up.
ABOVE WE CAN SEE WHAT IS THE MT4 MANAGER STATION OR OTHERWISE KNOWN AS
THE “DEALERS DESK” USED TO MANIPULATE SPREAD, MARKET PRICE, OPEN AND
PENDING ORDERS, ECT.
The difference between ask and bid is called spread. It represents the brokerage
service costs and replaces transactions fees. Spread is traditionally denoted in
pips ~ a percentage in points, meaning fourth decimal place in currency
quotation.
Almost all retail traders are using what is called a variable spread. Variable
spreads are set by brokerage firms / hedge funds to fluctuate in correlation with
market conditions. Generally variable spread is low during times of market
inactivity (1-2 pips), but during volatile market times such as news events. The
market maker can actually widen the spread to as much as 40 to 50 pips or more!
BUT!! Not only is spread used as service cost, it is also used to pick up the
orders "break out traders" place on the other side of trendlines and in certain
zones of high liquidity! See the example below.
STOP HUNTS
A "STOP HUNT" IS WHEN THE MARKET SPIKES IN ONE DIRECTION OR THE
OTHER HITTING THE STOP LOSSES OF EITHER SELLERS OR BUYERS, WHILE
AT THE SAME TIME INDUCING TRADERS TO ENTER THE MARKET.
STOP HUNTS CAN OCCUR AT ANY TIME, BUT ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR
DURING VOLATILE NEWS EVENTS.
WHAT IS A "WHIPSAW"?
Pattern Price Manipulation: "A known pattern forms on the chart, once the market
maker completes the pattern and Induce the masses to enter the market, they will
be shown profit for a short time (20 to 30 pips) tricking the weak amatures to risk
more money and take more trades. The market then goes completely against
them the opposite way hitting stop losses and blowing accounts.
TRAP ZONES
The dealer uses “Trap Zones” to trap a certain amount of liquidity in a specific
price range then swings the market in one direction leaving the liquidity in that
zone trapped.
...ONCE PRICE ENTERS OUR ZONE, WE WAIT THE NEXT 3 CANDLES TO SHOW
THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE PRICE .
1. LOOK FOR A LARGE "WICK CANDLESTICK" INSIDE OUR TRAP ZONE (SEE
EXAMPLES BELOW)
2. LOOK FOR A SET OF "RAILROAD TRACKS" THAT CLOSE OUTSIDE THE ZONE
AND RAPIDLY REJECT
DEALERS USE THESE HIGH IMPACT EVENTS TO HIDE THEIR MOVES. DEALERS
NEED TO TRAP AS MANY TRADERS AS POSSIBLE AND AS FAST AS POSSIBLE,
A NEWS EVENT IS A PERFECT DISTRACTION USED TO SPIKE THE MARKET IN
THEIR FAVOR. THINK ABOUT IT, EVEN SPREAD IS WIDEND ON MOST
BROKERAGES DURING NEWS EVENTS... JUST ANOTHER ADVANTAGE FOR
THE DEALER TO TRAP MORE RETAIL TRADERS!
IN THE EXAMPLE ABOVE WE CAN SEE MULTIPLE "TOOLS" BEING USED ON
OUR GRAPH.
LOOKING AT THE ANALYSIS ABOVE, WE CAN SEE CLEAR TRAP AND DROP
ZONES IN WHICH THE MARKET HAS THE HIGHEST PROBABLE CHANCE OF
CONTINUING THE DOWNTREND.
Above is one of the largest market crashes in GBP history, Brexit. The news said
Brexit was an impossibility. Yet you can see the perfect whipsaw pattern playing out
days before Brexit actually happened!
LESSON #8 - MARKET
STRUCTURE
The graph above is a normal cycle of the market based on a 15 min candle chart. Daily
market cycle consists of consolidation, whipsaw, then a continuation of the main trend.
CONSOLIDATION
WHIPSAW
A fake-out or whipsaw will almost always be formed after consolidation. this is to make
traders believe that the market is going in a certain direction then pull the market in the
opposite direction of the fake-out!
We can see moments after consolidation, the market creates a new high of the day and
breaks out of consolidation. most retail and technical traders would buy as soon as they
see a breakout of consolidation, but it turns out it was only a fake-out to induce buyers
into the market.
You can see the market moved substantially in the opposite direction after the fakeout
occurred. this is to move the price away from the fakeout zone and and to hit buyers
stop losses before the retail traders can react.
This race to hit stop losses also creates a new low of the day, inducing sellers to enter
the market, price then swings up to hit stop-losses of sellers. this motion of creating
both a high and a low and inducing both buyers and sellers is called a whipsaw!
Combine the knowledge of theconfirming entry with the fakeout after consolidation, then
ride the whipsaw. these trades can be hard to catch because they happen fast, but are
very rewarding if mastered correctly.
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK AND THE END OF THE WEEK ARE "FAKEOUT
DAYS."
WEDNESDAY~THURSDAY
THE "MIDDLE" OF THE WEEK IS THE MOST VOLATILE TIME IN THE MARKET.
check your forex news calendar and see for yourself. Wednesday and thursday
are always the days with the most "high impact" events.
Wednesday and thursday are usually correction days, where the market corrects
against or with the trend depending on which direction the market was going at
the start of the week.
THERE IS A TIME TO TRADE, AND A TIME TO REST. IF YOU DONT KNOW WHEN
THE MARKET MAKES ITS MOVES.. YOU COULD BE WAITING FOR HOURS
BEFORE YOU REALLY SEE THE TYPE OF VOLATILITY IN THE MARKET THAT
YOU WERE WAITING FOR. YOU SEE THE MARKET MAKERS USE TIME TO THEIR
ADVANTAGE AND WILL KEEP PRICE IN A SPECIFIC ZONE FOR EXTENDED
PERIODS OF TIME BEFORE MOVING TO A DIFFERENT ZONE TO CONTINUE THE
CONSOLIDATION CYCLE.
THE CONSOLIDATION CYCLE WILL BEGIN 5 HOURS BEFORE SESSION
CHANGEOVER AND LASTS NORMALLY 10 HOURS OR MORE. DURING THIS
CONSOLIDATION PHASE PRICE WILL MOVE SIDEWAYS IN A GIVEN RANGE,
THIS RANGE IS NORMALLY 20 TO 35 PIPS. THIS HAPPENS ON EVERY PAIR IN
FOREX! THIS IS WHEN THE AUTOMATED MARKET MAKER ALGORITHM TAKES
OVER TO "GENERATE LIQUIDITY".
ONCE YOU CAN SPOT THESE TIME CYCLES , KNOWING WHEN TO EXECUTE
YOUR TRADES BECOMES MUCH EASIER.
Just in case you doubted what I said about making 1:20 risk reward ratio trades, I saved my MyFXBook Stats
from my first week of trying out this strategy. Here are my results.
THE TRADES YOU SEE ABOVE ARE ALL SECOND LEG "M" OR "W" REVERSAL
FORMATIONS. LOOK AT THE TIME SPENT PROFITABLE, AN AVERAGE OF
OVER 85% OF THE TIME I WAS IN PROFIT ON ANY TRADE I TOOK!
CHECK OUT THE RISK VS REWARD ON SOME OF THE TRADES ARE OVER
1:21!! IF I DIDN'T HAVE THESE STATS TO PROVE IT IM SURE YOU WOULD
OTHERWISE THINK I WAS LYING. I SURE WOULD BE SKEPTICAL TOO, BUT THE
UNDERSTANDING OF THE REASONING BEHIND WHAT IS HAPPENING IS WHAT
MAKES IT ALL OF THESE TRADES POSSIBLE!
NOW BEFORE GOING OFF TO THE CHARTS AND START TRADING EVERY M / W
YOU SEE, LETS GO OVER SOME CHARACTERISTICS OF THESE PATTERNS,
AND WHY THEY HAPPEN.
**THESE ARE ONLY RANDOM EXAMPLES DEPICTED, NOT EVERY PATTERN WILL BE THE
SAME. EACH PATTERN IS A FRACTAL OF THE SAME VARIATION. DO YOUR HOMEWORK
AND LEARN TO SEE THESE DIFFERENT VARIATIONS.
THESE M AND W FORMATIONS ARE FOUND THROUGHOUT ALL
TIMEFRAMES,THE TIME FRAME DOES NOT CHANGE THE PATTERN, BECAUSE
THE PATTERN IS BASED OFF THE FEAR AND GREED INSTINCTS OF ALL
HUMANS. YOU COULD EVEN SAY THAT THE PATTERN IS NOT DUE TO THE
CHAOTIC SERIES OF TRANSACTIONS, BUT DUE TO HOW ALL HUMANS REACT
TO FEAR AND GREED.
* DID THE SECOND LEG OF THE M/W SPIKE PAST THE FIRST LEG?