El Tiempo en La Vida
El Tiempo en La Vida
El Tiempo en La Vida
Introduction
to ‘colonize the future’ (Giddens, 1991; Nowotny, 1994). However, the indi-
vidual does not make decisions in a vacuum. The construction of the life course
is embedded within historical, cultural, social and institutional (e.g. familial,
religious) contexts. To guide the reader through this discussion, examples are
used from the research area of family formation, which consists of partnership
and fertility behaviour.2
Taking a temporal standpoint to analyse partnership and fertility behaviour in
the life course shifts the focus from static spatial or group-based comparisons of
the life course (e.g. current socio-economic status, residence, education) to
more dynamic analysis of the evolving, natural, constructed and data-related
aspects of time. We are then driven to ask different types of questions. Why are
there twice as many births occurring in December as compared to July in
Bangladesh? Why did yearly Chinese fertility drop so sharply in 1966 and then
rise in 1987? Why do births peak in the spring months and September in
Canada? Why were so many women trying to conceive a child on 9 April 1999?
Why do births climax in January and fall suddenly in December in the former
USSR? Why do one-third of all first marriages in China occur in December and
January? Are seasonal fluctuations in birth and marriage data related only to the
natural rhythms of the cosmos? Why are most life history surveys collected
from persons between the ages of 15 and 49 years? Why do women in India
report their age at first marriage with digits that end with a zero or five or at the
exact age of 18 years? Why are there more missing data for the date of cohabi-
tation as opposed to the date of marriage in some surveys? Do women remem-
ber family events differently from men? How do we methodologically reckon
with the assumption that the present contains pages of the past and expectations
of the future? The answers to these questions are explored through the course of
this study.
often central to quantitative life course analysis, the force of theoretical assump-
tions concerning temporality on data and methods is a vital consideration. The
ontological influence of temporality at multiple levels is now discussed in
detail.
The presence of multiple temporal clocks, or what Nowotny (1992: 424) termed
‘pluritemporalism’, has been a focus of social theorists. As with life course
research, the approach to time within social theory has been shaped by varying
ontological and epistemological approaches. Durkheim focuses on the social
synchronizing and integrative function of time. Marx examines the commodifi-
cation, economic dimension and role of the state in time. Weber looks at the
rationalization of time (Adam, 1990). Mead (1932/1980) argues that the past is
continuously re-created and reformulated as the present unfolds. Adam con-
tends that ‘there is no single time, only a multitude of times which interpenetrate
and permeate our daily lives’ (1995: 12). Schutz and Luckmann (1973) advance
the idea of persistently interacting multiple life-worlds, where the past and
future simultaneously permeate the present rhythms of the human body, planets,
seasons and routines centred upon clocks and calendars. Luhmann (1977/1982)
argues that synchronic (interdependent) and diachronic (dynamic) systems
differentiate themselves from the environment, also adding that the past and
future are mere horizons of the simultaneously occurring present. This relates to
Nowotny’s (1994) conclusion that the future is merely the ‘extended present’.
Likewise, Giddens (1991) posits that by planning our life course we ‘colonize
the future’. We will return to this discussion of the interplay of the past, present
and future at the end of this article. Hägerstrand (1975) offered the concept of
lifelines and recurrent time-space paths that give rise to world lines. Giddens
(1981, 1984), building on Hägerstrand and others, speaks of three temporal
levels. He divided time into experience in daily life, followed by the temporality
of the life cycle and the duration of social institutions produced or reproduced
through regularized practices.
From this brief review, it is clear that choices are required in order to con-
ceptualize and operationalize the ontological influences of temporality on
human behaviour within the life course. On a basic level, we must distinguish
what is a temporal effect from what is attributed to the epistemological
approach. This is addressed within the second section of this article. Within
temporality itself, however, it is useful to clearly separate the natural from what
is symbolically constructed within cultural and social systems. Hägerstrand’s
(1988) conception of time is a useful starting point to understand this division.
Time, he argues, consists of ‘embedded time’, which is tangible and real and
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(Our ability to time and control conception with new reproductive technologies
is touched upon again in relation to the effects of institutional calendars; see
p. 105). Due to the introduction of new technologies, fertility is no longer based
on chance, but is often the result of conscious decision-making by the indi-
vidual, partnership and family. The growing social construction of biological
time is an important observation that will become increasingly relevant as the
force of technology permeates all realms of everyday life.
The individual clock does not only progress biologically. There is psycho-
logical and personality growth related to the life course, a topic that originally
stems from Erikson’s (1950/1963) theory of developmental readiness.
According to Erikson, biological, psychological and social factors determine the
stages of development and sequences that individuals pass through as they
chronologically age. Although people may be of identical age or the same
amount of time may have passed since the last demographic event, they can be
at significantly different levels of biological and psychological development
(Willekens, 1997).
Furthermore, there is interplay between historical-cultural-social contexts
and the perception of psychological development. This is illustrated in
Giddens’s (1991) discussion of self-identity formation in the age of modernity.
One’s ontological outlook in pre-modern and agrarian contexts was shaped by
kinship relations, the local community, religious cosmologies and tradition,
whereas, in the age of modernity, individuals develop their identities in relation
to personal relationships and abstract systems, with a more future-oriented per-
ception connecting the past and present. Abstract systems consist of symbolic
tokens and expert systems, which span time and space (Giddens, 1991).
Symbolic tokens are media of exchange which have a standard value, such as
money. In relation to the life course, symbolic tokens could be a wedding ring,
co-residence or the wearing of black by a widow. Expert systems are those on
which individuals base their knowledge, trust and security: their ‘ontological
security’. Individuals rely on advice from midwives, elders and doctors in
relation to fertility. They may decide to marry instead of cohabiting, due to the
influence of a guardian or a religious figure, for instance, who is viewed as an
expert. Psychological human development and decision-making in the age of
modernity, therefore, become increasingly reflexive and individualistic. An
example will solidify this point.
Let us compare the basic elements of family formation for women in the
largely agrarian area of the northern Indian state of Uttar Pradesh and the
modern western-European nation of The Netherlands. In a 1992–3 survey in
Uttar Pradesh, 63.9 percent of women between the ages of 20 to 24 were
married by the age of 18 (IIPS, 1996).3 A similar 1993 survey in The Nether-
lands found that for women of the same age, a mere 16.9 percent had entered
some kind of consensual or marital partnership. However, only 1.2 percent had
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entered into legal marriages not preceded by cohabitation (Latten and De Graaf,
1997: 60). In the first instance, there is a clear disparity in the timing of first
partnership transitions between these two groups of women. As described
shortly, differences such as these are often related in the literature to the more
obvious disparate social, cultural and historical contexts. However, this finding
may also be connected to the ontological effect of the perception of women’s
biological and psychological readiness.
The same survey in Uttar Pradesh shows that over half the girls marry at an
early age, but remain in their parental household after marriage. It is not until
after the gauna ceremony, which signifies the onset of menstruation and entry
into womanhood, that a woman resides with her husband (Mukherjee et al.,
1996). In this way, her authentic entry into a marital partnership is signalled by
her biological readiness to experience the life transition. Although this begins to
change among certain groups of women (higher education, urban), a girl’s
entrance into marriage is still largely regulated by her biological readiness,
ascribed by the family, community, traditional and religious beliefs. Con-
versely, in The Netherlands, there is more emphasis placed on individual
choice, romantic love and preference based on a woman’s own reflexive con-
ception of her psychological readiness. This comparison relates not only to an
individual’s psychological development and socio-cultural context, but also to
the luxury of developing one’s self-identity and planning life events. Russell et
al. (1993), for instance, found that births within wealthier social classes in
Scotland occurred largely during the summer, suggesting that the wealthier had
more resources to plan childbirth.
Although natural and human development clocks are important in governing
the life course, it is too simplistic to see them as the sole regulating factors. As
suggested in the previous example, individual development is interpreted
differently in social, cultural and historical contexts. Historical context is there-
fore my next subject of discussion.
Historical time
Life course researchers (Elder, 1974; Hogan, 1981; Hareven, 1994) have exten-
sively refined the concept of historical time, which is defined by the particular
socio-cultural, economic, physical, political and economic configuration of an
individual’s context (De Bruijn, 1999). This type of time, along with individual
and family or household-based time clocks, is one of the most studied
influences of temporality in life course research. Historical events are seen to
shape a cohort, period or generation. These include war, invasion or sanctions,
famine or surplus, environmental or ecological catastrophes, plague or advances
in health, shifts in ideology such as fundamentalism, capitalism or communism,
and economic depression or boom. The ontological impact of historical period
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Institutional calendars
Institutional time, viewed through institutional calendars, is defined as the
timetables produced via the adaptation and life span of institutions. Institutions
are located within and produced by historical, social and cultural contexts.
Institutions in this sense are divided along religious, family, educational,
work/production, political, governmental and gender lines. These institutions
are often accompanied by seemingly innocent calendars that in fact often
regulate everyday life and thus most behaviour in the life course. Furthermore,
due to an individual’s position in these institutions, such as being male or
female, worker or non-worker, she or he experiences time in a different way.
These multiple calendars are often neglected, underestimated or viewed only in
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The turn of the century, indexed by a calendar, not only causes anxiety as
we realize that we rely upon all-pervasive technology, but also forces us to re-
evaluate our entire ontological construction of the world. The rise in numbers of
books about calendars and time, and the construction of monuments such as the
Millennium Dome in the UK, add to a feeling that a calendar event is indeed
momentous.
This calendar-derived event may also influence fertility and partnership
behaviour in the form of a mini-‘baby boom’ or rise in marriages. Although at
the time of writing it is too soon for researchers to examine any evidence, the
printed and electronic media are full of examples, including a ‘Millennium
Mom’ web page on the Internet which gives potential parents instructions about
how to time a pregnancy, with 9 April 1999 suggested as the optimum date for
conceiving the first baby to enter the new millennium. One potential
Millennium Mom planned the event to the hour, using a pregnancy planning kit
with ovulation predictors. As she explains in her own temporally laden words:
Most women ovulate between 24–36 hours after the LH [luteinizing hormone that
triggers ovulation] surge is detected. I used a stick this morning (2:00 a.m.) and
the test was positive! Calculate this for yourself and we are dead on for 4/9!5
This echoes the previous discussion regarding the colonization of our natural
biological cycles by new technologies. In response to fertility planning, and
added festivities, many hospitals, police and others were warned of a holiday
ban at the turn of the millennium in many countries (see source in note 5).
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The new millennium may also cause a rise in marriages. Reuters news service
(5 May 1999) reported that the New Zealand parliament has relaxed a rule
banning weddings between 10 p.m. and 6 a.m. in order that marriages may
occur in the first time zone to enter the new century. The government-backed
‘First to the Future’ campaign capitalizes on the influence of this calendar date.
The important point is that a date or a year in a calendar that appears to be
insignificant at face value may have direct consequences on life event planning.
Furthermore, people’s interpretations or experiences of this calendar pervade
their everyday life activities. Just as religion has determined many calendars,
another institution central to the construction of events in the life course has
remained and evolved through time. This is the institution of the family.
Family time is another common topic in life course research (Hareven, 1994;
Ryder, 1992). It is recognized that individuals live and make decisions in the
context of families: first as children, then as partners and in-laws, and then as
parents. Family time includes aspects of the life cycle of families and house-
holds, spousal time (e.g. dual-earner couples) and parent–child times (e.g.
increasing participation of fathers). Ryder maintains that ‘the family is above all
the institution to which is assigned the responsibility for attempting to solve
problems of the passage of time both for the individual and for the population’
(1992: 161). In an applied study, Young (1992) focused on the interdependent
lives of partners and family members by considering the layers of individual,
family and historical time in Malaysia. For instance, the migration or death of
the head of the household results in a drastic change for the interdependent
family members. Hareven (1994) also clearly connects the levels of the indi-
vidual, family and historical time. Life history data can generally be used to
examine the individual, family or household. However, as the influence of
more traditional institutions such as the family and religion wanes in many
western societies, timetables are being increasingly shaped by other forms of
temporality beyond the sacred or traditional (Lesthaeghe, 1989). This ‘civiliza-
tion’ of time means that daily life becomes centred around more industrialized
cycles of education, work, politics, economics, sports or other secular time-
tables (Nishimoto Ikuko, 1997).
Educational calendars shape children’s identities, arguably training them for
entry into the next social institution of the labour force (Adam, 1995). It is the
first space in which individuals become aware of bureaucratic or commodified
time. This includes the importance of punctuality and being ‘on time’ in grade
progression, which will again occur in relation to partnerships and fertility. This
is also the first experience of distinct monotemporal divisions of time allotted
to specified subjects. When these children enter adulthood, they will find
(especially the women) that this monotemporal division of time cannot
accommodate the interdependent life domains of partnership, fertility, educa-
tion and work. In addition, the ‘proper’ timing of the transition from education
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to work calendar has a pervasive influence in shaping further life course transi-
tions such as marriage or migration.
The work or production calendar regulates many everyday activities and
forces us to focus on time-management and setting deadlines. Individuals must
also timetable their leisure or private family time around their public employ-
ment time. The importance of agricultural and production cycles in relation to
the timing of marriages is discussed by Gunn (1990). There has been a general
shift to production time in what Van der Poel (1997) terms the ‘modularization’,
or commodification, of time, which is abstract and exchangeable. The rise of
temporal reflexivity (timetabling, planning) and construction of one’s own life
trajectory in western societies produces a surplus of a new type of time –
leisure time (Van der Poel, 1997). There is a division not only between private
and public time, but also between leisure or disposable time. As Giddens (1991:
77) states, ‘self-actualisation implies the control of time – essentially, the estab-
lishing of zones of personal time which have only remote connections with
external temporal orders’. An individual’s ability to focus on the development
of self-actualization stems, however, from her or his historical and geographic
location, family membership, sex and worker status. Relative integration into
the production calendar has been largely gender based, and thus the construction
of production, reproduction and gendered time has to be discussed together in
terms of social accessibility.
Gender-based calendars, or (wo)men’s temporal experience, have been
surprisingly absent from many demographic and life course studies. (Wo)men’s
time refers to the disparate temporal experience and use of time by women and
men. There is a history of divisions between the sexes in terms of reproduction
and production. The most obvious difference in time use by men and women is
reproductive or ‘procreation’ time (Tobler, 1996). However, there are also
labour differences, such as women doing more part-time work or being allotted
‘spaces’ in which to act (Friberg, 1993). These disparate temporal calendars are
rarely brought together or seen as defining factors, but instead remain largely
studies of women’s time (Kristeva, 1981; Davies, 1989; Forman, 1989; Friberg,
1993; Leccardi, 1996). When fertility is discussed, women are often the
subjects, yet the unique female experience of space and time is ironically
forgotten, or at worst, women are linked solely to reproduction (Tobler, 1996).
Women’s and men’s perceptions and uses of time often differ substantially,
ranging from basic biological differences to distinct patterns of managing
public and private time and space. These calendars are now discussed in relation
to work or production time.
An individual’s social accessibility is centred on the division between private
and public time. Private time is ‘deliberately designed to prevent, or at least
discourage, the formation of human contact and to separate people from one
another’ (Zerubavel, 1981: 143). Public time ‘is deliberately meant to promote
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108
FIGURE 1
Unpaid and paid work hours of women and men in selected countries
2/2/2000 2:55 pm
Page 108
TIME
&
SOCIETY
9(1)
Source: United Nations (1996: Social Statistics Indicators, Series K, No. 12, p. 132). Japan (1991), Israel (1991-2), Former USSR (1986), Netherlands
(1988), Canada (1992).
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Furthermore, as the ‘baby boom’ cohort in many western regions begins to age,
this cohort effect will produce a new interest in later life course events such as
grandparenthood, health and active life expectancy. Finally, the assumption that
women are central to reproduction results in the epistemological manifestation
of fertility data gathered only from women, thus omitting the unique fertility
histories of men.
A third aspect related to the timing of data collection is age truncation, which
addresses the problem of when the data are collected in the progression of
the respondent’s life course. This is a common problem when examining life
histories of younger individuals. Since the survey is taken at a particular time in
their life course, younger people have not had enough time to accumulate
higher order life transitions by the date of the survey (e.g. second child, widow-
hood). In this case, the age of the individual at the date of the survey is a distinct
methodological factor in defining the partnership or fertility process. A Lexis
diagram is useful in understanding the differential amount of time lived or
observed by different cohort or age groups.6
Figure 2 demonstrates that cross-sectional retrospective survey data provide
only a partial information set of life history data. The diagram shows a sample
of individuals born from 1943 to 1980, aged 13 to 49 at the date of survey and
divided into four cohort groups. It is easy to see from this figure that we have
life history information on a disparate number of years for each cohort of
women. For the oldest cohort, born from 1943 to 1949, we have life history
information up to age 42 to 49. However, for the youngest cohort, born from
1970 to 1980, we have life history information until approximately age 13 to 22.
We do not obtain a detailed life history of the younger respondents, as many of
their life events will be censored (not occurred) by the date of the survey. We
may not have detailed information for middle cohorts either. For instance, many
younger women in western European countries are postponing life events such
as entry into a partnership or motherhood in comparison to older cohorts or
generations. In addition, since the survey is only collected up to age 49, we are
unlikely to obtain information about higher order union experiences, such as
partnership dissolution due to death of the partner. Another temporally related
aspect apparent in Figure 2 is the multiple clocks that are used to study the indi-
vidual’s life course. These are discussed in detail in the methodological section
(p. 118).
In addition to the importance of the timing of data collection in the indi-
vidual’s personal clock, the timing in the day, month or year that data are
gathered can have implications for results. The number or monthly variation in
specified days, such as variations by dates of religious festivals or national
holidays, can influence the data. ‘Seasonally adjusted rates’ are often used, for
instance, to reflect seasonal employment opportunities and activity levels.
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FIGURE 2
Lexis diagram of exposure time by birth cohort, year of birth and age at the time of
survey in years and Century Month Code units (1993)
Memory problems
Another common problem in retrospective data collection is that of memory or
recall of past life events, which results in misreporting. Memory problems
are often connected with age, sex, social and cultural conceptions of time. When
gathering life history data, researchers must not only be aware of the
respondent’s experience of time, but also reflexively examine their own
temporal presumptions. Data problems such as age heaping or digit preference
related to cultural mismatches of respondent–researcher visions of time are
discussed first. However, missing or misreported temporal data can also be
compared by the type of life event. The second point suggests that the meaning
or importance that one attaches to family or life course events plays an
additional role in remembering the date of the event. Furthermore, it is not only
the individual’s conception, but also the ritualization of the event in the current
historical-cultural-social context that affects memory.
A common problem associated with recall and misdating often manifests
itself in the form of age heaping or digit preference, resulting in anomalies such
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FIGURE 3
Age heaping in reported age at first marriage, women, Uttar Pradesh, India
typically provide less accurate responses. However, aspects beyond the age of
the respondent also affect memory. For instance: do women remember family
events better than men? Are there certain life events that have more missing
temporal data than others? In life history analysis, the month and year of a life
event are often the central indicators that specify the beginning and end of a life
stage, timing of transitions and mean age at occurrence of events. However, it is
common that for some types of life events, more respondents report the year,
but not the month of the event. Poulain et al. (1991) compared the accuracy of
temporal reporting of life events by couples. They confirmed differences in
reporting by sex and type of event. A sample of 445 couples was first inter-
viewed in separate rooms about family-related life history events. They were
then allowed to adjust for any uncertain dates via the use of family records, rent
receipts, etc. The researchers then consulted life statistics registers to check
the accuracy of temporal reporting. They found that dates were satisfactorily
reported for marriage and birth or death of a child, dates also traceable by regis-
tration records. Marriage and birth of children were reported within a month in
90 percent of the cases. However, migration of the household or date of children
leaving the parental home were only exact to within a month for 39–67 percent
of the cases. Finally, the information provided by women was more reliable
than by men, with the combined spousal answers being more accurate again.
In the study of partnership formation, data for the month of cohabiting unions
are more likely to be missing than for legal marriages. In the 1993 Netherlands
Fertility and Family Survey, for instance, there is a difference in missing data
for the month of event by type of union and sex. Table 1 shows the missing
month dates for unions by frequency and percentage for women and men.
Percentages with a small number of cases should be regarded with caution.
Despite this, it is still possible to see a general difference between the
higher percentage of persons who cannot recall the beginning month of their
cohabiting or consensual partnerships, particularly for males. When comparing
first union formation, around 0.3 to 0.4 percent of women and men do not recall
the month of their first marriage, compared to 7.8 percent who do not recall the
month of their first cohabitation. The amount of missing data is higher in later
unions. This could be attributed to the fact that less ritual or meaning is placed
on these repeated unions. Finally, comparing the percentages of women and
men who cannot recall the month of the partnership event, men generally have
more problems remembering the month, particularly union dissolution. This
basic comparison supports Poulain et al.’s (1991) findings (but should be
examined with more sophisticated methods). Beyond identifying the problem of
memory in data gathering, researchers have attempted to find mnemonic
devices and collection strategies to improve the quality of life history data.
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TABLE 1
Frequency and percentage of reported and missing cases in the monthly timing of
union events by sex and type of union
Women (n=4516) Men (n=3705)
Month of event Month of event
Union Event Reported Missing (%) Reported Missing (%)
Marital unions
First marriage 2632 7 (0.3) 1745 7 (0.4)
First dissolution 314 25 (8.0) 177 15 (8.5)
Second marriage 114 2 (1.8) 68 2 (2.9)
Second dissolution 13 1 (7.7) 8 4 (50.0)
Cohabiting unions
First union 961 75 (7.8) 741 58 (7.8)
First dissolution 441 48 (10.9) 352 34 (9.7)
Second union 149 5 (3.4) 144 11 (7.6)
Second dissolution 153 3 (1.9) 57 10 (17.5)
Third union 16 – – 26 – –
Third dissolution 7 – – 8 1 (12.5)
Source: 1993 Netherlands Fertility and Family Survey [Onderzoek Gezinsvorming].
Note: Totals may differ slightly due to weighting. Percentages are calculated from the valid number
of year of reported events.
FIGURE 4
Average monthly percentage of distribution of events:
first marriages in China, 1950-81 and births in USSR, 1958-85
Source: Xuan (1983: 107) in Yi (1985: 33), ‘Average monthly percentage of distribution of first
marriage in China, 1950–81’, and calculated from Anderson and Silver (1988: 307) ‘Mean
daily number of births reported by calendar month, for USSR, 1958–85’.
ings show that the institutional calendar via the festival effect, for instance, may
affect not only the occurrence, but the registration of demographic events.
Appreciating the full effects of methods of data collection and understanding
the way that respondents and researchers perceive time are increasingly impor-
tant features of quantitative life course research. However, data gathering is
only the first step in this epistemological approach. The second step is the
methodological undertaking of data analysis, frequently using life table and
regression models.
seen as a primary factor shaping the life course, the social gauge of age progres-
sion is often used to judge if someone is ‘on’ or ‘off’ time. The ontological
effects of shared temporal mentalities are often studied by placing cohort or
period as central in the analysis. Measures of social change are frequently deter-
mined by comparing birth cohorts, a method which ties macro-level events (e.g.
economic depression, postwar period) to micro-level individual and meso-level
family adaptations and outcomes (Ryder, 1965; Elder, 1974, 1991, 1994;
Hogan, 1981). Conceptually and methodologically, it is a challenge to dis-
entangle the effects of age, cohort and period. Age effects are related to growing
older, such as accruing higher education or income over time. Cohort effects are
common to people born at the same time, such as historical events, oppor-
tunities, constraints, competition and size. Period effects are the result of this
shared experience of historical events, or historical time. The choice of which of
these time axes to study rests firmly on the researcher’s shoulders and depends
upon theoretical and statistical needs (Blossfeld and Rohwer, 1995).
A variety of clocks are often combined to reconstruct the life course after the
timing of life events has been gathered or registered. Recall that Figure 2 shows
a blend of five different methodological clocks. The left and bottom axes show
a time unit commonly used in analysis, Century Month Codes (CMCs). CMCs
are the number of months since the beginning of the 20th century. For instance,
January 1900 has a CMC value of one, since it is one month since the beginning
of the century. A CMC of 555 would be March 1946, and so on. These units are
often used in event history analysis of the life course, which is a broad term for
longitudinal statistical techniques. This approach investigates transitions,
timing, duration, and sequencing of events in the life course (Tuma and Hannan,
1984; Mayer and Tuma, 1990; Courgeau and Lelièvre, 1992; Blossfeld and
Rohwer, 1995). Using CMCs, chronological time can be standardized on an
identical clock for each respondent, regardless of age, life stage, and historical
period or cohort membership. The first CMC clock represents the age of the
respondent in relation to the turn of the century. This corresponds to the second
clock, which is the respondent’s biological or individual age in years on the
right axis of the diagram. The third clock, represented by the diagonal lines,
shows the four cohort divisions that can be used to compare social change or
differences in life course behaviour over historical time. The fourth and fifth
clocks, shown at the bottom of the diagram, are historical (period) times in years
and CMC units since the turn of the century.
Another common way to organize life history data is by episodes (e.g. first,
second, third birth episode) within each life career. This relates to another
measure often referred to as process time (Blossfeld, 1996; Courgeau and
Lelièvre, 1992; De Bruijn, 1999; Willekens, 1997). Process time is the length of
time since the last demographic event of interest (e.g. first birth) and the onset of
the process when the individual becomes ‘at risk’ of experiencing another event
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(e.g. second birth). This type of time is frequently related to survival, duration
and Semi-Markov modeling and analysis. Adam (1995: 21) likewise stresses
interplay between clock and calendar time and the timing of events and social
processes: ‘the existence of clock and calendar time does not prevent us from
locating the past, present and future with reference to events, processes and
social relations’. Based on what is seen as theoretically or substantively impor-
tant in the analysis, different or combined clocks such as age (in years or
CMCs), cohort, historical period, generation, or process time are used as tempo-
ral indicators in analysis. However, information on life events is often reported
in the present, as the individual recalls the past and imagines the future. As
discussed in the opening section of this article, the life-world of the present is
often interpenetrated by these temporal realms.
duration of marriage) and interaction with other life course careers (e.g.
presence of children, gainful employment). If duration is considered important,
the model can be extended to a semi-Markov. This reflects not only the occur-
rence of the life transition, but also the importance of duration, seniority or
experience in a state, often referred to as duration-dependence (Namboodiri,
1991; Willekens, 1997). This duration between two states defines a stage in an
underlying developmental process (Chiang, 1984: 246 in Willekens, 1997). A
further extension of these models is to consider the entire life history or
sequencing of life events of the individual in a non-Markov model (Rajulton,
1992). This type of model would be the epistemological equivalent to the onto-
logical assumptions of the importance of the past life path (path-dependence) on
the present and future life course of the individual. It can include information on
the timing, but more important, the sequencing and number of events. In this
way, primary sequential patterns of life course paths are determined.
A dynamic aspect of time can also be introduced into the regression model
(for a detailed discussion, see Blossfeld, 1996: 193–6). Explanatory factors or
covariates are used to describe the impact of certain characteristics (education,
residence) on the life event probability or rate. Covariates may be fixed, i.e.
remain the same over the entire life span (sex, place of birth) or time-varying,
i.e. changing values over time (education level, socio-economic status). When
examining the first birth experiences of women born in 1946, for instance, the
covariate influence does not lie in their current education, residence or socio-
economic status at the time of the survey. Rather, it depends on the values of
these variables at the time when they were ‘at risk’ of experiencing the demo-
graphic event (e.g. education status at time of marriage).
Finally, understanding how individuals plan their future life course in light of
the present and probabilistic future takes us into the field of projections and
micro-simulation. In this type of analysis, life history transition probabilities
from the present are used to simulate or project future partnership, fertility, and
workforce or migration scenarios of the future. Based on alternative scenarios
and on current developments in rates of the social processes under study (e.g.
marriage, divorce, fertility rates), a model is projected. This model then poten-
tially estimates the future life courses of individuals, households or population
groups (Willekens, 1990).
Conclusion
ing temporal data. Second, memory problems should be examined not only for
the timing of events, but for the extent of missing temporal data for types of
events and specific respondents. Third, quantitative life course research should
not only be ‘quantitative’. To fully realize ways that time is perceived and
reported, prior qualitative or ethnographic research may be necessary. This
means focusing on respondents’ and researchers’ everyday perceptions and
assumptions regarding time and the life course. From this ontological under-
standing, a more efficient and reliable epistemological tool, such as an ethno-
graphic approach or life history calendar, can be honed for each context. In
addition to qualitative research, external sources of data, such as family or
registrar’s records, could be used to trigger respondents’ memories of the true
timing of events. Finally, although innovative methods of data collection and
analysis have been introduced, researchers too often rely on classic measure-
ment of age, cohort, period or clock and calendar time. The approach should
therefore move beyond ‘fixing’, or arbitrarily dividing the data into convenient
categories, to trying to understand the underlying interplay between tempo-
rality, our epistemological approach and the life course.
The main intent of this article was to heighten awareness of the ontological
impact of temporality for life course researchers. I have also tried to identify the
strengths and gaps, translating awareness into new research possibilities.
Temporality needs to be introduced at multiple levels from the cosmic to the
individual’s conscious cognition. The force of temporality is also present at all
points in research, from the reflexive perception of time in different contexts to
research hypotheses, data gathering and development of a statistical model. In
addition to presenting traditional temporal influences such as natural, biological
and psychological, historical and social time, aspects less often addressed by
quantitative approaches were presented. These included the importance of
cultural conceptions of time and distinct temporal experience by groups of indi-
viduals such as women and men or workers and non-workers. Furthermore, it is
essential to recognize explicitly that institutional calendars shape many of our
activities. Through a detailed exploration of these timetables, it is clear that
seemingly arbitrary dates, such as the year of the Tiger or the coming of the
millennium, might have a tangible influence on life course construction. The
religious, family, educational, production and gendered experience of institu-
tional time can likewise influence one’s social accessibility, which is centred on
the daily divisions of public and private time.
Equally, too rarely is the link made between theoretical notions of time and
the epistemological approach of the data and methodology. The timing of data
collection and the ontological reality of respondents and researchers require
unique data collection methods, such as ethnographic interviews, life history
calendars and use of external records to verify data or serve as mnemonic
devices. In addition, not only the sex or age of the respondent, but also the type
07_Mills 2/2/2000 2:55 pm Page 122
Notes
The research was made possible through a Doctoral Fellowship from the Social Sciences
and Humanities Research Council of Canada. I would also like to thank Frans Willekens,
the anonymous reviewers, and particularly Mike Crang for their helpful comments on an
earlier draft of this paper.
are defined by the reported or registered event of a wedding. Consensual unions are
unmarried, intimate sexual partners sharing the same household (i.e. distinct from
merely co-residence). Aspects of fertility relate to reported or registered births and
social, cultural and biological matters associated with sexuality and conception.
3. National Family Health Survey, 1992–93, initiated by the Ministry of Health and
Family Welfare in India and coordinated by the International Institute for Population
Sciences in Mumbai, India.
4. Nishimoto Ikuko (1997) described how in 1873 the Japanese adopted, as opposed to
accommodating, western time measurement by assuming the 24-hour day and
Gregorian calendar.
5. Taken from the Everything 2000 Millennium Mom website,
http://www.everything2000.com/life/millenniummoms
6. For a more detailed description of the Lexis diagram in relation to marital unions, see
Willekens (1987).
7. These include rectangularity, linearity, Whipple’s, Myers’ Blended (1940), Bachi
(1951), Carrier (1959), Ramachandran (1965), and the United Nations (1967) age-
accuracy Indices (in Shryock and Seigal, 1976: 116–18).
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