就職の統計的ジェンダ 果―

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3OCIOLOGICAL 4HEORY AND -ETHODS  6OL .O 



 






0HELPS  

0HELPS  4HUROW 

"ECKER  


 
 -
- 

パネル1:女性の労働力率 パネル2:男性の労働力率

100.0 100.0
90.0 90.0
80.0 80.0
70.0 70.0
60.0 60.0
50.0 50.0 2003年
40.0 40.0 2008年
30.0 30.0 2013年
20.0 20.0
10.0 10.0
0.0 0.0
20~24
25~29
30~34
35~39
40~44
45~49
50~54
55~59
60~64
65~69
15~19歳

70歳以上

25~29

35~39

45~49

55~59

65~69
15~19歳
20~24

30~34

40~44

50~54

60~64

70歳以上

注:総務省 労働力調査をもとに作成





2 + -ERTON 

 
 #OATE AND 2OULY 














t Nt 2Nt t t 

   Kt

Nt
EMPLOYMENT RATE emt eft m
f qmt qft t QUIT
Qmt Qft t



   
 

Um qmt t Uf qft

c
c
b b
c t






t pt  pmt pft pmt pft
PRIORITY



pt
      

Vpt pt
Um qmt Uf qft

qt
 Qt 1



pt 

 Qm0  Qf 0




pmt pft pmt  
pft  

Kt


emt eft Kt  Nt emt eft

 Kt  2Nt

Nt  Kt


Nt



 A D

の 率
A 共稼ぎ世帯 P (A ) = e mt e ft
B 男性稼ぎ手の片稼ぎ世帯 P (B ) = emt (1 - e ft)
C 女性稼ぎ手の片稼ぎ世帯 P (C ) = (1 - emt )eft
D 稼ぎ手なし世帯 P (D ) = (1 - e mt )(1 - eft )








7," 7,"



7,"  

共稼ぎ世帯 1 3
片稼ぎ世帯 2 2
稼ぎ手なし世帯 0 0

共稼ぎ世帯 共稼ぎ世帯 片稼ぎ世帯 稼ぎ手なし世帯


片稼ぎ世帯 片稼ぎ世帯 稼ぎ手なし世帯
稼ぎ手なし世帯 稼ぎ手なし世帯

 7," 7,"

7,"

D


 7,"







 HOUSEHOLD




A C D

A 

A  

  
 
B C







   
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 Vpt

Vpt

b c Um qmt Uf qft qft qmt


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pt  

pt     

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Nt

A B
C D



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A
 B
C

Hj   7,"
 

H(A ) 1/2 0
H(B ) 0 0
H ( C) 0 0

パネル : 男性成 の 率 パネル : 女性成 の 率


1 1

1 - ef 1 - ef
H(B) = 0

ef ef
H(A) = 1/2 H(A) = 1/2 H(C) = 0

0 em 1 - em 1 0 em 1 - em 1
1 WLB
2








p    em1  ef 1
  qm1  qf 1

Qm1  Qf 1


qm1  qf 1  Qm0 Qf 0 p   
 Vp1

7,"


  

Nt  Kt  2Nt  emt   eft  


ef t A
 eft
B HB  
ef t B


1 - ef

H(B) = 0

ef

H(A) = 1/2

em = 1











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a



apmt pf t  


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a b c   emt ef t

 



a b c

  A
   



HA 7," 7,"



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HA
7," 7,"
7,"

7," 

 

パネル : の パネル : の

1 - ef
H(B) = 0
1 - ef H(B) = 0

ef
H(A) = 1/2
ef H(A) = 0
男女
の 男性 の
率の男女 も 率の男女

em = 1 em = 1



emt eft  

 


b c b
nc




a



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7,"


7,"

7,"
7,"




7,"

7,"


*303 

  
 


    

A B
    


 


     
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Qm1  Qf1
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"ECKER 'ARY 3  (UMAN #APITAL ! 4HEORETICAL AND %MPIRICAL !NALYSIS WITH 3PECIAL 2EFERENCE TO %DUCATION
ND EDITION .EW 9ORK .ATIONAL "UREAU OF %CONOMIC 2ESEARCH
#OATE 3TEPHEN AND 'LENN # ,OURY  7ILL !FFIRMATIVE !CTION 0OLICIES %LIMINATE .EGATIVE 3TEREOTYPES
!MERICAN %CONOMIC 2EVIEW    
   

 

  

   


  

  
-ERTON 2OBERT +  3OCIAL 4HEORY AND 3OCIAL 3TRUCTURE .EW 9ORK &REE 0RESS 


  
0HELPS %DMUND 3  4HE 3TATISTICAL 4HEORY OF 2ACISM AND 3EXISM !MERICAN %CONOMIC 2EVIEW  
 
 
  


   

  
   


4HUROW ,ESTER #  'ENERATING )NEQUALITY -ECHANISMS OF $ISTRIBUTION IN THE 53 %CONOMY .EW 9ORK "ASIC
"OOKS  

  
A  
  HTTPWWWRIETIGOJPJPPAPERSCONTRIBUTIONYAMAGUCHIHTML
B 
 

     

4HE 3ELF FULlLLING 0ROPHECY IN 3TATISTICAL 'ENDER $ISCRIMINATION


)TS "ASIC -ECHANISM AND THE %FFECTS OF $IVERSITY 0OLICIES

*UN .!)4/
4OKYO -ETROPOLITAN 5NIVERSITY
'RADUATE 3CHOOL OF (UMANITIES
  -INAMI /SAWA (ACHIOJI SHI 4OKYO   *!0!.

)N THIS STUDY ) AIM TO CLARIFY THE SOCIAL MECHANISM OF THE SELF FULFILLING PROPHECY IN STATISTICAL
DISCRIMINATION AGAINST WOMEN THAT FEMALE APPLICANTS ARE CONFRONTED WITH IN THEIR JOB SEARCHES 4HE ANALYSES
USING A SIMPLE FORMAL MODEL REVEAL THE FOLLOWING RESULT )N A SOCIETY WHERE WORKERS CANNOT ACHIEVE WORKnLIFE
BALANCE SO MUCH SO THAT DUAL CAREER FAMILIES HAVE LOWER WELL BEING THAN SINGLE EARNER FAMILIES IF THE RATIO
OF JOB OPENINGS TO APPLICANTS IS LESS THAN ONE THEN EMPLOYERS STATISTICAL DISCRIMINATION BASED ON THE BELIEF
THAT WOMEN ARE MORE LIKELY THAN MEN TO GIVE UP THEIR CAREERS CONSEQUENTLY CAUSES THE PROBABILITY OF WOMEN
S EARLY RETIREMENT TO BE HIGHER THAN THAT OF MEN S RETIREMENT WHICH EVENTUALLY REPRODUCES THE STATISTICAL FACT
THAT WOMEN S TURNOVER IS HIGHER THAN MEN S .EXT ON THE BASIS OF THIS RESULT ) TRY TO SPECIFY THE SOCIO ECONOMIC
FACTORS THAT MAKE EMPLOYERS CHOOSE THE EQUAL TREATMENT OF MEN AND WOMEN RATHER THAN DISCRIMINATORY
TREATMENTS "Y CONSIDERING THE MEANING OF THESE FACTORS WE CAN CLEARLY UNDERSTAND HOW DIVERSITY POLICIES SUCH
AS THE IMPROVEMENT OF WORKnLIFE BALANCE AND THE IMPLEMENTATION OF WORK SHARING CAN STOP THE REPETITION OF
STATISTICAL DISCRIMINATION

+EYWORDS AND PHRASES SELF FULlLLING PROPHECY STATISTICAL DISCRIMINATION GENDER EQUALITY WORKnLIFE BALANCE

2ECEIVED $ECEMBER    !CCEPTED !PRIL  



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