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    HW4 ContinuousProbabilityDistributions

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    HW4 ContinuousProbabilityDistributions

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    HW4 ContinuousProbabilityDistributions

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    CHEE 3334 Statistical/Numerical Techniques for Chemical Engineers

    Spring Semester 2024


    Instructor: Dr. Hasan Zerze
    TA: Zhiyin Niu
    Homework 4 – Continuous Probability Distributions
    Due date: 02 / 29 / 2024

    %Score = [30 + (Number of correct answers) x 5]


    Note there are 14 Multiple Choice (MC) Questions below.

    Problem 1. A parabolic satellite dish reflects signals to the dish’s focal point. An
    antenna designer analyzed signals transmitted to a satellite dish and obtained the
    æ 1 2ö
    probability density function f ( x ) = c ç1 - x ÷ for 0 < x < 2 , where X is the
    è 16 ø
    distance (in meters) from the centroid of the dish surface to a reflection point at which
    a signal arrives. Determine the following:
    (a) Value of c that makes f ( x ) a valid probability density function
    A) 0.28 B) 0.55 C) 2.3 D) 0.84 E) None of these

    (b) P ( X £ 0.4 ) = ?
    A) 0.22 B) 0.38 C) 0.64 D) 0.83 E) None of these

    (c) P(0.1 < X < 0.4) = ?

    A) 0.08 B) 0.16 C) 0.32 D) 0.48 E) None of these

    Problem 2. A test instrument needs to be calibrated periodically to prevent


    measurement errors. After some time of use without calibration, it is known that the
    probability density function of the measurement error is f ( x ) = 1.0 (1 - 0.5x ) for
    0 < x < 2.0 millimeters. Note that x is the absolute value of the measurement error.

    (a) If the measurement error within 0.5 millimeters is acceptable, what is the probability
    that the error is not acceptable and the instrument needs calibration?
    A) 0.258 B) 0.372 C) 0.417 D) 0.563 E) None of these

    (b) What is the value of measurement error that will be exceeded with probability 0.3
    before the instrument is recalibrated?
    A) 0.201 B) 0.810 C) 0.905 D) 0.773 E) None of these
    (c) What is the probability that the measurement error is exactly 0.21millimeters before
    calibration?
    A) 0.30 B) 0.20 C) 0.10 D) 0 E) None of these

    Problem 3. The waiting line at a popular bakery shop can be quite long. Suppose that
    the waiting time in minutes has probability density function f ( x ) = 0.1× e
    -0.1× x
    .
    Determine the following:
    (a) The cumulative distribution function, F ( x ) =?
    A) 𝑒 !".$% B) 1 − 𝑒 !".$% C) 1 − 0.1𝑒 !".$%

    D) 0.1𝑒 !".$% E) None of these

    (b) Probability that a customer waits more than 20 minutes:


    A) 0.135 B) 0.270 C) 0.405 D) 0.540 E) None of these

    (c) Probability that a customer waits less than 4 minutes:


    A) 0.11 B) 0.33 C) 0.55 D) 0.77 E) None of these

    Problem 4. The coverage of a base station of a telecommunication company forms a


    disk with a radius of R (kilometers). Let X be the distance of a cellphone from a base
    station. Assume that the location of cellphones in use are randomly uniformly
    distributed within the disk. Calculate the mean and variance for the random variable.
    (For this problem, you may need to do research about what random uniform
    distribution means. Within the scope of this problem, the probability to find a
    cellphone within a small unit square area around any point can be taken equal to the
    one within a unit square around another point. In other words, the probabilities are
    uniformly distributed, but area-wise)

    Mean, E ( X ) = ?

    & ( $ (
    A) ' 𝑅 B) ' 𝑅 C) & 𝑅 D) & 𝑅 E) None of these

    Variance, V ( X ) = ?

    $ $ $ $
    A) ( 𝑅( B) ) 𝑅( C) $*
    𝑅( D) & 𝑅( E) None of these

    Problem 5. (In this problem, you may need to use a table for Cumulative Standard
    Normal Distribution. You can either use Appendix Table III of your textbook, or find
    such a table in the internet or write a code or use a spreadsheet to calculate
    cumulative standard normal distribution to use throughout this class, and particularly
    for this problem). A credit card company monitors cardholder transaction habits to
    detect any unusual activity. Suppose that the dollar value of unusual activity for a
    customer in a month follows a normal distribution with mean $250 and variance $391.

    (a) What is the probability of $250 to $300 in unusual activity in a month?


    A) 0.4349 B) 0.4943 C) 0.5953 D) 0.6369 E) None of these

    (b) What is the probability of more than $300 in unusual activity in a month?
    A) 0.0057 B) 0.021 C) 0.057 D) 0.21 E) None of these

    (c) Suppose that 10 customer accounts independently follow the same normal
    distribution. What is the probability that at least one of these customers exceeds $300 in
    unusual activity in a month?
    A) 0.358 B) 0.258 C) 0.158 D) 0.0558 E) None of these

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