AL-wesabi2022 Article AReviewOfYemenSCurrentEnergySi
AL-wesabi2022 Article AReviewOfYemenSCurrentEnergySi
AL-wesabi2022 Article AReviewOfYemenSCurrentEnergySi
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Environmental Science and Pollution Research
an appropriate policy framework to attract large-scale pri- Under the influence of global warming and climate
vate investors and improve its performance is complex and change, a large number of renewable energy potential
arduous. There are, of course, several important factors assessment studies have been carried out all over the world
in other countries’ sector reforms that can provide use- (El-katiri 2014; Nematollahi et al. 2016; Akuru et al. 2017;
ful benchmarks. However, the unique disadvantage con- Nugroho et al. 2017; Singh et al. 2017; Kaya et al. 2017;
fronted by Yemen is to improve government performance Bulut and Muratoglu 2018; Islam et al. 2018; Aguirre-
which has been a major obstacle to the restructuring efforts Mendoza et al. 2019; Ocon and Bertheau 2019; Fodhil et al.
and this has led to Yemen’s energy bankruptcy which is 2019; Kougias et al. 2019; Mubaarak et al. 2021). These
caused by massive institutional and governance failures studies can be used in a variety of applications that can
(JIC 2010). electrify remote areas (Mandal et al. 2018; Al-Dousari et al.
Renewable energy is the alternative method for achieving 2019), islands (Mekonnen and Sarwat 2017; Surroop and
clean energy production in many countries. Due to environ- Raghoo 2018), telecommunications (Weir 2018), and water
mental problems, restrictions on fossil fuel supply, changes desalination (Khan et al. 2017). The USA (Padrón et al.
in prices, and technologies, many developing countries, 2019) studied the potential of renewable energy while taking
including Yemen, are considering using renewable energy socioeconomic factors into account. This study found that
sources like solar and wind to address power shortages by 2050, greenhouse gas emissions will be reduced by 40%
and distribution while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. and 17%, respectively, as the proportion of renewable energy
Renewable energy in the form of solar or wind energy has increases. China is the country with the largest energy con-
proved to be cost-effective and profitable for a long time sumption and carbon dioxide emissions in the world, and
(Timmons et al. 2018; Alkipsy et al. 2020). It is estimated its renewable energy potential has been reassessed in Kelly
that by 2050, renewable energy will account for 63% of the et al. (2019). Research shows that wind power and hydro-
total global energy supply, and combining renewable energy power technology is relatively mature and low cost, which
with high energy efficiency can reduce greenhouse gas emis- makes them the priority of development in present and near
sions by 94% (Gielen et al. 2019). The International Energy future. With the support of the national strategy, solar energy
Agency (IEG) sustainable development scenario (SDS) will develop rapidly, while biomass energy and geothermal
in 2018 points out that to achieve the long-term climate energy are expected to develop rapidly with a good resource
goals, the average capacity of renewable energy needs to guarantee.
increase by more than 300 GW per year up to 2030. The Kumar et al. (2022) discussed the accomplishments, poli-
total installed capacity of renewable energy power genera- cies, efforts, and future potential of the agricultural industry
tion reached 181GW by 2018 and 200 GW by 2019. By the based on solar technology. In addition, the article elabo-
end of 2019, the proportion of renewable energy in global rately elucidated each solar-based agricultural system with
power generation has increased to 27.3%, which is expected its challenges and opportunities in the current scenario,
to increase to 85% by 2050, and the carbon dioxide emis- while Afrane et al. (2022) conducted a bibliometric analysis
sions of the whole power generation industry will decrease on research documents collected from the Web of Science
by 85% (Alganahi et al. 2009; IEA 2018; IRENA 2018; Core Collection to discover trends and characteristics of the
Gielen et al. 2019; REN21. 2020). renewable energy knowledge area in Africa from 1999 to
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2021. However, the study in Solaymani (2021) examined hybrid renewable energy systems” covered the various con-
trends in energy consumption, policies, and development figurations of renewable micro-grid energy systems includ-
of renewable energies, as well as the causal link between ing PV and wind turbine (WT) for electrifying a diverse
renewable and non-renewable energies and economic growth range of consumers. “Conclusions and recommendations”
utilizing two techniques. In addition, the study in Shahzad summarizes the conclusions and recommendations.
et al. (2022) aimed to identify and prioritize the obstacles
that entrepreneurs face in developing RE projects in Paki-
stan. Finally, the review in Yoro et al. (2021) critically The energy in Yemen
assessed current achievements in energy modeling and sim-
ulation, with limited insights into its methodologies, prob- According to the literature, the development of renewable
lems, and opportunities in a few renewable and sustainable energy at the national level involves at least the four key
energy systems (RSES). In addition, the idea of model vali- categories listed as follows: (A) energy consumption; (B) the
dation in RSES is thoroughly examined using both in-sample current situation of power plants, transmission, and distribu-
and out-of-sample techniques, with prospective data sources tion networks; (C) the current energy types and proportion
for model validation in RSES being emphasized. of power supply in Yemen; (D) heavy fossil fuel costs; every
This research contributes to previous knowledge in four category comprises some aspects, which are discussed in
distinctive ways as follows: detail below.
1. This study reviews Yemen’s electricity and energy sector Energy consumption
before and after the onset of the conflict that began in
2015 and presents the current state of power generation, Yemen has recently experienced a severe power shortage,
transmission, and distribution systems in the country by unable to meet the power needs of its population and infra-
assessing the negative impact in the electricity sector structure. In 2009, the installed power capacity was about
caused by the ongoing conflict. 1.6 GW, while, in fact, the power supply gap was about 0.25
2. This study investigates the factors that promote the GW. The power development plan (PDP) forecasts and esti-
expansion of renewable energy technologies at the rural mates the capacity demand of 3.5 GW in 2020. In 2011,
and national levels in Yemen, as well as the challenges electricity capacity fell to less than 70% of total capacity
that impede the development of renewable energy tech- due to anti-government demonstrations, oil pipeline strikes,
niques and recommends modern tools to meet Yemen’s and the evacuation of foreign workers. This was the worst
current and future needs. in 2015 when the situation in Yemen turned into internal
3. This study provides detailed discussion of the various and external conflict (Al-Shetwi 2021). Now, it is speculated
strategic scenarios appropriate for achieving adequate that the situation in Yemen will not improve, so the country
electrification for the Yemeni population, with a particu- needs to plan alternative energy infrastructure (Al Asbahi
lar focus on the proposed strategy to electrify the entire et al. 2020). The sustainable transition from fossil fuels can
urban and rural Yemeni population by 2050. be achieved by installing clean energy projects in the State
4. Finally, this study connects renewable energy to sus- Grid, such as wind power, hydropower, solar photovoltaic,
tainable rural expansion by examining whether current and biomass systems. Yemen is facing serious energy prob-
renewable energy resources can meet the future energy lems, such as circulation obligations, line losses, obsolete
needs. transmission lines, and electricity theft among the rural pop-
ulation (71%), resulting in 8–10 h of power shortage. If we
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: “The set aside wars and conflicts, which we hope will end soon,
energy in Yemen” represents the energy in Yemen. “The and focus on the real obstacles to Yemen’s power generation,
development prospect of potential renewable energy in we will encounter how to find the best solution to this prob-
Yemen, Middle East, and Africa region” addresses the devel- lem (Xiaohui 2016). One of the great challenges and hal-
opment prospect of potential renewable energy in Yemen, lows of Yemen’s electricity is its total dependence on fossil
Middle East, and Africa region. “Challenges of energy and fuels, including diesel, heavy crude oil (mazot), and lique-
renewable energy development in Yemen” addresses the fied natural gas (LNG). Due to environmental and economic
challenges encountered in the energy and renewable energy considerations, these resources have attracted much attention
development in Yemen. “Proposed strategy and solutions to (Energy and Renewable Profile 2004; Ministry of Electricity
electrify the population of Yemen using RES by 2050” intro- 2012; Jahangiri et al. 2016). Besides, Yemen’s geographical
duces the proposed strategy and solutions to electrify the composition of rural areas poses other challenges to power
entire Yemeni population using RES (renewable energy sys- distribution. The rural population makes up about 75% of the
tem) by 2050, while “Configuration and design of proposed total population, but only 23% of the population has access
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Fig. 2 The main electricity consumption is household Fig. 3 The main electricity consumption by sectors
to electricity. Due to the lack of continuous power supply, energy supply in Yemen, while in 2017, oil made up about
industrial activities are very weak, and the main electricity 76% of the total primary energy supply, and natural gas
consumption is household, as shown in Fig. 2. about 16%. Oil and gas are the largest suppliers of fuel for
The sustainability of the energy system can be assessed power plants (Sufian 2019). However, given the recent lack
using macroeconomic energy indicators, such as average of oil due to the situation in Yemen, as well as the scarcity
annual energy consumption and energy intensity. Accord- of natural gas during the cold season, the primary difficulty
ing to the International Energy Agency, in 2000, oil made of power generation during these seasons is to provide fuel
up 98.4% of the total primary energy supply in Yemen with for power plants. The power generation industry has been
the remainder comprising biofuels and waste (International severely harmed by this reliance on oil and natural gas, and
Energy Agency). Natural gas and coal were introduced into the development of the power grid has been stifled. As a
the energy mix around 2008, and wind and solar energies result, these issues are the primary motivations for shifting
were added around 2015. In 2017, oil made up about 76% energy production to renewable sources.
of the total primary energy supply, natural gas about 16%,
biofuels and waste about 3.7%, wind and solar energies etc. The main generating power plants of electricity
about 1.9%, and coal about 2.4%. According to the Inter-
national Energy Agency report, the final consumption of Currently, the power plant and transmission lines in Yemen
electricity in Yemen in 2017 was 4.14 TWh. This figure have suffered from severe losses, and the power supply has
was also broken down by sectors, with transport consum- become a national power grid constantly threatened by a
ing 891 kiloton of oil equivalent (ktoe) (39.5%), residential total collapse due to the destruction of factories and trans-
804 ktoe (35.6%), industry 320 ktoe (14.2%), commercial mission lines. Some of the power plants are prone to col-
and public services 105 ktoe (4.7%), agriculture and forestry lapse completely due to continuous attacks, and the other
41 ktoe (1.8%), and non-energy use 7 ktoe (0.3%), and 88 reason is lack of maintenance (Al-Shabi Mohammed 2014).
ktoe (3.9%) unspecified. Electricity consumption was 0.15 Yemen is experiencing a severe shortage of several gigawatts
MWh/capita in 2017 (Sufian 2019). Figure 3 depicts the of electricity, according to the Yemen Public Electricity Cor-
major electricity consumption by sectors. This demonstrates poration (YPEC), which is a semi-independent arm of the
Yemen’s significant challenges in optimizing the use of oil Yemen Ministry of Electricity and Energy (YMEE) (World
and gas resources, raising concerns about unbalanced and Bank 2009). As shown in Fig. 4, Yemen also has four major
unsustainable energy systems that could lead to unsustain- energy production stations, according to the same source: (1)
able development. As a result, it has an impact on a wide Ma’rib gas station in Marib being the largest with a power
range of social, economic, and environmental development, generation capacity of 350–400 MW, (2) Alhuso gas station
such as livelihoods, water use, agricultural productivity, in Aden, (3) Mokha gas station in Taiz, and (4) Alkaseb gas
health, population levels, education, and gender-related station in Hodeida, as well as Yemen has a 132 kV main
issues (Afsharzade et al. 2016). grid, as shown in Fig. 4. In Ma’rib, east of Sana’a, a new
gas-fired power plant was completed in 2010 and connected
Current situation of the power system in Yemen to the main grid via Bani Hoshish’s 400 kV double circuit
transmission line, and a second 400 kV transmission line
As mentioned earlier, according to the International Energy from Ma’rib to the 132 kV substation at Damar, south of
Agency, in 2000, oil made up 98.4% of the total primary Sana’a, is proposed and there is also a smaller grid in the
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Middle East of the country, with an isolated grid around Rural and urban households have unequal access to elec-
Sada city (Arab Union of Electricity 2015). tricity. Although the rural population accounts for about
Yemen’s electricity mainly depends on oil-fired power 75% of the total population, only about 23% of the popu-
plants: 684 MW of diesel power, 495 MW of steam power, lation has access to electricity, while the urban population
and 340 MW of natural gas power. In 2015, the total accounts for about 85%. Although the electricity supply
installed capacity of the state grid was 1519 MW. The power rate is low, only about half of these people are connected
plant generates power at different voltages of 10.5 kV, 11kv, to the public grid, and the other half are supplied from
13.8 kV, and 15 kV, and then improves the voltage level to other private sources, including diesel generators (which
33 kV, 132 kV, and 400 kV. The medium voltage level of usually operate for several hours for lighting) and low-
33 kV is used to transfer power from the substation to the intensity appliances. Non-grid electrified rural house-
demand site. The distribution network uses 11 kV power holds are using alternative lighting, including kerosene
transmission to the distribution transformer. The nominal lamps (about 67%) and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG)
frequency of the grid is 50 Hz. Figure 4 shows Yemen’s lamps (about 5%), which have a serious impact on the
transmission network with all power stations and substations environment (NECRA. Lmt. 2010).
(Sufian 2010). In August 2013, Yemen began construction Figure 5 depicts the power supply and demand balance,
of a new 400 MW (Ma’rib II) gas-fired power generation and the balance of the reserve fund is 20%. The goal of
facility, which is scheduled to start operation at the end of system reliability is to assume that 48 h of the load is
2014, but was delayed to the recent years due to the recent lost per hour. The gap between supply and demand was
security turmoil (Economic Consulting Associates Limited estimated to be about 500 MW in 2013. The latest power
2009; Arab Union of Electricity 2015; U.S. 2017; Rawea development plan (2009–2020) predicted that the total
and Urooj 2018). Table 1 shows the capacity of Yemen’s capacity demand will reach 3102 MW in the next decade,
main power plants. with an annual growth rate of 10%. Yemen relies on fossil
fuels for most of its electricity supply, including mazot,
Power supply and demand balance forecast diesel, and most recently LPG, 79.91% of electricity from
oil fuels of installed capacity, 20% of electricity from
Yemen has the lowest electricity access rate (40% of the natural gas fuel, and 0.09% of electricity from renewable
population), compared with about 85% in the region. energy (Sufian et al. 2017).
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Table 1 (continued)
Station No. of units No. of Type of Fuel used Fuel’s trans- Total Total avail- Manufacturer Date of
available genera- port installed able capacity installation
units tion capacity (MW)
(MW)
2,000 2
1
0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
0
Years
Demand (MW) Demand + 20% (MW)
Installed Capacity (MW) Investment required (MW)
Fig. 5 Electricity supply–demand balance for Yemen Fig. 6 Peak demand forecast for main interconnected grid GW
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Mton CO2
20
Wind Wind turbines 180 2012 to 2014
10
0
recommended a viable solution: moving the electrical sec-
tor away from centralization and toward decentralization.
First, technically and institutionally, the power system Year
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Table 3 Yemen’s renewable Renewable energy resources The theoretical poten- The technical potential
energy resource tial (MW)
Gross technical poten- Practical techni-
tials (MW) cal potentials
(MW)
Ministry of Electricity and Energy “Renewable Energy Strategy and Action Plan Study Report,” 2008
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Even before the conflict in 2015, most of Yemen’s popula- Yemen belongs to the global sun-belt with average sunshine
tion was deprived of basic electricity services. Yemen has 9–11 h/day throughout the year, that is, equal to more than
the lowest electricity access rate in the Middle East and 4000 h yearly, and the peak sun hour (PSH) reaches 5–6 h,
North Africa. The power obtained from the grid or off-grid that is, equal to 2000–2200 h yearly, which makes the less
sources is estimated to be 40 to 60% (MOEE). In 2014, cost of power than any other country with less PSH, with
Yemen’s per capita electricity consumption was 217 kWh, also average solar radiation being between 450 and 550 cal/
less than one-sixth of the regional average. The power sup- cm2/day. That equals 5.2–6.8 kW/m2/day or 18.9–23.1 MJ/
ply is estimated to be 1520 MW in 2015. The demand is m2/day. According to a study of the solar energy potential in
seriously unbalanced and the supply capacity is 20% lower several cities in the Republic of Yemen (Sana’a, Hodeidah,
than the peak demand. Most grid-connected users suffer Bayhan, and Lahaj) (Alganahi et al. 2009; Alkholidi 2013)
from frequent load-shedding every day. Despite substantial and the maximum and minimum temperatures measured in
direct and indirect subsidies, the sector is unable to produce Yemen shown in Figs. 12 and 13, the findings suggested
the affordable, reliable, and adequate electricity needed to that Yemen’s favorable geographic location could encourage
sustain economic growth and to sustainably increase the Yemenis to use solar energy applications. On the other hand,
coverage of electricity services in rural areas (Sufian and the compatibility of potentials and demands, such as solar
Barra 2016). energy, is the most encouraging factor for implementing
As previously stated, solar energy has the highest total
technical potential of the four renewable energy sources in
Yemen, but it is only second to wind energy in terms of
total practical potential. For over 3000 h of clear blue sky
per year, average solar radiation is around 18–26 MJ/m2/ 35 31.6 30.1 30.3
28.5 27.2 29.8 28.8
day, and the theoretical potential of concentrated solar power 30 25.3 25.9 25.5
23.9 24.1
25
(CSP) generation is about 2.5 million MW. Wind energy has
Temperature (oC)
20
a potential of 308,000 MW, while geothermal energy has a 11.9
14.1 14.8 15.2 13.4
15 9.6 11.1 11
potential of around 304,000 MW. However, Yemen’s current 10 6.2 7.2
energy mix is dominated by fossil fuels (about 99.91%), with 5
3.4 2
renewable energy accounting for only about 0.009%. The 0
national renewable energy and energy efficiency strategy,
on the other hand, sets goals, including a 15% increase in
renewable energy contribution to the power sector by 2025
Av Max Temp Av Min Temp
(Fig. 11).
99.91%
(a) (b)
Fig. 11 Share of renewable energy in energy mix in Yemen. a Current installed capacity in Yemen 2021. b Renewable energy strategy target for
Yemen 2025
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Fig. 15 The installed capacity and the electricity generation by the An investigation assessed that 2900 MW of force may be
solar system from 2010 to 2019 in Yemen accessible from geothermal sources. A fundamental over-
view in 1984 by the World Bank distinguished that there is
some geothermal potential toward the south of Sana’a; the
area in Taiz has good wind conditions in Yemen. According most encouraging of which is situated at Dhamar district
to Egyptian experts, it is estimated that 1.8 GW of electric- (100 km south of Sana’a). This asset is believed to be ade-
ity can be generated within 300 km2 of Al Mokha alone, quate to help a 50-MW plant and a definitive asset could be
14,200 MW providing about 42,300 GWh of electricity per between 250 and 500 MW. An understanding was endorsed
year (Al-ashwal 2005; Sufian et al. 2017). with an Icelandic organization to build up a 10-MW plant
Besides, based on the wind resource map, the technical on the site; however, the organization failed during the
potential for wind power at technically attractive sites in monetary emergency. Exploratory boring is currently being
Yemen (i.e., where more than 3000 full load hours (FLH) financed by the United Nations Environment Programme
could be generated or with a more than 35% capacity fac- (UNEP). Likewise, Yemen is indicated as one of the nation’s
tor) could generate 14,214 MW. And economically attractive having high heat flow. The heat flow mirrors the capability
sights in Yemen (i.e., where more than 3500 FLH could be of geothermal energy. The world guide of heat flow shows
generated or with a more than 40% CF) could generate about that Yemen and Italy have the equivalent capability of heat
2507 MW, which is about 8293 GWh of electricity per year. flow (60 mW/cm2). The complete limit of geothermal force
The total wind power potential is estimated to be 34GW. The introduced in Italy is more than 500 MW, which shows the
technical potential was estimated at 14,200 MW providing high capability of geothermal energy in Yemen. Further-
about 42,300 GWh of electricity per year (ESMAP. 2020). more, an additional examination might be done in two ways
Figure 16 shows the annual wind speed km/h in three big to facilitate the execution of the GeothermEx study and
cities of Yemen during all year’s months. It can be observed appraisal of geothermal energy in different territories in the
that the maximum wind speed in Sana’a, the capital of country (Al-ashwal 2005).
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sana'a 15.6 17.4 15.2 15.2 14.8 16.1 17.6 16.5 18.9 16.9 16.3 14.8
Aden 20.6 18.5 20.9 20 13.3 18.3 21.3 20.5 14.6 16.7 20 19.1
Taiz 12.4 14.6 16.1 17.2 17 18.3 21.7 17 17 14.4 14.4 13
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Proposed strategy and solutions to electrify population growth in Yemen by 2050. Yemeni households
the population of Yemen using RES by 2050 consist of an average of 7 individuals; the population map
for Yemen’s households and the projected growth until 2050
In this section, we will examine the various strategies for is calculated and presented in Table 5 and Fig. 19.
meeting Yemen’s power needs. This demand is calculated on
the basis of per capita consumption, which includes house- The expected electricity demand of Yemen’s
hold, industrial, agricultural, and commercial requirements. population by 2050
The required power, as well as its growth, will be forecasted
and mapped out until 2050. Yemen’s people are among the poorest in the world without
access to electricity. This poverty is the result of policies
Population map of the Republic of Yemen by 2050 and decisions to electronically map Yemen, and implement
and manage Yemen projects. According to the 2011 Annual
According to the population census for the year 2014 (Min- Report (PEC) issued by the Ministry of Electricity and
istry of Planning & International Cooperation and (CSO) Energy, the best year for electricity production from 2007 to
2004), annual statistical books of the Ministry of Planning 2011 is 2010. Table 6 shows the production of electricity and
and Statistics (Ministry of Planning & International Cooper- energy according to the results of the 2011 Annual Report.
ation and (CSO) 2011), and Towfick and Abdulraqib (2012), From the above data, the per capita electricity
the population forecast of the Republic of Yemen in 2050 (PEC + private purchase) is about 335 kWh/person/year,
is shown in Table 4. The migration of people from rural to that is, 918 Wh/person/day, which is very low, so the Yem-
urban areas is a problem that must be addressed. This is eni population is once again classified as a low-income
illustrated more clearly in Fig. 18 which shows the expected electricity user. If the above electric energy (918Wh)
is consumed within 10 h/day, it means that the electric
Table 4 Expected population growth of Republic of Yemen up to the Table 5 Expected growth of the Yemeni household population by
year 2050 (millions) 2050
Year Rural population Urban population Total popula- Year Rural household Urban household Total household
(millions) (millions) tion (millions) population (M) population (M) population (M)
100
50
0
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Year 2045
2050
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10
0
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Year
Table 6 The 2011 Annual Report of the production of electricity and 595.89 Wh/person/day and 60 W per capita power (Sufian
energy in Yemen 2019).
The production of electricity and energy in 2011 Value
Proposed strategies based on electrical energy
Electrical energy generated by PEC 6400.6 GWh demand
Electrical energy purchased from the private sector 1357.0 GWh
Total electrical energy generated 7757.6 GWh
Based on the electricity map for the Yemeni population as
Electrical energy transmitted to the distribution 7091.7 GWh
projected to 2050 and based on the least requirement, the
network
strategy of the three cases (minimum, medium, and rela-
Combined power generated by PEC 1526 MW
tively high demands) leads to the following projections in
Combined power of purchased energy 280 MW
Table 7. The strategy of case two is almost about 50% of the
Total electrical energy sold 5036 GWh
share of Tunisian/capita in the year 2014 and is almost about
Total population (Central Statistical Organization 23.154 M
CSO) 2.0 kWh/day/capita with a power of 200 W/capita.
Table 7 The strategy cases with the minimum, medium, and relatively high demand predictions
Cases Average expected electrical Average expected electrical Average expected electrical
energy (kWh/year/per capita) energy (kWh/day/per capita) energy (Wh/10 h/per capita)
https://www.energycharter.org/fileadmin/DocumentsMedia/Occasional/2019-Yemen_paper_final.pdf
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Table 8 Predicted electrical Year Total population Total energy consump- Total energy consump- Total power
energy consumption for case (millions) tion/day (GWh) tion/year (TWh) required (GW)
one
2015 28.83 31.75 11.59 3.171
2020 34.23 37.69 13.76 3.766
2025 40.62 44.73 16.33 4.469
2030 48.24 53.12 19.9 5.307
2035 57.31 63.10 23.04 6.305
2040 68.12 75.00 27.38 7.494
2045 80.89 89.1 32.53 8.898
2050 96.11 105.82 38.63 10.573
Table 9 Expected electrical Year Total population Total energy consump- Total energy consump- Total power
energy consumption for case (millions) tion/day (GWh) tion/year (TWh) required (GW)
two
2015 28.83 57.66 21.05 5.766
2020 34.23 68.46 24.99 6.846
2025 40.62 81.24 29.66 8.124
2030 48.24 99.48 35.22 9.648
2035 57.31 114.62 41.84 11.462
2040 68.12 136.24 49.73 13.624
2045 80.89 161.78 59.05 16.178
2050 96.11 192.23 70.16 19.223
Table 10 Expected electrical Year Total population Total energy consump- Total energy consump- Total power
energy consumption for case (millions) tion/day (GWh) tion/year (TWh) required (GW)
three
2015 28.83 115.32 42.10 11.532
2020 34.23 136.92 49.98 13.692
2025 40.62 162.48 59.31 16.248
2030 48.24 99.48 70.43 19.296
2035 57.31 229.24 83.68 22.924
2040 68.12 272.48 99.46 27.248
2045 80.89 323.56 118.1 32.356
2050 96.11 384.45 140.32 38.445
by 2050. Figures 20, 21, and 22 graphically illustrate the Electrical power generation in Yemen
expected increase in power consumption. Table 11 and from renewable energy resources wind and solar
Fig. 23 show the total power required for the three strate- by 2050
gic cases by 2050.
The minimum strategy shows that Yemen needs Electrical power is generated either from fossil fuels, which
about 3.766GW of power generation by 2020 and about are classified as unsustainable fuels, or from non-fossil fuels,
10.573GW by 2050 to maintain the minimum demand per which are classified as sustainable or renewable fuels. Using
capita. As of 2014, Yemen’s total installed power capac- non-renewable fuels to generate electricity has a number of
ity is about 1.50 MW. If it can recover after the conflict, drawbacks, including the following:
Yemen will need to immediately install another 2.266 MW
to meet the first strategic case, 5.346 MW to meet the sec- a. Using these fuels to generate electricity requires a lot of
ond strategic case, or about 12.20 MW to meet the third money for exploration activities or purchase, refining,
strategic case. refining, transportation, and storage;
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80 Total Energy
Consumption/day (GWh)
60
40 Total Energy
Consumption/year (TWh)
20
b. Converting these fuels into electricity will produce fuel resources at all. However, Yemen is fortunate to have
greenhouse gases and other environmental pollutants; a large number of sustainable fuel resources, such as wind
c. These fuel resources have a specific service life and then and solar energy. These resources are sufficient to gener-
are exhausted. The extracted fuel cannot be replenished ate enough electricity to meet the Yemeni people’s needs
in a year, a decade, or even a hundred years. for centuries. As shown in Table 12, the available poten-
tial energy of wind and solar power generation is about
Unsustainable fossil fuel power generation should be 52886 MW (52.886GW). Using sustainable energy to gen-
resumed only when there are no sustainable or insufficient erate electricity produces much fewer greenhouse gases
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Table 11 Expected electrical Year Total power required strategy Total power required strategy Total power required
power requirement for strategy case one (GW) case two (GW) strategy case three
cases 1, 2, and 3 (GW)
and environmental pollution than fossil fuels. Unproductive Table 12 The percentage (%) of total generating capacity from the
greenhouse gases (GHGs) can provide economic benefits for wind and solar resources expected to 2050
Yemen through carbon trading. Yemen will generate annual Year Strategy case one Strategy case two Strategy case three
revenue from carbon trading and the sale of unused fossil
fuels (such as oil and its by-products) and natural gas by 2015 6% 10.90% 21.81%
relying on renewable energy to generate electricity. 2020 7.12% 12.94% 25.89%
2025 8.45% 15.36% 30.72%
The total generating capacity of wind and solar energy is
2030 10.03% 18.24% 36.49%
18600 + 34,286 = 52886 MW (52.886GW). If this amount
2035 11.92% 21.67% 43.35%
is extrapolated to the above three strategic cases, Table 12
2040 14.17% 25.76% 51.52%
and Fig. 24 can be created, showing the percentage (%) of
2045 16.82% 30.59% 61.18%
total wind and solar power expected to be required by Yemen
2050 20% 36.35% 72.69%
according to strategic cases 1, 2, and 3.
Table 12 shows that according to strategy case three the
electrical power required in 2030 is 19.296GW (Table 11)
and the amount of wind and solar energy available is case one, the total power required by Yemen’s population
52.886GW, which means only about 36% will be used in 2030 is (5.307GW) and will only account for about 10%
to provide electricity for the whole Yemeni population. of the total available power of 52.886GW of wind and solar
Therefore, the remaining power of wind and solar energy is power, with the remaining power of 47.579GW. In each of
about 33.59GW and according to case two, the total power the three strategy scenarios in 2050, Table 12 shows the
required which is 9.648GW needed by the Yemeni popula- amount of power required for the Yemeni population that
tion in 2030 only accounted for about 18% of the total avail- can be connected to the national grid as a percentage (%) of
able power of 52.886GW of wind and solar power, and the the power estimated to be obtainable from wind and solar
remaining power is 43.238GW. As well as the strategy of energies.
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0%
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
The advantages of using renewable electricity include increase slowly. Strategy (1) is to supply 1.10 kWh/day/cap-
reduced emissions, reduced energy loss, reduced power lines ita. Strategy (2) is to supply 2 kWh/day/ capita, which is 50%
and equipment, and lower capital costs due to the use of lower of the average electrical energy/capita of other Arab coun-
capacity equipment (such as a transformer capacity reduction tries. Strategy (3) is to electrify 4 kWh/day/capita, which is
of 50 kW per MW installed). Renewable energy sources such about 50% of the world average electrical energy/capita. A
as wind, solar, and geothermal are abundant in Yemen. This total of 25% of the population in Yemen is in urban areas,
means that the country can develop large power generation and 75% is rural. Yemen has low electricity access, which
projects as well as decentralized systems to meet the energy about 85% urban and 23% rural population can access. The
needs of rural and remote communities. Renewable energy is government classified those people who live in the rural area
a rapidly evolving technology today. into four types based on the ability to access the national
In fact, we will focus on solar and wind energy as a solu- electricity grid. The first type has easy access to the grid,
tion for Yemen’s power sector in this work for several reasons: the second can access the grid with a slightly higher cost,
the third can access the grid with a high cost, and the fourth
• It is a source of energy that is both renewable and limitless. has a high cost and is difficult to access the grid. The study is
• Only 23% of Yemenis living in rural areas where the being developed to design various configurations of micro-
national grid system is unavailable in most villages have grid energy systems including PV and wind turbine (WT)
access to electricity; about 10–14% are connected to the for electrifying a diverse range of consumers in Yemen as
national grid system, and the rest are estimated to have shown in Fig. 25. The simulation results and discussions
access from other sources, such as a diesel generator or a of the two different configurations of the hybrid renewable
few solar panels. energy systems are introduced below.
• Yemen has one of the highest levels of solar radiation in the
world, increased solar irradiation availability throughout PV/BES on grid system
the year.
• Yemen has a long coastline and high altitudes of 3677 m Figure 26 depicts the first configuration of the consid-
above sea level, making it an ideal location for wind energy ered grid-connected hybrid PV/BES systems. The system
generation, with an estimated 4.1 h of full-load wind per consists of a PV array (PV gen.) interfaced to the DC bus
day. The wind energy can be converted into mechanical through a boost DC/DC converter with a maximum power
and electrical energy, and it could be a viable option for point tracking (MPPT) controller. The MPPT maximum was
bolstering the electricity power sector. It is important to implemented via the boost converter by means of a Sim-
note that this energy is a volatile source of energy. ulink model using the “Incremental Conductance + Integral
Regulator” technique (Al-Wesabi et al. 2022a) (Ibrahim
et al. 2020) (Farh et al. 2018). The voltage source converter
Configuration and design of proposed (VSC) facilitates the MPPT operation through regulation of
hybrid renewable energy systems the DC bus voltage as well as transfer of power from the DC
bus to the utility grid. In addition, the VSC provides syn-
As mentioned in Table 7, the Government of Yemen (GOY) chronization of the PV system with the grid during startup
has established long-term strategies in the energy sector, or reconnection after system islanding (Alturki et al. 2021)
considering the hypothesis that the economic and the GDP (Farh et al. 2020) (Al-Shamma’a et al. 2020).
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(a) (b)
As shown in Fig. 26, BES is used to enhance DC bus to the utility grid in which in this case the utility grid net-
voltage regulation where it is interfaced via a bidirectional work is based on a standard medium voltage distribution
buck-boost converter (BES conv.) that controls the charge/ system (Al-Wesabi et al. 2022b) (Farh and Eltamaly 2020).
discharge processes during severe operating conditions such Three cases are considered for analyzing the system
as abrupt changes in solar irradiation level and fault occur- performance under different test conditions and Standard
rences. From the VSC AC output terminals, the hybrid sub- Test Condition (STC). First, it is assumed that the 100 kW
system is connected to the utility grid at the PCC through PV solar system operates with 1000 W/m2 radiations and
a low-pass filter and an interconnection transformer that is 25 °C temperatures. Second the system is also tested under
represented by an inductor. These components are respon- 250 W/m2 radiations and 25 °C temperatures which gener-
sible for filtering harmonics and isolating the entire system ates 24.4 kW, and the system is also tested under 1000 W/
from the utility grid. The transformer steps up the voltage m2 radiations and 50 °C temperature as the third case to
level of the PV system from low level voltage to high level generate 92.9 kW. The model parameters are adjustable to
and vice versa. The PV/BES system injects total power, PG, work with various solar radiations. The simulation results of
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all cases are shown in Fig. 27. If PPV < Pload, in this case, the The PV power generation is maximum, that is, 400 W,
battery is discharged to provide the additional needed power as seen from Fig. 29, and wind power is maximum, that
to load, and the DC current output of the BES is indeed is, 400 W. Different powers—PV power, wind power, load
positive. The main grid also works normally to feed the load power and battery power changing with time (s) as obtained
deficit. But if PPV > Pload, then, the PV DC current output is from simulation—are shown in Fig. 29. It is analyzed from
higher, and the battery is in charging mode. Thus, the BESS the simulation results that power generation from PV and
current is negative with excess power to the utility grid. As wind system always meets the load demand.
the consequence of power feeding to the grid network, the
current amplitude of both the inverter and external grid is
higher in comparison to the case of PPV < Pload. Conclusions and recommendations
PV/WT and BES off grid system This paper provides detailed insight on the Yemeni national
energy profile, energy use, and energy services in rural
The PV/WT and BES off grid system shown in Fig. 28 areas. Furthermore, it shows the energy consumption
comprises of PV system, permanent magnet synchronous through transportation, electricity, and other different sec-
machine–based wind systems, and battery storage. The PV tors. It also provides basic information on electricity produc-
and wind systems have their own DC-DC buck converter tion, consumption, and consumer categories. In addition,
equipped with PID controller. The battery system has its this paper examines various renewable energy sources such
CCCV battery charger. The battery is charged or discharged as solar energy, wind energy, biomass, and geothermal in the
depending on the availability of excess or shortage of power. sampled nation. Furthermore, the study shows that Yemen is
The maximum power ratings of PV and wind systems con- rich in solar radiation and wind speeds, where all the regions
sidered here are 400 W and 400 W respectively and battery in the country are characterized by the availability of these
rating taken here is 373 W. The various components of the two resources. Additionally, this paper proposed three case
PV/WT and BES off grid system with the proposed control- strategies to electrify the entire Yemeni population (rural
ler are simulated in MATLAB/Simulink as shown in Fig. 29. and urban) by 2050. Finally, the study is developed to design
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Fig. 29 The simulation output results of off grid renewable energy systems
different configurations of off/on hybrid energy systems This study showed that Yemen could access sustainable,
including PV, WT, and battery for supply power to vari- clean, and renewable energy sources. It is logical that fossil
ous consumer categories in Yemen under three scenarios of fuels have better and more valuable applications than heat-
energy strategies. ing and lighting. Yemen, despite remaining a key supplier of
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Environmental Science and Pollution Research
crude oil and discovering and developing new oil reserves, The Public Electricity Cooperation (PEC) and the Min-
has adequate and strong incentives to explore renewable and istry of electricity and Energy (MOEE) are advised to pay
sustainable solutions. High gasoline costs are now having a attention to the following recommendations and ensure
significant impact on food prices and other macroeconomic that they are implemented to enable vision 2050 become
indices because of the conflict, and the government should a reality.
look for better ways to alleviate public discontent. Although
the government should strive to be a part of international • Improve the efficiency of the electric energy industry
agreements and environmental regulations, such as the by carrying out routine and periodical maintenance of
Kyoto and Paris agreements, to focus CO2 emissions reduc- the electricity sub-sectors (generation, transmission,
tion, there is still a commitment to reduce C O2 emissions and distribution)
and preparing Yemen’s infrastructure for clean energy use. • Providing necessary training and employing techni-
The future of renewable energies appears to be unclear in cal engineers, especially those with knowledge about
general, at least in terms of the efficiency of government generating electricity from renewable or sustainable
policies. Although certain policies appear to assist some primary energies
individuals more than others (for example, the usage of solar • Strive to achieve high reliability of the three sub-sec-
panels in remote rural regions), the overall prospects of these tors in all cases, especially the grid transmission net-
policies have been minimal. Now, renewable energy tech- work, so that Yemen can connect with the transmission
nologies do not play a significant or suitable part in Yemen’s network of neighboring countries
energy supply. This has also happened in another nation with • Increase power generation by building new power
abundant energy resources, i.e., Saudi Arabia (Amran et al. plants using natural gas, wind, geothermal, and solar
2020). The key obstacles to renewable energy development energy
in Yemen include the absence of appropriate and effective • Encourage investment in the electric power generation
government policies, international sanctions, and low public and power distribution sectors
awareness. • Develop enabling investment policies for the Yemeni
When the energy mix is examined more closely, the deci- power industry to encourage internal and external inves-
sion to use more fossil fuels, particularly natural gas, even tors
if they are less ecologically friendly, appears to contradict • Formulate policies to regulate electricity power genera-
the goal of lowering greenhouse gas emissions and under- tion and power supply
mining energy security. The current Yemeni policy for the • Prepare technical research to achieve future electrical
development of renewable energy sources can be considered interconnection with neighboring countries and realize
a step in the right direction, but a more active approach to sustainable power supply for consumers
developing potential renewable energies, such as biomass, is • Implementing strict control for household and industry
required. Under the current framework, the implementation appliances to achieve efficient and economic power con-
of solar, biomass, wind, and thermal exploitation techniques sumption.
can be facilitated in key government entities. Yemen, a
country with abundant fossil fuel resources, requires proper The proposed energy efficiency strategy is advised to be
regulations and guidelines for the future development of adhered to before investing into this sector. While imple-
renewable energy, as well as reduced international barri- menting the use of renewable energy, the main policy objec-
ers to the use of sophisticated technology and knowledge tives are as follows:
of other countries’ renewable energy experiences. At the
local level, it is necessary to invest a significant portion of • Optimize the utilization of domestic energy resources,
crude oil export profits in a variety of high potential renew- prevent the increased dependence on fossil fuel energy
able energy sources to prepare for a future without fossil imports in the future, and improve the security of energy
energy resources. To attract private investors, it is neces- supply (energy security),
sary to reduce energy subsidies, raise public awareness, and • Increase the share of renewable energy in power genera-
provide meaningful and appropriate incentives. Salam and tion (from the interconnected national power grid, to iso-
Khan (2018) also demonstrated that raising public awareness lated power grid, and to household level) by diversifying
through the media is critical for Saudi Arabia’s renewable the national energy structure.
energy development. The usage of a wind–solar hybrid plant • Improving the national environmental situation through
to generate both energy more effectively than single power greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction
plants is also recommended. Mohammed (2018) and March- • Ensuring sustainable rural development, and economic
enko and Solomin (2018) both proposed a hybrid renewable growth by promoting access to decentralized renewable
energy system for Iraq and Russia, respectively. energy conversion technologies that will be integrated
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Acknowledgements I would like to express my very great appreciation pects of the energy sector in Yemen ministry of electricity &
to Prof Fang Zhijian, Dr. Hassan M. Hussein Farh, Prof Khaled Ameur, energy. In Korea–Yemen Energy Forum
and Abdullrahman A. Al-Shamma’a for their valuable and construc- Al-Shamma’a AA, Alturki FA, Farh HMH (2020) Techno-economic
tive suggestions during the planning and development of this research assessment for energy transition from diesel-based to hybrid
work. Their willingness to give their time so generously has been very energy system-based off-grids in Saudi Arabia. Energy Transitions
much appreciated. 4:31–43. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41825-020-00021-2
Al-Shetwi AQ (2016) Design and economic evaluation of electrifica-
Author contribution Each of the authors made an equal contribution. tion of small villages in rural area in Yemen using stand-alone
Conceptualization: I.A.-W., Z.F; methodology: I.A.-W; software: I.A.- PV system. International Journal of Renewable Energy Research
W.; validation: Z.F. and C.P.B.; formal analysis, investigation: H.L.D; (IJRER) 6(1):289–298
resources: Z.F.; data curation: I.A.-W.; writing—original draft prepara- Al-Shetwi AQ, Hannan MA, Abdullah MA, Rahman MSA, Ker PJ,
tion: I.A.-W., Z.F. and C.P.B.; writing—review and editing: I.A.-W., Alkahtani AA, Muttaqi KM (2021) Utilization of Renewable
H.L.D.; visualization: H.L.D.; supervision: Z.F.; funding acquisition: Energy for Power Sector in Yemen: Current Status and Potential
Z.F. C.P.B was in charge of the overall formatting of the paper. The Capabilities. IEEE Access 9:79278–79292
paper has been read and approved by all authors. Al-Wesabi I, Fang Z, Farh HMH et al (2022a) Cuckoo search combined
with PID controller for maximum power extraction of partially
Funding The project was supported by the Open Funds for Hubei Key shaded photovoltaic system. Energies 15:2513. https://doi.org/10.
Laboratory of Marine Geological Resources, China University of Geo- 3390/en15072513
sciences, No. MGR202107. Al-Wesabi I, Fang Z, Wei Z, Dong H (2022b) Direct sliding mode
control for dynamic instabilities in dc-link voltage of standalone
Data availability On request, data will be made available. photovoltaic systems with a small capacitor. Electron 11. https://
doi.org/10.3390/electronics11010133
Al Asbahi AAMH, Fang ZG, Chandio ZA et al (2020) Assessing
Declarations barriers and solutions for Yemen energy crisis to adopt green
and sustainable practices: a fuzzy multi-criteria analysis. Envi-
Ethics approval and consent to participate Not applicable. ron Sci Pollut Res 27:36765–36781. https://doi.org/10.1007/
s11356-020-09700-5
Consent for publication Not applicable. Alganahi HS, Kamaruzzaman S, Mohamed A et al (2009) Experimen-
tal study of using renewable energy in Yemen. Aust J Basic Appl
Competing interests The authors declare no competing interests. Sci 3:4170–4174
Ali W, Alkadasi F, Khoday K (2014) Policy note prospects of solar
energy in Yemen. IOSR J Electr Electron Eng 4
Alkipsy EIH, Raju V, Kumar H (2020) A review of the challenges of
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