Data Dan Regresi Kebangsentralan - Kelompok 3

Kelompok 3 : HARGA ASET
VARIABEL YANG DIAMBIL

DEPENDENT : INFLASI
INDEPENDEN : INVESTASI,CAPITAL INFLOW, IHSG, NPL SEKTOR RUMAH TANGGA, NPL KREDIT KEPEMILIKAN PR
JUDUL :
PENGARUH INVESTASI,CAPITAL INFLOW, IHSG, NPL SEKTOR RUMAH TANGGA, NPL KREDIT KEPEMILIKAN PROP
KEYAKINAN KONSUMEN TERHADAP INFLASI YANG ADA DIINDONESIA
DATA :
No. Waktu Investasi CapitalInflow IHSG NPLSRT NPLKPP

1 Jan-18 310.00 2190000 660563 1.77% 2.67%
2 Feb-18 288.00 2190001 659722 1.82% 2.75%
3 Mar-18 300.00 2190002 618899 1.77% 2.65%
4 Apr-18 302.00 3190000 599460 1.80% 2.69%
5 May-18 298.00 3190001 683934 1.83% 2.76%
6 Jun-18 290.00 3190002 684324 1.85% 2.77%
7 Jul-18 278.00 4010000 680528 1.87% 2.86%
8 Aug-18 284.00 4010001 691572 1.85% 2.80%
9 Sep-18 278.00 4010002 663326 1.81% 2.77%
10 Oct-18 254.00 15900000 666188 1.78% 2.74%
11 Nov-18 248.00 15900001 693136 1.77% 2.71%
12 Dec-18 260.00 15900002 695326 1.59% 2.40%
13 Jan-19 274.00 9880000 693989 1.74% 2.64%
14 Feb-19 266.00 9880001 675221 1.81% 2.77%
15 Mar-19 256.00 9880002 708074 1.76% 2.67%
16 Apr-19 262.00 6720000 727280 1.81% 2.75%
17 May-19 290.00 6720001 720794 1.80% 2.70%
18 Jun-19 252.00 6720002 731611 1.84% 2.78%
19 Jul-19 236.00 7430000 728881 1.84% 2.78%
20 Aug-19 224.00 7430001 723420 1.88% 2.84%
21 Sep-19 226.00 7430002 697074 1.85% 2.84%
22 Oct-19 246.00 12500000 706358 1.83% 2.81%
23 Nov-19 240.00 12500001 725576 1.84% 2.83%
24 Dec-19 200.00 12500002 629954 1.68% 2.62%
25 Jan-20 206.00 -3000000 594005 1.84% 2.88%
26 Feb-20 168.00 -3000001 545270 1.89% 3.08%
27 Mar-20 198.00 -3000002 453893 1.96% 3.31%
28 Apr-20 186.00 11000000 471640 2.11% 3.40%
29 May-20 200.00 11000001 475361 2.25% 3.48%
30 Jun-20 191.00 11000002 490539 2.32% 3.49%
31 Jul-20 240.00 862860 514963 2.36% 3.42%
32 Aug-20 280.00 862861 523849 2.32% 3.25%
33 Sep-20 260.00 862862 487004 2.20% 3.12%
34 Oct-20 354.00 -933930 512823 2.10% 3.12%
35 Nov-20 318.00 -933931 561242 2.01% 2.99%
36 Dec-20 344.00 -933932 597907 2.00% 2.78%
37 Jan-21 308.00 5840000 586235 1.95% 2.86%
38 Feb-21 328.00 5840001 624180 1.99% 2.90%
39 Mar-21 304.00 5840002 598552 1.95% 2.81%
40 Apr-21 324.00 1540000 599562 2.00% 2.84%
41 May-21 424.00 1540001 594746 2.07% 2.89%
42 Jun-21 500.00 1540002 598549 2.02% 2.80%
43 Jul-21 540.00 7320000 607004 2.09% 2.94%
44 Aug-21 466.00 7320001 615030 2.06% 2.87%
45 Sep-21 498.00 7320002 628694 2% 2.78%
46 Oct-21 482.00 -2130000 659135 1.98% 2.75%
47 Nov-21 452.00 -2130001 653393 1.92% 2.63%
48 Dec-21 870.00 -2130002 658148 1.77% 2.41%
49 Jan-22 665.00 -1850000 663115 1.84% 2.57%
50 Feb-22 700.00 -1850001 688817 1.85% 2.56%
51 Mar-22 760.00 -1850002 707144 1.78% 2.45%
52 Apr-22 910.00 -1330000 722891 1.80% 2.46%
53 May-22 845.00 -1330001 714897 1.88% 2.56%
54 Jun-22 680.00 -1330002 691158 1.80% 2.45%
55 Jul-22 865.00 -5830000 695112 1.82% 2.46%
56 Aug-22 825.00 -5830001 717859 1.80% 2.42%
57 Sep-22 795.00 -5830002 704080 1.74% 2.38%
58 Oct-22 750.00 685550 709889 1.76% 2.40%
59 Nov-22 710.00 685551 708131 1.73% 2.40%
60 Dec-22 635.00 685552 685062 1.63% 2.26%
61 Jan-23 715.00 3690000 683934 1.70% 2.46%
62 Feb-23 695.00 3690001 684324 1.80% 2.50%
63 Mar-23 585.00 3690002 680528 1.75% 2.42%
64 Apr-23 590.00 -4850000 691572 1.87% 2.64%
65 May-23 525.00 -4850001 663326 1.93% 2.72%
66 Jun-23 630.00 -4850002 666188 1.87% 2.72%
67 Jul-23 605.00 -65610 693136 1.94% 2.81%
68 Aug-23 545.00 -65611 695326 1.93% 2.76%
69 Sep-23 510.00 -65612 693989 1.89% 2.66%
70 Oct-23 468.00 9780000 675221 1.89% 2.65%
71 Nov-23 430.00 9780001 708074 1.87% 2.59%
72 Dec-23 625.00 9780002 727280 1.80% 2.47%
73 Jan-24 478.00 -1640000 720794 1.90% 2.63%
74 Feb-24 434.00 -1640001 731611 1.93% 2.65%
75 Mar-24 416.00 -1640002 728881 1.91% 2.61%
76 Apr-24 422.00 2680000 723420 1.99% 2.72%
77 May-24 388.00 2680001 697074 2% 2.69%
78 Jun-24 410.00 2680002 706358 1.96% 2.64%
79 Jul-24 388.00 2680003 725576 2% 2.68%
HASIL REGRESI :
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 1,496,712 3,631,887 0.412103 0.6815
INVESTASI 0.003305 0.000859 3,846,782 0.0003
IHSG -5.57E-07 2.92E-06 -0.190872 0.8492
CAPITALINFLO
3.51E-09 2.34E-08 0.149838 0.8813
W
NPLLKPP 2,651,927 1,198,317 2,213,043 0.0301
NPLSRT -5,324,664 1,549,309 -3,436,799 0.0010
IKK 0.027696 0.012512 2,213,487 0.0300
Value Test
R-squered 0.552887
Adjusted R-
0.515628
squared
F-statistic 1,483,888
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Dari hasil analisis regresi diatas didapatkan persamaan sebagai berikut:

INFLASIit = 1.496712 + 0.003305Investasit − 3.51E-09IHSGt + 2651927CAPITALINFLOWt +
2651927NPLLKPPt +-5324664NPLSRTt + 0.027696IKKt
L KREDIT KEPEMILIKAN PROPERTI, DAN INDEKS KEYAKINAN KONSUMEN
L KREDIT KEPEMILIKAN PROPERTI, DAN INDEKS

DA DIINDONESIA
IKK Inflasi
126.1 3.25
122.5 3.18
121.6 3.4
122.23 3.41
125.14 3.23
128.1 3.12
124.85 3.18
121.57 3.2
122.39 2.88
119.2 3.16
122.73 3.23
127.02 3.13
125.46 2.82
125.12 2.57
124.54 2.48
128.11 2.8
128.17 3.32
126.38 3.28
124.77 3.32
123.14 3.49
121.84 3.39
118.4 3.13
124.21 3.00
126.37 2.72
121.67 2.68
117.65 2.98
113.78 2.96
84.83 2.67
77.8 2.19
83.78 1.96
86.19 1.54
86.9 1.32
83.36 1.42
79.02 1.44
92.03 1.59
96.5 1.68
84.85 1.55
85.82 1.38
93.37 1.37
101.48 1.42
104.43 1.68
107.36 1.33
80.2 1.52
77.31 1.59
95.47 1.6
113.39 1.66
118.53 1.75
118.34 1.87
119.6 2.18
113.13 2.06
110.99 2.64
113.07 3.47
128.94 3.55
128.16 4.35
123.2 4.94
124.72 4.69
117.2 5.95
120.3 5.71
119.06 5.42
119.87 5.51
123 5.28
122.42 5.47
123.31 4.97
126.05 4.33
128.34 4.00
127.13 3.52
123.5 3.08
125.25 3.27
121.71 2.28
124.29 2.56
123.58 2.86
123.77 2.61
125.05 2.57
123.1 2.75
123.82 3.05
127.7 3.00
125.22 2.84
123.34 2.51
123.42 2.13
ALINFLOWt +

Data Dan Regresi Kebangsentralan - Kelompok 3

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Kelompok 3 : HARGA ASET

VARIABEL YANG DIAMBIL

No. Waktu Investasi CapitalInflow IHSG NPLSRT NPLKPP

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

Dari hasil analisis regresi diatas didapatkan persamaan sebagai berikut:

L KREDIT KEPEMILIKAN PROPERTI, DAN INDEKS

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