Probability Problems Solutions

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Solutions to Probability Problems

1. Hitting the Target (Binomial Probability)

The probability of hitting the target is P = 3/5 = 0.6. The total number of trials is n = 6. The binomial

probability formula is:

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)

(i) Probability of hitting exactly 4 out of 6 shots:

C(6, 4) = 15

P(X = 4) = 15 * (0.6)^4 * (0.4)^2 = 0.31104

Answer: 0.31104

(ii) Probability of hitting at least 2 times out of 6 shots:

P(X >= 2) = 1 - [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)]

P(X = 0) = (0.4)^6 = 0.004096

P(X = 1) = C(6, 1) * (0.6)^1 * (0.4)^5 = 0.036864

P(X >= 2) = 1 - (0.004096 + 0.036864) = 0.959

Answer: 0.959

(iii) Probability of hitting not more than once out of 6 shots:

P(X <= 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 0.004096 + 0.036864 = 0.0409

Answer: 0.0409
2. Selecting Defective Capacitors (Hypergeometric Probability)

The total number of capacitors is N = 20, defective capacitors K = 4, and n = 5 capacitors are

selected.

(i) Probability of exactly 3 defective capacitors:

C(4, 3) * C(16, 2) = 480

C(20, 5) = 15504

P(X = 3) = 480 / 15504 = 0.0512

Answer: 0.0512

(ii) Probability of no defective capacitors:

C(4, 0) * C(16, 5) = 4368

C(20, 5) = 15504

P(X = 0) = 4368 / 15504 = 0.3276

Answer: 0.3276

(iii) Probability of at least one defective capacitor:

P(At least 1 defective) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - 0.3276 = 0.6723

Answer: 0.6723

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