716 06hamdy
716 06hamdy
716 06hamdy
6
MEDlT ND 2/98
sequence of national, regional and, subsequently, glob- make the existing water management processes signifi-
al concern about environment and in particular its nat- cantly more efficient than they are at present, and the
ural heritage. It began to be articulated in Europe and issue of utilization of various international water bodies
North America in the 1960s and 1970s. Key events was is amicably and quickly resolved, the impending water
the U.N. conference on Human Environment in Stock- crisis has the potential of becoming more pervasive and
holm in 1972 and UNESCO's Man and the Biosphere affecting adversely more lives than the energy crisis
Projects. The latter have a good claim to be forerunners ever did at its peak.
of "sustainable development thinking" (Adams,1990). There are many interrelated reasons which had con-
In 1983, the U.N. General Assembly established the tributed to this crisis and the major one will be dis-
World Commission on Environment and Development cussed herein.
and received from it its report, the so called "Our Com-
mon Future" (Brundtland Commission, 1987). Good de- Population trends and explosive urban growth
velopment will protect and enhance the environment; The global population is continuing to increase steadi-
attention paid to environmental concerns will strength- ly, with attendant implications for water quantity and
en developmental progress and projects. quality. Estimates indicate that the current world popu-
The FAO defmition adopted by its council in 1988, in lation is likely to double to 10.64 billions by the year
the context of agriculture, forestry and fisheries is: "Sus- 2050. Developing countries, which are all in tropical
tainable development is the management and conserva- and semi-tropical regions, will account for some 87% of
tion of natural resource base and the orientation of this population, or 9.29 billions.
technological and institutional change in such a manner While there is no one-to-one relationship between pop-
as to ensure the attainment and continued satisfaction ulation growth and higher water requirements, it is evi-
of human needs for present and future generations. dent that with a substantial increase in world popula-
Such sustainable development (in the agriculture, tion, total water requirements for various uses will in-
forestry and fishery sectors) conserves land, water, crease as well. This contributes to two contradictory
plant and animal genetic resources, is environmentally trends which further complicate the water-management
non-degrading, technically appropriate, economically process. On one hand, a country's water requirements
viable and socially acceptable". steadily increase with higher levels of human activities,
In the run-up to the UNCED "The Earth Summit 92", the on the other hand, per capita water available declines
International Conference on Water and the Environ- steadily since the total amount of freshwater available is
ment (ICWE), concluded with the Dublin statement on limited (table 1).
Water and Sustainable Development: "Scarcity and mis- The increase in per capita water requirements is an im-
use of freshwater pose a serious and growing threat to portant consideration for estimating future water needs
sustainable development and protection of the environ- by the planners of developing countries, whose water
ment; human health and welfare, food security, indus- demands are accelerating at a very rapid and alarming
trial development and the ecosystems on which they rate. So far this aspect has received very limited atten-
depend, are all at risk unless water and land resources tion by the countries concerned as well as the interna-
are managed more effectively in the present decade tional organizations.
and beyond they have been in the past". Rapid population growth is always linked with fast ur-
banization and will substantially increase pressures on
THE WATER CRISIS the supply and quality of water. Between 1950 and
Most of the countries located in arid and semi-arid re- 1990, the number of cities with population of more than
gions are already facing a water crisis, though the in- one million nearly quadrupled from 78 to 290. They are
tensity and extent of that crisis could vary from one expected to more than double and exceed 600 by 2025
country to another, and with time. If the current trends (figure 1). By 2025, 90 percent of population growth
continue, the water crisis will become widespread and will have taken place in urban areas, increasing the de-
more pervasive in nearly all arid and semi-arid coun- mand for suitable quality for domestic, municipal and
tries by the early part of the 2P' century. industrial use and for treatment of waste.
It is now evident that within the present decade, water
would undoubtedly become a most critical resource for Water scarcity
the future development and survival of the arid and se- The amount of fresh water available on an economic
mi-arid countries, so much so that all the indicators basis to any country on a long-term basis is limited.
point to increasing tensions between neighbouring Since in arid and semi-arid countries nearly all the eas-
countries over the use of international rivers, lakes and ily available sources of water have already been devel-
aquifers. Like the energy crisis of some two decades oped or are in the process of development, the unit
ago, a serious water crisis is now looming over the hori- costs of future projects in real terms can only be higher.
zon. Unless every attempt is made simultaneously to For example, recent review of domestic water supply
7
MEDIT N° 2198
Table 1 Population and per capita water availability tor selected countries (*).
Population Annual Per capita freshwater availability (1000 m')
renewable freshwater
MIllions Growth rate % available (km')
per annum
1985-1994
8
MEDlT N° 2/98
more difficult. especially for groundwater and lakes and for some
The concentrations of the constituents simply express rivers as well. It should be noticed that, once the
the status of the water in physical, chemical and bio- groundwater is contaminated, it cannot be easily de-
logical terms, but quality can only be discussed mean- contaminated.
ingfully when it is related to a specific use. In such cas-
es, guidelines must be given on the concentrations of Water degradation and water pollution
various constituents which should not be exceeded in The annual world water withdrawal in 2000 is expected
order to avoid impairing the water for any particular to be approximately 5,200 km3 which corresponds
use. roughly to 13% of the natural runoff (39,000 km3) and
Until 1987 no attempt had been made to assess global- 250/0 of the stable runoff foreseen for the same year
ly the quality status of regional fresh waters. This was (20,000 km3). If one considers effective water consump-
due to lack of data from most countries, particularly tion instead of water withdrawal, these percentages will
from the developing ones, where water data were not be reduced to approximately half of these values, Le.,
collected on a regular basis. 7% and 13%.
In the remainder of this century, water issues will be- These figures, as presented, give no evidence of reason
come increasingly important. Monitoring and environ- for special concern, but the situation changes drastical-
mental ~anagement measures to preserve the quality of ly if pollution is taken into consideration. According to
existing groundwater and surface water resources will Lvovich 1979, the annual volume of wastewater reject-
take a prominent place on the agenda of global water ed in water bodies in 2000 is expected to be approxi-
resources use planning. Recently, different views have mately 6,000 km3, these wastewaters mobilizing ap-
been expressed concerning the relative importance of proximately 38,000 km3 of river runoff to absorb the
water quantity versus water quality for health environ- corresponding pollution. Considering that this last fig-
ment, and this on-gOing discussion will have to result in ure corresponds approximately to total natural runoff
a balanced view on the issue, taking into account local and is twice the stable runoff in 2000, and considering,
epidemiology, ecology and economy. furthermore, the marked differences in the world geo-
New technologies will need to be applied to detect and graphical distribution of water, this situation seems to
monitor water resources in an integrated manner. Water be a reason for serious concern.
quality is being checked through the Global Environ- These estimates are of course only approximate, but
mental Monitoring system by a network of national in- they illustrate a very unfavorable trend and draw atten-
stitutions. These data may be complemented by Remote tion to what appears to be a potentially alarming situa-
Sensing (RS) observations of watersheds and river tion threatening the sustainable development of water
basins, and they will be increasingly analyzed with the resources, unless the future evolution of water re-
use of Geographic Information Systems (GIS). It is of sources management and particularly of wastewater
great importance to create intersectorial networks in treatment technologies is very favorable and its applica-
which countries can apply these new technologies for a tion largely diffused.
sound and integrated management of their natural re- Water pollution can be direct or indirect. Direct pollu-
sources. Ministries of health will have to set up their tion is that resulting from rejecting pollutants directly in
health monitoring and epidemiological assessment ac- the water courses or the aquifers, and is usually the re-
tivities to provide such systems with adequate data so sult of routine activities or accidental events. Pollution
as to elucidate the linkage between environmental resulting from routine activities can be of two different
change and human health status. types: point source pollution, which is generated main-
In nearly all the developing countries, including the ly by municipal and industrial water use and can be
Mediterranean ones, water quality programs are either controlled by adequate sewage treatment technologies
in their infancy or even non existent. A reasonable clear which are well known but usually expensive (these
and detailed picture of environmental issues con- technologies cover primary and secondary treatment
fronting the land and water sectors does not exist, nor and in some cases tertiary treatment, e.g., when eu-
any accurate estimates on the cost of land and water trophication problems are important); diffuse pollution
degradation to the national economy. The cost is al- (or non-point-source pollution) which results from
ready significant at present, and if no drastic actions are farming, forestry, urban discharges, transportation, con-
taken, the existing trends show that it is likely to be- struction-industry and sanitation landfills, its control be-
come even higher during the 1990s. In addition, the sta- ing closely associated with good agricultural practices,
tus of water pollution and the extent to which water and the implementation of adequate land-use policies.
quality has been impaired for different potential uses Accidental pollution results from accidents which, in
simply are not available. On the basis of anecdotal and many cases, are likely to cause great damage. These ac-
very limited information available, it can be said that cide.nts have recently increased and will probably tend
the problem is already very serious near urban centers, to increase further in the future. Accidental pollution
9
MEDlT N° 2/98
has to be controlled by planning in advance adequate drainage ditches. While one can question the actual
strategies for earlier detection and subsequent restric- percentage figures, there is no question that a very high
tion of the region affected and minimization of impacts. proportion of domestic and industrial effluents are un-
Human activities increase and more and more waste treated at present. Increased pollution from industrial
products are contaminating available sources of water. and domestic sources, if allowed to grow unchecked, is
Among the major contaminants are untreated or partial- likely to reduce the amount of water available for vari-
ly treated sewage, agricultural chemicals, and industrial ous purposes in the future. At our present state of
effluents. These contaminants are seriously affecting the knowledge, we Simply do not know the extent of con-
quality of water, especially for domestic use. Already tamination that has already occurred and which may
many sources of water near the urban centers of devel- render some water sources unusable in the future with-
oping countries have been severely contaminated, thus out expensive treatment. Protection of water resources,
impairing their potential use. if not receiving a priority consideration, will be a major
The common contaminants were found to be heavy cause for water scarcity in certain regions. In addition,
metals and organic micropollutants. The pollution prob- the total economic and health costs to the country due
lems were classified into those that were common to all to unchecked pollution would be unbearable. Deterio-
fresh water bodies and those specific to rivers, ration in the quality of this vital resource has very seri-
lakes/reservoirs or groundwater. The classification is ous implications for health and the quality of life. Ac-
presented in table 3. cess to it becomes a right requiring equitable distribu-
In developing countries, both fertilizers and pesticides tion to all society. Attempts have been made in most
are used in relatively huge quantities without the exis- countries to ensure that even the poorest sections of the
tence of a real control and regulations for use. Nitrate population have access to good quality drinking water,
contamination of groundwater from agricultural activi- but much effort is still needed to attain this objective.
ties has been a major environmental concern in many Globally, water-related diseases account for 8 percent
developing countries especially in those with extensive of all illness in developing countries, affecting some 2
irrigated agriculture. billion people annually. It is estimated that 2 million
We continue to ignore the critical role of water in main- children die for such diseases each year, death that
taining the quality of the environment and the link be- could be averted if water supply and sanitation services
tween a healthy environment and a healthy economy. were adequate. These diseases also play a significant
Already half of our coastal wetlands have been drained role in adult mortality and sickness. Poor health caused
for infra-structural or agricultural development, and in by water-related diseases and unsanitary practices is
many places groundwater is seriously at risk from over very costly to the economy in terms of working days
exploitation and contamination by urban and rural pol- lost and reduced productivity. The pollution of water
lutants and the intrusion of saltwater. Sewage and in- supplies may be aggravated if drinking water supply
dustrial waste pollute rivers on every continent. By programs are not accompanied by appropriate sewage
some estimates, the amount of water made unusable by systems. Many developing countries have the opera-
pollution is almost as great as the amount actually used tional means to assess their water quality. Without this
in the human economy. information, they may be unaware of problems and
Nowadays, water pollution is already a serious problem perhaps endanger their population's health.
in the majority of the developing countries: a large per-
centage of wastewater is untreated, and this is directly The structural imbalance and shrinking investments
discharged into water courses, irrigation canals and The dominant fact which will be strongly evident over
the next few decades is the structural imbalance be-
tween the constantly increasing demand for water to
Table 2 Occurrence of major pollution problems in different
meet needs, and the naturally available water resources.
types of water bodies. Over the last few decades, the imbalance was limited to
a few countries and requirements were met by the
Water pollution problem
gradual additional harnessing of natural resources
Type of water body Specific of water body Ubiquitous occurrence wrongly thought of as being infinite. This room for ma-
River Pathogens Heavy Metals noeuvre is progressively contracting and will be avail-
Organic matter able less and less in the future.
Suspended matter
Acidification Throughout the world, for the most part all easily ex-
Lakes and reservoirs Eutrophication ploitable sources of water have already been, or are
Acidification Organic currently being developed. For instance, in several
Groundwaters Salinization Micropollutants
Nitrates Mediterranean countries, the imbalance will appear
Source: WHOIUNEP. 1989. around the year 2000 and beyond. In the Middle East
Region and the Southern Mediterranean countries, the
10
:'IEDIT N" 2/98
water demands will fas t approach the limit of resources cline in the donor's interest in providing investme nt
and the majoriry of cou nrries in both regions could en- funds fo r major water develo pment projects in devel-
ter a period of chro nic shortage during rhe 1990s. These o ping countries and the high capital requireme nts for
countries will be faCing severa l similar problems thar new projects, mean that there may be significa nt delay
may be outlined as fo llows (Hamdy et ai, 1995): in the implementation timetable of future projects and
• decl ining wa te r resources per inhab itant both in that additio na l new sources of water would not be
terms of water availabiliry and water withdrawals. It is ava ilable in the future as expected at present. This com-
expected that the available water per capita will be re- placency, in all li kelihood , would make the future wa-
duced by nearly 50% of the present level (figure 2); ter crises even mo re serious than what they are expect-
• explo itation of water at a relatively high rate w ith the ed to be at present.
ri sk of water deteriorati on;
• excessive reduction in water w ithdrawals per capita, Inefficient water use
which w ill impose a Signifi cant effect o n water secto ri- Wate r resources problems are often associated with lack
al use, creating notable competition and confli ct among of effiCiency in wa ter use in agriculture, industrial and
users in various sectors, and in the irrigation and do- do mestic supply.
mestic secto rs in particular. Priorities w ill be given to Agriculture is by far the most important water use activ-
satiSfy d rinking water demands to the expense of the ity (table 3); it is also probably the sector least efficie nt
available water alloca ted for the irrigation sector with in water use (figure 3). Worldwide the efficiency of ir-
rigation system is estimated at o nly
40%. But given sufficient incentives,
water w ithdrawals fo r irrigation
could be cut by 10 to 40% widloUt
m1987 reducing crop production.
fll2025 Low irrigatio n efficiencies ca n be
pri ma rily attributed to water mis-
management (figure 3), in addition
to technical problems of con-
veya nce, distributio n and o n-farm
application as well as to poor main-
te nance of irrigation structures, of-
te n ca used by inadequate invest-
ments for operation and mainte-
nance . In almost a ll deve loping
countries w here majo r rehabilitation
Syria Tunisia sracl
Turkey Lebanon Cyprus Morocco Egypt Agerfa
"'" o r modernization of wate r suppl y
systems are needed, finanC ing is a
Fig. 2 - It"{/fcr {/l'(li/(lbility pcrc(ljJil(l ;/1 Ibc ~Olllbcrl/ :I1eciilenrlllellll CO/ lllllies.
11
~ lEDlT W 2198
12
,\ IED!"!" W 2198
13
r.1EDlT W 2198
14
l\lED1T W 2/98
15
MEDlT N° 2/98
- population growth per se producing an ever increas- ter for all by 1990 would be $92.2 billions. In 1980 the
ing population pressure on a finite water availability; World Bank estimated that, assuming complete urban
- urban growth resulting in ever-increasing point de- and rural coverage with the urban population being
mands for water; "served at commonly accepted levels of house connec-
- desiccation of the landscape due to degradation of tions for water and sewerage and the rural population
soil permeability and leading to drought-like conditions at a lower standard of service", the total costs would be
even in high rainfall areas. more than $600 billions. Using a "wider mix of service
2. multi-cause water pollution due to: levels and the use of more appropriate technologies",
- airborne emissions; the Bank provided a second option of $300 billions or
- pollution from agricultural land-use, industrial activ- less.
ities, and human waste; Assuming that such estimates are correct, it means an
- wastewater outlets. investment of $82.2 millions every day of the decade for
Pollution from most of these sources gets caught and new drinking water installations alone; other aspects of
carried by the water cycle and ends up, often with detri- water management are not included.
mental impact, in land and water ecosystems. The above figures are given primarily to show that the
3. multi-cause water-related fertility degradation due financial resources necessary for efficient water re-
to: sources management and development are substantial.
- salinizationlwater logging from poor irrigation man- There is no point in making the rhetorical statement
agement that if only 1% of global expenditures on armaments
- effects of acid rain originating from air emissions; could be channeled to water management, financial
- reduced water holding capacity due to reduced use problems would be resolved.
of organic fertilizers, and removal of organic matter Poor cost recovery in water projects in developing
from the soil; countries also contributes to additional funding limita-
- land permeability degradation due to mismanage- tions. What are urgently needed are realistic plans for
ment of land. mobilizing financial resources at both national and in-
To these challenges one should add the finanCial chal- ternationallevels which not only include capital invest-
lenge. The widening gap between financial resources ment costs but also adequate operation and manage-
available and the escalating needs of funds for water re- ment costs of all the water projects constructed.
sources development and management for the socio-
economic development of the Third World region re- Development and training of human resources
quires urgent attention. This situation forces us to find The lack of adequately trained human resources is a se-
ways to get more out of less. Funds needed for invest- rious constraint to efficient management of water re-
ments, operation and maintenance in the traditional sources in most developing countries.
water sector are estimated at up to 20% of public ex- On a long-term basis, training is probably one of the
penditures in many countries. The debt burden in de- most important requirements for efficient water man-
veloping countries constraints their ability to invest in agement. Current evidence indicates that the lack of
water projects with long gestation periods. Many coun- trained and experienced personnel has tended to in-
tries also provide large subsidies to particular water crease the cost of water projects and at the same time
users, which can distort water use and interfere with reduce their efficiency. For example, if irrigation pro-
sustainable use of the resource. jects are considered, the lack of trained management
personnel and the absence of farmers experienced in ir-
Areas requiring improved efficiency rigated agriculture have not only tended to increase the
in water management irrigation costs but have also reduced the benefits ex-
For environmentally sound water management to be pected from the schemes. In addition, the lack of tech-
satisfactorily implemented still much has to be done in nicians and other similar trained personnel at lower lev-
several important areas as illustrated in the following: els of expertise is creating serious management bottle-
necks.
Mobilization offinanCial resources An important aspect of the development and mobiliza-
Developing countries must mobilize adequate financial tion of human resources that has not received adequate
resources for water management. The amounts of in- attention thus far is the underemployment and ineffec-
vestment required for water management, both capital tive use of trained manpower in several developing
costs and subsequent operation and management costs countries. In these countries, generally speaking, an ad-
are significant. In a paper prepared for the Water Con- equate pool of trained manpower exists, but because of
ference, the WHO, with initial assistance from the world lack of incentives, the inability of management to moti-
Bank, estimated that the investment necessary to meet vate staff, excessive institutional red tape and other re-
the target set for community water supply of clean wa- lated reasons, staff members often do not develop, or
16
ME[)rT W 2JWl
17
MEDIT N° 2/98
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Boswas A.K. (1991a) - Inauguration Address. Seventh World Congress on
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2. How to minimize water losses;
Boswas A.K. (1991b) - Water for sustainable development in the 21" Century:
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18