BoFER_5_2017
BoFER_5_2017
BoFER_5_2017
Abstract
Central banks have traditionally issued cash to the general public. With digitalisation, bank-
notes are becoming a technically outdated payment instrument, and some central banks
have explored the possibility of central bank-issued electronic money applicable to retail pay-
ments. Electronic central bank money would offer the public the possibility to hold central
bank money in a potentially cashless future. In its present form, blockchain technology would
probably not be a suitable solution, since it is unable to process a sufficiently large number of
transactions. Electronic central bank money would potentially have significant implications for
other areas of central bank policy, which should be meticulously analysed.
We would like to thank Juha Kilponen, Tuomas Välimäki, Jarmo Kontulainen and Esa Jok-
ivuolle for valuable comments. The opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors
and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Bank of Finland or the Eurosystem. This article
was originally published in Finnish under the title ”Digitaalinen keskuspankkiraha”, BoF Eco-
nomics Review 4/2017.
BoF Economics Review consists of analytical studies on monetary policy, financial markets and
macroeconomic developments. Articles are published in Finnish, Swedish or English. Previous
knowledge of the topic may be required from the reader.
Editors: Juha Kilponen, Esa Jokivuolle, Karlo Kauko, Paavo Miettinen and Juuso Vanhala
www.suomenpankki.fi
1. What is central bank money?
Nowadays there are two forms of money issued by central banks, i.e. central bank money:
cash and reserve deposits held with the central bank, where the depositor is usually a com-
mercial bank. No currency area in the world is known to have issued any other type of central
bank money, such as electronic scriptural money used by the general public. Both types of
money are entered as liabilities on the central bank's balance sheet. Most money is, how-
ever, scriptural currency created as a result of lending by deposit banks and could, in prac-
tice, be fully converted into central bank money.
The current forms of central bank money were established in Finland following the founding
of the Bank of Finland, in the early years of Finnish autonomy, some 200 years ago. They
still reflect the technical solutions of the era. Both banknote production and ledger technology
have developed since then, but the nature of money has remained unchanged. As a result of
technological advances, it may now be possible to also create other, digital forms of central
bank money. 1
Central bank money is held by the general public only in the form of banknotes. It is also held
by credit institutions and government in the form of reserve deposits. In the euro area, re-
serve deposits are located in the Eurosystem's TARGET2 system. The central bank’s coun-
terparties have the right to exchange reserve deposits for banknotes and vice versa. Credit
institutions forward banknotes to customers, i.e. ordinary citizens, companies and entities.
The euro cash used in Finland is sovereign (fiat) money, which under EU legislation is legal
tender throughout the euro area. About 90% of the cash in Finland is distributed to the gen-
eral public via ATMs. Banks usually pay bilaterally netted debts to each other in central bank
money, i.e. in deposits with the central bank. From the perspective of the general public, cur-
rently only cash payments are settled in central bank money. Cash accounts for over 10% of
the euro area monetary aggregate M2, which includes transaction accounts and deposits
with agreed maturity.
New central bank money is always created via central bank accounts and based on mone-
tary policy decisions. The central bank creates new money in the central bank accounts via
open market operations or refinancing operations. Deposits at commercial, savings and co-
operative banks are commercial bank money. Credit institutions create commercial bank
money by granting loans to the public. The bank granting a loan records a deposit on the
customer's account and on its receivables a loan of the same amount.
The deposit recorded on the customer's account is a valid payment instrument, for example
as a credit transfer. The majority of consumer credit granted in Finland is in the form of hous-
ing loans. The majority of payment transactions by the general public are executed with com-
mercial bank money created in the banking system, by transferring money between deposit
accounts, e.g. when purchases in a shop are paid with a debit or credit card.
There is no empirical evidence on the technology and economic impacts of central bank digi-
tal currency and there is scarcely any academic research on the topic. Moreover, there is no
legislation or international standards on central bank digital currency (CBDC). We present
considerations that should be taken into account in the possible issuance of CBDC. This pa-
per presents a review of the available literature, which includes scarcely any real research
papers. This paper also presents some considerations on the proposals presented in the lit-
erature, focusing on both technical and economic issues.
1 Camera (2017).
This paper focuses on the need for and possibilities of digital currency that is similar to cash,
based on the current ongoing debate. This payment instrument could be used for purposes
completely different from retail trade, which is the main use for cash.
For the new payment instrument to be a substitute for cash, it should share many of its prop-
erties. Cash, in its current form, has many characteristics that users may find important but
cannot be found in current electronic payment instruments. These features include anonym-
ity, immediate finality and transaction clearing without third parties. To be able to examine
the characteristics of the various payment instruments and the need for such instruments in
future, we must first classify and analyse the structural characteristics of the payment instru-
ments. Only then can we systematically analyse what characteristics digital cash issued by
central banks should have.
As the first criterion, we examine real time settlement. One of the benefits of cash is that as
soon as the authenticity of a banknote or coin is established and the banknote or coin is ac-
cepted, the execution of the payment transaction is validated as such. It is important because
immediate settlement minimises counterparty risk and funds are transferred to the payee in
real time. Payment validation is, in principle, also independent of electronic systems, even
though retailers’ point-of-sale terminals record cash and card payments into the same sys-
tem. In card payments, the payment terminal checks availability of funds (validation of funds)
for the required payment. The actual settlement takes place only in batch runs between
banks, typically overnight. The new instant payment systems provide real-time settlement of
payment, in a couple of seconds. This type of system has been launched at least in the Nor-
dic countries (in Finland, the system ‘Siirto’ was introduced in spring 2017) and in the United
Kingdom. These systems also enable person-to-person payments in real time, in the same
way as cash payments.
2 ECB (2017).
In the case of cash, anonymity, immediate settlement and independence of central counter-
parties are all based on the fact that cash is a bearer instrument, i.e. the person who is physi-
cally in possession of the banknotes and coins is legally their owner. In addition, banknotes
and coins include all the information required for authentication and settlement finality. In
practice, settlement means entering the transaction into a ledger, and in the case of cash
payments, it also involves transferring the payment instrument to its next owner. In the case
of scriptural money, all transactions and balances are recorded in the account bank on an
ongoing basis. In the case of cash, there is no central authority responsible for bookkeeping;
each holder of cash essentially keeps their own records. In such a situation, the ledger is dis-
tributed.
The digital implementation of a bearer instrument does not fully correspond with cash money.
For a digital currency to fulfil the criteria of a bearer instrument, it should be convertible into a
sequence of number, the holding of which would be necessary and adequate verification of
ownership. For example in the case of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, this type of se-
quence of number that is a sign of ownership is called a private key. The distributed ledger of
the Bitcoin system, in turn, includes real-time information on the amount of purchasing power
owned by the holders of each private key. To make this type of a system independent of a
central authority, the amount of purchasing power held by each private key is recorded in a
distributed ledger, instead of a centralised ledger. 3
One of the key required features of a payment instrument is confidence in the acceptability
and continuity of the instrument. In the euro area, only euro cash has the status of legal ten-
der, but the scriptural money of commercial banks is fully convertible into cash. According to
recommendations adopted by the European Commission in 2010, euro cash must be ac-
cepted for its full face value for payment of debt, without surcharge. Some euro area coun-
tries have, however, set limits on the size of payment, with the aim of preventing such things
as the grey economy ‘selling under the counter’, as it were. The continuity and acceptability
of cryptocurrencies as payment instruments are not as certain as with currencies issued by
central banks. Cryptocurrencies have also been more vulnerable to fraud and stealing of
funds, e.g. if a private key is lost or in connection with hacking.
Money always involves the issue of stability of value. Key national central banks have infla-
tion targets that have an impact on the value of their currency over time. The inflation target
applies particularly to cash money, because account deposits are often subject to an interest
rate which, at least in principle, is higher than the rate of inflation.
Next, we present a classification of some of the current payment instruments (Chart 1).
There are three commonly used methods of payment: cash, credit transfers and card pay-
ments. Of these, only cash payments are available to all and settled in central bank money.
Credit transfers between deposit accounts are executed in commercial bank money. If a
credit transfer takes place between two different banks, the netted fund transfers are settled
on central bank accounts in central bank money. Card payments are executed in commercial
bank money, because the card holder pays the debt to the card issuer typically as an intra-
bank credit transfer. The share of cash in payment transactions has decreased significantly
in the past 15 years, whereas the number of card payments has increased more or less cor-
respondingly. The new form of central bank money would be located in the upper left box of
Chart 1, together with traditional banknotes.
Non-anonymous
Time-restricted settlement
Centralised ledger Credit transfers
Central bank accounts
Card payments
Digital cash would thus not be in the form of deposits in the central bank's account system; it
would be located in the counterparties’ own systems. In theory, households and companies
could be offered deposit accounts in the central bank 4, but this alternative would not intro-
duce any new technical features into the monetary system, and it is therefore excluded from
our examination for now. In contrast, a system based on a distributed ledger could be inter-
preted as digital cash.
There are a number of ways to implement central bank digital currency. The central bank
could provide a system in which the digital currency is stored, transferred and authenticated.
Another possibility is to create a standard for digital currency in which the private sector
would be responsible for creating the storage and transaction applications. The third alterna-
tive is to limit the central bank's role to the creation of money in respect to balance sheet and
debt relationships. The private sector would be responsible for the technical arrangements. A
private entity would open an account with the central bank, and the funds on the account
If the objective is to create a form of central bank digital currency the characteristics of which
resemble cash, the key characteristics are anonymity, immediate settlement, the possibility
to make retail payments, and a distributed ledger system. The objective of the creators of
Bitcoin has been to create these characteristics in digital form. No-one has succeeded in cre-
ating them before, and Bitcoin is currently the only relevant alternative. 7 Blockchain technol-
ogy, developed in the wake of Bitcoin, is a new innovation which enables these features, in
principle. At the moment, however, it would seem that blockchain technology, or other similar
distributed ledger technology (DLT) systems, are not particularly suitable for retail payments.
Compared with current retail payment systems, e.g. card payment and credit transfer sys-
tems, blockchain technology is considerably slower and less efficient. This is highlighted
when the system is completely decentralised, i.e. it operates as a peer-to-peer network. Effi-
ciency can be improved by partially centralising the system, but then the system would lose
some of its other, specifically desired features.
In a blockchain system, payment transactions are settled randomly by any of the participants
in the network, and information on settlement is distributed to all the parties in the network. At
the same time, the ledgers of all the participants are reconciled. This process is not only slow
but also expensive, because in the absence of a central authority, fraud is prevented by mak-
ing it so expensive that it is simply not worth trying to distribute counterfeit transactions into
the network. The reliability of the network is thus based on economic incentives, and they in
turn require expensive settlement of transactions.
Another problem is the uncertainty about settlement finality that is caused by the distributed
ledger system. In a decentralised peer-to-peer network like Bitcoin, in which payment trans-
actions are settled in different parts of the network and ledgers are reconciled on an ongoing
basis, there is never definite certainty that any of the reconciliations in the payment chain are
final.
Based on current knowledge, it would thus be more advisable to implement central bank digi-
tal currency, and also other retail payment systems, using some other technology, e.g. a cen-
tralised ledger.
5 Scottish and Northern Ireland banknotes are based on this type of arrangement. The banknotes are
issued by a commercial bank, which must hold at least the same amount of earmarked central bank
money, either as deposits with the Bank of England or Bank of England banknotes. See
http://www.acbi.org.uk/media/sni_notes_factsheet_nov12_copy1.pdf, point 3.
6 Bossone (2017).
7 There are hundreds of other cryptocurrencies, but in terms of the considerations presented in this
The main reasons for digital cash relate to payment needs, and the possibilities offered by
digital cash have also been discussed in connection with the zero lower bound on interest
rates. 8
Several central banks have shown interest in the matter. For example Cecilia Skingsley,
Deputy Governor of Sveriges Riksbank, suggested in her speech of November 2016 that the
Riksbank should issue digital currency – e-krona – in Sweden. 9 Later the Riksbank issued a
more detailed report on the subject. 10
With payments shifting increasingly online, and with mobile devices, there are signs that
there would be a demand for CBDC among consumers. Credit card companies, for example,
offer payment methods applicable in online shopping, but not all consumers have a credit
card. Some consumers also perceive online card payments as unsecure. Bank transfer sys-
tems operate fast mainly within one currency area. It is not possible to use central bank
money in online payments, but there might be a need for payments in central bank money.
The current retail payment systems are almost solely based on private bank-offered instru-
ments for using an account, such as credit transfers, card payments and cash withdrawals.
This is appropriate because consumers’ purchasing power is primarily stored in bank ac-
counts. Wages and capital income are paid directly into bank accounts, from which people
typically make first their regular payments (rents, housing corporation maintenance charges,
electricity bills, loan repayments etc.) as SEPA payments. Other consumption expenditures
are normally paid either via card or cash. Cash is primarily obtained from ATMs. Occasion-
ally, larger sums or large banknotes are withdrawn over the counter. Less frequently, if nec-
essary, cash is withdrawn at the checkout counter in shops in connection with purchases.
Because of the regulatory obligation to pay wages and other earnings into a bank account,
and because consumers pay consumption expenditures from their bank accounts, retail
banks’ central role in the provision and settlement of retail payments is secured at present.
This also pertains to their role as lenders, since bank lending and borrowers’ loan repay-
ments concentrate on the same bank accounts. Therefore, in the current system, banks play
a key role in households’ and companies’ economic affairs. However, one could ask whether
the current arrangement between banks and income earners will also be optimal in the fu-
ture, and whether it is the best possible solution to use the banking system in the organisa-
tion of payments.
CBDC could also have implications for financial stability. Banks have played a pivotal role in
society for example because payments are at the centre of economic activity and exchange.
Public support measures for the banking system in connection with financial crises have of-
ten been necessary for ensuring, inter alia, the smooth operation of the payment system. Fi-
nancial crises typically stem from banks’ risk-taking and other economic actors’ overindebt-
edness. Borrowing always involves three parties: the bank that grants the credit, the bor-
rower that needs the credit for a certain transaction and the authorities that strive to maintain
stability and regulate the availability of funding. Of these, banks are in a special position.
8 See e.g. Haldane, A (2015) How low can you go? Bank of England speeches.
9 http://www.riksbank.se/sv/Press-och-publicerat/Tal/2016/Skingsley-Borde-Riksbanken-ge-ut-e-
kronor/.
10 Riksbank (2017).
From the perspective of an individual user, new central bank money should offer something
that current electronic or physical forms of money do not.
Technology is not an obstacle, but it is not a determining factor when discussing CBDC, ei-
ther. Therefore, the functional and technical characteristics of CBDC should be determined
on the basis of the rationale for the need for CBDC. From the perspective of payments,
CBDC could be implemented for example as a digital payment scheme comparable to e-
money, which would be directed at consumers and trade. It could also be implemented as a
central bank money directed at the financial sector, which would enable real-time securities
trading and be connected with blockchain technology-based management of holdings. If
CBDC were to be implemented by making central bank accounts available to the public, this
would involve the above-mentioned potential implications for bank funding and therefore also
for financial stability, for example. These implications should be meticulously analysed.
The failure of stored-value cards has often been explained by problems related to network
effects. For retailers, it was not worth investing in devices required by the payment instruments
as the popularity of these cards was limited, and for consumers it was not worth acquiring
these cards as they were accepted in only a few places. This is, however, not a sufficient
explanation. Many other two-sided markets have faced a similar dilemma. 14 In two-sided mar-
kets, two different types of target groups must adopt the same product in order for the product
11 Jyrkönen – Paunonen (2003) p. 11. See also Helsingin Sanomat 29 September 1995 and Helsingin
Sanomat 12 July 1999 (in Finnish only).
12 Taloussanomat 10 April 2006 (in Finnish only).
13 See Plouffe et al (2000).
14 For a presentation of the theory of two-sided markets, see Rochet – Tirole (2003).
Technically, it would be possible to extend the functionality of ATMs and online banks to handle
digital cash. The new form of money would offer an alternative to bank deposits, and therefore
the stock of low interest-bearing deposits by private customers as a source of bank funding
could become more unstable. At the end of 2016, the deposits of Finnish households totalled
over EUR 85 billion, and the average interest rate on these deposits was below 0.2%. If the
new form of money was to widely replace deposits on household and corporate balance
sheets, banks could offer higher interest rates on accounts or additional services to attract
deposits back. Alternatively, banks would have to resort to more large-scale borrowing from
somewhere else. If deposits of the public were to flow to the central bank balance sheet in the
form of digital cash, this would result in a financial surplus for the central bank and, correspond-
ingly, commercial banks would be faced with a financial deficit. In such a case, the central bank
would need to increase its financing to commercial banks. Since central banks provide liquidity
against collateral, commercial banks would need more securities as collateral. This could in-
crease e.g. securitisation of bank loans.
Another potential problem could be the impact of CBDC on the risk of bank runs. 16 Digital cash
and bank deposits would likely be closer substitutes than banknotes and deposits. Therefore,
bank customers might switch from deposits to central bank money for more minor reasons
than before. In principle, bank runs could also occur at times when bank offices are closed.
The higher risk of bank runs should be taken into account e.g. in bank liquidity regulations:
retail deposits would no longer be as reliable and stable a form of funding as has customarily
been the case. On the other hand, it must be noted that modern deposit guarantee schemes
have effectively prevented bank runs.
It is extremely difficult to estimate the macroeconomic implications of digital cash without his-
torical experience. Similar types of payment instruments developed by the private sector are
not very common, implying that we have no experience to assess the macroeconomic or other
broader effects. Therefore, no actual conclusions can yet be drawn. However, we can propose
some hypotheses, the realisation of which must be monitored, should CBDC someday be is-
sued somewhere in the world.
If digital cash were to compete with traditional cash, customers’ marginal propensity to con-
sume could increase slightly. Studies in behavioural economics have shown that consumers
spend less when they use traditional cash as opposed to account money. 17 Digital cash would
be as abstract as a bank account balance, and therefore it could have similar psychological
effects. Easy access to credit blurs budget constraints and increases the risk of payment de-
faults. Of course, digital cash would be determined as cash without the possibility for credit, in
which case the central bank would not need to worry about the credit risk.
CBDC could also increase dollarization, i.e. situations in which residents widely use some for-
eign currency other than their national legal tender. As a rule, an economy does not gain from
dollarization. Instead, dollarization amplifies cyclical fluctuations and reins in economic
growth. 18 Financial dollarization typically results from high inflation or other factors which have
undermined the credibility of the domestic currency, while legal barriers to the use of foreign
15 For example, the CD player broke through even though initially it was not worth selling CDs as no-
one had a CD player, while no-one considered it worth their while to buy a CD player because there
were no suitable records available. However, the new digital technology included other benefits, for
example interference-free and noise-free sound reproduction, durability and improved practicality. A
car is useless without petrol, but it is not worth establishing a petrol station if no-one has a car. But
petrol-engine cars gained in popularity nevertheless.
16 Riksbank (2017), p. 28.
17 See e.g. Mercantati – Li (2014).
18 See e.g. Levy Yeyati (2006).
Because of network effects, everyone should primarily use the currency that is most common
in their own operating environment. One of the natural environments to use CBDC is the Inter-
net. The Internet has no geographical position, and money circulating on the Internet has no
natural currency areas in the traditional geographical sense. Dollarization may begin in online
shopping and spread later from the Internet to other activities. If residents of a country make a
considerable share of their transactions online, and in foreign currency, they may be more
willing to use the same currency also in other situations to avoid the use of two parallel curren-
cies. This could pose a problem particularly for small currency areas and emerging economies.
All in all, making an electronic form of cash available to the public might well be a potential
future objective. However, the introduction of electronic central bank money could have sig-
nificant implications for the operation of the financial system and, for example, the stability of
credit institutions’ funding. These implications should be meticulously analysed.
Some central banks have explored the possibilities to issue money in electronic form. It is still
unclear what kind of technical solution would be feasible. Blockchain technology made
known by Bitcoin would hardly be applicable to retail payments, at least in its current form. A
more probable solution would be an arrangement based on a more centralised ledger, with
many of the characteristics of traditional cash.
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