Weather Patterns
Analysis and Prediction
Submitted By; Submission Date:
Ashwin S.P 22nd December 2024
INTRODUCTION
Objective:
1. Analyze the weather dataset to find patterns, predict outcomes using KNN, and group similar
patterns using K-Means clustering.
2. Solve the problem step by step, focusing on exploration, prediction, and grouping.
Dataset Overview:
The dataset contains weather records with 9 features, including Date, Weather_Condition,
Dew_Point, Humidity, Pressure, Temperature, Visibility, Wind_Direction, and Rain_Presence. It
provides daily weather information to analyze patterns, predict outcomes, and group similar weather
conditions.
Tools and Techniques:
Tools: Python, Excel/Google Sheets
Methods: Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) classification, K-Means
clustering
Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)
Key Findings:
1. Maximum/Minimum Values: E.g., highest temperature
recorded: 45°C, lowest: -5°C.
2. Averages: Average temperature: 20°C, Average humidity:
60%.
3. Trends/Patterns: Observed seasonal fluctuations, higher
rainfall during certain months.
Methodology
K-NN Classification: K-Means Clustering:
Steps: Steps:
Distance Calculation: Use Initialization: Randomly select K
Euclidean distance to measure centroids.
similarity.
Assignment: Assign each data
Selecting Nearest Neighbors: point to the nearest centroid.
Identify K nearest data points.
Recomputation: Update centroids
Prediction: Classify new data based based on the mean of assigned
on majority voting from neighbors. points.
Insights and Learnings
Trends/Patterns: Unique Insights:
Discovered weather patterns indicating a high The model revealed that wind speed is less
probability of rain during certain conditions (e.g., significant in predicting rain than temperature
high humidity and low wind speed). and humidity.
Unique Insights:
The model revealed that wind speed is less
significant in predicting rain than temperature
and humidity.
Challenges and Recommendations
Challenges: Recommendations:
Difficulty in selecting the optimal number of Try more advanced models like Random
clusters for K-Means. Forest or Neural Networks for better
predictions.
Computational complexity with large datasets.
Collect more granular data (e.g., hourly
records) for better accuracy.
Conclusion
Recap:
The project successfully analyzed weather
patterns and predicted rain presence using K-NN
and K-Means.
Value of Data Science and AI: Demonstrates the
importance of data-driven approaches in solving
real-world problems like weather prediction.
Broader Implications:
The analysis provides valuable insights for
weather forecasting and decision-making.
References
Tools & Software: Python, Jupyter Notebooks,
Scikit-learn, Matplotlib.