Network Investment Plan
Network Investment Plan
Network Investment Plan
Contents
1. Welcome 2. The Electricity Supply Industry 3. Our Assets and Key Facts 4. Our Investment Programme and its Structure 4.1 Load Related Programme 4.1.1 Customer Connections 4.1.2 General Reinforcement 4.1.3 Distributed Generation 4.2 Non Load Related Programme 4.2.1 Asset Replacement 4.2.2 Losses 4.2.3 Flooding 4.2.4 Quality of Supply 4.2.5 Visual Amenity 4.2.6 Diversions 4.2.7 Environment 4.2.8 Safety 4.2.9 Operational IT 4.3 Network Maintenance 4.3.1 Inspections & Maintenance 4.3.2 Faults 4.4 Trees 4.5 Non Operational Programme 4.6 R&D 4.7 Programme Deliverables 5. Contact Us Page 15 Page 3 Page 4 Page 5 Page 6
1.Welcome
Welcome to Electricity North Wests Investment Plan Statement for 2010 2015. The aim of this document is to explain our role in the energy industry and detail what assets we own. It will then outline how we manage our assets and our resulting network investment plan for the 2010 2015 period.
We are entering an interesting and exciting period in the industry with climate change and green energy playing a greater part in our plans together with the application of new technology. Over the next five years, we intend to efficiently invest over 1.4 billion in the region to meet the challenges posed by the move to a low carbon economy, changes in the pattern of demand for electricity and the needs of servicing an ageing network. Longer-term, we foresee a number of significant future challenges for the industry which could radically change both the networks we own and the way they are operated. We plan to produce a longer-term outlook report later this year which will set out our views to 2050.
Our plans are based on delivering against the recently concluded price control negotiated with Ofgem for the 20102015 period and incorporating initiatives based on feedback gained at previous stakeholder workshops. Our plans are based on achieving several simultaneous targets in terms of the performance of the network, its condition and utilisation, as well as meeting all our legal and statutory responsibilities. This document sets out our plan in terms of the planned investment by driver, detailing the rationale for each and the resulting plans. We would be delighted to hear your views. If you wish to contact us, a number of different ways are listed at the back of this document.
Over 34 000 transformers Through this network we deliver over 25 TWh of electricity each year to over 2.4 million customers across 12 500 square kilometres of North West England. Our network covers a diverse range of terrain and customer mix from isolated farms in Cumbria, to areas of heavy industry, urban populations and city centres as shown in the map. Our network assets range from large transformers to individual services. All these assets are held in a register so that we can manage ongoing maintenance through their lives and up until they are programmed for replacement. The investment programme is therefore managed through different types of projects from bulk programmes for the replacement of high volume low value assets through to bespoke large projects for work at single sites.
Workington
Whitehaven
Kendal
Barrow Lancaster
In delivering the investment programme we manage thousands of individual projects ranging in value up to tens of millions of pounds.
Burnley
On average, the network performs such that a customer experiences a power cut every two years and is without electricity for less than one hour every year (99.99% reliability)
Bolton Wigan
Manchester
Maccleseld
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest over 400 million on load related projects as shown in the chart above. This represents a 12% increase over the previous 5 years.
4.1.1 CUSTOMER CONNECTIONS KEY Load related New buildings require new electricity connections and, where Non-load related enhancements to the existing network. Customer appropriate, Non-operational connections are a Network Maintenance competitive market area with a number of different organisations providing alternative quotations for Trees R&D connections to our network. new Most connections however are ultimately adopted as part of our network. The size of this investment programme is dependent upon requests from customers for supply and therefore subject to economic conditions. When work is undertaken to provide new supplies most of this is paid for by the customer requesting the supply. The chart opposite shows the number of new connections to our network over a ten year period. The first five years of this chart are actual figures and the remaining five years are based on forecasts. This highlights the effect of the recent economic recession and our forecast for a slow recovery.
KEY Load related Non-load related Non-operational Network Maintenance Trees R&D
47%
New Connections
25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 0
Within the general reinforcement programme the largest single project is the Wigan 132kV Reinforcement project (which is expected to cost around 20 million). There is a need to reinforce the network in the Wigan area. This will be achieved by building a new large substation in the Upholland/Orrell area of Wigan which will be supplied by a new circuit to be installed to connect to the national grid at Kirkby. This scheme is part of a strategy to uprate the capacity of the Lancashire area as a whole. Another scheme for a new Bulk Supply Point (BSP) at Preston to support the northern end of the group was constructed in 2008. In combination, the two schemes will relieve Wigan, Wrightington, Leyland and Ribble BSPs (serving a total of 247 000 customers) which are all currently loaded at the limit of their capacity.
We will continue to forecast future investment requirements based upon general economic and market information and conditions. As part of this we will liaise with housebuilders and other stakeholders to better understand market trends. We will continue to improve response times to connectors requests and continue discussions with our regulator regarding pre investment in known development areas.
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest over 200 million to connect around 84 000 new supplies.
4.1.2 GENERAL REINFORCEMENT Existing customers change their usage of electricity over time with reductions caused by using more efficient equipment, or increases caused by doing more or using larger equipment. The combined effect of all these individual changes results in changing demand patterns on our network. Where increasing demand causes our network to approach its capacity limits, we will invest to increase the networks capacity. Where we provide an electricity supply to customers it has to be within a specified voltage range. On the infrequent occasions where customers experience voltage outside these limits, we will investigate and, where necessary, correct the problem within a guaranteed period. When we build the investment programme for general reinforcement we go through a process of prioritisation. This ensures that our investment targets those sites that have the greatest need for some form of intervention. This prioritisation takes account of a number of factors that cover a comparison of demand against firm capacity, the amount of time per year the demand is above firm capacity and the number of customers.
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest over 100 million to reinforce our network.
The size of this investment programme is dependent upon requests from customers for supply and therefore subject to economic conditions. When work is undertaken to provide new supplies most of this is paid for by the customer requesting the supply.
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest around 80 million to enable the connection of 1GW of generation sites to our network.
The chart below gives a breakdown of DG capacity by technology type. This shows the capacity of DG that we expect to connect to our network based on proposals by the developers of DG sites and our own assessment of the market drivers.
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4.2.1 ASSET REPLACEMENT All physical network assets have a finite lifespan before they become unfit for purpose. Our asset replacement investment is designed to replace those assets at the end of their life and replace them with their modern equivalent in order to maintain the networks capacity and performance levels. Through good asset management practices, we have been able to extend the life of many of our network asset components, however we are now in a period where we need to replace an increasing number of assets. This reflects previous historic investment linked to UK economic cycles, including the post-war prosperity boom and electrification programmes of the 1960s. This can be seen in the chart below which shows the age profile of ground mounted high voltage circuit breakers. KEY
9% 12% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 5% 70%
Asset Replacement Diversions Losses Environment Flooding Age profile for high voltage ground mounted circuit breakers Visual Amenity QoS Safety Operational IT 1200
1000 800
KEY Asset Replacement Losses Flooding QoS
600
Diversions Environment Visual Amenity Safety Operational IT
400 200 0
0%
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest about 680 million on non-load related projects as shown in the chart above. This represents a 52% increase over the previous five years.
We will continue to invest in our network to maintain its overall health, continuing our historically good performance and safety standards. We will also continue to invest in our asset management systems to ensure we improve the timing and efficiency of any investment we make. We continue to review our asset replacement policies, particularly with regard to the rebuilding of overhead lines to ensure they are resilient to storm conditions and climatic change.
1920 1923 1927 1931 1935 1939 1943 1947 1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest around 7 million to protect those sites most at risk of flooding.
When we define the investment programme for asset replacement we go through a process of prioritisation. This ensures that our investment targets those parts of the network that have the greatest need for some form of intervention. This prioritisation takes account of a number of factors that cover safety to the public and our personnel, condition of the assets, environment, operating history, previous faults on the same type of asset, availability of spare parts and local knowledge.
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest around 470 million on the replacement of poor condition assets.
4.2.2 LOSSES Electricity flowing through a conductor generates heat, whilst a transformer can generate both heat and noise. This results in approximately 5% of the electricity entering our network being lost. Although these losses cannot be totally eliminated, they can be reduced by installing more expensive plant and equipment that is designed to operate with lower losses.
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest around 2 million to install equipment as a trial that will reduce losses at two key substations.
10 Electricity North West Network Investment Plan 2010 to 2015
4.2.4 QUALITY OF SUPPLY Quality of supply investment is undertaken with the aim of improving the overall quality of service experienced by customers. This will be achieved by investing in projects that can reduce the number of customers affected by faults, reduce the length of time customers are off supply in the event of a fault and also reducing the likelihood of faults on the network. In addition we are planning to undertake specific investment to improve the service received by those customers who experience the worst reliability on the network. These are generally located in very rural locations and at the end of long overhead line networks. The quality of supply experienced by customers is measured based on the number of interruptions (CI) to supply and the length of time customers are without supply, or customer minutes lost (CML). 15 year CI CML performance
4.2.5 VISUAL AMENITY In 2005, a specific limited programme of undergrounding overhead lines, identified by regional stakeholders, within statutory National Parks and Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty commenced. Funding for this programme was allowed by Ofgem up to a value of 5 million following their customer willingness to pay survey and a review of the various environmental obligations placed upon the industry. The two photographs below show an example of such a project before and after investment.
We support this initiative as a model of publicprivate partnership and have planned for its continuance at a level equivalent to the current programme in 2010 2015. This is around 7 million during the five years.
4.2.6 DIVERSIONS Sometimes when development work is planned for either building or new road developments, our network assets may be in the path of these developments. Assets therefore need to be diverted to an alternative location to allow these developments to proceed. We plan for this type of work based on historical trends and any known large projects. Diversions projects mostly involve diverting underground cables and occasionally overhead lines and substations.
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
It should be noted that the programme of planned asset replacement will impact this performance due to the required network outages when replacing assets. These forecasts exclude for the effect of planned outages, which for the five years to 2015 reflect the increased programme we are planning for the replacement of overhead lines. With the effect of planned work excluded, the underlying change to CI and CML performance is a 6% improvement.
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest around 4 million on projects that will improve the service experienced by customers, particularly to speed up supply restoration following a fault.
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We will continue to invest in an ongoing programme of security strengthening at identified sites. We will also continue to work with community partners to reduce anti social behaviour around our installations and reduce the value of our equipment to thieves.
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest over 80 million on projects to improve safety.
4.4 TREES
One of the main external impacts on our overhead lines is trees. We have a routine programme of vegetation management where we cut and prune trees growing in the vicinity of the overhead lines to maintain public safety and to reduce the risk of trees causing faults on the lines. We believe we may be beginning to see early climate change effects, in that the growing season is extending and that the number and severity of storms may be on the increase. We are working with the rest of the industry to update historic practices and develop enhancements such as resilience, where more trees are managed to reduce the risk posed by falling trees in heavy storm conditions.
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest over 110 million on inspecting and maintaining the existing network assets.
4.3.2 FAULTS Occasionally faults occur on parts of our network caused either by deterioration or by a number of outside influences. Fortunately loss of supply is an infrequent occurrence. We have a network availability of over 99.99% with, on average, a customer experiencing one power cut every two years and being without electricity for about two hours for each occurrence. As these are averages, most customers receive a better service but some customers do unfortunately receive worse. Dedicated teams respond to faults when notified either by customer calls or by alarms generated by the network itself. These teams attempt to identify the source of the problem, restore supplies to customers as quickly as possible and then repair the network back to normal. In an average twelve month period we respond to around 14 000 faults, averaging forty to fifty faults per day.
During 2010 2015 we plan to invest over 26 million on projects to maintain clearances from trees.
During 2010 2015 we expect to invest about 95 million on work to rectify faults across the range of network assets.
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5. Contact Us
We are interested in views on this document and our future plans, including whether there are any areas you feel we have missed, or other priorities and factors we should consider.
YOU CAN:
Write to us at the following address: Head of External Communications Electricity North West 304 Bridgewater Place Birchwood Park Warrington WA3 6XG E-mail us at the following address: enquiries@enwl.co.uk
Or via the link on our website which also includes details of previous stakeholder events: www.enwl.co.uk
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Electricity North West 304 Bridgewater Place Birchwood Park Warrington WA3 6XG enquiries@enwl.co.uk www.enwl.co.uk