Economically Appropriate Rents For Crown Land With Pre-Existing Broadcast Towers
Economically Appropriate Rents For Crown Land With Pre-Existing Broadcast Towers
Economically Appropriate Rents For Crown Land With Pre-Existing Broadcast Towers
Joshua Gans
The analysis here represents the views of CoRE Research Pty Ltd
(ACN 096 869 760) and should not be construed as those of
Broadcast Australia.
May 2005
Executive Summary
In its review of rentals for Crown land communications tower sites, IPART is considering
rental fee methodologies that (i) apply rents to co-users as well as primary users of sites and (ii)
that are adjusted for the ‘strategic’ importance of sites. In so doing, it is proposing rental
methodologies that are not purely based on cost. That is, the rents may have a premium
attached to them above the value of the next best alternative use of the land.
The idea that rents should be paid by co-users as well as primary users is not justifiable from an
economics perspective. First, co-users cannot generate any value from use of the land if the
primary user’s tower (and related activities) is not present. Hence, those functions are strict
complements and so charging co-users represents a direct rental increase not justified by
changes in market conditions. Second, by imposing rents on co-users, the government would
fundamentally change the pricing options in this industry. In effect, each co-user would face
additional costs in utilising a tower on crown land. This could cause them (a) to reduce their
usage of such towers and (b) to substitute their usage to towers not on Crown land. In either
case, this would violate the objectives of maximising site use and minimising site proliferation.
Adjustments to rents based on strategic importance – that is, the benefits to users from a
particular site – are, in fact, a tax on the industry. Imposition of taxes are usually justified on
economic efficiency grounds – correcting a market failure – or distribution grounds – as a non-
distortionary means of raising general government revenue. Neither of these grounds holds in
this case:
• Efficiency: there are no obvious market failures that require a reduction in the usage of
telecommunications towers – either generally or by specific users – that would justify a
tax that may do just that. Moreover, to the extent that there are environmental
concerns, these have nothing to do with the user benefit from a site but from the costs
of utilising a site.
• Distribution: the investment and utilisation of crown lands for telecommunications sites
is unlikely to be inelastic in the long-run. As such, the government runs the risk of
significant distortions to economic and commercial behaviour from raising revenue in
this manner.
Absent these usual justifications, claims to raise rents on the basis of ‘strategic importance’
appear to amount to ‘hold-up’ by the government. In the classic ‘hold-up’ problem, having
invested in sunk assets and, therefore, finding it very costly to switch sites, the land owner has
moved to appropriate some of the value from the broadcast industry. In the extreme, user-
based charging of rents amounts to the government taking a long-term equity position in that
industry without the contribution of productive services. This is exacerbated by the notion that
co-user pricing will be, in some sense, managed by the NSW government. This will likely
discourage any investment in improvements in Crown land in NSW; regardless of intended use
– towers or otherwise. If the government wishes to raise taxes on the citizens of NSW, there
are probably more efficient and less distortionary means of doing so.
Finally, given the intention to convert the management of Crown land assets into a Public
Trading Enterprise, these proposals appear to violate competitive neutrality. Put simply, very
little Crown land is rented on a basis other than alternative use cost and, moreover, two towers
operating adjacent to one another on Crown land could face very different rents.
The basis for charging rents on Crown land should be based solely on its unimproved value in
its next best alternative use. This is likely to be similar to commercial rents on adjacent
properties (or an independent land valuation) plus an additional amount if there are
environmental issues.
Contents Page
1 Background ................................................. 2
3 ‘Strategic’ Importance................................. 7
3.1 Price Bounds in a Regulatory Setting .............. 7
4 Conclusion ................................................. 17
May 2005 i
Section 1 Background
1 Background
2
Section 2 Co-User Charges
2 Co-User Charges
Primary users are parties who contract with the land management
agency for access to land to develop it for use in communications and
broadcasting. These are also the parties making significant
infrastructure investments in a site. Primary users then contract with
co-users for various services on the site including installation of
equipment, maintenance and use of infrastructure.
V–K–M–L
And the ‘fair sharing’ rule implies that the NSW Government would
receive α(V – K – M) + L.
1 Suppose all of these values are amortised, annual costs and benefits.
3
Section 2 Co-User Charges
pi ≤ vi for each i.
∑ i
pi ≥ M + r
Notice that payments may not cover past development costs as the
primary user may have made a ‘mistake’ and over-invested in the site.
On the whole, however, it is likely that payments cover development
costs as well.
What is important about the current system is that the primary user
has an incentive to encourage use by co-users so long as those users
have any positive net value from using a site.
If they are charged directly, then a co-user, i, will only use a site if
pi + ri ≤ vi . This will likely mean that the price charged by the
primary user to the co-user would have to change. However, if
ri ≥ vi , then the co-user will definitely be forced to stop using the site.
Moreover, this could also occur should the primary user choose to
maintain their current payments to some co-users.
4
Section 2 Co-User Charges
Government does not control the price charged for access by the
primary user and so distortions may continue to arise.
Suppose then that a rental level, r, is set based on the historic co-
usage of a site. What happens next year? Market conditions change.
New uses for communications towers arise. Some users’ values
increase while other’s falls. In some cases, some co-users may no
longer wish to use a tower.
5
Section 2 Co-User Charges
2.3 Summary
Any form of co-user charging will likely involve the following costs:
6
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
What this means is that with regard to assets such as land, to ensure
efficient development and use, regulators have favoured valuing land
at current market values or alternatively at some measure of historic
7
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
cost.2 IPART too accepted this principle when determining the rents
on waterfront tenancies for private use. In that case, IPART used the
market value of adjacent land.3 By setting land values in this way, the
appropriate pricing signals are sent to both users and developers so
that each internalises costs they generate but otherwise make their
decisions on individual grounds. Such pricing generates both
allocative and dynamic efficiency leading to greater overall economic
welfare.
V–M–L–K>0
Recall that L is the amortised value of the land in its next best
alternative use. However, at best, primary users and co-users
decisions to use a site for communications will be based on whether
V – M – r – K is positive or not. Notice that if r < L, then some site
development for communications towers will go ahead even if V – M
– L – K < 0; leading to inefficient over-investment. On the other
hand, if r > L, then some site development will not occur even where
V – M – L – K > 0. It is only where r = L, that private decisions to
utilise a site for communications towers will be aligned with the
socially efficient outcome.
2 See the ACCC decisions with regard to airports – most notably Sydney airport.
3 IPART, Review into Rentals for Waterfront Tenancies on Crown Land in NSW, April
2004.
4 In some circumstances, it is recognised that to ensure that investment costs are
recovered in a less distortionary manner some form of differential user-charges are
required (e.g., by utilising Ramsey pricing). The idea of Ramsey pricing is to charge
users with inelastic demand more than those with elastic demand. This will
minimise the reduction in total use higher prices might otherwise generate.
Nonetheless, it is safe to say that, while the potential benefits of Ramsey pricing is
acknowledged, regulators around Australia have not employed it because the
demand-side informational issues have been too substantive.
8
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
IPART considers that the upper bound on rents for Crown Land
should be the “value of the site to the user.” In this case, the upper
bound on rents would be ru = V – M – K. Notice that, as V includes
the value of the site to all users, this upper bound is potentially very high.
For some sites, the entire value of broadcasting to a district rests on
that site. In its absence, all commercial revenue (say from advertising)
as well as consumer surplus from television and radio broadcasting
would be lost. Hence, these would be part of users’ willingness to pay.
In other cases, the upper bound may be lower. This would be the
case if users could easily develop adjacent sites and would switch to
those sites should rents rise by too much.
IPART acknowledges that truly setting land rents at the upper bound
extreme would not amount to a fair use of the benefits. Nonetheless,
what IPART does propose to do is to measure, in some way, V – M
– K and permit the NSW Government to earn some share, α, of that
value. Thus, α(V – M – K) represents a premium above the cost-
based rent discussed in Section 3.1. IPART’s key issue appears to be
what the size of this premium will be and the weight placed on V –
M – K.
9
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
This does not mean that it is impossible to measure the upper bound
for the process of determining rents but that IPART will need to
consider the alternative methods by which this upper bound might be
calculated and weigh amongst them.
10
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
may give rise to a situation where the primary user does not
find it worthwhile to serve some co-users.
Put simply, the rent premium is like an additional tax on the use of
communications towers in NSW. In economics, taxes are usually
justified for two reasons:
Second, in all of the submissions, I have not seen any case made that
a tax on communications towers will be non-distortionary. Non-
distortionary taxes are usually applied to goods with relatively inelastic
demand such as petrol and alcohol. They are rarely applied on
inputs to an industry as would be the case here. As I have noted
earlier, and is noted in some submissions, changes in usage and
investment may well arise as a result of significant increases in rents.
11
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
This might suggest that a tax like premium on land rents would not
be distortionary. However, it would amount to what economists call,
hold-up. Hold-up occurs when future prices do not reflect past
investment costs. In commercial matters, this can arise when firms
invest without long-term contracts being in place. In later
negotiations, sunk costs are not taken into account and those
investors are vulnerable to a squeeze from their customers. At the
extreme, when investors realise this possibility, they may choose not
to invest.
For those investors, they may not realise the long-term returns from
their investments. As noted above, this does not mean they will shut
down but it does mean that other investors will look carefully when
dealing with the government and, in particular, the land management
authority. They will take into account potential vulnerability to hold-
up and will change their invest plans accordingly.
12
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
5For a review of government hold-up in regulatory matters see Gregory Sidak and
Daniel Spulber, Deregulatory Takings and the Regulatory Contract, Cambridge University
Press, 1997.
6 For a discussion see Joshua Gans and Stephen King, “Access Holidays: The
Panacea for Network Infrastructure Investment,” Agenda, Vol.10, No.2, 2003,
pp.163-178.
13
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
The final issue with a premium over opportunity cost for rent is that
it may potentially violate competitive neutrality. A set of charges is
competitively neutral if competitors face the same marginal costs after
the charges are imposed.7 Here, however, the rent premium is
proposed to vary from site to site depending upon its usage and
strategic value. This means that it is conceivable that two competing
towers could face very different charges. This would violate
competitive neutrality.
In addition, for some sites, primary users and co-users are exactly the
same. If charging is based on the value to each, then it is conceivable
that there could be an advantage or disadvantage to users that are
vertically integrated; that is, ones that own infrastructure. The
problem is that the uncertainty with which a premium might be
imposed may generate either outcome. Moreover, as the Government
has some market power with respect to some sites – perhaps due to
their unique position – this would give rise to further variance in rents
not related to the underlying opportunity costs.
7 For a discussion of competitive neutrality see Joshua Gans and Stephen King,
14
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
It should also be noted that a rent based purely on the value of the
land in its alternative use would not generate the lowest possible
outcome in terms of rents to the NSW Government. In its
deliberations on the valuation of land for Sydney Airport, the ACCC
commissioned Professor Rohan Pitchford for an assessment of the
appropriate land value (i.e., rental income) in that case.8 In that case,
he dismissed a pure market valuation of land and argued that, because
Sydney airport was essential, the land value would have to subtract
the cost of rebuilding that airport elsewhere (as this is what using the
land for some other purpose would require). Thus, he would have
rents based on an asset value of L – K rather than just L.
15
Section 3 ‘Strategic’ Importance
that land might have been used for. Today, should the tower be
moved, what would be lost would be potentially much more given the
regional development that has occurred in the intervening time
period. As such, a pure land valuation approach would capture the
notion of opportunity cost that is relevant for this matter.
16
Section 4 Conclusion
4 Conclusion
It is my belief that a rent based on the valuation of the land in its next
best alternative use plus additional surcharges for potential
environmental costs (where appropriate, e.g., in national parks) would
be a better approach. This would involve pure rent for unimproved
land use by primary users (i.e., no co-user charges) as well as a
mechanism for rental price review over time based on changes in land
valuation. The end result would likely be a more efficient, transparent
17
Section 4 Conclusion
18
Managing Director
Addresses Numbers
Melbourne Business School, Phone: (03) 9349 8173
200 Leicester Street Fax: (03) 9349 8169
Carlton VIC 3053 Mobile: (0414) 911 161
E-Mail: Joshua.Gans@core-research.com.au
Education
Stanford University, U.S.A., Doctor of Philosophy (in Economics), 1990 - 1994, Dissertation Title:
Essays on Economic Growth and Change, Advisors: Professors Paul Milgrom, Kenneth J.
Arrow and Avner Greif.
University of Queensland, Australia, B.Econ (First Class Honours) with majors in Economics and
Law, 1986 - 1989.
Positions Held
Teaching Experience
Postgraduate subjects in microeconomics, incentives and contracts, economics of innovation,
macroeconomics, advanced game theory, personnel economics (Melbourne Business School
and University of New South Wales, AGSM and School of Economics)
Undergraduate subjects in microeconomics, macroeconomics, technological change and development
(University of New South Wales)
Executive Education in technology strategy (INSEAD) and regulatory economics
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Projects by Industry
1. Electricity
• Economic advice to the ACCC on the partial acquisition of Loy Yang Power by AGL (November –
December 2003).
• Expert testimony for TXU in appeal at the Victorian Supreme Court over the ORG’s electricity
pricing determination (March, 2001).
• Report critiquing the form of regulation of Victorian electricity distribution, on behalf of United
Energy (September - October, 2000).
• Participation in a training program for Macquarie Generation (December, 1999)
• Economic analysis of electricity generating asset in preparation for a bid (March, 1999)
• Analysis of a contract for sale of electricity to a smelter project (February, 1999)
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• Analysis of gaming the National Electricity Market Rules (February, 1998)
• Analysis of proposal for allocation of power purchasing agreements in Queensland (December, 1997)
• Analysis of vesting contract arrangements for the Queensland Electricity Reform Unit (December,
1997)
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• The role of greenhouse gas regulation on electricity pool behaviour (July, 1997)
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and the implications of contracts (May 1997 - November, 1999).
• Bid for Loy Yang: report on the implications of market power for asset values (October-February
1997);
• ETSA Generation: report on the regulation of market power (August, 1996);
• NSW Electricity: report to ACCC on potential for anti-competitive behaviour (March - April, 1996);
2. Gas
3. Telecommunications
2
• Submissions to the ACCC on behalf of AAPT in respect of Telstra’s proposed PSTN undertakings
(June 2003).
• Advice to Hutchison telecommunications on bundling in Pay TV markets (June 2002)
• Advice and analysis to AAPT with regard to its interconnection pricing dispute with Telstra at the
Australian Competition Tribunal (April, 2001 – May, 2002).
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of Vodafone’s undertakings with respect to its proposed bid for C&W Optus (February, 2001).
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infrastructure (December, 2000 – January, 2001).
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• Expert witness for the Australian Communications Authority/ACCC in a matter against Cable and
Wireless Optus at the Administrative Appeals Tribunal on local number portability (August, 1999)
• Advice to ACCC on commercial churn matter against Telstra (March, 1999 – January, 2000)
• Analysis of criteria for declaration of intercity transmission lines in telecommunications (ACCC);
(March, 1998)
• Report on contracting arrangements in telecommunications (October, 1997)
• Report on local number portability and technology adoption for Telstra (November, 1996)
• Submission to the ACCC on behalf of First Data with regard to its acquisition of CashCard
(November 2003 – January 2004).
• Research report and assistance to the National Australia Bank in assessing the competitive
implications and regulatory options for the setting of interchange fees in credit card associations
(March, 2000 – March 2001).
• Examination of theoretical arguments regarding horizontal mergers in Australian banking industry
(March, 1997 and May, 1998)
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Lease and National Mutual (November - December, 1997)
• Report on access to the electronic payments system for the National Australia Bank (March - July,
1998).
5. Pharmaceuticals
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(February 2002).
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in the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (May 2001 - June 2001).
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(April, 1999 – June, 1999)
• Economic analysis, on behalf of Faulding, of the competition issues surrounding a proposed takeover
of AMCAL by Faulding Retail (September, 1998).
• Report on merger authorisation for Sigma and QDL(Nov, 1996)
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(September 2004 – January 2005).
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• Analysis of exclusive dealing claim by Peter Stevens Motorcycles against Kawasaki on behalf of
Kawasaki (July – October 2004).
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• Economic advice to Boral on its proposed acquisition of Adelaide Brighton and litigation against the
ACCC (May 2004 – October 2004).
• Work for AWBI on the value of the single desk and its performance in wheat marketing (September
2003 – September 2004).
3
• Report for Medibank Private on the economic case for a private health insurance rebate (October
2002 – February, 2003).
• Submission to Productivity Commission on behalf of Adsteam Marine Ltd on harbour towage
regulation (May – June 2002).
• Submission to ACCC on behalf of Adsteam Marine Ltd on capital cost calculations in harbour towage
pricing (April 2002).
• Evaluation of the single desk selling of dairy products on behalf of the Australian Dairy Corporation
(September 2001).
• Advice to the ACCC on competition issues associated with B2B E-Commerce (August - September,
2001).
• Submission to the Victorian Treasury on the role of economic regulation and supply security in the
proposed Essential Services Commission, on behalf of the Regulated Businesses Forum (October,
2000).
• Submission to the Competition Review of the Wheat Marketing Act on behalf of AWB Limited
(March - August, 2000).
• Analysis of the Victorian Freight Rail access pricing regime for Freight Australia (July, 2000).
• Paper for Inquiry into Intellectual Property on behalf of APRA (November, 1999).
• Competitive Analysis of the proposed acquisition of Hymix by Pioneer (December, 1998)
• Analysis of access pricing principles for interstate rail (ACCC); (December, 1997)
• Assistance to Fairfax on submission to Productivity Commission on broadcast regulation (April,
1999);
• Report on supply security in electricity, gas and water (December, 1998)
• Analysis of merger between two oil refineries (August, 1998)
• Report on the Efficient Allocation of Digital Spectrum for John Fairfax Holdings Ltd (February,
1998)
• Report on product standards for electrical appliances in Victoria (March, 1997)
• Report on social implications of a merger for the provision of radiology services in Queensland (Jan
1997)
• Report on infrastructure access dispute in aluminium mining (November, 1996).
• Freight Rail Corp (NSW): Access dispute resolution with IPART (October 1996).
• Rationale for group negotiations for regional medical practitioners (September, 1996).
• Air NZ: theoretical work on the efficiency of access pricing by airports (March - April, 1996);
• Local Government Reform in Tasmania: developing a conceptual framework for the re-organisation
of governmental responsibilities among local and state governments (February - May, 1996).
• New South Wales Taxation Authority: Demand conditions in swimming pool construction
(December, 1994).
• Expert Witness Testimony on behalf of ARA on hazardous waste trade (December 2002 – February
2003).
• Expert testimony for TXU in appeal at the Victorian Supreme Court over the ORG’s electricity
pricing determination (March, 2001).
• Expert witness at Appeal Tribunal for United Energy appealing the Office of the Regulator General’s
Determination on prices for electricity distribution in Victoria (October, 2000)
• Expert witness at the Administrative Appeals Tribunal for the Australian Communications Authority
on dispute with Cable and Wireless Optus over local number portability requirements (August, 1999)
• Advice to ACCC on trade practices matter against Safeway (July, 1998 – August,, 1999)
• Advice to ACCC on predatory pricing case against Boral (April, 1998 – February, 2000)
• Assistance to Professor Philip Williams in preparation of expert witness statement for Australian
• Competition Tribunal consideration of the authorisation of the Australian Performing Rights
Association (January - August, 1998)
• Report on damages calculation for misleading information case in the building industry (August,
1997)
• Report on the economic theory of damages for price fixing violations (March, 1997)
• Submission of competitive implications of Pay TV mergers in New Zealand (Nov 1996)
4
Publications
Books
Finishing the Job: Real World Policy Solutions in Housing, Health, Education and Transport, Melbourne
University Publishing: Melbourne, 2004 (forthcoming).
Publishing Economics: Analyses of the Academic Labour Market in Economics, Edward Elgar: Cheltnam,
2000.
Principles of Economics (with Stephen King, Robin Stonecash and N. Gregory Mankiw), 2nd Pacific Rim
Edition, 2003 (1st Australasian Edition, Harcourt, Sydney, 2000).
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Pacific Rim Edition, Thomson, Melbourne, 2003 (1st Edition, Harcourt-Brace, Sydney, 1999).
Principles of Microeconomics (with Stephen King and N. Gregory Mankiw), 2nd Pacific Rim Edition,
Thomson, Melbourne, 2003 (1st Edition, Harcourt-Brace, Sydney, 1999).
Journal Articles
International
“Patent Renewal Fees and Self-Funded Patent Offices,” (with Stephen King and Ryan Lampe),
Topics in Theoretical Economics, Vol.4, No.1, 2004, Article 6.
“Vertical Integration in the Presence of Upstream Competition,” RAND Journal of Economics, 2004
(forthcoming).
“Markets for Ownership,” RAND Journal of Economics, 2004 (forthcoming).
“Can Vertical Integration by a Monopsonist Harm Consumer Welfare?” (with Catherine de
Fontenay), International Journal of Industrial Organization, Vol. 22, No. 6, 2004, pp. 821-834.
“When Does Funding Research by Smaller Firms Bear Fruit? Evidence from the SBIR Program,”
(with Scott Stern), Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Vol.12, No.4, 2003, pp.361-384.
“A Technological and Organisational Explanation for the Size Distribution of Firms,” (with John
Quiggin) Small Business Economics, Vol.21, No.3, November 2003, pp. 243-256.
“Approaches to Regulating Interchange Fees in Payment Systems,” (with Stephen King) Review of
Network Economics, Vol.2, No.2, June 2003, pp.125-145.
“The Product Market and the Market for ‘Ideas’: Commercialization Strategies for Technology
Entrepreneurs,” (with Scott Stern), Research Policy, Vol.32, No.2, February, 2003, pp.333-350.
“Organizational Design and Technology Choice under Intrafirm Bargaining,” (with Catherine de
Fontenay), American Economic Review, Vol.93, No.1, March 2003, pp.448-455.
“The Neutrality of Interchange Fees in Payment Systems,” (with Stephen King), Topics in Economic
Analysis and Policy, Vol.3, No.1, 2003, Article 1.
“When Does Start-Up Innovation Spur the Gale of Creative Destruction?” (with David Hsu and
Scott Stern), RAND Journal of Economics, Vol.33, No.4, pp.571-586.
“Exclusionary Contracts and Competition for Large Buyers,” International Journal of Industrial
Organization, Vol.20, 2002, pp.1363-1381.
“Regulating Private Infrastructure Investment: Optimal Pricing for Access to Essential Facilities,”
Journal of Regulatory Economics, Vol.20, No.2, 2001, pp.167-189.
“Numbers to the People: Regulation, Ownership and Local Number Portability,” (with Stephen
King and Graeme Woodbridge), Information Economics and Policy, 13 (2), June 2001, pp.167-180.
“Using ‘Bill and Keep’ Interconnect Arrangements to Soften Network Competition,” (with
Stephen King) Economic Letters, 71 (3), June 2001, pp.413-420.
“Regulating Endogenous Customer Switching Costs,” (with Stephen King), Contributions to
Theoretical Economics, Vol 1, Issue 1, 2001, Article 1.
“Mobile Network Competition, Customer Ignorance and Fixed-to-Mobile Call Prices,” (with
Stephen King), Information Economics and Policy, Vol.12, No.4, 2000, pp.301-328.
“Incumbency and R&D Incentives: Licensing the Gale of Creative Destruction,” (with Scott
Stern), Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, Vol.9, No.4, 2000, pp.485-511.
6
“Network Competition and Consumer Churn,” Information Economics and Policy, Vol.12, No.2, 2000,
pp.97-110.
“First Author Conditions,” (with Maxim Engers, Simon Grant and Stephen King), Journal of Political
Economy, Vol. 107, No.4, August 1999, pp.859-883.
“Limited Information, the Possibility of Rational Choice and the Contingent Valuation Method,”
International Journal of Social Economics, Vol.26, Nos.1/2/3, 1999, pp.402-414.
“Why Referees Don’t Get Paid (Enough),” (with Maxim Engers), American Economic Review, Vol.88,
No.5, December, 1998, pp.1341-1349.
“Industrialization with a Menu of Technologies: Appropriate Technologies and the “Big Push,”
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Vol.9, No.3, September 1998, pp.63-78.
“Time Lags and Indicative Planning in a Dynamic Model of Industrialisation,” Journal of the Japanese
and International Economies, Vol.12, 1998, pp.103-130.
“Fixed Cost Assumptions in Industrialization Theories,” Economic Letters, Vol.56, 1997, pp.111-119.
“Measuring Product Diversity,” (with Robert Hill), Economic Letters, Vol.55, No.1, 1997, pp.145-150.
“Urban Productivity and Factor Growth in the Late Nineteenth Century” (with Raphael Bostic and
Scott Stern), Journal of Urban Economics, Vol.41, No.1 January 1997, pp.38-55.
“On the Impossibility of Rational Choice Under Incomplete Information,” Journal of Economic Behavior
and Organization, Vol.29, No.2, March 1996, pp.287-309.
“Majority Voting With Single-Crossing Preferences,” (with Michael Smart) Journal of Public Economics,
58 (1), February 1996, pp.219-238.
“Best Replies and Adaptive Learning,” Mathematical Social Sciences, Vol.30, No.3, 1995, pp.221-234.
“Evolutionary Selection of Beliefs,” Economic Letters, Vol.49, No.1, July 1995, pp.13-17.
“How Are The Mighty Fallen: Rejected Classic Articles By Leading Economists,” (with George
Shepherd), Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol.8, No.1, Winter 1994, pp.165-179.
“Time and Economics: Reflections on Hawking,” Methodus, Vol.2, No.2, December 1990, pp. 80-81.
“Knowledge of Growth and the Growth of Knowledge,” Information Economics and Policy, Vol.4, No.3,
1989-90, pp.201-224.
Local
“Taking into Account Extraordinary Circumstances in Regulatory Pricing,” (with Stephen King),
Agenda, 2004 (forthcoming).
“Potential Anticompetitive Effects of Bundling,” (with Stephen King) Australian Business Law Review,
2004 (forthcoming).
“Supermarkets and Shopper Dockets: The Australian Experience,” (with Stephen King) Australian
Economic Review, 2004 (forthcoming).
“Does Australia’s Health Insurance System Really Provide Insurance?” Policy, 2004 (forthcoming).
“When are Regulated Access Prices Competitively Neutral? The Case of Telecommunications in
Australia,” (with Stephen King), Australian Business Law Review, 2004 (forthcoming).
“The Decision of the High Court in Rural Press: How the literature on credible threats may have
materially facilitated a better decision,” (with Rajat Sood and Philip Williams) Australian Business
Law Review (forthcoming, 2004).
“The Housing Lifeline: A Policy for Short-Run Housing Affordability,” (with Stephen King)
Agenda, Vol.11, No.2, 2004 (forthcoming).
“Structural and Behavioural Market Power under the Trade Practices Act: An Application to
Predatory Pricing,” (with Anthony Niblett and Stephen King) Australian Business Law Review,
Vol.32, No.2 April, 2004, pp.83-110.
“The Value of IP Protection in Markets for Ideas,” Australian Intellectual Property Law Bulletin, Vol.16,
No.6, 2003, pp.88-90.
“Contestability, Complementary Inputs and Contracting: The Case of Harbour Towage,” (with
Stephen King), Australian Economic Review, Vol.36, No.4, December 2003, pp.415-427.
“Access Holidays and the Timing of Infrastructure Investment,” Economic Record, Vol.80, No.248,
March 2004, pp.89-100.
“Anti-Insurance: Analysing the Health Insurance System in Australia,” (with Stephen King),
Economic Record, Vol.79, No.248, December 2003, pp.473-486.
7
“Access Holidays for Network Investment,” (with Stephen King), Agenda, Vol.10, No.2, 2003,
pp.163-178.
“A Theoretical Analysis of Credit Card Reform in Australia” (with Stephen King), Economic Record
Vol.79, No.247, December 2003, pp.462-472.
“Regulating Termination Charges for Telecommunications Networks,” (with Stephen King),
Australian Journal of Management, Vol.27, No.1, June 2002, pp.75-86.
“The Economic Consequences of DVD Regional Restrictions,” (with Emily Dunt and Stephen
King), Economic Papers, Vol.21, No.1, 2002, pp.32-45.
“The Treatment of Natural Monopolies under the Australian Trade Practices Act: Three Recent
Decisions,” (with Frances Hanks and Philip Williams), Australian Business Law Review, Vol.29,
No.6, December, 2001, pp.492-507.
“The Role of Interchange Fees in Credit Card Associations: Competitive Analysis and Regulatory
Options,” (with Stephen King), Australian Business Law Review, Vol.29., No.2, April 2001,
pp.94-122.
“Benefits and Costs of Copyright: An Economic Perspective - Part 2,” (with Megan Richardson,
Frances Hanks and Philip Williams) Australian Intellectual Property Law Bulletin, Vol.13, No.6,
2000, pp.79-92.
“Benefits and Costs of Copyright: An Economic Perspective,” (with Megan Richardson, Frances
Hanks and Philip Williams) Australian Intellectual Property Law Bulletin, Vol.13, No.5, 2000,
pp.62-65.
“Options for Electricity Transmission Regulation in Australia,” (with Stephen King), Australian
Economic Review, Vol.33, No. 2, June 2000, pp.145-161.
“The Competitive Balance Argument for Mergers,” Australian Economic Review, Vol.33, No.1, March
2000, pp.83-93.
“The Role of Undertakings in Regulatory Decision-Making” (with Teresa Fels and Stephen King),
Australian Economic Review, Vol.33, No.1, March 2000, pp.3-16.
“Economic Issues Associated with Access to Electronic Payments Systems,” (with Richard
Scheelings) Australian Business Law Review, Vol.27, No.5, December 1999, pp.373-390.
“Efficient Investment Pricing Rules and Access Regulation” (with Philip Williams), Australian Business
Law Review, Vol.27, No.3, August 1999, pp.267-279.
“Growth in Australian Cities,” (with Rebecca Bradley), Economic Record, Vol.74, No.226, September,
1998, pp.266-278.
“Contracts and Electricity Pool Prices,” (with Danny Price and Kim Woods), Australian Journal of
Management, Vol.23, No.1, June, 1998, pp.83-96.
“Driving the Hard Bargain for Australian R&D,” Prometheus, Vol.16, No.1, March, 1998, pp.47-56.
“Access Regulation and the Timing of Infrastructure Investment,” (with Philip Williams), Economic
Record, Vol.75, No.228, March 1999, pp.39-49.
“Does Australia Really Need to Encourage its Innovators to Commercialise In-House?” Policy,
Vol.13, No.4, March 1998, pp.36-40.
“Of Grand Prix and Circuses,” Australian Economic Review, No.155, 3rd Quarter 1996, pp.299-307.
“Comparative Statics Made Simple: An Introduction to Recent Advances,” Australian Economic Papers,
June 1996, pp.81-93.
“Inside the Black Box: A Look at the Container,” Prometheus, Vol.13, No.2, December 1995, pp.169-
183.
“Chaos Theory, Nonlinearities and Economics: A Speculative Note,” Economic Papers, Vol.10, No.1,
March 1991, pp.40-53.
Book Chapters
“Wireless Communications,” (with Stephen King and Julian Wright) Handbook of Telecommunications
Economics, North-Holland, 2004 (forthcoming).
“Regulating Interconnection Pricing,” (with Stephen King), Australian Telecommunications Regulation, A.
Grant (ed.), UNSW Press: Sydney, 2003.
“Innovation and Market Structure in General Equilibrium,” (with Robin Stonecash), in A. Woodland
(ed.), International Trade and Economic Theory: Essays in Honor of Murray Kemp, Edward Elgar:
Cheltnam, 2001, pp.181-191.
8
“Engendering Change,” in S. Keen et.al. (eds.), Commerce, Complexity, and Evolution, Cambridge
University Press: New York, 2000, Chpt 19, pp.391-414.
“A Strategic Theory of In-House Research and Development,” in S. MacDonald and J. Nightingale
(eds.), Information and Organization, Elsevier: Amsterdam, 1999, pp.167-182.
“A Primer on Access Regulation and Investment” (with Philip Williams), in M. Arblaster and M.
Jamison (eds.), Infrastructure Regulation and Market Reform: Principles and Practice, ACCC/PURC:
Melbourne, 1998, pp.150-160.
“Industrialisation Policy and the Big Push,” in K.J. Arrow et.al. (eds.) Increasing Returns and Economic
Analysis, Macmillan: London, 1998, Chpt 13.
Working Papers
“Options for Housing Policy for Low Income Households,” (with Stephen King), Working Paper,
Menzies Research Centre, 2003.
“Assessing Australia’s Innovative Capacity in the 21st Century,” (with Scott Stern), Working Paper,
MBS.
“Extending Market Power through Vertical Integration,” (with Catherine de Fontenay), Working
Paper, 99-2, MBS, February 1999
“Incentive Contracts, Optimal Penalties and Enforcement,” Working Paper, No.6, MBS, January
1998.
“The Allocation of Decisions in Organizations,” (with Susan Athey, Scott Schaefer and Scott Stern)
Discussion Paper, No.1322, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, October 1994.
“Monopolistic Competition a la Dixit and Stiglitz (and its Applications),” Working Paper, No.9409,
Department of Economics, University of New South Wales, October 1994.
“The Cyclical Responsiveness of Shifts in Employment Over Sectors,” (with Roberto Mazzoleni),
Quaderni Dell'Istituteo Di Scienze Economiche e Finanziarie, No.15, Universita Degli Studi Di
Cagliari Sacolta Di Scienze Politiche, January 1993, 19pp.
Articles
“Surprising and Nobel rejections,” Australian Financial Review, 25th October, 1995, p.19.
“Playing off the States delivers a grand prix,” Australian Financial Review, 7th March, 1996, p.17.
“The inventive alternative,” Australian Financial Review, 12th June, 1997, p.19.
“Privatisation debate futile,” Australian Financial Review, 14th July, 1997, p.17
“Illegal drugs: the supply side,” Australian Financial Review, 27th August, 1997, p.20.
“A paparazzi-free environment,” Australian Financial Review, 8th September, 1997, p.16.
“By and buy, Yule regret it,” Australian Financial Review, 26th November, 1997, p.33.
“Tracks of your tears -- Choosing CDs” Australian Financial Review, Wednesday 31st December, 1997,
p.9.
“When being first doesn’t pay,” (with Stephen King), Australian Financial Review, Friday 30th January,
1998, p.32.
“Libraries and Banks and Cyberspace Challenge,” Issues, Vol.30, September, 1998, p.2.
“Does Sony Realise the Game it is Playing,” The Manager, March 1999 (on-line).
“The Failure of Language in Anti-trust Debate,” The Manager, April 2000 (on-line).
“Stephen King’s Game of Horror,” The Manager, August 2000 (on-line).
“Managing Ideas: Commercialization Strategies for Biotechnology,” The ICFAI Journal of Intellectual
Property Rights, Vol.II, No.2, May 2003, pp.17-28.
“Auction tips takes a hammering,” Herald Sun, 25th August 2003.
“Petrol deals a blow to the average consumer,” (with Stephen King), Australian Financial Review, 20th
August 2003.
“Housing lifelines would rescue many,” (with Stephen King) Australian Financial Review, 6th August,
2003.
9
“Internet auctions fairer for all,” Herald Sun, 14th August 2003, p.18.
“The Case for Credit Card Reform: A Primer for Students,” Ecodate, July 2003.
“Is it Time to take an Access Holiday?” (with Stephen King) The Pipeliner, 2003.
“Internet auctions fairer for all,” Herald Sun, 14th August 2003, p.18.
“Petrol deals a blow to the average consumer,” (with Stephen King), Australian Financial Review, 20th
“A measure of all things innovative,” Australian Financial Review, 17th May, 2004.
“Talking in billions,” Campus Review, 19th May, 2004, p.5.
“System Blocks Better Health Care,” (with Stephen King) Australian Financial Review, 22nd March 2004.
“Does the winner really take it all?” The Age, 21st August, 2004, p.17.
“Who are you insuring anyway?” The Age, 28th August, 2004, p.21.
“Cost-plus, haggle-minus,” The Age, 4th September, 2004, p.18.
“Integration sometimes stacks up,” Australian Financial Review, 6th September, 2004.
“Bundled bidding,” The Age, 11th September, 2004.
Book Chapters
“Wireless Communications,” (with Stephen King and Julian Wright) Handbook of Telecommunications
Economics, North-Holland, 2004 (forthcoming).
“Regulating Interconnection Pricing,” (with Stephen King), Australian Telecommunications Regulation, A.
Grant (ed.), UNSW Press: Sydney, 2003.
“Innovation and Market Structure in General Equilibrium,” (with Robin Stonecash), in A. Woodland
(ed.), International Trade and Economic Theory: Essays in Honor of Murray Kemp, Edward Elgar:
Cheltnam, 2001, pp.181-191.
“Engendering Change,” in S. Keen et.al. (eds.), Commerce, Complexity, and Evolution, Cambridge
University Press: New York, 2000, Chpt 19, pp.391-414.
“A Strategic Theory of In-House Research and Development,” in S. MacDonald and J. Nightingale
(eds.), Information and Organization, Elsevier: Amsterdam, 1999, pp.167-182.
“A Primer on Access Regulation and Investment” (with Philip Williams), in M. Arblaster and M.
Jamison (eds.), Infrastructure Regulation and Market Reform: Principles and Practice, ACCC/PURC:
Melbourne, 1998, pp.150-160.
“Industrialisation Policy and the Big Push,” in K.J. Arrow et.al. (eds.) Increasing Returns and Economic
Analysis, Macmillan: London, 1998, Chpt 13.
Working Papers
“Options for Housing Policy for Low Income Households,” (with Stephen King), Working Paper,
Menzies Research Centre, 2003.
“Assessing Australia’s Innovative Capacity in the 21st Century,” (with Scott Stern), Working Paper,
IPRIA, 2003.
“Extending Market Power through Vertical Integration,” (with Catherine de Fontenay), Working
Paper, 99-2, MBS, February 1999
“Incentive Contracts, Optimal Penalties and Enforcement,” Working Paper, No.6, MBS, January
1998.
“The Allocation of Decisions in Organizations,” (with Susan Athey, Scott Schaefer and Scott Stern)
Discussion Paper, No.1322, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, October 1994.
“Monopolistic Competition a la Dixit and Stiglitz (and its Applications),” Working Paper, No.9409,
Department of Economics, University of New South Wales, October 1994.
“The Cyclical Responsiveness of Shifts in Employment Over Sectors,” (with Roberto Mazzoleni),
Quaderni Dell'Istituteo Di Scienze Economiche e Finanziarie, No.15, Universita Degli Studi Di
Cagliari Sacolta Di Scienze Politiche, January 1993, 19pp.
10
Other Professional Activities
11