SAS Presentation
SAS Presentation
SAS Presentation
SAS
Group 9 Varun Jain (00380/49) Varun Jaiswal (0381/49) Sovan (0384/49) Vinod Chaudhary (0394/49) Vinoth (0395/49)
SAS
Reporting
Analytics
Know how to capture any abnormal behavior as close to time of the transaction as possible to combat fraud.
Reduce risk by uncovering operational gaps, vulnerabilities & threats that may otherwise go unnoticed until it is too late to intervene.
Predictive Analysis
Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of techniques from statistics, modeling, machine learning, and data mining that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future, or otherwise unknown, events
Predictive Analysis
Regression
Classification
Clustering
Scoring
Cross Selling
Risk Management
Customer Retention
Market Segmentation
Credit Worthiness
Scenario
Database
Orion Star Maintaining a database of all donor information including the personal and demographic details of the donors, the donation amounts by period, history of any promotional previous offers, etc.
Using SAS Enterprise Miner client 12.1 to perform an in depth analysis of the data available in order to identify relationships which have until now been ignored while targeting promotions
Getting Started
Create a data library that will contain the data to be worked upon
Create a new data source for the dataset and modify the metadata as per requirements.
DMDB Run
Result
Exploring Data
Plotting Charts
Plotting Histogram
Partition
Training Test
40%
40%
Validation
20%
Determines relationship between multiple variables by calculating an equation which satisfies the observed data
Linear Regression Non Linear Regression
Logistic Regression Decision Tree ANN Ensemble
Model
Model 1: Error
Decision Tree
In classifying process, decision trees visualize which steps were taken to arrive at a classification. Decision tree begins with a root node, which is the "parent" of every other node present in the tree. Each node evaluates an attribute given in the data and determines the path that it should follow. The decision is based on comparing the value of attributes against some constant prespecified. While doing classification using a decision tree we start routing from the root node and traverse till we arrive at a leaf node.
Decision Tree
The decision tree is obtained such that purity of nodes can be gauged from the color of the nodes and the thickness of the edges shows the percentage of tuples moving to that node in the next level.
Decision Tree
The iteration plot for the tree shows that average square error is minimum at 6 number of leaves.
Ensemble
Ensemble methods use multiple models to provide better predictive performance as compared to constituent models. Ensemble is a supervised learning algorithm because it can be trained and then used to make predictions
Ensemble
Assess
Assessment
Selected
Score
Created
model based on historical data can be applied to new data to predict unseen behavior process of using a model to predict about behavior which is yet to happen is called scoring.
This
Best model is selected. Expected profit is maximized for given decision weights. Selected model is used to predict whether to send or dont send for the entire data set.
Clustering
To understand pattern of sales in stores - Dungaree -Stores 6 and 4 provide maximum revenue -In Segment 4, Leisure performs well, Original performs badly
Association Mining
Bank & Different accounts Understand correlation and probable causation between accounts -Rules on top right best, provided lift conditions are satisfied -Horizontal line for support cutoff, Vertical line for confidence cutoff
Association Mining
Scenario
Sports
goods manufacturer - Various products - Different geographies - Types of customers - Sold at different times
Identify
Metadata creation
Drill Down
Drill Down
-Maximum costs for Outdoor category; Revenue not highest Could reduce cost and increase revenues -Sports doing well -Scope for improvement in Children category
- Maximum revenue from United States - Sports accounting for maximum revenue in US