The Basics of Supply and Demand
The Basics of Supply and Demand
The Basics of Supply and Demand
The Basics of
Supply and
Demand
Topics to Be Discussed
• Supply and Demand
• The Market Mechanism
• Changes in Market Equilibrium
• Elasticities of Supply and Demand
• Short-Run Versus Long-Run
Elasticities
Chapter 1 2
Topics to Be Discussed
• Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market
Conditions
Chapter 1 3
Introduction
• Applications of Supply and Demand
Analysis
– Understanding and predicting how world
economic conditions affect market price
and production
– Analyzing the impact of government
price controls, minimum wages, price
supports, and production incentives
Chapter 1 4
Introduction
• Applications of Supply and Demand
Analysis
– Analyzing how taxes, subsidies, and
import restrictions affect consumers and
producers
Chapter 1 5
Supply and Demand
• The Supply Curve
– The supply curve shows how much of a
good producers are willing to sell at a
given price, holding constant other
factors that might affect quantity
supplied
Chapter 1 6
Supply and Demand
• The Supply Curve
– This price-quantity relationship can be
shown by the equation:
Qs = QS (P)
Chapter 1 7
Supply and Demand
The Supply
Price
Curve Graphically
($ per unit)
Quantity
Chapter 1 8
Supply and Demand The Supply
Price
Curve Graphically
($ per unit) S
P2
The supply curve slopes
P1 upward demonstrating that
at higher prices firms
will increase output
Q1 Q2 Quantity
Chapter 1 9
Supply and Demand
• Non-price Determining Variables of
Supply
– Costs of Production
• Labor
• Capital
• Raw Materials
Chapter 1 10
Supply and Demand
Change in Supply
– At P2, produce Q1 P1
– Supply curve shifts
right to S’ P2
Q0 Q1 Q2 Q
Chapter 1 11
Supply and Demand
• Supply - A Review
– Supply is determined by non-price
supply-determining variables as such as
the cost of labor, capital, and raw
materials.
– Changes in supply are shown by shifting
the entire supply curve.
Chapter 1 12
Supply and Demand
• Supply - A Review
– Changes in quantity supplied are shown
by movements along the supply curve
and are caused by a change in the price
of the product.
Chapter 1 13
Supply and Demand
• The Demand Curve
– The demand curve shows how much of a
good consumers are willing to buy as
the price per unit changes holding non-
price factors constant.
– This price-quantity relationship can be
shown by the equation:
QD = QD(P)
Chapter 1 14
Supply and Demand
Price
($ per unit)
Quantity
Chapter 1 15
Supply and Demand
Price
($ per unit) The demand curve slopes
downward demonstrating
that consumers are willing
to buy more at a lower price
as the product becomes
relatively cheaper and the
consumer’s real income
increases.
Quantity
Chapter 1 16
Supply and Demand
• Non-price Determining Variables of
Demand
– Income
– Consumer Tastes
– Price of Related Goods
• Substitutes
• Complements
Chapter 1 17
Supply and Demand
Change in Demand
P D D’
• Income P2
Increases
– At P1, produce Q2
P1
– At P2, produce Q1
Q0 Quantity
Chapter 1 20
The Market Mechanism
Chapter 1 21
The Market Mechanism
Price
S
($ per unit)
Surplus
P1
If price is above equilibrium:
1) Price is above the
P0 market clearing price
2) Qs > Qd
3) Price falls to the
market-clearing price
Q0 Quantity
Chapter 1 22
The Market Mechanism
A Surplus
Q1 Q3 Q2 Quantity
Chapter 1 24
The Market Mechanism
Surplus - Review:
Q1 Q3 Q2 Quantity
Chapter 1 26
The Market Mechanism
Shortage
– Surplus @ P1 of
P1
Q1, Q2
P3
– Equilibrium @ P3,
Q3
Q1 Q3 Q2 Q
Chapter 1 30
Changes In Market
Equilibrium
• Income Increases P D D’ S
– Demand shifts to D1
– Shortage @ P1 of Q1, P3
Q2 P1
– Equilibrium @ P3, Q3
Q2 Q1 Q3 Q
Chapter 1 31
Changes In Market
Equilibrium
– Equilibrium price
and quantity
increase to P2, Q2
Q1 Q2 Q
Chapter 1 32
Shifts in Supply and
Demand
• When supply and demand change
simultaneously, the impact on the
equilibrium price and quantity is
determined by:
1) The relative size and direction of the
change
2) The shape of the supply and demand
models
Chapter 1 33
The Price of Eggs and the Price
of a College Education Revisited
S1998
$0.61
$0.26
D1970
D1998
5,300 5,500 Q (million dozens)
Chapter 1 35
The Price of a College Education
$2,530
D1995
D1970
Chapter 1 38
Changes In Market
Equilibrium
• Question
– Why did the income distribution become
more unequal for 1977 to 1999?
Chapter 1 39
Consumption & Price of
Copper 1880-
1998
Chapter 1 40
The Long-Run Behavior
of Natural Resource Prices
• Observations
– Consumption of copper has increased
about a hundred fold from 1880 through
1998 indicating a large increase in
demand.
– The real price for copper has remained
relatively constant.
Chapter 1 41
Changes In Market
Equilibrium
Price S1900 S1950
S1998
Long-Run Path of
Price and Consumption
• Conclusion
– Decreases in the costs of production
have increased the supply by more than
enough to offset the increase in
demand.
Chapter 1 43
Changes In Market
Equilibrium
• Observation
– To accurately predict the future price of
a product or service, it is necessary to
consider the potential change in supply
and demand.
– 1970 predictions for oil and other
minerals proved incorrect because they
only considered the demand side of the
market.
Chapter 1 44
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
Chapter 1 45
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
Price Elasticity of Demand
Chapter 1 46
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
EP = (%∆Q)/(%∆P)
Chapter 1 47
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
Price Elasticity of Demand
Chapter 1 48
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
Price Elasticity of Demand
Chapter 1 49
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
• Interpreting Price Elasticity of
Demand Values
1) Because of the inverse relationship
between P and Q; EP is negative.
Chapter 1 51
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
Price Elasticity of Demand
Chapter 1 52
Price Elasticities of Demand
Price
EP = - ∞ The lower portion of
4 a downward sloping
demand curve is less elastic
Q = 8 - 2P than the upper portion.
Ep = -1
2
Linear Demand Curve
Q = a - bP
Q = 8 - 2P
Ep = 0
4 8 Q
Chapter 1 53
Price Elasticities of Demand
Price
Infinitely Elastic Demand
P* D
EP = - ∞
Quantity
Chapter 1 54
Price Elasticities
CompletelyofInelastic
Demand Demand
Price
EP = 0
Q* Quantity
Chapter 1 55
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
Other Demand Elasticities
Chapter 1 56
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
Other Demand Elasticities
∆Q/Q I ∆Q
EI = =
∆I/I Q ∆I
Chapter 1 57
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
Other Demand Elasticities
Chapter 1 60
Elasticities
Elasticities of Supply
of Supply and Demand
Chapter 1 61
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
The Market for Wheat
Chapter 1 62
Elasticities of Supply and Demand
The Market for Wheat
• Equilibrium: Q S = Q D
1,800 + 240 P = 3,550 − 266 P
506 P = 1,750
P = 3.46 / bushel
Q = 1,800 + (240)(3.46) = 2,630 million bushels
P ∆QD 3.46
E =
D
P = (−2.66) = −.035 Inelastic
Q ∆P 2,630
P ∆QS 3.46
E = S
P = (2.40) = .032 Inelastic
Q ∆P 2,630
4.00
Q =D
P ( −266) = −0.43
2,486
Chapter 1 65
Changes in the Market:
The Market for Wheat 1981-1998
Supply (Qs) Demand (QD) Equilibrium Price (Qs = QD)
Chapter 1 66
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Demand
Chapter 1 67
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Demand
Chapter 1 68
Gasoline: Short-Run and
Long-Run Demand Curves
Price DSR
People tend to
drive smaller and
more fuel efficient
cars in the long-run
Gasoline DLR
Quantity
Chapter 1 69
Automobiles: Short-Run and
Long-Run Demand Curves
Price DLR
People may put
off immediate
consumption, but
eventually older cars
must be replaced.
Automobiles DSR
Quantity
Chapter 1 70
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Income Elasticities
Chapter 1 71
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Income Elasticities
Chapter 1 72
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Income Elasticities
Chapter 1 73
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
The Demand for
Gasoline and Automobiles
Chapter 1 74
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
The Demand for
Gasoline and Automobiles
• Gasoline
– The long-run price and income
elasticities are larger than the short-run
elasticities.
• Automobiles
– The long-run price and income
elasticities are smaller than the short-
run elasticities.
Chapter 1 75
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Elasticity 1 2 3 4 5 6
Chapter 1 76
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Elasticity 1 2 3 4 5 6
Chapter 1 77
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
The Demand for
Gasoline and Automobiles
• Data Explains:
1) Why the price of oil did not
continue to rise above $30/barrel
even though it rose very rapidly in
the early 1970s.
2) Why automobile sales are so
sensitive to the business cycle.
Chapter 1 78
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Supply
Chapter 1 79
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Primary Copper: Short-Run and
Long-Run Supply Curves
SSR
Price
SLR
Due to limited
capacity, firms
are limited by
output constraints
in the short-run.
In the long-run, they
can expand.
Quantity
Chapter 1 80
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Secondary Copper: Short-Run and
Long-Run Supply Curves SLR
Price SSR
Price increases
provide an incentive
to convert scrap
copper into new supply.
In the long-run, this
stock of scrap copper
begins to fall.
Quantity
Chapter 1 81
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Supply of Copper
Chapter 1 82
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Weather in Brazil and
the price of Coffee
in New York
Chapter 1 83
Price of Brazilian Coffee
Chapter 1 84
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Coffee S’ S
Price A freeze or drought
decreases the supply
P1 of coffee
P0
Short-Run
1) Supply is completely inelastic
2) Demand is relatively inelastic
3) Very large change in price
Q1 Q0 Quantity
Chapter 1 85
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Coffee
Price S’ S
P2
P0
Intermediate-Run
1) Supply and demand are
more elastic
2) Price falls back to P2.
3) Quantity falls to Q2
Q2 Q0 Quantity
Chapter 1 86
Short-Run Versus
Long-Run Elasticities
Coffee
Price
Long-Run
1) Supply is extremely elastic.
2) Price falls back to P0.
3) Quantity increase to Q0.
P0 S
Q0 Quantity
Chapter 1 87
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
• Available Data
– Equilibrium Price, P*
– Equilibrium Quantity, Q*
– Price elasticity of supply, ES, and
demand, ED.
Chapter 1 89
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
Price
Supply: Q = c + dP
a/b
ED = -bP*/Q*
P* ES = dP*/Q*
-c/d Demand: Q = a - bP
Q* Quantity
Chapter 1 90
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
Demand: QD = a - bP
Supply: QS = c + dP
• Step 1:
Recall:
E = (P/Q)( ∆Q/∆P)
Chapter 1 92
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
Chapter 1 93
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
ED = - b(P * /Q*)
ES = d(P * /Q*)
Chapter 1 94
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
Chapter 1 95
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
Chapter 1 96
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
• Ed = -b(P*/Q*)
• Es = d(P*/Q*)
• -0.8 = -b(.75/7.5)
• 1.6 = d(75/7.5) = -0.1b
= 0.1d
• b = 0.8/0.1 = 8
• d = 1.6/0.1 = 16
Chapter 1 97
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
Chapter 1 98
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
p = 18/24 = .75
Chapter 1 99
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
Price
Supply: QS = -4.5 + 16P
a/b
.75
7.5 Mmt/yr
Chapter 1 100
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
Chapter 1 101
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
Chapter 1 102
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
f = ∆Q / ∆I
Chapter 1 103
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
f = (1.3)(7.5)/1.0 = 9.75
Chapter 1 104
Understanding and Predicting the
Effects of Changing Market Conditions
a = 3.75
Chapter 1 105
Declining Demand and the
Behavior of Copper Prices
Chapter 1 107
Real versus Nominal
Prices of Copper 1965 - 1999
• We will try to estimate the impact of
a 20 percent decrease in the demand
for copper.
Q = 13.5 - 8P
Chapter 1 108
Real versus Nominal
Prices of Copper 1965 - 1999
• Multiply this equation by 0.80 to get
the new equation. This gives:
Q = (0.80)(13.5 - 8P)
Q = 10.8 - 6.4P
P = 15.3/22.4
P = 68.3 cents/pound
Chapter 1 110
Real versus Nominal
Prices of Copper 1965 - 1999
• The twenty percent decrease in
demand resulted in a reduction in
the equilibrium price to 68.3 cents
from 75 cents, or 10 percent.
Chapter 1 111
Price of Crude Oil
Chapter 1 112
Upheaval in the World Oil Market
• We can predict numerically the
impact of a decrease in the supply of
OPEC oil.
• In 1995:
– P* = $18/barrel
– World demand and total supply = 23
bb/yr.
– OPEC supply = 10 bb/yr.
– Non-OPEC supply = 113 bb/yr
Chapter 113
Price Elasticity Estimates
Short-Run Long-Run
Chapter 1 114
Upheaval in the World Oil Market
• Short-Run Impact of a stoppage of
Saudi Production equal to 3 bb/yr.
– Short-run Demand
• D = 24.08 - 0.06P
– Short-run Competitive Supply
• SC = 11.74 + 0.07P
Chapter 1 115
Upheaval in the World Oil Market
• Short-Run Impact of a stoppage of
Saudi Production equal to 3 bb/yr.
– Short-run Total Supply--before supply
reduction (includes OPEC, 10bb/yr)
• ST = 21.74 + 0.07P
– Short-run Total Supply--after supply
reduction
• ST = 18.74 + 0.07P
Chapter 1 116
Upheaval in the World Oil Market
• New Price After Reduction
Demand = Supply
P = 41.08
Chapter 1 117
Impact of Saudi Production
Cut
SC D S’T ST
Price 45
($ per Short-Run
barrel) 40 Effect
35
30
25
20
18
15
10
5 Quantity
0 5 10 15 20 23 25 30 35 (billions barrels/yr)
Chapter 1 118
Upheaval in the World Oil Market
• Long-Run Impact of a stoppage Saudi
Production equal to 3 bb/yr..
– Long-run Demand
• D = 32.18 - 0.51P
– Long-run Total Supply
• S = 17.78 + 0.29P
Chapter 1 119
Upheaval in the World Oil Market
• New Price is found setting long-run
supply equal to long-run demand:
P = 21.75
Chapter 1 120
Impact of Saudi Production
Cut
10
5 Quantity
(billions barrels/yr)
0 5 10 15 20 23 25 30 35
Chapter 1 121
Effects of Government Intervention
--Price Controls
Chapter 1 122
Effects
Price
of Price Controls
S
If price is regulated to
be no higher than Pmax,
quantity supplied falls
P0 to Q1 and quantity
demanded increases to
Q2. A shortage results
Pmax
D
Excess demand
Q0 Quantity
Chapter 1 123
Price Controls and
Natural Gas Shortages
Chapter 1 124
Price Controls and
Natural Gas Shortages
Chapter 1 125
Price Controls and
Natural Gas Shortages
The Data: Natural Gas
PES = 0.2
Cross elasticity of supply for oil = 0.1
D
PE = −0.5
Cross elasticity of demand for oil = 1.5
Supply : Q = 14 + 2 PG + .25 PO
Demand : Q = −5 PG + 3.75 PO
Supply = Demand @ $2/TcF
Chapter 1 126
Price Controls and
Natural Gas Shortages
The Data: Natural Gas
At $1.00/TcF
QS = 18 TcF and Q = 25 TcF
Shortage = 7 TcF/yr
Chapter 1 127
Summary
• Supply-demand analysis is a basic
tool of microeconomics.
Chapter 1 128
Summary
• Elasticities describe the
responsiveness of supply and
demand to changes in price, income,
and other variables.
Chapter 1 130
End of Chapter 2
The Basics of
Supply and
Demand