The Decision Usefulness Approach To Financial Reporting
The Decision Usefulness Approach To Financial Reporting
The Decision Usefulness Approach To Financial Reporting
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Chapter 3
The Decision Usefulness Approach to Financial Reporting
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Continued
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Bayes Theorem
A device to revise state probabilities upon
receipt of new evidence
is state of nature
m is message received
P() is prior probability of (subjective)
Formula
P / m
P P m /
P m / P
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Suppose GN is received:
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Total
P(GH/H)
P(BN/H)
P(GN/L)
P(BN/L)
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Theory of Investment
Points to note:
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Oriented to investors
Oriented to rational investment decisions
Accepts that investors are risk averse
Financial statements provide information to help
investors assess (posterior probabilities of) the
amounts, timing, and uncertainty of investment
proceeds (i.e., of future firm performance)
Note that Bayes theorem is implied
Continued
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Reliable
Faithful representation
Verifiable
Neutral
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Conclusions
Rational decision theory provides a theoretical
underpinning for study of information needs of
investors
Conceptual framework SFAC 1 and SFAC 2
accept the rational decision theory model
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