000 Statistical Quality Control-Lec 4
000 Statistical Quality Control-Lec 4
000 Statistical Quality Control-Lec 4
Control
Lecture 4
Review
WHAT IS STATISTICAL QUALITY
CONTROL?
1. Statistical quality control (SQC) is the term used to
describe the set of statistical tools used by quality
professionals.
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Descriptive Statistics
• Descriptive Statistics include:
n
– The Mean- measure of central
tendency
x i 1
i
– The Range- difference between x
largest/smallest observations in a
set of data n
– Standard Deviation measures
x
n
2
the amount of data dispersion X
around mean i
i 1
– Distribution of Data shape σ
• Normal or bell shaped or n 1
• Skewed
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Distribution of Data
• Normal distributions • Skewed distribution
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SPC Methods-Developing
Control Charts
Control Charts (aka process or QC charts) show sample data plotted on a graph
with CL, UCL, and LCL
Control chart for variables are used to monitor characteristics that can be
measured, e.g. length, weight, diameter, time
Control charts for attributes are used to monitor characteristics that have
discrete values and can be counted, e.g. % defective, # of flaws in a shirt, etc.
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Setting Control Limits
• Percentage of values under • Control limits balance
normal curve risks like Type I error
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Control Charts for Variables
• Use x-bar charts to monitor the changes in the mean of
a process (central tendencies)
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New Lecture
Control Charts for Attributes
• Control charts for attributes are used to measure quality
characteristics that are counted rather than measured.
• Examples are:
– The proportion of broken cookies in a batch and
– The proportion of cars produced with a misaligned fender.
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Control Charts for Attributes
C-charts
• C-charts count the actual number of defects.
• For example,
– we can count the number of complaints from customers in a month,
– the number of bacteria on a petri dish,or
– the number of barnacles on the bottom of a boat.
Week Number of
Complaints Solution:
1 3 # complaints 22
2 2 CL 2.2
# of samples 10
3 3
4 1 UCLc c z c 2.2 3 2.2 6.65
5 3
6 3 LCLc c z c 2.2 3 2.2 2.25 0
7 2
8 1
9 3
10 1 19
Total 22
C- Control Chart
20
Important Points
– Another category of SQC techniques consists of statistical process control (SPC) methods that are used
to monitor changes in the production process.
– Assignable causes of variation, on the other hand, are variations that can be identified and eliminated.
• An important part of statistical process control (SPC) is
monitoring the production process to make sure that the only
variations in the process are those due to common or normal
causes. Under these conditions we say that a production process
is in a state of control.
• To understand exactly what this means, let’s look more closely at the term
specification.
USL μ μ LSL
Cpk min , 26
3σ 3σ
• The process produces 99.74
percent (three sigma) of the
product with volumes between
15.8 and 16.2 ounces.
30
• A Cp value of 1 means that 99.74 percent of the products produced will fall within the
specification limits. This also means that .26 percent (100% 99.74%) of the products
will not be acceptable.
• Although this percentage sounds very small, when we think of it in terms of parts per
million (ppm) we can see that it can still result in a lot of defects.
• The number .26 percent corresponds to 2600 parts per million (ppm) defective (0.0026
1,000,000). That number can seem very high if we think of it in terms of 2600 wrong
prescriptions out of a million, or 2600 incorrect medical procedures out of a million, or
even 2600 malfunctioning aircraft out of a million.
• You can see that this number of defects is still high. The way to reduce the ppm
defective is to increase process capability.
Computing the Cp Value at Cocoa Fizz: 3 bottling machines are being
evaluated for possible use at the Fizz plant. The machines must be
capable of meeting the design specification of 15.8-16.2 oz. with at
least a process capability index of 1.0 (Cp≥1)
Cp=
© Wiley 2010 32
Computing the Cpk Value at Cocoa Fizz
34
End of Lecture
Statistical Quality
Control
Acceptance Sampling
Acceptance Sampling
15 - 38
Sampling Plans
Sampling Plans specify the lot size, sample size, number
of samples and acceptance/rejection criteria. Sampling
plans involve
. Single sampling
. Double sampling
. Multiple sampling
15 - 39
Single Sampling Plan
A Single Sampling Plan is one where
. A representative sample of n items is drawn from a lot size of
N items.
. Each item in the sample is examined and classified as
good/defective
. If the number of defective exceeds a specified rejection
number (C - cut off point) the whole lot is rejected; otherwise the whole
lot is accepted
15 - 40
Double Sampling Plan
A Double Sampling Plan allows the opportunity to take a
second sample if the results of the original sample are
inconclusive.
. Specifies the size of the second sample and the acceptance rejection
criteria based on the total number of defective observed in both the first
and second sample (CT- total allowable defectives)
15 - 41
Double Sampling Plan
First sample
Accept inconclusive, take Reject Lot
Lot second sample
CL CU
Compare number of defective found in the first random
sample to CL and CU and make appropriate decision.
15 - 42
Double Sampling Plan
Lot First Random
sample
CT
Compare the total number of defective in both lots to CT
(CT- total allowable defectives) and make the
appropriate
15 - 43
decision
Multiple Sampling Plan
A Multiple Sampling Plan is similar to the double sampling
plan in that successive trials are made, each of which has
acceptance, rejection and inconclusive options.
15 - 44
Acceptance Sampling
Purposes
Determine quality level
Ensure quality is within predetermined level
Advantages Disadvantages
Economy Risks of accepting “bad” lots and
Less handling damage rejecting “good” lots
Fewer inspectors Added planning and documentation
Upgrading of the inspection job Sample provides less information
Applicability to destructive testing than 100-percent inspection
Entire lot rejection (motivation for
improvement)
15 - 45
Operating Characteristic Curve
(OCC)
An Operating Characteristic Curve (OCC) is a probability curve for a
sampling plan that shows the probabilities of accepting lots with various
lot quality levels (% defectives).
1
Probability of accepting lot
1
Probability of accepting lot
0.9
0.8 Approximately 80%
0.7 This sampling plan may not be
acceptable to customer. Therefore,
0.6
this sampling plan may not be
0.5 acceptable for meeting the
0.4 customers level of quality.
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 .05 .10 .15 .20 Lot quality (% defective)
15 - 47
Customer Acceptance Levels
Most customers understand that 100% inspection is impractical and
are generally willing to accept that a certain level of defectives will be
produced.
The Lot Tolerance Percent Defective (LTPD) is the upper limit on the
percentage of defectives that a customer is willing to accept.
Customers want lots with quality better than or equal to the AQL but
are willing to live with some lots with quality as poor as the LTPD, but
prefer not to accept lots with quality levels worse than the LTPD.
15 - 48
Customer Acceptance Levels
Therefore the sampling plan must be designed to assure the customer
that they will be receiving the required AQL and LTPD.
LTPD
The AQL and LTPD are dependent on many things (reliability, liability,
competitor quality levels, etc.) and will vary by industry and by
customer.
Typically industry standards are set because suppliers have more than
one customer and customers have more than one supplier.
The Producer’s Risk is the probability that a “good” lot will be rejected.
15 - 49
OCC, AQL & Producer’s Risk
1
0.9 Producer’s Risk = probability acceptable lot is
Probability of accepting lot
rejected
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5 AQL - percentage level of defects at
0.4 which a customer is willing to
accept
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 .05 .10 .15 Lot
.20 quality (% defective)
“Acceptable Lot”
15 - 50
OCC, LTPD & Consumer’s Risk
1
0.9
Probability of accepting lot
0.8
0.7
LTPD - upper limit on the
0.6 percentage of defectives that a
0.5 customer is willing to accept.
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1 Consumer’s Risk = probability unacceptable is
0 accepted
52
Statistical Quality
Control
SIX SIGMA
SIX SIGMA
"Delivering Tomorrow's Performance
Today"
54
PRESENTATION LAYOUT
• Six Sigma: An overview
• What is Sigma and Six Sigma?
• Why Six Sigma?
• Six Sigma Levels
• Six Sigma Methodology and Management
• Key Roles for Six Sigma
• Tools for Six Sigma
• Trainings and Certifications
• Conclusion
55
BEFORE WE START !!!
56
• Your first question is likely….
What is Six Sigma?
57
WHAT IS SIGMA ?
58
WHAT IS SIX SIGMA?
• Six Sigma - A highly disciplined process that
enables organizations deliver nearly perfect
products and services.
• The figure of six arrived statistically from current
average maturity of most business enterprises
• A philosophy and a goal: as perfect as practically
possible.
• A methodology and a symbol of quality.
Contd…
59
WHAT IS SIX SIGMA?
• A statistical concept that measures a process in
terms of defects – at the six sigma level, there 3.4
defects per million opportunities.
Contd…
But, it is much more! 60
WHAT IS SIX SIGMA?
• Six Sigma is a methodology that provides
businesses with the tools to improve the
capability of their business processes.
But
• It is a Quality Philosophy and the way of improving
performance by knowing where you are and where
you could be.
• Methodology to measure and improve company’s
performance, practices and systems
62
WHAT IS SIX SIGMA?
• Six Sigma is a rigorous and a systematic
methodology that utilizes information
(management by facts) and statistical analysis to
measure and improve quality.
Customer Expectations
Technological Change
Global Competition
Market Fragmentation
64
SIGMA LEVELS
Sigma Level ( Process Defects per Million
Capability) Opportunities
2 308,537
3 66,807
4 6,210
5 233
6 3.4
65
COMPANIES USING
Six Sigma is in use in virtually
all industries around the
world. Some of companies
can be listed as:
• Motorola
• Ericsson
• General Electric
• Sony
• Ford Motor Co.
• CITI bank
66
SIX SIGMA METHODOLOGY
(It takes money to save money)
• BPMS
Business Process Management System
• DMAIC
Six Sigma Improvement Methodology
• DMADV
Creating new process which will perform at Six
Sigma
67
BUSINESS PROCESS
MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
• BPM strategies emphasize on process improvement and
automation to derive performance.
68
BUSINESS PROCESS
MANAGEMENT SYSTEM:
• BPM strategies emphasize process improvements and
automation to drive performance, while Six Sigma uses
statistical analysis to drive quality improvements.
69
BPM life-cycle
Business process management activities can be
grouped into five categories:
• Design
• Modeling
• Execution
• Monitoring
• Optimization
Design
• Process Design encompasses both the identification of
existing processes and the design of "to-be"
processes.
• An iterative process
(continuous improvement)
• Six Sigma has been around for more than 20 years and heavily
influenced by TQM (total quality management) and Zero
Defect principles. In its methodology, it asserts that in order to
achieve high quality manufacturing and business processes,
continued efforts must be made to reduce variations.
77
WHAT IS DMAIC?
(Define, Measure, Analyze, Improve. Control)
• Define process goals in terms of key critical parameters (i.e.
critical to quality or critical to production) on the basis of
customer requirements or Voice Of Customer (VOC)
• Measure the current process performance in context of goals
• Analyze the current scenario in terms of causes of variations and
defects
• Improve the process by systematically reducing variation and
eliminating defects
• Control future performance of the process
78
DMAIC
• Define: Define is the first step in the process.
79
DMAIC
• Measure: In order to determine whether or
not defects have been reduced, you need a
base measurement.
80
DMAIC
• Analyze: Analysis is extremely important
to determine relationships and the factors of
causality.
81
DMAIC
• Improve: Making improvements or
optimizing your processes .
82
DMAIC
• Control: This is the last step in the DMAIC
methodology. Control ensures that any variances stand
out and are corrected before they can influence a
process negatively causing defects.
84
WHAT IS DMADV?
85
When to use DMADV?
86
When to use DMADV?
87
DMADV
Define
•The goals of the first phase are to identify the purpose of the
project, process or service, to identify and then set realistic
and measurable goals as seen from the perspectives of the
organization and the stakeholder(s), to create the schedule
and guidelines for the review and to identify and assess
potential risks.
90
DMADV
Design
•This stage of DMADV includes both a detailed and high
level design for the selected alternative.
•The elements of the design are prioritized and from there a high level
design is developed.
91
DMADV
Verify
•In the final phase, the team validates that the design is
acceptable to all stakeholders.
Will the design be effective in the real world?
•Several pilot and production runs will be necessary to ensure that the
quality is the highest possible.
•Here, expectations will be confirmed, deployment will be expanded and
all lessons learned will be documented.
•The Verify step also includes a plan to transition the product or service to
a routine operation and to ensure that this change is sustainable.
92
WHEN SHOULD SIX SIGMA BE
USED?
93
BENEFITS OF SIX SIGMA
• Generates sustained success
• Sets performance goal for everyone
• Enhances value for customers
• Accelerates rate of improvement
• Promotes learning across boundaries
• Executes strategic change
94
SIX SIGMA MANAGEMENT
When practiced as a management system, Six Sigma is
a high performance system for executing business
strategy.
95
KEY ROLES FOR SIX SIGMA
Six Sigma identifies several key roles for its
successful implementation: Top
– Executive leadership
– Champions
– Master Black Belts (Identify projects& functions)
– Black Belts (Identify non value added activities)
– Green Belts ( works on small projects ) Bottom
96
KEY ROLES FOR SIX SIGMA
• The Six Sigma Belts (Green, Black, and Master Black) denote
the different levels an individual can achieve in Six Sigma, a
business management approach that was at the onset
advanced by Motorola's manufacturing division in the USA in
1986.
97
KEY ROLES FOR SIX SIGMA
• The master, or master black belt is a person who is at the
highest level of expertise on the subject.
• They are fully devoted to the process and have no other job
responsibilities outside the methodology.
98
KEY ROLES FOR SIX SIGMA
• A certified Black Belt exhibits team leadership, understands team
dynamics, and assigns their team members with roles and
responsibilities.
5. Scatter diagram (plots many data points and pattern between two variables)
105
End of Lecture
106
1.4 Management Aspects of Quality
Improvement
• Center Line and Control Limit • Factors for three sigma control limits
formulas: Sample Size
Factor for x-Chart Factors for R-Chart
(n) A2 D3 D4
2 1.88 0.00 3.27
0.2 0.3 0.2 3 1.02 0.00 2.57
R .233 4 0.73 0.00 2.28
3
5 0.58 0.00 2.11
6 0.48 0.00 2.00
UCLR D4 R 2.28(.233) .53 7 0.42 0.08 1.92
8 0.37 0.14 1.86
LCLR D3 R 0.0(.233) 0.0 9 0.34 0.18 1.82
10 0.31 0.22 1.78
11 0.29 0.26 1.74
12 0.27 0.28 1.72
13 0.25 0.31 1.69
14 0.24 0.33 1.67
© Wiley 2010 1141.65
15 0.22 0.35
R-Bar Control Chart