Trade AND Capital Movements
Trade AND Capital Movements
Trade AND Capital Movements
AND
CAPITAL
MOVEMENTS
TRADE AND CAPITAL
MOVEMENTS
The external sector shapes the foreign exchange
market (foreign currency inflow-outflow )through
its trade,capital movements,and financial
flows.Trade includes factor payments such as
remittances from overseas contract workers and
profit remittances of foreign companies to their
home countries.Capital movements include both
short-and long-term foreign investments in the
country and Filipino investments abroad.Financial
flow involve international debtsannd loans and
their repayments.
Foreign currency (largely in
dollars) inflow less outflow
payments define the Balance of
Payment (BOP) of the
economy.Foreign currency
receipts from abroad (inflows)
eventually sell for pesos while
foreign curriencies for payments
to other countries (outflows) are
bought with pesos.From the
viewpoint of the economy,a BOP
surplus means that more foreign
currencies are being sold for
pesos than those being bought
with pesos.Likewise,a BOP deficit
means that less foreign currencies
are being solf for pesos than those
being bought with pesos.
In Figure 4.10,from Point A,the
Central Bank buys (demand
shift D¹ to D² ) the excess
supply of foreign currency (F¹-F²
from supply shift S¹ to
S²).Thus,buying this excess
supply maintains exchange rate
E¹ and foreign currencies
bought and sold
(supply=demand)F¹ at point
A.Conversely the Central Baank
can sell foreign currency
reserves(supply shift S⁰ to S¹) to
fill the shortage F¹ to F⁰from
supply shift S¹ to S⁰)to likewise
restore equilibrium at point A.
The economy's
production is yet
to go deeper into
more technology-
bases stages that
it imports the
capital good and
final goods even
including
consumer items
that it could
otherwise
produce (Figure
4.11).
(Figure
4.12)Machineries
and electronics
exports are simply
products from
their imported
components
assembled locally
by transnational
corporations.
As the country exports little but
imports much,it spends more but
hardly earns foreign currencies
(largely dollars).What buy the foreign
currency maarket are net capital
inflows (foreign
investment,loans)that offset trade
deficits (imports exceed exports)
resulting in mostly BOP surpluses
(Figure 4.13)Unfortunately,local
production can hardly fill in for costly
imports as handicapped by limited
scale,access to technology and
goverment incentives againts the
backdrop of stiff import
competition.Thus,local businesses
engage in low technology production
and trade that includes cheap and
shoddy imports of consumer items.
Imports are becoming
cheaper relative to local
goods while exports are
becoming less
competitive with less
peso profit margin for the
same dollar price.Much
less are exports
competitive as our
neighbors and rivals
(Malaysia,Thailand,and
Indonesia)have
successfully reversed
their exchange rate
conditions to make their
exports more competitive
(Figure 4.14).
HERFINDAHL-HIRSCHMAN
INDEX (HHI)
• The use of the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index - HHI
would be useful since it helps the proponent
identify markets are highly competitive and
saturated and those markets with high market
concentration.
• The HHI number can range from close to zero to
10,000.The HHI is expressed as:
Maam JehannaTrestiza
Teacher