Risk Based Surveilance
Risk Based Surveilance
Risk Based Surveilance
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Risk-Based Surveillance
Target Audience:
Civil Aviation Directorate (CAD) personnel responsible for safety oversight of
airlines, airports, and other aviation entities.
Course Description:
This course introduces participants to the principles and practices of risk-
based surveillance (RBS) in the context of civil aviation safety and security
oversight. Participants will learn how to identify and assess safety risks,
develop and implement surveillance programs, and conduct effective
inspections and audits.
Assessment:
The course will use a variety of assessment methods, including:
Pre-training assessment questions
Daily recaps by participants/facilitator
Active participation in class discussions
Group exercises and case studies
Final project: Developing a risk-based surveillance plan for a specific aviation
entity
Day 1: Introduction to Risk-Based Surveillance
(RBS)
Context setting
Definition and benefits of RBS
Comparison of RBS with traditional surveillance methods
Components of RBS program
International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) State Safety Program / Safety
Management System (SMS) and its relationship to RBS
Context setting
Create value
Preserve value
Sustain value
Trusted advisors who:
Listen the past
Observe the present
- when things go
wrong
Smell the future
Offer advice, speak
integrated truth to
power
What they oversee
makes a difference
through:
Hindsight,
Insight and
Foresight
Their hindsight helps
organizations look back and
learn from:
Experiences - untold
stories
Through clear and
targeted reports they
uncover hidden value and
lessons learned.
Their insight shows your
organization’s system/program
maturity, where you are and
where you need to get to.
They add value by evaluating
their organization's current state
and examining the strengths,
weaknesses, and the maturity of
their organization systems.
Their foresight helps their
organization:
Look ahead, see what's
coming and sharpen its
focus
Create value by ensuring
new and emerging risks
are identified and
managed.
End of Presentation Objective
Condition: Class room based interactive environment
.------- -- ,, ~ ~ - _.-·
Airport Planning,
Management and
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Operations
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A i r N a v i g a t i o n Services Tr a v e l a n d To u r i s m
Identify risks: This involves pinpointing vulnerabilities and threats that could
cause harm. Examples include security breaches, system failures, or physical
accidents.
Analyze risks: Each risk is evaluated based on its likelihood of occurring and the
potential severity of the consequences.
Prioritize resources: Based on the risk analysis, resources are focused on
mitigating the most significant risks. This could involve implementing security
controls, improving safety procedures, or designing systems with redundancy.
Benefits of continuous surveillance
Proactive approach: By constantly monitoring and evaluating, aviation
authorities can identify and address potential problems before they occur.
Adaptability: The industry can stay ahead of emerging threats by continuously
adapting its safety and security measures.
Improved decision-making: Data-driven insights from continuous surveillance
inform better decisions about resource allocation and risk mitigation strategies
Examples of continuous surveillance in aviation:
Risk: The combination of the likelihood of a threat occurring and the severity of the
consequences if it does. High-risk situations involve threats that are both likely and
have serious consequences. For instance, the risk of a bird strike with a large engine is
considered higher than a lightning strike on a wingtip because of the greater potential
damage.
Definition of Threat, Vulnerability and Risk
Benefits of RBS
Focuses on what matters most: By prioritizing the biggest threats, organizations
can ensure they're addressing the most critical safety and security concerns.
Optimizes resource allocation: Resources aren't wasted on addressing every
minor risk. Instead, they're directed towards areas with the greatest potential
for harm.
Adapts to changing threats: The risk landscape constantly evolves. A risk-based
approach allows for ongoing evaluation and adjustments to safety and security
measures.
End of Presentation Objective
Condition: Class room based interactive environment
Risk: Uncertainty about the future that can have a positive or negative impact
on your objectives.
Identify Risks: Brainstorm and actively search for potential risks that could
affect your project, organization, or personal goals.
Assess Risks: Analyze the likelihood (probability) of each risk occurring and the
potential severity (impact) of its consequences.
Risk Avoidance: Eliminate the risk entirely if possible.
Risk Mitigation: Reduce the likelihood or impact of the risk.
Risk Transfer: Share the risk with another party (e.g., insurance).
Risk Acceptance: Decide to live with the risk if the potential consequences are
minor or unavoidable.
Risk management concepts
Implement and Monitor: Put your risk response plan into action and track the
effectiveness of your strategies. Regularly review and update your plan as
needed.
Risk Appetite: The level of risk an organization or individual is comfortable
taking on.
Risk Tolerance: The specific amount of negative impact an organization or
individual is willing to accept for a particular risk.
Risk Register: A documented list of identified risks, their assessments, and
planned responses.
Proactive vs. Reactive Risk Management: Proactive management identifies and
addresses risks before they occur, while reactive management focuses on
responding to them after they happen.
Risk management concepts
Risk Assessment Methodologies for Aviation
1. FMEA (Failure Modes and Effects Analysis):
Focuses on identifying potential failures within a system (aircraft component,
procedure)
Analyzes the effects of these failures on overall operations
Assigns a severity ranking (e.g., catastrophic, major, minor) and likelihood (e.g.,
frequent, occasional, remote) to each failure mode
Helps prioritize mitigation strategies for high-risk failures
Risk Assessment Methodologies for Aviation
2. FTA (Fault Tree Analysis):
Creates a visual logic diagram depicting how a specific undesired event
(accident) can occur
Analyzes the sequence of events and contributing factors leading to the
accident
Identifies critical weaknesses and potential points of intervention to prevent
the accident
Risk Assessment Methodologies for Aviation
3. Bowtie Analysis:
Organizational Risk Profiles: Develop a system to assess the risk profile of each
aviation entity you oversee (airlines, airports, maintenance organizations etc.).
Consider factors like:
Size and complexity of operations
Historical safety performance
Safety management system maturity
Exposure to specific hazards (e.g., frequent bad weather operations)
Designing a Risk-Based Surveillance Program
3. Surveillance Planning:
Prioritization: Based on the risk profiles, prioritize which entities require more
intensive oversight. High-risk organizations will receive more frequent and in-
depth inspections.
Tailored Surveillance: Design your surveillance activities to address the specific
risks identified for each entity. This could involve:
On-site inspections focusing on critical areas like maintenance procedures or
pilot training.
Document reviews to assess compliance with regulations.
Data analysis to identify trends and emerging risks.
Designing a Risk-Based Surveillance Program
4. Continuous Improvement:
Feedback Loop: The program should be cyclical. Use findings from inspections
and data analysis to update risk profiles and refine your surveillance strategies.
Performance Monitoring: Track the effectiveness of your program. Measure if
it's leading to a reduction in safety risks and incidents.
Designing a Risk-Based Surveillance Program
Additional Insights:
The scope of aviation surveillance activities outlines the boundaries of what your program will
cover. Here's a breakdown of key areas to consider:
Industry Segments: Specify which parts of the aviation industry your program will oversee.
This could include airlines, airports, air traffic control (ATC), maintenance providers, and pilot
training organizations.
Activities Covered: Define the specific activities within each segment that will be subject to
surveillance. Examples include aircraft maintenance procedures, pilot training programs, air
traffic control operations, and airport safety protocols.
Level of Detail: Determine the depth of your surveillance for different entities. High-risk
organizations might undergo more comprehensive inspections, while low-risk ones might
Defining the Scope and Objectives of Aviation
Surveillance Activities
Main Considerations:
1. Risk Assessment:
Foundation for Selection: The selection process hinges on the specific risks you're
targeting. Analyzing historical data, incident trends, and the risk profiles of
aviation entities will guide your choices.
Selecting Appropriate Surveillance Tools and
Techniques in Aviation
2. Available Tools and Techniques:
Here's a breakdown of some common tools and techniques used in aviation
surveillance, categorized by their focus:
Physical Inspections: On-site inspections remain a cornerstone of aviation
surveillance. Inspectors can visually assess facilities, equipment, and
procedures for compliance with regulations.
Document Reviews: Examining maintenance records, training manuals, safety
management system documents, and operational procedures can reveal
potential safety gaps.
Data Analysis: Advanced analytics of flight data, operational data, and safety
reports can uncover hidden trends and patterns that might signify emerging
risks.
Selecting Appropriate Surveillance Tools and
Techniques in Aviation
2. Available Tools and Techniques:
Surveillance Technologies:
Flight Data Monitoring (FDM): Analyzes recorded flight data to identify
deviations from standard operating procedures and potential safety issues.
Air Traffic Management (ATM) Surveillance: Radar and other systems track
aircraft movements for safety separation and potential conflict identification.
CCTV (Closed-Circuit Television): Monitors key areas in airports and restricted
zones for security purposes.
Selecting Appropriate Surveillance Tools and
Techniques in Aviation
3. Selecting the Right Tool:
Match Tool to Risk: Choose tools that directly address the risk you're trying to
mitigate. Don't overburden entities with irrelevant surveillance.
Efficiency and Cost: Consider the cost-effectiveness of each tool. For high-risk
areas, intensive data analysis might be justified, while simpler inspections
might suffice for low-risk situations.
Data Integration: Ensure the chosen tools can integrate with your data
management system for seamless analysis and trend identification.
Privacy Considerations: Be mindful of privacy regulations when selecting
surveillance tools and techniques. Ensure data collection and use is transparent
Selecting Appropriate Surveillance Tools and
Techniques in Aviation
4. Additional Considerations:
Scope of Inspection: Define the specific areas or systems you'll be focusing on during the
inspection. This could be a routine inspection, a post-maintenance check, or a specific
component inspection.
Task Breakdown: Break down the inspection into smaller, manageable tasks. This helps
ensure all areas are covered systematically and efficiently.
Inspection Sequence: Plan the order in which you'll perform the inspections. This could
be based on accessibility, logical workflow, or minimizing disruption to ongoing
maintenance activities.
Documentation Requirements: Identify the forms and documentation required to record
your inspection findings. Ensure you have these readily available and understand the
Pre-Inspection Planning and Preparation in
Aviation
3. Communication and Coordination:
Tailor your communication style to your audience. Use more technical language
with experienced personnel and simpler terms with those less familiar with
aviation terminology.
Be mindful of cultural differences if working in a multicultural environment.
Communication Skills for Aviation Inspectors:
Ensuring Clarity and Safety
Maintaining a Professional Demeanor:
If disagreements arise during the inspection, remain calm and professional.
Focus on finding a solution that prioritizes safety and ensures compliance with
regulations.
If necessary, escalate the issue to a supervisor for further guidance.
Communication Skills for Aviation Inspectors:
Ensuring Clarity and Safety
Effective Communication Benefits:
Condition
Cause
Effect/impact/risk
Criteria:-
is prescriptive in nature.
What is it?
Is diagnostic in nature.
Is predictive in nature
so what?
Assess the severity of each finding based on its potential impact on aircraft
safety and operational performance.
Consider factors like the location of the discrepancy, the extent of damage, and
the potential for failure.
Categorize findings based on severity (e.g., immediate grounding, deferred
maintenance, further investigation).
Analyzing Inspection Findings
3. Root Cause Analysis:
Don't just address the symptoms. Dig deeper to identify the root cause of the
discrepancy.
This could be a manufacturing defect, improper maintenance practice, wear
and tear, or environmental factors.
Analyzing Inspection Findings
4. Trend Analysis:
Look for trends in inspection findings across different aircraft or within the
same fleet.
Identifying recurring issues can help pinpoint systemic problems or areas
needing improvement in maintenance procedures
Analyzing Inspection Findings
Analyzing Inspection Findings
Analyzing Inspection Findings
Analyzing Inspection Findings
Identifying Corrective Actions:
1. Refer to Regulations and Manuals:
Data Quality: Assess the comprehensiveness and accuracy of data used for risk
assessments. This includes incident reports, safety audits, flight data analysis,
and maintenance records.
Risk Assessment Methodology: Evaluate the methodology used to identify
hazards, analyze likelihood and severity of consequences, and prioritize risks.
Data Sharing: Ensure smooth information flow between regulators, airlines,
and other stakeholders for a holistic risk picture.
Evaluation of the effectiveness of RBS programs
Surveillance Activities:
Safety Performance: Track key safety metrics like accident rates, incidents, and
near misses. Look for a decrease in these events after RBSP implementation.
Corrective Actions: Evaluate the effectiveness of corrective actions taken in
response to RBSP findings. Did they address the identified risks?
Continuous Improvement: Assess if the RBSP is adaptable and incorporates
lessons learned from incidents and safety data to improve future surveillance
activities.
Evaluation of the effectiveness of RBS programs
Additional Considerations:
Review and Update Risk Assessments: Periodically revisit your risk assessment
methodologies and criteria. Are they still capturing the current threats?
Scalability: Ensure your RBSP can adapt to changing industry dynamics, new
technologies, and unforeseen threats.
Lessons Learned: Incorporate learnings from incidents, audits, and near misses
into your RBSP to address similar risks proactively.
Continuous improvement of RBS programs
Communication and Collaboration:
Root Cause Analysis: When incidents occur, delve deeper to identify root
causes and prevent similar occurrences.
Safety Performance Indicators (SPIs): Develop a set of key safety metrics to
track progress and measure the impact of RBSP interventions.
Technology Integration: Utilize data analytics tools and automation to enhance
data analysis and identify patterns hidden in large datasets.
Continuous improvement of RBS programs
Remember:
Invest in Training: Provide ongoing training for inspectors and auditors on the
latest risk assessment methodologies and surveillance techniques.
Maintain Resources: Allocate sufficient resources (personnel, budget) to ensure
the RBSP's long-term sustainability.
Leadership Commitment: Strong leadership commitment from aviation
authorities is crucial for the successful implementation and continuous
improvement of the RBSP.