Unit-3 poe
Unit-3 poe
Unit-3 poe
• Scarcity: ‘Limitation’ on resources(money and time). We have a fixed amount of money and
time. This forces us to make a trade-off.
• This theory (or chapter) help us understand ‘Decision-making under scarcity’. It is a ubiquitous
problem because each and every action involves a trade off (either in terms if time, resources
or both).
• Essence of the theory: Given the feasible set (given that the resources are limited what all
combinations are available) and the preferences, this theory evaluates which of the available
option is the best.
• A model of decision making under scarcity can be applied to the question of how does a
consumer make a choice between two goods; how does a producer make a choice of how
much to produce and what to produce; and, how does an employee decide on how much time
to spend on working.
OUTLINE
A. Some key concepts – feasible set (affordable
options) and indifference curves (preferences)
B. Put concepts together to understand the
theory (Decision-making model)
C. Income and Substitution Effects
D. Applications
Some questions
• How do wages affect labour supply? Does increase in wage always
lead to increase in labour supply, or it can lead to decrease in labour
supply as well?
The frontier is downward because of the trade-off involved. The increase in free time
reduces the hours of study and therefore, the marks.
The frontier is concave in nature.*It is because of diminishing marginal productivity.
Preferences - Indifference Curves
Preferences are represented by
indifference curves.
Indifference curves show
all combinations of goods that give
the same utility (satisfaction) B
• MRS : the marks she is willing to give up for one hour of free time
• MRT : the marks she would actually give up for one hour of free
time
Optimal Decision Making
The optimal utility is obtained when
MRS = MRT
The amount of one good the
individual is willing to trade off for
the other good (MRS)
equals the actual tradeoff between
the two goods (MRT)
Another example: production
Another example: production
• Optimal choice will be :
At A, where MRS = MRT(
considering FF – feasible set)
• The trade off involved between each hour of leisure and consumption (MRT)
is constant, that is 15, hence, the budget constraint is the straight line.
Income effect is always positive (for the goods you value). As purchasing
power increases, you prefer to increase the amount of all goods you value
(assuming more is better).
For instance, a raise in wage increases the purchasing power -> thus, the
income effect gives incentives to increase free time and consumption.
Substitution effect
Substitution effect is the change in optimal choice due to change in
opportunity cost (or the trade off involved). It arises when one good becomes
expensive/cheaper than before.
Substitution says, “a person will always reduce the amount of good that is
becoming expensive, or will increase the amount of good that is becoming
cheaper.”
For instance, with increase in wages free time becomes expensive (giving up
higher wages for each hour of free time), so, by substitution effect the person
will have incentives to reduce free time (substitute free time with work) and
increase consumption.
Overall effect on optimal choice
Overall effect = Income effect + Substitution effect
So, labour can increase as well as decrease the supply with increase in
wages(or technological productivity) depending upon the preferences.
Increased overtime wage rate
• SE : gives you incentives to reduce the free time
• IE : no income effect
• There is no substitution effect. The wage rate is same as before. Thus, you give
up the same amount of earnings for an extra hour of free time as before. Free
time has not become expensive.
• But your income has increased, so there is an income effect, which will give
you incentives to increase free time.
• Thus, the new optimal after winning lottery income will definitely lie to the
right of initial optimal (showing increase in free time).
Effect of increase in lump sum
income
• The feasible frontier will shift parallelly upward (not pivot)
Could This Happen in the Real
World???
• The results from studies of lottery winners are striking. Of those
winners who win more than $50,000, almost 25 percent quit working
within a year, and another 9 percent reduce the number of hours they
work. Of those winners who win more than $1 million, almost 40
percent stop working. The income effect on labour supply of winning
such a large prize is substantial.
• Similar results were found in a 1993 study, published in the Quarterly
Journal of Economics, of how receiving a bequest affects a person’s
labour supply. The study found that a single person who inherits more
than $150,000 is four times as likely to stop working as a single person
who inherits less than $25,000.
How do interest rates affect
household saving?
• An important decision that every person faces is how much income to
consume today and how much to save for the future.
• The two goods which involve trade –off will be consumption when
young and consumption when old.
• We can use the theory of choice to analyse how people make this
decision and how the savings depend on the interest rate.
How do interest rates affect
household saving?
How do interest rates affect
household saving?
Now, suppose the interest rate rises.
Substitution effect
• Current consumption becomes more expensive relative to future consumption.
• Gives incentives to reduce current consumption (so, increase savings) and
increase future consumption
Income effect
• Can afford more consumption in both the present and the future. So, its like you
are becoming richer. It gives incentives to increase both goods that you value.
• Give you incentives to increase current consumption (so, reduce savings) and
increase future consumption.
How do interest rates affect
household saving?
So, if
• SE > IE : reduce current consumption (so, increase savings) and increase
future consumption
• IE>SE: increase current consumption (so, reduce savings) and increase future
consumption.
• IE= SE: keep current consumption same (so, same savings) and enjoy higher
future consumption.
• It raises a concern pertaining to an important policy : if interest income should be taxed or not?
• Some economists have advocated reducing the taxation on interest and other capital income,
arguing that such a policy change would raise the after-tax interest rate that savers can earn
and would thereby encourage people to save more.
• Other economists have argued that because of offsetting income and substitution effects, such
a tax change might not increase savings and could even reduce it.
• Unfortunately, research has not led to a consensus about how interest rates affect savings.
Summary
1. Decision-making model under scarcity
• Indifference curves represent preferences, the slope
gives MRS – the trade-off you are willing to make
between two goods
• Feasible frontier represents availability, the slope gives
MRT – the actual trade-off involved between the two
goods
• Utility-maximizing choice where MRS = MRT
Summary
• As the feasible set expands, there are 2 affects that come into play and decide
the effect on the optimal choice:
• Income effect: arises from the change in purchasing power (gives incentives to
increase the amount of good that a person values)
• Substitution effect: arises from the change in trade off involved (gives incentives
to increase the amount of good that becomes cheaper, or gives incentives to
decrease the amount of good that becomes expensive )
• So, now we have good X and good Y on both axis. The feasible set
gives the set of all affordable bundles – known as Budget set.