There’s a lot of hope stemming from the fact that MAGA voters are beginning to realize that his actions (or lack thereof) will hurt them too. And as much as I’d like to feel that hope, I’m not sure I can. Because they realized it last time too, and in the end, it didn’t matter. A lot of conservative federal workers went without pay for a long time during the 2019 shutdown and yet that fucker is back in office anyway.
Because no matter how much they hate what Trump is doing to them, they will always hate migrants more.
The hatred for immigrants or any kind of outsider runs dangerously deep. Not just in the US and not just in White people, but everywhere. A high number of Latinos voted for him and had a real disdain for immigrants even when they were immigrants themselves. Europe has had a far-right resurgence of their own in the wake of the refugee crisis. And I’ve heard plenty of stories about how Japan treats foreigners. This is an ancient fear that’s as old as humanity itself. You even see it in folklore, the common trope of a stepparent or some other kind of outsider invading the family/community and stealing/corrupting your children or otherwise ruining everything. Some of that may be rooted in real and reasonable fears like colonization, but a lot of it is just plain contempt and fear of difference and change.
MAGA folks might sour on him now, but when we get close to the next election, propaganda outlets will start pushing a dozen stories a day on migrant crime and caravans and border crises and suddenly all of those same folks will either forget that he screwed them over or just not care because they think it’ll be worth it to get rid of migrants, and they’ll vote for him again. Because for a scary amount of them, no issue is more important than immigration, and no price will ever be too high if it means getting rid of the “invaders.” And I don’t know how you campaign against that. Or if you even can.
I truly believe that if you gave some of these people the option of “All migrants will disappear forever, but in exchange, you must surrender your home, job, car, business, money, health, education, freedom, privacy, family, friends, and hobbies,” they’d do it. Hell, you could give them the option of “All migrants will disappear forever but in exchange, you must spend the rest of your life in an 8 x 10 solitary confinement cell that you can never leave,” and they’d do it. Not all of them, of course. Maybe not even most of them. But I’d bet anything that the number of people who would take those deals would not be zero. And they’d convince themselves they were patriotic to do it.
I think about that LBJ quote all the time. The one that says:
"If you can convince the lowest white man he's better than the best colored man, he won't notice you're picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he'll empty his pockets for you."
What’s interesting about this quote is that it’s divided into two parts. At first, the White man doesn’t know he’s being robbed. He’s distracted and blissfully ignorant. But then, in the second part, he does know. And not only is he okay with that, he helps it happen. Because he hates Black people more than he loves his money. And that is how MAGA is about immigrants. They will happily let their savior fuck them over again and again and again if it means they will have someone to feel superior to.
We’re in the first part of the quote now, just like we were in 2016. But give it time, and I’ll bet you anything that we will soon enter the second part if we haven’t already. It’s certainly happened before.