2019 Slovak presidential election

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← 2014 16 March 2019 (first round)
30 March 2019 (second round)		 2024 →
Turnout 48.74% (first round)
41.80% (second round)
  File:ZuzanaCaputovaPokracujeVKampani-Orez-IMG 0394-SF.jpg File:Maroš Šefčovič MSC 2017 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Zuzana Čaputová Maroš Šefčovič
Party Progressive Slovakia Independent[lower-alpha 1]
Popular vote 1,056,582 752,403
Percentage 58.41% 41.59%
300px
Results of the second round, showing vote strength by district.
President before election

Andrej Kiska
Independent

 Elected President

Zuzana Čaputová
Progressive Slovakia

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Presidential elections were held in Slovakia in March 2019. Incumbent President Andrej Kiska did not run for a second term.

Fifteen candidates contested the first round on 16 March, of which two later formally withdrew their bids before voting took place, but their names still had to remain on the ballot papers. Zuzana Čaputová of the Progressive Slovakia party finished ahead of the other candidates, receiving 40.6% of the votes, but failed to achieve the necessary threshold of 50%+1 vote from all registered voters to avoid a run-off. Maroš Šefčovič, the Vice-President of the European Commission for the Energy Union, who was running as an independent supported by the Direction – Social Democracy (SMER–SD) party, came in as the runner-up with 18.7% of the vote and earned a place in the run-off as well.

In the second round on 30 March, Čaputová was elected with 58.4% of the vote to Šefčovič's 41.6%. She became the first woman to be elected to the presidency and became Slovakia's youngest-ever president upon her inauguration which took place on 15 June 2019.

Background

Andrej Kiska was elected President in March 2014. He won the run-off with a large majority against then-Prime minister Robert Fico.

Polls indicated that he was Slovakia's most trusted politician and that he would have likely been the frontrunner in the election, had he chosen to present himself as a candidate.[1] He had originally planned to announce whether he would run for a second term in September 2018.[2] but moved it on 15 May 2018.[3] Freedom and Solidarity had announced it would support Kiska's candidacy.[4] However, Kiska announced on 15 May 2018 that he would not run for re-election, arguing that this move might end "the era of political confrontation" his country faced and citing a desire to spend more time with his family.[5] Kiska is notably pro-European.[1]

Kiska's decision had been rumoured since February 2018 and political parties had already started to look for candidates.[6][7]

Electoral system

The President of the Slovak Republic has been elected for a five-year term, and by popular vote since the elections in 1999.[14][15] Its role is limited, but not just ceremonial. The President has the power to nominate the Prime Minister, to veto bills (unless confirmed by a two-thirds majority), and to nominate judges on the highest tiers of the judicial branch.[16]

The President is elected through a two-round method; if no candidate reaches 50%+1 votes in the first round, the top two candidates of the first round take part in a second round.[17]

For a candidacy to be valid, the Constitution of Slovakia requires the collection of 15,000 signatures of Slovak citizens, or the support of 15 of the 150 MPs in the legislature. The candidate must be an eligible voter over 40 years old, must resign from any other conflicting public office, and is limited to two terms in office.[18]

Candidates

Candidates who claimed 15,000 citizen signatures or have 15 MP signatures by midnight of 31 January 2019 were as follows:

Name Party[19] Age[20][21] Date of candidacy announcement Date of candidacy confirmation
Béla Bugár.jpg Béla Bugár Most–Híd 60 9 June 2018[22] 6 September 2018[23]
100x100px Zuzana Čaputová PS 45 29 May 2018[24] 24 January 2019[25]
100x100px Martin Daňo Independent 42 16 February 2018[26] 24 January 2019[27]
100x100px Štefan Harabin Independent[28] 61 18 April 2018[29] 15 November 2018[30]
100x100px Eduard Chmelár Independent 47 23 April 2018[31] 28 January 2019[32]
100x100px Marian Kotleba Kotleba-ĽSNS 41 31 May 2018[33] 30 January 2019[34]
100x100px Milan Krajniak We Are Family 46 31 May 2018[35] 11 August 2018[36]
100x100px František Mikloško Independent[37][38] 71 6 June 2018[39] 25 January 2019[40]
100x100px Maroš Šefčovič Independent 52 18 January 2019[41] 31 January 2019[42]
100x100px Róbert Švec Independent 42 27 May 2018[43] 25 November 2018[44]
100x100px Bohumila Tauchmannová Independent 60 1 March 2018[45] 19 September 2018[46]
100x100px Juraj Zábojník Independent 56 19 February 2018[47] 13 August 2018[48]
100x100px Ivan Zuzula SKS 64 31 January 2019[49] 31 January 2019[49]

Declined to run

Withdrawn

Campaign

During the campaign, Šefčovič (a Roman Catholic)[60] spoke against any changes in LGBT rights status in Slovakia, strongly opposing both civil partnerships or same-sex adoptions. He criticised his opponent Čaputová (who is in favour of both) as a candidate who is forcing a "new ultraliberal agenda" on Slovakia, comparing the second round of elections to a referendum on such an agenda, which he considers to be "in exact contradiction to traditional Christian values".[61][62] He also stated that "we can not support any further steps towards civil unions or same-sex adoptions because these would go precisely against our traditional Christian values", calling this stance as his "very natural position" due to his Christianity.[63][64] According to his opinion, discussions about "such experiments bring great unrest to society".[65]

Šefčovič has also criticised his opponent Čaputová for her opinions on the European migrant crisis and related policies. He asserted the importance of a speedy deportation policy, so that "people who do not have any business here are sent to their home countries as quickly as possible".[66] Furthermore, he argued out that "it has to be Slovaks who decide who comes to our country".[65]

Opinion polls

First round

Date Agency Iveta Radičová Andrej Danko Veronika Remišová Igor Matovič Béla Bugár Marian Kotleba Štefan Harabin Milan Krajniak Maroš Šefčovič Peter Pellegrini Eduard Chmelár Robert Mistrík František Mikloško Zuzana Čaputová Martin Daňo Marian Čaučík Other/
Abstain
16 Mar 2019 First round election N/A N/A N/A N/A 3.1% 10.4% 14.3% 2.8% 18.6% N/A 2.7% N/A 5.7% 40.6% 0.5% N/A
26 Feb - 1 March 2019 Phoenix Research[67] N/A N/A N/A N/A 9.1% 7.8% 15.2% 7.1% 19.8% N/A 5.1% N/A 6.7% 18.5% 2.5% N/A 8.2%
27–28 Feb 2019 AKO[68] N/A N/A N/A N/A 4.1% 5.6% 11.4% 2.4% 16.7% N/A 1.5% N/A 3.1% 52.9% N/A N/A N/A
26-28 Feb 2019 Focus[69] N/A N/A N/A N/A 3.2% 8.2% 12.0% 2.4% 22.1% N/A 2.5% N/A 3.5% 44.8% 0.9% N/A N/A
27 February 2019 Restartup[70] N/A N/A N/A N/A 7.6% 9.1% 9.8% 5.2% 13.5% N/A 3.2% N/A 5.2% 37.9% 2.7% N/A N/A
22-25 Feb 2019 AKO[71] N/A N/A N/A N/A 5.9% 4.5% 11.7% 6.1% 17.1% N/A 2.2% 16.8% 3.9% 27.5% 2.6% N/A N/A
21-26 Feb 2019 FOCUS[72] N/A N/A N/A N/A 5.8% 8.5% 13.0% 4.3% 20.4% N/A 2.0% 13.1% 4.3% 26.3% 0.7% N/A N/A
11-23 Feb 2019 Median[73] N/A N/A N/A N/A 6.5% 7.5% 10.5% 5.5% 20.5% N/A 3.0% 15.0% 5.0% 23.5% 1.0% N/A N/A
13–19 Feb 2019 MVK[74] N/A N/A N/A N/A 7.6% 7.0% 8.7% 3.5% 32.8% N/A 2.2% N/A 8.9% 27.6% 0.5% N/A 1.1%
13–19 Feb 2019 MVK[75] N/A N/A N/A N/A 6.3% 6.5% 8.3% 3.1% 30.3% N/A 1.7% 14.2% 7.3% 19.4% 0.3% N/A 2.5%
12–15 Feb 2019 AKO[76] N/A N/A N/A N/A 6.5% 8.2% 12.1% 5.6% 19.7% N/A 3.5% 18.2% 2.9% 17.4% 2.3% N/A 1.5%
7–12 Feb 2019 Focus[77] N/A N/A N/A N/A 7.4% 8.9% 13.6% 6.3% 20.1% N/A 3.5% 17.1% 4.5% 14.4% 1.0% N/A 3.1%
8–12 Feb 2019 AKO[78] N/A N/A N/A N/A 7.4% 6.9% 12.8% 7.8% 18.2% N/A 5.0% 15.8% 5.5% 14.7% 1.7% N/A 3.2%
28 January 2019 Restartup[79] N/A N/A N/A N/A 7.8% 9.5% 12.6% 6.1% 12.5% N/A 3.6% 16.3% 6.5% 10.2% 3.5% N/A N/A
16–23 Jan 2019 Focus[80] N/A 7.8% N/A N/A 10.1% 8.2% 11.7% 7.0% 16.5% N/A 2.3% 16.5% 6.7% 9.0% 0.1% N/A 4.1%
10–15 Jan 2019 AKO[81] N/A 7.5% N/A N/A 11.0% 7.3% 13.0% 10.1% 19.4% N/A 4.3% N/A N/A 18.5% 1.2% N/A N/A
Aug–Sep 2018 AKO[82] N/A 9.7% N/A 4.6% 8.6% 4.7% 8.8% 4.4% N/A 11.9% 10.8% 12.1% 7.1% 6.9% 2.7% 1.9% 5.8%
24–30 Apr 2018 Focus[83] 13.9% 12.1% 7.8% N/A 5.3% 5.0% 4.6% N/A 2.8% N/A 1.4% 1.0% N/A N/A N/A 0.5% 45.9%

Second round

Date Agency Maroš Šefčovič Zuzana Čaputová
30 Mar 2019 Second round election 41.59% 58.41%
28–29 March 2019 Focus[84] 44.8% 55.2%
17–19 March 2019 Median[85] 39.5% 60.5%
16 March 2019 Focus[86] 35.6% 64.4%
26–28 February 2019 Focus[87] 36.0% 64.0%
27 February 2019 Restartup[70] 35.5% 64.5%
12–15 February 2019 AKO[76] 45.1% 54.9%
7–12 February 2019 Focus[88] 51.9% 48.1%
16–23 January 2019 Focus[89] 58.0% 42.0%

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Hypothetical polling

Čaputová vs Harabin

Date Agency Zuzana Čaputová Štefan Harabin
26–28 February 2019 Focus[87] 72.4% 27.6%
27 February 2019 Restartup[70] 71.1% 28.9%

Šefčovič vs Harabin

Date Agency Maroš Šefčovič Štefan Harabin
27 February 2019 Restartup[70] 61.6% 38.4%
16–23 January 2019 Focus[89] 65.4% 34.6%

Šefcovič vs Mistrík

Date Agency Maroš Šefčovič Robert Mistrík
12–15 February 2019 AKO[76] 44.7% 55.3%
7–12 February 2019 Focus[88] 49.2% 50.8%
16–23 January 2019 Focus[89] 50.1% 49.9%

Mistrík vs Harabin

Date Agency Robert Mistrík Štefan Harabin
16–23 January 2019 Focus[89] 63.8% 36.2%

Kiska's Second term

This lists polls that asked people if they want Andrej Kiska as president for Second term.

Date Agency For Against
24–30 April 2018 Focus[90] 42.7 42.6

Results

File:2019 Slovak presidential election - First Round Vote Strength.svg
Results of the first round, showing vote strength by district.
File:2019 Slovak presidential election - Second Round Vote Strength.svg
Results of the second round, showing vote strength by district.

Zuzana Čaputová of the Progressive Slovakia party finished far ahead of the other candidates, receiving 40.6% of the votes, but failed to achieve the necessary threshold of 50%+1 vote from all registered voters to avoid a run-off. Maroš Šefčovič, the Vice-President of the European Commission for the Energy Union, who was running as an independent supported by the governing Smer-SD,[91] was the runner-up with 18.7% of the vote and earned the other place in the run-off. Voter turnout in the first round was 48.74%, the highest percentage for that stage of presidential elections since direct voting for the position was introduced in 1999.[92]

In the second round, Čaputová won election to the presidency, garnering 58.4% of the vote to Šefčovič's 41.6%. She became the first woman to be elected to the position and became Slovakia's youngest-ever president upon her inauguration on 15 June 2019.[93] The second round turnout of just 41.80% was the lowest for any round of presidential elections in Slovakia.[94] The number of votes with which Čaputová was elected to office is also the lowest for any directly elected Slovak president to date.[94]

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  1. ↑ Although Šefčovič was officially an independent, his campaign was endorsed and funded by Direction – Social Democracy.

References

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  21. ↑ Per convention, candidates' ages are calculated based on the date of publication of the official list of candidates by the National Council of the Slovak Republic on 1 February 2019.
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  91. ↑ Liberal Upstart Caputova Elected 1st Slovak Female President The New York Times, 30 March 2019
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  93. ↑ Zuzana Caputova elected the President of Slovakia TASS, 31 March 2019
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