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Futures Methods Compass

Futures Methods Compass

Nuts About Leadership, 2024
Michael Lee
Rose White
Abstract
Futures Methods Compass (FMC) is a research tool designed to assist researchers in the selection and application of appropriate futures methods. It provides a structured approach to determining which foresight methods to utilize by addressing the questions of when, why, and how to implement them effectively. It guides users through the complexities of futures studies and facilitates the informed choice of a diverse array of research methods—either individually or in combination—tailored to specific variables and research objectives. The tool embraces various methods such as backcasting, cross-impact analysis, environmental scanning, the futures wheel, the Delphi method, scenario plan-ning, and trend analysis. This versatility is particularly beneficial for researchers who may feel overwhelmed by the extensive variety of available futures methods. FMC serves as a diagnostic instrument that leads users through intricate methodological decisions. It aligns with the overarching goals of futures studies: envisioning possible futures and striving toward shaping preferable outcomes. Clari-fying the selection process enhances decision-making clarity and enables users to concentrate on relevant methods aligned with their study objectives. Its applicability across different contexts within futures studies makes FMC a useful resource for a wide range of users, from novice researchers to professional futurists. This paper contains the FMC matrix and contributes to the methodological advancement of futures studies.

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