Backcasting Using Principles

Environmental Values is an international peer-reviewed journal that brings together contributions from philosophy, economics, politics, sociology, geography, anthropology, ecology and other disciplines, which relate to the present and future environment of human beings and other species. In doing so we aim to clarify the relationship between practical policy issues and more fundamental underlying principles or assumptions.

Developing adaptation strategies for deltaic and coastal regions is a major challenge, calling for the development and use of sophisticated futures approaches. The impacts of global climate change will continue to manifest themselves locally, albeit at a varying rate and magnitude. The impacts of floods and droughts on social-ecological systems (SES) impose major challenges. In particular, flood prone deltaic and drought prone coastal regions with high concentrations of population and economic activity in major cities located in floodplains and along the coastline are seriously threatened . Climate change adaptation and future planning have therefore become mandatory for environmental and climate policymakers . As a consequence, futures and scenario studies are increasingly used in long-term climate policy and decision making and related methodology development is increasing.

The paper reports on a comparative study of three different cases on vision and strategy development for climate change adaptation planning in (i) The South African Breede–Overberg Catchment, (ii) The Mississippi Estuary-New Orleans region and (iii) The Dutch Rhine-Meuse Estuary. The objective of the paper is twofold: to develop a better understanding of such processes and to further develop the Backcasting-Adaptive Management (BCAM) methodology. A framework for case evaluation is developed using six dimensions: (i) inputs and resources, (ii) future vision, (iii) stakeholder engagement, (iv) methodological aspects, (v) pathway development and (vi) impact. Major conclusions based on a cross-case comparison and testing propositions are (i) participatory vision development is a strong tool for climate change adaptation planning in different governance contexts and shows considerable diversity in its application in these contexts; (ii) a single, shared future vision is not a prerequisite for vision and pathway development and endorsement; (iii) broad stakeholder engagement enriches strategy development, but the involvement of marginal groups requires additional efforts and capacity building; (iv) multiple pathways and robust elements are useful but require novel expertise; and (v) more institutional embeddedness and support for participatory processes lead to better implementation of the outcomes of these processes.

This chapter explores the strategic implementation of the cradle-to-cradle concept and suggests backcasting using sustainability principles as a systematic way to support decision-makers. The cradle to cradle concept seeks to learn from nature and to design using principles that emphasize the conversion of waste into food, the use of solar energy inputs, and the celebration of diversity. As such, it facilitates organizational transition toward enabling a societal infrastructure by participating in cyclical supply chains – a valuable complement to the green supply chain approach to organizational collaboration for sustainability. The specific contribution of this chapter to the cradle-to-cradle literature focuses on the integration of cradle-to-cradle design within a systems approach that permits analysis from a strategic sustainable development perspective. After usefully comparing cradle-to-cradle design principles with FSSD principles for sustainability, the authors integrate science-based principles with value-based principles as an asset to support backcasting using overarching sustainability constraints drawn from scientific principles for socio-economic sustainability. This framework is one that decision-makers can use flexibly to make mid-course corrections in the march toward a societal infrastructure that supports a targeted system in which all material flows are either part of a biological or a technical metabolism.

Keywords  Strategic sustainable development - Cradle-to-cradle - Systems approach backcasting - Sustainability principles - Decision-making