Incrementalism

The dominant approach to counter-piracy strategy off Somalia is astonishingly narrow minded. Deterrence, surveillance and military operations do not provide a sustainable or efficient solution. Better strategic alternatives must drawing on the lessons of 21st century peace operations. This perspective leads to an understanding of counter-piracy as a problem of peacebuilding. This allows restructuring and re-framing the problem to permit a much wider repertoire of policy solutions than currently conceived. This repertoire may include development and security assistance programmes as well as state-building programmes. The approach also permits integration of lessons learned in the frame of international peacebuilding operations, including avoiding technocratic solutions, focusing on power constellations, integrating local knowledge and incrementalism. If the international community takes piracy seriously and tries to respond to its complexity, it is well advised to adopt a policy in which such alternatives are considered.

En este artículo se analizan los programas Presupuestarios de 43 Ramos del Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación (PEF) en México en el periodo 2010-2015. El propósito es conocer más sobre la política pública por ramo en nuestro país vía el análisis de la inercia presupuestaria. Lo anterior se lleva a cabo mediante tres aproximaciones. 1. La identificación del número de programas nuevos que genera cada Ramo anualmente. 2. El análisis del presupuesto asignado a estos nuevos programas cada año. 3. La variación total del presupuesto por ramo año con año con base en el criterio Le Loup y Moreland (1978). Entre los aspectos a destacar, los cinco más importantes son: que los ramos más incrementales son también los que concentran la parte más importante del presupuesto en México; segundo, la inercia que se observa en el presupuesto destinado a la salud, sobre todo en el IMSS, el ISSSTE y Aportaciones a Seguridad Social; tercero, la inercia que se observa en el presupuesto de las entidades de control directo y empresas estatales; cuarto, la innovación que se observa en las áreas del presupuesto relacionadas con temas de educación, medio ambiente y territorio y; finalmente, la ausencia de un rediseño de los programas presupuestarios de los ramos vinculado con resultados de evaluación y satisfacción de los usuarios con los servicios.

In this article we analyze the budget programs of 43 departments of the Federal National Budget (Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación, PEF) in Mexico in 2010-2015. The purpose is to know more about public policy by department in our country by the analysis of budgetary inertia. The above is carried out by three approaches. 1. Identification of the number of new programs generated by each department annually. 2. Analysis of the budget allocated to these new programs each year. 3. The total budget change per year by year based on the Le Loup and Moreland criteria (1978). Among the aspects to be highlighted, the five most important are: The most incremental departments are also those that concentrate the most important part of the budget in Mexico; secondly, the inertia observed in the health budget, especially in the IMSS, ISSSTE and Contributions to Social Security; third, the inertia observed in the budget of direct control entities and state enterprises; fourth, the innovation observed in the budget areas related to education, environment and territory; and finally, the absence of a redesign of the budget programs of the departments linked to results of evaluation and satisfaction of the users with the services.

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