Climate change natural – Impact on water resources in Himalaya
Ritesh Arya,
aryadrillers@gmail.com,
www.aryadriler.com
Abstract:
“God give me the courage to change the things I can (pollution and technology), accept the things I cannot change (climate change) ,serenity and wisdom to know the difference” Dr Ritesh Arya .
Present paper is based on discovery of paleoclimatic signatures made by Indus glacier/river on the granites of Ladakh batholiths on the banks of river Indus since 11714 years. Author discovered these signatures while exploring, drilling and developing groundwater on the borders of China(Changthang) and Pakistan(Siachen, Kargil) in NW Indian Himalaya for Army and civil population for the last 12 years.
These signatures resembles alphabet C, hence named Aryas C cycles. Cyclicity of cooling, warming and again cooling can be very well understood by writing alphabet C. The starting point of alphabet C represents the cooling phase (ICE age) and as we continue to draw the curve there is gradual curvilinear transformation from cooling maxima to warming phase. Half of the C curve represents the warming maxima (an event marked by flooding, cyclones, sea level rise, desertification, biodiversity explosion, increase in GHGs) and completion of alphabet C represents the culmination of the gradual curvilinear transformation from warming to cooling coinciding with ICE age (marked by squeezing and freezing of water resources, glaciations, desertification, competition, mass extinctions, decrease in GHGs). Transferring this sentence geologically means that since there is less water in the system during ICE age so there is less erosion hence we get starting and end of C cycle but as the temperature increases the rate of erosion increases hence the curvilinear depressions are created making the upper half of the warming cycling, center of alphabet C is marked by warming maxima. Then there is again gradual transformation from warming to cooling and as the water in the system decreases there is less erosion therefore we get a geomorphological feature which resembles the lower half of alphabet C finally ending into the ICE age. So uniformity in the paleoclimatic signatures discovered in Ladakh Himalaya which resembles alphabet C , for the first time geologically and scientifically explains cooling, warming and again cooling phase in nature to be a natural climate cyclic process.
Granites played important role in the preservation of these climatic signatures because they are very hard and compact as compared to other rocks found in the Himalayas which are fragile and susceptible to faster rate of weathering and erosion making preservation of the signatures tedious task. Taphonomical analysis of these C curves in massive Granites show great role of lithology and geomorphology in preservation and understanding the cyclicity of these climate signatures which have been beautifully preserved in the Ladakh Batholith in NW Himalaya. Author observed 10 such cycles in the site,8 complete and 2 half cycle. Geomathematical modeling of these paleoclimatic signatures show that after every 4 cycles there is a half cycle. According to this model each complete C cycle is of 1338.6 years and half C cycle is 669.3 years.
Based on this model author has tried to correlate the paleo climatic and geological events in the past and found that lot of events can be explained by Aryas C cycles. Important question now is which part of the C cycle are we now. Seeing the paleoclimatic signature in the Batholiths of Ladakh we are presently in the warming maxima times and are curvilinearly moving into the cooling phase finally culminating into ICE age in 2344 years, represented by the lower part of alphabet C. So enjoy global warming by building sustainable habitats in geologically favorable locations because the next warming maxima will be in 3014.
Author also tries to relate circumstantial evidences with the dates of warming and cooling proposed in this model which coincides with the same.