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Trump’s assaults are often clownish — but the shift driving them has been carefully planned

You know you are in deep constitutional trouble when your president invokes an apocryphal quote attributed to Napoleon Bonaparte to justify his contempt for the rule of law. On Feb. 15, Donald Trump took to his Truth Social platform and his personal X account to post the quote, “He who saves his Country does not violate any Law.” Later the same day, the official White House X account sent out the same message.

People who imitate Napoleon have long fascinated psychiatrists. In their field, “Napoleonic delusions” are classified as a subtype of the wider emotional disorder known as grandiosity. But whether Trump actually suffers from a definable mental illness or is simply trolling the libs, there is ample reason to believe he thinks he is above the law; or perhaps more accurately, that he is the law.

All of this looks to be pointing directly to a full-blown constitutional crisis.

Since his inauguration on Jan. 20, Trump has undertaken a variety of sweeping Napoleonic actions aimed, among other targets, at rolling back birthright citizenship guaranteed by the 14th Amendment; impounding and freezing federal funds appropriated by Congress; asserting direct presidential control over independent federal agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission, Federal Trade Commission, Federal Communications Commission, National Labor Relations Board and U.S. Agency for International Development; pink-slipping thousands of federal workers; expunging all diversity, equity, inclusion and accessibility programs from all federal agencies; removing LGBTQ mandates in government; and creating the Department of Government Efficiency to give Elon Musk and his post-pubescent DOGE minions authority to access confidential Treasury Department, IRS and Social Security databases. Vice President JD Vance has also floated the idea of defying adverse court orders.

Trump has been aided in his power grab by supine Republican majorities that have rubber-stamped his appointment of cabinet members. And while lower-court judges have pushed back against some of Trump’s actions, many of his executive orders appear headed to a Supreme Court firmly in the hands of a six-member MAGA-friendly majority, including three justices nominated by Trump himself.

All of this looks to be pointing directly to a full-blown constitutional crisis.

Although there is no universally accepted definition of a constitutional crisis, experts generally agree the term applies to situations where the Constitution no longer works as designed. In a 2017 essay for LawFare, Princeton political scientist Keith Whittington subdivided constitutional crises into “operational” and “fidelity” categories. The operational type, according to Whittington, occurs “when important political disputes cannot be resolved within the existing constitutional framework.” Crises of constitutional fidelity occur when the Constitution’s meaning is clear, but one or more branches of government or a key political actor willfully defies the national charter’s clear meaning.

Law professors Jack Balkin of Yale and Sanford Levinson of the University of Texas at Austin have added a third type of crisis to the operational/fidelity taxonomy that occurs when a power struggle breaks out between political rivals who allege the other is violating the Constitution and neither is willing to budge.

The archetypal constitutional breakdown, embodying all three dimensions, was the secession crisis that led to the Civil War. By the late 1850s, the slave-based economy of the Southern states had become incompatible with the wage-based industries of the North. The Constitution effectively ceased to function as more territories sought admission to the union and the balance between slave and free states could no longer be maintained.

Some commentators point to lesser historical antecedents such as the disputed election of 1876 that resulted in the election of Rutherford B. Hayes and the end of Reconstruction; Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s conflict with the Supreme Court over the New Deal; and the Watergate scandal of Richard Nixon.

What all constitutional crises share is an attempt to impose a paradigm shift in the practice of governance. And while Trump is no intellectual powerhouse, his narcissism and obsession with revenge make him the perfect instrument for promoting transformative ideas masterminded by others. These include:

The unitary executive theory

Harkening back to Nixon’s infamous declaration that “when the president does it, that means it is not illegal,” the unitary theory was first articulated as an explicit doctrine during the Reagan administration. Among its early proponents were Reagan-era Attorney General Edwin Meese and Samuel Alito, then a deputy in the Office of Legal Counsel.

In a widely cited 2006 essay, professors Karl Manheim and Allan Ides of Loyola Law School in Los Angeles described the doctrine as a theory of presidential supremacy that undermines the constitutional scheme of checks and balances:

The theory of the unitary executive is anything but an innocuous or unremarkable description of the presidency. In its stronger versions, it embraces and promotes a notion of consolidated presidential power that essentially isolates the Executive Branch from any type of Congressional or judicial oversight.

The theory was also championed by Bill Barr during his time as an OLC deputy in the George H.W. Bush administration. In 2018, Barr, then in private practice, restated his views in an unsolicited memorandum he sent to the Justice Department, criticizing the work of Special Counsel Robert Mueller, writing:

The Constitution itself places no limit on the President’s authority to act on matters which concern him or his own conduct. … He alone is the Executive branch [and] the sole repository of all Executive powers.

In February 2019, Trump made Barr his attorney general. The following July, Trump gave a speech, asserting that under Article II of the Constitution [which sets forth the powers of the presidency], “I have the power to do whatever I want.” Barr remained in office, operating in effect as Trump’s personal consigliere until December 2020, when he resigned under duress after failing to find widespread fraud in the 2020 election.

The radical constitutionalism of Russell Vought

A more aggressive version of the unitary theory animated by religious zealotry has been crafted by Russell Vought, recently confirmed for a second stretch as head of the Office of Management and Budget.

Vought is a graduate of the Georgetown University Law Center, a self-described Christian Nationalist, and a founder of the Center for Renewing America, a right-wing think tank dedicated to “forging a consensus of America as a nation under God.” Most importantly, he was one of the prime architects of Project 2025, the Heritage Foundation-sponsored blueprint for Trump’s second term.

There is no question that Vought’s ideas have caught Trump’s attention.

In a 2022 article written for the Claremont Institute, Vought urgently called for the restoration of presidential power as originally envisioned by the founders and for the defeat of progressive “living constitutionalism,” the jurisprudential model that holds the meaning of the Constitution should evolve over time. What is needed, Vought contends, is a form of “radical constitutionalism” committed to bolstering presidential power and curbing the power of the courts to bring the separation of powers back into balance and harmony.

There is no question that Vought’s ideas have caught Trump’s attention, as shown by his second nomination to head OMB and by Trump’s persistent pandering to the religious right.

Common-good constitutionalism

Dissatisfied with both originalism and living constitutionalism, Harvard Law professor Adrian Vermeule has come up with an alternative known as “common good constitutionalism.” Rather than pursue the fruitless quest of trying to discern the original intent of the founders or undertaking an endless quest to expand individual rights, Vermeule argues that judges should promote the “common good.”

Vermeule distilled his theory in the April 2000 issue of the Atlantic, writing that the goal of common good constitutionalism

is not is not to maximize individual autonomy or to minimize the abuse of power (an incoherent goal in any event), but instead to ensure that the ruler has the power needed to rule well … to promote substantive moral principles that conduce to the common good, [such as] respect for the authority of rule and of rulers; respect for the hierarchies needed for society to function … [and] a candid willingness to “legislate morality.”

Analytically, Vermeule fails to adequately define the common good, and to the extent he does in the article and elsewhere, his formulations are infused with the principles of “integralism,” an ideology that calls for subordinating the state to the values of the Catholic Church. Like proponents of the unitary executive theory, Vermeule calls for a strong president who pursues the common-good through “reasoned morality” for the benefit of all. Rather than rebelling, Vermeule suggests:

Subjects will come to thank the ruler whose legal strictures, possibly experienced at first as coercive, encourage subjects to form more authentic desires for the individual and common goods, better habits, and beliefs that better track and promote communal well-being.

Politically, Vermeule has been linked to fellow integralist Vance. In a recent post on X, he praised Vance’s incendiary address on free speech and religious freedom delivered at the Munich Security Conference this month.

The Dark Enlightenment

Still operating on the fringes of mainstream discourse but growing in potency is the Dark Enlightenment, also known as “the neo-reactionary movement,” an informal futuristic community of political theorists, academics, internet bloggers and Silicon Valley investors who believe that democracy has run its course and is no longer compatible with individual liberty.

Most Americans will be loath to hand over their rights and freedoms to a new Napoleon.

The movement emerged in the 2000s, inspired by the work of British philosopher Nick Land and American software engineer Curtis Yarvin. Convinced that democracy inevitably leads to social decline, decadence and deep-state totalitarianism, proponents call for democracy to be supplanted by a technocracy run by a powerful CEO-style monarch. The movement reportedly has influenced the thinking not only of Vance, but also of Musk (note the dark MAGA hats sported of late), tech titan Peter Thiel and Michael Anton, a former speech writer for Rupert Murdoch, Rudy Giuliani and Condoleezza Rice. In January, Trump appointed Anton to serve as director of policy planning in the State Department.

The most important question, of course, is whether the new paradigms and the constitutional crisis they have helped spawn will succeed in ending democracy. Despite the wreckage produced by Trump’s early actions, there is cause for hope. Current polling shows Trump’s approval ratings are tanking. According to the most recent Gallup survey, Trump is the least popular president in more than 70 years.

It will take time for an effective opposition to form. But in the long run, most Americans will be loath to hand over their rights and freedoms to a new Napoleon. The worst thing we can do now is surrender.

Don’t count on the Supreme Court to stop Trump’s new order — or uphold the Constitution

“Everything faded into mist. The past was erased, the erasure was forgotten, the lie became truth.
– George Orwell, “1984

Birthright citizenship in the United States is guaranteed by the first sentence of the 14th Amendment. Known as the “citizenship clause,” the provision states:

All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside.

Measured against the text of the amendment, Donald Trump’s executive order terminating birthright citizenship for the children of undocumented immigrants is patently unconstitutional. But ultimately that may not matter. With Trump assuming near-dictatorial powers in his second term, we are entering an Orwellian post-constitutional era in which the law is whatever the president and his lackeys on the Supreme Court say that it is at any given moment.

In true Orwellian fashion, the executive order is titled, “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship.” It makes no mention of the U.S.-born children it could disenfranchise. According to the Washington Post, more than 150,000 children born in the country each year would no longer qualify for citizenship under the order and could end up stateless.

The order, which takes effect on Feb. 19, begins with a proposition accepted by all constitutional scholars: that the 14th Amendment was adopted in 1868 to override the Supreme Court’s infamous 1857 Dred Scott ruling, which denied citizenship to Black Americans, even those living in non-slave states. From there, however, the order veers sharply from the current academic and legal consensus, asserting, in highly misleading fashion, that “the 14th Amendment has never been interpreted to extend citizenship universally to everyone born within the United States,” and that the amendment “has always excluded from birthright citizenship persons who were born in the United States but not ‘subject to the jurisdiction thereof.’”

We are entering an Orwellian post-constitutional era.

Under the order, citizenship will no longer extend to U.S.-born children whose mothers were unlawfully present in the country at the time of birth if their fathers were not citizens or lawful permanent residents, nor to children whose mothers were lawfully present, but whose fathers were neither citizens nor lawful permanent residents. The latter category includes parents in the country on tourist or student visas, or work permits. Such children will not be issued any federal documents recognizing them as U.S. citizens, such as passports.

Trump has long vowed to end birthright citizenship, accusing the undocumented of “poisoning the blood of our country” and turning the U.S. into “the garbage can of the world.” In 2015, he opened his presidential campaign by accusing Mexico of “sending” drug smugglers and “rapists” into the U.S. Then, as now, he wasn’t simply bemoaning the presence of undocumented immigrants or tapping into our long and sorry traditions of nativist scapegoating; he was accusing Mexico — and later, other underdeveloped nations — of deliberately staging an invasion of the United States.

The invasion thesis operates at the heart of the MAGA movement and the legal theory behind the new executive order. Proponents of the theory, such as Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, assert that the country is facing an “invasion” of illegal aliens akin to a state of war. Other proponents, such as Yale Law School professor Peter Schuck, Heritage Foundation senior legal fellow Hans von Spakovsky and Jan. 6 coup-plotter John Eastman, contend that undocumented immigrants are not “subject to the jurisdiction of the United States” within the meaning of the 14th Amendment because they owe allegiance to foreign powers.

Nothing could be farther from the truth, or our actual history. In addition to contradicting the plain text of the 14th Amendment, the executive order departs from the original intent of the framers of the amendment, as well as the Supreme Court’s precedent decisions on birthright citizenship.

Debates on the 14th Amendment took place in 1866 in both the House and Senate, and were reported in the Congressional Globe, the precursor of today’s Congressional Record.

The citizenship clause was introduced in the Senate by Jacob Howard of Michigan on May 30, 1866, as an add-on to the initial draft of the 14th Amendment formulated by the House. The clause tracked similar language contained in the Civil Rights Act of 1866 and followed the general principles of English common law and the ancient doctrine of jus solis (the “law of the soil’’) — the idea that all those born within the geographic boundaries of a nation are citizens at birth. (More than 30 countries today recognize the doctrine, including the United States, Canada and Mexico.)

In his introductory remarks, Howard noted the phrase “subject to the jurisdiction” of the United States meant that the citizenship clause would not apply to the children of ambassadors or foreign ministers, the children of occupying foreign soldiers, or to the offspring of Native Americans who claimed allegiance to tribal governments, but that the clause would “include every other class of person,” regardless of race or descent.

The citizenship clause, Howard said, “settles the great question of citizenship and removes all doubt as to what persons are or are not citizens of the United States.”

The Supreme Court has endorsed Howard’s reading of the citizenship clause in at least four decisions: United States v. Wong Kim Ark (1898), dealing with the readmission into the country of a Chinese-American man whom the government sought to exclude because he had been born in the U.S. to parents who were subjects of the Chinese emperor at the time of his birth; Plyer v. Doe (1982), concerning the right of undocumented children to attend public schools; INS v. Rios-Pineda (1985), a deportation proceeding; and Hamdi v. Rumsfeld (2004), in which the court’s plurality opinion noted that a Guantanamo Bay inmate held as an “enemy combatant” was still a citizen entitled to due process because he was born in Louisiana.

He is counting on the Supreme Court to come to his rescue again on the birthright issue.

Trump’s legal game plan is to get his executive order to the Supreme Court, which is now firmly in the hands of a six-member MAGA-friendly majority, including three justices nominated by Trump himself. Last year, the court came to Trump’s rescue in two landmark cases. In the first, it overturned Colorado’s decision to deny Trump a place on its 2024 presidential ballot under the 14th Amendment’s insurrectionist clause in Trump v. Anderson; the second accorded him unprecedented immunity from criminal prosecution in Trump v. United States. He is counting on the Supreme Court to come to his rescue again on the birthright issue, either by overruling its prior decisions or holding them inapplicable to the current immigration crisis.

Before the executive order reaches the Supreme Court, it will have to be reviewed by the lower federal courts. To date, six challenges to the order have been filed in federal district courts across the country. On Jan. 23, District Judge John C. Coughenour, who sits in Seattle and was appointed to the bench by Ronald Reagan in 1981, granted an emergency motion for a temporary restraining order filed by the attorneys general of Washington, Arizona, Illinois and Oregon. The order enjoins the Trump administration from enforcing the executive order for 14 days, pending another hearing set for Feb. 6 to determine if a preliminary injunction should be issued.

“I’ve been on the bench for four decades, I can’t remember another case where the question presented is as clear as this one is,” Coughenour said during the Jan. 23 hearing, describing Trump’s order as “blatantly unconstitutional,” and adding, “There are other times in world history where we look back and people of goodwill can say, ‘Where were the judges? Where were the lawyers?’ Frankly, I have difficulty understanding how a member of the bar could state that this is constitutional.”

Coughenour is an old-school jurist who still believes in the words of the Constitution and the past decisions of the Supreme Court. Apparently, he doesn’t realize that, as George Orwell warned, the past can be erased.

Epic failure: How Merrick Garland may have just destroyed American democracy

It’s hard to say who is the worst attorney general in American history. The candidates are many and comprise a veritable rogue’s gallery of sadists, reactionaries and incompetents. They range from A. Mitchell Palmer, mastermind of the original Red Scare that decimated the left in the wake of the First World War, to Jefferson Beauregard Sessions III and William Pelham Barr, who sacrificed the rule of law in service to Donald Trump.

Merrick Garland may not share the malignancies of his fellow train wrecks, but he deserves to be in the discussion. Decades from now, historians will memorialize Garland not as a dedicated public servant and fair-minded federal judge whose nomination to the Supreme Court was torpedoed by Mitch McConnell and Senate Republicans, but as the head of the Justice Department who brought a butter knife to an existential gunfight with Trump, quickening our collective descent into neo-fascism.

After his appointment to helm the DOJ, Garland had one overarching mission: to swiftly convene a grand jury to investigate Trump for his role in inciting the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the Capitol. This was a task a third-year law student could easily have accomplished. Garland failed, abjectly.

This was a task a third-year law student could easily have accomplished.

Probable cause for an early indictment was abundant and obvious. On Jan. 6, millions of Americans watched Trump stand on the Ellipse at the south end of the White House and urge his supporters to march on the Capitol and “fight like hell.” Millions watched the actual assault that followed, blow by medieval blow. Even the corrupt McConnell, who voted to acquit Trump in his second impeachment trial in February 2021, declared on the Senate floor, “There’s no question, none, that President Trump is practically and morally responsible for provoking the events of the day [Jan. 6].”

Instead of targeting Trump and his chief lieutenants immediately, Garland set out to arrest and try the foot soldiers of the uprising. And while he did a commendable job in that respect (eventually charging more than 1,500 with federal crimes), he dithered on Trump until November 2022, when he appointed Jack Smith as a special counsel to probe Trump for the insurrection and absconding from the White House with a trove of highly classified documents.

By then, it was too late.

Although Smith secured an indictment of Trump in Washington, D.C., for conspiracy, obstruction and election subversion on Aug. 1, 2023, the indictment was gutted by the Supreme Court (Trump v. United States) the following July in a decision that granted Trump sweeping and unprecedented immunity from criminal prosecution.

Written by Chief Justice John Roberts, a lifelong conservative activist with an undeserved reputation as a judicial institutionalist, the ruling is arguably the worst edict handed down by the high court since the Dred Scott case of 1857. “Trump v. United States is distinct as a deliberate attack on the core institutions and principles of the republic, preparing the way for a MAGA authoritarian regime much as Dred Scott tried to do for the slavocracy,” wrote Sean Wilenz in a scathing article for the New York Review of Books.

Smith also indicted Trump in Florida in the documents case, but that prosecution was subsequently scuttled by District Court Judge Aileen Mercedes Cannon, an inexperienced MAGA sycophant whom Trump installed on the federal bench in the runup to the 2020 election.

In addition to Garland, the Supreme Court and Cannon, Joe Biden also shares responsibility for letting Trump off the hook. From Day 1, Biden should have used the bully pulpit to attack, isolate and destroy Trump and his MAGA base. Instead, he pursued a politics of accommodation, preaching a return to the false neoliberal normalcy of bipartisanship. Most critically of all, Biden decided to seek a second term, when it was apparent to everyone with two eyes and ears that he was no longer fit, either physically or mentally, for another stint behind the Resolute Desk. With Biden’s approval rating plunging to 40%, Kamala Harris had little to no chance of defeating Trump at the polls.

But standing atop the heap, Garland will forever bear the principal stain of wimping out when courage and — to put it in the vernacular — balls were needed to stop Trump before the forces of reaction had time to regroup and reorganize. They are now in control.

NOW READ: The better choice for Democrats on Monday

If Trump decides to stay in 2028, this is how he will do it

If we have learned anything about Donald Trump over the past decade, it’s that even his most outlandish threats against democracy should be taken seriously. This applies not only to his promises to exact revenge and retribution on his political opponents and critics, but also to his expressed interest in serving a third term (or more) as president.

Trump has been musing about serving three terms for a long time. In a 2018 fundraiser with donors at Mar-a-Lago, he praised Chinese President XI Jinping for being elected president for life, calling Xi “great,” and suggesting, “Maybe we’ll have to give that a shot someday.” At a campaign rally in Wisconsin in August 2020, he declared: “We are going to win four more years. And then after that, we’ll go for another four years because they spied on my campaign. We should get a redo of four years.”

His latest remarks on the subject were delivered on Nov. 13, when he told a gathering of House Republicans, “I suspect I won’t be running again, unless you say, ‘He’s so good, we’ve got to figure out something else.’

Although widely characterized as a joke, the third-term talk cannot be dismissed as just another zany part of Trump’s rambling standup schtick that has seen him praising Hannibal Lecter, extolling the size of Arnold Palmer’s penis and condemning windmills for driving whales crazy. Nor can it be taken for granted, as is commonly done, that the 22nd Amendment would preclude Trump from securing a third stint behind the Resolute Desk.

The 22nd Amendment provides:

No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once.

By its terms, the amendment prohibits presidents from being elected more than twice. It is silent as to whether a president can legally assume office more than twice by other means.

The distinction is critical because the hardcore reactionaries who dominate the Supreme Court, where any 22nd Amendment challenge involving Trump would wind up, consider themselves to be strict “textualists.” This means that they profess to focus on the plain meaning of the words contained in the Constitution, regardless of the practical consequences. As Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett put it in her October 2020 Senate confirmation hearing: “I interpret the Constitution as a law and … I interpret its text as text, and I understand it to have the meaning that it had at the time people ratified it. So that meaning doesn’t change over time and it’s not up to me to update it or infuse my own policy views into it.”

Trump has been musing about serving three terms for a long time.

The exact meaning of the 22nd Amendment, however, has been the subject of academic debate since the measure was ratified in 1951. In a 1999 law review article published well before Trump became a reality TV huckster much less a presidential hopeful, legal scholars Bruce Peabody and Scott Gant argued that a twice-elected president would not be prohibited from joining a new electoral ticket as a vice presidential candidate, and if elected, would not be precluded from ascending to the presidency if the head of the ticket subsequently died or resigned.

Given the degeneration of the Republican Party into a cult of personality, it is not at all unthinkable that if Trump is still physically fit in 2028 that he and JD Vance could switch places on the GOP ticket, with the goal of having Vance elected and then stepping down to allow Trump to return to the helm. There is nothing unconstitutional on its face about such a scheme. And there is no reason to think Trump’s MAGA base would raise any objections to keeping their dear leader in power.

A less likely route back to the Oval would be for Trump to be elected speaker of the House, assuming there is a Republican majority in the lower chamber in 2029. The speaker is second in line to the presidency under the Presidential Succession Act of 1947, and does not have to be a member of the chamber. There was considerable chatter in 2023 about Trump running for the speakership, and that talk could easily be revived to facilitate a third Trump term with the proper resignations of newly elected GOP stand-ins as president and vice president.

If both of those scenarios appear beyond reach, Trump could simply declare his candidacy for a third term and defy anyone to stop him. While such a move would be in direct conflict with the 22nd Amendment and would seemingly require the amendment to be repealed in the fashion of the 21st Amendment, which negated the 18th and ended prohibition, some pundits on the radical right are already agitating for “Trump 2028,” contending that the 22nd Amendment is inherently undemocratic and thus ripe for repeal.

But what if Trump, emboldened by a second term, decides to skip the laborious process of amending the Constitution altogether? Writing last February in the online journal LawFare, former associate White House counsel Ian Bassin asked why we should expect the Supreme Court to step in and declare Trump ineligible to run in 2028 if the court refuses to enforce a state’s decision to remove him from the ballot under the insurrectionist clause of the 14th Amendment.

The insurrectionist clause is simple and straightforward, and appears tailor-made for Trump, stipulating that “No person shall … hold any office … under the United States … who, having previously taken an oath … to support the Constitution … shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion.”

Trump could simply declare his candidacy for a third term and defy anyone to stop him.

Bassin’s article was published a month before the Supreme Court answered his question with its disastrous and hypocritical ruling inTrump v. Anderson that overturned Colorado’s decision to deny Trump a place on its 2024 presidential ballot. The court held that only Congress could enforce the insurrectionist clause. And even then, the court explained, Congress would have to enact a new statute to authorize the removal of an insurrectionist.

Prior to Anderson, a broad array of constitutional law experts, including liberal Harvard Law professor Laurence Tribe and retired conservative federal judge J. Michael Luttig, had argued that the insurrectionist clause was “self-executing” and required no enabling legislation, but only action by the courts for implementation. The Supreme Court slammed the door on this argument in Anderson, while potentially opening another on the self-executing nature of the 22nd Amendment in a future case.

Even if the Supreme Court were to rule against a Trump third-term bid, what would stop Trump from just ignoring the court’s commands? As Alexander Hamilton wrote long ago in Federalist Paper No. 78, “The judiciary … has no influence over either the sword or the purse. … It may truly be said to have neither FORCE nor WILL, but merely judgment.”

Both Andrew Jackson (in a case involving the seizure of Native American lands) and Abraham Lincoln (on habeas corpus) defied the Supreme Court. Trump would no doubt love to outdo them both.

Donald Trump and the election subversion plot of 1787

Donald Trump owes the Founding Fathers a deep debt of gratitude for making his past and present election-subversion plots possible. In particular, he should thank them for creating the Electoral College.

This article originally appeared on Truthdig.

Most of the 55 white men of property who convened in Philadelphia in 1787 to revise the Articles of Confederation held a deep distrust of the masses. No less than 25 of them were slave owners. They considered but quickly rejected the possibility of electing the president by direct popular vote as excessively democratic. Instead, the national charter they produced embodied a host of compromises that were at their core profoundly racist and anti-democratic. These “Faustian bargains,” as many legal commentators have called them, included the structural design of the Senate, which accords each state two members regardless of population; the protection of slavery and states’ rights with the notorious “three-fifths” compromise, which allowed three-fifths of the enslaved populations of the Southern states to be counted for purposes of determining representation in the House of Representatives; and above all, the Electoral College.

As set forth in Article II of the Constitution, the Electoral College allocates “electors” to each state based on the size of each state’s House delegation, plus two senators. The three-fifths clause was necessary to secure support for the system from slave states, as it increased their number of electors. The candidate who wins a majority of the college becomes the president.

In the event that no candidate secures a majority, Article II as modified by the 12th Amendment (ratified in 1804) requires the House to conduct a “contingent election,” in which each state delegation, rather than each individual representative, gets one vote to determine the presidency. And under both the 12th Amendment and the 20th (ratified in 1933, and which moved the inauguration from March to January), it is the newly elected Congress, not the outgoing one, that makes the determination.

As Berkeley law school dean Erwin Chemerinsky explains in his latest book, “No Democracy Lasts Forever,” no other putative democracy in the world selects its chief executive in such a blatantly undemocratic manner. Because of the Electoral College, the United States has elected a president who lost the national popular vote five times — in 1824, 1876, 1888, 2000, and most egregiously, in 2016, when Trump claimed the Oval Office despite losing the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by nearly 3 million ballots. The country has conducted contingent elections for the president twice — in 1800, when the House handed the presidency to Thomas Jefferson, and in 1824, when the House selected John Quincy Adams.

Without the Electoral College and its rejection of popular democracy, Trump’s 2020 election-subversion plot, as well as the efforts currently underway, would have been unthinkable. The 2020 plan was built on a series of memos drafted by attorney Kenneth Chesebro and law professor John Eastman that called for the creation of “alternate” slates of Republican electors in swing states where Joe Biden won the popular vote. Under the plan, Vice President Mike Pence as president of the Senate would either accept the alternate slates as genuine during the joint session of Congress convened on Jan. 6, 2021, to confirm the winner; send the election back to state legislatures to reexamine their electoral certifications; or send the election to the House for a contingent ballot that would end in Trump’s favor.

The plan also called for invalidating the Election Count Act of 1887, which Congress adopted in the aftermath of the disputed 1876 contest between Republican Rutherford B. Hayes and Democrat Samuel Tilden. Like 2020, the 1876 election was plagued by allegations of fraud, and dual sets of electors from four states were submitted to Congress. Rather than forward the vote to the House, however, a special commission was appointed to determine the winner. In return for agreeing to end Reconstruction, Hayes was chosen.

The ECA spelled out in greater detail than the Constitution the procedure for tallying electoral votes. Although intended to minimize confusion and subversion, it was poorly drafted and provided inadequate safeguards. It permitted a state’s electoral votes to be challenged at the joint session if just two members of Congress, one from the House and one from the Senate, filed written objections. Once such objections were lodged, the ECA required the session to be suspended while the two chambers separated and debated the merits of the objections. If both chambers sustained the objections to a state’s votes, those votes were to be thrown out and not considered in the final electoral count. If the revised count still showed no candidate winning a majority, a contingent election in the House would ensue.

The plot failed and the ECA survived, but not before the country was nearly brought to its knees with the Jan. 6 insurrection that disrupted the joint session and the peaceful transfer of power. Pence held firm to his position that the vice president had a ministerial role limited to opening and counting electoral votes, and that he lacked the unilateral power to invalidate votes. Although objections were made to Arizona’s electoral certification, the Senate rebuffed the challenge by a vote of 93-6, and the House by a margin of 303-121.

Hoping to avoid another insurrection, Congress passed the Electoral Count Reform Act in 2022, correcting some of the ECA’s massive deficiencies. Among other provisions, the reform act clarifies the vice president’s role as strictly ministerial and provides that states may only submit a single, conclusive slate of electors certified by the governor or other designated executive official. The new act also raises the objection threshold from one representative of each chamber to one-fifth of the members of each body and it offers expedited review in federal court of election lawsuits.

The reform act will make it harder, but by no means impossible, for Trump’s current subversion scheme to work. The new plan is unfolding before our eyes, paralleling the 2020 plot with a flood of litigation contesting voting procedures in swing states, with the ultimate aim of getting at least one case before the Supreme Court, which has moved ever more sharply to the right and become little more than a tool of the MAGA movement.

Compounding the danger of renewed subversion, there is nothing in the Reform Act to prevent a far-right governor from colluding with similarly extreme state legislators to overturn the will of state voters and send a single fake slate of electors to the next joint session in 2025. Nor will the GOP be hard-pressed to meet the new 20% objection threshold if it controls both chambers of Congress come January. Most foreboding, the reform act also does nothing to alter the rules governing contingent elections in the House.

With the polls showing the race between Trump and Kamala Harris coming down to the wire, no amount of subversion from Trump and his party can be ruled out. The plot this time is far more sophisticated and informed than its 2020 predecessor. If it succeeds, we can blame the Founding Fathers for creating a system that contained the seeds of its own destruction with the deeply anti-democratic Electoral College.

'Myth of institutionalism': John Roberts lays out blueprint for dictatorship

In November 2018, a public spat broke out between former President Donald Trump and Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts. It began when District Court Judge Jon Tigar of San Francisco overturned the Trump administration’s new restrictions on political asylum, leading the president to dismiss Tigar as an “Obama judge.” In response, Roberts issued a statement to the Associated Press, declaring, “We do not have Obama judges or Trump judges, Bush judges or Clinton judges. What we have is an extraordinary group of dedicated judges doing their level best to do equal right to those appearing before them. The independent judiciary is something we should all be thankful for.”

This article originally appeared on TruthDig.

Determined to have the last word, Trump tweeted: “Sorry Chief Justice John Roberts, but you do indeed have ‘Obama judges,’ and they have a much different point of view than the people who are charged with the safety of our country.”

The exchange with Trump bolstered Roberts’ image as an institutionalist committed to the fair and impartial administration of justice. But that image was and always has been a chimera.

Roberts’ 6-3 majority opinion in Trump v. United States, which accords Trump broad immunity from criminal prosecution for his “official” acts as president, proves beyond a reasonable doubt that we do, in fact, have Trump judges. And Roberts is the quintessential example. He is the leader of a reactionary judicial junta hellbent on rolling back the Voting Rights Act, gutting reproductive freedom, dismantling the New Deal, and establishing an imperial presidency that is beyond legal accountability.

The immediate effect of Roberts’ ruling is that Special Counsel Jack Smith’s election-subversion indictment of Trump will be stripped of many of its most important allegations, and any trial on the indictment will be delayed until well after the November election. If Trump wins, as he likely would if the election were held today, he would be able to order his new attorney general to dismiss the case, and do the same with the Mar-a-Lago documents prosecution.

Longer term, as Justice Sonia Sotomayor argued in a blistering dissent, Roberts’ opinion will have more dire consequences, as it “invents an atextual, ahistorical, and unjustifiable immunity that puts the President above the law.” The opinion is also, according to Boston University School of Law professor Jed Shugerman, a “constitutional embarrassment … incoherent … [and] hard to decipher.”

But this is the Supreme Court, and decipher it we must.

Distilled to its essence, Roberts and his like-minded benchmates held that the separation of powers mandates immunity. Without presidential immunity, Roberts proclaimed, the executive branch would be unable to take the “bold and unhesitating action” the country demands from its commander-in-chief for fear that his successor would target him for prosecution, turning the executive branch into one that “cannibalizes itself” with every change of administration. This is a novel interpretation of the Constitution, which does not contain text providing for presidential immunity from criminal prosecution. It also deviates dramatically from the founding fathers’ vision of a constitutional republic. In Federalist 69 and 77, two of the most seminal of the founding-era texts, Alexander Hamilton wrote that the presidents of the then-new United States would not have unlimited power but could, if needed, be prosecuted in the ordinary course of law. The entire point of the revolution was to rid the fledgling nation of an absolute monarch and enshrine the principle that no one is above the law.

Contrary to this sacred tradition, Roberts’ ruling endows Trump and future presidents with a monarchical kind of immunity, which he divides into three categories:

  1. Absolute immunity for exercising the “core powers” of the presidency that are enumerated in Article II of the Constitution. These involve such matters as, in Roberts’ words, “commanding the Armed Forces of the United States; granting reprieves and pardons for offenses against the United States; and appointing public ministers and consuls, the Justices of this Court, and Officers of the United States.” Henceforth, actions taken pursuant to a core power can never be prosecuted.
  2. Presumptive immunity for “official acts” other than those considered core powers that are undertaken within the scope of the president’s official responsibilities and the “outer perimeter” of those responsibilities. The presumption can be rebutted, but only if the government can demonstrate that a given criminal prosecution “does not pose [any] dangers of intrusion on the authority and functions of the Executive Branch.”
  3. “Unofficial acts” for which there is no immunity.

This distinction between official and unofficial acts seems to be designed to rescue Trump from the clutches of the special counsel. Prior to the Roberts decision, the Supreme Court had never been called upon to review a criminal prosecution of a former president. Richard Nixon came close, but he had the good sense and just enough residual patriotism to resign and accept a pardon from Gerald Ford to avoid an indictment.

Roberts based his ruling in large part on a 1982 decision involving a wrongful termination lawsuit against Richard Nixon brought by a federal contractor. Nixon v. Fitzgeraldheld that presidents are entitled to “absolute immunity” in civil cases seeking damages arising from their official acts and “the outer perimeter” of their official duties. But Nixon v. Fitzgerald was explicitly limited to civil litigation, and the concurring and dissenting opinions in that case emphasized that the court’s decision had no application to criminal law. Now, courtesy of Roberts and his collaborators, Nixon v. Fitzgerald is the law of the land in both civil and criminal litigation.

Apart from Roberts’ lack of fidelity to constitutional text, history and precedent, his opinion is conceptually sloppy, poorly organized and incomplete. For example, Roberts concluded that Trump’s discussions with his then-acting attorney general and members of the Department of Justice about overturning the 2020 election were official acts entitled to immunity, but he declined to decide whether Trump’s discussions with Vice President Mike Pence are similarly entitled to protection or unofficial conduct undertaken as a candidate for office. That task — and the job of evaluating every other allegation set forth in Smith’s 45-page indictment — will be assigned to District Court Judge Tanya Chutkan when the case is sent back to her.

Even with the clearest guidance from the Supreme Court, the assignment of separating the official acts contained in Smith’s indictment from the unofficial ones would be time-consuming and daunting. But nowhere does Roberts offer a working definition of an unofficial act. Is an unofficial act one related to a political campaign, or one that is personal or private in nature, as Justice Amy Coney Barrett suggested in her concurring opinion? Although Roberts acknowledged that “distinguishing the President’s official actions from his unofficial ones can be difficult,” the closest he came to a definition is a line describing an unofficial act as one that is “manifestly or palpably beyond [the president’s] authority.”

Assuming that Chutkan can cut through the dense legalese of the majority opinion, she also will have to contend with the section of the ruling where Roberts holds that, “in dividing official from unofficial conduct, courts may not inquire into the President’s motives.” Because motive is often the key to proving criminal intent and intent is an element of the crimes alleged against Trump, it’s hard to see just how much of Smith’s case could survive even if Trump loses in November.

All that has Sotomayor and the dissenting justices outraged. “In fact,” Sotomayor argued in her dissent, “the majority’s dividing line between ‘official’ and ‘unofficial’ conduct narrows the conduct considered ‘unofficial’ almost to a nullity. It says that whenever the President acts in a way that is ‘not manifestly or palpably beyond [his] authority,’ he is taking official action.”

Forecasting nothing less than the demise of American democracy, Sotomayor continued:

The President of the United States is the most powerful person in the country, and possibly the world. When he uses his official powers in any way, under the majority’s reasoning, he now will be insulated from criminal prosecution. Orders the Navy’s Seal Team 6 to assassinate a political rival? Immune. Organizes a military coup to hold onto power? Immune. Takes a bribe in exchange for a pardon? Immune. Immune, immune, immune.

As the chief justice, Roberts could have assigned any other concurring member of the court to draft the majority opinion. That Roberts chose to write the opinion himself rather than farm it out to Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito — both of whom should have recused themselves due to the conduct of their wives as outspoken supporters of the MAGA movement — or to one of the three younger justices appointed by Trump, is a testament to Roberts’ ego and a final and full revelation of his ideological extremism.

Roberts has spent his legal career as a right-wing political operative, dating back to his stint as a clerk for the late Supreme Court Chief Justice William Rehnquist, continuing in his work for the Reagan and Bush administrations, and into his role as a behind-the-scenes GOP “consultant, lawsuit editor, and prep coach for arguments before the Supreme Court” in the run-up to Bush v. Gore, the case that decided the 2000 presidential election.

His 2013 majority opinion in Shelby County v. Holder, which eviscerated the Voting Rights Act, ranks among the worst decisions in the Supreme Court’s history. His opinion in Trump v. United States deserves the same infamy.

Samuel Alito isn’t fooling anyone anymore

Update: On May 29, Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito rejected demands that he recuse himself from all Jan. 6-related cases pending before the court. In a letter to Democratic Senators Richard Durbin and Sheldon Whitehouse, Alito said that the MAGA-themed flags seen outside his two homes were flown by his wife without his knowledge or involvement.

Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito has been lying in public for a long time. His attempt to blame his wife for flying an upside down American flag, a symbol of MAGA defiance, at his Virginia home shortly after the Jan. 6 insurrection is only the latest in a series of high-profile prevarications dating back to his 2006 Senate confirmation hearing.

This story originally appeared on a Truthdig.

Nominated to the Supreme Court by George W. Bush to replace the retiring Sandra Day O’Connor, Alito’s confirmation was all but guaranteed as Republicans held a 55-seat majority in the upper chamber. Yet despite taking an oath to tell “the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth” on day one of the four-day proceeding, Alito sought to portray himself as a judicial moderate, misrepresenting his positions on a host of critical issues.

First and foremost, Alito lied about his views on abortion and Roe v. Wade (1973), which he called an “an important precedent of the Supreme Court” that had “been on the books for a long time” and had been “reaffirmed” by the court, strengthening its value as settled law. Sixteen years later, with the court firmly in the hands of a hard-right majority, he showed his true colors, authoring the Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization opinion that overturned Roe, proclaiming that Roe “was egregiously wrong from the start,” and that its reasoning was “exceptionally weak” and caused “dangerous consequences” for the country.

Alito similarly shaded the truth at his confirmation hearing about his support for a broad-based interpretation of presidential immunity and the “ unitary executive” theory that advocates for an all-powerful presidency — questions that loom large before the Supreme Court in the election-subversion case brought by Justice Department Special Counsel Jack Smith against Donald Trump that the court will decide by the end of its current term. Alito was also suspiciously evasive about his membership in a now-defunct Princeton University alumni group that opposed the admission of women and tried to limit the enrollment of minority students.

None of Alito’s confirmation-hearing posturing was convincing or surprising. Long before the hearing, Alito had earned a well-deserved reputation as an aggressively hardcore Republican partisan, serving as a deputy assistant attorney general assigned to the Office of Legal Counsel from 1985-87 during Ronald Reagan’s second term as president; working as the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey from 1987 to 1990; and sitting as a federal appellate judge on D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals from 1990 to 2006.

As a federal judge, he was given the nickname “ Strip-Search Sammy” for a dissenting opinion he penned in 2004 in a drug-raid appeal from Pennsylvania, in which he approved of the strip search of a 10-year-old girl who was not a suspect in the case. Although he claimed at his confirmation hearing that he “wasn’t happy” about what had happened to the child, he insisted his dissent was based solely on a technical application of the Fourth Amendment.

On the Supreme Court, Alito has operated very much in keeping with his strip-search moniker, ruling in favor of defendants in only 20% of the criminal cases that have come before him. The court’s next most pro-prosecution justice, Clarence Thomas, has voted in favor of defendants at a 25% rate.

Like Thomas, Alito has also come under fire for alleged ethics violations while on the Supreme Court. As reported by ProPublica last year, he took a luxury fishing trip to Alaska in 2008, flying for free aboard a private jet owned by Republican megadonor Paul Singer and staying, all-expenses paid, at an opulent rustic lodge owned by the businessman. Alito not only failed to disclose the trip on his annual financial disclosure forms, but he also failed to recuse himself from participating in a case involving Singer’s hedge fund that the court decided in the fund’s favor in 2014.

Throwing his wife under the bus in the flag controversy represents a more cowardly ethical low. Martha Ann Alito, a former law librarian, sat dutifully behind her husband throughout his confirmation hearing. At one point, as her spouse came under increasingly harsh questioning by Democratic members of the Senate Judiciary Committee, she burst into tears and briefly left the room. The incident, according to investigative reporter Michael Isikoff, changed the entire tenor of the hearing. “It was game, set, match,” Steve Schmidt, the veteran Republican operative turned never-Trumper who worked on Alito’s confirmation, told Isikoff, for an article posted last week by The Wrap.

When The New York Times published the photo of the upside-down American flag that had been raised outside his Virginia home in the days following the Jan. 6 insurrection, Justice Alito had a choice. He could have manned up and admitted that he knew full well that the inverted flag, a traditional signal of naval distress, had been appropriated as a symbol of the “stop-the-steal” movement and had been carried by rioters who stormed the Capitol. Or he could have opted to pin responsibility solely on his wife. In an email to the Times, he chose the latter, writing:

I had no involvement whatsoever in the flying of the flag. It was briefly placed by Mrs. Alito in response to a neighbor’s use of objectionable and personally insulting language on yard signs.

As it turns out, the upside-down flag isn’t the only stop-the-steal banner Alito and his wife have brandished since the insurrection. Last summer, according to another New York Times report, the couple flew an “Appeal to Heaven” flag at their New Jersey vacation home. Depicting a green pine tree topped by the motto “Appeal to Heaven,” the flag dates to the Revolutionary War, but has been repurposed by Christian nationalists and like the inverted Stars-and-Stripes, was seen in the hands of insurrectionists on Jan. 6.

Alito has offered no further comment on the flag scandals, and it’s easy to understand why. He doesn’t have to. The framers of the Constitution endowed Supreme Court justices with lifetime appointments, and barring impeachment, they are beyond legal accountability.

Short of expanding the court, which is a long-term political project, there is at least one thing supporters of impartial justice can do. We can, and must, expose Alito’s mendacity and corruption at every opportunity. As Isikoff noted for The Wrap, Alito has replaced Thomas as the most polarizing justice on the Supreme Court. “Nobody likes him,” Schmidt told Isikoff. “He’s sullen, aggrieved, prickly and angry.” It’s imperative to let Alito know that we are angry, too.

A president on trial: Will Trump go down in New York?

Barring a last-minute judicial reprieve or an act of God, Donald Trump will become the first former or sitting U.S. president to stand trial on criminal charges when jury selection begins Monday in his “hush-money” case in New York City. Not even Richard Nixon, who was saved from an indictment for his role in the Watergate scandal by a presidential pardon, achieved such ignominy. Whatever its outcome, the trial will make history.

This article originally appeared on TruthDig.

Trump was indicted in New York on March 30, 2023 on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records to cover up a $130,000 payment to porn star Stormy Daniels to prevent her from going public during the 2016 presidential campaign about their alleged sexual encounter a decade earlier. In a “Statement of Facts” filed along with the indictment and in a press release issued the day of Trump’s April 4 arraignment, Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg explained that the payment to Daniels was part of a larger “catch and kill” scheme Trump initiated in August 2015 “to identify, purchase, and bury negative information about him and boost his electoral prospects.”

In addition to the Daniels disbursement, the scheme involved a $150,000 payment to former Playboy magazine “Playmate of the Year” Karen McDougal to cover up an alleged extramarital affair, and a $30,000 payment to Dino Sajudin, a former doorman at the Trump Tower in Manhattan, who allegedly was trying to sell a story about a child Trump had fathered out of wedlock.

What makes Trump’s scheme unlawful, according to Bragg, is that Cohen’s $130,000 payment to Daniels was actually a contribution to Trump’s election campaign.

The scheme was carried out by Trump’s former lawyer and “fixer” Michael Cohen, who made the payment to Daniels on Trump’s behalf and was later reimbursed by Trump. The payments to McDougal and Sajudin came from American Media, Inc., the former publisher of the National Enquirer tabloid, whose then-chairman and chief executive officer, David Pecker, is a long-time Trump associate.

Although evidence of the larger scheme will come before the jury to show Trump’s intent to use the payments to enhance his election prospects, the indictment only charges him with offenses related to Daniels.

There is nothing illegal per se about making hush-money payments. The wealthy often use them to secure nondisclosure agreements to keep embarrassing or confidential information private.

What makes Trump’s scheme unlawful, according to Bragg, is that Cohen’s $130,000 payment to Daniels was actually a contribution to Trump’s election campaign that was both undisclosed and exceeded the 2016 $2,700 limit on individual contributions set by the Federal Election Campaign Act. In addition, the reimbursement checks written to Cohen in 2017 were “illegally disguised [in the records of the Trump Organization] as…payment for legal services rendered pursuant to a non-existent retainer agreement” to hide their actual purpose. Eleven of the 34 counts lodged against Trump involve checks written to Cohen (nine signed by Trump himself); 12 concern false invoices Cohen submitted; and 12 involve false entries in records maintained by the Trump Organization.

Although New York prosecutors routinely litigate business-record frauds, such cases are usually handled as misdemeanors. Offenses become felonies when the intent to defraud includes an intent to commit or conceal another crime. The other crimes implicated in Trump’s scheme include federal election campaign finance violations, parallel state-election law crimes and tax fraud.

As in all criminal cases, Bragg’s legal team will have the burden of proving their case beyond a reasonable doubt. The team has named 11 potential witnesses, headed by Cohen, Daniels and Pecker. Also named are Trump administration operatives Hope Hicks and Madeleine Westerhout, and Trump Organization insiders Rhona Graff, Jeffrey McConney and Deborah Tarasoff, who presumably will be called to help establish Trump’s knowledge of the scheme and his criminal intent.

In addition to the witnesses, the prosecution will present a trove of documentary evidence, including the reimbursement checks written to Cohen, the phony business ledger entries and a taped telephone conversation between Cohen and Trump that Cohen secretly recorded in September 2016. The pair can be heard on the recording discussing how to hide the payments to McDougal.

None of this means that the case is a slam dunk. Cohen will be particularly easy prey on cross examination as a convicted felon. In 2018, he pleaded guilty in federal court to tax evasion, making false statements to banks and campaign finance violations for the Daniels and McDougal payments. He was subsequently sentenced to serve three years in prison.

Each of the 34 counts carries a potential four-year prison term, with a maximum cap of 20 years for convictions on five or more counts.

Trump was never charged with a federal crime, but was named in the pleadings filed against Cohen as “individual 1,” on whose behalf Cohen allegedly acted.

All of this has Trump alarmed that his strategy of delaying his day of reckoning in a criminal trial is coming to an end. The strategy has worked thus far in the two cases brought by Justice Department Special Counsel Jack Smith for election subversion and mishandling classified documents, and in the case brought by Fulton County, Georgia District Attorney Fani Willis for election interference.

But the strategy has run aground in Trump’s former hometown, where he rose to fame as a real estate mogul and a “reality TV” huckster. Last week, his attorneys lost four last-ditch motions to delay the trial.

From a political standpoint, the hush-money prosecution may not be as significant as Trump’s other criminal cases, but apart from its embarrassing and salacious details — all of which will be laid bare in open court — it is no laughing matter. Each of the 34 counts carries a potential four-year prison term, with a maximum cap of 20 years for convictions on five or more counts.

We can’t peek inside Trump’s fevered mind, but it’s safe to assume, as former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie has said, Trump “goes to bed every night, thinking about the sound of that jail cell door closing behind” him.

This Supreme Court’s 'Bush v. Gore' moment has arrived

Is the United States Supreme Court really a court in the strict sense of the term? Or is it a political council that yields to the ideologies of its nine unelected members? That’s the overriding question as the high tribunal reviews the Colorado Supreme Court’s ruling in Anderson v. Griswold, which disqualifies Donald Trump from appearing on that state’s presidential primary ballot under the insurrection clause (Section Three) of the 14th Amendment.

This article originally appeared on Truthdig.

Courts are supposed to adjudicate issues based on the facts and the applicable law, without “fear or favor,” as the cliché goes. Political bodies, by contrast, decide issues on the basis of favored outcomes. The U.S. Supreme Court clearly falls into the latter category.

No decision in recent history revealed the political nature of the Supreme Court more starkly than its 2000 ruling in Bush v. Gore, which handed the presidency to George W. Bush. Anderson v. Griswold promises to follow in Bush v. Gore’s footsteps.

Bush v. Gore halted an ongoing recount of the vote in Florida, depriving the voters of that state, and by extension voters in the entire country, of their right to a fair determination of the true winner of the election. To justify its decision, the court’s five-member majority invented a theory that the use of different standards of vote counting in different Florida counties violated the Equal Protection Clause (Section One) of the 14th Amendment.

The truth was the exact opposite. If anything, equal protection principles required the recount to be completed. As Justice John Paul Stevens lamented in dissent:

Although we may never know with complete certainty the identity of the winner of this year’s Presidential election, the identity of the loser is perfectly clear. It is the Nation’s confidence in the judge as an impartial guardian of the rule of law.

Only the corrupt Clarence Thomas remains from the panel that decided Bush v. Gore. The current court is exponentially more conservative, dominated by six hardcore Republicans, including three nominated by Trump himself. They will find a way to overrule, dismiss or otherwise limit the Colorado Supreme Court’s Anderson decision even if they have to distort the clear meaning of Section Three of the 14th Amendment, the language of which provides:

No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any state, who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any state legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any state, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof. But Congress may by a vote of two-thirds of each House, remove such disability.

The Colorado Supreme’s opinion is a meticulously crafted 213 pages long. On the issue of whether Trump engaged in insurrection within the meaning of the 14th Amendment, the court held:

[T]he record amply demonstrates that President Trump fully intended to—and did—aid or further the insurrectionists’ common unlawful purpose of preventing the peaceful transfer of power in this country. He exhorted them to fight to prevent the certification of the 2020 presidential election. He personally took action to try to stop the certification. And for many hours, he and his supporters succeeded in halting that process.

On the question of whether presidents are officers of the United States, the court concluded:

[T]he plain meaning of “office . . . under the United States” includes the Presidency; it follows then that the President is an “officer of the United States… Indeed, Americans have referred to the President as an ‘officer’ from the days of the founding… Section Three’s drafters and their contemporaries understood the President as an officer of the United States.

The U.S. Supreme Court’s Republican justices like to describe themselves as “textualists” and “originalists” who strictly adhere to the original and plain meaning of legal texts. If they remain true to their stated principles in Anderson, they will uphold the Colorado ruling.

Sadly, the Republican justices of our highest court are above everything else political actors who have risen to their preeminent positions by demonstrating their fealty to conservative causes. In the end, politics and not the law will lead them to rescue Trump from the insurrectionist label.

The only effective way to halt Donald Trump and the neo-fascist movement he leads is to vote him down next November and build a lasting counter-movement of the left. That is a tall order for supporters of democracy — and time is running out.

Trump and the dark arts of dehumanization

Did Donald Trump simply tell another whopper at a campaign rally in Cedar Rapids, Iowa on Dec. 2, when he accused Joe Biden of trying to destroy American democracy, or was something more calculating, deliberative and sinister behind the baseless claim?

The article originally appeared on TruthDig.

Trump is an impulsive individual who often “projects” his own shortcomings, failings and misdeeds onto others. But he is also a master propagandist. His decision to label Biden a destroyer of democracy is a classic illustration of what political scientists, human-rights activists and historians of fascism term “accusation in a mirror,” or “mirror-image” propaganda — a technique used by demagogues and dictators the world over to impute to their enemies and opponents exactly what they and their party are planning to do.

Mirror-image propaganda reached its fullest expression during Adolf Hitler’s rise to absolute power in Germany. In “Mein Kampf,” Hitler’s 1925 autobiographical antisemitic screed composed while he was in prison for the infamous “Beer Hall Putsch,” he blamed the Jews for every conceivable evil, describing them, rather than the Nazis, as an existential threat to humanity. “If, with the help of his Marxist creed,” he wrote:

the Jew is victorious over the other peoples of this world, his crown will be the funeral wreath of humanity and this planet will, as it did thousands of years ago, move through the ether devoid of men.”

Fighting against the Jew, he continued, was “fighting for the work of the Lord.”

As the Second World War erupted, the Third Reich’s Minister of Propaganda Joseph Goebbels increased the volume on mirror-image invective, accusing Jews of plotting to exterminate Germans. In a 1941 pamphlet, he asked, “Who should die, the Germans or the Jews? You know what your eternal enemy and opponent intends for you. There is only one instrument against his plans for annihilation…Victory.” (By “victory,” Goebbles was likely making an early allusion to the systematic elimination of Jews.)

Mirror-image propaganda was also utilized in the Rwandan and Bosnian genocides of the 1990s, and can be seen in the conflicts taking place in Ukraine, Gaza and Israel. As American University professor Susan Benesch, who directs the nonprofit Dangerous Speech Project, has written, the technique works in tandem with disinformation campaigns aimed at dehumanizing the enemy.

“Dehumanization…makes genocide seem acceptable. ‘Accusation in a mirror’ goes further by making it seem necessary,” she instructs.

Trump’s dehumanizing rhetoric has grown even more extreme over the past few months.

Trump has long expressed admiration for dictators and strongmen. His political speeches have been littered with dehumanizing diatribes and mirror-image tirades since the day he announced his candidacy in 2015. He kicked off that campaign by stigmatizing undocumented immigrants as rapists and drug smugglers, and later on the campaign trail called for a “total and complete shutdown” of Muslims entering the country. After the election, his first term in office featured an endless string of racist rants not only against immigrants for “invading” the country, but also against Black Lives Matter protesters, whom he labeled “terrorists” and “thugs.” His presidency during the early pandemic similarly was punctuated by descriptions of COVID-19 as “the China virus” and the “kung flu.”

Trump’s dehumanizing rhetoric has grown even more extreme over the past few months. As he seeks to retake the White House, he routinely calls his political opponents “vermin” and vilifies immigrants for “poisoning the blood of our country.”

Facing 91 criminal counts in four separate federal and state prosecutions, Trump returned to mirror-image propaganda at his Cedar Rapids rally, declaring that Biden and his allies “think they can do whatever they want, break any law, tell any lie, ruin any life, trash any norm and get away with anything they want. Anything they want.”

Should he be reelected — and the polls currently show him leading Biden in a head-to-head rematch — Trump promises to go well beyond his rhetoric to transform the presidency into a virtual dictatorship, rounding up undocumented immigrants into mass-detention centers, dismantling civil service protections for government workers, unleashing the Justice Department on his political opponents and invoking the Insurrection Act to quell domestic unrest.

Detailed plans for a second Trump term are set out in Project 2025, an initiative sponsored by the Heritage Foundation and other far-right groups to implement a maximalist version of presidential power. The specific goals of the project are discussed in great detail in the ninth edition of the Heritage Foundation’s “Mandate for Leadership.” First published in 1981, the mandate is designed to serve as a guide for conservative governance; it is updated periodically, usually at the outset of each presidential administration. The current version totals 920 pages.

Prominent Trump surrogates have echoed the Project’s goals. In an appearance on a right-wing podcast in September, Iowa lawyer Mike Davis, believed to be among Trump’s top candidates for attorney general, said he would work to demolish the “deep state,” indict Joe Biden and pardon the Jan. 6 insurrectionists. “We’re gonna deport a lot of people, 10 million people and growing — anchor babies, their parents, their grandparents,” Davis vowed. “We’re gonna put kids in cages. It’s gonna be glorious. We’re gonna detain a lot of people in the D.C. gulag and Gitmo.”

As the campaign heats up, it is important to remember that a second Trump term will have far fewer legal guardrails than the first.

Kash Patel, rumored to be a possible choice to head Trump’s CIA, made similarly disturbing threats in a recent appearance on Steve Bannon’s War Room podcast. “We’re gonna use the Constitution to prosecute those destroying the republic,” he said. “We will go out and find the conspirators, not just in government but in the media. Yes, we’re going to come after the people in the media who lied about American citizens, who helped Joe Biden rig presidential elections — we’re going to come after you. Whether it’s criminally or civilly, we’ll figure that out.”

No surrogate, however, promotes Trump’s dictatorial aspirations more explicitly than Stephen Miller, who served as a policy adviser to the former president in his first term and is considered likely to join a second Trump Cabinet. In a Dec. 2 post on the social media platform X, Miller went full fuhrer. “A president is the embodiment of the state and the voter,” he wrote in response to the criminal prosecutions against Trump. “So when he becomes liable for his exercise of speech as president it is, in fact, the whole American people who have been robbed of their sovereign authority — authority transferred yet again to the unelected, unreformed and unaccountable. Conservatives not speaking out against these travesties are clearly uninterested in conserving this Republic.”

No one in the Trump camp, including the candidate himself, has yet advocated for outright genocide, although the plan for immigrant detention camps smacks of old-school ethnic cleansing. The election season, however, is just getting started. As the campaign heats up, it is important to remember that a second Trump term will have far fewer legal guardrails than the first. And those guardrails barely held the last time.

Trump’s transition to fascism is now complete

One of the few foreign correspondents to be granted personal access to Adolph Hitler and his inner circle in the dark winter of 1933 was Welsh journalist Garreth Jones. Assigned by his home paper, the Western Mail, to cover Hitler’s push to absolute power, Jones accompanied the newly appointed chancellor and his entourage to Frankfurt for a massive political rally that was held on March 2 of 1933.

This article originally appeared on Truthdig.

Jones’ eyewitness account of the event is bone-chilling because it looks so much like what we are seeing today at Trump rallies.

“For eight hours, the biggest hall in Germany has been packed with 25,000 people for whom Hitler is the savior of his nation,” Jones began his story. “They are waiting, tense with national fervor…I have never seen such a mass of people; such a display of flags up to the top of the high roof, such deafening roars. It is primitive, mass worship.”

Then Hitler took the stage to a “roar of applause and the thumping and the blare of a military band and the thud of marching feet.” Hitler, Jones observed, “is … a master in repeating [his] leitmotiv in many varied forms, and the leitmotiv is: ‘The republican regime in Germany has betrayed you. Our day of retribution has come.’”

As a form of political behavior, discourse and ideology, Trump and the MAGA movement are clearly fascist.

The rally closed with Hitler’s pledge to “complete the work which I began fourteen years ago as an unknown soldier, for which I have struggled as leader of the party and for which I stand today as Chancellor of Germany. We shall do our duty.”

“Again,” Jones wrote, “the hall resounds.”

Three weeks later, Hitler secured passage of the Enabling Act, bringing the Weimar Republic effectively to an end.

Flash forward some 90 years and you can hear echoes of Hitler’s Frankfurt address in the persistent messaging of Donald Trump. Speaking at the ultra-right Faith and Freedom Coalition’s 14th annual “Road to the Majority” conference in Washington, D.C. on June 24, the former president proclaimed:

In 2016, I declared: I am your voice. Today, I add: I am your warrior. I am your justice. And for those who have been wronged and betrayed, I am your retribution.

Trump delivered a similar message earlier in June, telling an audience of enraptured supporters in Columbus, Georgia, that he was being persecuted by federal and state prosecutors. He insisted that the “deep state” was also out to get those who followed him. “In the end,” Trump complained, “they’re not coming after me. They’re coming after you — and I’m just standing in their way.” This was the usual stuff of Trumpian spectacle. In a rambling tirade delivered on Veterans Day in New Hampshire, Trump vowed to “root out…the radical left thugs that live like vermin within the confines of our country.”

Trump’s fixation on Hitlerian imagery, memes and tropes is not an accident. The orange-haired demagogue has had a longstanding fascination with Hitler. According to a 1990 Vanity Fair article, Trump’s first wife Ivana, who died last year, told her divorce attorney that the former president kept a compilation of Hitler’s speeches in a cabinet by his bed. Wall Street Journal reporter Michael Bender remarked on Trump’s interest in Hitler in his book on the 2020 presidential campaign, “Finally We Did Win This Election.” Bender writes that Trump told his then-chief of staff Gen. John Kelly during a 2018 trip to Europe that “Hitler did a lot of good things,” particularly for the German economy. (Trump vehemently denied Bender’s account.)

The cult-like bond between the movement leader and his most ardent followers, a bond characterized by pledges of mutual aid, threats of revenge and shared delusions of victimization, is one of the bedrock features of fascism. This was graphically illustrated by the ascent to power of the two pillars of 20 th-century fascism, Hitler and Bennito Mussolini, whose personal style Trump is often said to emulate.

“Mussolini put his hands on his hips, thrust his chest, jutted his lower jaw,” Jonathan Blitzer wrote in a 2016 New Yorker article that profiled the work of New York University history professor Ruth Ben-Ghiat, one of the fore most authorities on fascism. “It’s all about showing that he cannot be contained,” Ben-Ghiat told Blitzer. “It was the same with Mussolini.”

“I’ve been studying cult leaders for a hundred years’ worth of them,” said Ben-Ghiat in an appearance on Democracy Now last June. Trump “has all the signs. He is not a conventional politician of either the Democratic or Republican [Party]… He is a cult leader. And the GOP has long been…submissive to him. He put them under an authoritarian discipline, and then he made them complicit. And this is what corrupt, violent authoritarians do. They make you part of their crimes.”

As I have written before in this column, fascism is an emotionally loaded and often misapplied term. But if understood correctly, it can never be dismissed as a vestige of the past. As a form of political behavior, discourse and ideology, Trump and the MAGA movement are clearly fascist. There is no longer room for debate.

Fascism has deep roots in the United States, from the resurgence of the Ku Klux Klan in the 1920s, to the rise of the German-American Bund in the 1930s, to the ascendance of Depression-era demagogues, and, fast-forward almost a century, the election of Trump in 2016.

There’s a long-running class factor in the current of American fascism. University of London professor Sarah Churchwell’s June 2020 essay in the New York Review of Books exactly nails it when she quotes rabbi Stephen Wise: “The America of power and wealth is an America which needs fascism.”

Churchwell’s essay, fittingly titled, “American Fascism: It Has Happened Here,” offers a working definition of fascism. She notes that while fascist movements differ from nation to nation, they are united by “conspicuous features [that] are recognizably shared.” These include:

“[N]ostalgia for a purer, mythic, often rural past; cults of tradition and cultural regeneration; paramilitary groups; the delegitimizing of political opponents and demonization of critics; the universalizing of some groups as authentically national, while dehumanizing all other groups; hostility to intellectualism and attacks on a free press; anti-modernism; fetishized patriarchal masculinity; and a distressed sense of victimhood and collective grievance. Fascist mythologies often incorporate a notion of cleansing, an exclusionary defense against racial or cultural contamination, and related eugenicist preferences for certain ‘bloodlines’ over others.”

If he is reelected next year, Trump could make the January 6 coup attempt look mild. The Washington Post and Politico have reported that Trump and his allies on the extreme right hope to transform the federal government into a virtual presidential dictatorship. Trump and his allies, states Politico, are “collecting the ingredients and refining the recipe for an authoritarian regime.”

The fear is that Trump will invoke the Insurrection Act on his first day in office to deploy the military. This vision of horror includes Trump in the Oval Office using his immense power to quash civil unrest and dismantle civil service protections for government workers in order to secure their loyalty. And all this while weaponizing the Justice Department to do his bidding.

The New York Times warns that a second Trump term will be especially dire for undocumented immigrants, with mass arrests and the construction of detention camps on a scale not seen since the racist “Operation Wetback” of the Eisenhower era. The Times also reported that Trump plans to cancel the visas of foreign students who participated in anti-Israel and pro-Palestinian demonstrations.

Fascism thrives in moments of widespread social anxiety and moral panic, when large segments of the population are persuaded that liberal democracy no longer serves their interests. We are living in such a moment now. The urgency we face cannot be understated.

Don’t bet on the disqualification of Donald Trump

Is there a legal way to end Donald Trump’s political career, once and for all, without defeating him at the polls? The odds are long, if not almost insurmountable, but a path does exist.

An impressive group of constitutional scholars has concluded that Trump can be disqualified from taking back the White House under the 14th Amendment as a result of his role in sparking the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the U.S. Capitol. Initially confined to academic circles and small activist groups on the liberal and progressive left, the idea is going mainstream as the 2024 presidential election approaches with Trump tied in many polls with President Biden.

The theory is based on the amendment’s section 3, which provides:

No person shall…hold any office…who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any state legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any state, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof.

POLL: Should Trump be allowed to hold office again?

Law professors William Baude of the University of Chicago and Michael Stokes Paulsen of the University of St. Thomas offer a comprehensive exposition of the theory in a 126-page article for the University of Pennsylvania Law Review that was released in draft form in early August. Harvard Law professor Lawrence Tribe and retired federal appellate judge J. Michael Luttig published a leaner account of the argument last month in The Atlantic.

Although aspects of the disqualification theory are esoteric and understanding the nuances requires some background in post-Civil War history (the 14th Amendment was ratified in 1868), the argument boils down to Section 3’s clear and unambiguous language prohibiting insurrectionists from holding office. The section, according to the theory, is “self-executing,” meaning that it applies immediately and automatically without the need for additional legislation by Congress or criminal convictions.

All four scholars conclude that Section 3 disqualifies Trump, and potentially many others, because of their participation in the attempted overthrow of the 2020 presidential election. Their unanimity is noteworthy because Tribe is the only liberal among them. Luttig, who was nominated to the bench by George H.W. Bush, was a favorite of Republicans in the pre-Trump era. Baude and Paulsen are members of the Federalist Society and proponents of the conservative legal philosophy of “originalism” — the view that holds the terms and provisions of the Constitution and its amendments must be understood according to their original “public meaning.”

But while the authors’ credentials are impeccable and their research thorough, the disqualification theory is not without problems.

One major hurdle is that it is difficult to define the terms “insurrection” and “rebellion” with precision. To protect civil liberties, free speech and democratic dissent, the terms must be construed narrowly. Neither term, however, is defined in the Constitution, although Article I, Section 8, clause 15, of the Constitution empowers the president to call up the militia to suppress insurrections.

The Insurrection Act of 1792, still on the books, provides some clarification by authorizing the president to combat rebellions that “make it impracticable to enforce the laws of the United States…by the ordinary course of judicial proceedings.” There is also a section of the federal criminal code, tracking both Section 3 of the 14th Amendment and the Insurrection Act, that makes it a felony to incite or engage in insurrection or rebellion.

Recognizing the perils of overly broad characterizations, Baude and Paulsen craft their own limiting constructions. “Insurrection,” they write, “is best understood as concerted, forcible resistance to the authority of government to execute the laws in at least some significant respect,” beyond “mere ordinary lawbreaking.” They define “rebellion” as “an effort to overturn or displace lawful government activity by unlawful means…beyond mere resistance to government authority.”

Tribe and Luttig are also deeply concerned about civil liberties, but argue that the solution “lies in the wisdom of judicial decisions as to what constitutes ‘insurrection,’ ‘rebellion,’ or ‘aid or comfort to the enemies’ of the Constitution under Section 3.”

Relying on the courts to clarify ambiguous terms is nothing new, but litigation is hardly “self-executing.” This highlights another weakness of the disqualification theory: Enforcement of the Constitution requires human agency. If the long and never-ending struggle for civil rights in this country proves anything, it is that nothing about our national charter is self-executing.

This is not to suggest that Baude and Paulsen or Tribe and Luttig are naïve. To the contrary, they recognize that to effectuate Section 3, demands will have to be made on state election officials to exclude Trump from the ballot, and lawsuits will have to be filed.

The process, in fact, is already underway. The nonprofit advocacy groups Free Speech for the People and Mi Familia Vota Education Fund have issued letters to the secretaries of state in New Hampshire, Florida, New Mexico, Ohio and Wisconsin, urging them to bar Trump from running in 2024. Other groups are sure to take similar action as the election draws near.

Formal legal challenges have also been lodged, including a massive complaint filed on behalf of voters in Colorado by the Washington, D.C.-based ethics watchdog group Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics (CREW), seeking to force Colorado’s secretary of state to declare Trump ineligible. CREW hopes to build on a victorious suit it filed last year that removed a New Mexico county commissioner from office for participating in the Jan. 6 insurrection.

Other lawsuits are pending in Utah, Minnesota, and New Hampshire. However, a federal judge in Florida dismissed a similar case late last month.

Tribe and Luttig predict that eventually a case will reach the Supreme Court and “test the judiciary’s ability to disentangle constitutional interpretation from political temptation.”

What happens when the issue arrives before the nation’s most powerful judicial body remains unknown. But if you think that John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett will vote to boot Trump from the ballot, I have a large wager to make with you.

Abusers and the right to bear arms

Should individuals subject to domestic violence restraining orders be allowed to own guns? If you think the answer is a screaming, obvious “No,” you haven’t been paying much attention to the Supreme Court’s radical reinterpretations of the Second Amendment over the past 15 years. The court will be asked to decide the issue in United States v. Rahimi when it reconvenes in October.

At the center of the case is Zackey Rahimi, a 23-year-old with a history of violence and drug dealing. In December 2019, Rahimi beat up his girlfriend in a parking lot in Arlington, Texas, and tried to shoot a bystander who had witnessed the attack. Two months later, his girlfriend obtained a restraining order from a state court judge that prohibited him from harassing her, and barred him from possessing a firearm.

It didn’t take Rahimi long to resume his menacing ways. In August 2020, he was arrested for stalking his ex; in November, he threatened another woman with a gun. In December 2020 and January 2021, he participated in a series of five shootings in the Arlington area. Police in Arlington identified him as a suspect in the shootings and obtained a warrant to search his home, where they uncovered a .45- caliber pistol, a .308-caliber rifle, pistol and rifle magazines, additional rounds of ammunition, approximately $20,000 in cash and a copy of the restraining order Rahimi had flagrantly violated.

The police alerted an agent with the Federal Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives about what they had found, and a federal grand jury subsequently indicted Rahimi for violating section 922(g)(8) of the Gun Control Act of 1968, which prohibits anyone subject to a domestic violence protective order from possessing a firearm. The section was added to the Gun Control Act with bipartisan support in 1994, the same year Congress passed the Violence Against Women Act, which increased funding for the investigation and prosecution of violent crimes against women.

Represented by the Federal Public Defender’s Office for the Northern District of Texas, Rahimi moved to dismiss the indictment, arguing that section 922(g)(8) ran afoul of the Second Amendment. The trial court denied the motion, and Rahimi pleaded guilty. He was sentenced to serve six years in prison, but reserved his right to appeal the denial of his dismissal motion.

In 2022, Rahimi’s appeal came before the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals. Based in New Orleans, the circuit oversees federal litigation in cases from Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas, and is widely regarded as the most conservative appellate panel in the country. In an article published this past January, Esquire magazine described the circuit as “the blown fuse of American jurisprudence” for its history of right-wing activism, particularly on abortion.

Despite its well-earned reputation as the go-to tribunal for the radical right, the circuit initially affirmed Rahimi’s conviction in a brief opinion issued on June 8, 2022. One month later, however, the circuit withdrew its opinion, and on March 3rd of this year, issued an amended decision, reversing Rahimi’s conviction and declaring section 922(g)(8) unconstitutional.

As its amended opinion makes abundantly clear, the circuit’s about-face was prompted by the Supreme Court’s decision in New York Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen. Decided on June 23, 2002, Bruen struck down a century-old New York state regulation on concealed handgun permits on Second Amendment grounds.

In both Bruen and Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, in which the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade the day after it decided Bruen, the court abandoned the methods of judicial scrutiny that judges have long used to determine the constitutionality of challenged laws by balancing the governmental interests advanced by the laws in question against the competing rights of individuals affected by the laws. In place of such interest-balancing, the Supreme Court substituted an “originalist” test based exclusively on the Justices’ highly selective reading of history and their sense of tradition.

Applying Bruen’s history and tradition standard to domestic violence, the 5th Circuit held that while section 922(g)(8) “embodies salutary policy goals meant to protect vulnerable people in our society”…it is “an [historical] outlier that our ancestors would never have accepted.”

The sexism of the 5th Circuit’s reasoning is blatant. By “our ancestors,” the circuit had in mind the views and interests of the wealthy white men who drafted and debated the merits of the Constitution during the “founding era” at the close of the 18th century. Excluded from the court’s opinion is any mention of the views or interests of the women of that era, who not only lacked the right to vote, but also had no legal protections against domestic violence.

The Justice Department moved quickly to petition the Supreme Court to review the 5th Circuit’s decision, and on June 30, the last day of its 2022-23 term, the court agreed to hear the case.

The Supreme Court is now poised to expand the reach of the Second Amendment yet again, continuing a process that began in 2008, when it sold its soul to the gun lobby with its 5-4 majority opinion written by the late Antonin Scalia in District of Columbia v. Heller, that held for the first time that the Second Amendment protects an individual right to own firearms.

Prior to Heller, the great weight of academic scholarship as well as the court’s 1939 decision in United States v. Miller had construed the Second Amendment, in keeping with the actual debates of the Constitutional Convention, as protecting gun ownership only in connection with service in long-since antiquated state militias.

In 2010, the court again genuflected to the gun lobby. In another 5-4 opinion in McDonald v. Chicago, this time written by Samuel Alito, the court extended Heller, holding that the individual right to keep and bear arms is “incorporated” by the 14th Amendment’s due process clause and is therefore applicable to the states and local governments.

Last year’s Bruen decision was decided on a 6-3 vote, with all the court’s Republican appointees, including Chief Justice John Roberts, joining Clarence Thomas’ majority opinion.

Still, there is some cause for optimism. Rahimi is an especially ugly standard-bearer for gun-rights groups. “In some ways Rahimi…is the best case for gun safety advocates,” UCLA law professor Adam Winkler told USA Today in a recent interview. “The Justices are going to be understandably reluctant to say that domestic abusers have a right under the Second Amendment to possess firearms.”

To-date, no gun-rights groups have filed amicus (“friend of the court”) briefs on Rahimi’s behalf with the Supreme Court, although representatives from both the Second Amendment Foundation and Gun Owners of America told USA Today that they planned to do so.

In the meantime, the court remains mired in a crisis of legitimacy that has seen its public approval ratings plummet to all-time lows. A ruling in Rahimi’s favor will likely aggravate that crisis, and for good reason. Every month an average of 70 women are killed by an intimate partner — some of whom had protection orders against their killers.

The court has until the end of June to resolve the case, just before the 2024 elections.

Biden comes up short on the Court

The president is getting warmer, but remains resistant to the drastic reform democracy requires.

The Supreme Court concluded its October 2022 term with three reactionary rulings. In rapid succession, it ended affirmative action in college admissions; overturned President Biden’s student debt forgiveness program; and held that an evangelical Christian graphic designer has a First Amendment right to refuse to create websites for same-sex weddings.

Biden reacted quickly, issuing separate statements on each of the decisions. He condemned them as wrongly decided, painful and disappointing, and promised to develop strategies to counter their impacts. But he stopped short of backing the only reform that can reverse the Supreme Court’s extreme rightward turn: expanding the court and filling the new seats with liberal jurists if he is reelected and the Democrats galvanize their base to retake both houses of Congress in 2024.

To his credit, Biden was forceful in rebuking the court’s 6-3 majority opinion on affirmative action written by Chief Justice John Roberts.

“For 45 years,” he said in a televised address delivered on June 29 from the Roosevelt Room at the White House, “the United States Supreme Court has recognized a college’s freedom to decide…how to build diverse student bodies to meet their responsibility of opening doors of opportunity for every single American. In case after case…the court has affirmed…that colleges could use race not as a determinative factor for admission, but as one of the factors among many in deciding who [sic] to admit from a… qualified pool of applicants.”

He added, “Today, the court once again walked away from decades of precedent” …and issued a decision that as the dissent [written by Justice Sonia Sotomayor] states, ‘rolls back decades of precedent and momentous progress.’”

Biden also rebutted the insidious myth that affirmative action leads to the admission of unqualified students, and pledged his support for new measures to bolster diversity in higher education.

As he was leaving the room, a reporter shouted out, “President Biden, the Congressional Black Caucus said the Supreme Court has ‘thrown into question its own legitimacy.’ Is this a rogue court?”

Biden paused for a moment, smiled slightly and turned toward the reporter. “This is not a normal court,” he answered. Without further comment, he exited through a side door.

Later that afternoon, in an interview with MSNBC’s Nicolle Wallace, Biden was asked what he meant by his answer. He replied that the court has “done more to unravel basic rights and basic decisions than any court in recent history, and that’s what I meant by not normal.” He cited last year’s reversal of Roe v. Wade, and observed that the court has “ruled on a number of issues that … had been precedent for 50, 60 years sometimes.”

But he also flatly shot down growing calls by progressives for court expansion, saying, “I think if we start the process of trying to expand the court, we’re going to politicize it maybe forever in a way that is not healthy.”

Biden is a steadfast opponent of court expansion. Throughout the 2020 campaign, when repeatedly pressed on the issue, he promised to convene a blue-ribbon commission to study the need for court reform. He made good on that promise in April 2021 when he issued an executive order that created a bipartisan member panel of former federal judges, high-powered attorneys and law professors to examine the pros and cons, not only of expansion, but also such measures as term limits for Supreme Court justices and ethics reforms aimed at establishing a binding code of judicial conduct for the court, which remains the only federal judicial body that operates without a code.

In the end, however, the commission issued a 288-page final report the following December that can charitably be described as a dud. Apart from tepid and vague language endorsing increased transparency in the court’s internal procedures and the adoption of an “advisory” [but not mandatory] code of conduct, the commission failed to advance any concrete proposals. In the words of The Nation columnist Elie Mystal, the entire endeavor “was designed to fail” from the start, and was “set up to give the president and Senate Democrats cover for total inaction.”

Given the Supreme Court’s recent track record and its virtually unchecked power, such inaction can no longer be justified. With its six-member Republican supermajority, including three justices appointed by Donald Trump, the court is driving the country and American law backward.

The court’s extremism is inflaming voter anger and will likely be a key driver of turnout in the 2024 election. Biden should be shrewd enough to harness that anger. It is not sufficient for him to acknowledge that the Supreme Court isn’t “normal.” It’s time for him to recognize that the court is broken, and the only way to fix it is to expand it.

Would a Trump self-pardon be unconstitutional?

June 4, 2018 is not considered a landmark date in the annals of American legal history, but perhaps it should be. On that day, Donald J. Trump, the 45th president of the United States, took to Twitter and declared, “I have the absolute right to PARDON myself…”

Trump’s tweet was part desperation and part defiance. It was dispatched in the midst of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into alleged Russian meddling in the 2016 election. At the time, Trump feared Mueller’s probe could lead to his prosecution for conspiracy and obstruction of justice once he left office and was no longer shielded by the Justice Department’s policy against indicting a sitting president. A self-pardon would serve as his get-out-of-jail card. It would also be entirely without precedent in American history.

Trump survived the Mueller probe unscathed and uncharged. But now that he is running for reelection following an indictment for absconding to Mar-a-Lago with a trove of top-secret documents (and may yet be charged for his part in the Jan. 6th insurrection) the self-pardon issue has reemerged with renewed urgency.

If Trump is reelected, he could well become the first and only American president to immunize himself from criminal prosecution. And as incredible as it may seem, he might be able to do so constitutionally.

The pardon power is inscribed in Article II, Section 2 of the Constitution, which bestows upon the president the prerogative “to grant Reprieves and Pardons for Offences against the United States, except in Cases of Impeachment.”

The impeachment limitation explains why Trump did not pardon himself in connection with his two impeachments, the first of which began with a House vote on Dec. 18, 2019, and the second with a House vote on Jan. 13, 2021, just days before the inauguration of Joe Biden. In addition to cases of impeachment, the power is also limited in two other important respects: Presidents cannot pardon individuals accused of committing state crimes. Nor can they grant pardons for future federal crimes that have not yet taken place.

Apart from these restrictions, however, the pardon power is vast. As the Supreme Court observed in Ex parte Garland, an 1866 ruling involving a pardon granted by President Andrew Johnson to a former member of the Confederacy:

The power thus conferred is unlimited, with the [impeachment] exception stated. It extends to every offence known to the law, and may be exercised at any time after its commission, either before legal proceedings are taken, or during their pendency, or after conviction and judgment. This power of the President is not subject to legislative control. Congress can neither limit the effect of his pardon, nor exclude from its exercise any class of offenders. The benign prerogative of mercy reposed in him cannot be fettered by any legislative restrictions.

As the Garland decision indicates, pardons can be exercised broadly and preemptively. Gerald Ford famously pardoned Richard Nixon preemptively “for all offenses against the United States which he, Richard Nixon, has committed or may have committed.”

Like Trump, Nixon considered a self-pardon before Ford came to his rescue. As Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein chronicled in their 1976 book “The Final Days,” Nixon discussed the possibility of a self-pardon with his aides and attorneys for his role in the Watergate break-in and cover-up, but was dissuaded from acting. A legal memorandum written by the Office of Legal Counsel (OLC) three days before Nixon announced his resignation on live TV on Aug. 8, 1974, concluded that despite the pardon power’s expansive reach, “Under the fundamental rule that no one may be a judge in his own case, it would seem that the question [of a self-pardon] should be answered in the negative.”

The OLC is a unit of the Justice Department that offers legal advice to the president and executive branch agencies. Its opinions are highly valued, but they are not the law.

That’s the key to predicting what could happen if Trump is given a second chance at the presidency. Trump is far more of a threat to constitutional norms and the rule of law than Nixon ever was. If returned to the White House, he would likely dismiss the OLC memo as dated and irrelevant. Indeed, in a confidential 20-page letter sent to Mueller in January 2018 and later obtained by The New York Times, Trump attorneys Jay Sekulow and John Dowd suggested he could pardon all those targeted by the probe, including himself.

Trump subsequently pardoned several of Mueller’s targets, including Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort and his first national security adviser Michael Flynn. But he stopped short of pardoning himself, perhaps in the mistaken belief that after evading Mueller, he would never actually be indicted.

That caution is now gone. A reelected and indicted Trump will stop at nothing to insulate himself from legal accountability and possible imprisonment. A rational actor might be content with firing Special Counsel Jack Smith and appointing a new attorney general to exact revenge on the Biden administration, but Trump has never been a rational actor.

Still, Trump could expect legal challenges to a self-pardon. Constitutional law experts are divided on whether any challenges could succeed.

“The arguments about whether a president can pardon himself are not only unsettled in the sense that they haven’t come up before, but they’re also unsettled in the sense that reasonable lawyers could look at the materials [the Constitution, and the history of prior pardons] and say either result is legally defensible,” Harvard Law School professor Mark Tushnet told CBS News earlier this month.

“One perspective is that the pardon power is quite broad, and the Constitution does not explicitly forbid a self-pardon,” said Jeffrey Crouch, an expert on executive clemency, in a recent interview with Yahoo News. “The other perspective is that a self-pardon would, among other things, inappropriately allow the president to decide his fate in his own case. At some point, the U.S. Supreme Court would likely have to decide on the constitutionality of a self-pardon.”

A ruling by the Supreme Court, stacked with three Trump appointees and two angry old reactionaries, is nothing the liberal or progressive left should welcome. We don’t want to give Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett the opportunity to equip Trump with prerogatives befitting a Medieval monarch or the dictator of a developing nation.

A far better defense against a future self-pardon is to keep Trump from being reelected in the first place. One term was almost enough to destroy what remains of American democracy. A second would be crippling.

Beyond the indictment: Why prosecuting Donald Trump is not enough

Donald Trump is the first American president to be indicted. No matter where you see yourself on the political spectrum, that is a very big deal.

Although the initial criminal case against Trump is being handled by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg for what some see as relatively minor business-fraud crimes committed in connection with the payment of hush money to a porn star, it won’t be the last. By late spring or early summer, the ex-president will likely be charged with more consequential offenses in Georgia and in federal court for plotting to overturn the results of the 2020 election; inciting the Jan. 6 insurrection; and absconding to Mar-a-Lago with a trove of top-secret documents. While Trump will be shielded with the presumption of innocence as the wheels of justice turn, the available public evidence suggests he is in serious jeopardy of being convicted of multiple state and federal felonies.

Trump also faces liability in two pivotal civil trials in New York. A defamation/rape lawsuit brought by writer E. Jean Carroll is currently underway. In addition, Trump is slated to go on trial in October in a massive fraud case brought by New York Attorney General Letitia James.

But even as we anticipate the sweet sound of jury verdicts read in open court, we would do well to reflect on the broader implications of prosecuting Trump for the future of American democracy. There are, on close analysis, both obvious benefits and inherent limitations to what can be achieved through litigation.

On the positive side, there can be no question of the need to hold Trump accountable for abusing women, grifting his way to the Oval Office in 2016 and, more critically, for his attempts to cling to power after losing the 2020 campaign by more than 7 million votes. We have all heard the cliché that “no one is above the law,” but prosecuting Trump has given the adage new life and content.

There is no good reason to accord Trump, now a private citizen, the kind of legal immunity that the Justice Department unfortunately decided, as a matter of discretionary policy, to afford Richard Nixon and Bill Clinton when they were sitting presidents. Other democracies around the world, including France, Germany and Portugal, have prosecuted their political leaders for corruption with no enduring ill effects. There should be no room for American exceptionalism when it comes to our own leaders.

At the same time, we should be under no illusions that taking Trump down will cure all that ails our democracy. Trump is the head of the Republican Party and a political movement that has morphed into a form of 21st-century fascism. Prosecuting Trump, and even sending him to prison, will not extinguish the movement he unleashed.

Fascism, as I have written before, is an emotionally loaded and often misused term, but it is as real today — as a political and cultural force, as a set of core beliefs and mode of governance — as it was when Benito Mussolini founded the Italian Fascist Party in 1919 and declared himself dictator six years later. It is on the rise once more across the globe in the Philippines, India, Western Europe, Russia and here at home.

Many instructive discussions of fascism can be found in the works of scholars such as Ruth Ben-Ghiat, Timothy Snyder, Jason Stanely and Henry Giroux. Of all the definitions of the term, perhaps the most incisive appears in Robert Paxton’s classic study “The Anatomy of Fascism” (Harvard University Press, 2004). “Fascism,” Paxton writes,

may be defined as a form of political behavior marked by obsessive preoccupation with community decline, humiliation or victimhood and by compensatory cults of unity, energ, and purity, in which a mass-based party of committed nationalist militants, working in uneasy but effective collaboration with traditional elites, abandons democratic liberties and pursues with redemptive violence and without ethical or legal restraints goals of internal cleansing and external expansion.

After hesitating to call Trump a fascist when he initially took office, Paxton changed his views after Jan. 6. “I resisted for a long time applying the fascist label to Donald J. Trump,” he wrote in Newsweek, “[But] Trump’s incitement of the invasion of the Capitol…removes my objection to the fascist label. His open encouragement of civic violence to overturn an election crosse[d] a red line. The label now seems not just acceptable but necessary.”

Giroux offered even more powerful observations in an essay, “Fascist Politics in the Age of Neoliberal Capitalism,” cross-posted earlier this month by CounterPunch and LA Progressive:

An upgraded form of fascism with its rabid nativism and hatred of racial mixing is currently at the center of politics in the United States. Traditional liberal values of equality, social justice, dissent and freedom are now considered a threat to a Republican Party supportive of staggering levels of inequality, white Christian nationalism and racial purity.

It is by no means clear that the U.S. can withstand the existential threat posed by the upgraded form of fascism we face today. Combating fascism requires a coordinated and concerted political response. To quote Giroux again:

Confronting this fascist counter-revolutionary movement necessitates creating a new language and the building of a mass social movement in order to construct empowering terrains of education, politics, justice, culture and power that challenge existing systems of white supremacy, white nationalism, manufactured ignorance and economic oppression.

Seen in this light, the effort to bring Donald Trump to justice is the beginning of a much longer struggle, not the end.

Here are 6 ways to combat an imperial Supreme Court

Court Expansion

This is the big-ticket item. The Judiciary Act of 2021 was introduced in both chambers of Congress, eventually picking up 59 cosponsors in the House, including the members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus.

This article first appeared on Truthdig.

The Act would add four seats to the Supreme Court, giving Democrats a 7-6 majority. The party last held a majority on the court in 1970.

Since the number of justices is not specified in the Constitution, but is set by Congress, no constitutional amendment would be needed to expand the court. The act will be reintroduced if Democrats retake the House in 2024. Passing it will require overcoming the filibuster in the Senate.

In addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, the act is endorsed by a broad array of public-interest organizations, including: Public Citizen, Alliance for Justice, Working Families Party, Freedom From Religion Foundation, Free Speech for People, the Center for Popular Democracy, Demand Progress, 350.org, Demos, National Asian Pacific American Women’s Forum, Stand Up America, People’s Parity Project, Indivisible, 51 for 51, Lambda Legal, SEIU, League of Conservation Voters, Sunrise Movement, the Transgender Law Center, GLBTQ Legal Advocates & Defenders, National Center for Lesbian Rights, Equal Justice Society, End Citizens United, Let America Vote Action Fund and Demand Justice.

Opponents of the bill argue that if court-expansion legislation ever passed, Republicans would retaliate by enlarging the court again when and if they retake Congress and the White House. But don’t be deterred. The GOP has been manipulating the size of the court for years, blocking Merrick Garland’s appointment and rushing through Amy Coney Barrett’s elevation with less than a month before the 2020 presidential election.

The time to strike back is long overdue.

Term Limits

Various bills have been introduced to place term limits on the tenure of justices.

One of the more stringent measures — the Supreme Court Term Limits and Regular Appointments Act — has been proposed in both chambers. It would establish 18-year terms for Supreme Court Justices. The bill would require the president to appoint a new justice every two years. If the new appointments would result in more than nine justices on the court at any one time, then the nine most junior justices would make up the panel. Any justice who had served 18 years or more on the court would be permitted to continue their service on the lower federal courts.

But there’s a big catch: the bill may conflict with the life-tenure provisions set forth in the Constitution. And even if that obstacle could be overcome, the Senate filibuster would stand in the way.

Ethics Reform

The Supreme Court is the only court in the U.S. that is not bound by a code of ethics. The Supreme Court Ethics, Recusal, & Transparency Act would change that. In addition to creating a binding code of ethics, the legislation would impose strict gift, travel and income disclosures; require disclosures of dark-money donations made on behalf of judicial nominees; and establish tight recusal standards that would force justices to stand down from cases to avoid conflicts of interest.

Here’s looking at you, Clarence Thomas, for failing to recuse in cases involving the Jan. 6 insurrection and Trump’s efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 election, despite your wife Ginni’s prominent role as an organizer of the “stop the steal” campaign.

Jurisdiction-Stripping

The Supreme Court hears cases involving what is called its “original jurisdiction” and its “appellate jurisdiction.” Most of the cases the Supreme Court hears fall within the latter category, consisting of petitions seeking review of decisions handed down by the lower federal courts and state courts. Only a small part of the court’s docket falls within its original jurisdiction, referring to cases that begin with filings in the Supreme Court. Examples of original-jurisdiction matters are disputes between states, and those involving ambassadors.

Under Article III, Section 2 of the Constitution, however, Congress has the power to make exceptions to the panel’s appellate jurisdiction. Congress theoretically also has the constitutional authority to impose regulations on the way the court exercises its appellate jurisdiction. As proponents of “jurisdiction-stripping argue, Congress could withdraw the high tribunal’s power to review certain categories of litigation, for example, in cases involving voting rights. Congress could also pass a law requiring super-majorities of 6-3 or 7-2 for decisions that weaken voting rights.

A few Supreme Court decisions recognize the jurisdiction-setting power of Congress, but the cases are old and of questionable weight. And the Supreme Court might respond to any new jurisdiction-stripping legislation simply by declaring it unconstitutional.

Congressional Overrides of Statutory Rulings

Congress can override Supreme Court decisions based on interpretations of federal statutes rather than the Constitution. In 2007, Samuel Alito wrote a majority opinion dismissing a gender-based pay discrimination lawsuit brought by activist Lilly Ledbetter on statute of limitations grounds. In 2009, Congress effectively negated Alito’s ruling by passing the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act.

If sufficiently pushed to the left, Congress could do the same with voting rights, passing new laws to protect access to the polls and counter the Supreme Court’s gutting of the Voting Rights Act. That’s just one example of what a truly progressive Congress could do.

New Federalism

We usually think of federalism as a reactionary form of states’ rights. In recent years, however, we’ve seen the rise of a liberal form of federalism in response to right-wing Supreme Court decisions that have undermined constitutional rights.

Nowhere is this development more pronounced, or more promising, than on the issue of abortion rights. In the wake of the Dobbs decision that overturned Roe v. Wade and revoked the federal constitutional right to abortion, several states have moved to expand abortion access through a variety of means, including constitutional amendments, gubernatorial executive orders and loosening restrictions on who can perform abortions.

Expect further expansion of blue-state protections on abortion and in other areas of law as long the Supreme Court remains in the hands of the extreme right.

It’s time to revive Franklin Roosevelt’s court-expansion plan in defense of democracy and the rule of law

This is the concluding feature story in the multi-part Dig series, “The Supreme Court’s War on the Future,” investigating how the Supreme Court was remade in the image of Robert Bork.

The radical right’s long crusade to capture the Supreme Court is over. Anyone who doesn’t realize this hasn’t been paying attention, or has imbibed the Kool-Aid served by Chief Justice John Roberts at his 2005 Senate confirmation hearing, when he promised to work as a neutral arbiter on the bench much like a baseball umpire, calling only “balls and strike, and not to pitch or bat.”

This article originally appeared on Truthdig.

Instead of minding the strike zone, Roberts and his Republican confederates old and new have changed the rules of the game in a concerted effort to drive the country backward. Under the aegis of the regressive legal theory of “originalism” (see Part I of this series), they have issued a blistering succession of reactionary rulings on voting rights, gerrymandering, union organizing, the death penalty, environmental protection, gun control, abortion, campaign finance, and the use of dark money in politics. Before the court’s current term concludes at the end of June, it likely will wreak more havoc in a series of pending cases on “religious liberty” and LGBTQ discrimination, affirmative action, student-debt forgiveness, and, once again, voting rights.

The court is at war with democracy and modernity. It must be stopped.

The good news is that from a legal standpoint, there is much that can be done to bring the court back into balance and restore its independence from the Republican Party and its dark money donors. We know what steps must be taken to fix the court. We need, among other measures, a code of ethics to root out corruption and conflicts of interests, as the Supreme Court is the only judicial body in the country whose members are not bound by one. We need term limits for the justices, and congressional overrides of far-right decisions to the maximum extent possible. Above all, we need to expand the number of seats on the court and fill them with contemporary-minded jurists who repudiate originalism in favor of “living constitutionalism,” the rival jurisprudential model that sees the Constitution as an evolving document.

Accomplishing any meaningful changes in the court’s composition and orientation, however, won’t come quickly or easily. Meaningful changes will require the support of a broad-based political movement that links the issue of court reform to legislative and grass-roots campaigns for social justice. This will be a long struggle waged across a variety of fronts — in courtrooms; over the airwaves, print media and the Internet; in the halls of Congress; in public meetings, teach-ins and demonstrations; and most decisively, at the ballot box.

* * *

Every successful political movement involves undermining the propaganda of the opposition. With that principle in mind, the first step we can take in building a movement to reclaim the Supreme Court is something every one of us can do as individuals: We can reject the myth that the court is apolitical. The sobering truth is just the opposite. Presidents nominate justices to advance political agendas. And once confirmed and vested with lifetime appointments, justices exercise extraordinary power, issuing rulings that affect all aspects of our lives, often acting as de facto super-legislators.

We can also abandon our reverence for the court’s presumed wisdom and scholarship. We may be legally bound by the court’s decisions, but there is no reason to regard the justices as infallible demigods deliberating on high. We can and should expose them as we would any other public servants or politicians, one by one and collectively, for producing poorly reasoned and result-oriented opinions, and betraying the public trust.

Washington Post columnist Perry Bacon Jr. has proposed a campaign of organized shaming as a short-term approach to reining in the court. “Democratic politicians, left-leaning activist groups, newspaper editorial boards and other influential people and institutions need to start relentlessly blasting Republican-appointed judges,” especially those on the Supreme Court, Bacon argued in a recent article.

Among other concrete actions, Bacon advises weekly news conferences convened by high-profile Democrats, including on occasion the president, to slam the court’s most extreme rulings. He also calls on the Senate Judiciary Committee to convene hearings “in the mold of the Jan. 6 commission, with compelling witnesses and videos. Republican-appointed judges have been just as damaging to American democracy as Trump has been (if not more so), just in a less obvious way. That needs to be explained to the American public…[in] plain-spoken” language. He also suggests that in those conferences and editorials, the justices be identified according to their partisan affiliations.

To a certain extent, the shaming and public criticism Bacon advocates is already underway. As a result of the court’s extreme shift to the right and the antipathy the shift has engendered, the court’s approval ratings have plummeted, triggering a crisis of legitimacy unseen since the early 1930s.

If done artfully, shaming can be a catalyst for change. But long-term, we need broader remedies and specifically, court expansion. To get a sense of the possibilities, we need to turn to history.

Contrary to much conventional thinking, our court system is not fixed in stone, but has evolved over time. We are not the first generation to confront the issues of judicial power and abuse.

Americans have been debating — and at times openly fighting over — the proper nature of judicial power since colonial times. Legal disputes over taxation, the issuance of general search warrants known as writs of assistance and expansions in the jurisdiction of the King’s dreaded Vice Admiralty Courts were key factors in sparking the American Revolution.

Three of the 27 grievances listed in the Declaration of Independence concerned the administration of justice. The signers of the declaration complained that George III, the British monarch, had deprived them of the right to establish their own courts, that he had made judges dependent on him for their salaries and tenures and that he had deprived them of the right to trial by jury.

The Articles of Confederation, our first national charter, marked the end of British rule, but did not create a national court system. That task was left to the Constitutional Convention of 1787, which established a tri-partite federal government with a separate judicial branch.

The Supreme Court is the only court specifically mentioned in the Constitution. Article III, Section 1 of the Constitution provides: “The judicial Power of the United States, shall be vested in one supreme Court, and in such inferior Courts as the Congress may from time to time ordain and establish.” The same section specifies lifetime tenure for all federal judges.

Nowhere does the Constitution say how many justices should sit on the Supreme Court. That decision is left up to Congress and the president through legislation passed and signed into law.

The Constitution is also silent on whether the Supreme Court should be endowed with the power of “judicial review” — the tool that authorizes it to invalidate or uphold acts of Congress, the president and the states at its sole discretion.

In the ratification debates that followed the Convention, the proponents and opponents of the new constitution put the concept of judicial review front and center in a clash of essays published by newspapers in New York and elsewhere that have since been collected and come to be known as the Federalist Papers and the Anti-Federalist Papers.

Writing under the pseudonym “Publius,” Alexander Hamilton, the nation’s first treasury secretary, outlined the principles of judicial review in Federalist No. 78, arguing:

“The interpretation of the laws is the proper and peculiar province of the courts. A constitution is, in fact, and must be regarded by the judges, as a fundamental law. It therefore belongs to them to ascertain its meaning, as well as the meaning of any particular act proceeding from the legislative body.”

Hamilton was aware of the potential for overreach, but he believed the federal judiciary would in practice be “the least dangerous” branch of government. Unlike Congress and the executive, he reasoned, the courts would have “no influence over either the sword or purse,” but would possess “only judgment,” rendering them dependent on the other branches to obey and carry out their decisions.

Not all the founders agreed. Almost forgotten in the ensuing hagiography of Hamilton are a set of anti-federalist warnings believed by historians to have been penned by New York state judge Robert Yates under the pseudonym “Brutus” that seem eerily to have presaged the rise of today’s imperial Supreme Court.

In essay No. 14, Brutus wrote that under the Constitution, the Supreme Court “would be exalted above all other power in the government, and subject to no control.” In No. 15, he added:

“[T]he supreme court . . . [will] have a right, independent of the legislature, to give a construction to the constitution and every part of it, and there is no power provided in this system to correct their construction or do it away…. Men placed in this situation will generally soon feel themselves independent of heaven itself.”

Hamilton’s position triumphed and became official doctrine with the Supreme Court’s landmark 1803 decision in Marbury v. Madison. As of August 2017, according to the Congressional Research Service, the court had used the power of judicial review to invalidate 182 acts of Congress and 1,094 state statutes and local ordinances as unconstitutional. In addition, it had also overruled, in whole or in part, 236 of its prior decisions. The numbers in all categories have grown since then.

Throughout the decades, the court has exercised its power of judicial review for both good and evil purposes. In Dred Scott v. Sanford (1857), it illustrated the darkest side of judicial review, invalidating the Missouri Compromise and declaring that Black Americans could never be citizens. It returned to the dark side in the early 1930s when it struck down key pieces of the New Deal. Last year’s Dobbs decision on abortion is another appalling example. By contrast, the court moved the country forward in Brown v. Board of Education (1954), overturning the regime of “separate but equal” that it had previously upheld in Plessy v. Ferguson (1896). Brown ushered in a brief period of enlightened judicial review under the guidance of Chief Justice Earl Warren (1954-1969).

As its power increased, the court occasionally encountered strong political pushback. Abraham Lincoln, for example, defied the court both in his decision to suspend habeas corpus during the Civil War, and with the issuance of the Emancipation Proclamation (1863) in direct contravention of Dred Scott. Other notable confrontations involved the conflicts in the 1930s between a reactionary court and a Democratic Congress and president, and those sparked by southern racists against the Warren Court and the civil rights movement.

Political pushback has also come in the form of proposals to change the number of seats on the court. Between 1789 and 1869, the size of the court was altered seven times to “pack” or “unpack” the panel for partisan purposes. Originally designed as a tribunal of six, the number of seats has varied from a low of five in 1801 in the middle of a battle for control of the judiciary between the waning Federalist Party and the rising Democratic-Republicans to a high of 10 in 1863, when Lincoln expanded the court to counter the influence of Chief Justice Roger Taney, author of the Dred Scott disaster. The number has remained at nine since 1869.

* * *

Interest in court reform and expansion reemerged after Senate Republicans refused to hold a confirmation hearing for Merrick Garland, President Obama’s choice to replace Antonin Scalia, who died suddenly on Feb. 13, 2016. The interest picked up additional steam during the 2020 presidential campaign after President Trump succeeded in packing the court with young dogmatic originalists.

Although President Biden has never been a supporter of court expansion, he bowed to pressure from his left, and appointed a bipartisan blue ribbon commission of prominent academics and commentators to study the need for reform in April 2021. After seven months of meetings and deliberations, the commission produced a 294-page report but without making a single concrete recommendation.

On the plus side, the report contains a useful summary of the court’s history, including a discussion of the last significant attempt at expansion undertaken by President Franklin Delano Roosevelt. FDR’s experience offers several important lessons for contemporary reformers.

Roosevelt sent his court plan to Congress on Feb. 5, 1937. Formally known as the Judicial Procedures Reform Bill of 1937, the measure would have allowed the president to appoint up to six new justices, one for every member of the high court older than 70 years, six months, who had already served 10 years or more and declined to retire.

Facing stiff resistance in the Senate, despite his overwhelming victory at the polls a year earlier, FDR turned to the public on March 9, 1937, in the ninth of his famous radio “fireside chats.” Throughout his four terms in office, FDR used such addresses to speak directly to the American people, to quell their economic and social anxieties, explain his policies and rebut conservative critics as he attempted to steer the nation through the Great Depression and, later, the Second World War.

The ninth chat began over the static-filled airwaves much as did those that preceded it, with references to the unrelenting hardships that, in FDR’s words, had left “one-third of a Nation ill-nourished, ill-clad, and ill-housed.” The president then turned to the need to reorganize the federal judiciary, and especially the Supreme Court.

Roosevelt and the militant industrial union movement that formed the heart of his New Deal base were outraged by a series of ultra-right-wing rulings from the high court that had struck down key pieces of New Deal legislation, including the National Industrial Recovery Act, the Agricultural Adjustment Act and a New York state minimum wage law. In the coming weeks, the court was slated to issue decisions on the constitutionality of the National Labor Relations Act and the Social Security Act. The president and his allies feared the worst from the “Nine Old Men,” as the septuagenarian justices who sat on the court were often called. They believed that unless the court changed course, it could and very likely would destroy the economy and along with it, democracy itself.

In language that today’s court reformers and “living constitutionalists” might recognize as their own, FDR told his audience:

“When I commenced to review the situation [with the Supreme Court] with the problem squarely before me, I came by a process of elimination to the conclusion that, short of amendments, the only method which was clearly constitutional, and would at the same time carry out other much needed reforms, was to infuse new blood into all our Courts. We must have men worthy and equipped to carry out impartial justice. But, at the same time, we must have Judges who will bring to the Courts a present-day sense of the Constitution — Judges who will retain in the Courts the judicial functions of a court, and reject the legislative powers which the courts have today assumed…
“Like all lawyers, like all Americans, I regret the necessity of this controversy. But the welfare of the United States, and indeed of the Constitution itself, is what we all must think about first. Our difficulty with the Court today rises not from the Court as an institution but from human beings within it. But we cannot yield our constitutional destiny to the personal judgment of a few men who, being fearful of the future, would deny us the necessary means of dealing with the present. This plan of mine is no attack on the Court; it seeks to restore the Court to its rightful and historic place in our Constitutional Government and to have it resume its high task of building anew on the Constitution ‘a system of living law.’”

The bill never was enacted. After months of heated debate, the Senate voted to send it back to committee, and the House never brought it to the floor. Ever since, the “court-packing plan,” as the scheme has been dubbed in mainstream historical narratives, has been seen as “the most humiliating defeat” of FDR’s career.

Except that it wasn’t a failure at all. On March 29, 1937, the Supreme Court did a complete about-face, upholding a Washington state minimum-wage statute similar to the New York law it had overturned the year before. In April, the court upheld the National Labor Relations Act, and in May, it validated the Social Security Act.

Over the next six years, eight of the Nine Old Men retired, allowing FDR to replace them, and to elevate one of the court’s liberals — Harlan F. Stone — to the post of Chief Justice. The court never again invalidated a New Deal program. FDR would later claim, “We obtained 98% of all the objectives intended by the court plan.”

Historians have debated the cause of the court’s turnaround, but pressure from the administration and the threat of intensifying labor unrest undoubtedly played a critical role. Indeed, on the morning of March 9, 1937, just hours before FDR’s chat, The New York Times ran two front-page stories about a new wave of “sit-down strikes” spearheaded by the United Auto Workers of America in Detroit and Flint, Michigan. The strikes, the paper reported, were “the most drastic…that the automobile industry has experienced,” halting production at factories owned by Chrysler, Chevrolet, Packard and the Hudson Motor Car Company. The workers eventually won, and the UAW was recognized as their bargaining agent.

We are faced today with echoes of the past — a Supreme Court that has moved sharply and unpopularly to the extreme right; an economy that is backsliding into ever-worsening oligarchy and is on the verge of a new recession; a world that is teetering on the brink of another global war.

If anything, the need to expand the court is more urgent than ever. We don’t have Nine Old Men on today’s Supreme Court. Clarence Thomas will be 75 in June and Samuel Alito will turn 73 in April, but Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett are in their fifties, youngsters in judicial terms. They can be expected to serve for decades.

We also do not have a labor movement that can pressure the court. Only 10.1% of the American workforce is unionized, and, with some exceptions, it isn’t particularly militant.

We do, however, have the makings of a progressive coalition with far-reaching potential. Some of that potential was unleashed in the midterm elections, galvanized by the Dobbs decision. We need to merge that energy with movements organized around police violence, debt relief, voting rights, economic inequality and other causes that are stymied by the current Supreme Court.

Success, even in the long run, is by no means guaranteed. Basic court reform will require strong and aggressive Democratic majorities in Congress, and a Senate caucus prepared to abandon or carve out exceptions to the filibuster. In any event, we have no alternative but to push ahead. Either we accept a reactionary court for the foreseeable future, or we try to change it.

As University of Pennsylvania law professor Kermit Roosevelt III, FDR’s great-great grandson, put it in a December 2021 article for Time magazine, “We are witnessing a minority takeover of our democracy,” with the Supreme Court standing in the way.

Professor Roosevelt was a member of the Biden Supreme Court Commission. He began his stint there as a skeptic of court expansion, but the experience changed his thinking. He is now a staunch advocate. We can’t be intimidated or deterred “by wishful bromides about neutral judges and myopic defense of the status quo,” his article concludes. “Court expansion may be the only thing that will save our democracy for the next generation.”

Truer words could not have been written by FDR himself.

The United States' hypocrisy toward the International Criminal Court

On March 17, the International Criminal Court (ICC) issued arrest warrants for Russian President Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin and Maria Alekseyevna Lvova-Belova, the commissioner for children's rights in the Office of the President of the Russian Federation. The warrant charges Putin and Lvova-Belova with war crimes as defined under international law for the unlawful deportation of Ukrainian children from occupied areas to Russia. According to the Ukrainian government, over 16,000 children have been forcibly transferred to Russia since the war began in February 2022.

The ICC's action comes on the heels of other steps taken by international bodies to condemn Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The United Nations General Assembly has passed two resolutions, the first in October 2022 and the second last month, calling on Russia to end hostilities and withdraw its forces. In March 2022, The International Court of Justice (ICJ, also known as the "World Court") issued a "provisional measure" (the equivalent of a preliminary injunction) ordering Russia to halt the invasion.

Seen in this context, the ICC's action marks a historic milestone not only for the ICC as an institution, but for international law more generally.

The contemporary framework of international law took shape after the Second World War with the ratification of the Geneva Conventions of 1949 and the subsequent amendments, or "protocols," to the conventions. The post-war period also saw the founding of the United Nations and the World Court as a forum for resolving disputes among nations. The ICC began operations in 2002 as a forum for trying individuals accused of committing war crimes, genocide and other "crimes against humanity."

Unfortunately, international law is only effective if the great powers of the globe agree to abide by its strictures. Russia has rejected the ICC's jurisdiction over its military operations in Ukraine, and will never surrender its president or any other officials to the court's jurisdiction. In 2016, Russia withdrew from the international treaty that established the court.

The United States, while eagerly condemning Russian war crimes, is arguably even more hypocritical when it comes to the ICC. The U.S. initially signed the court's treaty in 2000 but withdrew from it in 2002 over fears that the court would one day charge U.S. soldiers or other personnel with international crimes.

The ICC has been criticized in the past for targeting African human rights violators and overlooking European and U.S. malefactors. But in a historic turnabout, the court opened investigations in 2020 into alleged war crimes committed by the U.S. in Afghanistan and by Israel in Palestine.

The Biden administration lifted Trump-era sanctions against the ICC, but continues to oppose both of the probes into U.S. actions. The administration also has no intention of allowing the U.S. to join the court, as 123 other nations have.

The work of the ICC, the U.N. and the World Court deserve the support of the peace movement in this country and abroad. There is a simple rejoinder to both the leaders of Russia and the U.S. when it comes to facing accountability under international law: If you don't want to be accused of war crimes, don't commit them in the first place.

The consequences of reactionaries conducting judicial review

In and of itself, the power of judicial review is neither good nor bad. Like any other power, it can be wielded to advance or thwart democratic values and the ideals of equal justice. Over the decades, the court has done just that, handing down both deplorable and venerable rulings, some extremely right-wing and some liberal and progressive.

In the most despicable decision in its entire history, Dred Scott v. Sandford (1857), the court held that African Americans, no matter where they resided or whether they were then free or enslaved, could not be American citizens. The decision specifically invalidated the Missouri Compromise of 1820, which had prohibited slavery in the Louisiana territory north of the 36°30′ latitude line.

In the words of Chief Justice Roger Taney, who wrote the majority opinion and was himself a former slave owner, Black Americans "had no rights that the white man was bound to respect." The Dred Scott decision plunged the country into a constitutional crisis and helped trigger the Civil War.

With the end of Reconstruction, the Supreme Court again moved sharply to the right in the Civil Rights Cases of 1883, a set of five consolidated decisions that struck down portions of the Civil Rights Act of 1875. The 1875 act prohibited racial discrimination in transportation facilities, hotels, theatres and other places of "public amusement." By a vote of 8-1, the court held that the federal government had no power to outlaw discrimination in the private sector. (Discrimination in employment and places of public accommodation would not be outlawed until passage of the Civil Rights Acts of 1964 and 1968.)

Over the decades, the court has done just that, handing down both deplorable and venerable rulings, some extremely right-wing and some liberal and progressive.

The court struck another crippling blow against racial equality in Plessy v. Ferguson (1896), upholding the constitutionality of a Louisiana law that required separate railroad cars for white and black people. The ruling constitutionalized the doctrine of "separate but equal," and legitimized segregation and white-supremacy institutions and practices that would persist in the South into the 1950s in what historians call the "Jim Crow" era.

During the late 19th century and into the 20th, the court exercised the power of judicial review to come to the aid of big business, trusts and monopolies, ruling that the federal government had the authority to break up labor strikes, declaring laws setting limits on maximum working hours unconstitutional, and invalidating child-labor and minimum-wage laws.

Continuing its bias in favor of corporations over labor, the court invalidated several key legislative pieces of the early New Deal, stymying the Roosevelt administration's efforts to fight the Great Depression. It was not until President Franklin Delano Roosevelt announced a plan to expand the court to include as many as 15 justices that the high tribunal turned around. Although legislation to implement the plan never passed, the court subsequently upheld the National Labor Relations and Social Security Acts and other progressive pillars of FDR's economic recovery package.

Finally, a great sea change in the use of judicial review took place during the tenure of Chief Justice Earl Warren, who led the court from 1953 until his retirement in 1969. In one of the most enlightened and progressive decisions in its history, Brown v. Board of Education (1954), the court unanimously held that state laws establishing racial segregation in public schools are unconstitutional. The decision put a formal end to the post-Civil War segregation doctrine of "separate but equal" and explicitly overturned Plessy v. Ferguson.

Under Warren's stewardship, the court issued a host of other landmark liberal decisions, upholding the Voting Rights Act, establishing First Amendment protections for newspapers, reporters and publishers against defamation lawsuits brought by public officials and public figures, establishing the reapportionment principle of "one person one vote," invalidating state laws that banned interracial marriage, guaranteeing the right to counsel in criminal cases, and much more.

Unfortunately, in recent decades, the court has shifted steadily back to the right. The move to the right has been especially acute since the appointment of Chief Justice John Roberts in 2005.

With Roberts at the helm, the court has, among other things, reinterpreted the Second Amendment to include an individual right to bear arms, undermined the legal foundations of union organizing, removed political gerrymandering from the jurisdiction of federal courts, and opened election campaigns to unlimited spending by corporations, unions and wealthy individual donors.

The Roberts court has been particularly aggressive in rolling back voting rights. In 2013, in a 5-4 majority opinion penned by Roberts himself in the case of Shelby County v. Holder, the court gutted the "preclearance provisions" of the Voting Rights Act. Those provisions, now moribund, required advance federal approval of changes in election procedures in jurisdictions with a history of racial discrimination.

The Roberts court has been particularly aggressive in rolling back voting rights.

Shelby County was a stark reminder of the dark side of judicial review, coming only seven years after Congress had reauthorized the Voting Rights Act by a 98-0 vote in the Senate and a 390-33 margin in the House of Representatives.

To be fair, the record of the Roberts Court has included some liberal rulings, especially in the field of gay rights and same-sex marriage.

However, with conservatives now holding a solid 6-3 majority on the court and utilizing the awesome power of judicial review, the future looks decidedly bleak. Indeed, in its October 2021 term, the court returned to its reactionary roots, overturning Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey and revoking the federal constitutional right to abortion with its decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization. The court also created grave new obstacles to gun control with its opinion in New York Rifle & Pistol Ass'n. v. Bruen. The October 2022 term promises to deliver more of the same.

The Supreme Court's war on the future: 17 of the Roberts Court's worst decisions

Reasonable minds can differ about the most regressive opinions of the Roberts Court. But here are the decisions that should make any court-watcher’s list.

Crawford v. Marion County (2008): Paving the way for other voter suppression techniques, the court upheld an Indiana law requiring all in-person voters to present a photo ID issued either by the state or the federal government.

District of Columbia v. Heller (2008): Declaring for the first time that the Second Amendment protects an individual right to bear arms.

Citizens United v. FEC (2010): Overturning a century of campaign finance law and sparking the growth of super PACs, the court held that corporations, unions and other groups could spend unlimited money on elections.

Shelby County v. Holder(2013): The court gutted the “preclearance provisions” of the Voting Rights Act, which required advance federal approval of changes to election procedures in jurisdictions with a history of racial discrimination.

McCutchen v. FEC (2014): In a follow-up to Citizens United, the court invalidated limits placed on the aggregate amount of money individuals can donate directly to political candidates during any two-year election cycle.

Burwell v. Hobby Lobby Stores (2014): Exempting “closely held” corporations with religious objections from the Affordable Care Act’s provisions requiring employers to provide workers with health care insurance coverage of contraceptives.

Gossip v. Gross (2015): In a disheartening decision for opponents of the death penalty, the court held that the Eighth Amendment does not require that a method of execution be pain-free.

Trump v. Hawaii (2018): Yielding to the Trump administration’s bigotry, the court upheld the former president’s Muslim travel ban as a proper exercise of executive branch authority.

Janus v. AFSCME (2018): Breaking with over 40 years of labor-law precedent, the court held that public-employee unions may not collect “fair-share” fees from non-union members to help pay for the costs of collective bargaining.

Rucho v. Common Cause (2019): Dealing a crippling to democracy, the court held that issues of partisan gerrymandering are outside the jurisdiction of the federal courts.

Our Lady of Guadalupe School v. Morrisey-Berru(2020): Catholic elementary school teachers are “ministers,” and cannot sue for employment discrimination.

Brnovich v. Democratic National Committee (2021) Upholding two Arizona voter-suppression laws that prevent out-of-precinct voting and so-called “ballot harvesting,” the practice of gathering and submitting mail-in ballots by third parties.

Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization(2022): Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey are overruled.

New York State Rifle & Pistol Association Inc. v. Bruen (2022): New York’s permit system for obtaining an unrestricted license to carry a concealed firearm violates the Second and 14th amendments.

Carson v. Makin (2022): The free exercise rights of parents who live in districts without public secondary schools are violated by a state statute that denies them tuition assistance payments to send their children to religious schools.

Kennedy v. Bremerton School District (2022): The free exercise and free speech clauses of the First Amendment permit a high school football coach to kneel in prayer on the field with students after games.

West Virginia v. Environmental Protection Agency (2022): The Clean Air Act does not give the EPA broad authority to limit carbon emissions from power plants.

The Supreme Court's war on the future: Robert Bork's revenge

This is the first of a multi-part Dig series, The Supreme Court’s War on the Future, investigating how the Supreme Court was remade in the image of Robert Bork.

To fully appreciate and understand the Supreme Court’s hard cut to extremism, start with the failed nomination of Robert Bork in 1987. Bork never made it to the summit of the judiciary, but the legal theory of “originalism” he pioneered now thoroughly dominates the bench.

The Supreme Court’s controlling majority of six Republican activists has embraced originalism as an article of faith and practice. Under the stewardship of Chief Justice John Roberts, the court has deployed its tools and techniques to reinterpret the Constitution and create a legacy of legal devastation with a series of landmark rulings on voting rights, gerrymandering, union organizing, the death penalty, environmental protection, gun control, abortion and campaign finance. The court’s current session, which opened in early October, promises to deliver more of the same, with cases on “religious liberty” and LGBTQ discrimination, the “independent state legislature” doctrine, affirmative action and more.

Roberts and company are Bork’s ideological offspring and revenge. Their jurisprudence is the culmination of a project that began with Bork long before his rejection by the Senate.

Until his failed Supreme Court nomination, Bork had a storied career. In March 1973, while on hiatus from Yale, Bork joined the Nixon administration as solicitor general. In October of that year, he was named acting attorney general and subsequently followed Nixon’s orders to fire Archibald Cox, the first Watergate special prosecutor, in what became known as the “Saturday Night Massacre”. In 1982, Reagan appointed Bork to the District of Columbia Circuit Court of Appeals, a position he held until 1988.

As a primary architect of originalism, Bork had become by the mid-1980s — along with Ed Meese, Reagan’s attorney general — the face of a legal counterrevolution aimed at reversing the expansion of civil rights and liberties that had been achieved during Chief Justice Earl Warren’s tenure on the court (1953-1969). His mission was to turn back the judicial clock to a pre-New Deal version of the United States.

A prolific writer as both an academic and an appellate judge, Bork argued at various points in his career that the Constitution contained no implied right to privacy, that Roe v. Wade was wrongly decided, and the Civil Rights Act of 1964 was unconstitutional. He also rejected the “one person, one vote” principle of legislative districting. Bork’s outspokenness and abrasive demeanor set him apart from the growing corps of conservative lawyers and legal scholars that were coalescing in the 1980s, making him a vulnerable target for Democrats determined to keep him off the nation’s highest judicial body.

* * *

The campaign to torpedo Bork’s nomination took shape quickly. On July 1, 1987, the day Reagan proudly announced Bork’s nomination, Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-Mass) took to the senate floor to denounce Bork’s selection to replace retiring conservative jurist Justice Lewis Powell. (Powell is best remembered in progressive circles for a confidential memo he penned in 1971 urging business leaders to become more involved in high-stakes litigation and the selection of judges, advice that led to the formation of institutions such as the Business Roundtable, the Heritage Foundation, the Pacific Legal Foundation, the Cato Institute, the Federalist Society and the Chamber of Commerce National Litigation Center.)

In words that would come to doom Bork’s nomination and spark a roiling debate about originalism that continues to this day, Kennedy decried what he called “Robert Bork’s America” as “a land in which women would be forced into back-alley abortions, blacks would sit at segregated lunch counters, rogue police could break down citizens’ doors in midnight raids, schoolchildren could not be taught about evolution, writers and artists would be censored at the whim of government, and the doors of the federal courts would be shut on the fingers of millions of citizens for whom the judiciary is often the only protector of the individual rights that are the heart of our democracy.”

For 12 days in September, the Senate Judiciary Committee debated Bork’s qualifications, and heard five days of candid testimony from Bork himself. Much of the scrutiny focused on originalism as a method of constitutional interpretation and judicial decision-making. The prominent constitutional scholars that testified against Bork included Professor Laurence Tribe of Harvard and Professor Philip Kurland of the University of Chicago, who had worked as a consultant to the Senate Judiciary Committee during the Watergate investigation.

Outside the D.C. Beltway, another fierce battle took place. By the time the Senate hearings commenced, anti-Bork forces had raised a war chest of $12 million. In a manner similar to today’s political campaigns, the money was spent on focus groups, opinion polls, media consultants and especially on print, radio and TV advertising.

A newspaper ad taken out by the National Abortion Rights Action League asserted a vote for Bork was the equivalent of voting for a politician who threatened to reverse “every advance women have made in the 20th century.” Similar ads were placed by the National Education Association and Planned Parenthood.

Most devastating of all was a 60-second television spot paid for by People for the American Way and narrated by the famed actor Gregory Peck. In his best Atticus Finch voice, Peck sounded the tocsin:

"Robert Bork wants to be a Supreme Court justice, but the record shows he has a strange idea of what justice is. He defended poll taxes and literacy tests which kept many Americans from voting. He opposed a civil rights law that ended 'whites only' signs at lunch counters. He doesn’t believe the Constitution protects your right to privacy. And he thinks that freedom of speech does not apply to literature and art and music. Robert Bork could have the last word on your rights as citizens. But the Senate has the last word on him.”

On the other side of the divide, Reagan went to great lengths to salvage the nomination, describing Bork’s appointment as his “top domestic priority.” But even the “Great Communicator” couldn’t get his message to resonate. Public opinion, which trended slightly in favor of Bork in early September, turned decisively against him by the end of the month. A Tribune Media poll released on Sept. 28 showed the public opposed the nomination by nearly a 2-to-1 margin.

Bork’s prospects officially came to an end on Oct. 23, 1987. With six Republicans crossing party lines, the full Senate turned thumbs down against him by a vote of 58-42, the most lopsided vote against a high court candidate in U.S. history. His fall from grace was colossal. Ever since, judicial nominees have come to be wary of being “Borked,” a term that has entered the lexicon as a synonym for rejection in the face of adverse publicity and harsh cross-examination. Bork resigned from the Court of Appeals in 1988 and returned to academia, becoming a dyspeptic critic of liberalism, bemoaning the decline of Western culture, which he addressed with special bile in his book, Slouching Toward Gomorrah: Modern Liberalism and American Decline (1996). He died in relative obscurity in 2012.

* * *

Bork was defeated, but originalism lived on. Even before his nomination, the theory had established a beachhead on the court with the confirmation of Antonin Scalia in 1986. Although Scalia was in many ways as doctrinaire as Bork, the Senate unanimously confirmed him 98-0 on the same day it voted in favor of William Rehnquist’s elevation to the position of chief justice by a margin of 65-33. Having spent their capital in a losing bid to block Rehnquist, Senate Democrats were either too dispirited, disorganized or not yet fully aware of the dangers and potency of originalism to put up a fight against the first Italian-American justice. Compared to the treatment Rehnquist and Bork received, Scalia’s confirmation hearing was a lovefest.

Scalia was nine years younger than Bork and had served with him on the D.C. Court of Appeals. Scalia also had a background in academia. In 1982, as a law professor at the University of Chicago, Scalia helped organize one of the first chapters of the Federalist Society, and became the chapter’s faculty advisor. He remained active in the society as a coveted speaker and symposium guest until his passing in 2016.

In 1991, the Senate narrowly confirmed another self-declared originalist and Federalist Society member, Clarence Thomas, after a bitter confirmation hearing highlighted by Anita Hill’s explosive allegations of sexual harassment. Nominated by President George W. Bush, Thomas also came to the high court by way of the D.C. circuit, but had produced only a modest paper trail, obscuring his future political machinations. Two years later, however, according to The New York Times, Thomas told two of his law clerks that he planned to serve on the court until 2034, and until then would make the lives of liberals “miserable.”

Scalia and Thomas brought a new brand of originalism to the court that arose in response to critics who charged that the actual intentions of the framers of the Constitution were too varied, conflicting and often ambiguous to serve as a basis for judicial decision-making. Instead of emphasizing original intent, they and other “new originalists” focused on the “original public meaning” of Constitutional provisions, which, they contended, could be ascertained from the recorded debates of the founding era and from such sources as late 18th-century dictionaries. The key, as law professors Michael Rappaport of the University of San Diego and John McGinnis of Northwestern University, explained in an influential 2007 law review article would be to determine “how a reasonable person at the time of the Constitution’s adoption would have understood its words and how they thought they should be interpreted.”

All originalists — whether of the old or new stripe — contend that their approach limits the subjectivity of judges and acts as a restraint on judicial activism.

In fact, originalism does nothing of the sort. Fordham University history professor Saul Cornell summed up the fatal flaws of the theory in a scathing 2011 Dissent article, New Originalism: A Constitutional Scam. The first academic iteration of Originalism, Cornell wrote,rested on “shaky historical foundations” because the Founders “did not speak with a single voice on most constitutional questions.”New Originalism, embodied by the more activist Federalist Society, was in Cornell’s estimation even more dubious, amounting to “little more than an intellectual shell game in which contemporary political preferences are shuffled around and made to appear part of the Constitution’s original meaning.”

Result-oriented judging, of course, has existed from the earliest days of the republic. Originalism in a nascent form existed long before the term was attached to a specific legal philosophy in the latter part of the 20th century. One of its earliest expressions came in the Dred Scott case of 1857, perhaps the most odious decision ever issued by the Supreme Court, which held that Black Americans of African descent could never be U.S. citizens. Plessy v. Ferguson, the 1896 decision that upheld the constitutionality of racial segregation even after the ratification of the 13th, 14th, and 15th amendments, is another originalist landmark.

Originalism in a nascent form existed long before the term was attached to a specific legal philosophy in the latter part of the 20th century. One of its earliest expressions came in the Dred Scott case of 1857, perhaps the most odious decision ever issued by the Supreme Court, which held that Black Americans of African descent could never be U.S. citizens.

As the court entered the second decade of the 21st century, however, it remained divided between conservatives, liberals and centrists, often dividing 5-4 in major rulings. The ascension of Donald Trump as the 45th president in 2016 and the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg in 2020 radically altered the balance.

During the 2016 presidential campaign, Trump promised that, if elected, his judicial nominees would “all [be] picked by the Federalist Society.” Before the election, Trump released two lists of Supreme Court candidates, both compiled by the Federalist Society and the far-right Heritage Foundation.

After the election, Trump proved for once true to his word, meeting with Leonard Leo, then the Federalist Society’s executive vice president, to map out plans for selecting Scalia’s successor. Soon thereafter, Leo took a leave of absence from the society to formally advise Trump on the confirmation process for both Neil Gorsuch, who succeeded Scalia, and Brett Kavanaugh, who replaced the retiring centrist Anthony Kennedy. Leo had done the same in 2005-06, counseling President George W. Bush on the nominations of Roberts and Samuel Alito.

It’s easy to understand why Trump was attracted to the Federalist Society. From its fledgling beginnings as a debating club at a handful of elite law schools in the early 1980s, the society had mushroomed into a nationwide network of 70,000 economic, social and Christian conservatives, along with right-wing libertarians, organized in lawyers’ chapters in 90 cities, and with student affiliates in nearly every major law school. No longer a shoestring operation, the society’s 2016 budget exceeded $26 million, raised in large part from contributions by right-wing philanthropists like the Koch brothers and other deep-pockets like the Mercer, Scaife, and Lynde and Harry Bradley foundations.

Trump also pledged during the 2016 campaign that his Supreme Court nominees would be “originalists” in the mold of Scalia. He fulfilled that pledge, too, with the selection of Gorsuch, Kavanaugh and, finally, Amy Coney Barrett. Barrett’s confirmation in 2020 brought the number of former or current Federalist Society members on the tribunal to six. (Though Roberts says he doesn’t recall belonging to the Federalist Society, the group listed him as a member in its 1997-98 directory.)

For the most part, Barrett followed the post-Bork strategy of other high-court nominees, refusing in her confirmation hearing to give direct answers to important questions such as whether the Constitution requires a peaceful transfer of power, or if a president can pardon himself for federal crimes.

New Originalism, embodied by the more activist Federalist Society, was in Cornell’s estimation even more dubious, amounting to “little more than an intellectual shell game in which contemporary political preferences are shuffled around and made to appear part of the Constitution’s original meaning.”

But when asked by Sen. Diane Feinstein (D-CA) what it means to be an originalist, Barrett readily replied: “In English, that means that I interpret the Constitution as a law and that I interpret its text as text, and I understand it to have the meaning that it had at the time people ratified it. So that meaning doesn’t change over time, and it’s not up to me to update it or infuse my own policy views into it.” In an exchange with Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN), she also revealed that Roe v. Wade was not a precedent the court could never reconsider and overrule.

And so, the stage was set for the court to implement an even more regressive form of originalism. In June, it handed down its opinions in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization and New York Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen. In Dobbs, the court not only upheld a restrictive Mississippi abortion law, but finally made the far right’s fevered dream of overturning Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey come true. In Bruen, the court struck down a century-old New York state regulation on concealed handgun permits as violative of the Second Amendment.

In both cases, the court abandoned the traditional methods of judicial scrutiny that require judges to determine the constitutionality of challenged laws by balancing the governmental interests advanced by the laws in question against the competing rights of individuals affected by the laws. In place of interest-balancing, the court substituted a test based exclusively on the Justices’ highly selective reading of history and their sense of tradition.

Writing for a 5-4 majority in Dobbs, Alito advanced the march toward right-wing judicial supremacy, declaring that both Roe and Casey were “egregiously wrong from the start” because the word “abortion” doesn’t appear anywhere in the first eight amendments to the Constitution, or anywhere else in the text. He also held that abortion cannot be considered an implied or “unenumerated” fundamental right under the 14th Amendment’s due process clause — as Roe and Casey both held — because it is not “deeply rooted in [our] history and tradition.” As a result, he concluded, the court was free to overrule Roe and Casey unconstrained by the doctrine of stare decisis, which holds that judges should adhere to precedent.

A crowd gathers at the Supreme Court the night after the release of Alito’s draft majority opinion overturning Roe v. Wade. Photo: Victoria Pickering / Flickr / CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

Instead of respecting precedent, Alito reached deep into the bowels of Anglo-American common law to override it. He cited, among other sources, the work of Henry de Bracton, a 13th-century English cleric and judge who condemned abortions as homicide, and a 17th-century English jurist who described abortion as a “great crime” and sentenced at least three women to death for witchcraft. By the time the 14th Amendment was ratified in 1868, Alito raged on, “three-quarters of the States [had] made abortion a crime at all stages of pregnancy,” in order to prove his point that abortion rights are not deeply rooted in our history.

The only solution, in Alito’s view, was to strip abortion of its Constitutional protections and return the issue to “the people’s elected representatives,” opening the door to state abortion bans and the possibility of a future federal statute outlawing abortion nationwide.

Alito’s reading of history was shoddy. Not only did he give no weight to the 50 years that Roe had been the law of the land, but he ignored the actual early history of abortion rights in America. As University of Illinois history professor Leslie J. Reagan explained in her definitive study, When Abortion Was a Crime, “During the eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries…abortions were illegal only after ‘quickening,’ the point at which a pregnant woman could feel the movements of the fetus (approximately the fourth month of pregnancy).”

Repudiating Roe and Casey was also unnecessary. The court easily could have upheld the Mississippi statute, which outlawed almost all abortions after 15 weeks, without scrapping the federal right entirely, as Roberts urged in a separate opinion.

Clarence Thomas wrote the 6-3 opinion in Bruen, which was joined by all the court’s Republican appointees, including Roberts. Like Alito, Thomas applied a specious history and tradition test to strike down New York’s long-standing handgun permit system. In so doing, he dismissed the broad history of gun regulation in the U.S., dating back to the earliest days of the republic. As Fordham’s Professor Cornell, one of the foremost authorities on the actual history of the Second Amendment, observed in a critique of Bruen published by SCOTUSBlog:

The originalist methodology applied by Thomas has one set of rules that apply to interpreting legal texts that support gun rights, and another more demanding set of standards that apply to those that undermine them. The Thomas version of originalism might be summarized as follows: No amount of evidence is enough to support gun control, but no iota of evidence is too little to legitimate gun-rights claims. If one of the goals of originalism was to limit judicial discretion (a value few originalists continue to espouse now that they have a supermajority on the court), then the Thomas rule does the opposite. It provides a license to cherry-pick evidence with reckless abandon if the materials support the ideological agenda of the Federalist Society.

Combined with the public leak of the draft of Alito’s Dobbs opinion in May and the fast-brewing scandal involving the role of Ginni Thomas in events related to the Jan. 6 insurrection, the court’s move to the right has triggered a crisis of legitimacy. In increasing numbers, Americans have lost trust in the court as an institution, and have come to see it correctly as a political body rather than an impartial arbiter of justice. The Dobbs decision is deeply unpopular, with 60% of respondents in recent rolls disapproving of the ruling. According to a June Gallup survey, Americans’ confidence in the court has plummeted to a new low. A mere 25% of respondents told Gallup they had “a great deal” or “quite a lot” of confidence in the Court.

And more bad decisions are on the horizon. In his concurring opinion in Dobbs, Thomas called upon his benchmates to revisit such privacy-based precedents as the right to contraception (Griswold v. Connecticut, 1965), the right to engage in same-sex intimacy (Lawrence v. Texas, 2003), and the right to same-sex marriage (Obergefell v. Hodges, 2015). Thomas and Gorsuch are also on record as favoring reconsideration of New York Times v. Sullivan (1964), another product of the Warren Court that shields the media from potentially crippling defamation lawsuits. Reaching even farther into the future, originalist academics such as the University of San Diego’s Rappaport have questioned the constitutionality of Social Security and Medicare.

Protest in front of the US Supreme Court in January 2017. Photo: Geoff Livingston / Flickr / CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

There is a better and more reality-centered way to adjudicate constitutional issues. Originalism’s rival, known variously as “living or dynamic constitutionalism,” asserts that while the text of the Constitution may be the starting point of any analysis, the meaning of the Constitution should evolve over time and accommodate contemporary values, social needs and changing traditions.

A good example of the alternative can be found in Kennedy’s majority opinion in Obergefell. As the court’s swing justice, Kennedy sometimes adopted originalism, as he did in his 2010 opinion in Citizens United v. F.E.C. In Obergefell, he took a full-throated living constitutionalism approach, writing:

“The nature of injustice is that we may not always see it in our own times. The generations that wrote and ratified the Bill of Rights and the Fourteenth Amendment did not presume to know the extent of freedom in all of its dimensions, and so they entrusted to future generations a charter protecting the right of all persons to enjoy liberty as we learn its meaning.”

It is no small irony that Kennedy was nominated to the court after Bork was defeated. But Kennedy retired in 2018, replaced by Kavanaugh, whose confirmation Senate Democrats were unable to halt.

There’s no denying the future of the Supreme Court looks grim. Still, as the successful fight against Bork long ago demonstrated, hope should never be abandoned. With enough public pressure and effective organizing, the court can be reformed and brought to serve the nation’s needs in the 21st century.

The prospects for reform will be subject of part II of this series.

'Revitalized fascism': The midterms are one of the last guardrails left to preserve our fraying democracy

This article was originally published on Truthdig.com

If the Republicans take back either the House or Senate tomorrow, the stage will be set for Donald Trump’s return in 2024. If that happens, there will be few, if any, guardrails left to preserve what is left of our damaged and fraying democracy.

Since 2016, the MAGA movement Trump leads has morphed from a retrograde white nationalist crusade to a full-blown neo-fascist force. This fact will become all-too apparent in a MAGA Congress led by Marjorie Taylor Greene, Lauren Boebert and Paul Gosar on the House side, and Ron Johnson, Josh Hawley and Ted Cruz in the upper chamber. Think of a media landscape dominated by an ascendant Steve Bannon and Breitbart as the MAGA movement drowns out what few dissident voices remain within the GOP.

All that is on the line tomorrow. And don’t count on the courts if Trump returns to power. The legal system, already infested by jurists hand-picked by the Federalist Society, will offer fewer and fewer safeguards as the movement undertakes to dismantle Social Security, Medicare, civil rights, environmental protection, trade-union rights, women’s rights and all vestiges of what it derisively refers to as the “administrative state.”

We are at an inflection point in our history where the choice confronting us is one between democracy — with all of its frailties and shortcomings — and a renewed and revitalized fascism.

Fascism is a loaded term, but if used correctly, it applies to Trumpism.

In his seminal study, “The Anatomy of Fascism,” Robert Paxton defined fascism as "a form of political behavior marked by obsessive preoccupation with community decline, humiliation or victimhood and by compensatory cults of unity, energy and purity, in which a mass-based party of committed nationalist militants, working in uneasy but effective collaboration with traditional elites, abandons democratic liberties and pursues with redemptive violence and without ethical or legal restraints goals of internal cleansing and external expansion.”

Trump and Trumpism similarly embody the 14 common factors of fascism identified by the great Italian writer Umberto Eco in his 1995 essay, “Ur Fascism”:

  • A cult of traditionalism.
  • A rejection of modernism (cultural, rather than technological).
  • A cult of action for its own sake and a distrust of intellectualism.
  • A framing of disagreement or opposition as treasonous.
  • A fear of difference. Fascism is racist by definition.
  • An appeal to a frustrated middle class — either due to economic or political pressures from both above and below.
  • An obsession with the plots and machinations of the movement’s identified enemies.
  • A requirement that said enemies be simultaneously seen as omnipotent and weak, conniving and cowardly.
  • A rejection of pacifism. Life is permanent warfare.
  • Contempt for weakness.
  • A cult of heroism.
  • Hypermasculinity.
  • A selective populism, relying on chauvinist definitions of “the people” that it claims to speak for.
  • A heavy usage of Newspeak — impoverished vocabulary, elementary syntax and a resistance to complex and critical reasoning.

As the current situation demonstrates, fascism is by no means a foreign phenomenon restricted to South American banana republics or failed European states. As University of London professor Sarah Churchwell explained in a June 22, 2020 essay published in the New York Review of Books, fascism has deep roots in the United States, starting with the resurgence of the Ku Klux Klan in the 1920s and extending to the rise of the German-American Bund in the 1930s to the ascendance of Depression-era demagogues like Huey Long, and the election of Trump in 2016.

Churchwell’s article is fittingly titled, “American Fascism: It Has Happened Here.” In it, she offers yet another working definition of fascism, noting that while fascist movements differ from nation to nation, they are united by “conspicuous features [that] are recognizably shared.” These include:

“[N]ostalgia for a purer, mythic, often rural past; cults of tradition and cultural regeneration; paramilitary groups; the delegitimizing of political opponents and demonization of critics; the universalizing of some groups as authentically national, while dehumanizing all other groups; hostility to intellectualism and attacks on a free press; anti-modernism; fetishized patriarchal masculinity; and a distressed sense of victimhood and collective grievance. Fascist mythologies often incorporate a notion of cleansing, an exclusionary defense against racial or cultural contamination, and related eugenicist preferences for certain ‘bloodlines’’ over others.”

No one has summarized the perils of Trumpism with more insight than the celebrated linguist and political commentator Noam Chomsky. In a June 2021 interview with Truthout, Chomsky remarked:

“The term ‘neoliberal proto-fascism’ captures well both the features of the current [Republican] party and the distinction from the fascism of the past. The commitment to the most brutal form of neoliberalism is apparent in the legislative record, crucially the subordination of the party to private capital, the inverse of classic fascism. But the fascist symptoms are there, including extreme racism, violence, worship of the leader (sent by God, according to former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo), immersion in a world of ‘alternative facts’ and a frenzy of irrationality.”

In light of the looming election, it is worth recalling a searing 2016 column by Adolph Reed Jr., in which the renowned political scientist urged readers to “Vote for the Lying Neoliberal Warmonger: It’s Important.” Reed argued that the dangers of allowing Donald Trump to win the presidency were so great, the American left had no choice but to hold its collective nose and keep Trump out of office by voting for Hillary Clinton, a politician Reed plainly despised.

To drive home his message, Reed cited an article written by Harold Meyerson for theAmerican Prospect, in which Meyerson compared the political climate of 2016 in the United States to Germany in the early 1930s. As the Nazi Party gained strength those many decades ago, the Communist Party, led by Ernst Thalmann, refused to join forces with the liberal and weak Social Democrats against Hitler, believing the Social Democrats to be a greater threat to the working class than the fascists.

We all know too well what tragedies followed. So do your part, and vote.

Charging Donald Trump is possible. And yet…

The eyes of history are on a group of state and federal prosecutors

“You come at the king, you best not miss.”

— Omar Little, The Wire

It has been 20 months since an enraged and armed mob of Trump supporters stormed the U.S. Capitol, seeking to stop the peaceful transfer of power. Some in the crowd called for then-Vice President Mike Pence — the constitutionally designated presiding officer at the joint session of Congress convened to certify Joe Biden’s election victory — to be hanged. Some members of the House and Senate hid, while others fled for their lives. Five people died. Far more, including 140 police officers, were injured.

This article was originally published on Truthdig.com.

What happened on January 6, 2021 has aptly been termed an insurrection — a violent attempt to overturn the results of a democratic election and, in effect, overthrow the government. Since then, an estimated 928 people have been arrested and charged with federal crimes for participating in the attack. Scores have been convicted.

But the man at the center of the insurrection — Donald Trump — remains unindicted. Far from being held to account, Trump has solidified his hold on the Republican Party. The “big lie” that the election was stolen has become an article of faith and a driving force for the neo-fascist movement he embodies and leads, posing an existential threat to the survival of democracy.

In the immediate aftermath of the insurrection, even after Trump was acquitted in his second impeachment trial, it appeared that justice would come quickly for the former president. Even Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who shamelessly voted for acquittal, predicted a day of reckoning would arrive. In an uncharacteristically impassioned speech on February 13, 2021, McConnell told his colleagues that Trump was “practically and morally responsible for provoking” the assault on the Capitol:

Far from being held to account, Trump has solidified his hold on the Republican Party.

“President Trump is still liable for everything he did,” McConnell declared. “He didn’t get away with anything. Yet. Yet. We have a criminal justice system in this country. We have civil litigation. And former [presidents] are not immune from being accountable by either one.”

It was the second “yet” that got to me then, and that lingers still.

To be sure, Trump has been sued civilly many times — most notably, by New York Attorney General Letitia James in a massive bank and insurance fraud filing unrelated to the insurrection — but we’re still waiting for the criminal justice system to drop the hammer.

This isn’t to say that the justice system has been quiet. To the contrary, Trump has attracted the attention of multiple criminal grand juries, and the legal vise appears to be closing on several fronts. Still, there are no signs of an imminent indictment.

In part, the holdup may be due to good old-fashioned hand-wringing. Over the past few months, a debate has unfolded among legal scholars and commentators about the wisdom of prosecuting Trump and the potential political and social destabilization an indictment could spark. Referring to the search at Mar-a-Lago, Trump has warned that the country would face “problems … the likes of which perhaps we’ve never seen” if he is indicted.

Plainly, there are inherent risks in breaking new legal ground with the indictment of a former president. Apart from the rather comical arrest in 1872 of President Ulysses S. Grant by a District of Columbia police officer for driving his carriage through the streets of Georgetown at an excessive speed, no American president has ever been charged with a criminal offense. Not Andrew Johnson, not Richard Nixon, not Bill Clinton and not — at least thus far — Trump.

A failed Trump prosecution would be a lose-lose proposition, legally and politically. But the greater risk lies in doing nothing. The rule of law begs for Trump to be held accountable.

One of the central myths of American democracy is the principle that no one is above the law. The myth is drilled into us from our earliest days in social studies classes to the platitudes we still hear every July Fourth. Yet the myth in practice has all too often proven to be just that — a lofty notion that at best applies to ordinary Americans but allows the rich and powerful to do exactly as they please with few adverse consequences.

While it can be tempting to fall into despair at the lack of resolution, there are three good reasons to maintain hope.

One of them is a county-level Georgia district attorney named Fani Willis. This past May, the Fulton County D.A. convened a special grand jury to investigate Trump and others for trying to alter the state’s 2020 election results. In an interview with The Washington Post in September, Willis said her office had examined about “65% of the dozens of witnesses” she wants to question:

A failed Trump prosecution would be a lose-lose proposition, legally and politically. But the greater risk lies in doing nothing.

The D.A.’s witness list is impressive. In June, Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, whom Trump pressured to “find” an additional “11780 votes,” took the stand. Two months later, she grilled Rudi Giuliani and attorney John Eastman, a former law school dean and clerk for Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas who is generally credited with devising the legal framework for Trump’s attempted coup d’état.

And Willis remains determined to move forward, waging dogged legal battles with Sen. Lindsey Graham attorney Sidney Powell and Trump’s last chief of staff, Mark Meadows to compel them to take the oath, as well.

Willis also told the Post, “If indicted and convicted, people are facing prison sentences. The decision to subpoena or bring charges against Trump, she added, will be made “late this fall.”

Unfortunately, under Georgia law, special grand juries are investigatory only. They cannot return indictments. To charge Trump or anyone else with state crimes, Willis will have to complete her special inquiry and open a regular grand jury, a process that would likely bleed over into 2023.

A second front is active in New York City, where the Trump Organization is currently on trial for running an alleged 15-year conspiracy to commit tax fraud. In August, Allen Weisselberg, the company’s chief financial officer, pleaded guilty to the same charges. Under the terms of his plea bargain, Weisselberg will serve five months in jail instead of a long prison term. He will also testify as the prosecution’s star witness.

If the Trump Organization is found guilty, it could face stiff financial penalties. But the case has nothing to do with Trump’s conduct as president, and in any event, Trump personally has not been indicted. In April, Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, who is in charge of the prosecution, opted to suspend a grand jury probe against Trump himself. A win against Trump’s company, however, could prompt Bragg to reopen the probe.

Then there are the ongoing (and accelerating) investigations of Trump at the federal level.

A grand jury is investigating Trump for absconding from the Oval Office with a trove of classified and top-secret documents and stashing them at his Mar-a-Lago beach and golf resort in Palm Beach, Florida — potentially violating a section of the Espionage Act and two other federal criminal statutes that prohibit the concealment or removal of federal records, and the destruction, mutilation or alteration of records to obstruct a federal investigation. The statutes prescribe punishments ranging from three to 20 years in prison.

According to The Washington Post, some of the documents found at Mar-a-Lago contain sensitive information on Iran’s missile program and U.S. intel on China. It’s hard to imagine any legitimate purpose Trump had for taking and retaining such items.

However, progress in the investigation has been slowed by a set of arguably incompetent rulings issued by U.S. District Court Judge Aileen Mercedes Cannon, including one appointing a special master to review the Mar-a-Lago search. A 41-year-old with no trial experience as a lawyer but enthusiastically endorsed by the Federalist Society, Cannon was nominated to the bench by Trump and confirmed (with some Democratic votes) by McConnell’s lame-duck Republican-controlled Senate on November 13, 2020.

A second federal grand jury is reportedly examining Trump’s part in the plan to create fake slates of electors in seven swing states. The federal probe overlaps with Willis’ investigation, but is even broader. A third federal grand jury is looking into the fundraising practices of Trump’s Save America leadership PAC during the last election.

Most critically of all, the Department of Justice has expanded its inquiry into the insurrection to include Trump’s involvement in the attack and the possibility of charging him and other high-ranking aides with seditious conspiracy, incitement of insurrection and obstruction of Congress:

Delay is often Trump’s preferred legal strategy.

For the time being, however, the DOJ is focused on the rioters who physically breached the Capitol, and in particular, the Oath Keepers militia group. Five members of the group are on trial in Washington, D.C., for seditious conspiracy. The case is expected to conclude later this month. Should the DOJ prevail, the prospects of bringing similar charges against Trump could improve significantly.

Finally, there are the hearings conducted by the House select committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack. In a historic step taken on October 21, the committee issued a subpoena to Trump, directing him to appear for questioning on Nov. 14, either in person or via video link. Trump has boasted that he might comply if his appearance is broadcast live. More likely, he will fight the subpoena in court to avoid committing perjury or taking the Fifth, hoping the panel will be disbanded in January if the GOP takes over the House in the midterm elections. Delay is often Trump’s preferred legal strategy.

Until the committee is dissolved, it will have the option of referring Trump to the DOJ for prosecution, as it did with Steve Bannon, who was subsequently tried and convicted of contempt of Congress, and sentenced to serve four months in jail, pending resolution of his appeal. But such referrals are non-binding, and there is no assurance the DOJ would heed a Trump referral. The final decision would be up to Attorney General Merrick Garland.

Garland, Willis and Bragg — the names sound like the partners of a high-profile law office — have a historic opportunity to breathe some much-needed life into the embattled but bedrock American ideal of equal treatment under the law. They must act, and the sooner the better. What’s left of our tattered and very imperfect democracy hangs in the balance.

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