Maine gubernatorial election, 2010

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Maine gubernatorial election, 2010
← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
  PaulLePage.jpg Eliot Cutler.jpg
Nominee Paul LePage Eliot Cutler
Party Republican Independent
Popular vote 218,065 208,270
Percentage 37.6% 35.9%
 
Nominee Libby Mitchell Shawn Moody
Party Democratic Independent
Popular vote 109,387 28,756
Percentage 18.8% 5.0%
Mainegovelection2010.png
County results
  Counties won by LePage
  Counties won by Cutler
Governor before election

John Baldacci
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Paul LePage
Republican
Elections in Maine
Seal of Maine.svg
This box:

The 2010 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Baldacci was term-limited and unable to seek re-election. Primary elections took place on June 8, 2010. The candidates who appeared on the November ballot were (in alphabetical order by last name): Eliot Cutler (Independent), Paul LePage (Republican), Libby Mitchell (Democrat), Shawn Moody (Independent), and Kevin Scott (Independent).[1]

With 94% of precincts reporting on the day after the election, the Bangor Daily News declared LePage the winner, carrying 38.1% of the votes.[2] Cutler was in second place with 36.7% of the votes (less than 7,500 votes behind LePage), while Mitchell was a distant third with 19%.[2] Moody and Scott had 5% and 1%, respectively.[2] Two days after the election, with 99% of precincts reporting, LePage's lead over Cutler had widened to more than 10,000 votes.[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

On ballot

Write-in

Withdrawn

  • Dawn Hill, State Representative.[14][15] Hill withdrew from the race on January 1, 2010, citing the crowded field of candidates.[16]
  • John G. Richardson, former Commissioner of Economic and Community Development and former Speaker of the House.[4][17] Richardson withdrew from the race on April 26 amid allegations that some of his campaign workers had not followed proper procedures for collecting donations to qualify him for Maine Clean Election funding.[18] The primary ballots had already been printed before Richardson withdrew from the race, so Richardson's name appeared on the ballot even though he was no longer a candidate.[19]
  • Peter Truman (also known as Peter Throumoulos), former state representative and convicted forger.[20] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Mitchell Rowe Scarcelli McGowan Undecided
Pan Atlantic SMS Group May 21–29, 2010 13.3% 11.7% 7.0% 6.3% 61.7%

Results

Democratic primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elizabeth "Libby" Mitchell 42,328 34.4
Democratic G. Steven Rowe 27,923 22.7
Democratic Rosa Scarcelli 26,444 21.5
Democratic Patrick K. McGowan 24,392 19.8
Democratic John Richardson 1,604 1.3
Democratic Write-in 236 0.3
Total votes 122,927 100

At 11:32 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Libby Mitchell the winner of the Democratic primary.[24]

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Otten LePage Mills Abbott Beardsley Poliquin Jacobson Undecided
MECPO [45] May 22-June 2, 2010 17.0% 10.7% 22.1% 13.9% 5.9% 4.9% 1.4% 24.0%
Pan Atlantic SMS Group May 21–29, 2010 17.0% 10.3% 8.4% 8.3% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 47.0%

Results

Republican primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul LePage 49,126 37.4
Republican Les Otten 22,945 17.4
Republican Peter Mills 19,271 14.7
Republican Steve Abbott 17,209 13.1
Republican William "Bill" Beardsley 12,061 9.2
Republican Bruce Poliquin 6,471 4.9
Republican Matt Jacobson 4,324 3.3
Total votes 131,407 100

At 11:19 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Paul LePage the winner of the GOP primary.[46]

Independents

Candidates on the ballot

Write-in candidates

  • John Jenkins, former State Senator, former Mayor of both Auburn and Lewiston, and a 2002 gubernatorial candidate.[54] Jenkins, who won his most recent mayoral campaign by write-in, declared he would run for Governor of Maine if 5,000 people followed his Facebook fan page[55] within 45 days.
  • Beverly Cooper-Pete.[56] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures,[49] but continued her campaign as a write-in candidate.[57]

Disqualified candidates

  • Alex Hammer, business owner and self-published author.[4][58] Did not appear on the ballot due to not meeting the deadline for turning in petition signatures. Hammer attempted to turn in some of the signatures electronically, but the Secretary of State ruled that such methods were not allowed. Hammer filed suit to appear on the ballot in Penobscot County Superior Court on June 28, 2010.[59][60] On September 28, 2010, the judge upheld the Secretary of State's decision.[61]

Withdrawn

  • Samme Bailey.[4][62] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[49]
  • Augustus Edgerton.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[49]
  • Michael Heath, former leader of the Christian Civic League of Maine (now known as the Maine Family Policy Council).[63] Withdrew from the race due to lack of petition signatures.[64]
  • John Whitcomb.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[49]

Maine Green Independent Party

The Maine Green Independent Party did not have a gubernatorial candidate on the ballot, as no candidate collected required number of signatures.[65]

Withdrawn

  • Lynne Williams, attorney and former state chair of the Maine Green Independent Party.[66][67] On March 15, 2010, Lynne Williams announced her withdrawal from the campaign, citing a lack of clean elections funds and qualifying signatures.[68]
  • Patrick Quinlan, political activist, author, and lone legislative aide of Maine Green Independent Party caucus in state House of Representatives for 2004 and 2005; former campaign manager and consultant for Green state representative John Eder[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Toss up[69] October 29, 2010
The Rothenberg Political Report Toss up/Tilt Republican[70] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Leans Republican[71] October 22, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans Republican[72] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Leans Democrat[73] October 29, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Solid Republican[74] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Paul LePage (R) Libby Mitchell (D) Eliot Cutler (I) Shawn Moody (I) Kevin Scott (I) Undecided
MPRC / Down East Magazine October 28–30, 2010 546 ± 4.19% 39% 24% 29% 4% 1% 2%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media October 27–28, 2010 621 ± 4% 40% 21% 21% 4% 1% 11%
Pan Atlantic SMS October 25–28, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 38.6% 21.8% 30.6% 2.8% 1.1% 7.3%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2010 1,812 ± 2.3% 40% 24% 28% 4% 1% 2%
Rasmussen Reports October 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 40% 26% 26% - - 5%
Critical Insights October 13–17, 2010 600 ± 4% 32% 20% 19% 5% 1% 21%
Pan Atlantic SMS October 11–15, 2010 501 ± 4.4% 32.9% 28.0% 14.0% 4.6% 0.4% 20.2%
Rasmussen Reports October 12, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 35% 32% 21% * * 6%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media October 10–11, 2010 605 ± 4% 32% 26% 11% 5 1 26%
Pine Tree Politics / Maine Center for Public Opinion October 4–7, 2010 679 ± 3.76% 29.6% 28.7% 11.1% 4.9% 1.6% 24.1%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media September 27, 2010 405 ± 4.9% 29% 30% 9% 5% 0% 26%
Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 27% 14% * * 10%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media September 13, 2010 603 ± 4% 38% 25% 11% 4% 1% 21%
Public Policy Polling September 2–6, 2010 1,468 ± 2.6% 43% 29% 11% 5% 1% 12%
Rasmussen Reports August 12, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 30% 16% * * 11%
Rasmussen Reports July 14, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 39% 31% 15% * * 12%
Rasmussen Reports June 10, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 43% 36% 7% * * 14%

* Shawn Moody and Kevin Scott, two Independent candidates who appeared on the ballot, were not offered as choices in the Rasmussen polls.[75]

Results

2010 Gubernatorial Election, Maine[76]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Paul LePage 218,065 37.6% +7.39%
Independent Eliot Cutler 208,270 35.9% —
Democratic Libby Mitchell 109,387 18.8% -19.31%
Independent Shawn Moody 28,756 5.0% —
Independent Kevin Scott 5,664 1.00%
Majority 9,795 1.7% -6.2
Turnout 580,538 +29,673
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

See also

References

  1. ↑ http://www.pressherald.com/home/governor/The-day-after-Governors-race-takes-shape-.html
  2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  5. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  6. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  7. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  8. ↑ Rowe For Governor (official candidate web site)
  9. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  10. ↑ Rosa Scarcelli, Democratic Candidate for Governor of Maine, 2010 (official candidate web site)
  11. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  12. ↑ Donna Dion For Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  13. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. ↑ dawnhillforgovernor.com (official candidate web site)
  16. ↑ "Rep. Hill drops out of Maine gov. race" – SeacoastOnline.com
  17. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. ↑ Richardson withdrawing from governor's race Portland Press Herald, April 26, 2010
  19. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  20. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  21. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  22. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  23. ↑ 23.0 23.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  24. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  25. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  26. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  27. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  28. ↑ Bill Beardsley: Governor For Maine (official candidate web site)
  29. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  30. ↑ Matt Jacobson For Governor (official candidate web site)
  31. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  32. ↑ Paul LePage – Gubernatorial Dark Horse?
  33. ↑ Morning Sentinel, September 18, 2009
  34. ↑ Paul LePage for Governor 2010 (official campaign web site)
  35. ↑ Mills declares candidacy for governor
  36. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  37. ↑ Peter Mills for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site)
  38. ↑ Les Otten for Governor (official candidate web site)
  39. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  40. ↑ Bruce Poliquin for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
  41. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  42. ↑ Cianchette insists he won't run for governor
  43. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  44. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  45. ↑ Note: Poll paid for by Mills Campaign
  46. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  47. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  48. ↑ Cutler 2010 (official candidate web site)
  49. ↑ 49.0 49.1 49.2 49.3 49.4 49.5 49.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  50. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  51. ↑ Shawn Moody for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site)
  52. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  53. ↑ Kevin L. Scott: Maine Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  54. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  55. ↑ Draft John Jenkins to be Maine Governor in 2010 Facebook Fan Page. August 26, 2010.
  56. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  57. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  58. ↑ Alex Hammer for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
  59. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  60. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  61. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  62. ↑ Sam Bailey: Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  63. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  64. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  65. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  66. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  67. ↑ Lynne Williams for Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  68. ↑ Green candidate drops out of governor's race March 15, 2010, Portland Press Herald
  69. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  70. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  71. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  72. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  73. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  74. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  75. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  76. ↑ http://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/results/2010-11/gen2010gov.html

External links

Official campaign websites
Debates
Candidate interviews
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