Maine gubernatorial election, 2010
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County results
Counties won by LePage
Counties won by Cutler
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| Elections in Maine | |||||||||
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The 2010 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Baldacci was term-limited and unable to seek re-election. Primary elections took place on June 8, 2010. The candidates who appeared on the November ballot were (in alphabetical order by last name): Eliot Cutler (Independent), Paul LePage (Republican), Libby Mitchell (Democrat), Shawn Moody (Independent), and Kevin Scott (Independent).[1]
With 94% of precincts reporting on the day after the election, the Bangor Daily News declared LePage the winner, carrying 38.1% of the votes.[2] Cutler was in second place with 36.7% of the votes (less than 7,500 votes behind LePage), while Mitchell was a distant third with 19%.[2] Moody and Scott had 5% and 1%, respectively.[2] Two days after the election, with 99% of precincts reporting, LePage's lead over Cutler had widened to more than 10,000 votes.[3]
Contents
Democratic primary
Candidates
On ballot
- Patrick K. McGowan, former State Conservation Commissioner[4][5]
- Elizabeth "Libby" Mitchell, State Senate President[6]
- Steven Rowe, former Maine Attorney General; former State Representative[7][8]
- Rosa Scarcelli, business owner[9][10]
Write-in
- Donna Dion, former Mayor of Biddeford.[11][12] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures, but continued her campaign in the primary as a write-in candidate.[13]
Withdrawn
- Dawn Hill, State Representative.[14][15] Hill withdrew from the race on January 1, 2010, citing the crowded field of candidates.[16]
- John G. Richardson, former Commissioner of Economic and Community Development and former Speaker of the House.[4][17] Richardson withdrew from the race on April 26 amid allegations that some of his campaign workers had not followed proper procedures for collecting donations to qualify him for Maine Clean Election funding.[18] The primary ballots had already been printed before Richardson withdrew from the race, so Richardson's name appeared on the ballot even though he was no longer a candidate.[19]
- Peter Truman (also known as Peter Throumoulos), former state representative and convicted forger.[20] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.
Declined
- Brian Bolduc, current state representative from District 69 in Auburn[21]
- Tom Allen, former U.S. Representative from Maine's 1st congressional district[22]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Mitchell | Rowe | Scarcelli | McGowan | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group | May 21–29, 2010 | 13.3% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 61.7% |
Results
| Democratic primary results[23] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Elizabeth "Libby" Mitchell | 42,328 | 34.4 | |
| Democratic | G. Steven Rowe | 27,923 | 22.7 | |
| Democratic | Rosa Scarcelli | 26,444 | 21.5 | |
| Democratic | Patrick K. McGowan | 24,392 | 19.8 | |
| Democratic | John Richardson | 1,604 | 1.3 | |
| Democratic | Write-in | 236 | 0.3 | |
| Total votes | 122,927 | 100 | ||
At 11:32 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Libby Mitchell the winner of the Democratic primary.[24]
Republican primary
Candidates
On ballot
- Steve Abbott, former chief of staff for Senator Susan Collins[25][26]
- William Beardsley, former president of Husson University [27][28]
- Matt Jacobson, president of Maine & Company, a private business attraction organization; former President of the St. Lawrence & Atlantic Railroad[29][30]
- Paul LePage, mayor of Waterville and general manager of Marden's Surplus & Salvage store chain[31][32][33][34]
- Peter Mills, State Senator from Cornville and 2006 candidate for governor[35][36][37]
- Les Otten, founder of American Skiing Company and former Boston Red Sox co-owner[38][39]
- Bruce Poliquin, business owner/manager and economist[40][41]
Declined
- Peter Cianchette, United States Ambassador to Costa Rica and 2002 Republican nominee for governor[42]
- Kevin Raye, State Senate Minority Leader[43]
- Josh Tardy, State House Minority Leader[44]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Otten | LePage | Mills | Abbott | Beardsley | Poliquin | Jacobson | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MECPO [45] | May 22-June 2, 2010 | 17.0% | 10.7% | 22.1% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 24.0% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group | May 21–29, 2010 | 17.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 47.0% |
Results
| Republican primary results[23] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Paul LePage | 49,126 | 37.4 | |
| Republican | Les Otten | 22,945 | 17.4 | |
| Republican | Peter Mills | 19,271 | 14.7 | |
| Republican | Steve Abbott | 17,209 | 13.1 | |
| Republican | William "Bill" Beardsley | 12,061 | 9.2 | |
| Republican | Bruce Poliquin | 6,471 | 4.9 | |
| Republican | Matt Jacobson | 4,324 | 3.3 | |
| Total votes | 131,407 | 100 | ||
At 11:19 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Paul LePage the winner of the GOP primary.[46]
Independents
Candidates on the ballot
- Eliot Cutler, lawyer, former staff member for U.S. Senator Edmund Muskie, and former adviser to President Jimmy Carter from Cape Elizabeth, Cumberland County[47][48][49]
- Shawn Moody, business owner from Gorham, Cumberland County[49][50][51]
- Kevin L. Scott, business owner from Andover, Oxford County[49][52][53]
Write-in candidates
- John Jenkins, former State Senator, former Mayor of both Auburn and Lewiston, and a 2002 gubernatorial candidate.[54] Jenkins, who won his most recent mayoral campaign by write-in, declared he would run for Governor of Maine if 5,000 people followed his Facebook fan page[55] within 45 days.
- Beverly Cooper-Pete.[56] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures,[49] but continued her campaign as a write-in candidate.[57]
Disqualified candidates
- Alex Hammer, business owner and self-published author.[4][58] Did not appear on the ballot due to not meeting the deadline for turning in petition signatures. Hammer attempted to turn in some of the signatures electronically, but the Secretary of State ruled that such methods were not allowed. Hammer filed suit to appear on the ballot in Penobscot County Superior Court on June 28, 2010.[59][60] On September 28, 2010, the judge upheld the Secretary of State's decision.[61]
Withdrawn
- Samme Bailey.[4][62] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[49]
- Augustus Edgerton.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[49]
- Michael Heath, former leader of the Christian Civic League of Maine (now known as the Maine Family Policy Council).[63] Withdrew from the race due to lack of petition signatures.[64]
- John Whitcomb.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[49]
Maine Green Independent Party
The Maine Green Independent Party did not have a gubernatorial candidate on the ballot, as no candidate collected required number of signatures.[65]
Withdrawn
- Lynne Williams, attorney and former state chair of the Maine Green Independent Party.[66][67] On March 15, 2010, Lynne Williams announced her withdrawal from the campaign, citing a lack of clean elections funds and qualifying signatures.[68]
- Patrick Quinlan, political activist, author, and lone legislative aide of Maine Green Independent Party caucus in state House of Representatives for 2004 and 2005; former campaign manager and consultant for Green state representative John Eder[4]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Toss up[69] | October 29, 2010 |
| The Rothenberg Political Report | Toss up/Tilt Republican[70] | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Leans Republican[71] | October 22, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Leans Republican[72] | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Leans Democrat[73] | October 29, 2010 |
| Rasmussen Reports | Solid Republican[74] | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Paul LePage (R) | Libby Mitchell (D) | Eliot Cutler (I) | Shawn Moody (I) | Kevin Scott (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPRC / Down East Magazine | October 28–30, 2010 | 546 | ± 4.19% | 39% | 24% | 29% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| Critical Insights / MaineToday Media | October 27–28, 2010 | 621 | ± 4% | 40% | 21% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 11% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS | October 25–28, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 38.6% | 21.8% | 30.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 7.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 26–28, 2010 | 1,812 | ± 2.3% | 40% | 24% | 28% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 26, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 40% | 26% | 26% | - | - | 5% |
| Critical Insights | October 13–17, 2010 | 600 | ± 4% | 32% | 20% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 21% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS | October 11–15, 2010 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 32.9% | 28.0% | 14.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 20.2% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 12, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 35% | 32% | 21% | * | * | 6% |
| Critical Insights / MaineToday Media | October 10–11, 2010 | 605 | ± 4% | 32% | 26% | 11% | 5 | 1 | 26% |
| Pine Tree Politics / Maine Center for Public Opinion | October 4–7, 2010 | 679 | ± 3.76% | 29.6% | 28.7% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 24.1% |
| Critical Insights / MaineToday Media | September 27, 2010 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 29% | 30% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 26% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 20, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 27% | 14% | * | * | 10% |
| Critical Insights / MaineToday Media | September 13, 2010 | 603 | ± 4% | 38% | 25% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 2–6, 2010 | 1,468 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 12, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 30% | 16% | * | * | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 14, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 31% | 15% | * | * | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 10, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 36% | 7% | * | * | 14% |
* Shawn Moody and Kevin Scott, two Independent candidates who appeared on the ballot, were not offered as choices in the Rasmussen polls.[75]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul LePage | 218,065 | 37.6% | +7.39% | |
| Independent | Eliot Cutler | 208,270 | 35.9% | — | |
| Democratic | Libby Mitchell | 109,387 | 18.8% | -19.31% | |
| Independent | Shawn Moody | 28,756 | 5.0% | — | |
| Independent | Kevin Scott | 5,664 | 1.00% | ||
| Majority | 9,795 | 1.7% | -6.2 | ||
| Turnout | 580,538 | +29,673 | |||
| Republican gain from Democratic | Swing | ||||
See also
References
- ↑ http://www.pressherald.com/home/governor/The-day-after-Governors-race-takes-shape-.html
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- ↑ Rowe For Governor (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Rosa Scarcelli, Democratic Candidate for Governor of Maine, 2010 (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Donna Dion For Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ dawnhillforgovernor.com (official candidate web site)
- ↑ "Rep. Hill drops out of Maine gov. race" – SeacoastOnline.com
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- ↑ Richardson withdrawing from governor's race Portland Press Herald, April 26, 2010
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- ↑ Bill Beardsley: Governor For Maine (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Matt Jacobson For Governor (official candidate web site)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Paul LePage – Gubernatorial Dark Horse?
- ↑ Morning Sentinel, September 18, 2009
- ↑ Paul LePage for Governor 2010 (official campaign web site)
- ↑ Mills declares candidacy for governor
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Peter Mills for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site)
- ↑ Les Otten for Governor (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Bruce Poliquin for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Cianchette insists he won't run for governor
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- ↑ Note: Poll paid for by Mills Campaign
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ Cutler 2010 (official candidate web site)
- ↑ 49.0 49.1 49.2 49.3 49.4 49.5 49.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ Shawn Moody for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Kevin L. Scott: Maine Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Draft John Jenkins to be Maine Governor in 2010 Facebook Fan Page. August 26, 2010.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ Alex Hammer for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Sam Bailey: Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Lynne Williams for Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
- ↑ Green candidate drops out of governor's race March 15, 2010, Portland Press Herald
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- ↑ http://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/results/2010-11/gen2010gov.html
External links
- Maine Secretary of State – Elections Division
- Maine Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Maine Governor from Follow the Money
- Maine Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Maine Gubernatorial General Election: Paul LePage (R) vs Libby Mitchell (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Maine Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Maine Governor – LePage vs. Mitchell vs. Cutler from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Maine Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Official campaign websites
- Patrick McGowan (D)
- Elizabeth "Libby" Mitchell (D)
- Steven Rowe (D)
- Rosa Scarcelli (D)
- Steven Abbott (R)
- William Beardsley (R)
- Matt Jacobson (R)
- Paul LePage (R)
- Peter Mills (R)
- Les Otten (R)
- Bruce Poliquin (R)
- Eliot Cutler (I)
- Alex Hammer (I)
- Shawn Moody (I)
- Kevin Scott (I)
- Debates
- Debate hosted by the Associated General Contractors of America (Democrats, Republicans, and Cutler)
- Democrat debate hosted by WCSH-TV, Part 1
- Democrat debate hosted by WCSH-TV, Part 2
- Republican debate hosted by WCSH-TV, Part 1
- Republican debate hosted by WCSH-TV, Part 2
- Democrat debate hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 1
- Democrat debate hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 2
- Republican debate hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 1
- Republican debate hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 2
- Democrat debate hosted by Maine Public Broadcasting
- Republican debate hosted by Maine Public Broadcasting
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WGME-TV and MaineToday Media, Part 1
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WGME-TV and MaineToday Media, Part 2
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 1
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 2
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WCSH-TV and Maine State Chamber of Commerce, Part 1
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WCSH-TV and Maine State Chamber of Commerce, Part 2
- Debate featuring four of the five general election candidates (LePage chose not to participate), hosted by MPBN and Bates College
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WGME-TV, WGAN-AM, and MaineToday Media, Part 1
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WGME-TV, WGAN-AM, and MaineToday Media, Part 2
- Candidate interviews
- Interview with Democratic candidate Donna Dion
- Interview with Republican candidate Les Otten
- Interview with Democratic candidate Rosa Scarcelli
- Interview with Republican candidate Paul LePage
- Interview with Democratic candidate Libby Mitchell
- Interview with Independent Alex Hammer
- Interview with Republican candidate Paul LePage
- Interview with Democratic candidate Libby Mitchell
- Interview with Republican candidate Bruce Poliquin
- Interview with Democratic candidate Steven Rowe
- Interview with Green candidate Lynne Williams
- Interview with Independent candidate Shawn Moody
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