Reliability of Spacecraft Power Systems
Reliability of Spacecraft Power Systems
Reliability of Spacecraft Power Systems
Fabrice WALLECAN
(March 2011)
Template reference : 100181670S-EN
Agenda
Part 1: Introduction
1. The space environment 2. Overview of Spacecraft Power Electronic systems 3. Reliability basic theory
CONCLUSIONS
Part 1: Introduction
1. The space environment 2. Overview of Spacecraft Power Electronic systems 3. Reliability basic theory
CONCLUSIONS
Some examples:
And also:
P/F
P/L
P/L (Payload)
Antennas, TWTA, Camera, altimeter, radar, detectors, Clock, scientific instruments,
P/F Equipments
~80 cm
Semi-regulated bus Regulated bus in sunlight only (No more used today) Choice is based on Users need (mission)
Scientific payloads may require regulated bus to fulfill their precisions Variability of power load (e.g. telecom Pmin to Pmax) Thermal stability of some specific loads may requires regulated bus (thermal management is easier in that architecture)
P/L Equipments
M1
P5V
D11 D12
D15 D16
C8 R15 R16
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Definitions according to
is a collective term used to describe the availability performance and its influencing factors: reliability performance, maintainability performance and maintenance support performance is the ability of an item to perform a required function under given conditions for a given time interval is the ability of an item to be in a state to perform a required function under given conditions at a given instant of time or over a given time interval, assuming that the required external resources are provided is the ability of an item under given conditions of use, to be retained in, or restored to, a state in which it can perform a required function, when maintenance is performed under given conditions and using stated procedures and resources is the system state where an acceptable level of risk with respect to - fatality, injury, damage to hardware, damage to manned flight system, pollution of the environment, damage to public or private property - is not exceeded
INTERNAL THALES ALENIA SPACE COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE
All rights reserved 2009 Thales Alenia Space
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The system effectiveness and success depend on its availability for the intended use
The availability has two components:
Reliability Maintainability
For satellites once launched, the availability only depends on the reliability Reliability is based on the probability of numerous components working together successfully over the entire mission duration The probability of failure of a component comes from:
Random failure Wear-out failure Design failure Manufacturing failure
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Thales Alenia Space ETCA Ref : Date : FOR-08-03-FW 08/03/2011
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Reliability Expressions
The general expression of reliability is known as the Poisson distribution function (exponential function of time) :
Reliability R(t)
t
Series configuration:
Rs = Ri
i =1
R(t ) = e
Parallel configuration:
Unreliability U(t)
n
U (t ) = 1 R(t )
Rp = 1 (1 Ri )
i =1
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Environmental Coefficient taking into account the particular environment the component is going to be used
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Thales Alenia Space ETCA Ref : Date : FOR-08-03-FW 08/03/2011
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Activity Pilot a Motorbike Drive a car Wine drinking (one liter a day) Accident Road accident (pedestrian) Plane crash Space equipments or systems Launcher (Space Flight Environment) DC to DC converter (without redundancies) DC to DC converter (without redundancies) DC to DC converter (with redundancies) PCDU (with redundancies)
Probability of death 2*10 1,7*10-4 -5 7,5*10 Probability of death 5*10-5 1*10-7 Probability of success 0,99999471 0,991278 0,876867 0,989 0.95
-2
Time interval one year one year one year Time interval one year one year Time interval 27 min one year 15 years 15 years 15 years
or one in .. 'chance' to die 50 5,882 13,333 or one in .. 'chance' to die 20,000 10,000,000 or one in .. 'chance' to fail 189,000 115 8 90 20
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Part 1: Introduction
1. The space environment 2. Overview of Spacecraft Power Electronic systems 3. Reliability basic theory
CONCLUSIONS
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Parts Management
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Reliability Analyses
Product Assurance (PA) is intended to assure that a design, proposed in the frame of a project, will result in a satisfactory degree of quality for the product Reliability engineering analyses are performed for this purpose; we can namely notice (not exhaustive list):
Reliability Analysis EPSA (Electrical Parts Stress Analysis) FMEA / FMECA (Failure Modes Effects (Criticality) Analysis FTA (Fault Tree Analysis) Common Cause Analysis WCA (Worst Case Analysis) Etc
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1) EPSA : Electrical Parts Stress Analysis: For each parameter of a given component (generally corresponding to manufacturer Absolute Maximum Rating), it is necessary to evaluate the value of this parameter under two specific conditions :
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Principe de base
Nominal max :
Case of nominal operation (without breakdown) but considering the nominal ranges of use (min and max voltage, min-max user current, ), It permits to ensure the lifespan (reliability)
Paramtre (%)
100 80 60
Rating
Derating
40 20
20
40
60
Tc(C)
80
100
120
140
160
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3) The WCA: Worst case Analysis (contd) The Worst case analysis performed thanks to
a mathematical formula linking the analysed parameter to all the other influencing parameters, rigorously determining the variation range of the analysed parameter, considering the simultaneous existence of the environmental conditions (T , radiation, ), Extreme conditions of operation Extreme variations of other parameters (power supply voltage, ).
Three approaches of calculation are considered : The linear approach (EVA Extreme Value Analysis) The RSS approach (Root Square Sum) The Monte-Carlo approach (Statistic)
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Environmental Design
Thermal: temperature effect has impacts on wearing out; drift of performances, increase of mechanical stress;
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Environmental constraints: Radiation Sources Trapped electrons Van Allen belts Total dose Trapped protons Van Allen belts Solar protons Sun eruptions Space heavy ions Cosmic rays
Decreasing of semi-conductor performances up to destruction SA cells, Mosfets, Bi-polar transistors,
Effects
S.E.E.
Transient effect on semi-conductors, may lead to its destruction Mosfets, Memory, Amplifiers,
=> The radiation environment has a direct impact on the definition & sizing of EPS
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Thales Alenia Space ETCA Ref : Date : FOR-08-03-FW 08/03/2011
Place the component at another physical location inside the equipment Use of hot redundancies of functions or low pass filters to improve immunity to SEE:
Thermal Design
Their effects
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Induced effects
Final effects
At component level
On ground
In flight
Avoid metallic floating parts Use of appropriate filtering Use of shielded harness Etc
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Thales Alenia Space ETCA Ref : Date : FOR-08-03-FW 08/03/2011
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Series-Parallel Redundancy
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F540_2
VBUS_MEA
Regulation1
GND_MEA
GND_MEA
REF_10_0
REF_10_0
Reference Voltage1
ST_MEA_1
F540_1
ST_MEA_1
F540_4
VBUS_MEA
Regulation2
TM_MEA
TM_MEA
F540_4
MEA
Regulation 2
VBUS_MEA
MEA
TP_MEA_IN_2
TP_MEA_OUT
TP_MEA_OUT
TP_MEA_IN_2
F540_5
1/2 voter
F540_5
1/2 voter
REF_10_1
REF_10_1
Reference Voltage2
ST_MEA_2
F540_3
ST_MEA_2
MEA Channel2
MEA Channel2
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Part 1: Introduction
1. The space environment 2. Overview of Spacecraft Power Electronic systems 3. Reliability basic theory
CONCLUSIONS
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Conclusions
Increasing reliability of electronic hardware is a long iterative process ! It requests: A lot of time during the development phases A high level of engineering knowledge (specialists in multiple disciplines are needed) Different equipment models (Prototypes, EM, QM,) to finally get Flight Models (FM) Reliability has a COST: Lets take for example the cost of a triple outputs DC to DC converter (low power):
Conventional market: 0.1 k Military market: 1 k Space market: 10 k
Like in many disciplines, the rule of common sense also applies in reliability ! Improving reliability often means much more components; which induces in turn unreliability
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