2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
2-1 Lecture slides to accompany Engineering Economy 7 th edition Leland Blank Anthony Tarquin Chapter 2 Factors: How Time and Interest Affect Money 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-2 LEARNING OUTCOMES 1. F/P and P/F Factors 2. P/A and A/P Factors 3. F/A and A/F Factors 4. Factor Values 5. Arithmetic Gradient 6. Geometric Gradient 7. Find i or n 2 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-3 Single Payment Factors (F/P and P/F) Single payment factors involve only P and F. Cash flow diagrams are as follows: F = P(1 + i ) n P = F[1 / (1 + i ) n ] Formulas are as follows: Terms in parentheses or brackets are called factors. Values are in tables for i and n values Factors are represented in standard factor notation such as (F/P,i,n), where letter to left of slash is what is sought; letter to right represents what is given 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-4 F/P and P/F for Spreadsheets Future value F is calculated using FV function: = FV(i%,n,,P) Present value P is calculated using PV function: = PV(i%,n,,F) Note the use of double commas in each function 3 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-5 Example: Finding Future Value A person deposits $5000 into an account which pays interest at a rate of 8% per year. The amount in the account after 10 years is closest to: (A) $2,792 (B) $9,000 (C) $10,795 (D) $12,165 The cash flow diagram is: Solution: F = P(F/P,i,n ) = 5000(F/P,8%,10 ) = $10,794.50 Answer is (C) = 5000(2.1589) 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-6 Example: Finding Present Value A small company wants to make a single deposit now so it will have enough money to purchase a backhoe costing $50,000 five years from now. If the account will earn interest of 10% per year, the amount that must be deposited now is nearest to: (A) $10,000 (B) $ 31,050 (C) $ 33,250 (D) $319,160 Solution: P = F(P/F,i,n ) = 50,000(P/F,10%,5 ) = 50,000(0.6209) = $31,045 Answer is (B) 4 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-7 Uniform Series Involving P/A and A/P 0 1 2 3 4 5 A = ? P = Given The cash flow diagrams are: Standard Factor Notation P = A(P/A,i,n) A = P(A/P,i,n) Note: P is one period Ahead of first A value (1) Cash flow occurs in consecutive interest periods The uniform series factors that involve P and A are derived as follows: (2) Cash flow amount is same in each interest period 0 1 2 3 4 5 A = Given P = ? Example: Uniform Series Involving P/A 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-8 A chemical engineer believes that by modifying the structure of a certain water treatment polymer, his company would earn an extra $5000 per year. At an interest rate of 10% per year, how much could the company afford to spend now to just break even over a 5 year project period? (A) $11,170 (B) 13,640 (C) $15,300 (D) $18,950 The cash flow diagram is as follows: P = 5000(P/A,10%,5) = 5000(3.7908) = $18,954 Answer is (D) 0 1 2 3 4 5 A = $5000 P = ? i =10% Solution: 5 Uniform Series Involving F/A and A/F 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-9 (1) Cash flow occurs in consecutive interest periods The uniform series factors that involve F and A are derived as follows: (2) Last cash flow occurs in same period as F 0 1 2 3 4 5 F = ? A = Given 0 1 2 3 4 5 F = Given A = ? Note: F takes place in the same period as last A Cash flow diagrams are: Standard Factor Notation F = A(F/A,i,n) A = F(A/F,i,n) 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-10 Example: Uniform Series Involving F/A An industrial engineer made a modification to a chip manufacturing process that will save her company $10,000 per year. At an interest rate of 8% per year, how much will the savings amount to in 7 years? (A) $45,300 (B) $68,500 (C) $89,228 (D) $151,500 The cash flow diagram is: A = $10,000 F = ? i = 8% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Solution: F = 10,000(F/A,8%,7) = 10,000(8.9228) = $89,228 Answer is (C) 6 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-11 Factor Values for Untabulated i or n 3 ways to find factor values for untabulated i or n values Use formula Use spreadsheet function with corresponding P, F, or A value set to 1 Linearly interpolate in interest tables Formula or spreadsheet function is fast and accurate Interpolation is only approximate 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-12 Example: Untabulated i Determine the value for (F/P, 8.3%,10) Formula: F = (1 + 0.083) 10 = 2.2197 Spreadsheet: = FV(8.3%,10,,1) = 2.2197 Interpolation: 8% ------ 2.1589 8.3% ------ x 9% ------ 2.3674 x = 2.1589 + [(8.3 - 8.0)/(9.0 - 8.0)][2.3674 2.1589] = 2.2215 Absolute Error = 2.2215 2.2197 = 0.0018 OK OK (Too high) 7 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-13 Arithmetic Gradients Arithmetic gradients change by the same amount each period The cash flow diagram for the P G of an arithmetic gradient is: 0 1 2 3 n G 2G 4 3G (n-1)G P G = ? G starts between periods 1 and 2 (not between 0 and 1) This is because cash flow in year 1 is usually not equal to G and is handled separately as a base amount (shown on next slide) Note that P G is located Two Periods Ahead of the first change that is equal to G Standard factor notation is P G = G(P/G,i,n) 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-14 Typical Arithmetic Gradient Cash Flow P T = ? i = 10% 0 1 2 3 4 5 400 450 500 550 600 P A = ? i = 10% 0 1 2 3 4 5 400 400 400 400 400 P G = ? i = 10% 0 1 2 3 4 5 50 100 150 200 + This diagram = this base amount plus this gradient P A = 400(P/A,10%,5) P G = 50(P/G,10%,5) P T = P A + P G = 400(P/A,10%,5) + 50(P/G,10%,5) Amount in year 1 is base amount Amount in year 1 is base amount 8 Converting Arithmetic Gradient to A 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-15 i = 10% 0 1 2 3 4 5 G 2G 3G 4G i = 10% 0 1 2 3 4 5 A = ? Arithmetic gradient can be converted into equivalent A value using G(A/G,i,n) General equation when base amount is involved is A = base amount + G(A/G,i,n) 0 1 2 3 4 5 G 2G 3G 4G For decreasing gradients, change plus sign to minus A = base amount - G(A/G,i,n) 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-16 Example: Arithmetic Gradient The present worth of $400 in year 1 and amounts increasing by $30 per year through year 5 at an interest rate of 12% per year is closest to: (A) $1532 (B) $1,634 (C) $1,744 (D) $1,829 0 1 2 3 Year 430 460 4 490 520 P T = ? 5 400 i = 12% G = $30 = 400(3.6048) + 30(6.3970) = $1,633.83 Answer is (B) P T = 400(P/A,12%,5) + 30(P/G,12%,5) The cash flow could also be converted into an A value as follows: A = 400 + 30(A/G,12%,5) = 400 + 30(1.7746) = $453.24 Solution: 9 Geometric Gradients 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-17 Geometric gradients change by the same percentage each period 0 1 2 3 n A 1 A 1 (1+g) 1 4 A 1 (1+g) 2 A 1 (1+g) n-1 P g = ? There are no tables for geometric factors Use following equations: where: A 1 = cash flow in period 1 g = rate of increase/decrease Note: If g is negative, change signs in front of both g values Cash flow diagram for present worth of geometric gradient Note: g starts between periods 1 and 2 Example: Geometric Gradient 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-18 Find the present worth of $1,000 in year 1 and amounts increasing by 7% per year through year 10. Use an interest rate of 12% per year. (a) $5,670 (b) $7,333 (c) $12,670 (d) $13,550 0 1 2 3 10 1000 1070 4 1145 1838 P g = ? Solution: P g = 1000[1-(1+0.07/1+0.12) 10 ]/(0.12-0.07) = $7,333 Answer is (b) g = 7% i = 12% To find A, multiply P g by (A/P,12%,10) Find A?? 10 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-19 Unknown Interest Rate i Unknown interest rate problems involve solving for i, given n and 2 other values (P, F, or A) (Usually requires a trial and error solution or interpolation in interest tables) A contractor purchased equipment for $60,000 which provided income of $16,000 per year for 10 years. The annual rate of return of the investment was closest to: (a) 15% (b) 18% (c) 20% (d) 23% Can use either the P/A or A/P factor. Using A/P: Solution: 60,000(A/P,i%,10) = 16,000 (A/P,i%,10) = 0.26667 From A/P column at n = 10 in the interest tables, i is between 22% and 24% Answer is (d) Procedure: Set up equation with all symbols involved and solve for i 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-20 Unknown Recovery Period n Unknown recovery period problems involve solving for n, given i and 2 other values (P, F, or A) (Like interest rate problems, they usually require a trial & error solution or interpolation in interest tables) Procedure: Set up equation with all symbols involved and solve for n A contractor purchased equipment for $60,000 that provided income of $8,000 per year. At an interest rate of 10% per year, the length of time required to recover the investment was closest to: (a) 10 years (b) 12 years (c) 15 years (d) 18 years Can use either the P/A or A/P factor. Using A/P: Solution: 60,000(A/P,10%,n) = 8,000 (A/P,10%,n) = 0.13333 From A/P column in i = 10% interest tables, n is between 14 and 15 years Answer is (c) What is n if g =3%? 11 Summary of Important Points 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved 2-21 In P/A and A/P factors, P is one period ahead of first A In F/A and A/F factors, F is in same period as last A To find untabulated factor values, best way is to use formula or spreadsheet For arithmetic gradients, gradient G starts between periods 1 and 2 Arithmetic gradients have 2 parts, base amount (year 1) and gradient amount For geometric gradients, gradient g starts been periods 1 and 2 In geometric gradient formula, A 1 is amount in period 1 To find unknown i or n, set up equation involving all terms and solve for i or n