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    NY CD 1 September Key Findings Memo

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    Dan Friedman
    Public Opinion Strategies NY-1 Poll Memo showing Rep. Tim Bishop and State Sen. Lee Zeldin tied.

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    NY CD 1 September Key Findings Memo

    Uploaded by

    Dan Friedman
    2K views2 pages
    Public Opinion Strategies NY-1 Poll Memo showing Rep. Tim Bishop and State Sen. Lee Zeldin tied.

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    © © All Rights Reserved

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    PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

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    Public Opinion Strategies NY-1 Poll Memo showing Rep. Tim Bishop and State Sen. Lee Zeldin tied.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    2K views2 pages

    NY CD 1 September Key Findings Memo

    Uploaded by

    Dan Friedman
    Public Opinion Strategies NY-1 Poll Memo showing Rep. Tim Bishop and State Sen. Lee Zeldin tied.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    You are on page 1of 2

    M E M O R A N D U M

    TO: INTERESTED PARTIES


    FROM: GLEN BOLGER/J IM HOBART
    RE: NEW YORK CD SURVEY KEY FINDINGS
    DATE: SEPTEMBER 29, 2014
    Methodology
    Public Opinion Strategies conducted a telephone survey of 400 likely voters in New Yorks 1
    st

    Congressional district on behalf of American Action Network. Voters were reached on both
    landlines and cell phones. The survey was conducted September 23-25, 2014 and has a margin
    of error of +4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.
    Key Findings
    1. Voters are pessimistic about the direction of the country and strongly disapprove of the
    President.
    J ust 24% of voters say things in the country are headed in the right direction, while 69%
    say they are off on the wrong track. President Obamas approval rating in the district is
    also dismal, with 37% of voters saying they approve of the job he is doing, compared to
    62% who disapprove.
    2. Lee Zeldin has the image advantage over Tim Bishop.
    Currently, Lee Zeldins image sits at a solid 81% name ID/36% favorable/21%
    unfavorable. Tim Bishops image is more mixed at 96% name ID/44% favorable/41%
    unfavorable.
    Importantly, Zeldin also has the edge with Independents, with an image of 39%
    favorable/23% unfavorable. Bishops image with this key group is polarized
    (43% favorable/47% unfavorable).
    NY CD 1 Memo
    Page two of two
    3. The Congressional ballot is a dead heat.
    J ust more than five weeks from Election Day, Zeldin and Bishop are knotted at 46%.
    Seven percent (7%) of voters are undecided. Zeldin does have a slight intensity
    advantage (36% definitely Zeldin/32% definitely Bishop) and also leads by six points
    with Independents (49% Zeldin/43% Bishop).
    4. Undecided voters strongly disapprove of the President.
    Among undecided voters, President Obamas approval rating is 35% approve/65%
    disapprove. Given Bishops consistent support of the President, it is going to be difficult
    for him to move a significant chunk of these voters in his direction.
    4. The negative ads being run against Tim Bishop are having an impact.
    When asked if what they have seen, read, or heard recently about Tim Bishop had given
    them a more favorable or less favorable impression of him, 25% of voters said more
    favorable, while 44% said less favorable. Voters clearly do not like that Bishop is
    corrupt, and proud of it.
    The Bottom Line
    This is one of the tightest Congressional races in the country, but the political winds are blowing
    in Lee Zeldins direction. Zeldin leads with Independents, has the advantage on intensity, and
    undecided voters strongly disapprove of the President. As a result, Tim Bishops time in
    Congress should soon be over.

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