Market - Outlook - 09 - 09 - 2015 1

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Market Outlook

September 9, 2015

Dealers Diary

Domestic Indices

Indian markets are expected to open positive tracking the SGX Nifty and global
markets.
Stocks in US moved sharply higher over the course of the trading day. buying
interest was generated in reaction to strength among Chinese stocks, which surged
higher in the latter part of the trading day.
The European markets ended Tuesday's session in the green with Eurozone economy
growing more than initially estimated in the second quarter. GDP advanced 0.4
percent sequentially after rising 0.5 percent a quarter ago. Also German exports
rose 2.4 percent month-on-month in July, which was the fastest growth since
December 2014.

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

BSE Sensex

1.7

424

25,318

Nifty

1.7

129

7,688

MID CAP

1.0

103

10,236

SMALL CAP

0.6

63

10,482

BSE HC

0.8

127

16,823

BSE PSU

1.8

114

6,529

BANKEX

3.6

652

18,702

AUTO

1.7

290

17,077

METAL

2.3

162

7,114

OIL & GAS

1.0

88

8,542

BSE IT

0.4

46

10,910

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

2.4

390

16,493

NASDAQ

2.7

128

4,812

FTSE

1.2

72

6,146

(2.4)

(433)

17,427

Hang Sang

3.3

676

21,259

Straits Times

1.2

33

2,885

Shanghai Com

2.9

90

3,170

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

The Indian markets rebounded strongly from initial losses on Tuesday, buoyed by
late recovery in Asia and a strong opening in European markets. Sentiment was
further bolstered after Moody's Investors Service said India's current account deficit is
likely to remain low supported by declining oil prices and the direction of economic
recovery would remain positive despite a slow recovery in industrial output

Global Indices

News & Result Analysis

Infosys Cleared of Visa Violation Charges in US


JK Tyres to enter two wheeler segment via trading route

Dow Jones

Nikkei

Refer detailed news analysis on the following page

Markets Today

Indian ADR

The trend deciding level for the day is 25,187 / 7,650 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally up
to 25,541 25,765 / 7,760 7,831 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
25,187 / 7,650 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct towards
24,964 24,610 / 7,578 7,468 levels.

INFY

3.1

0.5

$17.4

WIT

1.9

0.2

$11.8

IBN

2.1

0.2

$8.4

HDB

1.1

0.6

$56.9

Indices

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

Advances / Declines

R2

SENSEX

24,610

24,964

25,187

25,541

25,765

Advances

NIFTY

7,468

7,578

7,650

7,760

7,831

Declines
Unchanged

BSE

NSE

1,464

295

1,211

1,234

115

57

Net Inflows (September 07, 2015)


Volumes (` cr)

` cr

Purch

Sales

Net

MTD

YTD

FII

2,350

3,153

(803)

(4,462)

119,299

BSE

2,668

742

370

372

2,562

73,210

NSE

16,034

MFs

FII Derivatives (September 08, 2015)


` cr

Purch

Sales

Net

Open Interest

Index Futures

2,110

1,308

802

21,923

Stock Futures

2,273

2,552

(279)

44,931

Gainers / Losers
Gainer
Company

Price (`)

chg (%)

74

9.6

AMTEKAUTO

1,878

8.9

SUNASIAN

JSWENERGY
UNITECH

Loser

SAIL
CROMPGREAV
NCC

www.angelbroking.com

Company

52

8.4

PAGEIND

166

7.2

PMCFIN

59

7.1

RCOM

Price (`)

chg (%)

27

(6.0)

164

(5.0)

12,950

(4.8)

(4.7)

56

(4.3)

Market Outlook
September 9, 2015

Infosys Cleared of Visa Violation Charges in US


The US government has found no visa violations by IT major Infosys after a probe
that lasted nearly three months. The US had initiated investigation against Infosys
and its rival Tata Consultancy Services for possible violations of H1-B visa rules in
June 2015. The investigation came on the back of a complaint by two US
Senators, who alleged that the two companies used a US visa programme to
"replace hundreds of American workers" at a power company. Indian outsourcers
are among the biggest recipients H-1B visas, which are intended for highly skilled
workers. We maintain our buy with a price target of `1306 and remain positive on
the IT space.

JK Tyres to enter two wheeler segment via trading route


JK Tyre & Industries (JKT), the country's third-largest tyre maker, plans to enter the
two wheeler segment through the trading route. JK will not invest in manufacturing
in house but plans to outsource and sell two-wheeler tyres. The company is
working on signing up with vendors and is exploring both local and international
players. It plans to service both the aftermarket and OEM (original equipment
manufacturer) segment.
JK Tyres debt to equity ratio is amongst the highest in the tyre industry (currently
stands at about 2x) and any additional investment into manufacturing would have
increased the leverage further. By adopting the outsourcing model, JKT can tap the
two wheeler space without stretching the balance sheet. Entry into two wheeler
segment would provide additional opportunity for JKT.
JKT expects revenue to grow by about 10% in the short term and is looking to cater
to industrial customers and sell off-the-road category of tyres. We currently have
Buy rating on the stock.

Economic and Political News

PM asks industry to take risk, invest; India Inc wants rate cut
Govt considers safeguard duty on steel after import surge
Diamond industry fears more job losses as China slows

Corporate News

www.angelbroking.com

Britannia may set up a plant in Andhra Pradesh.


US Labor dept finds no violations in visa case: Infosys
JSW Energy concludes acquisition of Jaypee's `9,275-cr hydro assets in
Himachal

Market Outlook
September 9, 2015

Top Picks
Large Cap

Buy

CMP
(`)
725

Target
(`)
872

Upside
(%)
20.3

1,12,575

Buy

474

704

48.6

Financials

1,51,585

Buy

261

373

42.9

IT

2,43,315

Buy

1,059

1,306

23.3

8,262

Buy

372

505

35.6

21,044

Buy

417

570

36.7

65,656

Buy

126

170

35.5

IT

4,97,928

Buy

2,542

3,168

24.6

IT

51,668

Buy

537

646

20.3

Company

Sector

Aurobindo

Pharma

Axis Bank

Financials

ICICI Bank
Infosys
Inox Wind

Capital Goods

LIC HFL

Financials

Power Grid

Power

TCS
Tech Mahindra
Yes Bank

Financials

Sun Pharma

Pharma

Market Cap
(` Cr)
42,346

29,124
2,03,428

Rating

Buy

696

951

36.6

Accumulate

845

950

12.4

Source: Angel Research, Bloomberg

Mid Cap
Company

Sector

Bajaj Electricals

Others

Market Cap
(` Cr)
2,382

Garware Wall RopesOthers

598

JK Tyre

Auto Ancillary

Target
(`)
341

Upside
(%)
44.4

Buy

273

390

42.8

2,258

Buy

100

129

29.6

MBL Infrastructures Construction

999

Buy

241

360

49.4

Minda Industries

Auto Ancillary

783

Buy

494

652

32.1

MT Educare

Others

490

Buy

123

169

37.2

Radico Khaitan

Others

1,117

Buy

84

112

33.4

Surya Roshni

Others

503

Buy

115

183

59.3

Tree House

Others

1,632

Buy

386

449

16.4

Source: Angel Research, Bloomberg

www.angelbroking.com

Buy

CMP
(`)
236

Rating

Market Outlook
September 09, 2015
Global economic events release calendar
Date

Time

Country Event Description

Unit

Period

Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated

September 9, 2015

2:00PM

UK

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

Jul

1.50

1.40

September 10, 2015

6:00PM

US

Initial Jobless claims

Thousands

Sep 5

282.00

275.00

India

Imports YoY%

% Change

Aug

(10.28)

--

India

Exports YoY%

% Change

Aug

(10.30)

--

7:00AM

China

Consumer Price Index (YoY)

% Change

Aug

1.60

1.80

4:30PM

UK

BOE Announces rates

% Ratio

Sep 10

0.50

0.50

September 11, 2015

5:30PM

India

Industrial Production YoY

% Change

Jul

3.80

2.30

September 13, 2015

11:00AM

China

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

Aug

6.00

6.30

September 14, 2015

12:00PM

India

Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%

% Change

Aug

(4.05)

--

September 15, 2015

6:45PM

US

Industrial Production

Aug

0.56

(0.20)

2:00PM

UK

CPI (YoY)

% Change

Aug

0.10

--

2:00PM

UK

Jobless claims change

% Change

Aug

(4.90)

--

2:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone CPI (YoY)

Aug F

0.20

--

6:00PM

US

Consumer price index (mom)

% Change

Aug

0.10

(0.10)

6:00PM

US

Building permits

Thousands

Aug

1,130.00

1,130.00

6:00PM

US

Housing Starts

Thousands

Aug

1,206.00

1,150.00

September 16, 2015

September 17, 2015

11:30PM

US

FOMC rate decision

Sep 17

0.25

0.50

September 21, 2015

7:30PM

US

Existing home sales

Million

Aug

5.59

--

September 22, 2015

7:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence

Value

Sep A

(6.90)

--

September 23, 2015

1:00PM

Germany PMI Services

Value

Sep P

54.90

--

1:00PM

Germany PMI Manufacturing

Value

Sep P

53.30

--

September 24, 2015

7:30PM

US

New home sales

Thousands

Aug

507.00

--

September 25, 2015

6:00PM

US

GDP Qoq (Annualised)

% Change

2Q T

3.70

--

September 29, 2015

7:30PM

US

Consumer Confidence

S.A./ 1985=100

Sep

101.54

--

11:00AM

India

RBI Reverse Repo rate

Sep 29

6.25

--

11:00AM

India

RBI Repo rate

Sep 29

7.25

--

11:00AM

India

RBI Cash Reserve ratio

Sep 29

4.00

--

1:25PM

Germany Unemployment change (000's)

Thousands

Sep

(7.00)

--

2:00PM

UK

GDP (YoY)

% Change

2Q F

2.60

--

6:30AM

China

PMI Manufacturing

Value

Sep

49.70

--

2:00PM

UK

PMI Manufacturing

Value

Sep

51.50

--

6:00PM

US

Change in Nonfarm payrolls

Thousands

Sep

173.00

--

6:00PM

US

Unnemployment rate

Sep

5.10

--

September 30, 2015


October 1, 2015
October 2, 2015

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

Market Outlook
September 9, 2015

Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends

Exhibit 2: IIP trends


(%)

4.0

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

3.0

Source: CSO, Angel Research

0.5

(2.7)

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Exhibit 3: Monthly CPI inflation trends

Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI

(%)
8.0
7.0

Mfg. PMI

56.0

7.0

Services PMI

54.0

5.6

6.0
5.0

2.5

Jun-15

4.7

2.5

May-15

5.0

6.6

3.8

3.4

2.8

2.6

Apr-15

5.0

7.0

Mar-15

6.0

6.7

Feb-15

6.4

6.3

6.7

4.8
3.6

Jan-15

7.0

7.0

5.2

6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
(1.0)
(2.0)
(3.0)
(4.0)

Dec-14

8.0

7.5

Nov-14

7.5

Oct-14

8.4

Sep-14

9.0

Aug-14

(%)

5.2

4.6

5.4

5.3

4.3

4.9

5.0

5.4

3.3

4.0
3.0

52.0

3.8

50.0
48.0

2.0
1.0

46.0

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Aug-15

Jul-15

Jun-15

May-15

Apr-15

Mar-15

Feb-15

Jan-15

Dec-14

Oct-14

Nov-14

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

CRR

Jun-15

May-15

Apr-15

Mar-15

Feb-15

Reverse Repo rate

Jan-15

Nov-14

Sep-14

Jul-15

Jun-15

May-15

3.00

Apr-15

4.00

(30.0)

Mar-15

5.00

(20.0)

Feb-15

(10.0)

Jan-15

6.00

Dec-14

0.0

Nov-14

7.00

Oct-14

8.00

10.0

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

Repo rate

(%)
9.00

Dec-14

Imports yoy growth

20.0

Sep-14

Sep-14

Exhibit 6: Key policy rates

Oct-14

Exports yoy growth

Aug-14

Aug-14

Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion

Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends


(%)
30.0

44.0

Jul-14

Jul-15

Jun-15

May-15

Apr-15

Mar-15

Feb-15

Jan-15

Dec-14

Nov-14

Oct-14

Sep-14

Aug-14

Source: RBI, Angel Research

www.angelbroking.com
www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 9, 2015

Global watch
Exhibit 1: Latest quarterly GDP Growth (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
8.0

7.0
4.9

4.0

2.8

1.6

(6.0)

1.0

0.7

France

USA

UK

Thailand

Malaysia

Indonesia

(4.0)

South Africa

Russia

China

(4.6)

India

(2.6)

Brazil

(2.0)

2.7

1.2

2.0
-

2.6

Japan

4.7

Germany

5.3

6.0

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

Exhibit 2: 2015 GDP Growth projection by IMF (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
10.0
6.8

(6.0)

3.1
1.6

1.2

1.0

Japan

2.7

France

Thailand

Malaysia

(4.0)

Indonesia

(2.0)

South Africa

China

(3.8)

India

(1.0)

Russia

2.0

Brazil

2.0

3.7

Germany

4.0

4.8

USA

5.2

6.0

UK

7.5

8.0

Source: IMF, Angel Research

15.3

12.4

14.8

14.6

12.5

Malaysia

Thailand

UK

USA

Germany

14.0

13.5
Indonesi
a

Japan

16.3
South
Africa

15.0

12.8
China

France

16.7
India

5.5
Russia

Brazil

(x)
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
-

11.9

Exhibit 3: One year forward P-E ratio across select developing and developed countries

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

www.angelbroking.com
www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 9, 2015

Exhibit 4: Relative performance of indices across globe


Returns (%)
Country

Name of index

Closing price

1M

3M

1YR

46,762

(6.5)

(11.5)

(24.4)

Brazil

Bovespa

Russia

Micex

1,714

1.4

3.0

16.2

India

Nifty

7,688

(10.2)

(5.4)

(4.9)

China

Shanghai Composite

3,170

(12.5)

(37.6)

45.9

South Africa

Top 40

44,107

(6.0)

(4.0)

(4.9)

Mexico

Mexbol

43,084

(4.0)

(3.4)

(7.1)

Indonesia

LQ45

727

(9.5)

(16.5)

(17.5)

Malaysia

KLCI

1,587

(6.3)

(8.8)

(14.9)

Thailand

SET 50

898

(4.3)

(9.7)

(14.5)

USA

Dow Jones

16,493

(5.3)

(7.2)

(3.1)

UK

FTSE

6,146

(8.9)

(9.0)

(10.0)

Japan

Nikkei

17,427

(15.9)

(13.3)

13.0

Germany

DAX

10,271

(10.6)

(8.8)

5.3

France

CAC

4,598

(10.8)

(6.8)

3.5

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

www.angelbroking.com
www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 09, 2015

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )
FY16E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

Agri / Agri Chemical


Rallis

Neutral

206

4,015

2,075

2,394

14.4

14.4

9.5

11.0

21.7

18.8

4.3

3.7

21.1

21.3

2.0

1.7

United Phosphorus

Neutral

520

22,270

13,698

15,752

17.6

17.6

32.1

38.5

16.2

13.5

3.2

2.6

21.4

21.3

1.7

1.4

Auto & Auto Ancillary


Ashok Leyland

Buy

Bajaj Auto

Accumulate

82

97

23,336

18,186

21,529

10.8

11.2

3.3

4.5

24.9

18.2

4.2

3.9

17.3

21.6

1.2

1.0

2,210

2,438

63,944

23,544

27,245

19.8

19.8

127.0

143.4

17.4

15.4

5.3

4.5

30.3

29.4

2.3

1.9

Eicher Motors
Hero Motocorp

Buy

17,234

22,859

46,778

11,681

15,550

15.3

16.9

358.5

564.3

48.1

30.5

14.4

10.7

29.8

34.9

3.9

2.9

Buy

2,317

2,672

46,274

28,500

32,764

14.1

14.3

146.9

167.0

15.8

13.9

6.0

5.1

37.8

36.5

1.5

1.2

440

691

1,254

1,394

11.6

11.8

35.9

41.7

12.3

10.6

1.7

1.5

13.5

13.8

0.7

0.6

Mahindra and Mahindra Buy

1,146

1,383

71,183

38,337

43,069

13.0

13.4

52.9

63.5

21.7

18.1

3.2

2.9

15.0

15.9

1.5

1.3

Maruti

Accumulate

4,142

4,735

125,116

58,102

68,587

16.7

16.9

182.0

225.5

22.8

18.4

4.5

3.9

19.9

21.0

1.9

1.6

Minda Industries

Buy

494

652

783

2,567

2,965

7.3

8.0

38.8

54.3

12.7

9.1

1.8

1.5

14.4

16.8

0.4

0.3

Rane Brake Lining

Buy

283

366

224

454

511

11.1

11.4

23.8

28.1

11.9

10.1

1.7

1.5

14.2

15.3

0.6

0.6

Setco Automotive

Neutral

221

592

594

741

12.7

13.7

8.4

15.8

26.4

14.0

2.7

2.4

10.4

16.9

1.4

1.2

Tata Motors

Buy

332

391

95,769 264,038 297,882

13.8

13.9

34.5

38.9

9.6

8.5

1.6

1.4

17.6

16.8

0.5

0.5

TVS Motor

Neutral

220

10,473

11,702

13,713

6.8

7.7

10.1

14.5

21.8

15.2

5.3

4.3

24.5

28.3

0.9

0.7

Amara Raja Batteries

Accumulate

899

979

15,359

5,101

6,224

17.8

17.6

31.1

39.2

28.9

22.9

7.2

5.7

24.8

24.8

3.0

2.4

Exide Industries

Accumulate

148

159

12,593

7,363

8,247

13.7

14.5

6.6

7.7

22.5

19.2

2.8

2.6

12.6

13.3

1.4

1.3

Apollo Tyres

Neutral

177

9,012

12,576

12,978

16.8

16.1

22.3

19.9

7.9

8.9

1.4

1.2

17.2

13.4

0.8

0.8

Ceat

Accumulate

1,106

1,166

4,473

6,041

6,597

14.3

14.2

101.5

116.6

10.9

9.5

2.2

1.8

20.0

19.1

0.9

0.8

JK Tyres

Buy

100

129

2,258

7,446

7,669

15.2

14.0

19.6

18.4

5.1

5.4

1.3

1.1

25.2

19.5

0.7

0.6

Swaraj Engines

Accumulate

849

912

1,054

593

677

14.5

14.8

51.2

60.8

16.6

14.0

3.9

3.5

23.3

24.8

1.6

1.4

Subros

Neutral

78

466

1,268

1,488

11.6

11.9

3.7

6.6

21.0

11.8

1.4

1.3

6.8

11.4

0.7

0.6

Indag Rubber

Neutral

168

442

283

329

17.0

17.2

13.0

15.4

13.0

10.9

2.8

2.4

21.8

21.6

1.3

1.0

ACE

Neutral

35

350

660

839

4.7

8.2

1.0

3.9

35.4

9.1

1.1

1.0

3.2

11.3

0.7

0.5

BEML

Neutral

1,187

4,942

3,277

4,006

6.0

8.9

29.2

64.3

40.6

18.5

2.3

2.1

5.7

11.7

1.6

1.3

BGR Energy

Neutral

102

735

3,615

3,181

9.5

9.4

16.7

12.4

6.1

8.2

0.6

0.6

10.0

7.0

0.6

0.8

BHEL

Neutral

212

51,938

33,722

35,272

10.8

11.7

10.5

14.2

20.2

14.9

1.5

1.4

7.0

9.0

1.6

1.5

Blue Star

Accumulate

337

387

3,030

3,649

4,209

5.0

5.9

9.2

14.7

36.8

22.9

6.7

6.3

9.1

17.5

0.9

0.8

Crompton Greaves

Buy

166

204

10,429

13,484

14,687

4.9

6.2

4.5

7.1

37.0

23.4

2.6

2.4

7.2

10.8

0.9

0.8

Inox Wind

Buy

372

505

8,262

4,980

5,943

17.0

17.5

26.6

31.6

14.0

11.8

4.2

3.1

35.0

30.0

1.8

1.5

L G Balakrishnan & Bros Neutral

Capital Goods

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 09, 2015

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

Capital Goods
KEC International

Neutral

131

3,368

8,791

9,716

6.1

6.8

5.4

8.2

24.3

16.0

2.4

2.2

10.0

14.0

0.6

0.6

Thermax

Neutral

904

10,766

6,413

7,525

7.4

8.5

30.5

39.3

29.6

23.0

4.6

4.0

15.0

17.0

1.7

1.4

Cement
ACC

Accumulate

1,347

1,548

25,294

11,856

14,092

14.5

17.8

47.6

76.1

28.3

17.7

2.9

2.7

10.6

15.7

2.0

1.6

Ambuja Cements

Accumulate

209

233

32,365

10,569

12,022

20.7

22.2

8.7

10.7

24.0

19.5

3.0

2.9

13.0

15.2

2.7

2.3

India Cements

Buy

70

112

2,144

4,716

5,133

15.9

16.9

3.7

7.5

18.9

9.3

0.7

0.7

3.8

7.3

0.8

0.6

JK Cement

Buy

601

767

4,203

4,056

4,748

14.5

17.0

22.6

41.1

26.6

14.6

2.4

2.1

9.3

15.3

1.5

1.2

J K Lakshmi Cement

Buy

359

430

4,224

2,947

3,616

16.7

19.9

11.5

27.2

31.2

13.2

3.0

2.6

9.8

20.8

1.8

1.5

Mangalam Cements

Neutral

206

549

1,053

1,347

10.5

13.3

8.4

26.0

24.5

7.9

1.0

1.0

4.3

12.5

0.9

0.7

Orient Cement

Accumulate

165

183

3,376

1,854

2,524

21.2

22.2

7.7

11.1

21.4

14.9

3.1

2.7

13.3

15.7

2.6

1.8

Ramco Cements

Accumulate

Shree Cement^

Neutral

UltraTech Cement

Accumulate

319

350

7,605

4,036

4,545

20.8

21.3

15.1

18.8

21.2

17.0

2.6

2.3

12.9

14.3

2.4

2.1

10,426

36,322

7,150

8,742

26.7

28.6

228.0

345.5

45.7

30.2

6.7

5.7

15.7

20.3

4.8

3.9

2,885

3,282

79,161

27,562

31,548

20.4

22.3

111.9

143.3

25.8

20.1

3.7

3.2

15.2

16.8

2.9

2.5

Construction
ITNL

Neutral

88

2,175

7,360

8,825

34.0

35.9

1.0

5.0

88.2

17.6

0.4

0.4

0.3

1.4

3.7

3.6

KNR Constructions

Neutral

514

1,445

915

1,479

14.3

13.9

20.3

37.2

25.3

13.8

2.3

2.0

9.6

15.6

1.7

1.1

Larsen & Toubro

Buy

1,565

2,013

145,611

68,920

82,446

10.9

11.5

57.0

73.0

27.5

21.4

2.5

2.3

13.6

15.5

2.3

1.9

Gujarat Pipavav Port

Neutral

182

8,777

721

784

53.1

53.6

8.2

9.1

22.1

20.0

3.6

2.9

20.0

18.3

11.7

10.4

MBL Infrastructures

Buy

241

360

999

2,313

2,797

12.2

14.6

19.0

20.0

12.7

12.0

1.3

1.2

11.3

10.6

1.1

1.0

Nagarjuna Const.

Neutral

59

3,286

7,892

8,842

8.3

9.1

2.4

5.3

24.6

11.2

1.0

0.9

4.2

8.6

0.7

0.5

PNC Infratech

Neutral

470

2,412

1,798

2,132

13.2

13.5

22.0

30.0

21.4

15.7

1.9

1.7

11.5

11.4

1.4

1.2

Simplex Infra

Neutral

260

1,288

6,241

7,008

10.4

10.7

20.0

36.0

13.0

7.2

1.1

1.0

6.8

11.1

0.7

0.6

Financials
Allahabad Bank

Neutral

76

4,351

8,438

9,521

2.8

2.8

21.9

27.0

3.5

2.8

0.4

0.3

10.2

11.5

Axis Bank

Buy

474

701

112,575

26,941

32,298

3.5

3.6

37.4

46.4

12.7

10.2

2.6

2.2

18.7

20.0

Bank of Baroda

Neutral

178

39,254

19,027

21,737

1.9

2.0

16.9

24.5

10.5

7.2

1.0

0.9

9.1

12.1

Bank of India

Neutral

133

8,873

16,438

18,706

1.9

2.0

19.2

40.9

7.0

3.3

0.4

0.3

4.5

9.1

Canara Bank

Neutral

260

13,416

15,491

17,269

2.0

2.0

61.6

70.9

4.2

3.7

0.5

0.4

10.5

11.1

Dena Bank

Neutral

39

2,191

3,498

3,977

2.1

2.3

7.8

10.7

5.0

3.7

0.4

0.3

6.5

8.4

Federal Bank

Neutral

58

9,966

3,527

4,135

3.0

3.1

5.2

6.7

11.2

8.7

1.2

1.1

10.8

12.7

HDFC

Neutral

1,172

184,681

10,883

12,799

3.5

3.4

43.0

50.6

27.3

23.2

5.4

4.9

25.9

26.7

HDFC Bank

Buy

1,004

1,255

252,612

38,059

46,851

4.4

4.5

50.0

62.7

20.1

16.0

3.5

3.0

18.8

20.2

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 09, 2015

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

Financials
ICICI Bank

Buy

261

370

151,585

35,810

41,871

3.4

3.5

22.0

26.2

11.9

10.0

2.1

1.7

15.0

15.6

IDBI Bank

Neutral

56

8,902

9,860

10,978

1.8

1.9

9.3

15.6

6.0

3.6

0.4

0.4

6.4

10.1

Indian Bank

Neutral

126

6,071

6,267

7,171

2.4

2.5

25.4

32.1

5.0

3.9

0.4

0.4

8.0

9.3

LIC Housing Finance

Buy

417

570

21,044

2,934

3,511

2.3

2.3

30.9

36.8

13.5

11.3

2.2

1.9

16.8

17.5

Oriental Bank

Neutral

127

3,805

7,730

8,595

2.4

2.5

38.8

47.4

3.3

2.7

0.3

0.3

8.6

9.8

Punjab Natl.Bank

Neutral

133

24,638

23,446

26,624

2.8

2.9

17.8

27.5

7.5

4.8

0.7

0.6

8.5

12.1

South Ind.Bank

Neutral

21

2,815

1,930

2,215

2.4

2.4

2.6

3.6

8.0

5.8

0.8

0.7

9.9

12.5

St Bk of India

Buy

228

307

172,737

83,847

96,307

2.8

2.8

20.1

25.1

11.4

9.1

1.2

1.1

11.5

13.1

Union Bank

Neutral

160

10,150

12,755

14,439

2.3

2.4

31.5

39.9

5.1

4.0

0.6

0.5

9.9

11.6

Vijaya Bank

Neutral

35

3,007

3,594

3,969

1.8

1.9

5.8

7.1

6.0

4.9

0.5

0.5

8.2

9.3

Yes Bank

Buy

696

953

29,124

7,204

9,078

3.2

3.2

57.8

69.5

12.0

10.0

2.1

1.8

19.6

22.6

FMCG
Asian Paints

Neutral

793

76,036

16,553

19,160

16.0

16.2

17.7

21.5

44.9

36.9

11.9

10.7

29.4

31.2

4.4

3.8

Britannia

Neutral

2,842

34,094

8,065

9,395

9.6

10.2

47.2

65.5

60.2

43.4

20.0

18.9

38.3

41.2

4.1

3.5

Colgate

Accumulate

1,810

2,022

24,619

4,836

5,490

19.5

19.7

48.5

53.2

37.3

34.0

27.4

23.8

99.8

97.5

5.0

4.4

Dabur India

Neutral

274

48,163

9,370

10,265

17.1

17.2

7.3

8.1

37.4

33.9

11.3

9.2

33.7

30.6

5.0

4.6

GlaxoSmith Con*

Neutral

5,920

24,895

4,919

5,742

17.2

17.4

168.3

191.2

35.2

31.0

10.0

8.5

28.8

28.9

4.6

3.9

Godrej Consumer

Neutral

1,166

39,715

10,168

12,886

16.1

16.1

32.1

38.4

36.3

30.4

7.4

6.8

19.7

21.0

4.0

3.1

HUL

Neutral

802

173,638

34,940

38,957

17.5

17.7

20.8

24.7

38.6

32.5

42.9

34.3

110.5

114.2

4.8

4.3

ITC

Buy

313

409

251,133

41,068

45,068

37.8

37.4

13.9

15.9

22.5

19.7

7.5

6.6

34.1

33.8

5.7

5.2

Marico

Neutral

386

24,878

6,551

7,766

15.7

16.0

10.4

12.5

37.2

30.9

10.8

9.0

33.2

32.4

3.7

3.1

Nestle*

Accumulate

5,904

6,646

56,924

11,291

12,847

22.2

22.3

158.9

184.6

37.2

32.0

19.4

17.5

55.0

57.3

4.9

4.3

Tata Global

Buy

121

152

7,627

8,635

9,072

9.8

9.9

6.5

7.6

18.6

15.9

1.9

1.8

6.8

7.4

0.8

0.8

HCL Tech^

Buy

939

1,132

132,020

42,038

47,503

23.5

23.5

56.4

62.9

16.7

14.9

3.9

3.0

23.2

19.8

2.7

2.2

Infosys

Buy

1,059

1,306

243,315

60,250

66,999

28.0

28.0

58.3

63.7

18.2

16.6

3.8

3.3

20.9

19.7

3.4

2.9

TCS

Buy

2,542

3,168

497,928 108,420 123,559

28.8

28.7

127.2

143.9

20.0

17.7

8.0

7.4

39.9

41.8

4.2

3.6

Tech Mahindra

Buy

537

646

51,668

25,566

28,890

16.0

17.0

26.3

31.9

20.4

16.8

3.7

3.1

17.9

18.6

1.8

1.5

Wipro

Buy

562

719

138,870

52,414

58,704

23.7

23.8

38.4

42.3

14.6

13.3

2.9

2.6

19.5

18.0

2.2

1.8

D B Corp

Accumulate

313

356

5,745

2,241

2,495

27.8

27.9

21.8

25.6

14.4

12.2

3.8

3.3

26.7

28.5

2.5

2.2

HT Media

Neutral

74

1,729

2,495

2,603

11.2

11.2

7.3

8.6

10.2

8.6

0.8

0.7

7.4

8.1

0.2

0.2

IT

Media

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 09, 2015

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

Media
Jagran Prakashan

Buy

130

156

4,251

1,939

2,122

26.0

26.0

8.3

9.2

15.7

14.1

2.7

2.4

17.5

17.1

2.2

2.0

Sun TV Network
Hindustan Media
Ventures
Metals & Mining

Neutral

376

14,835

2,779

3,196

70.2

70.5

22.8

27.3

16.5

13.8

4.1

3.7

26.7

28.3

5.1

4.4

Buy

208

292

1,527

920

1,031

20.0

20.0

19.2

20.9

10.8

10.0

1.8

1.5

16.4

15.3

1.2

1.0

Coal India

Buy

338

400

213,304

72,015

78,415

21.2

21.5

21.7

25.3

15.5

13.4

5.3

5.2

33.1

39.1

2.2

2.0

Hind. Zinc

Neutral

131

55,204

15,258

16,495

44.2

45.6

17.6

19.2

7.4

6.8

1.2

1.0

15.9

15.3

1.3

0.9

Hindalco

Neutral

73

15,033 104,356 111,186

8.7

9.5

6.7

11.1

10.8

6.6

0.4

0.4

3.5

5.9

0.7

0.6

JSW Steel

Neutral

944

22,809

48,125

53,595

18.8

21.0

46.9

97.5

20.1

9.7

1.0

0.9

4.4

9.5

1.3

1.1

NMDC

Neutral

96

37,863

8,237

10,893

46.6

44.5

10.0

11.7

9.6

8.2

1.1

0.9

12.5

13.0

4.4

3.3

SAIL

Neutral

52

21,394

45,915

53,954

7.2

10.5

1.5

4.4

34.4

11.8

0.5

0.5

2.3

4.1

1.1

1.0

Vedanta

Neutral

94

27,720

71,445

81,910

26.2

26.3

12.9

19.2

7.3

4.9

0.5

0.5

7.2

8.9

0.8

0.6

Tata Steel

Neutral

229

22,221 136,805 149,228

11.3

11.9

26.4

36.8

8.7

6.2

0.7

0.6

6.0

8.0

0.7

0.6

Cairn India

Neutral

145

27,092

11,323

12,490

49.4

51.0

20.7

20.7

7.0

7.0

0.5

0.4

6.4

6.1

1.5

0.8

GAIL

Neutral

295

37,426

64,856

70,933

9.1

9.6

24.0

28.9

12.3

10.2

1.1

1.0

8.8

9.6

0.8

0.7

ONGC

Neutral

230

196,691 154,564 167,321

36.8

37.4

28.6

32.5

8.0

7.1

1.0

0.9

12.7

13.5

1.5

1.4

Petronet LNG

Buy

178

210

13,376

40,785

3.8

4.2

9.2

11.0

19.5

16.3

2.2

2.0

11.6

12.7

0.4

0.4

Indian Oil Corp

Buy

392

455

95,261 359,607 402,760

5.9

6.1

42.5

48.7

9.2

8.1

1.2

1.1

14.1

14.4

0.4

0.3

Reliance Industries

Accumulate

849

930

274,902 313,085 362,904

13.1

13.8

78.4

92.9

10.8

9.1

1.1

1.0

10.8

11.6

1.3

1.2

Alembic Pharma

Neutral

673

12,683

2,601

3,115

21.2

20.2

20.8

23.9

32.4

28.2

10.4

7.8

37.2

31.8

4.9

4.0

Aurobindo Pharma

Buy

725

872

42,346

14,923

17,162

23.0

23.0

38.2

43.6

19.0

16.6

5.8

4.4

36.0

30.2

3.2

2.7

Aventis*

Neutral

3,897

8,976

2,156

2,455

15.1

16.8

109.7

133.9

35.5

29.1

4.9

4.0

18.4

22.5

3.9

3.2

Cadila Healthcare

Neutral

1,784

36,535

10,224

11,840

20.0

21.0

71.0

85.6

25.1

20.9

6.7

5.3

30.1

28.5

3.6

3.1

Cipla

Neutral

649

52,158

14,359

16,884

21.3

19.7

28.4

30.5

22.9

21.3

4.1

3.4

19.3

17.5

3.6

3.0

Dr Reddy's

Neutral

3,979

67,832

17,903

20,842

22.7

22.8

160.5

189.5

24.8

21.0

5.0

4.2

22.2

21.7

3.7

3.2

Dishman Pharma

Buy

248

290

2,000

1,716

1,888

20.2

20.2

16.3

21.6

15.2

11.5

1.4

1.3

9.7

11.7

1.3

1.1

GSK Pharma*

Neutral

3,313

28,066

2,870

3,158

20.0

22.1

59.5

68.3

55.7

48.5

16.4

16.9

28.5

34.3

9.3

8.5

Indoco Remedies

Neutral

335

3,084

1,088

1,262

18.2

18.2

13.1

15.5

25.6

21.6

5.0

4.2

21.2

21.1

2.9

2.5

Ipca labs

Accumulate

Lupin

Neutral

Sun Pharma

Accumulate

Oil & Gas

39,007

Pharmaceuticals

www.angelbroking.com

738

800

9,305

3,507

4,078

17.6

18.6

25.8

32.0

28.6

23.1

3.7

3.2

13.8

14.9

2.9

2.5

1,821

81,971

14,864

17,244

26.9

26.9

62.1

71.1

29.3

25.6

7.1

5.6

27.4

24.6

5.2

4.4

845

950

203,428

28,163

32,610

25.8

30.7

17.4

26.9

48.6

31.4

4.6

4.0

13.0

16.6

6.7

5.6

Market Outlook
September 09, 2015

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

EV/Sales(x)

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

Power
Tata Power

Neutral

59

15,863

35,923

37,402

22.6

22.8

4.1

5.2

14.5

11.4

1.1

1.0

7.5

9.3

1.4

1.3

NTPC

Buy

115

157

94,452

87,064

98,846

23.5

23.5

11.7

13.2

9.8

8.7

1.1

1.0

11.4

12.1

2.1

1.9

Power Grid

Buy

126

170

65,656

20,702

23,361

86.7

86.4

12.1

13.2

10.4

9.5

1.5

1.4

15.6

15.1

8.1

7.5

Bharti Airtel

Neutral

347

138,610 101,748 109,191

32.1

31.7

12.0

12.5

28.9

27.7

2.0

1.9

6.9

6.7

2.0

1.8

Idea Cellular

Neutral

146

52,587

34,282

36,941

32.0

31.5

5.9

6.2

24.8

23.6

2.3

2.1

9.9

9.3

2.1

2.0

Abbott India

Neutral

5,247

11,150

2,715

3,153

14.5

14.1

134.3

152.2

39.1

34.5

9.8

8.0

27.4

25.6

3.8

3.2

Bajaj Electricals

Buy

236

341

2,382

4,719

5,287

5.2

5.8

8.6

12.7

27.6

18.7

3.2

2.8

11.4

14.8

0.5

0.5

Finolex Cables

Neutral

235

3,596

2,728

3,036

10.8

11.0

14.4

16.8

16.3

14.0

2.5

2.2

15.2

15.3

1.1

0.9

Goodyear India*

Buy

511

655

1,179

1,953

1,766

12.4

12.0

67.4

59.6

7.6

8.6

1.9

1.6

27.7

20.2

0.4

0.4

Hitachi

Neutral

1,299

3,533

1,806

2,112

9.0

9.2

28.6

29.1

45.4

44.7

11.3

9.1

28.1

22.6

2.0

1.7

Jyothy Laboratories

Neutral

304

5,499

1,620

1,847

11.5

11.5

7.3

8.5

41.7

35.9

5.4

5.0

13.3

14.4

3.3

2.8

MRF

Accumulate

39,443

43,575

16,728

20,727

14,841

19.3

18.6 4,905.8 3,351.9

8.0

11.8

2.6

2.1

37.6

19.6

0.8

1.0

Page Industries

Neutral

13,103

14,615

1,929

2,450

19.8

20.1

229.9

299.0

57.0

43.8

25.2

17.5

52.1

47.1

7.6

6.0

Relaxo Footwears

Neutral

477

5,721

1,767

2,152

12.3

12.5

19.3

25.1

24.8

19.0

6.1

4.7

27.7

27.8

3.3

2.7

Siyaram Silk Mills

Buy

935

1,221

876

1,653

1,873

11.7

12.2

99.3

122.1

9.4

7.7

1.7

1.4

19.5

20.2

0.7

0.6

Styrolution ABS India*

Neutral

726

1,276

1,271

1,440

8.6

9.2

32.0

41.1

22.7

17.7

2.3

2.1

10.7

12.4

1.0

0.8

Tree House

Buy

386

449

1,632

259

324

56.8

56.8

17.0

21.7

22.7

17.8

2.3

2.1

10.1

11.5

6.2

5.1

TVS Srichakra

Buy

2,385

3,210

1,826

2,127

2,388

15.2

14.9

237.7

267.5

10.0

8.9

4.3

3.0

51.7

39.8

0.9

0.8

HSIL
Buy
Kirloskar Engines India
Accumulate
Ltd
M M Forgings
Buy

247

434

1,782

2,085

2,436

18.5

18.6

21.7

28.9

11.4

8.5

1.1

1.0

10.0

12.1

1.0

0.8

273

297

3,947

2,634

3,252

10.1

12.0

10.9

17.4

25.0

15.7

2.8

2.5

11.4

16.8

1.1

0.9

563

797

679

563

671

22.1

22.9

51.0

66.5

11.0

8.5

2.3

1.8

23.1

24.1

1.4

1.1

Banco Products (India)

Neutral

115

823

1,208

1,353

11.0

12.3

10.8

14.5

10.7

8.0

1.2

1.1

11.9

14.5

0.6

0.6

Competent Automobiles Neutral

138

85

1,007

1,114

3.1

3.1

23.7

28.2

5.8

4.9

0.8

0.7

13.9

14.6

0.1

0.1

Nilkamal

Buy

870

1,005

1,298

1,948

2,147

10.6

10.3

60.0

67.0

14.5

13.0

2.3

2.0

16.8

16.1

0.7

0.6

Visaka Industries
Buy
Transport Corporation of
Buy
India
Elecon Engineering
Buy

128

166

203

1,158

1,272

8.6

9.5

23.7

32.7

5.4

3.9

0.5

0.5

10.1

12.5

0.3

0.3

224

293

1,703

2,830

3,350

8.8

9.0

14.4

18.3

15.6

12.2

2.4

2.1

15.4

17.1

0.7

0.6

65

87

708

1,452

1,596

14.0

14.7

4.4

6.2

14.7

10.4

1.2

1.1

8.6

11.2

0.8

0.7

Surya Roshni

Buy

115

183

503

2,992

3,223

8.3

8.5

14.7

18.3

7.8

6.3

0.7

0.7

9.8

11.0

0.5

0.4

MT Educare

Buy

123

169

490

286

366

18.3

17.7

7.7

9.4

15.9

13.1

3.4

2.9

20.2

21.1

1.6

1.2

Telecom

zOthers

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Market Outlook
September 09, 2015

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

FY16E

EV/Sales(x)

FY17E

FY16E

FY17E

zOthers
Radico Khaitan

Buy

84

112

1,117

1,565

1,687

11.9

12.4

5.4

6.6

15.5

12.7

1.2

1.2

8.0

9.0

1.2

1.2

Garware Wall Ropes

Buy

273

390

598

875

983

10.4

10.6

23.1

27.8

11.8

9.8

1.7

1.5

14.1

14.8

0.7

0.6

Wonderla Holidays

Buy

270

322

1,528

206

308

44.0

43.6

9.0

12.9

30.0

21.0

4.1

3.7

13.7

17.8

7.3

4.9

Linc Pen & Plastics

Buy

150

185

222

340

371

8.3

8.9

10.8

13.2

13.9

11.4

2.2

1.9

16.0

17.1

0.7

0.6

Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on September 08, 2015

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 09, 2015

Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800

E-mail: research@angelbroking.com

Website: www.angelbroking.com

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