Methodology of Calculating CPI in Bangladesh PDF
Methodology of Calculating CPI in Bangladesh PDF
Methodology of Calculating CPI in Bangladesh PDF
Coverage and source of data: The price data are collected from the selected
markets and outlets by the trained field staff of Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics.
1
(i)
Market: For price data collection 140 markets has been selected all over the
country. The selected number of urban markets are76 and the number of
rural markets are 64. The field staff of Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics
collects the price data from 64 urban and 64 rural markets (One urban and
one rural market from each district) all over the country. The prices and
wages section of National Accounting Wing collects the price data from
selected 12 markets in different parts of Dhaka metropolitan city.
(ii)
Outlets: For each item price is collected from three selected outlets. There
are some big outlets in a market which have varieties of consumer items,
generally that type of outlets is selected to collect the price data. Prices of
different commodities and services included in the index baskets are
collected by BBS personnel from selected outlets. For example, for CPI
Dhaka SMA, 12 representative markets in Dhaka SMA have been selected.
These are big markets but not Super markets. Similarly for other areas price
data are collected from selected outlets of 64 urban and 64 rural markets all
over the country by BBS field staff. These are also big markets but not like
as Dhaka metropolitan Area markets. There are many outlets in a market,
among them three big outlets are selected to collect the price data of
individual item. The location of outlets are in different areas like as urban,
rural, District and Divisional Head quarters.
(iii) Collection Procedure: Prices are collected during the peak hours of
transaction. During the process of data collection, the price collectors are
supposed to act as a true buyer, to act and bargain like a true buyer and to
make an actual purchase. Price collectors should make sure that they are
pricing the correct product based on the product specifications in the CPI
product list. Price data are properly scrutinized in immediately after
collection.
Selection of items: The items selected should be as representative as possible.
In the case of cost of living index, the items selected should represent the
consumption habit of the people. To achieve this the total number of items are
divided into groups and subgroups and then from each group a representative
sample is selected for inclusion. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics regularly (after
certain interval) conduct Household Income & Expenditure Survey (HIES). So
HIES data can be used for this purpose. Expenditure incurred in various items
based on HES-1995-96 was the basis of determining weights for the selection of
items in the index basket. The earlier using price schedules are updated on the basis
of HES-1995-96 suggested by the IMF mission (December 29, 1997January,1998).
The CPI items for the National index and its regional components have been
classified into 8 majors groups. Some new items are incorporated in the new five
price schedules in the index basket. There is no selected item for National basket
that is priced all over the country. National basket comprises of urban and rural.
Price schedules and items number:
Sl.
No
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Number
of items
Price schedule-1, weekly/Monthly retail (Urban)
469
Price schedule 2, Monthly retail (Rural)
341
Price schedule 3, Monthly wholesale (Urban)
112
Price schedule-4 Monthly BMP, wage & salary 213
charge and quarterly house rents
Price schedule 5
138
Monthly retail prices of Durable & Capital goods.
Remarks
CPI
CPI
WPI
BMPI,
WRI,HRI
DCI
National market consist of urban market and rural market. Urban Market is
specific for urban area and rural market is specific for rural area. A detailed list of
index basket with classification item number and weights including all specifications
such as brand names, weights are in table-A.
Number of items index basket (Base: 1995-96=100):
Sl.No.
Name of index
1.
CPI Rural
2.
CPI Urban
3.
CPI National
Number of items
215
302
-
Remarks
Selection of Base year:- Index numbers are designed to make comparison between
prices with reference to different time periods. For any index number computation
there must be a base year/reference year for comparison. The base year should be a
year of Economic stability or in other words a normal year. The base year should be a
normal year and it must be free from economic, political and Social disturbances and
as far as possible. Under the recommendation of IMF mission (December 29, 1997 January, 1998), the year 1995-96 has been selected as the base year for the
computation of consumer price index (CPI). Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics has been
regularly compiling the following consumer price index numbers on the basis of
1995-96 as the base year.
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
Determination of weights: The commodities included in the index number are not
all of equal importance, we must consider the problem of weighting the different
commodities included in the index number according to their importance. Bangladesh
Bureau of statistics conduct Household Expenditure Survey (HES). So, the
consumption patterns were determined on the basis of the results of the 1995-96
Household Expenditure Survey (HES) based on sample of 7420 households of which
5040 in rural and 2380 in urban. Item weights were devised to reflect the significant
changes that had occurred in the consumption pattern. Almost all the item weights
have been taken from tabulation of HES data. In calculating the National CPI, all
urban and all rural indices have been combined using as weights the total country wide
urban and rural household expenditure i.e average monthly urban/rural expenditure
multiplied by the total number of urban/rural households as available from population
census data. The weights of national CPI, all urban and all rural have been derived
from the computer data sheets of 1995-96 Household Expenditure Survey. The base
year is 1995-96 and the basket and weights were determined on the basis of the 199596 Household Expenditure Survey (HES), which covered a sample of 7420
households.
Weighting patterns of CPI National, Base year: 1995-96=100
Locality
Bangladesh
Urban
Rural
Average monthly
household
Expenditure (Tk.)
7274
3473
No. of
households
(Million)
22.13
3.63
18.50
Total monthly
Expenditure
(Million Tk.)
90630.66
26383.56
64247.10
Weight
(%)
100
29.11
70.89
BBS has taken up compilation of all urban, all rural, National CPIs. The
National CPI is derived from the indices compiled separately for the urban and rural
households, based on the new weights calculated by the IMF mission using the 199596 HES. BBS revised the new weights to better reflect the consumption patterns of
household. The weights of individual items of CPI, all urban and all rural have been
derived from the computer data sheets of HES-1995-96. The weights of group and
sub-group of CPI, all urban and all rural have been derived from the computer data
sheets of 1995-96 Household Expenditure survey which is given below in table A.
Non-food
II. CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR:
III. GROSS RENT,FUEL & LIGHTING
IV.FURNITURE & FURNISHING
HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENTS & OPERATIONS
V. MEDICAL CARE AND HEALTH EXPENSES
VI. TRANSPORT & COMMUNICATION
VII.RECREATION,ENTERTAINMENT
EDUCATION & CULTURAL SERVICES
VIII. MISCELLANEOUS GOODS & SERVICES
Weight
Rural (100)
62.96
37.04
6.88
14.69
Weight
Urban (100)
48.80
51.20
6.79
22.17
2.70
2.79
2.98
2.58
2.97
7.07
3.20
3.80
6.40
3.22
Formula used: In the majority of countries, the index numbers are computed using
Laspeyres formula, the weighted arithmetic mean of price relatives, the weights being
the base year values. For computation of the indices Laspeyres formula is used. The
formula is given below:Pn
i -------- Wi
Po
I = --------------- 100
W
where, 1 = Consumer price index
Pn =Price in the current year
Po= Price in the base year
Wi = Weight at the ith item
W = Weight of the group
Price consideration:
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
Re-basing of CPI: There are some basic reasons for re-basing of consumer
price index (CPI). Such as structural changes in production structure, structural
changes in consumption patterns, structural changes in relative prices,
appearance of new products, disappearance of old products and larger quality
changes. Goods and services are not comparable between periods that are to far
apart. So, the present base year may be changed on the basis of latest HES,
which is conducted by Bangladesh Bureau of statistics.
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)