May 2017 New Mexico Survey
May 2017 New Mexico Survey
May 2017 New Mexico Survey
These findings are based on telephone interviews with N=605 registered likely New Mexico
voters. Responses to this survey were gathered May 20-23, 2017 and the margin of error
associated with a sample of this type is + 4.1% in 95 out of 100 cases.
Key Findings
The vast majority of New Mexico voters are not happy with the direction in which the state is
headed. Only 15% say things are going in the right direction, while fully 73% of New Mexico
voters say things are going down the wrong track. This is not a lightly held opinion, as a 54%
majority feel strongly that things are wrong track.
That intensely held negative opinion about the direction of the state plays out when voters are
asked about the Democratic legislators. A 54% majority of statewide voters disapprove of the job
Democrats in the state legislature are doing, while only 37% currently approve.
President Donald Trumps image is also upside down, with 41% favorable and 55% unfavorable
towards him, very much in line with the national average.
Concerns about K-12 public education dominate the issue matrix, picked as most important
(from a pre-written list) by 27% of voters. That is not to say economic issues are unimportant,
with 16% naming the economy, 11% jobs and unemployment, 7% poverty and 5%
spending and taxes. All told, 39% pick one of those four pocketbook issues. Crime and
safety is the only other single issue in double digits, at 12% most important.
A hypothetical ballot test for Governor, pitting Republican Steve Pearce (who has not even
decided if hes running) and Democrat Michelle Lujan-Grisham (who has been running for six
months), shows a race tied within the margin of error. Forty-three percent (43%) of voters say
they would vote for Pearce, and 47% for Lujan-Grisham, with 10% undecided.
Further results start to reveal why voters have Pearce within four points of the leading candidate
for the Democratic nomination.
Furthermore, without being provided names or parties of the candidates, 51% of voters say they
would prefer as Governor a businessman and veteran who has created jobs, while 32% would
prefer a lawyer who has a background in health care.
This is an environment in which voters are angry about the direction New Mexico is
headed, while a solid majority disapprove of the job the legislative Democrats are doing.
This drives voters to prefer a Republican Governor who can act as a check on one-party
control, and voters express a clear preference for a candidate with business and military
experience over legal and health care acumen.
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