Brief New

Coastal Storm for Wed into Wed Night
Decision Support Briefing #3 Current Hazards

As of: 530 PM Oct 16, 2019
What Has Changed?
Wind Advisory expanded for entire Tri-State
starting 6PM tonight through Thursday.
Coastal Flood Warning issued for

Southwest CT and S Westchester for
Tonight.
Coastal Flood Statement for Brooklyn and

Staten Island for Tonight.
Coastal Flood Advisories for Long Island,

Queens, Bronx, and SE CT or Tonight.
Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

New York, NY Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Facebook 10/16/2019 4:56 PM
Main Points
Hazard Impacts Location Timing
• 2 to 3 inches rain, locally
higher.
• Flash flooding along quick Highest Threat across
Flash
responding small rivers and NE NJ Through tonight
Flooding streams possible.
• Minor flooding of urban areas
and low-lying roads.
• Minor to Moderate coastal
flooding. • Moderate coastal flooding for
Coastal • Inundation of 2 to 3 ft above SW CT and S Westchester
ground for coastal areas under During the times of
Impacts a warning, 1 to 2 ft for advisory • Widespread minor to localized high tide tonight
areas. moderate for Queens, Nassau
• Areas of dune erosion along and Suffolk, Bronx, and SE CT.
Atlantic ocean beachfront.
• 20 to 30 mph with gusts 40 to
Strong 50 mph.
Through Thursday
Winds • Scattered power outages. Entire Tri-State Region
• Several downed trees and
power lines.
• Gale conditions.
• Seas of 11 to 16 ft on the Through Thursday
Marine Ocean, and 4 to 7 ft on LI
Nearshore Waters Night
Sound.

Summary of Greatest Impacts
Flash Flooding: Entire Tri-State (Highest Threat NE NJ)
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme
Coastal Impacts: SW Coastal CT and S Westchester.
Strong Winds: Entire Tri-State Region

Marine: Nearshore Waters


Heavy Rain
Hazards:
 Rainfall of 2 to 3 inches across the Tri-
State region. Locally higher amounts
possible
 Rainfall rates of up to 1/2 to 3/4 “/hr
Impacts:
 Flash Flooding along quick responding
small rivers and streams possible.
 Widespread Minor Flooding of Urban
areas and Low-lying Roads.
 Heavy rain during the times of high tide
between 10pm and 2am would increase
flash flood threat for coastal roadways.
Timing:
 Heaviest rain from 6 PM to 1 AM tonight.
Uncertainty:
Flash Flood Watch:  Location of heaviest rainfall.
Through 4 AM Thursday  These will be fine tuned as the event
unfolds.
Heavy Rain

Strong Winds
Wind Related Hazards Hazards:
 Southeast winds increasing to 20 to
30 mph with gusts to 50 mph this
evening along the coast.
 Isolated gusts to 60 mph
possible across E LI and SE
CT.
 Winds shift to Northwest 20 to 30
mph with gusts to 50 mph tonight
and continue through Thursday for
the entire Tri-State Region.
Impacts:
 Scattered downed trees and tree
limbs.
 Scattered power outages
 Dangerous travel conditions for high
profile vehicles,
Wind Advisory:
From 6 PM tonight till 6 PM Thursday Timing:
 Strongest winds late tonight through
Thursday

Strong Winds

Coastal Flooding
Coastal Flood Hazards and Impacts:
 Moderate coastal flooding (inundation of 2 to 3 ft above
ground level) in vulnerable coastal locales of SW Coastal
CT and S Westchester.
 Numerous road closures and widespread flooding
of low lying property near the waterfront.
 Widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding
(inundation of 1 to 2 ft above ground level) for vulnerable
coastal locales of LI, Queens, Bronx and SE CT.
Shoreline Hazards and Impacts:

 7-11’ breaking waves along the oceanfront, 3 to 5’ along
CT and Westchester shoreline.
 Significant beach flooding and erosion expected during
the times of high tide along CT and Atlantic Ocean
shorefront, with some flooding of roadways and
vulnerable structures behind protective dunes.
Timing:
 During times of high tide tonight.
Uncertainty:
Please go to the NWS New York, NY Coastal Flooding Page  If heavy rain coincides with the times of high tide,
flooding could be exacerbated on coastal roadways.
for the latest coastal flood forecast and the tools to  Timing of wind shift from the SE to NW late this evening
visualize the coastal impacts. will be a critical factor in water levels and wave action at
the coast.
https://www.weather.gov/okx/coastalflood
Event Summary
 Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with localized higher amounts.

 Flash Flood Watch in Effect for NE NJ through late tonight.
 Southeast winds to 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph this evening along

the coast. Wind Advisory for Entire Tri-State Region through Thursday.
 Isolated gusts to 60 mph possible across far E LI and extreme SE CT.
 Winds shift to Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph tonight and
continue through Thursday for the entire Tri-State Region.
 Moderate coastal flooding (inundation of 2 to 3 ft above ground level) in

vulnerable coastal locales of SW Coastal CT and S Westchester.
 Widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding (inundation of 1 to 2 ft

above ground level) for vulnerable coastal locales of LI, Queens, Bronx
and SE CT.

Contact and Next Briefing Information
Next Briefing
This is the final briefing.
Web: Facebook:
http://www.weather.gov/okx/ http://www.facebook.com/NWSNewYorkNY
Twitter:
http://www.twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY
YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSNewYor
kNY
Disclaimer: The information contained within this briefing is

time-sensitive, do not use after 4 AM Thursday (10/17/19).


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Coastal Storm for Wed into Wed Night

Decision Support Briefing #3 Current Hazards

Coastal Flood Warning issued for

Coastal Flood Statement for Brooklyn and

Coastal Flood Advisories for Long Island,

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Coastal Impacts: SW Coastal CT and S Westchester.

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Strong Winds: Entire Tri-State Region

Marine: Nearshore Waters

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Shoreline Hazards and Impacts:

 Rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches with localized higher amounts.

 Southeast winds to 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph this evening along

 Moderate coastal flooding (inundation of 2 to 3 ft above ground level) in

 Widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding (inundation of 1 to 2 ft

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Disclaimer: The information contained within this briefing is

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

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