Corrosion Prediction Modelling
Corrosion Prediction Modelling
Corrosion Prediction Modelling
Prediction
Modelling
A guide to the use of
corrosion prediction
models for risk assessment
in oil and gas production
and transportation
facilities
A J McMahon, D M E Paisley
Main CD
Contents
Contents
Page
Summary
Acknowledgements
Introduction 1
References 95
This document decribes BP's current approach to Corrosion Prediction and its
use during the design of pipelines and facilities. It is divided into two
sections.
The second section discusses how the prediction model may be used for
design purposes and it introduces several improvements from previous
guidelines. These include the use of the probabilistic approach to corrosion
prediction and the use of corrosion inhibitor availabilities instead of
efficiencies. It also discusses the use of "corrosion risk categories" as a way
of quantifying the corrosion risk at the design stage. The floppy disc also
contains a spreadsheet for calculating the risk category.
To illustrate the points made examples have been obtained from many BP
assets worldwide. Where financial data are shown it is from 1997.
*In Greek mythology Cassandra was the daughter of Priam and Hecuba. She was endowed
with the gift of prophecy but fated never to be believed. She is generally regarded as the
prophet of disaster........especially when disregarded.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the following BP staff for their
contributions to these guidelines.
Jim Corbally
Laurence Cowie
Mike Fielder
Don Harrop
Bill Hedges
Will McDonald
Tracy Smith
Simon Webster
Richard Woollam
Introduction
Figure 1: Fully 35
Materials Options in
Colombia (1997) 25
20
Cost Bi-metal
per 13Cr liner
5 Km
($mill)
15
13%Cr
10
1
INTRODUCTION
Monitor
Apply Controls Effectiveness
2
INTRODUCTION
Figure 3: The
Distribution of Costs of Personnel
Downhole
Corrosion Across Ten Topsides 1% 13%
BPX North Sea Assets, 23%
1990 to 1994.
Chemicals
4%
Subsea
59%
This version of the BP CO2 prediction model is the first to be published since
1993/4 when the guidelines on multiphase and wet gas transport respectively
were issued. The new guidelines incorporate changes by the authors to the
semi-empirical model used in the original guideline as well as comprehensive
guidance on how to use the spreadsheet included with this version. The new
model also includes the ability to predict the affects of changing flow
velocities on uninhibited corrosion rates.
3
INTRODUCTION
The approach to designing for the use of corrosion inhibitors has been
changed significantly. The previous approach described the affects of an
inhibitor through the use of an efficiency factor, such as 90%. This does not
reflect BPX’s recent field data generated under severe conditions which
showed inhibitors can be more effective than predicted. "Inhibitor
efficiencies" have therefore been replaced with "inhibitor availabilities" that
more closely reflect field experience. There is a general move in the industry
towards this methodology and it offers several advantages.
However, it has become clear that for inhibitors to work effectively the
corrosion management system must be highly organised. Recommendations
are therefore included on methods to ensure that the inhibitor availabilities
assumed at the design stage occur during the operational stage.
4
"Cassandra 98" Corrosion Prediction Spreadsheet
by A J McMahon
INTRODUCTION
"Cassandra 98” is BP's new implementation of the 1991, 1993 and 1995 CO2
corrosion prediction models published by De Waard et al. The pocket inside
the front cover of this report contains a floppy disc with the programme
together with a set of installation instructions.
The 1991 and 1993 De Waard models are already widely used within BP and
elsewhere in a variety of customised forms. This report describes the new
Cassandra 98 spreadsheet for Microsoft Excel. It is based primarily on the
1993 De Waard model, incorporates some equations from the 1991 model,
and uses the 1995 model to assess velocity effects. The spreadsheet is
intended to capture all the best features of the 1991, 1993 and 1995 models
[1,2,3]. Certain extra features from outside the De Waard papers, based on
standard physical chemistry, have also been included. The source,
background and limitations of all the assumptions and equations in the
spreadsheet are fully documented in these guidance notes.
The Excel add-in module "CRYSTAL BALL" (from Decisioneering Ltd, 1380
Lawrence Street, Suite 520, Denver, Colorado 80204, USA. Tel: +1 303 292
2291. Cost ~£100) enables probability distributions to be set for each input
cell and it then uses Monte-Carlo simulation to combine these into a
probability distribution for the resulting corrosion rate. You must buy
"CRYSTAL BALL" separately for your Excel environment. It can't be bundled
with this spreadsheet. The detailed use of CRYSTAL BALL is well covered in
the manufacturer's handbook and therefore is not repeated in these
guidelines.
Care is required when comparing the output of any existing in-house version
of the De Waard models against this new Cassandra 98 spreadsheet. It is very
easy for errors and untested assumptions to be entered into a spreadsheet
which might then perhaps be passed on from user to user and often
compounded with other assumptions. Cassandra 98 has been written from
scratch with a detailed re-evaluation of all assumptions, all of which are
presented. Cassandra 98 is intended to be a standard, reference version of the
De Waard approach for use within BP and its partners, until such time that a
more consistent approach to corrosion modelling becomes established within
the oil industry. The activities of the NORSOK industry forum in Norway are
making helpful moves in this direction.
5
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
QUICK START
Input Parameters To carry out a basic calculation enter the following input values into the
cells with a white background:
Probabilistsic Inputs Only the inputs in the preceding Table are needed for a straightforward
numeric calculation. Some further information is required in order to carry
out a probabilistic calculation using CRYSTAL BALL. The spreadsheet can
easily be customised by individual users to permit more extensive handling
of probabilities:
6
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
Table 2: Additional
Parameter Cell Comment
Input Parameters for a
Probabilistic
Calculation P F7 use a uniform distribution; set F7 as
the maximum; set G7 as the minimum
%CO2 F8 use a normal distribution; adjust
standard deviation as necessary
brine pH F17 must enter a known or a calculated
value; use a normal distribution; adjust
standard deviation as necessary
T F24 use a uniform distribution; set F24 as
the maximum; set G24 as the minimum
d M24 use a uniform distribution; set M24 as
the maximum; set N24 as the minimum
U M25 use a uniform distribution; set M25 as
the maximum; set N25 as the minimum
Output Parameters The resulting output parameters are described in Table 3. See p23 for a more
detailed description of how to interpret and use these values. Briefly, the 1993
rate should be regarded as the minimum. Velocity effects may increase this
minimum rate as shown by the 1995 rate. Hence, the 1993 and 1995 rates will
normally give the lower and upper bounds on the expected corrosion rate.
The 1995 model is not accurate at low velocities and so it should be ignored
whenever it falls below the 1993 value.
7
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
Neither the 1991 or 1993 De Waard papers give many precise details about
the range of validity of the models. The 1995 paper does give a more
thorough set of figures (see below) but still omits important features such as
the type of brine used in the tests, and the elapsed time when the corrosion
rates were measured. De Waard's very early work used a 0.1% NaCl solution
[4] and this may well have been used in all the subsequent studies because
his main focus has always been low salinity water in gas lines. Table 4
shows the approximate ranges of validity for the different parameters in the
Cassandra 98 spreadsheet.
Table 4 : Range of Parameter Range of 1991 Range of 1995 Comments
Validity of De Waar d & 1993 Model
Models Models
8
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
The spreadsheet gives freedom to enter any value for most parameters.
When the input value is outside the approximate range of the 1991 and 1993
De Waard models then the text will turn RED in the cell as a warning. The
predicted corrosion rate may still be useful but the user must accept the
additional risk of going beyond the known limits of the correlations.
Limits of the 1995 To develop the 1995 model [3] corrosion rates were obtained on the IFE flow
Model loop (Kjeller, Norway) using a radiochemical technique to measure corrosion
rates. Tests were carried out over 2-3 days but there is no information about
the corrosion rate profile over this time or when the final data point was
taken. Data were obtained for the following conditions.
- St-52 DIN 17100 steel (Cr 0.08%, C 0.18%) which is similar to ASTM
A537 Gr1
- 0.1, 3.1, 8.5, 13 m/s flow velocity
- 20 - 90 oC
- 0.3 - 20 bara CO2
Certain inconsistencies in the data set were eliminated prior to developing the
model. These included:
Eventually 221 data points were used in the main correlation (Figure 2 ref 3).
The main equations are specific to St-52 steel because, "The equations
obtained for St-52 showed a complete lack of correlation for the other steels".
The 15 other steels were normalised steels and quench-and-tempered (Q&T)
low alloy steels. These were examined over the following conditions to
produce some modified equations which take account of steel composition.
9
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
For normalised steels a "Cr correction" and a "C correction" can be calculated
separately and together. For Q&T steels the "C correction" has no effect and
only the "Cr correction" is relevant. The Cassandra 98 spreadsheet does not
include the steel composition equations due to the poor correlations
obtained when fitted to the model.
Errors on Corrosion Errors in matching equations to data points are defined in the 1995 paper
Rates by "coefficients of determination". This is a complicated statistical function
ranging from 0 (poor correlation) to 1 (perfect correlation). It is not the same
as the "correlation co-efficient" in regression analysis which scales from -1
to 1. The "co-efficients of determination" in the paper are 0.91 for the main
St-52 equations (after excluding the data that doesn't fit), 0.83 for the
normalised steels, and 0.80 for the Q&T steels. For the main St-52 correlation
this corresponds to a standard deviation of 25% on the predicted corrosion
rate. This is the error given in this spreadsheet. Because of this error the
predicted corrosion rates are only shown to one decimal place. A "CRYSTAL
BALL" probabilistic analysis gives a more realistic impression of the error on
each prediction.
The De Waard models were all developed using water-only systems in the
laboratory. The 1993 model is intended for nearly static, aqueous conditions
and so for all but the lowest velocities (see page 77) it can be regarded as
the minimum corrosion rate of a water wet region in a gas/water, water/oil,
or a water/oil/gas system. Due to the different hydrodynamics in these field
cases some assumptions are required in order to apply the 1995 model
effectively. These assumptions will only affect the diameter and velocity
values used as inputs in the model. The other inputs will be unaffected.
Table 5 gives some suggested assumptions. However, users are free to
develop their own approaches to meet the demands of their own particular
circumstances. Some of the issues involved in extrapolating the models to
the field are discussed in more detail on pages 27-28.
10
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
Units are specified for each parameter listed in this section. The same units
are assumed in all the equations given below and throughout the Cassandra
98 spreadsheet. The spreadsheet has a "units conversion box" at cell P5. The
UNITS spreadsheet allows conversions between a wider range of units. The
SALTS spreadsheet enables conversion between an ionic analysis of brine and
the salts required to prepare a synthetic analogue. The FUGACITY
spreadsheet is a data-base used to calculate fugacity corrections at high total
pressures.
Total Pressure P...total gas pressure (bara, i.e. bar absolute) INPUT cells F7 and G7
For a multiphase system this is simply the prevailing local P in the gas. For
a liquid only system it is the P in the last gas phase which was in equilibrium
with the liquid, e.g. the separator gas in the case of a crude oil export line.
For a downhole liquid pressurised above the bubble point then use the
bubble point pressure (Figure 4).
For a simple numeric calculation, enter the P value into cell F7. Cell G7 is
then unused. For a probabilistic calculation using "CRYSTAL BALL", set up a
uniform distribution for P with F7 set as the maximum and G7 as the
minimum.
11
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
Figure 4: Schematic
Diagram of an Oil
Production System
(downhole, separator,
export)
%CO2 %CO 2 ...CO2 in gas (mole%, which is same as v/v%) INPUT cell F8
For a multiphase system this is simply the prevailing local %CO2 in the gas.
For a liquid only system it is the %CO2 in the last gas phase which was in
equilibrium with the liquid, e.g. the separator gas in the case of a crude oil
export line. For a downhole liquid use the %CO2 in the gas formed at the
bubble point. If this gas analysis is not available then use the CO2 dissolved
in the brine, the Henry's constant, and the bubble point pressure to back-
calculate the "effective %CO2" which would be required in the bubble point
gas in order to sustain the known level of dissolved CO2 (see box at cell
P19). Indeed, this procedure can be followed for any region where the CO2
dissolved in the brine is known, but the gas analysis is unknown.
12
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
P.%CO 2
pCO2 =
100
fCO2 fCO 2 ...fugacity of CO 2 (bar) OUTPUT cell F10
The non-ideality of gases means that at high total pressures the partial
pressure is not an accurate description of the activity of a gas component.
The fugacity is the true activity of the gas component. The 1991 and 1993
models use pCO 2 in the main corrosion prediction equations and then at the
end apply a fugacity correction factor (Ffug) to account for fugacity effects.
In Cassandra 98 the equations from the 1991 and 1993 models use fCO2
directly, therefore there is no need to use a fugacity correction factor (Ffug).
The equations from the 1995 model in Cassandra 98 also use fCO2 directly -
instead of pCO2. Hence, in Cassandra 98, it is fCO2 which is used as the
primary parameter for all the equations which consider CO2 as an input.
Fugacity data from the work of R H Newton [5] are tabulated in the
FUGACITY.XLS spreadsheet in the workbook. The Cassandra 98 spreadsheet
uses the input values of temperature and total pressure to look-up the correct
value of the fugacity co-efficient (γ) in the FUGACITY spreadsheet,
fCO2 = pCO 2 γ
The R H Newton data are generally applicable to many pure gases. The data
show fugacity co-efficients as a function of "reduced temperature" and
"reduced pressure",
T
Tr =
Tc
13
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
P
Pr =
Pc
Oilfields produce gas mixtures rather than pure gases. Hence, a difficulty
arises in deciding whether it is the Tc and Pc for methane or for CO2 that
one should use. In the Cassandra 98 spreadsheet, empirical values of Tc and
Pc are assumed which allow the Newton model to agree with the
CO2/methane mixed gas fugacity data in Figure 5 of the 1993 De Waard
paper to ± 10%. In other words the De Waard data are used to calibrate the
Newton model.
Table 6: Reduced Tc Pc
Temperature and (oC) (bar)
Reduced Pressure
Values for CO2 and CO2 31 73
Methane methane -82 45.8
empirical values used to correlate with De Waard data -37 56.7
The De Waard calibration data are valid up to 140oC and 250 bar. The
Newton data extends beyond these levels up to 300oC and 400 bar. The
general trends in the data will be accurate under these extreme conditions,
however, the absolute values are unchecked. For accurate work it will be
necessary to calculate or obtain the correct value of fugacity from elsewhere
and then manipulate %CO2 in cell F8 by trial and error in order to obtain
the correct fugacity in cell F10.
H2S is not included in any of the De Waard models. It is only used in the
Cassandra 98 spreadsheet in the calculation of solution pH by XLpH (see
below). It can be ignored completely simply by entering zero.
14
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
pH2S = P . %H2S
LIQUID PARAMETERS
Water Chemistry water chemistry ..ion concentrations (ppm, same as mg/ltr) INPUT cells A15-L15
The water chemistry is used to calculate the solution pH (see below). Enter
ppm values for Na+, K+, Ca2+, Mg2+, Ba2+, Sr2+, Cl-, HCO3-, SO42-, Fe2+,
acetate. (NB enter the sum of all organic acids as acetate). Enter the %v/v
value for glycol in cell L15. Use the SALTS spreadsheet to check that the total
positive and negative charges of the ions are roughly balanced. Any
significant misbalance (e.g. >10%) may invalidate the pH calculation. Note
that ion charges are handled in general chemistry by using the term
"equivalents": 1 mole of positive charges is equal to one equivalent; in other
words 0.7 mole of Ca2+ ions is equal to 1.4 equivalents of positive charge.
Some further aspects of the acetate entry are discussed on p.19.
Total Dissolved TDS...total dissolved solids in water phase (ppm, same as mg/ltr) OUTPUT cell M17
Solids
15
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
This is the sum of all the individual dissolved ions concentrations. TDS and
[HCO3-] are used in the Oddo & Tomson pH calculation. TDS is also used
to estimate the "salting-out" of CO2 as salinity increases. This will tend to
reduce the concentration of dissolved CO2 and thereby reduce the corrosion
rate [8]. The box at X19 shows how to apply the salting-out correction. The
procedure uses "Henry's Law" to calculate the solubility of a gas in a liquid.
pCO2 = K H XCO2
The Henry's constant from the De Waard paper is only valid for a low
salinity brine (ca 0.1% NaCl). Therefore, by calculating the true Henry's
constant for a specific brine it is possible to apply a salinity correction to the
De Waard corrosion rate.
1088.76
log10 K H = − 5.113
T + 273
Note that this KH equation from the De Waard paper has different units
(mole/ltr bar) from those given earlier (bar/mole fraction). Much of the
confusion over Henry's constants arises from the wide and sometimes
awkward range of units which can be used to express the parameter. For
consistency in this report the De Waard equation for an aqueous solution
can be rewritten in order to maintain KH in units of (bar/mole fraction)..
1088.76 18
log10 K H = − − 5.113
T + 273 1000
16
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
TDS
K true
H (for 0 −125°C) = (1.77 T + 47.1) + (45.2 T + 559)
10000
TDS
K true
H (for 125 −200°C) = 250 + 6500
10000
De Waard
KH
Fsalt =
K true
H
The best way to use Fsalt is to apply it to fCO2 to give an "effective CO2
fugacity". This "effective fCO2" will give the correct dissolved CO2
concentration when used with the other equations in the Cassandra 98
model. The salt correction effect only becomes significant for TDS > 10% w/v.
Enter the known pH value, or else enter a letter to accept one of the
calculated pH values given in cells F18, F19, or F20
17
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
pH(CO2) pH(CO 2 )...pH of distilled water containing CO2 OUTPUT cell F18
fCO2 is used here rather than the pCO2 quoted in the original paper. The
equation is valid over 10-80oC. It gives the pH for pure water containing
dissolved CO2 at the prevailing temperature and fCO2.
pH(act) pH(act, Oddo) ..Oddo & Tomson calculated pH in brine OUTPUT cell F19
pH = log10
[
HCO 3 − ]
+ 8.68 + 0.00405 (T * 9 / 5 * 32)...
fCO2 * 14.5 * 61000
1 /2
TDS TDS
−0.477 + 0.193
58500 58500
fCO2 is used here rather than the pCO2 quoted in the original paper. The
equation is valid up to 200 oC and 1200 bar, but is inaccurate for low values
of [HCO3-]. The Cassandra 98 spreadsheet is set to give an error for pH(act,
Oddo) if [HCO 3-] < 50 ppm.
18
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
pH(act, XLpH) pH(act, XLpH) ...XLpH calculated pH in brine OUTPUT cell F20
XLpH is an Excel add-in function for calculating both pure water and brine
pHs with no restrictions on salinities or component concentrations. It was
developed by XTP, Sunbury using well documented code published by the
US Geological Survey (the "PHREEQ" model). The original version of XLpH
[10] has since been updated to include pH2S as an input parameter. XLpH has
been validated against other pH models such as in CORMED and also against
literature and recent laboratory values.
XLpH uses the individual ion concentrations in cells A15-L15. The positive
and negative charges must be approximately balanced (see "water chemistry",
p15, above). XLpH will automatically compensate for any small misbalances
by adding Na + or Cl - ions.
Enter the sum of all organic acids as acetate. Note that the pH of CO2-
containing-brine will differ depending on whether the acetate is added in the
form of sodium acetate salt or acetic acid...
XLpH assumes that the acetate value entered in cell K15 is acetic acid,
because this is the worst case. If one wishes to assume Na acetate then zero
should be entered for Ac and the molar equivalent of Na acetate should be
added to the Na and Cl entries. Unfortunately a field water analysis will not
directly reveal whether Na acetate or acetic acid should be used to simulate
the water chemistry. This can only be established by making laboratory pH
measurements under CO2 saturation and comparing the results with the
XLpH model.
Inclusion of the organic acid concentration will always improve the reliability
of a prediction. However, when organic acid data is not available it is possible
to make some rule-of-thumb approximations in order to aid progress.
Organic acids are typically present in formation water at <30ppm. Therefore,
for bicarbonate >150ppm, the presence of organic acids is likely to make little
difference to the calculated pH and therefore corrosion rate. In such cases,
an API water analysis (which omits organic acids) will often suffice. If the
formation water is low in bicarbonate (<150ppm), then there is more chance
that organic acids could make a significant contribution to the in situ pH and
calculated corrosion rate and so an acetate entry should be added to the
water analysis.
19
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
This is confirmation of the pH value which has been accepted for the
corrosion prediction equations.
Enter a preferred value for the scaling temperature or enter "a" (or "A") to
accept the calculated value shown in cell F26.
BP approach
De Waard
approach
Ts
Temperature
20
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
De Waard Calculated Ts ...De Waard calculated scaling T ( oC) OUTPUT cell F26
Scaling Temperature
Equation (13) from the 1995 paper,
2400
Ts = − 273
6.7 − 0.44log10fCO2
A diameter input value is only required for the velocity equations in the 1995
model. It is not needed for the 1993 model. The 1995 paper actually uses
"hydraulic diameter" rather than a simple pipeline diameter. Let Dp be
pipeline diameter, and let Dh be hydraulic diameter, then,
Dh = 4 A / S
21
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
Figure 6: Explanation
of Parameter "S" in a
Gas/Liquid System
A flow velocity input value is only required for the velocity equations in the
1995 model. It is not needed for the 1993 model. There is a box at cell P5
which enables calculation of flow velocity from pipe diameter and flow in
liquid only lines. The calculation is more complicated for the liquid phase
in gas/liquid lines, therefore, the box at cell P39 should be used.
22
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
1710
log10 Vcor = 7.96 − − 0.67 log10 (fCO2 )
T
For the basic corrosion rate and the correction factors, the values reached at
the scaling temperature are set to remain the same at higher temperatures.
This is to ensure that the corrosion rate reaches a peak at the scaling
temperature and then remains on a plateau at the same value for higher
temperatures (see Ts section above). Hence, the BP approach does take
account of scaling at high temperatures but doesn't use the De Waard scaling
factor, Fscale, directly.
where ...pHact is the actual pH of the brine which wets the pipewall
...pHCO2 is the pH under the same conditions but in pure,
salt-free water
23
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
These equations show that as pHact rises, FpH will get smaller and so the
corrosion rate will fall.
These equations use pHCO2 instead of the "pHsat" used in the De Waard
paper. pH sat is the pH at which a brine first becomes saturated with either
FeCO3 or Fe3O4 as a result of the steel corroding and building up dissolved
Fe2+ in the solution. The problem with pHsat is that it is difficult to define.
Even the De Waard paper only gives some approximate expressions for one
particular brine composition (10% NaCl). Furthermore, there is serious doubt
over the whole concept of a fixed saturation pH due to the observation of
massive supersaturation effects by IFE (Norway) and also within BP.
Dissolved Fe2+ concentrations can often reach hundreds of ppm and can
exceed the theoretical saturation values by orders of magnitude. Hence,
pHsat is not a reliable concept.
One way of reconciling these divergent approaches is to say that the direct
De Waard approach uses Fph to derive the initial corrosion rate in a brine
before corrosion products build up and gradually reduce the corrosion rate
until it reaches a steady state. This is the issue discussed in the 1993 De
Waard paper. The BP approach on the other hand does not deal with initial
corrosion rates at all. It deals only with steady state corrosion rates and uses
Fph to express the effect of water composition on the steady state rate. This
effect is not covered in the direct De Waard approach. In essence BP have
taken an equation from the direct De Waard approach and then adapted it
for another purpose. Hence, overall, the two approaches are different but
consistent.
1.4
log10 Ffug = 0.67 0.0031− P
T + 273
24
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
1 1
log10 Fscale = 2400 −
T + 273 Tscale + 273
BP only use this factor for cases without corrosion inhibitor. When a
corrosion inhibitor chemical is used or is planned then BP assume that any
effect of glycol is included within the corrosion inhibitor efficiency (normally
90%, but see discussion on pages 42-48).
Corrected V' cor ...corrected corrosion rate (mm/yr.) OUTPUT cell G34
Corrosion Rate
This is BP's preferred output from the 1993 DeWaard model. It is the base
corrosion rate multiplied by the FpH correction factor. Note that for the basic
corrosion rate and the correction factor, the values reached at the scaling
temperature are set to remain the same at higher temperatures. This is to
ensure that the corrosion rate reaches a peak at the scaling temperature and
then remains on a plateau at the same value for higher temperatures (see
T(s) section above). Hence, the BP approach does take account of scaling
effects at high temperatures but doesn't use the De Waard scaling factor,
Fscale, directly.
25
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
The 1995 De Waard model is derived in a different fashion from the 1993
model, in particular it does not use the idea of correction factors applied to
a base corrosion rate. Instead, the overall corrosion rate is calculated from
two components : the reaction rate Vr and the mass transfer rate Vm.
1119
log10 Vr = 6.23 − + 0.0013 T + 0.41log10 (fCO2 ) − 0.34pH act
T + 273
Mass Transfer Rate Vm ...mass transfer rate (mm/yr.) OUTPUT cell G38
U 0.8
Vm = 2.45 fCO2
d 0.2
1 1 1
= +
Vcor Vr Vm
26
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
1993 & 1995 Vcor ...merged corrosion rate (mm/yr.) OUTPUT G41
Merged Corrosion
Rate The merged rate simply takes the average of the 1993 and 1995 values. This
allows CRYSTAL BALL to combine the probability distributions for the 1993
and 1995 rates so that one can see the lower and upper bounds on the
expected corrosion rate.
1993 1995
merged V cor + Vcor
Vcor =
2
The 1993 rate is regarded as the minimum. Velocity effects may increase this
minimum rate as given by the 1995 value. The 1995 model is not accurate at
low velocities so it is ignored whenever it falls below the 1993 value, and
then the merged rate is the same as the 1993 rate.
COMPARING OUTPUT FROM THE “Cassandra 98” MODEL WITH FIELD DATA
The discrepancies between the models and r eal field corrosion data which
do exist arise because there are parameters in the field which the model can
not take account of effectively, or at all, e.g. surface coatings (scales,
corrosion products, biomass), crude oil wetting, local hydrodynamics, weld
metallurgy.
27
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
28
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
pCO2 = K H XCO2
Henry's constants are dependant on both temperature and salinity and they
are easily found for CO2 dissolved in pure water [e.g. 13]. The data for brines
is less extensive [14-16]. Figure 7 is compiled using data from all these
sources. The reduced number of points at higher salinity are still sufficient to
show that the data in the 0-10% region can be reliably extrapolated up to ca
30% NaCl. Note that the 16 and 31% data at 75 and 100oC are actually for
MgCl2 in the original paper but have been plotted in Figure 7 at the
equivalent ionic strength of NaCl.
Figure 7: Henry's
14000
Law Constants as a
Function of Salinity 12000 T (oC)
Kh (bar/mol frac)
200
10000
175
8000 150
125
6000 100
75
4000 50
30
2000 10
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
[NaCl] %w/w
The lines in this figure can be represented by the following equations (to
within ±15%),
29
"CASSANDRA 98" CORROSION PREDICTION SPREADSHEET
TDS
K H (for 0 −125°C ) =(1.77 T + 47.1) + (45.2 T +559 )
10000
TDS
K H (for 125 − 200°C )250 + 6500
10000
Cell AD31 in the spreadsheet uses these equations to calculate the true
Henry's constant for the input values of T and TDS.
30
The Use of Corrosion PredictionModels
During Design by D M E Paisley
Introduction
The value and purpose of predictive corrosion rate models should be neither
overlooked nor exaggerated. The models (of which CO2 models are one
example) are tools for the Materials Engineer to use during materials selection
studies. The models help to quantify the corrosion risk and to help assess
the impact of various process or production scenarios. However, corrosion
rate prediction models should always be used in conjunction with other tools
such as life cycle costing as well as previous operational experience if the
final materials selection is to offer the optimal balance between cost and
reliability. As each project will have unique economic factors, materials
selection should reflect these and the economic assessment will be as
important as the corrosion modelling in the selection of the final materials.
In-depth coverage of techniques such as life cycle costing and estimating
values are beyond the scope of this document but both techniques are briefly
covered in a previous publication [17].
Over the past few years, several design guidelines have been issued by BP
for dealing with CO2 corrosion risks. Each document deals with a specific
application. This more general document summarises all previous guidelines
but can not deal with the specific issues to the level of detail possible in the
individual guidelines. The previously issued guidelines are listed in Table 8.
31
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Table 8: Previously
Issued Design Report Title Authors Report Number Issue Date
Guidelines
A corrosion philosophy for the I D Parker ESR.93.ER.013 1/3/93
transport of wet oil and J Pattinson
multiphase fluids containing A S Green.
CO2
32
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
This was a companion document to the guidelines on wet oil and multiphase
systems. The basic approach was similar but this document dealt with the
specific wet gas application. Most of the recommendations made in these
guidelines have been reproduced or superseded in the present document and
therefore the original guidelines are redundant.
Wet natural gas pipelines operating under stratified flow have two distinct
corrosion environments : (a) the bottom of line which is continually wetted
by condensed water, hydrate inhibitor and hydrocarbons, and (b) the top of
line which is wetted intermittently by condensing liquids. The corrosion rate
at the top of the line is lower than that at the bottom due to the more limited
exposure to corrosive species. Predicting this rate is done by predicting the
bottom of line rate using models in the normal way and applying a
moderating factor for the top of line rate. Up to 1992, BP used a factor of
0.3, i.e. the top of line corrosion rate was predicted to be 30% of the bottom
of line rate. When inhibitors are used to control the bottom of line rate, the
top of line corrosion rate becomes the limiting rate as inhibitors are assumed
not to protect against condensing corrosion. This report reviewed the top of
line factor and recommended the adoption of a moderating factor of 0.1. For
inhibitor efficiencies up to 90%, the top of line corrosion rate is therefore not
the limiting rate. This approach is no longer valid since BP have moved away
from the direct use of inhibitor efficiencies, as described later in this report.
However, the assumption that top of line rates are 1/10th of the predicted
uninhibited bottom of line rates can still be used. For applications were the
'top of line' corrosion rate is the faster rate (using the 0.1 moderating factor)
then a more detailed evaluation should be carried out. Such a scenario does
not lend itself to the use of simplified guidelines.
33
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
This technique is not widely applicable but may find niche applications in
highly corrosive wet gas lines utilising recycled glycol for hydrate control.
It is covered in more detail on p75 but if this technique is of interest the full
guideline document should be reviewed.
This document summarised how low levels of H2S influence corrosion rates
dominated by CO2. The conclusion was that H2S at levels below the NACE
criteria for sulphide stress corrosion cracking (ref MR0175, NACE
Publications) reduces general metal loss rates but can promote pitting. The
pitting proceeds at a rate determined by the CO2 partial pressure and
therefore CO2-based models are still applicable at low levels of H2S. Where
the H 2S concentration is greater or equal to the CO2 value, or greater than
1 mole%, the corrosion mechanism may not be controlled by the CO2 and
therefore CO2 based models may not be appropriate.
In summary, the old guidelines are generally still applicable. What has
changed is BP’s views on the reliability and performance of corrosion
inhibitors as well as the availability of updated models incorporating flow
affects. The old guidelines defined a corrosion inhibitor efficiency of 90%
with no scope for variation. There were also stringent velocity restrictions
for use under multiphase conditions which restricted the energy of slug flow
to below 20 Pa, later raised to 100 Pa. In light of favourable field data, this
approach is now seen as too pedantic and inhibitor availabilities are seen as
a better way of describing the role of inhibitors. These differences in
approach are covered in more detail in the following sections. Furthermore,
the corrosion rate prediction model (p5-30) does not cover some aspects
that are important during design and these are covered in the next section.
34
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
The Probabilistic The modelling approach outlined in this document deals with all the inputs
Approach to (mole% CO2, temperature etc.) on a deterministic basis. However, each input
Predictive Modelling will have a level of uncertainty associated with it and this can have important
effects on the outcome. One way to deal with this it to calculate a range of
output values, (in this case the predicted corrosion rate) across the whole
range of input values. Where the model is dealing with several inputs
(temperature, pressure, CO2 mole %, pH, scaling factor), this can be time
consuming. Also, the value of these inputs will not all vary in a uniform
manner. Some will behave uniformly while others may behave in a normal
or log-normal manner.
The important factors to consider are the range and type of distribution
assumed for each variable. If process data are available, this will form an
ideal basis for determining the range and type of distribution but if this is
lacking, some assumptions will have to be made.
Worst Case Design Engineering design traditionally uses worst case inputs so that the final design
will be safe under all foreseeable combinations of events. This approach has
also been adopted when predicting corrosion rates, where pressure and
temperature etc. are used as inputs to the models. In the past this approach
was the only viable one as predicting the enormous range of possible
outcomes for all variables would have been too time consuming but it can
result in substantial over-design. Metal loss corrosion processes do not lead
to sudden failure due to a combination of variables over short time periods
35
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
(unlike high pressure which can lead to an instantaneous failure) but rather
reflect a combination of varying conditions over a longer time period. Using
the worst case values is therefore not a sensible approach, if a range of more
realistic values can be handled.
The yield strength and wall thickness of linepipe are other examples of the
type of variables that can be treated in this manner. The linepipe properties
are important if using corrosion models to calculate mean time to failure.
Rather than using the minimum values for each, based on the specified
material and the variation allowed within the specification, typical
distributions can be defined for each value. Such variables tend to be
distributed normally around a mean with the specified minimum properties
defining a lower bound.
Non-Linear Many variables in corrosion rate predictions, such as the level of CO2 in the
Relationships gas phase, are based on “best guess” or on limited well test data. No
attempt is made to define the uncertainty in these data and this is a major
limitation of deterministic modelling. In defining the distributions of such
variables, the mean value should be based on the best guess or well test
data in a similar way to the deterministic approach. However, a range of
possible values should be considered. In the absence of any other
information, the distribution of values is likely to be symmetrical around the
mean with the greatest probability associated with values close to the mean.
The Normal distribution is a familiar example of this type and should be
used.
36
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Therefore, the corrosion rates associated with the CO2 partial pressure values
in the Normal distribution that are greater than the mean value are closer to
the mean corrosion rate than those associated with the values below the
mean CO2 partial pressure. In other words, defining symmetrical
distributions for variables whose influence is described by a power < 1
produces a non-symmetrical distribution of outcomes (predicted corrosion
rates). The mean value of this distribution will be lower than the single value
calculated using the mean of the input variable.
Summary of Inputs Each input into a corrosion rate prediction should be considered and a range
to a Monte Carlo of possible outcomes defined. By consideration of the way in which the
Analysis value may vary in practice, a distribution function can also be defined. This
may have to be done subjectively but the following basic rules offer some
guidance. In the following examples, distributions are shown that have been
used in the Crystal Ball software.
37
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Figure 7: An Example
of a Normal
Distribution for the
concentration of CO 2
in a gas. The Mean
Value is 5 mole% with a
range of 3 to 7 mole%.
38
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
2. Where an input may vary over a wide range but would be expected to
be skewed around the 'best guess' or predicted value, a Log Normal
Distribution should be used. The effects of high temperature scaling
would be an example of this type of distribution, or the pit depth at
which inhibitors fail to control corrosion. Figure 8 shows the Log
Normal Distribution used to describe the critical pit depth with a modal
value of 8 mm and a range of 5 to 12mm.
Figure 8: An Example
of a Log Normal
Distribution describing
the critical pit depth.
39
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
3. Where a value may occur equally often within the defined range e.g
flowline operating pressure, a Uniform Distribution should be used,
i.e. all values are equally likely to occur. Figure 9 shows how a range
of flowline operating pressures can be described. In this case the
range of 1,000 to 1,200 psi has been used.
Figure 9: An Example
of a Uniform
Distribution Describing
the Flowline Operating
Pressure
40
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Table 9: Summary of
Variables Modelled, Component Variable 'Standard Range Used Distribution
the Values that would in study Value'
be Assigned Using a
Standard Approach,
and the Range of Linepipe Wall thickness e.g. 0.75" Mean = 0.75" Normal
Values Used in the SD = 0.01
Example Study Linepipe Yield Stress SMYS Mean = 70 ksi Normal
e.g. 65 ksi SD = 2.5 ksi
Linepipe Flow Stress ---- 1.15 x Yield Stress Normal
Figure 10 shows the output from a Monte Carlo simulation, using 20,000
iterations to determine the distribution in outcomes (predicted corrosion
rate) due to the variation in inputs detailed above. The most likely corrosion
rate is circa 1 mm/yr. While there is a possibility that higher or lower rates
occur, the probability of such rates decreases the further they are from the
most likely outcome.
41
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
.057
.028 565
.000 0
0.00 1.13 2.25 3.38 4.50
mm/yr
Inhibited Corrosion Previous BP guidelines have dealt with the affect of corrosion inhibitors on
Rates CO2 corrosion by assigning a “corrosion inhibitor efficiency”. This
described the extent to which an inhibitor reduced the predicted rate and a
figure of 85% was originally used, later raised to 90%. This was despite
laboratory observations that showed inhibitors could reduce corrosion rates
by 95% or more. However, it was accepted that in the field, inhibitor is not
delivered at the recommended dose rate for 100% of the time and therefore
a degree of conservatism is necessary when estimating the benefits of
inhibitors.
42
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Corrosion Inhibitor
with Increasing
Concentration
10
1
40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140
A second major limitation with using a single value for corrosion inhibitor
efficiencies is that they are unlikely to be constant across the whole range of
field conditions. CO2 corrosion models can handle input values across a
wide range and moderation factors have been developed over the years to
reduce the conservatism due to the extrapolation of the data set used to
develop the model. However, no such moderation factors have been
developed for corrosion inhibitor efficiencies and by applying a blanket
efficiency, it is assumed they are constant across the range of applications.
43
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
80
99.00%
60
98.80%
40
98.60%
20
98.40%
0 98.20%
Jan-94 May-94 Sep-94 Jan-95 May-95 Sep-95 Jan-96 May-96 Sep-96
Date
In Figure 12 all efficiency values lie within the range 98.6% and 99.7%,
apparently extremely good performance but in January 1994 only 40% of the
flowlines at PBU had ‘acceptable’ rates of corrosion, defined as corrosion
rates under 2 mpy (0.05 mm/yr.) based on corrosion probes - see Figure 13.
The improvement in performance from January 1994 onwards correlates
with the increase in average dose rates shown in Figure 12.
44
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Figure 13: Historical Percentage of Production Lines with Corrosion Under Control
Record of Corrosion 100%
2 < CR < 5 CR >5 mpy
Rates in PBU Flowlines 1 < CR < 2 CR < 1 mpy
80% < 2 mpy by Qtr
Showing Improving
60%
Performance Since
January 1994 40%
20%
0%
-20%
-40%
-60% Note
Covers 3 phase production
lines >6" in diameter with WLCs
-80% including LDFs, LP, HP and
GHX.
-100%
Jan-90 Jan-91 Jan-92 Jan-93 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96
The former premise does not lend itself to design as it would require a sliding
scale of inhibitor efficiencies and the field data is not available to allow this
to be produced. The latter is the belief of several oil companies who do not
use inhibitor efficiencies, preferring to use a design corrosion rate for
inhibited systems in the range 0.1 to 0.3 mm/year. For mildly corrosive
conditions (~1.0mm/year) the use of an efficiency of 90% generally works
well. However, for highly corrosive conditions (~10mm/year) it would result
in a conservative estimate of the inhibited corrosion rate. This adds weight to
the argument that the role of corrosion inhibitors can not be described by
efficiencies.
45
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
BP’s data indicate that inhibited corrosion rates of 0.1 mm/year are possible
under optimum conditions of high inhibitor dose rates and optimised
chemicals. This is confirmed with inspection data from PBU where
flowlines which have been effectively inhibited have pipewall corrosion
rates of less than 0.1 mm/yr.
Applications Where In general, inhibitors require free and regular access to the steel surface to
Inhibitors Are Less be effective. Anything that interferes with this will reduce their effectiveness
Than Fully Effective to low or negligible levels. Examples of low or stagnant flow situations are
vessels, instrument and drain piping and tanks. Historically, inhibitors have
not been assumed to work well in these environments and other corrosion
control measures are used, such as coatings and/or cathodic protection.
The figure of 1.0 m/s is a rule-of-thumb which has been used in the industry
for many years. However, it is now possible to calculate the velocity more
accurately, using an approach developed by the 'Corrosion in Multiphase
Systems Centre' at Ohio University [18]. The work agrees with the rule of
thumb for most black oil systems but allows more accurate quantification if
the minimum velocity is restrictive.
Operating Costs The costs associated with corrosion inhibition are driven by the volume of
Associated With chemical used per annum and the chemical cost. There may be some
Corrosion Inhibition incidental costs associated with the provision and maintenance of injection
equipment but increasingly this is being handled by the chemical suppliers
and is therefore covered by the chemical cost.
46
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
1. Based on Gas Flow. This is the most commonly used method and a
common rule of thumb is to apply 1 pint of inhibitor to every 1 million
standard cubic feet of gas (1 pint/MMscf). Actual values are found to vary
enormously in the range of 2 and 0.05 pints/MMscf of gas.
2. Based on the Water Content in the Pipe Line. This is the method
favoured by corrosion engineers as it usually indicates a very low
requirement for inhibitor. It is common to assume a dosage of 200 ppm
47
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
of chemical in the water. This method will often give erroneously low
values, especially when the water content is very low and/or the pipeline
is very long. This is because the volume predicted will be too low to allow
a film to be build up over the entire surface of the pipe.
Chemical costs vary from supplier to supplier and may be tied in with the
provision of other services such as corrosion monitoring. However, for the
purposes of life cycle costing a chemical cost of US$8 per US gallon is
reasonable. On this basis, corrosion inhibitor costs 0.84 cents to 8.4 cents
per barrel at inhibitor dose rates of 25 to 250 ppm. There will also be costs
associated with monitoring and inspection. These aspects are beyond the
scope of this document but are covered in detail in ‘SELECTING MATERIALS
FOR WEALTH CREATION: A Material Selection Philosophy Based On Life
Cycle Costs [17].
This approach assumes that the inhibited corrosion rate is unrelated to the
uninhibited corrosivity of the system and all systems can be inhibited to 0.1
mm/year. The approach also acknowledges that corrosion inhibitor is not
available 100% of the time and therefore corrosion will proceed at the
uninhibited rate for some periods.
48
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
All of these factors and others not listed have lead to less than optimal
delivery of corrosion inhibitor into production equipment in BPX. No asset
is immune to such problems and therefore the maximum inhibitor availability
that should be assumed is 95%. In many instances, a lower availability should
be assumed; see, 'Recommended Values For Use in the Inhibitor Availability
Model, pp 51.'
Words of Caution
Production data from Cusiana shows that their 12 inhibitor injection skids
averaged 99.2 % availability over the second half of 1996, an identical figure
to that generated at a new gas treatment plant in the Middle East. This is
probably close to the maximum that inhibitor injection units can be available,
bearing in mind the requirements for chemical feedstock, power and the
reliability of the pumps. However, this should not be used as a basis for
assuming an inhibitor availability of greater than 95%. Figure 14 shows the
delivery of corrosion inhibitor against the target rate for a North Sea platform.
There was only one instance when the inhibitor injection system was not
delivering chemical - during March 1993 - but there were also only 3 short
periods where the chemical was fully available with respect to the target dose
rate.
49
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
40
20
0
January March May July September November January March May
1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1994 1994 1994
Ensuring the target dose rate is correct is more difficult and requires that
constant changes to the target are made to reflect changes in production
rate, water cut etc In extreme cases, this may require weekly tailoring of
the target dose rate. This is where corrosion control programmes can fail
and therefore it is important that the materials or corrosion engineer
concentrates on this aspect.
50
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Figure 15 shows the feedback loop that is required for effective management
of corrosion using chemicals. As chemical inhibition is the only viable
method for controlling internal corrosion, it is important that the deployment
of chemical receives attention.
Figure 15: The
Feedback Loop that Corrosion Experience from
Models other assets
Must be in Place for
Corrosion Control to
Work Effectively Quantify
Field
experience Risk
CorrOcean FSM
UT mats
Corrosion
Chemical probes
inhibition Intelligent pig
inspections
The degree to which a project or asset can rely on corrosion inhibition will
depend heavily on the investment made to ensure satisfactory operation of
the feedback loop in Figure 15. The different approaches to managing this
feedback loop enable five categories to be defined which in turn allow
recommendations to be made on the values used for inhibitor availability.
51
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
52
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
UNSAFE
Derating, repair or
replacement required in
Year 10
Cross section of
pipe or vessel on
Day 1
53
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
54
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
55
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
The fluids must by definition be benign and corrosion rates low. Corrosion
monitoring equipment such as corrosion probes and coupons will respond
slowly to changes in corrosion rates and will be of little practical benefit.
As the design of the facilities does not rely on the use of corrosion
inhibition, there is no requirement to incorporate corrosion injection
facilities into the design.
56
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
A design of this type relies heavily on monitoring systems to detect the onset
of corrosion at a rate requiring inhibition. This will require monitoring of
process changes such as temperature, flow velocity and water cut. Direct
corrosion rate monitoring will also be required. However, due to the
relatively low corrosivity of fluids, response from corrosion probes and
coupons may be poor.
57
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
A facility in this category will have a predicted corrosion rate of 0.7 to 3.1
mm/yr. Failure of the corrosion control programme can lead to failure in
under 3 years if the corrosion allowance is selected in accordance with the
guidelines. Reliance on the corrosion control programme is therefore high,
particularly as it will not be present on Day 1 of operations. The corrosion
monitoring system must be capable of detecting changes in corrosion rates
within weeks if the target rate of inhibitor injection is to be constantly
revised to ensure the overall availability of 90% is achieved. The
recommended techniques that are capable of providing such resolution are
ultrasonic mats and the CorrOcean FSM.
58
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
A facility in this category will be handling highly corrosive fluids and the
corrosion control programme will require constant optimisation to ensure the
corrosion allowance is not consumed prematurely. This may require dose
rates of chemicals to be checked on a weekly basis and the sensitivity of
corrosion monitoring devices must reflect this. The recommended techniques
that are capable of providing such resolution are ultrasonic mats and the
CorrOcean FSM.
59
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
There will always be specific cases where corrosion resistant materials are
not feasible or where previous operating experience indicates that carbon
steel will corrode at a lower rate than indicated by the model. However, the
risks involved in operating such a system are high and repairs or
replacement of equipment should be expected during the field life. This is
unlikely to be cost effective when lost production costs and potential
environmental damage are considered and these areas must be addressed if
such highly corrosive fluids are to be handled or transported using carbon
steel.
60
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Category 1 Zero 0.4 mm/yr. 0 ppm None required No requirement Routine inspection Process monitoring Process monitoring Process monitoring
Standard inspection Standard inspection Standard inspection
techniques techniques techniques
Category 2 50% 0.7 mm/yr. 20 ppm Should be No special Routine inspection As Category 1 plus As Category 1 plus As Category 1 plus
capable of requirement weight loss coupon weight loss coupon weight loss coupon
commissioning ER probes ER probes ER probes
w/o plant shut- Intelligent pig run Intelligent pig run Intelligen pig run
Category 3 90% 3 mm/yr. 50 ppm Should be Should Early inspection As Category 2 plus As Category 2 plus As Category 2 plus
included in basis incorporate low regular inspection of FSM or UT mat FSM or UT mat
of design and level device and bends, welds etc system system
commissioned as flow monitor in Continual data Continual data Continual data
soon as practical injection package logging for probes logging for all logging for all
monitoring devices monitoring devices
Category 4 95% 6 mm/yr. 100 ppm Should be within Should include Early inspection As Category 3 plus As Category 3 plus As Category 3 plus
scope of overall low level device increased inspection increased inspection increased inspection
project and and flow monitor frequency frequency frequency
available from in injection
Day 1 package
Category 5 > 95% >6 mm/yr. 300 ppm Should be within Should include Early inspection As Category 4 As Category 4 As Category 4
scope of overall low level device plus leak plus leak
project and and flow monitor detection detection
available from in injection
Day 1 package
61
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Comparisons of the - The aim of the inhibitor availability model is to encompass the good track
Inhibitor Availability record of the inhibitor efficiency model at low to moderate corrosivities but
Model with BP’s to remove some of its conservatism in more corrosive systems. The two
Previous Model inputs to the model are the inhibited corrosion rate and the inhibitor
availability and using different values for these can produce a whole array
of outputs.
20
Figure 18: A
Inhibitor availability model based
Recommended Corrosion Allowance
Determining 10
Corrosion Allowances 11.9
8 20.0
6
4 10.0 6.9
6.0 4.9
2 4.0 3.9
1.0 2.4 2.0 2.9
0
0.5 1 2 3 5 10
Both models agree well for moderately corrosive fluids, while for mildly
corrosive fluids (0.5 to 1.0 mm/yr.) the availability approach recommends a
greater corrosion allowance. In practice, this may not be important as
external corrosion may require a corrosion allowance of up to 2 mm and
would over-ride the allowance recommended for internal corrosion.
62
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Figure 19 shows the relationship between predicted corrosion rate and the
recommended corrosion allowance using the inhibitor availability method.
The example shown is the same as in Figure 18 with predicted corrosion
rates in the range 0.5 to 10 mm/yr. In each case, the corrosion allowance
for inhibited corrosion is constant at 1.9 mm due to the assumption of an
inhibited corrosion rate of 0.1 mm/yr. and the required field life of 20 years.
The variation in recommended corrosion allowances is due entirely to the
5% of the time where inhibition is assumed to not occur.
12
Figure 19: The Corrosion allowance for uninhibited corrosion
Allowance for 20 Year design
Recommended Corrosion
Contribution to the 10
Corrosion allowance for inhibited corrosion (95%
Total Recommended
availability)
Corrosion Allowance 8
life - mm
63
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
It can be seen that highly corrosive systems must assume a high value
for the inhibitor availability if carbon steel is to be used with a practical
corrosion allowance.
The corrosion rate prediction model presented here is for use with carbon
steels, i.e. predominantly iron with low levels of carbon. However, some
engineering materials contain a wider range of alloying elements such as
chromium and nickel to improve the mechanical properties, such as strength
or toughness. Such elements are commonly found in corrosion resistant
materials and chromium in particular can increase the corrosion resistance
of carbon steels, if present in sufficient concentration. 13% of chromium
turns a carbon steel into a stainless steel, with excellent resistance to CO2
corrosion.
Many claims have been made over the past 5 years of the affect of adding
low levels of chromium (0.5 to 1.0%) to carbon steel. Some steel suppliers
claim that 0.5%Cr can halve the CO2 corrosion rate and certainly in some
tests there does appear to be a benefit. The most consistent benefit seems
to be an improved resistance to ‘mesa’ corrosion where large, square edged
and flat bottomed pits can form. However, in other tests no benefits have
been observed and it seems that the benefits may be related to
microstructure rather than composition. Other researchers and oil
companies have reported that inhibitors perform worse on low alloy steels
than on carbon steel and therefore, in inhibited systems, there is no benefit
from the addition of low levels of chromium.
64
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Even in ‘benign’ systems where predicted rates of general corrosion are low,
rates of attack at welds can be unacceptably high. This causes a problem
when deciding whether a corrosion inhibitor is required for a particular
application. The traditional approach has been to calculate cumulative wall
losses over the life of the field using corrosion models and if the predicted
wall loss is less than the available corrosion allowance, inhibitors have not
been specified. However, preferential weld corrosion can proceed at rates
far higher than predicted and inhibitors offer the only proven method of
improving the reliability of carbon steel in such cases. There have recently
been cases of preferential weld corrosion causing rapid failures in systems
believed to be only mildly corrosive.
65
THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Effect of Pitting
CO2 models are basically ‘bare surface’ models with moderation factors
applied to anything that affects this, such as surface scales and corrosion
inhibitors. Moderation factors are used to reduce the predicted corrosion rate
due to the presence of protective or semi-protective species at the surface.
In other words, all such factors predict that the surface will corrode at a lower
rate than would be expected if it was fully exposed to the bulk solution.
Pits are one case where local corrosion rates may be higher than if the surface
was exposed to the bulk solution. The environment at a corroding steel
surface is different from that in the bulk due to the continual transport of
reactants to the surface and products from the surface and this is reflected in
the CO2 models and associated factors. These effects are generally beneficial
where the corrosion process is transport controlled but can be detrimental
where it is the transport of inhibitor that is limited. This can be the case in a
corrosion pit where galvanic affects also play an important role. The result
is that the growth rate of deep pits may accelerate. This can be seen as a
loss of control by the inhibitor and may place a practical limit on the size of
the corrosion allowance. For example, if an inhibitor is incapable of
protecting pits deeper than 8mm, once pitting has reached this depth the
corrosion rate in the pit will proceed at the uninhibited rate, i.e. 10 or 20
times faster than the bare surface rate. The increase in life due to the
provision of corrosion allowance beyond 8 mm would therefore be minor.
In practice, the relationship between pit depth and inhibitor efficiency is not
fully understood. Field experience indicates that pits below 5 mm behave
normally while pits deeper than this may corrode at a higher rate. Pitting
rates up to 3 times faster than predicted have been quoted in a variety of
systems. Certainly, if corrosion has reached 8 mm it is likely that the local
environment within a pit will be significantly divorced from the bulk
environment and hence transportation of inhibitor may be unreliable.
Moreover, if corrosion has caused such metal loss, the corrosion control of
the system must be poor and providing extra steel is unlikely to provide a
satisfactory answer.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
The figure of 8mm should not be seen as fixed. Each project may have
different drivers in terms of the optimum balance between opex and capex
costs and in certain cases, replacement of flowlines may be more
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
economically attractive than high capital costs in Year 1. For one recent BPX
project it was decided that localised corrosion was the main concern for the
flowlines and therefore the definition of corrosion allowance should reflect
this. BP’s first pass defect assessment criterion for pipelines allows 20% of
the pressure containing wall to be lost due to localised corrosion and the
design of the corrosion allowance took this into account. This approach
reduced the corrosion allowance by circa 1.5 mm and saved US$1.16 million
from the cost of the flowline network. In effect, the ‘traditional’ corrosion
allowance was reduced from 8 mm to 6.5 mm but as the corrosion was
expected to be localised, there would be 8mm of pipewall available for
localised corrosion before raising any concern over integrity.
Example
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Effect of Water Cut CO2 predictive models - such as the one in this report - are based on
laboratory studies, typically developed in water only systems. Various
moderation factors have been applied over the years, reducing the predicted
rates as experience showed them to be too conservative in their basic forms.
In the approach covered here, the water cut is ignored thereby treating the
pipeline or process equipment as if it was transporting 100% water. It may
appear a large step to apply a model developed using laboratory data in
water only systems to the field where hydrocarbons account for the majority
of the throughput.
Oil / Water
However, this is not the vast over-simplification it may seem. Water wetting
of the pipewall can occur at both high and low water cuts. This is despite
the widely shown plot, reproduced in Figure 21 in which a relationship is
proposed between water cut and corrosion rate based on water wetting.
This relationship is not reliable in practise because water cuts below 1%
have been known to cause rapid failures. This simply reflects the fact that
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
II
I
0
0 100
Water Cut, %
Effect of Flow CO2 corrosion rates are dependent on flow regime and flow velocity, hence
Regime the attempt to incorporate the effects of flow into the 1995 de Waard and
Milliams model. In uninhibited corrosion, flow effects are of secondary
importance, after the important controlling factors such as temperature,
pressure, CO2 concentration and pH and for this reason BP have retained
the earlier de Waard and Milliams model as the basis for their CO2
modelling. The 1995 model is included if the sensitivity to flow velocity
changes are considered important.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Slug Annular
Gas Flowrate
Each flow regime will cause different rates of corrosion under otherwise
identical conditions and the 1995 de Waard and Milliams model offers the
best method of assessing this.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Crude oil transport pipelines or main oil lines (MOL) fall into two categories:
1. The fully stabilised type such as the Trans Alaskan Pipeline System
and OCENSA in Colombia.
The corrosivity of the fluids is different in each case and pipelines should
be designed and operated accordingly.
Fully Stabilised In the case of fully stabilised lines, the crude oil is processed down to
Crude Oil Export atmospheric pressure and may remain in tanks for some period prior to
Pipelines shipping. This allows water cuts to reach levels of 0.1 to 1.0%. It also
allows the acid gases present in the reservoir to vent and reach very low
concentrations. For example, the effective partial pressure of CO2 in an
associated gas containing 2 mole% CO2 is only 0.3 psia at atmospheric
pressure. The low levels of acid gases mean the potential corrosivity of the
water phase will be low.
Partially Stabilised In the partially stabilised case, the crude oil is partially stabilised (typically
Crude Oil Export offshore) and exported for final processing at a remote location (typically
Pipelines onshore). The crude oil in the export pipeline therefore remains corrosive
as the acid gases are not vented down to negligible levels and any
associated water will be corrosive. The partial pressure of gases will depend
on the pressure of final processing. For example, at 7 bara the partial
pressure of CO2 in an associated gas containing 2 mole% would be 0.14
bara, or 2 psia.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Final processing pressures vary. Forties fluids are processed down to 4.5 bara
while the value on Bruce is 12 bara and Brae is 16 bara. The ‘typical’ range
is from 1.4 bara to 20 bara and the corrosivity of the fluids will vary
accordingly, along with the CO2 concentrations, temperatures etc.
As the crude oil does not pass through tankage offshore, water cuts in
partially stabilised lines are typically higher than in fully stabilised lines.
Water cuts can reach 15% or even higher if water handling is a constraint but
more typical levels are around 1%.
With the removal of the majority of the CO2 and water, partially stabilised
crude oil is significantly less corrosive than the non-stabilised multiphase
fluids transported in flowlines, but it can not be considered as non-corrosive.
The original Forties 30” and existing Beatrice export lines are adequate proof
that partially stabilised crude oil is corrosive. Such pipelines should therefore
be designed and operated to deal with internal corrosion. Typically a
corrosion allowance of 2 to 3 mm may be specified and corrosion inhibitor
should be added on a continuous basis.
Ideally, the velocity should be maintained above 1 m/s - see page 46.
Dry Gas Pipelines To minimise or eliminate the risk of corrosion in gas pipelines it has been
(and still is) common practice to dry it prior to transportation. The two most
common methods involve either contacting the wet gas with dry glycol or
passing it through molecular sieves.
The target water content of the 'dried' gas is usually 2lbs of water for every
million standard cubic feed of gas (2lbs/MMscf).
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
was 2lbs/MMscf.
0.10
0.05
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
The data was gathered from a BP Asset over a two year period and it is clear
that the target value of 2lbs/MMscf was rarely achieved.
Thus some care should be taken when relying on the drying of gas for
corrosion control and each system should be considered on a case by case
basis.
Wet Gas Pipelines As part of the drive to minimum offshore processing, gas transportation lines
are increasingly being designed to operate wet i.e. the gas either enters the
pipeline below its water dew-point or will drop below this temperature at
some location along the pipeline. Once free water is present, corrosion
becomes a concern and this must be taken into account during the design
and operational phases of the pipeline’s life. The severity of corrosion and
the potential means for controlling it depend on the operating scenario and
flow regimes.
Corrosion Inhibitor If a wet gas pipeline is not going to be treated with a recycled hydrate
Deployment in Wet inhibitor, corrosion inhibition is the only practical corrosion control method.
Gas Pipelines The approach to design is identical to that for oil pipelines except that there
is no pH buffering capacity in the condensed water in wet gas lines. This
must be taken into account when performing the corrosion rate predictions.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
of water to, and subsequent removal of corrosion products from the top of
line location is limited by the quantities of condensing water. There is no
continuous water phase at this location in stratified/wavy flow and water is
only present via condensation on to the pipewall. Under these
circumstances, the water quickly becomes saturated with corrosion
products, effectively stifling further corrosion and this can be used to
advantage in the design of wet gas pipelines.
The term top of line/bottom of line (TOL/BOL) ratio is used to describe the
rate at which the top of line corrodes relative to the bottom of line, with the
bottom of line rate being calculated using a standard CO2 modelling
approach. A TOL/BOL ratio of 0.1 is used by BP. This does not rely on
inhibitor availability and can therefore be assumed to occur 100% of the
time. The bottom of line location requires inhibition and the predicted rate
estimated using the availability model. The higher of the two rates will
determine the required corrosion allowance.
Corrosion Inhibitor Glycol (or methanol) is often used as the hydrate preventer on a recycled
and Glycol basis, although this traditional approach to hydrate control is increasingly
Deployment in Wet being replaced by once through, low dose systems. However, recycled
Gas Pipelines systems will remain valid for older systems or those operating well within
the hydrate envelope where low dose chemicals are not applicable. The use
of glycol is beneficial as it is a corrosion inhibitor, albeit a relatively poor
one. If glycol is used without the addition of corrosion inhibitor, there will
be some benefit from the glycol. This is hard to quantify but Shell’s work
produced a glycol correction factor which is described on page 25.
However, if glycol and inhibitor are both used there will be little additional
benefit from the glycol and it should be ignored for design purposes. Only
the inhibitor availability factor should be used.
The use of a glycol (or methanol) recycling system offers the opportunity
for an alternative form of corrosion control - pH moderation. This technique
has been used by Elf since the 1970’s and works by artificially raising the
pH of the water in the pipeline to high values (circa 6.0). This limits or
arrests CO2 corrosion and therefore the pipeline can be constructed with
reduced corrosion allowance. The system is economical to operate as the
pH moderator, typically bicarbonate or MDEA is carried in the glycol and
remains through the glycol drying process. However, the technique should
only be used along with corrosion inhibition as pH moderation is not
entirely successful at preventing localised corrosion. In effect, pH
moderation expands the application of carbon steel to more aggressive
environments i.e. hotter and/or higher CO2 partial pressures.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
2. If formation water is produced along with the gas then the artificially
high pH will increase the scaling tendency of the water. This can have
serious consequences and may require the termination of the pH
moderation programme.
Multiphase Flowlines
1. The fluids are unstabilised and therefore contain acid gases such as
CO2 at high partial pressures, along with water. In contrast, export
pipelines transport more benign fluids that have had the bulk of such
corrodents removed.
Very low velocities are also a concern and the ‘optimum’ mean velocity for
such flowlines is believed to lie between 1 and 10 m/s. Below this velocity
range, water drops out and deposits can accumulate at the 6 o’clock
position, preventing inhibitor reaching the pipewall - see page 46.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Figure 24: A
Graphical 1
Representation of the
Effect of Flow Velocity
Effect of
Corrosion Risk
0
0 5 10 15 20
Flow Velocity - m/s
C
MaximumFlow Velocity =
Mixture density
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
The relationship between flow and corrosion rate will be unique for each
system and will be difficult to estimate at the design stage. However, the
designer should accept that high velocities increase the risk of high
corrosion rates and should design accordingly. The level and sophistication
of corrosion control and monitoring systems must reflect the potential for
corrosion to occur and this in turn will depend heavily of the flow regime.
This should be handled using the approach developed for Inhibitor
Availability, based on categories 1 to 5. The impact of flow velocities
corresponding the C factors > 100 can be considered as an increase in risk
and the category defined on the bais of predicted corrosion rates changed
accordingly - see Table 14.
Note that operating at C factors > 135 should only be considered where
there is sufficient operational experience in the asset to confidently state that
erosion or corrosion are not occurring at unacceptable rates at C=135. C
factors > 135 should not be used during design but may be considered as a
de-bottlenecking measure if successful experience has been gained.
'Successful experience' is likely to require several years of operation with at
least one intelligent pig inspection of the flowline after operating at close to
C = 135.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Within BP, there are no fixed policies on the frequency of intelligence pig
surveys (IPS) of pipelines and each individual case should be examined on
merit. It is important to note that intelligence pigging surveys are just one
element of a toolbox for the management of pipeline integrity. They are
complementary to the full range of other pipeline integrity and monitoring
techniques, for example, wall thickness checks, corrosion coupons and
corrosion inhibitor injection monitoring. It is recommended that pipelines
at risk of corrosion are designed to be “piggable”, with the requirement for
permanent pig traps being determined according to the required frequency
for operational pigging and intelligence pigging.
For any pipeline, the need for, and frequency of inspection depends on a
number of factors:
❍ A Baseline Survey;
❍ an Early Inspection; and
❍ a Routine Survey.
Baseline Survey A Baseline Survey is carried out prior to pipeline commissioning, with the
principal objective of detecting material defects and construction anomalies.
Baseline surveys are primarily intended to detect dents, or wrinkles, and so
geometry pigs are normally used (e.g. caliper device), these pigs are not
normally considered to be intelligence pigs.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Early Inspection An Early Inspection would be carried out 1 - 3 years after commissioning.
The objective of this survey is to verify the absence of corrosion in a
pipeline where a new corrosion prevention strategy is being implemented,
or when the operating conditions are particularly severe. In the context of
this document, pipelines in corrosion categories 4 and 5 would certainly
warrant an early inspection. The case for a category 3 pipeline having an
early inspection should also be considered.
Routine Survey A routine inspection is carried out to confirm the on-going integrity of a
pipeline which has a known corrosion risk. Clearly, the frequency of this
inspection will vary from pipeline to pipeline. This survey is used to
monitor known defects or confirm the absence of significant corrosion.
Pipelines in corrosion categories 1 to 5 should all be considered for routine
surveys.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
New Pipelines Baseline intelligence pig surveys are not generally recommended.
Make an estimate of the most likely and the pessimistic corrosion rates.
These should be based on the corrosion model described here, taking in to
account the influence of corrosion inhibitors (if applicable) and the likely
effectiveness of the inhibitors. The probabilistic approach to corrosion
monitoring can be helpful here, taking the P50 and P90 (or P10) corrosion
rates as the most likely and pessimistic rates.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Calculate:
❍ the time that the pessimistic corrosion rate will reach the BP 1st Pass
Thickness,
❍ half the time that the best guess corrosion rate will reach the BP 1st
Pass Thickness.
The earliest of these dates is the latest intelligence pig inspection date.
0 time
earliest latest widespread
inspection inspection corrosion expected
date date (1) (divide time by two)
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
3 Take the greater of the times Take the lesser of the times
calculated in Steps 1 and 2 7 calculated in Steps 5 and 6
The actual inspection date chosen should fall between these limits. The
final selection of date will depend the factors outlined above i.e.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Repeat Inspection A similar method is used to determine the minimum inspection interval for
Intervals pipelines without a severe corrosion problem. The relatively low accuracy
of even the high resolution intelligence pigs compared with other NDT
techniques, means that pigs are not well suited to the measurement of
corrosion rate. Statistical techniques have been applied to pig inspection
results. However these will result in a high degree of uncertainty in
measured corrosion rate unless there is a reasonable period of time between
inspections.
For example, the time to the next intelligence pig inspection survey could
be determined as follows. If the defects identified in the early survey are
indeed corrosion defects, then one should carry out the next inspection
when the predicted growth exceeds the tool’s ability to confidently measure
differences in wall thickness. If an inspection tool has an accuracy of 10%
of pipewall thickness then the inspection should be carried out when the
estimated total loss in wall thickness due to corrosion has exceeded:
√2 x 10%
The reason for this is that the error in the measurement of corrosion (a
differences in wall thickness) is approximately √2 times the error in each
wall thickness measurement.
For pipelines with significant corrosion, the timing of the next inspection
depends on when it is anticipated that the corrosion depth will reach a
"retiral" limit. For onshore pipelines, the owner has the opportunity to carry
out local inspections and repairs at relatively low cost. In this instance, an
inspection programme can be put in place to monitor a number of the
severest defects in order to judge when repair / replacement / derating is
necessary. This point monitoring may be used to reduce the required
frequency of IPS. For offshore pipelines with significant corrosion, where
inspection and repair is costly, there will be a tendency to carry out IPS
more frequently than outlined above. It should be understood that
inspections carried out more frequently than the minimum recommended
frequency may not be able to generate reliable corrosion rate data. In these
instances only with careful consideration, should forecasts of pipeline
integrity be made from pit depth changes from inspection to inspection. In
order to avoid over-pessimism in forecasts it is important to consider other
sources of information on possible corrosion rates (e.g. corrosion model
predictions / experiments; topsides inspection results).
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Typical Inspection For oil transmission pipelines, where fluid corrosivity is being monitored on
Intervals a routine basis, the pipeline is in a reasonable condition and thought to be
at low risk, a frequency of once every 5 years would be typical. Examples
of this are the new Forties MOL and the existing Ninian MOL, which are both
subsea lines in the North Sea. When a good corrosion management track
record has been established, assets are tending to increase this interval. For
significantly corroded pipelines, where the pipeline is nearing the end of its
life, inspections may be carried out as often as annually.
For dry gas pipeline systems that are tightly controlled, inspections would be
carried out after indications of potential problems from other sources:
topsides corrosion, failure to meet dew point spec, water carry over into the
pipeline etc. For example, BP has operated a dry gas pipeline (Gyda field in
Norway) since 1986, without yet requiring an intelligence pig inspection,
because of the low risk of internal corrosion in this pipeline.
For more information on this topic contact Will McDonald ( Sunbury x4014 )
or Jim Corbally ( Sunbury x2774 ) of the SPR Transportation Team.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Crude Oil As stabilisation trains take fluids from the flowlines, they will naturally
Stabilisation Trains benefit from the injection of any corrosion inhibitors upstream to protect the
flowlines. However, there are locations within the stabilisation units where
inhibitors will not work well and alternative means of corrosion control
should be employed. Inhibitors rarely work well under low velocity or
stagnant conditions, such as at the base of separators, tanks or in instrument
bridles. Deposits can form in such locations preventing inhibitors getting to
the metal surface. This becomes relevant at velocities below 1 m/s and
either internal coatings and anodes (vessels, tanks) or stainless steel piping
(instrument bridles) should be used. Carbon steel is suitable for drain lines,
downstream of an isolation valve.
Gas Compression Gas compression systems fall into two categories; wet gas compression and
Systems dry gas compression. Some systems are wholly wet gas, such as Pedernales,
Venezuela and the Long Term Test facility at Cusiana, Colombia. The
majority of systems are wet up to an intermediate stage of compression at
which point the gas is dried, normally in glycol contactors at approximately
500 psi. Once the gas is dried, corrosion is not a major concern and a
minimal corrosion allowance is normally specified to account for periods
when gas dryers operate off-specification or for external corrosion.
In wet systems, corrosion will occur whenever the gas falls below its water
dew-point. This can be predicted using flowsheet simulation packages such
as Genesis but there are some general guidelines which make the task more
straight forward.
Pipework The gas entering a compressor will have come from either a vessel or knock
Downstream of out pot. The gas will therefore be in equilibrium with water and hydrocarbon
Compressors liquids and there should be zero or negligible liquids present. The action of
compressing the gas will heat it, raising it above the dew-point and thereby
removing any traces of liquid water. The pipework downstream of
compressors is therefore not at risk from internal corrosion and a moderate
corrosion allowance (1 - 2mm) will suffice to account for external corrosion.
The exception is small bore instrument tappings where the gas may cool to
below its dew-point, causing corrosion. Greater corrosion allowances or
stainless steels should be used in these locations.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Wet Gas Coolers Gas is typically cooled between each stage of compression. Downstream of
compressors, liquid water will not re-appear until the gas is cooled to below
its dew-point. This will occur some way into the cooler. If the cooler has
carbon steel tubes it is worth calculating the temperature at which this will
occur as the site of water condensation can be the location of worst case
corrosion and will therefore determine the life of the coolers. As the
following example, in Table 15 from one BPX asset shows, the dew-point
temperature can be closer to the gas exit temperature than the entry
temperature. If the entry temperature had been used for the corrosion rate
predictions, they would have been unnecessarily conservative.
Tube size 1" x 16g 5/8" x 16g 3/4" x 16g 5/8" x 16g
Wall thickness 1.5 mm 1.5 mm 1.5 mm 2.75 mm
Pred. Corr. Rate 0.5 mm/yr. 0.9 mm/yr. 1.16 mm/yr. 1.6 mm/yr.
Inhib. Corr. Rate 0.05 mm/yr. 0.09 mm/yr. 0.1 mm/yr. 0.2 mm/yr.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Carbon steel is rarely a good choice for the tubes of coolers in wet gas
service for the following reasons:
3. The high gas velocities and highly turbulent flow regimes mean
corrosion inhibitors are unlikely to work well.
More suitable materials for the tubes include 316L, duplex or super duplex
stainless steels. If necessary, carbon steel can be used for the tube sheets
to reduce costs with a suitable corrosion allowance incorporated.
Glycol Contactors Glycol contactors are an example of equipment that, on the face of it, may
suffer excessive internal corrosion due to the combination of gas below its
dew-point, high pressures and carbon steel construction. However,
operating experience has shown this to not be the case as the large volumes
of glycol effectively absorb the water and inhibit corrosion. Carbon steel is
therefore a satisfactory material of construction although many projects go
to the expense of internal coatings, such as epoxy phenolics, particularly for
the lower sections.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
The 1995 de Waard & Milliams corrosion rate prediction model relies heavily
on the use of flow velocities to predict corrosion rates. If this model is used,
guidance is required on typical velocities. The design guidelines used for the
Project, or actual throughput rates and internal pipe sizes are the best sources
of such information. If this information is not available then the following
information can be used as it details typical limiting velocities used during the
design of process pipework.
This information is taken from two recent design guidelines used by Process
Engineers for sizing of process pipework. They deal with maximum
velocities and can therefore be used as worst case. Pipe sizes are based on
several criteria, including the requirements to avoid vibration, deposition of
solids, excessive pressure drop and erosion.
Flow Velocities in ‘Single phase liquid lines’ refers to pipework where system pressure is forcing
Single Phase Liquid liquid from higher pressure vessels to lower pressure vessels, drains or
Lines tankage. It does not refer to the suction or discharge of pumps.
Flow should not exceed 5.0 m/s and should not be less than 1 m/s. The
lower limit is to avoid deposition of solids. More detailed guidelines are
summarised below. They are only to be applied to clean fluids - allowable
velocities shall be reduced if solids are present.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Flow Velocities in The flow velocity in pumped liquid lines is strongly dependent on pump
Pumped Liquid Lines type and line size. Centrifugal pumps and large line sizes can handle higher
liquid velocities than reciprocating pumps and small line sizes. If the pump
type is unknown, it is safer to assume a centrifugal pump for the purposes
of corrosion rate calculations.
If the line size is not known, the following velocity range can be used. If
the line size is known, Tables 17 and 18 give more information.
Centrifugal Pumps
Suction 1 to 2.4 m/s
Discharge 1.8 to 5.5 m/s, excursions up to 9 m/s.
Reciprocating Pumps
Suction 0.3 to 0.6 m/s
Discharge 1 to 1.8 m/s
Table 17: Maximum
Velocities in Lines to Service Max. Velocity m/s Max. Velocity m/s
and from Centrifugal Normal Limit
Pumps
Suction Discharge
up to 3" 1 1.8
4" 1.4 2.4
6" 1.5 3
8" 1.8 4.3
10" 2.1 4.9
12" 2.4 5.5
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Flow Velocities in In multiphase lines, use the limiting velocity defined by API RP 14E. BP use
Multiphase Lines a C factor of 135 for carbon steel - see p77. Velocities should not exceed 75%
of the 'critical flow velocity'. Critical flow in multiphase systems is analogous
to sonic flow in single phase systems.
Flow Velocities in A general limit of 18 m/s is applied to gas piping to avoid pipe vibrations.
Vapour or Gas Lines Compressor surge/recycle lines, relief valve inlets etc may operate at
substantially higher velocities - see Table 19. However, pipework to and from
reciprocating compressors typically has a lower velocity limit of 12 m/s.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
The technique of life cycle costing (LCC, also known as whole life costing)
helps in this assessment by converting future costs into current monetary
value and thereby allowing direct comparisons with capital costs. To carry
out accurate, meaningful and useful LCC’s the Materials or Project Engineer
must have:
Gathering the necessary data for accurate LCCs is a major task and a
guideline document is available [17].
In some cases, the cost of materials are relatively minor and the costs of
installation far outweigh them. Expensive sub-sea wells are an obvious
example of where workovers are to be avoided due to a materials failure.
In such cases it is common to select robust materials in order to protect
against a repeat of the high installation costs but there are many examples
where the answer is less clear cut. The key question is, “when is investment
in corrosion resistant materials justified?”
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
Corrosion models clearly have an input to this but can not provide the
complete answer. Corrosion models are normally used as a materials
selection tool and taking an extreme example, if there were no consequences
of a failure there would be no justification in investing in corrosion resistant
materials. An investment in corrosion resistant alloys (CRAs) aims to protect
against the consequences of a failure and therefore materials selection must
consider the consequences in the decision making process. Consequences
may include economic, health, safety or environmental impacts or all four but
in most cases all consequences can be related to a financial impact.
Example:
What material should be used for the river crossing? The decision can not be
based solely on the corrosivity of the fluids as the consequences of a failure
under the river crossing is clearly far greater than a similar failure on land. A
method of evaluating the consequences of such a failure is required and from
this a method for determining how much it is worth investing on Day 1 to
prevent a failure several years later.
The Expected Value technique does this and is covered in detail in ref 17.
The technique quantifies what has been done subjectively for many years:
materials selection becomes more conservative as the consequences of a
failure increase. This is the main reason corrosion resistant materials are used
more extensively downhole and sub-sea than on land - it is not the fluids
that are significantly different but the economic drivers.
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THE USE OF PREDICTIVE MODELS DURING DESIGN
For fair comparison, the costs are converted to present day values (NPVs).
The costs associated with each outcome are multiplied by their probability
to produce the estimated value.
No Failure
80% NPV Cost = $0.6
EV for C-steel
Install C-Steel
$5.85 million
river crossing (0.8 x 0.6) + (0.2 x 24.64)
Failure
20%
NPV Cost = $0.6+$0.29+$23.75
= $24.64
94
References
95
REFERENCES
96
Installation of the Cassandra 98 Excel
Workbook
Description
The Cassandra 98 work book was written in Microsoft Excel for Windows
95, version 7.0a. It may not run in earlier versions of Excel.
Automatic Installation
If for any reason this does not succeed, try the ‘Manual Installation’
procedure described below.
Once complete the work book should be opened using the following
sequence:
1. Start
2. Programs
3. Cassandra
4. Cassandra 98
The first time the work book is used the message ‘ This document contains
Links’ will appear. Click ‘No’ to this.
If not already present, the automatic installation will create the following
folders with files in them:
1. C:\Xlph
2. C:\Data\Cassandra
3. C:\Windows\Start Menu\Programs\Cassandra
In addition it will place the file Xlph.ini in the root directory ( c:\ )
97
INSTALLATION OF THE CASSANDRA 98 EXCEL WORKBOOK
Manual Installation
In the root directory of the disc there is a folder called ‘Files’. This folder
contains two files ( Cassandra 98.xls and Xlph.ini ) and a folder
( Xlph ) in the root directory. The Xlph folder contains seven folders:
1. Phreeqe.dat
2. Readme.doc
3. Xlph.inf
4. Xlph.out
5. Xlph.xla
6. xlph.xla
7. Xlphdemo.xls
Installation 1. Copy the Xlph folder into the root directory of the C: drive. This
should give the following structure:
1. C:\Xlph\Phreeqe.dat
2. C:\Xlph\Readme.doc
3. C:\Xlph\Xlph.inf
4. C:\Xlph\Xlph.out
5. C:\Xlph\Xlph.xla
6. C:\Xlph\xlph.xla
7. C:\Xlph\Xlphdemo.xls
2. Copy the Xlph.ini file into the root directory of the C: drive to give
C:\Xlph.ini
3. Copy the Cassandra 98 file to your preferred location such as the
Desktop, the root directory or another folder. For example:
C:\Cassandra 98.xls
4. Start Excel
5. On the Menu bar click ‘Tools’.
6. On the drop down menu click ‘Add-Ins…’.
7. In the ‘Add-Ins’ box click on ‘Browse…’.
8. In the ‘Look in’ box select (C:).
9. Select the ‘xlph’ folder and click ‘Open’.
10. Select the ‘Xlph.xla’ file and click ‘OK’.
11. In the ‘Add-Ins’ box click on ‘OK’.
12. If not already open, ‘Open’ the Cassandra 98.xls file.
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