The International University (Iu) - Vietnam National University - HCMC

THE INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY(IU) - VIETNAM NATIONAL UNIVERSITY - HCMC
FINAL EXAMINATION
Semester 3, 2014-15 • Date: August 12, 2015 • Duration: 120 minutes
SUBJECT: CALCULUS II for BT

Department of Mathematics Lecturer
Vice Chair:
Assoc. Prof. Pham Huu Anh Ngoc Nguyen Minh Quan, PhD
INSTRUCTIONS: Each student is allowed a scientific calculator, a Table

of Area Under a Normal Curve, and a maximum of two double-sided sheets
of reference material (size A4 or similar), stapled together and marked with
their name and ID. All other documents and electronic devices are forbidden.
1. Suppose a species of fish in a lake is modeled by the following logistic

growth model:
dP P
=k 1− P,
dt N
where the relative growth rate k = 0.3 (per year) and the carrying capacity
N = 10000 (fish).
(a) [10 points] If 2500 fish are initially introduced into the lake, find P (t).
(b) [5 points] Estimate the number of fish in the lake after 5 years.
(c) [5 points] When will the number of fish in this lake be 8000?
2. Observations on a certain animal tumour indicate that its size x(t) (in
centimeters) at the time t (in weeks) obeys the following differential equation:
dx x
= (3 − ln x)
dt 10
(a) [10 points] Use Euler’s method with h = 0.2 to approximate x(1) to 4
decimal places, given that x(0) = 1.
(b) [10 points] With x(0) = 1, solve the differential equation by using the
separation of variables method, and then find lim x (t).
t→∞
3. A particular hypothetical human disease occurs with a probability of 0.06

in males and with a probability of 0.02 in females. Assuming that the frequency
of males is 0.5 and females 0.5 in a very large population.
(a) [10 points] What is the probability that an individual selected at random
from this population will have the disease?
(b) [10 points] What is the conditional probability that a randomly selected
individual who had the disease will be a female?
----- please turn over -----

4. If total cholesterol values for the population of a certain city are normal
distributed with mean µ = 200 (mg/100 mL) and standard deviation σ = 20
(mg/100 mL).
(a) [10 points] Find the probability that a person picked at random from this
population will have a cholesterol value greater than 240 (mg/100mL).
(b) [10 points] Find the number of people with cholesterol values between 200
(mg/100mL) and 230 (mg/100mL), if the population of this city is 100, 000.
5. The length of time (in years) that a seedling tree survives is a continuous
random variable T with probability density function defined by
f (t) = 0.04e−0.04t , t ∈ [0, ∞) .
(a) [10 points] Find P 0 6 T 6 21 .

(b) [10 points] Find the mean and the standard deviation of the distribution.
—END—
SOLUTIONS TO CALCULUS 2 (BT) FINAL EXAM, S3-2015
N
R R
1. (a) [10 points] By using the method of separating of variable (N −P )P
dP = kdt,
we obtain the following general solution of logistic model:
N N − P0
P (t) = −kt
where b =
1 + be P0
10000
Thus, the fish population is P (t) = .
1 + 3e−0.3t
(b) [5 points] P (5) ≈ 5990 (fish).
(c) [5 points] We have
10000
P (t) = = 8000
1 + 3e−0.3t
5 1
= 1 + 3e−0.3t → e−0.3t =
4 12
ln 12
Therefore, after t = 0.3 ≈ 8.28 years, the number of fish in this lake will be
8000.
2. (a) [10 points] Using the Euler’s method, approximation of x(ti ) is xi

calculated by
xi+1 = xi + g(ti , xi )h, for i = 0, 1, 2, ...
where g(ti , xi ) = 0.1xi (3 − ln(xi )), h = 0.2, xi = x0 + hi, and x0 = 1.
Hence, we get x1 = 1.06, x2 = 1.1223, x3 = 1.1871, x4 = 1.2542, x5 = 1.3238.
Note: Students who give the answer x5 = 1.324 also get full credits.
(b) [10 points] By using the method of separating variables, we have

Z Z
dx 1
= dt
x (3 − ln x) 10
By a change of variable y = ln x, we get

Z Z
dx dy
LHS = = = − ln |3 − y|
x (3 − ln x) 3−y
This implies 3 − y = Ce−t/10 , where C is a constant. So, y = 3 − Ce−t/10 .

Using the initial condition y(0) = ln 1 = 0, we obtain C1 = 3. Thus,
y = 3 − 3e−t/10
Therefore, x (t) = e3(1−e

−t/10
) and lim x (t) = lim e3(1−e−t/10 ) = e3 .
t→∞ t→∞
3. (a) [10 points] Let D be the event that an individual has the disease, M
be the event that an individual will be male, and F be the event that an
individual will be female.
The probability that an individual selected at random from this population
will have the disease is
P (D) = P (M | D) P (M ) + P (F | D) P (F )
P (D) = (0.5) (0.06) + (0.5) (0.02) = 0.04

(b) [10 points] The conditional probability that an individual who had the
disease will be a female is
P (F | D) P (F ) (0.5) (0.02)
P (F |D) = = = 0.25
P (D) 0.04
4. (a) [10 points] The probability that a person picked at random from this
population will have a cholesterol value greater than 240 (mg/100mL) is

C − 200 240 − 200
P (C > 240) = P >
20 20
C−200
Let Z = 20
. Then Z is a standard normal RV.
P (C > 240) = P (Z > 2) = 1 − P (Z ≤ 2) = 1 − φ(2) = 1 − 0.9772 = 0.0228.
(b) [10 points] The probability that a person picked at random from this
population will have a cholesterol value between 200 (mg/100mL) and 230
(mg/100mL) is

200 − 200 C − 200 230 − 200
p = P (200 ≤ C ≤ 230) = P ≤ ≤
20 20 20
P (200 ≤ C ≤ 230) = P (0 ≤ Z ≤ 1.5) = φ(1.5)−φ(0) = 0.9332−0.5 = 0.4332.

The number of people with cholesterol values between 200 (mg/100mL) and
230 (mg/100mL) is pN = 0.4332 × 100000 = 43320.
5. (a) [10 points] We have
Z0.5
0.5
P (0 ≤ T ≤ 0.5) = 0.04e−0.04t dt = −e−0.04t 0 = 1 − e−0.02 ≈ 0.0198
0
(b) [10 points] By using the method of integration by parts, the expected value
is
Z∞
E (X) = 0.04te−0.04t dt = 25
0
And the variance is
Z∞
Var(X) = 0.04t2 e−0.04t dt − (25)2 = 625
0
The standard deviation thus is σ = 25.

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THE INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY(IU) - VIETNAM NATIONAL UNIVERSITY - HCMC

SUBJECT: CALCULUS II for BT

INSTRUCTIONS: Each student is allowed a scientific calculator, a Table

1. Suppose a species of fish in a lake is modeled by the following logistic

3. A particular hypothetical human disease occurs with a probability of 0.06

----- please turn over -----

f (t) = 0.04e−0.04t , t ∈ [0, ∞) .

(a) [10 points] Find P 0 6 T 6 21 .

2. (a) [10 points] Using the Euler’s method, approximation of x(ti ) is xi

(b) [10 points] By using the method of separating variables, we have

By a change of variable y = ln x, we get

This implies 3 − y = Ce−t/10 , where C is a constant. So, y = 3 − Ce−t/10 .

Therefore, x (t) = e3(1−e

P (D) = (0.5) (0.06) + (0.5) (0.02) = 0.04

P (C > 240) = P (Z > 2) = 1 − P (Z ≤ 2) = 1 − φ(2) = 1 − 0.9772 = 0.0228.

P (200 ≤ C ≤ 230) = P (0 ≤ Z ≤ 1.5) = φ(1.5)−φ(0) = 0.9332−0.5 = 0.4332.

5. (a) [10 points] We have

The standard deviation thus is σ = 25.

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