for Teachers

Mathematics 6
Fourth Quarter, Week 8 Day 1 – 4
Objective:
1. Makes simple predictions of events based on the results of
experiments.
MELC Code:
M6SP-IVI-23

Written by:
Marilou A. Paradero
Tigbucay Elementary School

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 LESSON EXEMPLAR IN MATHEMATICS GRADE 6
Quarter 4 – Week 8

I. Learning Competency:
Makes simple predictions of events based on the results of experiments.
(MELC Code#M6SP-lVi-23)

II. Content Standard:

Demonstrates understanding of pie graphs and experimental probability.

III. Subject Matter: Prediction and Outcomes

Material/s: Books, activity sheets

IV. Pedagogy/Strategy: Explicit Instruction

Description: Modelling Steps - I do
- We do
- You do

V. Learning Activities:

A. Mini Lesson:
Alfred is one of the 20 guests at a Christmas party. All the guests were
ask to write their names on a card and place it in the box. The card are
Hello!
shuffled and one card is Good
drawnday! Today to
at random you will learn
choose how to
a winner formake simple
a prize.
predictions based on the results of experiments.
Since each card is as equally likely to be drawn as any other, what is the But before
chance that Alfredthat, let me
will win theask you first what is prediction?
prize?
There are 20 guests in the party and each have an equal chance to
win the prize. Alfred wins only if his card is drawn. His chance of winning the
prize isPrediction
shown below.
is a statement about what will happen or
might
Let ushappen.
use theThe act of saying whatformula
will happen in thethe result.
theoretical probability in getting
future.
Today you will make predictions based on the result of
Number of favorable outcomes = 1 = 0.05 = 5%
experiment.
Number of possible outcomes 20

Alfred has 1 or 5% chance to win the prize.

20 1
 b. Use theoretical probability formula.

Probability (under 21) = Number of favorable outcomes =58 = 0.58

Number of possible outcomes 100

2. Multiply the probability by the number of expected visitors.

5 000 x 0.58 = 2 900.00 2 900

 Great Adventure can expect 2 900 of these visitors to be under 21

years of age.

Sometimes we can make predictions using the

data from past events. Consider example number 2.

Example number 3:
Example number 2:
The manager of Great Adventure Amusement Park took a random survey of
100 visitors to the park. They summarized the results in the following table:

Favorite ride No. of Visitors Age No. of Visitors

Dragon Express 40 3-11 23
Bump Cars 30 12-20 35
Star Frisbee 18 21-40 26
Others 12 41-above 16

A crowd of 5000 visitors is expected at Great Adventure over the weekend.

Predict how many of these visitors will be under 21 years of age.
1. To find the probability:
a. Add the number of visitors ages 3-11 and 12-20, that is;
23 + 35 = 58

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 Now let us have example number 3.

A bag contains 12 red marbles, 8 blue marbles, and 4 yellow marbles.

Predict the chances of getting a blue marbles.
Use Theoretical Probability.
There are 8 blue marbles. Therefore, the number of favorable outcomes
is 8. There are total of 24 marbles. Therefore, the number of possible
outcomes is 24.
Using the formula, we have
Theoretical Probability (event)= Number of favorable outcomes = 8
Number of possible outcomes 24

P (blue marble) = 8
24

P (blue marble) = 1
3

Therefore, the chances of getting a blue of marble is 1.

3

In making predictions, we have to find the

favorable outcomes and possible outcomes of an
event to give the best predictionbased from the
experiments.

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B.Guided Practice Activity

Hi! I’m very sure that you have learned a lot from
our session because you are a fast learner. Try to
answer the following. The first one is done for you.

Direction: Make predictions based on the results of each experiment.

1. How many times would the coin land on heads if you tossed it 50 times?
Solution:
We can predict the number of times an outcome will occur by multiplying its
probability by the number of attempts.

Probability (heads) x number of tosses = ½ x 50 = 25

Multiply ½ by 50 the answer is 25. Therefor the

probability is that we can toss heads 25 times out of 50.

2. A bag contains 12 white marbles, 8 red marbles, and 4 yellow marbles. Predict
the chances of getting 4 yellow marbles. Use the theoretical probability formula.
3. A medical study tests a new medicine on 4 800 participants. It is effective for 4
200 participants. Predict the effectiveness of a medicine using experimental
probability formula.
4. “MATH” has 4letter. Find the probability of picking letter “A”.
5. Ramkin is going to flip a fair coin 1200 times. What is the best prediction for the
number of times that the coin will land heads up?

C. Independent Practice Activity

Direction: Choose the correct answer.

These ten names are written on slips of paper and placed in a box. One name
is written at random. Find each best prediction with probability.

Marissa Segunda Alfredo Roy Ezekiel

Daniel Laurence Vincent Nandy Maricel

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1. What is the chances of drawing a name that begins with letter “A”?
A. 10 B. 1 C. 2 D. 20
2. What is the probability of drawing a name that begins with letter M?
A. 10 B. 3 C. 2 D. 20
3. What is the probability of drawing a name that ends with the letter “l”?
A. 10 B. 30 C. 15 D. 3
Each of the 11 letters of the word “MATHEMATICS” is written on a separate
card. The cards are placed faced down and shuffled. A card is chosen at random.
What is the probability that it will show each of the following?
4. The letter M.
A. 2 B. 1 C. 11 D. 22
5. The letter E.
A. 2 B. 1 C. 11 D. 22
6. A vowel.
A. 2 B. 1 C. 11 D. 22
7. Letter T.
A. 2 B. 1 C. 11 D. 22

Solve and make prediction based on the results of experiment.

Students were surveyed about the number of books inside their bags. The
table shows the results.
Number of Books Number of Students
2 or more 24
1 14
0 4

Find the probability that a student has:

1. One book.
2. Two or more
3. No book

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D. Evaluation

Directions: Read each item carefully. Encircle the letter of the correct answer.
1. Amit is going to guess on all 20 questions of his multiple-choice test. Each
question on the test has 4 answer options, and only one is correct. What is the best
prediction for the number of questions that Amit will answer correctly?
A. Exactly 5 questions
B. Close to 5 questions but probably not exactly 5 questions.
C. Exactly 4 questions.
D. Close to 4 questions but probably not exactly 4 questions.
2. Shun is going to flip a fair coin 450 times. Complete the following statement with
the best prediction. The coin will land tails up…
A. 225 times B. 300 times C. 200 times D. 150 times
3. Cam is going to roll a fair 6-sided die 2400 times. What is the best prediction for
the number of times that Cam will roll the number 4?
A. Close to 1200 but probably not exactly 1200
B. Exactly 1200
C. Close to 400 but probably not exactly 400
D. Exactly 400
7. There
4. Laurence findquestions
are 40 the experimental probabilitytest.
of multiple-choice of his reaching
Each questionfirston
base
theistest
40%.
hasOut
5
of 350 at bats, how many times can he expect to reach first base?
answer options. Vitor is going to guess on it. Complete the following statement.
Vitor
A. 110will correctly answer…C. 130
B. 120 D. 140
A.
8. Exactly 20 a marble without looking and then put it back. If you do this 10 times,
You select
what
B. is the
Close best
to 20 butprediction
probablypossible for 20
not exactly the number of times you will pick a pink
marble?
C. Exactly 8
D. Close to 8 but probably not exactly 8
5. If you flip a coin 2 times, what is the best prediction possible for the number of
A. 5 it will land
times B. on
10 heads? C. 15 D. 20
9. 1If you spin B.
A. the2 spinner 6 C.
times,
3 what isD.the
4 best prediction possible for the
number of times it will land on pink?
6. Celia volunteers at her local animal shelter. She has an equal likely chance to be
assigned to the dog, cat, bird or reptile section. If she volunteers 24 times, about
how many times should she expect?
A. 2 B. 4 C. 6 D. 8
A. 2 B. 4 C. 6 D. 8
10. Malia finds the experimental probability of her scoring a goal is 20%. Out of 225
attempts, how many times can she expect to score a goal?
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A. 150 B. 450 C. 50 D. 45
Answer Keys:
Guided Practice Activity
2. P = 4/24 = 1/6
3. P = 4200/4800 = 7/8
4. P=¼
5. ½ x 1200 = 1200/2 or 600
Independent Practice
1. B
2. C
3. D
4. A
5. B
6. A
7. A
8. 14/42 x 42 = 588/42 = 14/1 or 14
9. 24/42 x 42 = 1008/42 = 24/1 or 24
10. 4/42 x 42 = 168/42 = 4/1 or 4

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Evaluation
1. B
2. A
3. C
4. D
5. A
6. C
7. D
8. A
9. B
10. D
References:

Burgos, J., Dimaranan, A., Perez, M. & Placer, D. (2016). 21 st Century

MATHletes Textbook-Published by Vibal Group, Inc. pp. 70-71

Perez, M. et al (2016). 21st Century MATHletes Textbook 6, pp. 66 – 76.

Placer, D. et al (2016 21st Century MATHletes Teacher’s Manual 6, pp. 20-22.

Quality Assured/Evaluated by the Following:

Dennis B. Medado

Gina I. Lihao
Education Program Supervisor in Mathematics

Reviewed By:

Evelyn F. Importante
OIC- CID Chief EPS

Raymund M. Salvador
OIC- Assistant Schools Division Superintendent

Jerry C. Bokingkito
OIC- Assistant Schools Division Superintendent

Dr. Jeanelyn A. Aleman, CESO VI

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