Automation in Longwall
Automation in Longwall
Automation in Longwall
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November 1. 1"
Prepared for
U.S. Department of Energy
through an Agreement with
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
by
Jet Propulsion Laboratory
California Institute of Technology
Pasadena. California
Prepared by the 1a Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology,
for the U.S. Department of Energy through an agreement with the National
Aeronautics and Space Administration.
ABSTRACT
iii
a.
FOREWORD
ACKNOW:..*_DGMENTS
iv
CONTENTS
A. OBJECTIVES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1-1
A. OVERVIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2-1
A. OVERVIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-1
A. OVERVIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4-1
v
E. HEALTH AND SAFETY INDICATORS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4-5
A. OVERVIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5-1
A. OVERVIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6-1
D. RECOMMENDATIONR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6-4
APPENDICES
Figures
vi
a
5-5. Shearer Face Alignment Flow Diagram . . . . . . 5-19
Tables
Vii
W,
viii
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a-.:..-^rO-F^.... .=°b'F,'f''"l:-'z-;=
ix
SECTION I
A. OBJECTIVES
To meet the objectives, the study used: (1) the longwall mining
guidance and control system work conducted by the NASA Marshall Space Flight
Center (MSFC) for DOE; (2) existing automation work done by the mining
industry on longwall, continuous miner, roof bolter, and shuttle car systems;
(3) the system modeling and evaluation tools developed by JPL under the
Advanced Coal Extraction Systems Project; (4) automation technology advances
developed at JPL; and (5) an assessment of useful automation and remote
control technology advances available in other industries. This document, the
first o" two external reports, identifies the n..>st likely automation areas for
a longwall mining system.
The following sections discuss the major assumptions which form the
foundation of the study, the constraints under which the study was performed,
and a summary of the rEsults of the analysis. Finally, a brief statement of
the general structure of the document is provided to assist the reader.
In addition, several ground rules evolved from sponsor requests and time
and budget considerations. First, the DOE Division of Coal Mining requested
that the longwall study utilize the production projections provided by the
Energy Information Agency in 1981. Second, the sponsor indicated a desire •o
limit the market impact analysis to the U.S. coal. industry. Third, although
1-1
s
a
the user requirements revealed a need for automation concepts which encom-
passes state-of-, the-art developments as well rs evolving technology, the
sponfsor requested that the study only consider candidates which utilize
exiEting technology and could be incorporated in the near term (i.e.,
1984-1986 time frame).
The final major constraint revolved around the longwall network analysis
developed es a tool to assess potential automation impacts on productivity.
Again, project funding level and milestone commitments prevented the develop-
ment of a longwall probabilistic PERT network similar in sophistication to the
current KETRON Room and Pillar Critical Path Model. Because of the lack of an
equivalent longwall critical path model, a deterministic network was developed
using KETRON longwall industrial engineering data. The resulting network
provided adequate detail to establish the critical path and amxess the impacts
each automation candidate would have on productivity.
The potential for automating longwall mining components has been widely
examined from both a micro and macro system viewpoint. For example, at a
micro level research has been conducted toward the development of proper
motion and spatial sensors for guiding and controlling the longwall shearer.
At the macro level, several studies have bee% completed which examine the
feasibility and productivity benefits of automating the longwall mining
system. This section provides a brief review of some of the well-known
technical developments and studies at both the micro and macro system levels.
1-2
shearer as it traverses the fake is locating its position as the seam
undulates. Lasers are presently being employed to allow the last cut to be
duplicated based on locating the shearer position relative to seam dips (7. 8).
Industry experience has also indicated that face alignment problems have
contributed to many conveyor and panline failures. One example of the mining
industry's response t, this problem is the yaw measurement sensor daveloped by
the Benton Corporation. This sensor measures angular deviations in the panline
and transmits information about the straightness of the face to the operator.
As an adjunct to all of the above research, the NASA Marshail Space Flight
Center Long% vall Program tested the performance of several shearer and conveyor
sensors, and then examined design problems associated with retrofitting the
shearer and conveyor with the most promising sensors.
At the macro (system) level, several studies have been done on the
potential impact of longwall automation on productivity. Two major system
studies were performed by Skelly and Lev and CONINEC (10, 11). The results of
the Skelly and Loy study suggested that a 60% increase in productivity was
feasible if both the shearer and face advance systems were automated. The
productivity increase stemmed from: (1) a projected improvement in the
shearer *reverse speed (caused by not having the shearer and conveyor speed
paced by operator motility); (2) a reduction in face personnel, therefore
allowing the prodvictivity per man to increase; and (3) alleviation of trim cuts
caused by poor face alignment (10). The Skelly and Loy study also suggested an
environmental and equipment monitoring system be employed since there would be
no face personnel present to monitor methane emission and equipment failures
(10).
1-3
a,
Zhe following discussion summarizes the approach used in each step of the
analysis.
1-4
wh-ch detracted from production time, but had potential to be streamlined with
automation. Once the automation opportunities (developed from the considera-
tions summarized above) were reflected in the form of appropriate delays in
the network, an estimate of potential increase in productivity was obtained.
This estimate became a pivotal variable in the cost-benefit assessment.
2. Results of Analysis
(6) Face sensing ahead of the shearer (to detect hard rock
partings).
1-5
- IL
As stated earlier in Section I.B, one of the study guidelines was that
the longwall automation study consider only those opportunities which could be
incorporated in ti,e near term using state-of-the-art technology. The technol-
ogy assessment of both existing and evolving automation indicated that only
the first five of the above areas would fit the near term category. These five
areas (shearer automation, shield advance, conveyor/pan-line advance, computor
monitoring, and preventive maintenance) became the focus of the automation
study.
Once the sensor, guidance, and control technologies were identified and
conceptualized for each automation area, approximate development costs for
implementation in commercial longwall systems were estimated. The costs and
benefits were then calculated using the net dollar worth of improved produc-
tivity, minus the capital and uperating costs. Miner health and safety, the
other major areas impacted by automation, were also quantified where possible.
Table 1-1 provides a summary of the quantitative and qualitative benefits in
the areas of productivity, health, and safety.
Table 1-1 shows that the smart (remotely operated) shearer and shield/
conveyor opportunities are the most promising of the five automation options.
This is because the largest system delays are associated with the shearer,
shields, and conveyor, and these components have the largest impact on safety
and productivity. The above results do not imply that the remaining automa-
tion options should not be pursued. Once the appropriate sensors and data
retrieval systems are built into the shearer, shields, and conveyor components,
the benefits associated with the management information and fault isolation
options will also be realized. In conclusion, the recommended development
program for longwall automation has three thrusts:
(3) Uti1 4_ze the sensor feedback information from the face components
and add the desired additional sensors and feedback linkups for
the computer monitoring and fault isolation options.
E. STRUCTURE OF DOCUMENT
1-6
Table 1-1. A Su ary of Total Longwell Automation Benefits
(1989-2000)
Safety
Productivity Injury
Opportunity ($1,000,000) (51,000900 Reductions) Health's
Smart (remotely-operated
Shearer 158 7.7 385 +
Computer Monitoring 28 0 0 0
Fault Isolation 0 0 0 0
Combined Automation
(all of the above) 199 13.7 683 +
Smart Shearer/Shields/
Conveyor 193 15.1 753 +
Smart Shearer/Shields/
Conveyor/Computer
Monitoring 226 15.1 753 +
This information forms the basis for understanding the key areas where
automation could enhance system operation. Section III develops the automation
opportunities based on NASA Marshall Space Flight Center longwall experience,
industry survey, cost and complexity considerations, and health and safety
impacts. Once the basic system components, operations, and automation areas
are identified, the productivity, technology assessment, health and safety, and
cost benefit aspects of the study are developed. In preparation for presenta-
tion of the final study results, Section IV briefly introduces the evaluation
tools used in each aspect of the study to allow the ultimate ranking of automa-
tion opportunities. Section V then provides the detailed results of: (1) the
network and productivity analysis, (2) the automation technology assessment,
(3) health a-id safety evaluations, and (4) the cost benefit analysis. Section
VI presents a recommended plan for implementing the automation opportunities,
based on the results presented in Section V, and also provides concluding
comments on the overall study with a detailed summary of the results.
Supporting data for the anal y sis are provided in the Appendix.
1-7
SECTION II
A. OVERVIEW
In this discussion the shearer (rather than the plow) will b= used as
the excavating component because it presently represents the most widely used
longwall extraction device in America (12). The shearer described below
consists of a double drum type with ranging arms and will travel across the
face unidirectionally (since this configuration offers the most favorable way
of controlling dust at the face). The shearer, its companion conveyor, the
line of roof supports that protect the face area, and the crew constitute a
system which, when complemented with support systems, allows the longwall
system to operate. Inefficiency, poor productivity, injuries, dust problems,
and equipment breakdowns sometimes result from the cramped quarters and poor
2-1
u
visibility. The following sections examine each of the system components in
detail and provide the foundation for the automation considerations developed
later in the document.
B. SHEARER OPERATION
The dual-drum shearer can cut coal in seams as thick as 18 ft. Ranging
arms, which elevate and depress the drums, enable the shearer to change drum
cutting postures, thereby allowing bi-directional movement. The drum leading
in the direction of shearer travel usually cuts to the upper limit while the
trailing drum cuts to the lower limit. These limits are determined and
adjusted by two operators, who accompany the shearer as it moves along the
face. Each operator also controls the position of the drum cowling, which
helps direct broken coal toward the face conveyor. In bi-directional practice,
the cowls are repositioned when the cutting direction is reversed. The follow-
ing discussion demonstrates shearer operation as it is commonly practiced in
the United States.
The operating pattern of the double-drum, shearer, and loader calls for
a cut across the entire face. Although the depth of cut is limited by drum
dimension, a shallower cut depth can be achieved by changing the position of
the face conveyor structure that supports the shearer. Detailed attention is
given to face alignment normal to the entries on either side of the panel as
well as linearity, because Severe stress is placed on the shearer and conveyor
components if the face is not straight (12, 13). In addition, production is
adversely affected if clean-up (alignment) cuts are necessarv. The operators
position the drums, cowls, and water sprays, prior to starting a face pass.
The major operator concerns are:
(1) The shearer travel rate as judged by the power draw, volume of
coal leaving the face, and coal lump size.
The shearer generally cuts and loads at 10-12 ft/min. The full face
pass ends when the leading drum breaks into the far entry (tailgate). At that
point, the operator backs off the shearer, lowers the leading drum, and cuts
the short bench segment of coal that the trailing drum could not cut. The
shearer then retreats (flits) toward the starting gate until it arrives at a
point some 50-100 ft from the starting entry (headgate). The trailing drum
2-2
is raised to the upper position and the shearer cuts the top coal into the
headgate entry to prepare for another pass. Meanwhile, the entire conveyor
pan-line is moved in position against the freshly established face in pre-
paration for another pass. These periodic shearer stops at the headgate or
tailgate offer the best opportunity for maintenance or inspection.
Supports may be also placed at both ends of the pan-line in the gate
entries to protect power components such as the conveyor drive, the gear
reduction units, the head and tail pulley assemblies, and the chain tensioning
device. Often these additional supports are fitted with hydraulically
activated canopy extensions to provide greater protection at the critical
face-gate junctions. In some conditions, roof supports may be deployed fully
across the entries to protect against roof or rib collapses caused by stress
buildup in the overburden.
2-3
D. PACE CONVEYOR OPERATION
In operation, the pans remain in their "cutting pass" position until the
shearer returns to the headgate. As soon as the shearer flits back toward the
headgate, the pan-line is snaked to its new position near the face, ready for
the next shearer cut cycle.
E. OTHER COMPONENTS
2. Stage Loader
2-4
Because the stage loader is designed to contain coal surges, it offers a
convenient location for a coal breaker. The breaker provision is widely
accepted as the necessary means to size coal ahead of conveyor loading to
prevent belt damage. The lump breaker is positioned on the stage loader
astride the coal flow. Large lumps of coal are mechanically broken as they
approach on the loader pan.
The head and tail gate areas are generally zones of maximum roof
stress, and require placement of supplementary roof support to maintain roof
3
integrity and geometry. Temporary roof support is typically accomplished via
the use of hydraulic props, sometimes supplemented by "'tuber cribs. Cribs are
normally constructed by stacking timbers in a vertical box configuration
between the floor and ceiling. The hydraulic prop is a metal column which is
used as supplementary and temporary roof support. It is manually placed and
activated by a hand-pump. A range of sizes and load-bearing capacities
(commonly 10-40 tons) is available.
A. OVERVIEW
Review of the MSFC longwall study suggested three main areas where
automation was not particularly advantageous. First, operators apparently do
not have a problem with roll. This stems primarily from the relatively slow
rate of advance, thus allowing sufficient time to compensate, and the fact
that some existing equipment already has hydraulic actuators built into long-
wall systems to level the machine. In addition, a slight amount of roll does
not cause major machine stress or any reduction in shearer cutting efficiency.
Second, the MSFC study pointed out that slight machine pitch does not parti-
cularly cause any operating problems. It is recognized, however, that major
vertical undulations in the pan line do put stress on the conveyor. The third
non-problem area involved identification of the coal-rock interface. If the
operator is cutting up to the rock interface, the generation of sparks provides
immediate identification of the interface. This area does become a problem if
the operator wishes to leave coal on both the top and bottom.
The MSFC study identified some major guidance and control problems
with existing longwall systems. As stated above, under certain conditions,
machine pitch and coal-rock interface location can be serious problems. In
addition, the MSFC study suggested that machine yaw and cut following can lead
to serious control problems, and can result in excessive stress on the pan-line
and face conveyor. Not maintaining a straight line between the headgate and
tailgate was recognized as contributing to roof control problems at the
interface between the face and entries, and to interference between shields
during shield advance. Cut following problems usually occur while cutting in
thick seams where it is necessary to leave a certain amount of coal on both
3-1
a
F '
the roof and floor. These problems also occur when the operator attempts to
cut around a parting in the coal. Improperly following each previous cut
results in inefficient cutting, shield advance problems, and excessive stress
on both the shearer and conveyor systems as the system gets out of alignment
with each successive cut.
The survey sample was structured to obtain inputs from equipment and
system designers, mine managers, equipment operators, and maintenance
personnel. The equipment and system design organizations contacted were Joy
Manufacturing, U.S. Steel Research, and Lee Engineering. The longwall mines
contacted were Carbon Fuel #34, W. Va., Utah Power 4 Light (Deer Creek), and
lT tah Power b Light (Wilberg). These equipment and design companies were
selected because they were either presently involved in longwall automation
research, or had considerable knowledge of longwall mining and recent develop-
ments in automation. The longwall mines were selected based on personal
contacts with individuals at the mine management level.
'i-2
b. Identification of Problem Areas. There were several areas
where the equipment manufacturers felt automation could assist existing
longwall operations. The first areas identified were dust and methane
control. The manufacturers were particularly aware of the problem present
longwalls have with meeting the 2 mg/m 3 dust regulation. Removal of the
operator and helper from the immediate face would allow compliance with the
intent of the dust regulation, and concurrently decrease exposure to possible
methane ignition. Other areas highlighted were equipment guidance and moving
equipment from one panel to the next. Improper guidance and lack of appro-
priate support equipment for moving components result in considerable loss of
production time. Associated with equipment guidance are horizontal and
vertical alignment. These functions are presently performed visually, and
reasonably well, by experienced operators. However, undulations in the seam
aggravate these guidance problems. The manufacturers also indicated that a
mine diagnostics and fault isolation system would greatly assist in reducing
high maintenance downtimes. Two other relatively long-range areas considered
as reasonable automation opportunities were remote roof quality sensing and
remote seam mapping. These areas were suggested as important time savers for
planning ground control schemes and mine development. A key equipment design
concern apparent in the interviews was the need to include worker inputs on
design problems so as to provide design changes that are useful and acceptable
to the worker.
3-3
Li
off the face. Management suggested a need to control the lump size through
—me type of automatic crusher. The mine management universally 4greed that
there wa a great need for better remote seam mapping technology which woul:
aasiat ii mine planning and equipment selection. The last area addressed by
management was miner acceptance of new technology. All of the managers
cautioned against total system automation. The reasons for this were:
(1) Miners must perceive a need for a new system before they will
effectively utilize it. This may take time.
(2) Trying to integrate a new, very complex system into the mine may
exceed the present maintenance familiarity and knowledge of the
miner.
3-4
The inputs from the maintenance personnel revolved largely around
reducing machine failures and subsequent downtime. As with the operators,
suggestions were made to incorporate diagnostics and fault isolation, greater
modularity, and reduced size for easier component handling and maintenance.
All of the above suggestions were considered useful to the worker for improv-
ing productivity. Overall, the survey suggested that:
(1) Remove the workers from dust and methane hazards in the
environment.
(4) Provide a means to move eq+tipment easily from one panel to the
next (either through size +a.nd weight reduction, or self-contained
motorized units).
(6) Provide for remote seam mapping to allow better mine planning and
equipment selection (such as locating rock intrusions in the coal
seam or discontinuities in the overburden which could cause poor
roof conditions).
3-5
(1) Uncompensated (man does all the information integration).
(1) The task demands are greeter than the operator can cope with.
(G) The allowable error is much less than the operator can insure.
For example, automatic pilot systems on high performance jet aircraft are a
necessity to compensate for the relatively slow human response as compared to
the demand for control of high speed aircraft. The potential error in net
automating this system is catastro phic; both the pilot and the aircraft wouLi
be lost. This is not the case with guidance control on longwall systems.
First, the longwall system operate3 and advances at a relatively slow rate.
Second, an examination cf the longwall operation and activity aetwork indi-
catos that workers must he present simply because man y non-routine tasks are
required (i.r., adjusting the conveyor, additional ground control, cleanup
wider the shearer, etc.). Classical human engineering principles suggw that
if the human being must be present, then it is more efficient and cost
effective to use the human's integrative abilities rather than the machine's,
given that the potential impacts of a human error are not significant. In
longwall operation, the only impact of a human error is loss in production
time. Th^^refore, in view of the potential cost, the fact that none of the
longwall activities and potential err7rs are of a critical nature (i.e., life
rand system endangering), and wo- • kers must be present, it appears that the best
approach is to develop an aided control system. This approach is also con-
sistent with the survey results, which indicate that workers desire aids to
help them perform their tasks more efficientl y , not aids that replace the
worker completely.
1-6
i
not conform with the 2 mg standard. Automation, or remote control, of the
shearer and shields would remove both the operator and helper from the dust
plume at the face. In the area of safety, the four major accident classes in
order of severity, are: (1) handling material, (2) machinery, (3) roof/face/
rib falls, and (4) slips and falls. The bulk of the serious handling material
injuries are associated with non-routine activities such as cleanup, handling
supplies, and machine maintenance. Consequently, the more routine tasks which
could be automated (such as operating the shearer, moving the conveyor, and
advancing longwall shields), removing the worker from the hazards, would only
marginally effect the total number of s..rious injuries. The major improve-
ments in serious injury reduction through automation occur in the last three
accident classes. The major causes of serious injuries in the machinery
accident class are: (1) operators struck or caught while operating the
longwall, and (2) operators struck or caught while advancing longwall
shields. These two hazards cause 752 of the total disabling injuries. These
same two hazards, along with being struck or caught while moving the conveyor,
compose 242 of the roof/face fall disabling injuries, and 322 of the slip and
fall disabling injuries. Overall, automation of the shearer, shield, and
conveyor operations could reduce the average yearly longwall injuries by
approximately 242.
(6) Face sensing ahead of the shearer (to detect hard rock partings).
(7) Remote seam mapping (as related to mine planning and development).
3-7
One of the project constraints was that the longwall automation study
consider only those opportunities amenable to near-term incorporation (the
1984-1985 time frame) using state-of-the-art technology. The technology
assessment of state-of-the-art automation suggested that only the first five
opportunities listed above would be available for the desired time frame of
incorporation. The last three areas shown will require much more development
effort.
3-8
a `
SECTION IV
A. OVERVIEW
4-1
. a•
ORIGINAL PAGE 6;
OF POOR QUALITY
development costs. In the economic impact study the development costs were
deleted since they consumed onl y a small fraction of the total costs.
B. NETWORK ANALYSIS
Figure 4-1 illustrates how various events (i.e., activities and delays)
are sequenced in the network. Events that occur in a straight line (events 1
and 2 above) are in series with each other because event number 1 must occur
before event 2 can commence and end (17). However, event 3 can start and end
while events 1 and 2 are proceeding. Therefore, event 3 is placed in parallel
with the first two events (17). In a similar manner, the complete process is
diagrammed from beginning to end, with the legs in the network representing
the various times for task start, duration, and end.
START END
EVENT EVENT
3 , DURATION OF EVENT 3 3 d
4-2
The complete application of the PERT method also requires that.best,
worst, and desired event completion times be used. Multiplying the proba-
bility of an event being completed (based on historical experience) by the
three completion time estimates results in the expected value for finishing a
given task (16, 17). When all the expected values (the beat estimates of task
completion) have been placed in the network, the minimum time to complete the
whole process can be determined. This is called the critical path and is an
important baseline to estab.ish in order to examine ways of streamlining the
process (17).
G-3
control system called MINOS (Mine Operating System) with over 10 units
delivered to mines. The fact that U.S. mines have started to introduce
similar systems underground is a solid indication that digital electronics are
evolving toward a practical application in the mining industry.
Over the years the summing network, or zero seeking comparator, has
evolved from hydraulic or mechanical components through analog electrical
components to digital electronic computer components. With evolution has come
a reduction in cost and size, and an increase in performance and speed of
operation. Taken one step further, several digital electronic servos,
incorporated in an assembly which processes several incoming signals for the
purpose of performing a distinct set of functions, form a fully automated
device. The servos which actuate the system may be electrical, pneumatic, or
hydraulic units.
FEEDBACK SENSOR
4-4
D. MINER ACCEPTANCE
The evaluation tools for assessing the health and safety impacts of
automation were developed separately under the JPL Advanced Coal Extraction
Systems Project (20, 21). Potential health improvements are evaluated using a
qualitative methodology. This approach was selected because any stage of
development prior to the prototype test does not provide information on actual
dust concentrations or toxic material emissions. However, by understanding
the comparative levels of exposure to health hazards of a proposed design and
a similar conventional system (considering worker activities which interface
with hazards and design improvements such as additional protection), the
^iethodology provides a relative means of rating the effectiveness of various
health design features (20).
4-5
L ^r
F. COST-BENEFIT INDICATORS
Other cost factors which were not addressed in this study were: (1)
national security, as it is affected by domestic energy availability, (2)
international trade, as it might be affected by increased export of coal and
coal mining equipment, and (3) possible spinoff benefits from the proposed RED.
4-6
5
SECTION V
A. OVERVIEW
The longwall network analysis was divided into four basic steps. The
first step was the development of a longwall and operational network. The
automation options and respective estimates of time savings were inserted into
the network where it was felt a given delay could be affected. As these delay
reductions only represented estimates, the next step involved meeting with
experts in the mining industry and revising the projections based on actual
experience. In some cases the estimates proved to be optimistic, while in
other cases the estimates were rather conservative. Based on the input from
the experts, the final projected time savings (and productivity impacts) were
determined. Each of the above steps is explained in the following discussion.
S-1
headgate to tailgate. It is understood that ideal environmental conditions
(very little dust and no methane) in conjunction with a seen height below
48 in. does permit some longwalls to cut in both directions. However, this I
not normal practice. Using 480 min as the baseline shift definition, Figure
illustrates the basic longwall operation. The key for the definition of each
numbered activity and delay element shown in the network is provided in Table
5-1. It should be noted that the first seven activities listed in Table 5-1 do
not have mean times listed because these activities are not part of the normal
longwall operating cycle and are not affected by the automation options.
After development of the longwall network, the next step was to integrate
the various automation options into the network at the appropriate delay
points. As indicated earlier, the primary automation candidates were:
5-2
.,
ORIGINAL PAGE
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5-3
Table 5-1. Longwell System Functional Network Key
bExperienced section
5-4
Table 5-1. (Cont'd.)
5-5
a
Event Description Mean Time
Activity Description Per Shift (Min)
Where,
This production time increase, when placed back into the cut cycle
times, resulted in the shearer being able to perform one more 490-ft cut.
This represents a 50% increase ; a production time.
5-6
OMMM • ^GE 13
CW MM QUALITY
(hart)
Input revision@ to
projectten tree experts
Calculate
(stop)
(5) Experts were provided data on the present operating time scenarios
and the projected improvements based on automation, for:
1
5-7
ORIGINAL PAGE 15
OF POOR QUALITY
Automation Component/Activity Time Savings (min /shift)
Shearer -
Readgate overload 6
Operator delays 2-10 (avg 6)
Lunch 60
Subtotal 72
Shield/conveyor advance
Conveyor jammed/adjusted 2
Chain broken/out of guide 6
Pan hangups (nominal) 10
Conveyor flight jamming 2
Shields stuck/interference 5
Subtotal 25
Fault isolation/diagnostics
Electrical maintenance 11
Pump failures 3
Section power and water
shutdown 7
Subtotal 21
The experts were provided both the present and projected time impacts as
a baseline from which they could make their own projections. The review
process commenced with asking each expert if he believed the actual effects of
automation would be closer to the projected or present operating scenario
based on his own experience and the design analysis. The range between the
two operating times was then cut in half, and the ^xperts were asked to refine
their estimates. This process cont4nued until the experts could not refine
answers any further. The final answer is typically provided as a range and
the reasons for each answer were also recorded in order to establish a sound
foundation for the revised projection.
5-8
The experts chosen were from Foster-Miller (FM), Joy Manufacturing (J),
and Skelly and Loy (SL). All of the participants had a good working knowledge
of existing automation practices and longwall machinery operations. It is
important to note that although the experts varied in their perceptions of the
magnitude of the automatio.. impacts on production time, the types of responses,
in terms of losses or improvements, were consistent. The final production
time improvement estimates were displayed as a range, encompassing all of the
answers. Each group of experts was interviewed separately and not informed of
the results of the other interviews. This approach ensured that each partici-
pant was not biased by the other responses. Table 5-3 summarises the results
of the interviews.
5-9
4
aExperience indicates that for every trim cut, approximately 0.5-1 cut per
shift is lost in the process of squaring up the face, adjusting ground
control, and positioning the head or tailgate sections.
5-10
i y
5-11
Table 5-3. (Cont'd.)
5-12
Table 5-3 (Cont'd.)
3. Fault isolation/
diagnostics
Electrical maintenance
(cable failures, power
overload) 0 15-19 J/SL - Electrical fail-
pump failures urea are difficult to
section power/water diagnose in sufficient
time to schedule
maintenance (accept
for cable failures);
also, manpower would
most likely be at face
during face breakdowns,
so impact would be
marginal. FM-Only a
marginal impact would
be felt since the
maintenance manpower
would most likely be
concentrated at the
face
5-13
All three groups of experts agreed that by completely automating the
shearer and shield activities, operator delays would largely be removed.
However, time savings could also be realized if remote control were employed,
since one operator could still operate the shearer and have time to monitor
and control other events (e.g., one operator could activate the shearer
sequence and remotely control the shields).
Assuming that the full cut time of 199 min is available (by removing the
amortized trim cut delays), the total range of time savings related to other
shearer delays is as follows:
The projected time savings for all of the above areas is 22-25.5
min/shift.
The two major delays in the network that could potentially be reduced by
fault isolation or a management information system were: (1) electrical
maintenance, pump/water, and power delays, and (2) outby haulage delays such
5-14
T INN
Calculating P t + ti results in
These available production times (when placed back in the cut cycle
times) result in the shearer being able to perform an extra three-fourths of a
490-ft cut. This represents an approximate 40% increase in production time.
5-15
C. AUTOMA;.JN TECHNOLOG`a ASSESSMENT
5-16
E
will also find use in general mining operations. Tn addition to the above
computer (which will process incoming sensor signals) and associated
communications, sensor and actuator development packages are required. The
development packages are described below; block diagrams are employed to
illustrate the complete conceptual design for each automated component.
Figure 5-3 illustrates how the various sensors would be used to operate the
shearer rangin- arm.
Figure 5-4 below illustrates how the additional sensor feedbacks would be used
to operate t-± shearer cowls.
5-17
. a
ORKii M PAN 0
OF POOR QUALITY
LEFT CONVEYOR
RIGHT CONVEYOR
OF COAL SEAM
DI
*The left and right conveyor sections are those i.mme r ii.ately left and right of
the shearer cowl.
5-18
OR GUM PAGE 9
OF POOR QUALM
MANUAL INPUT
B3h'TON TYPE
FACE ALIGNMENT SENSOR
COMMUNICATIONS
DISTANCE ALONG FACE
COMPUTATION OF DESIRED COMMUNICATIONS WITH
5-19
,a •
pRltiiN/►L ^A
OF FAR
COMPARATOR, PART OF
WARNING
OBSTACLE
DETECTOR
EMERGENCY
Flow Diagram
a
5-21
'a
ORIGINAL PAGE IS
OF POOR QUALM
5-22
. a•
Based on the above cost figures it appears that the total development
phase costs are on the order of S4 million.
5-23
.. a
ORIGINAL PAGE 19
OF POOR QUALrrf
Development Production
Item Cost Cost
Note: During the breadboard phase, the face alignment computation package is
run on the above ground computer. During the preproduction phase, it is
anticipated that this software package will be run on a dedicated micropro-
cessor located near the headgate. The exact equipment configuration will be
decided after completion of the shield development phase.
Development Production
Cost
Item Cost
Fault isolation (Table A-9) $ 360,000 $62,000
Monitoring/control (Table A-10) 128,000 3,000
Information/control add-on costs $ 488,000 $65,000
5-24
decrease in injuries. Although the actual relationships are more complicated,
tests of the model demonstrate reasonable accuracy (22). The field of data
elements includes task times and descriptions, crew sizes, and protective
devices for both the proposed design and a piece of contemporary equipment
chosen for comparison. Also tabulated are historical injury experiences
related to major hazards associated with the various conventional tasks. For
each task and hazard, manhours and populations at risk are multiplied by the
historical injury rates observed for similar equipment. Total system safety
performance is then estimated by aggregating rates for various tasks and
hazards (21). Expert judgment can also be incorporated as an additional
weighting factor if desired. For the purpose of this initial examination of
longwall automation opportunities, this factor will assume a value of unity.
The injury projection equation is as follows:
ni = Ni t i /T i figi
where,
ni - the projected injuries for a given task i and hazard in the new
system (injuries/yr).
fi = the manpower ratio for a given task i and hazard of the new
and contemporary comparison systems (dimensionless).
bj - Bjdj
where,
s
5-25
bj - the aggregate number of historical injuries to the body
(or the initial exposure time injury projection) for a
givea hazard and accident class (injuries/yr)
The qualitative health and safety analysis can be performed using the
above table. The health hazards associated with dust inhalation would be
greatly reduced by removing the need for the operator and helper to be near
the shearer while it is cutting coal. Similarly, by removing the operator and
helper from the vicinity of the shearer, the noise hazard is somewhat reduced.
This would only be a marginal reduction since many other kinds of machinery
contribute to the noise hazard. Fatigue and psychological stress caused by
working in a cramped working space (such as operating a longwall in low coal)
would be favorably affected by automation or remote control in that the
operator and helper would not have to traverse the face with the shearer.
Table 5-7 summarizes the effects of automation on the major recognized health
hazards.
5-26
ORIGINAL PAGE
OF POOR QALRY
M C
O M .^
u a .^
w o ~ i• Y t
&J
Ua ti "
OM^ Y`
r .+ ^i in :+ w .r3 w w iv a o
e • -e w v U v N •• a u Ma u .+
May or Task s .4 u pp Co r U r w -,
Mr
O a s U •M A YOa Y 6 Y a.9 M.^
Accident and u a F Fw o v .• o o .t o o u o a Y o a
class Hasard a it 7 MO it a it O it •Mal id U it M M' it Y r y ,+
O O it U V
e Jw
1. Uw • E w 6 COU 9 a
M7 ~ MwO M> +1
u O ^C
Y r1 y
.-1 VO UO UD Y• wwO wwQ UOM
NU W n Ua ri N U V! Y^ N U InU .4 NU YYY S 6 6 N w w
Roof/ fans/rib l
1 0 2 1 6 6 5 0 Fatality 6
falls
1 SDI
Haulage 2 0 2 1 5 5 0 3 0 1
Machinery 1 0 0 O 3 9 33 2 3 20
Handling 5 2 11 10 141 38 3 10 15 10
Material
Explosion/Fire 0 0 0 0 0 O 0 0 0 0
0 10 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0
Electrical
Slip / fall 2 0 1 0 14 8 2 5 0 5
Handtools 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Pressure release 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 O 0 1
5-27
OFMNAL PANE 8
POOR 0UAMY
Health
Operator/helper exposed to dust, noise, Automation of the shearer, shield
and cramped workspace while operating advance, and conveyor advance, and
the shearer and advancing shields total environmental monitoring
Safety
Struck or caught while operating Fully automated or remotely
the longwall controlled shearer
Improvement
Health Hazards Positive Neutral Negative
Dust X
Toxic Compounds X
Temperature/Humidity X
Noise X
Vibration X
Poor Lighting X
Psychological Stress X
caused by cramped workspace
5-28
a•
ORIGINAL PACE W
OF POOR QUALITY
5-29
a^
GWINAL PAGE 19
OF POOR QUALITY
The two major areas where automation would provide protection are
electrical and machine maintenance. The accident classes affected are
respectively electrical, and hydraulic pressure release. The actual expected
decrease in injuries is determined by consulting experts in the field of
machine design and safety. Two experts were chosen from the Bureau of Mines
and M3HA (23, 24).
Roof/face/rib falls 46 35
Haulage 19 15
Machinery 71 16
Handling Material 245 222
Explosion/fire 0 0
Electrical 14 11 -13 (avg 12)
Slips/fall 37 25
Handtools 1 1
Pressure release 3 2
a. Bureau of Mines
5-30
Hydraulic Pressure Release. A fault warning for the shield operator
would definitely provide more protection when advancing shields. However, no
improvement would be experienced in the maintenance area because the complete
hydraulic system would be too complex to monitor, and even if a hose or
fitting failure was isolated. the worker must still interface with the hazards
associated with residual pressure release or home whipping during component
replacement.
b. MSHA
In summary, the above health and safety evaluation suggests that several
areas could be improved through automation. In the area of health,. it appears
that the greatest improvement would be realized through the reduction in
exposure to dust. In the safety area, the largest injury reduction (in terms
of the percent of the total injuries in a given accident class) would be
experienced in the machinery accident class. This reduction would then be
followed, in decreasing order, by pressure release, slip and fall, roof, face
and rib falls, and haulage. In all of the health and safety areas listed
above the related automation areas are shearer automation and automated or
remotely controlled shield and conveyor advance. Both of these automation
opportunities have approximately the came overall impact on injury reduction.
The use of the fault isolation opportunity effects a reduction in the
electrical and pressure release injuries. However, the net impact on overall
injuries is considerabl y less than the other two automation areas.
The last step in the health and safety analysis was to provide a
means of incorporating the results into the fic.al -.)Rt-benefit projection.
This was done by establishing reasonable estimates 'or the cost of an injury,
as well as the amount of lag time required 'or MSHA spproval of new
technology. The MSHA approval period was !!a important contributor to the
market penetration rate of the automation options.
5-31
a
.
Based on the data shown in the following table, it appears that the
total approval period ranges roughly from one to three years, depending
largely on the complexity of the new system and the similarity of the
experimental and production designs. Discussions with the MSHA
representatives suggested that a longrrall system, automated to the degree
indicated in this study, would require probably three years to approve.
* Maximum possible benefits means: the benefits for one year at one mine
section usinh zero cost automation. This establishes an upper bound (or
budget) for automation costs.
**Representative mines include low coal (48-in.-high seams) and high coal
(72-in.-high seams) cases. In some instances, calculations are made for new
mine sections and experienced mine sections.
5-32
Table 5-9. Steps and Average Timeframes for MSHA Approval
5-33
and (4) health and safety benefits. The steps in the methodology are shown in
Figure 5-10. RED costs are not addressed, but they are small relative to the
potential net national benefits.
5-34
ORIGINAL PAGE 19
OF POOR QUALITY
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5-35
(35) derived a method for obtaining the higher rate of return required for
innovations, given a normal rate of return and the lifetime of the invest-
ment. That study was based on research conducted by Mansfield (36).
Mansfield determined that a 252 rate of return on equity, after taxes, would
be required to make an innovation such as automation attractive to the coal
industry.
Therefore, two cost equations were developed for the projection; one
with a normal rate of return (152), and the second, with a higher rate of
return (25x).
IPEG emplovs a fixed charge rate (FCR) for equipment which depends on
equipment lifetime, a second fixed charge rate for land, long-life investments
and facilities, an overhead rate for labor, and another overhead rate for
materials and supplies. A constant charge per ton of coal is also included in
order to account for union welfare costs. The expression for a 152 return on
a nominal coal mine is:
and the expression for a 252 return on a nominal coal mine is:
where the FCR number is taken from Table 5-10, EQPT is the delivered and
installed cost of equipment in 1982 dollars, ACRE is the area of the mine in
acres, DLAB is the annual cost of wages for direct labor, maintenance
personnel, and foremen, in 1982 dollars, MATS is the annual cost of material,
supplies, and utilities in 1982 dollars, and QUAN is the tonnage of coal
produced in a year.
The result of this calculation is the revenue required per ton of coal
to meet expenses and make a return on investment. The financial and
operational overheads include profit, income taxes and credits, amortization
of investment, insurance, startup costs and revenues, working capital,
indirect labor, fringe benefits, rovalty payments, and other miscellaneous
expenses.
Equipment Lifetime
3 4 5 6 8 10 12 20
5-36
t
1
K2
Market Share - K 1 + +BxT+CXTxT
1 + e A
The approach taken for calibrating this curve for longwall market share
was as follows:
(1) Establish an upper bour.l on market share based on the fact that
372 of today's underground production comes from mines which
produce less than 200,000 tons annually and are too small to use
longwalls (37). This statistic has not changed significantly
since 1962 (30). Furthermore, eves. in longwall mines, some 202 of
the coal is obtained by other means during mine development and
initi it tunnel construL , ion. This sets .,n uprAr bk..ind on
longwalls of SOX of total underground coal.
(3) The result of the previous step was used as a trial solution, and
these results were compared to a projection made by Kuti (39), who
used a substantiall y different method. The projections used in
this report are somewhat more conservative than Kuti's. He
predicted 12% longwall penetration by 198S, the logistics curve
produces 11% for that y ear. Furthermore, the rate of expansion is
consistent with data that received from industry (31, 40).
Both the longwall industr y size, in terms of tons per year, and the
annual potential markets are given in Table 5-11. The annual market is
subdivided into expansion into new sections and replacement of old sections,
and is further subdivided into low and high coal. This breakdown is shown in
Table 5-12. The subdivision into low and high coal is based on the historical
data on longwall seam heights provided in Reference 41. This distribution is
shown in Figure S-11. The number of sections comes from the estimates of tons
per section, for low and high coal, directly resulting from the development in
Section V.B of this report. These figures are summarized :n Table 5-13. They
are somewhat higher than historical averages in the U.S. due to expected
improvements in future equipment and procedures (30).
S-37
' a
Year Undergrounds Longwallb % Annual Marketc
5-38
.y
ORIGINAL, PAGE t$
OF POOR QUAtt'IY
Replacement Expansion
Year Low Coal High Coal Low Coal High Coal
1985 1 2 7 9
1986 2 3 12 14
1987 3 4 14 17
1988 4 4 16 21
1989 4 4 19 25
1990 4 5 22 30
1991 4 6 21 27
1992 6 6 23 31
1993 7 7 26 34
1994 7 8 29 38
1995 10 14 31 43
1996 14 16 34 47
1997 15 20 38 51
1998 19 23 42 55
1999 21 28 45 60
2000 19 26 49 65
5-39
1
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ORiu1NAL PAGE 19
OF POOR QUALITY co
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5-40
2. Cost-Benefit Estimates for R&D Options
These options have common elements so that costs and benefits of each of
the six by itself will not add up to the correct cost and benefit for the
group as a whole. Furthermore, options lA and 1B are mutually exclusive. All
other combinations are mutually compatible. Options 2A and 2B should go
together. The maximum benefit comes from the combination of options 1A, 29
and 3. The combination of 1A, 2, 3, and 4 was also examined and is called the
"combined automation" option. Each option is also explored separately.
Table 5-17 gives the net benefits, including the automation costs, for
each opportunity. Opportunities 1 through 3 all have positive net benefits.
Opportunity 4, fault isolation and diagnostics, does not seem practical unless
it can share some of its microprocessor and communications costs with the
other automation opportunities. Table 5-17 is based on stand-alone automation
except for the ombined automation option. Table 5-18 shows the effect of
deleting various opportunities from the combined automation option.
5-41
Table 5-14. Summary of Productivity Increases
(1000 Tons Per Section Per Year)
4. Fault Isolation 5 8 5 8
5-42
a
i
Initial
Capital Labor Annual
Investment Per Costsa
Opportunity Area (1982 $) Shift (1982 $)
aBased on a 3-yr service life for equipment, the IPEG coefficient used
is 0.58.
bone to two persons could have been eliminated but this is not included
here due to concerns about union requirements.
5-43
a`
After these delays, the new technology can diffuse into the potential
longwall markets described in Table 5-12. This study assumes that this
diffusion will occur at the same rate as original penetration of longwalls
into underground mines. Appendix C, Market Size Projections, describes the
approach taken in greater detail. The diffusion of automated longwalls into
the future longwall population is given in Table 5-20 for each of the six
opportunities and combinations listed in Table 5-19. The monitoring and
control opportunity (14) is most effective in mines which use rail transport,
which will be used in some older mines and in the larger new mines (43).
Unfortunately this is a small subset of the total potential market available
to the other opportunities. Therefore, this would have the net effect of
reducing the diffusion rate. Annual benefits and diffusion rates are then
converted into annual net benefit terms in Table 5-21, and these are
discounted at a 72 real rate for a present value result. The computations
were simplified by the following procedure; for each opportunity,it was:
(1) determined whether the mine operator would receive the return on
5-44
It
4. Fault Isolation 4 1 2 7
5. Combined Automation 4 3 2 9
6. lA a 2 3 3 2 8
5-45
Table 5-20. riffusion of Automation Opportunities
Into the Longwall Coal Mining Industry (x)
Opportunity
Year 1A 1B 2 3 4 5 6
1989 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5-46
Table 5-21. Present Value of National Benefits
(Millions of 1 y82 Dollars)
Opportunity
Year 10 1Ba 2a 3b 4b 5c 6c 7c
1989 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0,90 8 0 0 1.5 0 0 0 0
1991 11 0 9 1.9 0 C 14 16
1992 15 0 12 2.6 0 19 18 22
1993 19 0 15 3.2 0 25 24 28
1994 23 0 19 4 0 33 30 35
1995 31 0 24 5 0 41 38 44
1996 39 0 32 7 0 52 50 58
1997 49 25 40 9 0 67 62 73
1998 62 32 51 11 0 84 78 9i
Net
Present 158 48 124 28 0 199 193 226
Value
5-47
a^
Year Injuries
1989 3100
:990 3700
1991 4300
1992 5000
1993 5700
1994 6500
1995 7400
1996 8400
1997 9500
1998 10700
1999 12000
2000 13300
5-48
Table 5-23. Annual and Total Safety Benefits from
Longwall Automation (Injury Reductions)
Opportunity
Year lA 1B 2 5 6 6 7
1989 0 0 0 0 0
1990 7 0 0 0 0
1991 10 0 11 0 19
1992 13 0 14 23 26
1993 17 0 18 31 33
1994 21 0 23 40 42
1995 27 29 50 53
1996 34 0 39 63 70
1997 44 19 48 82 87
5-49
a,
5-50
SECTION VI
A. OVERVIEW
B. SUMMARY OF RESULTS
6-1
C. IMPLICATIONS OF RESULTS
1. Production Implications
It is obvious from the above - asking that shearer, shield, and conveyor
automation make up the bulk of tht verall productivity improvement;
particularly, where an inexprrien^ o operator ( having to make more trim cuts)
is working under ideal condtticn., tt► ign coal). In other words, automation of
the three major areas would allow ' ie longwall system to operate as projected
under ideal conditions, indep.?ndent of any operator delays associated with
skill. It should be noted that Lotal shearer and shield automation were not
considered practical due to the complexity of such a system. Additionally, it
was indicated in Section III that workers would still be required to take care
of non - routine tasks such as ground control. Therefore, it would be
impractical to attempt to fully automate a system where workers are a
necessary element to make the system operate properly.
Remotel-r Controlled
Shearer 61 100 4? 72
Management Infotma-
tion System
(computer monitoring) 14 28 19 28
Fault Isolation 5 8 5 a
Combined Automation
(all of the above) 114 177 9S 149
6-2
i
Table 6-2 presents the net impacts of all the automation options on
productivity in terms of percentage improvements over the original baseline
figures.
Operator Skill High Coal Low Coal
New sections (inexperienced) 38 44
Old sections (experienced) 30 34
Overall average 37
2. Technology Implications
It is important to recognize that the total cost cited in Table 6-3 makes
no provision for amortization of expenditures. In fact, the total investment
cost could be raised by two to four times higher (i.e., up to $20 million) to
be conservative, and the total payback, based on the previously calculated
$200 million net benefit, would still be an order of magnitude larger.
Therefore, it is clear that the pote-tial for improved production far
outweighs the investment in RED.
6-3
'a
Management Information
System (computer
monitoring) X 0.1
associated with being caught, being struck, or slipping and falling while
advancing the shields and conveyor, comprised the largest fraction of serious
longwall injuries. Table 6-4 provides the ranking of the automation options
as a function of the potential reduction in average yearly disabling injuries
and overall health improvements.
Table 6-5 indicates that, overall, the net benefit of incorporating all
the automation options results in roughly a $200 million profit to longwall
sections. Most of this profit comes from the improved production potential of
automated longwall systems.
D. RECOMMENDa:rIONS
6-4
a
Table 6-4. Ranking of Automation Options Based on Health and Safety Impacts
Remotel y Controlled
Shearer 10 X
Fault Isolation 1 X
Management Informa-
tion System
(computer monitoring) 0 X
Total Reduction in
Disabling Injuries 23
Table 6-5. Ranking of Automation Options Based on the Net Total Cost
Benefits (Nationwide) for the Years 1989 to 2000
Management Informa-
tion System
(c,mputer monitoring) 28 0 28
Fault Isolation 0 0 0
Combined Automation
(all of the above) 199 13.7 212.7
6-5
payback on R&D will be realized, (2) the most convenient and cost effective
expansion of the system is feasible, and (3) the largest improvements in
worker health and safety are realized. The one consistent element in all of
the preceding rankings was the positive impact shearer, shield, and conveyor
automation had on productivity, the technology development sequence, health
and safety, and cost benefits. Therefore, the first step recommended is
development of the smart (remotely operated) shearer. It is essential to
incorporate the proposed shearer automation package (see Section V-C.) because
it contains many of the spatial sensors which become integrated with the
shield and conveyor automation package. As part of the shearer package, it i•
also suggested that a surface central computer system be developed to: (1)
establish the appropriate sensor data processing links with the shearer, (2)
allow the appropriate command, guidance, and control software to be designed,
and (3) allow the sensor, guidance, and control subsystems on the shearer to
be tested for accuracy, and calibrated. Once the surface computer and shearer
package have been developed, it is recommended that the remaining sensors,
guidance, and control elements be developed for remote shield and conveyor
advance. Following the successful integration of the shearer, shield, and
conveyor automation, the management information and fault isolation options
should be developed. Although additional sensor and information retrieval
subsystems may have to be installed, the data linkup, processing, and display
system will already be in place via the surface computer system. This will
jointly simplify the process of installing and testing other desired fault
isolation sense-s, and permit expansion of the total information system. This
approach toward developing a management information and fault isolation system
seems reasonable considering that a similar system has already been
successfully implemented at the main Canelton Coal Company facility in West
Virginia.
6-6
.a
Similarly, many ocher variables such as soft floor, poor roof, or methane can
prevent the machine from operating at maximum speed. Therefore, rather than
assume that removal of the operator generally allowed a higher cutting rate,
it was decided to keep the traverse rate of the shearer (regardless of
automation) at the present average speed. Ultimately, this nominal value
provided a rate which was not only representative of the industry in general,
but it also allowed the study to retain its conservative (or worst case)
approach. One last minor point of difference between the results of the
respective studies stemmed from the management information and fault isolation
options. Although not addressed in the COMINEC study, the Skelly and Loy
analysis suggested that options would be required to monitor both the
environment (for methane) and machinery failures since workers would not be
present. The results of the network analysis in this stu..y show that these
• -ptions actually have an impact on reducing: (1) failure identification and
access time, and (2) bottlenecks in outby haulage and supply delays.
Consequently, it was discovered that these options could have an impact on
increasing production time.
6-7
SECTION VII
REFERENCES
10. Skelly and Loy, "Evaluation-NASA Coal Shearer Guidance System," Final
Report, October 24, 1980.
15. Van Cott, H., Kinkade, R., Human Engineering Guide to Equipment Design,
Joint Army, Navy, Air Force Steering Committee, Mcgraw Hill Co., 1972.
7-1
17. Ackoff, R., Sasieni, M., Fundamentals of Operations Researchp John Ailey
and Sons, Inc., New York, 1968.
22. Zimmerman, W., "Health and Safety Evaluation of a Modified Tunnel Borer
Design for Application to Single Entry Coal Mine Development," JPL
Publication 82-12, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California,
February 15, 1982.
25. Thaler, R., and Rosen, S. "The Value of Saving a Life: Evidence from
the Labor Market," Department of Economics, University of Rochester,
1973.
26. Marshal, R., Director, MSHA Approval and Certification Center, West
Virginia, private communication, 1982.
28. Kotler., P., Marketing Decision Making, Holt, Rinehart and Winston, Inc.,
1971.
32. Aster, R. W., "Interim Price E*.i*mation Guidelines, Version One," JPL
Report 5101-33, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CalifornL-.,
September, 1977.
7-2
33. Firnett, P. J., "Improved price Estimation Guidelines (IPl'04) Coaputer
Program User's Guide, Release 2 9 " JPL Report 5101-156 Rev. A, Jet
Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California, November, 1980.
34. Aster, R. W., "IPEG Coefficients for Underground Cozl Mining: First
Draft," January, 1982.
35. Goldsmith, M., and Lavin, M. L., "Overall Requirements for an Advanced
Underground Coal Extraction System," JPL Publication DOE/ET -12548-1,
pages 54-56, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California, October,
1980.
41. Goode, C. A., and Gross, M. A., "Longwall Face Support in the U.S.,"
Colliery Cuardian International, pp. 9-14; October, 1978.
42. Bickerton, C. R., and Wtiterfield, M. D., "A Moving Baseline for
Evaluation of Advanced Coal Extraction Systems," JPL Publication
DOE/ET-12548-5, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California, April,
1981.
43. Lavin, M. L., Border, C. S., Duda. ). R., "A Life-Cycle Description of
Underground Coal Mining," JPL Report FE/9036-1, Jet Propulsion
Laboratory, Pasadena, California, April, 1978.
46. Bielicki, R. J., and Uhrin, U, C., "Coal Mine F.gdiptrent Forecast to
1985," Eastern Field Operation Center. 1.1rCE.3 of Mi.,e Information
Circular 8710, 1976.
7-3
APPENDIX A
A-1
k
I
t
3'Fiia appendix covers the coat - = alffere spproacbea ^o Itf - ------ ----- ---
automation. Each
The numbers provided are general order of magnitude coats.
common equipment/subprograms that
automation opportunity envisions the use of
are shared by all five automation opportunities and the use of apecial zed
add-an equipment/subprograms for each-automation opportunity. Table k--1 list
elements that are coeaon to each automation opportunity.
Development Production -
Item Cost Cost
Table A-2 is developed assuming that only the vertical profile of the
shearer cut is placed in machine memory and utilized on the subsequent shearer
cuts.
Development Production
Item Cost Cost
C -^
A-3
Table A-4. Combine: Costs of Ranging Are and Cowl articulation
Development Production
Item Cost Cost
A-4
OMQ AL PAM IS
OF Pmt OUALfff
s -
F Development Production
,I Item Cost Cost
After the alignment of the face is meas •.red, these measurements most be
converted into commands to individual conveyor rams. Initially this
computation is done at the general purpose computer_ on the surface. In
productions versions, the computions would be done by a dedicated computer at
the headgate. The computations are used by the face conveyor alignment
hydraulic ran servo control package. Table A-6 shows the cost for face
alignment control. The work of Table A-5 must be completed before Table A-6
work can proceed.
Development Production
Item Cost Cost
Modifications to Sheild
Communications
let unit $ 509000
100 units a 1,000 each 400,000 $1009000
Conveyor alignment ram
let unit - 50 1, 000 -----
100 units 0 1 9 000 each 400 9 000 1009000
Face conveyor alignment computation software 60 9 000 109000
Face conveyor ram servo control software 120,000 5,000
A-5
Face alignamot control includes commmication between mite a
each shield, and a microprocessor eat *aW shield. Sbield advanew ntili. es
face aligmwnt croprocessor an each smiaid to 10ont"I d47 shield tilt VIM
and the top rams. This will result in autt ted shield afivawai This.
capability is limited to good floor co6dittima t thus a tilt imiicater and M-
obstacle detector are included to detect malfunctions and a MarMIAMlit to
warn personnnel of ping t and/or to m w persounel if op ttwo
are faulty. Table A-7 covers the add-on cost of_microprocessot ontrolled
shield advance.
The total add-on cost for face alignment and shield advance is shown in
Table A-8.
Development
Cost
Develo-mlent Production
Item Cost Cost
A-7
APPENDIX B
Two IPEG equations are p uvided here; one for a 1519I-rate.of return on - -
equity (a typical average for most sines at this tree), - - mr-a 25Z ra#=e
of return on equity. The 15% rate, and many of the . otherfinancial parameters
used to generate these equations, are consistent with the assumptions use in
which describe a 1978 coal mine (44). A test case yielded a result within 6%
of the result obtained in that report. -IPEG produted a result of $18.7/ton
and the more elaborate procedure gave a result of $17.6/ton when the same
values for EQPT, ACRE, 'DLAB, and BATS were used.
The two equations below represent the 152 and 25Z rates of return on --
y, res pe ctivel y, with a 10-year equipment ' life. The " ACRE coefficient
e quit
will be sensitive to land costs, site prep, and shaft development costs. The
other coefficients will be reasonably accurate for soot sines. A full list of
financial parameters used to generate these equations is attached.
The financial and organizational overheads were derived from the values of
parameters given in Table B-3.
The input parameters are: equipment ( EQPT), mine property size ( ACRE),
direct labor ( DLAB), materials, supplies, and utilities ( MATS), and the
quantity of coal produced in a year ( QUAN). These have specific definitions:
B-3
4. MATS is the annual cost of materials, supplies, and utilities
expressed in 199 2 ;ollars.
B-4
Tabu 8=1. IM Coal Miss Coefficients# 151
2 0.760
3 0.578
4 0.487
5 0.433
6 0.398
7 0.373
8 0.355
9 0.341
10 0.330
12 0.315
15 0.301
20 0.289
Toble 3-2. MC-Coal Kim Coefficient•#
6 0.619
7 0.595
8 0.578
9 0.567
10 0.558
12 0.549
15 0.548
20 0.547
B-6
FL Facility and mine lifetime, in rears 20
B-7
c
--
ale 3.
Default
Variable Description dal
S-8
C-1
s
The "S" shaped ;curve that is used in market growth studies can be
generated by a logistics function (28). A general formulation of the
logistics curve is the following:
Market Share =
E1 + R2
1+e A +BzT+CxTz?
where: T is time expressed in years,
The first step was to use a simple fora of this equation by setting X1
and C to zero and then seeing if the resulting formula provided a good fit to
thn_ data. This simplification s<:smed appropriate because there- are only 13
historical data points available to estimate the model parameters.
c-3
aEstimated from the longwall census (31).
C-4
71
17
16
z0
13
15
W Z
0W
Z
Ul
14 0 I'L
O
13
12 4 z -
0
11
ac
10 0
z Q
MA O
01 9 C w
zu
U.
0 i
w 8 0^
Ous
LU ZIE
O 7 R
z
z
6 R
Uj
5 CL
0 R R
4 R R R
3 R R cc
R
z
0-
R R fo
I I
65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81
YEAR
NOTE: There are 103 operating as of February 1982, 26 are on orderp and 145
have been operated.
Figure C-1. Longwall Startups in the USA
C-5
0.375
1
0
I--
0.325
W
0
Z
0.300
0.275
0.250
20 ?2 24 26 28 30
PERCENTAGE OF UNDERGROUND COAL MINING
PERFORMED BY LONGWALLS IN 1995 (%)
Figure C-2. Market Curve Fit Variance as a Function
of Market Penetration by 1995
C-6
Market Share - 0.5
1 + e -0.127
Where ? - 0 in 1995.
@SSIFICATION
C-7