Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 08-15-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 24
Typhoon GORING (SAOLA)
Issued at 2:00 PM, 29 August 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.

TYPHOON GORING PERSISTS IN STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WEST NORTHWESTWARD

Location of Center (1:00 PM)

The center of the eye of Typhoon GORING was

estimated based on all available data at 175 km East
Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan or 190 km East
Southeast of Calayan, Cagayan (18.8°N, 123.2°E)

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h near the
center, gustiness of up to 190 km/h, and central
pressure of 950 hPa
Present Movement

West Northwestward Slowly

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up
to 350 km from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
11:00 PM 19.5 122.4 100 km East Northeast of Calayan, Cagayan 155 TY NW 10
29 August 2023
24-Hour Forecast
11:00 AM 20.3 121.3 Over the coastal waters of Sabtang, Batanes 155 TY NW 10
30 August 2023
36-Hour Forecast
11:00 PM 20.9 120.1 180 km West of Itbayat, Batanes 155 TY WNW 10
30 August 2023
48-Hour Forecast
350 km West Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
11:00 AM 21.6 118.6 155 TY WNW 15
(OUTSIDE PAR)
31 August 2023
60-Hour Forecast
455 km West Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
11:00 PM 21.9 117.6 155 TY WNW 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
31 August 2023
72-Hour Forecast
560 km West Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
11:00 AM 22.1 116.6 155 TY WNW 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
01 September 2023
96-Hour Forecast
740 km Northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
11:00 AM 22.1 114.8 150 TY W 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
02 September 2023
120-Hour Forecast 895 km West Northwest of Northern Luzon or
11:00 AM 22.0 113.0 in the vicinity of Guangdong, China (OUTSIDE 120 TY W 10
03 September 2023 PAR)

Page 1 of 3

Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 4801 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 08-15-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 24
Typhoon GORING (SAOLA)
Issued at 2:00 PM, 29 August 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao

The southern portion of Batanes (Sabtang, Uyugan, Ivana, Mahatao,

3 Basco) and the northeastern portion of Babuyan Islands (Babuyan

Is., Camiguin Is., Calayan Is.)
Wind threat: Warning lead time: 18 hours
Storm-force Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
winds Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
The rest of Batanes and Babuyan Islands, and the extreme
northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga,
2 Santa Praxedes, Claveria, Sanchez-Mira, Pamplona, Abulug, Ballesteros,
Aparri, Buguey, Camalaniugan, Santa Teresita)
- -

Wind threat:
Gale-force Warning lead time: 24 hours
winds Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property

The northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan (Baggao,

Lasam, Peñablanca, Iguig, Amulung, Gattaran, Alcala, Santo Niño,
Allacapan, Lal-Lo), the eastern portion of Isabela (Dinapigue, San

1 Mariano, Ilagan City, Tumauini, San Pablo, Cabagan, Maconacon,

Divilacan, Palanan), the northern portion of Apayao (Flora, Calanasan,
- -

Wind threat: Luna, Pudtol, Santa Marcela), and the northern portion of Ilocos Norte
Strong (Vintar, Pasuquin, Burgos, Dumalneg, Adams, Pagudpud, Bangui)
winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall

Forecast accumulated rainfall from today to tomorrow afternoon

 100-200 mm: The northeastern portion of Babuyan Islands
 50-100 mm: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, the northern portion of Abra, the northern portion of Apayao,
and the northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan.

Forecast accumulated rainfall from tomorrow afternoon to Thursday afternoon

 Greater than 200 mm: Batanes and Babuyan Islands
 100-200 mm: The northern portion of Ilocos Norte and the northwestern portion of Cagayan
 50-100 mm: Apayao, Abra, the northern portion of Ilocos Sur, the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan, and
the rest of Ilocos Norte

Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-
induced landslides are still expected especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as
identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.

The enhanced Southwest Monsoon will also bring occasional or monsoon rains over the western portions of Central
Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas over the next three days. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory #10 for
Southwest Monsoon issued at 11:00 AM today and 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast and Outlook at 4:00 AM today.

Page 2 of 3

Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 4801 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 08-15-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 24
Typhoon GORING (SAOLA)
Issued at 2:00 PM, 29 August 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.

Severe Winds

The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds
may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in
areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.

 Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas where Wind Signal No.
3 is hoisted.
 Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2
 Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are also possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.

Wind Signal No. 4 is the highest possible warning level due to severe winds that may be hoisted by PAGASA over
Extreme Northern Luzon.

The enhanced Southwest Monsoon will continue to bring gusty conditions over the following areas not under any
Wind Signal, especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:

 Today: Aurora, Bataan, Bulacan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, Dinagat Islands,
Camiguin, and most of Zamboanga Peninsula.
 Tomorrow: Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Bulacan, Aurora, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol
Region, and Visayas.
 Thursday: Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Zambales, Bataan, Bulacan, Aurora, Metro Manila,
CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, and Western Visayas.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

A Gale Warning is in effect for the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon, the eastern and western
seaboards of Central Luzon, the seaboards of Southern Luzon, seaboards of Visayas, and the northern seaboard of
Mindanao. Disruption in civilian maritime activities is expected over these areas (e.g., suspension of sea travel) due to
hazardous sea condition. For more information, refer to Gale Warning #11 (Intermediate) issued at 12:00 PM today.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

 GORING is forecast to follow a mainly northwestward or west northwestward path across the Luzon Strait from
today until it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow evening or Thursday morning. The latest
track forecast indicates that the typhoon may pass very close or make landfall in the vicinity of Batanes between
tomorrow morning and afternoon (although a slight southward shift in the track forecast may bring the eye and
eyewall region of the typhoon to the northern portion of Babuyan Islands). During this period, the typhoon is forecast
to persist in strength by the time it passes very close or over Batanes (although gradual re-intensifying and reaching
into a super typhoon category is not ruled out).
 Outside the PAR region, the typhoon will continue its west northwestward movement for the remainder of Thursday
before turning more westward by Friday, increasingly unfavorable conditions over the waters southeast of mainland
China will trigger a weakening trend. By the time GORING may make landfall in the vicinity of southeastern China
(near Hong Kong/Pearl River Delta area) on Sunday, it will have weakened to minimal typhoon strength.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to
take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly
susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall
warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please
monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.

DOST-PAGASA
Page 3 of 3

Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 4801 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph