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Contents
INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72
EVENT-RELATED POTENTIALS: OVERVIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73
Basics of Recording, Timing, and Scalp Distribution of Event-Related Potentials . . . 73
Advantages of ERPs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75
Disadvantages of ERPs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76
ERPs: CORRELATES OF INDIVIDUAL DIFFERENCES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77
Between-Group Comparisons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77
Continuous Variability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
Insights and Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
ERPs: MEASURES OF RISK FOR PSYCHOPATHOLOGY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
Studies of Individuals at High Risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
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Prospective Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
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INTRODUCTION
If medicine had limited itself to self-report assessments of symptoms, mechanism-based treat-
ments of illness would have languished. Neuroscience methods are increasingly used in psychia-
try and clinical psychology, a trend that reflects the general sense that the brain is the right organ
to study in the search for biological causes of, and mechanism-based interventions for, mental
disorders (Insel & Cuthbert 2015, Jones & Mendell 1999). We even presume that the impact of
experience and the environment on psychiatric outcomes is determined, at least in part, by changes
in the structure and function of the brain (Bremner 2002). Although it may not be possible to re-
duce mental illness solely to differences in neural activity (Miller 2010), neuroscientific measures
are attractive insofar as they are more objective than some of the traditional ways psychologists
and psychiatrists have approached mental disorders: Neuroscience-based differences and abnor-
malities seem to suggest possible new causes and routes to novel interventions.
And yet human neuroscience studies have produced few, if any, innovations in the diagnosis
and treatment of mental illness (Insel et al. 2010, Stringaris 2015). For example, for many years
there was a sense that the field was going to solve the problem of anxiety disorders by focusing on
the amygdala (Rauch et al. 2003). But what is the clinical utility of amygdala activity or any human
neuroscience measure for that matter? Can neuroscientific methods be clinically meaningful?
The current review focuses on the clinical utility of event-related brain potentials, or ERPs.
ERPs are direct measures of brain activity that can be used to study distinct neural processes within
and across individuals. To make more general points about the potential clinical utility of ERPs,
we focus on one exemplar: increased error-related brain activity in relation to anxiety disorders.
We consider specific ways in which ERPs can be useful in clinical psychology and psychiatry:
from transdiagnostic neural correlates derived from cross-sectional between-participant studies
to neural biomarkers of risk that predict psychopathology in longitudinal research to novel targets
for interventions. In this context, we provide an overall road map to guide neuroscientific studies
toward clinical utility and suggest ways in which ERP data might be further leveraged in the future.
transmitter binding and postsynaptic potentials, respectively. The ongoing electrical activity of
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the brain that can be recorded noninvasively at the scalp is reflected in the electroencephalogram
(EEG). The electrical activity is often sampled rapidly (e.g., every millisecond) and recorded by
electrodes placed at many sites across the scalp that are usually embedded in elastic mesh caps
worn by participants. These electrode sites are named in accordance with the 10–20 system that
uses a combination of letters and numbers to define locations. For example, F refers to frontal, C
to central, and P to parietal; odd and even numbers indicate, respectively, left or right of midline,
and the midline is referred to as zero, or zed, and indicated with a z. Thus, Fz would refer to the
midline frontal electrode site.
At all points in time, the EEG at every electrode site is impacted both by meaningful changes
in brain activity as well as various sources of noise; therefore, it is difficult to interpret. One way
to leverage the EEG to better understand brain function is to examine the EEG when it is time-
locked to specific events of interest. The logic is that these events will cause large groups of neurons
to become active in synchrony, and the resulting postsynaptic potentials can summate, propagate
through the brain, and will be evident in the EEG at specific points in time. When the EEG
is time-locked to specific events, the resulting electrical changes are referred to as event-related
potentials, or ERPs (Luck & Kappenman 2011).
Throughout the current review, we focus on error-related brain activity to illustrate more gen-
eral points about the potential clinical utility and promise of ERPs. To elicit error-related brain
activity, we have participants perform speeded response tasks on a computer, and we have often
utilized an arrowhead version of the flankers task. On each trial, participants must respond to the
direction of a central arrowhead that is flanked by either compatible (i.e., “< < < < <”, “> >
> > >”) or incompatible (i.e., “< < > < <”, “> > < > >”) arrowheads. Stimuli are presented
briefly (i.e., for 200 ms), and participants perform between 300 and 400 trials during approxi-
mately 10 minutes. In the context of the preceding discussion, the EEG can be time-locked to
many events: the presentation of the imperative stimuli or the execution of both correct and in-
correct responses. Although we focus on ERPs that are time-locked to responses, it is also possible
to examine stimulus-locked ERPs during this task.
It is important to note that even ERPs reflect a mix of meaningful brain activity and noise. To
illustrate this point, Figure 1a contains two segments of the EEG from a single participant at the
FCz electrode site that is time-locked to the onset of a single correct response and a single error
response; the average ERP for 20 correct and 20 error responses for this same participant are
presented in Figure 1b. By averaging many segments together, time-locked to the same or similar
events, signal is increased and noise is decreased. In terms of the latter, consider the baseline period
in Figure 1: Whereas there is apparent ERP activity prior to the response after one trial (a), this
FCz (µV)
5
0
10
10 15
20 20
–400 –200 0 200 400 600 800 –400 –200 0 200 400 600 800
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0
FCz (µV)
10
activity summates toward zero after many trials are averaged together (b). However, postresponse
activity in the ERPs does not summate toward zero after averaging many trials together because
it is meaningful and not random. Most ERP studies present group-level averages, and Figure 1c
portrays the grand average (i.e., the average of many participants’ averages) for 20 participants.
ERPs are defined by specific features: the experimental factors that produce variability in the
ERP (e.g., error versus correct responses), polarity (i.e., whether an ERP is a relative negativity or
positivity), timing (i.e., when the ERP is maximal relative to an event of interest), and scalp distri-
bution (i.e., where on the head the ERP is maximal) (Keil et al. 2014). Putting it all together then,
the error-related negativity (ERN) is a response-locked negativity at the frontocentral recording
site (i.e., FCz) that is maximal approximately 50 ms after error compared with correct responses.
Figure 1d plots the mean activity occurring between 0 and 100 ms for the difference from the
grand average between error and correct trials at each electrode site: The central area depicts the
frontocentral negative maximum for the difference between errors and correct trials in the time
range of the ERN.
Advantages of ERPs
Electrocortical activity is measured at the scalp in terms of voltage changes; thus, ERPs are direct
measures of neural activity: Brain activity evident in ERPs is not inferred from statistical mod-
els, as is the case for most analyses that employ functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI).
Although several processing steps can be applied to improve signal and isolate it from unwanted
noise, simply averaging EEG segments is often sufficient to visualize ERPs. Specific ERPs are gen-
erally evident in single-participant averages, as is shown in Figure 1. In this way, ERPs tend to
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be robust and reproducible. As far as neuroscientific measurement goes, ERPs also have excellent
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temporal resolution. Because the electrical activity can be sampled rapidly (e.g., every millisecond)
and because ERPs reflect near-instantaneous changes in electrical brain activity, it is possible to
measure and parse many early neural responses. For instance, Figure 1c indicates that the ERN
is followed by a relative positivity, such that multiple ERPs are evident within just a few hundred
milliseconds after participants make mistakes.
ERPs also have many practical advantages as measures of brain activity: They are relatively
cheap and fast to collect; data collection itself is portable, can be administered in a variety of set-
tings, and does not require particularly extensive training; file size makes storage nonprohibitive;
data can be analyzed relatively quickly; ERPs can be measured across a wide-range of ages (e.g.,
very young to very old) and have relatively few contraindications (e.g., unlike with MRIs, claus-
trophobia, as well as orthodontic braces and other metal in the body, are not contraindications).
As described above, ERPs are defined by features from within-person contrasts. The ERN, for
instance, is defined in terms of ERP differences evident between error and correct trials, and this
is a within-person comparison. However, clinical psychology requires measures that can shed light
on individual differences; for example, we want to understand why some people are more anxious
or depressed than others. Thus, not only is the ERN a distinct neural response to making mis-
takes, it also appears to reflect meaningful individual differences in how people respond to errors
(Weinberg et al. 2012b, 2016). That is, people vary in the size of their ERN, and this variability
has been linked to clinically meaningful constructs (described more fully below).
This move from within- to between-participant comparisons requires measures with good psy-
chometric properties (Hajcak et al. 2017), and researchers have begun to report both the internal
consistency and test–retest reliability of ERPs. In the context of the ERN, we have found that it
has excellent internal consistency both in adults (i.e., split-half reliability between 0.70 and 0.90;
Foti et al. 2013; Olvet & Hajcak 2009a,b; Riesel et al. 2013) and children (i.e., split-half reliability
between 0.60 and 0.90; Meyer et al. 2014), and it has good test–retest reliability over periods that
range from weeks (i.e., r = 0.70 to 0.74; Olvet & Hajcak 2009a) to years (i.e., r = 0.60 to 0.70;
Meyer et al. 2014, Weinberg & Hajcak 2011). Given the increasing number of multisite studies,
it will be important for future studies to also assess the reliability of the ERN across sites (e.g.,
using a traveling participants study). Although to the best of our knowledge this has not yet been
done, we have assessed ERNs in the same 20 participants using different EEG hardware. Specif-
ically, we measured the ERN in the same flankers task using two active electrode EEG systems
[i.e., BioSemi (Amsterdam, the Netherlands) and Brain Products (Gilching, Germany)] and found
that the ERNs were highly correlated (r ≈ 0.70) and had similarly high internal consistency (both
Cronbach’s α ≈ 0.80), suggesting that ERP measures may be fairly comparable across different
EEG systems. Finally, we would argue that one advantage of ERPs is their demonstrated clinical
utility: As described below, ERPs can be used to differentiate clinical groups and predict the onset
of psychiatric disorders.
Disadvantages of ERPs
Compared with other measures of neural activity, such as those derived from fMRI, it is more
difficult to make exact claims about the specific neural sources or neural generators of ERPs.
For instance, it has been suggested that the ERN is generated in the anterior cingulate cortex
(ACC) (Cavanagh et al. 2010, Debener et al. 2005, Ridderinkhof et al. 2004), although others have
suggested the involvement of the posterior cingulate cortex and presupplementary motor area
(Grützmann et al. 2016, Shackman et al. 2011). ERPs may well reflect something more akin to
network activation than the kind of specific localization of function that dominated early cognitive
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neuroscience.
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Although ERPs are robust and reproducible, the exact psychological meaning of ERPs is often
debated, even decades after the discovery and initial characterization of an ERP. The ERN, for
instance, was first reported on in the early 1990s (Falkenstein et al. 1991, Gehring et al. 1993).
Even now, its exact function is actively discussed, and no single account of the ERN is accepted
by the entire field; for instance, the ERN has been linked to both error and conflict detection
(Gehring et al. 2018). Although the ERN has robustly been related to individual differences in
anxiety, the specific interpretation of this relationship is debated (Proudfit et al. 2013).
Although ERPs reflect direct neural activity, many choices must be made during data process-
ing and analyses. The EEG is often filtered to reduce activity at frequencies outside the range of
possible interest. ERPs reflect the electrical potential between two places; thus, when an ERP is
defined as being maximal at FCz, this really implies the difference between FCz and the reference
site. ERP researchers typically use either mastoids or the average activity at all sites as the refer-
ence. One of the largest sources of artifact in the EEG comes from blinks and other eye-related
movements; blinks, for instance, can produce activity at the scalp that is 10 times larger than an
ERP of interest. There are several accepted methods for dealing with ocular artifacts that range
from regression-based correction approaches to independent component analysis to excluding tri-
als with blinks. Each method has its advantages and disadvantages. Overall then, ERPs in a given
study result from several somewhat idiosyncratic decisions about data processing, and although
there is good guidance on reporting these details and the range of sensible choices (Keil et al.
2014), there is no single gold standard set of data analytic decisions.
Quantifying ERPs means weighting some data points and not others. For instance, the ERN
is often scored as the average activity occurring from 0 to 100 ms after response onset at FCz (i.e.,
where and when the difference between error and correct trials is maximal). However, it is also
possible to score the ERN using peak measures or using the area around the peak, and this can
be done at a single site (e.g., FCz) or across several sites (i.e., averaging multiple electrode sites
together). Each scoring approach essentially amounts to a slightly different way of weighting the
ERP data. Given the number of electrode sites, time points, and options for ERP scoring, one
possible disadvantage of ERPs is the potential for type I errors.
One final disadvantage of ERPs follows directly from their excellent temporal resolution:
Individual ERPs can overlap with one another, and variability in one ERP can produce apparent
variability in another. Kappenman & Luck (2011) provide a compelling argument for using
condition-related difference scores to overcome component overlap. More complex alterna-
tives include using factor analytic approaches, such as principal component analysis, to parse
overlapping ERPs (Foti et al. 2011).
ences between group means. At the level of individuals, however, some controls might look more
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like they belong in the disordered group and vice-versa (i.e., there is overlap between the distribu-
tion of the ERN in diagnostic versus control groups). In the context of the ERN studies described
above, it would certainly be possible, for instance, to find a patient with OCD who has a smaller
ERN than a participant with no diagnosable psychopathology. Later in this review, we provide
concrete examples of how this follows if the ERN is determined both by multiple phenotypes and
unexpressed genetic risk for different forms of psychopathology.
Relatively simple between-group studies leave many questions unanswered, for instance, could
group differences reflect comorbid diagnoses or more general impairments caused by a given dis-
order? In the context of the previous discussion, is an increased ERN specific to OCD? And if not,
what other disorders are characterized by an increased ERN? In this way, one can ask how a par-
ticular ERP carves up the space of psychopathology—that is, how the ERN varies with diagnostic
boundaries articulated in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (Am. Psychiatr.
Assoc. 2013). Indeed, an increased ERN has now been reported both among individuals with gen-
eralized anxiety disorder (GAD) (Weinberg et al. 2010, 2012a, 2015) and those with social anxiety
disorder (SAD) (Endrass et al. 2014). Some studies have simultaneously assessed multiple groups
and found that patients with OCD are characterized by an increased ERN that is similar in magni-
tude to the increased ERN in patients with GAD (Weinberg et al. 2015, Xiao et al. 2011), patients
with SAD (Endrass et al. 2014), and patients with health-related anxiety (Riesel et al. 2017).
Although the ERN has been robustly related to OCD and specific anxiety disorders (i.e., GAD
and SAD), its relationship with major depressive disorder (MDD) has been mixed. This is partic-
ularly perplexing insofar as MDD is frequently comorbid with OCD, GAD, and SAD, and some
have even argued that GAD and MDD are actually the same distress disorder (Watson 2005). In
a series of studies, we found that concurrent MDD actually suppresses the relationship between
the ERN and GAD. That is, we found that adults with diagnosed GAD without comorbid cur-
rent MDD were characterized by an increased ERN; however, those GAD patients with comorbid
MDD did not have an ERN that differed from healthy controls (Weinberg et al. 2012a). We found
the same suppressive relationship of MDD when we examined the ERN in patients with OCD
(Weinberg et al. 2015).
These data suggest that commonly comorbid disorders can have an opposing impact on ERPs.
Even though some have suggested that GAD and MDD are indistinguishable distress disorders,
these disorders have a distinct impact on neural function as indexed by the ERN. In this way, ERPs
might provide input for structural models of psychopathology. These results further suggest that
an increased ERN in GAD, OCD, and SAD does not simply reflect psychological distress or broad
impairment, otherwise one would expect to reliably see an increased ERN in MDD.
Many individuals with diagnosable psychopathology are receiving some form of treatment,
which raises the possibility that treatment—especially pharmacological—could cause apparent
group differences in ERPs. In terms of experimental design, this might be avoided by including
only patients with current diagnoses who are not also taking medication. This would not, however,
rule out the possibility that ERP differences could result from having taken certain medications
for many years (e.g., a scar, caused by medication).
In terms of the ERN, Stern and colleagues (2010) demonstrated that patients with OCD are
characterized by an increased ERN regardless of whether they are taking medication. Along sim-
ilar lines, experimental work has found that the short-term administration of drugs typically used
to treat anxiety and depression [i.e., selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs)] does not im-
pact the ERN (De Bruijn et al. 2006). However, evidence does suggest that the ERN is impacted
by the acute administration of some dopaminergic drugs (De Bruijn et al. 2004, 2006), as well
as caffeine (Tieges et al. 2004) and alcohol (Bartholow et al. 2012). Overall then, between-group
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studies that include medicated patients need to carefully consider the current, and potentially past,
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Continuous Variability
Studying groups of individuals with diagnosed psychopathology is a categorical approach to un-
derstanding individual differences; these studies essentially assume that there are only two types
of individuals: those with a disorder and those without a disorder. Imagine someone who almost
meets the diagnostic criteria for GAD; a between-group study might treat this person as a healthy
control even if they are more anxious and worried than an average person. An alternative ap-
proach is to examine the relationship between an ERP of interest and continuous variability on
symptoms, traits, or other measures of individual difference. Statistically, this is akin to a correla-
tional approach rather than a between-samples comparison of means. Recent efforts, such as the
Research Domain Criteria, highlight the potential pitfalls of using dichotomous, diagnosis-based
studies and emphasize examining transdiagnostic and continuous variability instead (Cuthbert &
Kozak 2013, Insel et al. 2010).
As an example, rather than focusing on individuals diagnosed with GAD, a continuous ap-
proach to individual differences might relate the ERN to self-report anxiety scores in a large
group of individuals drawn from a psychological clinic or from the community, regardless of their
current diagnoses. This approach would, therefore, include individuals across the full range of anx-
iety severity, including those with high, low, and medium scores. Indeed, multiple meta-analyses
have confirmed that the ERN relates to continuous variability in self-report levels of trait anxiety
(Cavanagh & Shackman 2015), with a medium effect size (r ≈ 0.30 or Cohen’s d ≈ 0.63). These
data are broadly consistent with the between-group studies reviewed above, insofar as multiple
disorders characterized by high trait anxiety (e.g., OCD, GAD) have been shown to have an in-
creased ERN. These data also suggest that having a clinical diagnosis (i.e., having GAD or OCD)
is not necessary for observing an increased ERN.
One of the advantages of taking a continuous approach to understanding individual differences
is that it is possible to ask simultaneously about the relationship between an ERP of interest and
multiple phenotypes. For instance, one could examine which aspects of depression an ERP is most
related to: sleep or appetite disturbance, low mood, or anhedonia. One additional advantage of this
approach is that it becomes possible to study neural processes across diagnostic boundaries (e.g.,
sleep disturbance is characteristic of disorders other than depression). In the same sample in which
we found that a categorical diagnosis of MDD suppressed the relationship between a categorical
diagnosis of GAD or OCD and an increased ERN, we also found that a larger ERN was predicted
by continuous variability in both checking and depressive symptoms but in opposite directions:
An increased ERN was independently related to increased checking symptoms and decreased
symptoms of psychomotor retardation (Weinberg et al. 2015). In a separate large sample of com-
munity adolescents, we replicated this general pattern, and we again found that an increased ERN
was related both to increased checking symptoms and decreased depressive symptoms (Weinberg
et al. 2016).
that attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, substance use disorders (SUDs), and related exter-
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nalizing traits have been linked to a reduced ERN (Hall et al. 2007, Luijten et al. 2014, Shiels &
Hawk 2010). The overarching point here is that a given ERP will likely be impacted simultane-
ously by multiple phenotypes. Moreover, correlated phenotypes can impact an ERP in opposing
ways: through suppressor effects that can be demonstrated by using carefully designed between-
group comparisons or by using continuous measures in large samples employing regression-based
analyses.
It is worth noting that a relatively small amount of variance in clinical outcomes is related to a
given ERP. In both between-group and continuous measure studies of the ERN, effect sizes tend
to be consistent and moderate: Approximately 10% of the variance in current anxiety (either in
continuous or dichotomous study designs) is accounted for by variability in the ERN. In our view,
an association of this magnitude (or smaller) is about what the field ought to expect (Patrick et al.
2013), especially since ERPs are impacted by multiple individual difference factors and share no
method variance with self-report or interview-based measures. One additional possibility that we
have discussed previously is the notion of combining multiple ERPs (Hajcak et al. 2017, Patrick
& Hajcak 2016), much the way that several subscales make up a self-report index; for an example
of such an approach in the domain of genetics, see Bogdan et al. (2018).
Rather than conceptualizing an ERP as a scale, it may make more sense to think about it as
an item, or subscale, that can be leveraged in concert with other ERPs and measures of individual
difference (Patrick & Hajcak 2016). As one concrete example, we used spectral analysis to quantify
error-related brain activity. Similar to other studies, we found increased error-related activity in
the 4–8 Hz range (i.e., theta band); moreover, this frequency-based representation of error-related
brain activity was uncorrelated with the ERN, and both the ERN and error-related theta were
uniquely related to GAD status. Incorporating time–frequency measures allowed us to account for
nearly 25% of between-group variance (Cavanagh et al. 2017). Thus, it is possible to use multiple
neural metrics derived from the same EEG data to better classify individuals (Nelson et al. 2018).
We later describe concrete examples of how even a single ERP can be applied in combination with
self-report measures to better identify those at highest risk for anxiety.
the onset of the disorder or are they evident only following disorder onset? This question is also
relevant to the notion of an endophenotype, which is a relatively simple and unobservable trait
that mediates part of the complex pathway from genetic vulnerably to the overt expression of a
disorder (Gottesman & Gould 2003, Miller & Rockstroh 2013). For a measure to function as an
endophenotype it should be robustly associated with a disorder, heritable, independent of current
symptom state, and occur at higher rates within affected families (Gottesman & Gould 2003).
The ERN has been discussed as a potential endophenotype for 10 years (Hajcak et al. 2008,
Olvet & Hajcak 2008). Anokhin and colleagues (2008) estimated that 30% to 50% of the variabil-
ity in the ERN was genetically heritable. Around the same time, the first treatment study found
increased ERN amplitudes before and after successful cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) in pe-
diatric OCD (Hajcak et al. 2008). Thus, about a decade ago, the ERN seemed to satisfy most of
the criteria for an endophenotype.
Since that time, further support for the endophenotype account of the ERN has come from
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studies in unaffected relatives. Riesel and colleagues (2011) demonstrated for the first time that
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healthy relatives of patients diagnosed with OCD had increased ERNs; indeed, relatives of people
with OCD had ERNs comparable to those of the patients themselves, and ERNs in both groups
were significantly different from those of a healthy control group. Carrasco and colleagues (2013)
replicated these results and found increased ERNs in unaffected siblings of adolescents with OCD.
Moreover, in a recent study with a considerably larger sample, we replicated the finding of in-
creased ERNs in unaffected first-degree relatives of patients with OCD (Riesel et al. 2018). In
this study, the family history of psychopathology was also assessed in a group of healthy controls,
and Riesel and colleagues (2018) found higher ERN amplitudes among first-degree relatives of
individuals with mixed anxiety diagnoses and decreased ERN amplitudes in healthy participants
with a familial risk for SUDs. These findings further validate increased ERN amplitudes as an
endophenotypic risk marker for OCD, and they also suggest that both increases and decreases in
the ERN represent transdiagnostic risk markers for several disorders along an anxiety–impulsivity
spectrum (Gillan et al. 2017).
Together these studies convincingly suggest that the ERN fulfills the necessary criteria to be
regarded an endophenotypic risk marker. Indeed, the ERN has been linked to specific polymor-
phisms related to dopamine (DRD2,DRD4, DAT1, COMT), serotonin (5-HTTLPR, 5Ht1A), and
brain-derived neurofactor (BDNF) (Manoach & Agam 2013). The endophenotype concept has
been criticized recently, mostly for not being helpful in the search for specific genes linked to psy-
chiatric disorders (Iacono 2018, Iacono et al. 2017). Nonetheless, the endophenotype approach has
proven fruitful for guiding research that has systematically tested the utility of ERPs as risk indi-
cators for complex, genetically determined psychiatric disorders. As described in the next section,
prospective studies further confirm the importance of the ERN in terms of risk.
Prospective Studies
The type of risk-related studies described above, in which the ERN is linked to risk through
designs exploring family history, are cross-sectional in nature, and having a first-degree relative
with a disorder is an imperfect indicator of risk. Another way to relate a measure to risk is through
using large samples and longitudinal experimental designs to determine whether ERPs can predict
actual changes in symptoms over time. These studies are expensive and time-consuming, and we
would argue that they should be undertaken only after a reasonable accumulation of data suggests
the potential value of such a study.
We first reported that an increased ERN in 6-year-old children predicts the onset of anxi-
ety disorders 3 years later, when the children are approximately 9 years old (Meyer et al. 2015a).
When using ERPs to predict who is at risk for developing psychopathology, it is imperative to
examine whether the ERP provides incremental predictive ability. For example, we controlled for
other risk factors (i.e., maternal history of anxiety and baseline anxiety symptoms in the child) and
found that the ERN had unique predictive power in delineating which children would become
anxious between the ages of 6 and 9 years old (Meyer et al. 2015a). We have recently replicated
this pattern of results in a large sample of adolescent girls, finding that the baseline ERN pre-
dicts new onset of GAD, even when controlling for other baseline measures linked to risk (Meyer
et al. 2018c). In these studies, an ERP was used to predict changes in diagnostic status. Other work
suggests that ERPs may also be helpful in predicting changes in dimensional symptoms (Nelson
et al. 2016). Future work should examine to what extent combinations of ERPs may predict both
new-onset diagnoses as well as increases in measures of continuous symptom domains.
Some work has also shown that ERPs can be useful in delineating developmental trajectories by
acting as moderators. For example, we know that children characterized by increased behavioral
Annu. Rev. Clin. Psychol. 2019.15:71-95. Downloaded from www.annualreviews.org
inhibition are at increased risk for developing anxiety disorders, but most will actually remain
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healthy (Buss & Kiel 2013). ERPs can help delineate clinical from nonclinical trajectories, even
among individuals at increased risk. For example, two studies suggest that the ERN moderates
the association between early behavioral inhibition and anxiety disorders later in life, such that
children characterized by increased behavioral inhibition and an increased ERN are most at risk
for anxiety disorders (Lahat et al. 2014, McDermott et al. 2009).
In addition to using ERPs to predict the general risk for psychopathology, ERPs may be
used to better understand who will experience increases in symptoms in response to stressful life
events. This may be especially useful in populations that are likely to experience a stressful event
(e.g., pregnant women, individuals in the military, first responders). In a recent study, we found
that among children who experienced a stressful life event (i.e., Hurricane Sandy), those with a
higher baseline ERN were more likely to experience post-hurricane increases in anxiety symptoms
(Meyer et al. 2017).
It is worth noting that there is also evolving evidence for the predictive utility of the ERN
for disorders characterized by disinhibition. Anokhin & Golosheykin (2015) found that a reduced
ERN measured at age 14 prospectively predicted the initiation of tobacco use at age 18. This is in
line with the findings from healthy children at high risk for SUD (Euser et al. 2013), indicating
that error-monitoring deficits characterized by decreased ERN amplitude are likely to be a risk
marker for SUD that precedes the development of the disorder. Thus, both the over- and under-
recruitment of the error-monitoring system seem to be associated with risk for different types of
disorders (Riesel et al. 2018).
measures to better predict risk (Nelson et al. 2018). Moreover, multiple EEG-based measures or
a corresponding biosignature can be used in conjunction with known and established risk fac-
tors (e.g., symptoms, history of psychopathology) to better identify individuals at the greatest risk
(Nelson et al. 2016, 2018). For instance, we recently demonstrated that the ERN provides incre-
mental positive predictive value for new-onset GAD when applied in combination with baseline
symptoms (Meyer et al. 2018c). A decision-making algorithm requiring that individuals be counted
as positive if they met a threshold for baseline symptoms (+1.5 SD) and ERNs (+2.0 SD) exhib-
ited good positive predictive value (72%) and excellent negative predictive value (94%) compared
with values of approximately 64% for positive and negative predictive value when using either
measure in isolation. This approach also exemplifies how ERPs might be used in the real world:
Rather than collecting EEG data from everyone, it might make the most sense to examine risk-
related ERPs only among individuals who exceed a threshold on another measure that is even
easier to administer. In terms of prediction, the goal is to identify ERPs that predict risk over and
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above symptoms and then establish thresholds and recommendations for risk detection. In the
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case of developmental risk markers, ERP cutoffs (i.e., norms) will need to be determined based
on age, especially since many ERPs change throughout development. Additionally, more work is
needed to identify standard tasks that can be used to elicit ERPs in the most efficient way possible
in applied settings, so that ERPs can be compared across settings, and standard thresholds can be
utilized. This is especially challenging in developmental populations, wherein different tasks may
be necessary at different ages because of a task’s difficulty.
children with increased temperamental fear had a decreased ERN (Torpey et al. 2013). By using
a within-participant design, we have subsequently shown that children with increased tempera-
mental fear had a decreased ERN when they were 6 years old, but by age 9, those same fearful
children displayed an increased ERN, a pattern that more closely resembles that of anxious ado-
lescents and adults (Meyer et al. 2018b). That is, increased temperamental fear was associated
with a decreased ERN at age 6 and an increased ERN at age 9: Temperament determined the
developmental trajectory of neural systems implicated in error monitoring.
We have suggested that the ERN tracks the developmental transition from fear of external
threat in relatively young children (e.g., the darkness of the room, the experimenter, being sepa-
rated from parents) to self-conscious shyness and concern about social evaluation and behavioral
competence (e.g., performing well on the task, evaluation of performance by the experimenter) by
early adolescence (Meyer 2017, Meyer et al. 2012, 2018b, Weinberg et al. 2016). We are continu-
ing to test this possibility. In this way, ERPs may help to inform models related to the development
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Potential Mechanisms
Understanding laboratory-based manipulations of ERPs can help provide a context for gaining a
better understanding of individual differences and psychopathology. For example, once an ERP
correlate of a psychological disorder or individual difference has been identified, researchers can
make new inroads by examining how that ERP is impacted by manipulations in the lab that may
mimic factors in the environment and whether lab-based manipulations might alter individual
differences.
We have repeatedly shown that the ERN is sensitive to the relative importance of errors: In
the laboratory, we can potentiate the ERN through task instructions and manipulations that draw
attention to performance accuracy and make errors more salient (Grützmann et al. 2014, Hajcak
et al. 2005). Indeed, we have argued that hyperactive ERNs in anxious and high-risk individuals
reflect a kind of overvaluation of the importance of errors, such that errors are more salient than
they should be for anxious and at-risk individuals (Hajcak 2012, Proudfit et al. 2013, Weinberg
et al. 2012b, 2016). Consistent with this possibility, Endrass and colleagues (2010) found in a
group of healthy individuals the expected increase in ERN amplitude when errors were punished;
however, in participants with OCD, the ERN was insensitive to the punishment manipulation.
Moreover, group-related ERN differences were found only in the standard (i.e., nonpunished)
condition; these data suggest that patients with OCD who have a large ERN may not be able to
modulate error processing based on changing situational demands (Endrass et al. 2010).
Along similar lines, we have shown that the ERN can be increased in the lab by using a loud
noise or shock as punishment for error commission, and that these effects persist after punishment
is removed (Meyer & Gawlowska 2017, Riesel et al. 2012). We have used these punishment-related
effects to develop and test a learning-based model of ERNs and anxiety. Specifically, we hypoth-
esized that parenting styles characterized by criticality or low warmth may shape the ERN in
offspring during early childhood. Critical or punitive parents tend to punish children’s mistakes
more intensely and more frequently (Robinson et al. 2001), which could result in an increased
ERN. Consistent with this possibility, we found that punitive parenting styles are related to an
increased ERN in young children (Meyer et al. 2015b) and that the ERN mediates the relation-
ship between critical parenting and anxiety disorders in children. These effects were found when
using observational or self-report measure of parenting (Meyer et al. 2015b), and they have been
replicated in children as young as 4 years old (Brooker & Buss 2014).
These findings suggest that one mechanism whereby parenting impacts anxious outcomes in
children is by potentiating children’s neural response to their mistakes (i.e., by increasing the
ERN). We recently extended these findings and have linked this process to a genetic polymor-
phism related to fear learning (Meyer et al. 2018a). Children with the met allele of the BDNF geno-
type are generally more impacted by parenting behavior (Ibarra et al. 2014) and display deficits in
extinction learning ( Johnson & Casey 2015). We conceptualize critical parenting in the context
of fear learning, such that children associate making mistakes with punishment (i.e., parental crit-
icism), and the increased ERN as reflecting a potentiated conditioned response. Consistent with
this possibility, we found that critical parenting predicted an increased ERN in offspring, but only
among children who carried the BDNF met allele (Meyer et al. 2018a). In this way, ERPs may
be leveraged to characterize complex mechanisms involving the genes and environmental factors
that underlie the development of psychopathology.
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Several studies have examined the effect of typical anxiety treatments (i.e., CBT or SSRIs, or
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both) on the ERN using pre- to posttreatment designs. In the first study in a pediatric sample,
we found increased ERNs in youths with OCD both before and after successful CBT (Hajcak
et al. 2008). This effect was subsequently replicated in a much larger and more heterogeneous
sample (Ladouceur et al. 2018). Neither study found that changes in ERNs related to changes in
symptoms; neither found that ERNs predicted treatment response. Kujawa and colleagues (2016)
similarly found that adolescents with SAD were characterized by a larger ERN both before and
after treatment with either CBT or an SSRI and that ERNs did not predict the response to treat-
ment. Consistent findings have also been replicated in adults with OCD (Riesel et al. 2015): OCD
was characterized by an increased ERN both before and after therapy; symptom changes were
uncorrelated with changes in ERNs; and ERNs did not differentiate treatment responders from
nonresponders. Another study similarly found no treatment-related changes in ERNs following
CBT in anxious adults, although SSRIs appeared to increase the ERN, and a higher pretreatment
ERN predicted greater changes in a fear-oriented symptom measure among individuals who re-
ceived CBT (Gorka et al. 2018). Since this was the first study to find an association between the
ERN and treatment response, studies will be needed to further examine the ERN as a predictor
of treatment outcome. One prospective study in cocaine-dependent patients found that a reduced
ERN at the beginning of cocaine detoxification predicted relapse at 3-month follow-up (Marhe
et al. 2013). Future studies are needed to determine whether ERNs might relate to relapse fol-
lowing treatment for other conditions.
The evidence suggests that typical treatments for anxiety do not normalize an increased ERN.
One possibility is that the ERN is related to the risk for anxiety but not the expression of an anx-
ious phenotype: In this case, treatment-related effects on the ERN would not be expected unless
treatments alter underlying risk processes that are reflected in the ERN. Another possibility is
that more focused and novel interventions may yet reduce both the ERN and anxiety. In light of
the fact that 40% of patients either drop out prematurely or do not respond to anxiety treatments
(Roy-Byrne 2015), it is desirable to develop innovative treatments as add-ons or even alterna-
tive interventions for those patients with treatment-resistant anxiety. One possibility is that ERPs
could be used to guide the development of more tailored and novel interventions, a possibility we
consider in more detail in the next section.
a single experimental session. Consistent with this tactic, several labs have begun to examine
whether it is possible to alter the ERN during a single session even among anxious individu-
als. For instance, we found that ERN amplitudes were markedly decreased in patients with OCD
under dual-task conditions (Klawohn et al. 2016). Performing a secondary dual task resulted in a
reduced ERN, and this reduction was larger in patients with OCD than in the group of healthy
participants; moreover, under dual-task conditions, the ERNs in patients with OCD did not dif-
fer from those in controls (Klawohn et al. 2016). These data demonstrate that increased ERNs in
clinical anxiety can be normalized, at least temporarily.
A number of other brief interventions in the lab have similarly been shown to reduce the ERN.
For example, we have now shown in two studies that a single session of attention bias modifica-
tion (ABM) appears to reduce the ERN (Nelson et al. 2015), even relative to a control condition
(Nelson et al. 2017). ABM is a computer-based cognitive training approach that has been shown
to reduce attentional biases toward threat and reduce symptoms of anxiety (Hakamata et al. 2010),
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and our data suggest that ABM might work to decrease the ERN. We are examining the impact
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of multiple sessions of an adaptive ABM training in adolescents on ERN and the development of
anxiety over a longer period of time.
Schroder and colleagues (2018) found that a single session of expressive writing, relative to
a control condition that also involved writing, reduced ERN amplitudes among individuals who
scored high in chronic worry. Insofar as expressive writing has been shown to reduce anxiety, this
study suggests a possible intervention strategy for individuals with anxiety that is characterized by
an increased ERN (Schroder et al. 2018). Finally, mindfulness-based approaches have also been
shown to normalize ERNs among clinically depressed individuals whose depression is character-
ized by a blunted ERN, indicating a potential intervention route for individuals with a reduced
ERN (Barnhofer et al. 2017).
All of the studies described above have leveraged existing interventions in an effort to change
the ERN. That is, the ERN was a novel target for existing intervention strategies, often in the con-
text of a single session. One of the most encouraging aspects of these studies is that they demon-
strate that it is possible to impact ERPs such as the ERN, at least in the short term. Further, these
studies suggest possible strategies that might be useful adjuncts to existing treatments for individ-
uals with an increased ERN. Finally, these studies certainly set the stage for larger and longer-term
assessments of whether the ERN can be modified and whether doing so impacts clinical outcomes
and individual differences.
models, muscimol can temporally inactivate the ACC, which results in altered error-related ACC
activation and behavioral changes (Narayanan et al. 2013). Future work might build on these
findings to identify pharmacological interventions to reduce anxiety that alter ACC activation in
animal models and then in humans. Determining whether a potential pharmacological agent alters
the ERN might be informative in drug development.
It is also possible to leverage brain stimulation techniques and neurofeedback to develop inter-
ventions that would directly target ERPs. In the case of the ERN, Reinhart & Woodman (2014)
demonstrated that they could increase and decrease the ERN in healthy individuals with transcra-
nial direct current stimulation. Other brain stimulation techniques that rely on transcranial mag-
netic stimulation suggest alternative strategies for modulating discrete neural functions (Huang
et al. 2005).
Biofeedback has a long history in clinical psychology, and studies suggest that EEG-based
measures can be successfully used with neurofeedback training to improve symptoms (Micoulaud-
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Franchi et al. 2014). Indeed, recent studies on a potential brain–computer interface have leveraged
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ERPs to perform a variety of tasks, including spelling (Mak et al. 2011). An intriguing possibility
is to use brain–computer interface programs to directly train individuals to reduce their ERN
following errors. In this way, it may be possible to use ERP-based biofeedback to target potential
mechanisms of risk.
CONCLUSIONS
ERPs can be used as robust measures of individual differences that are related both to continuous
measures and categorical diagnoses. Variability in ERPs can shed light on brain-based differences
between apparently similar conditions, as well as neural similarities that cut across traditional di-
agnostic boundaries. Similar phenotypes can have opposing impacts on ERPs, suggesting there
are fundamental distinctions between phenotypes that may traditionally be viewed as overlap-
ping. ERPs can be studied in the context of risk through family history designs, and they ap-
pear to reflect both current psychopathology (and related traits) and genetic risk. In longitudinal
studies, ERPs can predict disorders and can be combined with other measures to improve the
prediction of outcomes: ERPs provide incremental predictive ability. Along similar lines, ERPs
can moderate responses to stressful events and developmental trajectories. ERPs can also inform
developmental models of psychopathology and can be used to test specific mechanisms of risk.
Treatment studies can include ERPs as correlates and predictors of change. ERPs might even be
used to facilitate the development of novel treatment and intervention approaches. All of these
are actualities that are evident in reviewing a relatively narrow body of research on the ERN and
anxiety.
We have argued that ERPs likely relate to multiple phenotypes simultaneously. The ERN, for
instance, appears to relate in opposite directions to positively correlated phenotypes (e.g., anxiety
in one direction, depression and externalizing in another). This example demonstrates the inher-
ent difficulty of interpreting a zero-order correlation between an ERP and a single measure of
individual differences. If an ERP also relates to unexpressed risk, then this issue is complicated
even further. These are additional reasons why we should be quite comfortable with reliable but
relatively modest effect sizes in studies relating ERPs to other measures of individual difference.
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Even with relatively modest effect sizes, we can improve prediction by combining ERPs with other
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measures.
We have studied the ERN—using the same or similar task—for nearly 20 years. It has taken
that long to do systematic research to suggest that ERNs can predict risk and are viable targets
for intervention. The choice to continue to study the same ERP has been viewed in terms of
poor innovation, and certainly there are ways in which we have been beating the same drum in
slightly different ways. This approach contrasts with the potentially more exciting option of trying
to develop novel tasks in the search for new dependent variables. However, we believe that the
clinical utility of ERPs, and neuroscientific measures more broadly, will follow only from the kind
of deep dive that involves pursuing robust effects systematically.
In Figure 2, we propose a road map for clinically meaningful ERP and neuroscientific research;
it is meant to represent a blueprint for research into individual differences based on the work we
described above on the ERN and anxiety. Of course, the first step is choosing an ERP of interest
based on its neurocognitive function and relationship to psychological constructs of interest. We
have argued that progress in clinical neuroscience is limited by the psychometric properties of
neural measures (Hajcak et al. 2017); in Figure 2, evaluating psychometric properties is depicted
as a step that precedes the examination of individual differences. If an ERP does not have adequate
psychometrics (e.g., internal consistency), there is no point in examining its relationship to other
measures of individual difference.
Assuming an ERP relates to individual differences robustly (i.e., across multiple studies), it is
then possible to meaningfully ask whether the ERP relates to risk, whether it can predict changes
in symptoms and diagnoses prospectively, and whether the ERP is impacted by treatments. It is
also possible to develop and test potential mechanisms and novel interventions that target spe-
cific ERPs. Of course, ERPs can be useful in less direct ways: They can inform and test existing
theory and can contribute to generating new psychological knowledge about the etiology and
pathogenesis of a disorder, especially in terms of relevant neurocognitive functions and potential
mechanisms.
This review was meant to focus on how ERPs might be used concretely to combat a growing
mental health crisis and improve the prevention and treatment of suffering. Establishing that an
ERP robustly relates to individual differences using both continuous and between-group designs
is a necessary first step. Once this foundation is established, we would argue that ERPs have three
clinically significant uses: as predictors of risk, as predictors of treatment change, and as targets for
change (Figure 2). We note that a successful ERP predictor may not function well as a target for
treatment; for instance, an ERP could be a nonmodifiable biomarker of risk. Figure 2 also suggests
that all of the work described above functions within a developmental context. The end goal is
CROSS-SECTIONAL
Individual differences Diagnosed
clinical groups
STUDIES
Self-report
Phenotypes
DEVELOPMENTAL CONTEXT
Clinical
Prediction
diagnoses
PROSPECTIVE STUDIES
Change in
self-report,
phenotypes,
Impact of Change in
and symptoms
existing diagnoses,
treatment responder status,
relapse
Figure 2
Blueprint for research into event-related potentials (ERPs) with clinical impact.
to have an ERP measure that can help guide individuals toward the most effective prevention or
intervention approach.
Through systematic study, it is possible to determine exactly how an ERP might be used in
clinically meaningful ways. We believe that the utility of ERPs in clinical psychology will come
from the innovative use of well-replicated, but small, effects. ERPs will need to be combined with
other measures and examined outside of university laboratories (e.g., in psychology clinics, doctor’s
offices, schools, homes). ERPs could be used to improve clinical decisions about prevention and
intervention, although cost-effectiveness studies are needed to more fully evaluate this possibility.
We imagine a future wherein ERPs could be more fully integrated into clinical practice (e.g., as
an adjunct diagnostic and prognostic tool) and where novel interventions aim to alter these neural
biomarkers of risk.
SUMMARY POINTS
1. Event-related potentials (ERPs) are robust and direct neural measures with good psycho-
metric properties that can be used to study psychopathology and individual differences
across development.
2. Specific ERPs likely relate to multiple phenotypes and disorders in ways that can clarify
similarities and distinctions between disorders and traits.
3. ERPs can be studied in relation to risk, using both family study and prospective designs;
ERPs can prospectively predict the onset of new disorders even when accounting for
other known risk factors, and they can similarly moderate the impact of other risk factors
and stressors.
4. ERPs can be both heritable and impacted by environmental experiences that shape neu-
ral activity and risk for psychopathology.
5. ERPs can be used to develop and test models and mechanisms of risk, including devel-
opmental models of psychopathology.
6. ERPs can be used to predict responses to treatments, and they may be viable targets for
the development of novel treatments.
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DISCLOSURE STATEMENT
The authors are not aware of any affiliations, memberships, funding, or financial holdings that
might be perceived as affecting the objectivity of this review.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This research was supported by grants from the US National Institute of Mental Health
(MH69047, MH082113, MH106477, and MH097767 to G.H.; and MH102880 to A.M.).
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Annual Review of
Clinical Psychology
Contents
History of Psychopharmacology
Joel T. Braslow and Stephen R. Marder p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p25
Bifactor and Hierarchical Models: Specification, Inference,
and Interpretation
Kristian E. Markon p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p51
The Utility of Event-Related Potentials in Clinical Psychology
Greg Hajcak, Julia Klawohn, and Alexandria Meyer p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p71
An Active Inference Approach to Interoceptive Psychopathology
Martin P. Paulus, Justin S. Feinstein, and Sahib S. Khalsa p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p97
Implicit Cognition and Psychopathology: Looking Back and Looking
Forward
Bethany A. Teachman, Elise M. Clerkin, William A. Cunningham,
Sarah Dreyer-Oren, and Alexandra Werntz p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p 123
The MMPI-2-Restructured Form (MMPI-2-RF): Assessment of
Personality and Psychopathology in the Twenty-First Century
Martin Sellbom p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p 149
Normal Versus Pathological Mood: Implications for Diagnosis
Ayelet Meron Ruscio p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p 179
The Role of Common Factors in Psychotherapy Outcomes
Pim Cuijpers, Mirjam Reijnders, and Marcus J.H. Huibers p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p 207
One-Session Treatment of Specific Phobias in Children: Recent
Developments and a Systematic Review
Thompson E. Davis III, Thomas H. Ollendick, and Lars-Göran Öst p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p 233
Augmentation of Extinction and Inhibitory Learning in Anxiety and
Trauma-Related Disorders
Lauren A.M. Lebois, Antonia V. Seligowski, Jonathan D. Wolff, Sarah B. Hill,
and Kerry J. Ressler p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p p 257
CP15_TOC ARI 12 April 2019 11:12
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