Abdurhman Dekebo
Abdurhman Dekebo
Abdurhman Dekebo
By
Abdurhman Dekebo
Supervised by
Abebaw Kassie (PhD)
A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirement for Award of the Degree of
Master of Business Administration in Finance
Addis Ababa
27 May 2020
I
STATEMENT of DECLARATION
I, the undersigned, declare that this thesis is my own work and has never been presented in any
other university. I have carried out the research work independently with the support and
guidance of my research advisor. All sources of materials used for this thesis have been duly
acknowledged.
Declared by:
Signature: ___________________
Signature: _____________________
Date: _________________________
II
STATEMENT of CERTIFICATION
This is to certify that the thesis entitled “Assessment of Term Loans Collection Performance
of Oromia International Bank S.C” was carried out by Abdurhman Dekebo Rabis under the
supervision of Abebaw Kassie (PhD) and thus has been submitted as a partial fulfillment of the
complies with the regulations of the University and meets the accepted standards with respect to
Approved by:
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..........................................................................................................................................................
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
First and for most, I would like to say “Al-hamdu-li-Allah” to the almighty Allah, the
compassionate, the most Merciful and source of Knowledge & Wisdom - who bestowed upon
me to be healthy, patient and love for learning even more - hoping to achieve the purpose of
Next, I would like to reflect my SPECIAL APPRECIATION for someone who do deserve my
MAXIMUM RESPECT: my advisor (whom I prefer to call “my Doctor”) Abebaw Kassie (PhD)
- Assistant Professor of Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Department, Addis
Ababa University - for his usual cooperation and consistent guidance; from day-one of selecting
topic for my thesis - all the way - towards the moment of finalizing the same.
Moreover, my sincere appreciation goes to all survey respondents of OIB staffs who had taken
active part in providing helpful comment and also those who sacrificed their time answering the
Finally, great thanks to all my beloved families who had been always besides me in encouraging,
TABLE of CONTENTS
LIST of ACRONYMS
HO Head Office
SCRN Screening
SD Standard Deviation
VIII
List of Tables
Table – 1.1: Settled Term Loans Performance of OIB during the last 6 Years .............................. 3
Table – 3.2: Developing Sample Size on the Basis of Purposive Sampling Technique ............... 29
Table – 4.3: Credit History versus Term Loans Repayment Performance ................................... 41
Table – 4.4: Business Experience versus Term Loans Repayment Performance ......................... 43
Table – 4.5: Education Level versus Term Loans Repayment Performance ................................ 44
Table – 4.6: Type of Business Sector versus Term Loans Repayment Performance ................... 46
Table – 4.7: Collateral Strength versus Term Loans Repayment Performance ............................ 47
Table – 4.9: Demand for another Loan versus Term Loans Repayment Performance................. 51
Table – 4.10: Utilization of Loan versus Term Loans Repayment Performance ......................... 53
Table – 4.12: Length of Loan Contract versus Term Loans Repayment Performance ................ 56
Abstract
The main objective of this study was to assess successfully collected term loans performance -
considering the case of Oromia International Bank S.C (OIB). First-hand data was collected
using structured questionnaires from 196 selected samples of survey respondents of same bank
employees who directly engaged in day-to-day loan related administrations. A five - point Likert
Scale technique was adopted to collect and organize data about factors that can lead to
successfully settled term loans performances of OIB. Data analysis was then conducted by
employing basic descriptive statistics to examine the relative importance of factors of the study
in causing settled term loans performances of OIB. Considering descriptive results of mean and
respective standard deviation, the study revealed that business experience of borrowers
4.34(.745), utilization of loan for approved purpose only 4.11(.991), collateral strength
4.02(1.338), business type 3.99(.953), screening 3.99(1.1), credit history 3.95(1.184), demand
for other loan 3.74(.904), loan size 3.73(.968), length of loan contract 3.58(.933) and education
level 2.68(1.165) were study factors, in that order, that were rated in terms of their relative
importance towards leading to settled term loans performances of OIB. To achieve successful
term loans collection performance, the study recommends that, after properly screening out risky
loan applications, sufficient term loans amount should be extend against adequate repayment
periods by focusing on such borrowers that can demonstrate adequate business experiences in
running profitable or less risky business sectors, properly utilize loans for the approved purpose
only without diverting to other risky purpose, offer strong collaterals relative to the amount of
requested loans and also those borrowers that characterized by good truck of credit history in
the past.
Keywords: Settled Term Loans Performance, Relative Importance, Borrower-related factors and
loan-related factors.
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CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
In this chapter, background of the study, statement of the problem, the general and specific
objectives of the study, research questions, scope of the study, significance of the study,
limitations of the study and organizations of the study were discussed in details. Further, the
views of various authors indicated in this paper were assessed and discussed based on the
Lending financial institutions must extend successful loans that are paid back in full if they
expect to earn high profits. It was argued that understanding the concept of credit worthiness is
very important as it encompasses the two very essential aspects related to borrower’s
characteristics: ability and willingness to repay a borrowed loan as per terms and conditions
stipulated in respective loan contracts (Michael, 2018). Borrowers’ ability and willingness to
repay a bank loan, in turn, can also be achieved through the two economic concepts: adverse
selection and moral hazard (William, 2018). To properly manage and hence overcome the
adverse selection and moral hazard problems, therefore, lending financial institutions have to
follow basic principles that required for managing credit risk that result in successful loans:
One of the commercial bank’s lending decisions is to create long-run customer relationship. The
relationship determines the probability of customer staying with the bank which, in turn,
considered as a function of a loan extended as per customer’s request (Pekka, 2005). In order to
decide on the provisions of loan requests, Emre (2001) emphasized that lending financial
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institutions must collect information on the repayment capacity of their borrowers before and
after loan disbursement in the lending process. This process includes information gathered while
evaluating the loan and also subsequent information gathered after loan disbursement so as to
According to its Annual Report (2018/19), OIB’s total gross outstanding Loans and Advances
plus IFB Financing reached Birr 17.4 billion as at June 30 2019, exhibiting a growth of 50% over
the position attained at the end of the preceding year. By its loans and advances plus IFB
financing, OIB has reached all sectors of the economy despite difference on the share of the
sectors. It is followed that regarding the composition of credit and financing, Domestic Trade
and Services (DTS) have taken the highest share of 30.6% of the portfolio followed by Export
23.4% share, Construction 12.1%, Industry 10.4%, Import 7.0%, Hotel and Tourism 5.6% and
In the past six years starting from 01 of July 2013 to 30 of June 2019 (as depicted in the Table -
1.1), the performances of those successfully settled term loans of OIB against different
categories of term loans economic sectors reached about 14,044 which approximated to Birr
Table – 1.1: Settled Term Loans Performance of OIB during the last 6 Years
Settled T/Loans
Number of Settled
SN Term Loans (by Sector) (Approximated in
Term Loans
Millions Birr)
1 AGRICULTRE TERM LOAN 158 270
2 INDUSTRY-TERM LOAN 173 723
3 DOMESTIC TRADE-TERM LOAN 10,341.00 6,010
4 EXPORT-TERM LOAN 610 657
5 IMPORT-TERM LOAN 761 654
6 CONSTRUCTION-TERM LOAN 1,051.00 1096
7 HOTEL & TOURISM-TREM LOANS 710 567
8 PERSONAL-TERM LOAN 137 45
9 MICRO-FINANCE INSTITUTION-TERM LOAN 101 101
10 MINES,POWER & WATER-TERM LOANS 2 3
TOTAL 14,044 10,126
Source: Compiled from OIB Account Opened/Closed System Generated Report – from
01/07/2013 to 30/06/2019.
Before extending any loan, the primary task of lending institutions is to assure itself that the
repayment capacity of the borrowing unit would indeed be materialized first. Following the
either full settlement or otherwise. The focus of this study was to assess main causes that can be
resulted in successfully settled or collected term loans performances - the case of OIB.
Lending financial institutions must extend successful loans that are paid back in full to have
successful settlement of the same if they expect to earn high profits. This signifies the concept of
borrowers’ credit worthiness which encompasses their ability and willingness to repay a
borrowed loan as per terms and conditions stipulated in respective loan contracts (Michael,
2018). Such borrowers’ ability and willingness to repay the borrowed loans, in turn, can also be
achieved by properly managing adverse selection and moral hazard (William, 2018). To properly
4
manage and hence overcome the adverse selection and moral hazard problems, therefore, lending
financial institutions have to adhere to the following six basic principles that required for
managing credit risk that result in successful loans (Frederic, 2011): screening, monitoring, long-
requirements.
The study conducted by Marcelina (2017) in assessing the impacts of social-economic factors on
loan repayment performance revealed that there is a significant relationship between business
characteristics (including size, age and location), individual borrowers’ factors (including the
education level, age and experience in borrowing), loan factors (interest rate, loan amount and
collateral) and the loan repayment. Furthermore, Abreham (2017) found that factors including
sex, income from other sources, monitoring, credit timeliness, repayment time suitability and
training adequacy influence loan repayment performance. Still, another study conducted by
Florence & Daniel (2014) established that education level, number of dependents, and hobbies
loan repayment were length of operation, management and type of business. Also the lenders
characteristics were groups handled, period taken to qualify new members and the criteria used
In these reviewed studies, loan was broadly stated without indicating the category of loan type.
Also those studies were concentrated on micro financial institutions which have got different
operational as well as marketing strategies as compared to those employed by OIB. This study
thus sought to assess the relative importance of factors of the study (borrower and loan-related
factors) towards causing successfully settled term loans performances by focusing on one of the
commercial banks operating in Ethiopia, particularly the case of OIB. This study therefore
5
sought to fill such knowledge gap by providing information on the factors that can lead to
In order to achieve the main objectives of the study, the following research questions were
developed:
a. What borrower-related factors can lead to settled term loans repayment performance
of OIB?
b. What loan-related factors can lead to settled term loans repayment performance of
OIB?
The main objective of this study was to assess major factors that can lead to successfully settled
education level, business type and collateral strength that can lead to settled term
B. To assess loan-related factors such as screening, demand for other loan, utilization of
loan for the approved purpose only, loan size and length of loan contracts that can
lead to successfully settled term loans repayment performance – considering the case
of OIB.
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Proper credit management process has got a vital role in achieving sustainable provision of loans
to customers who are able to fulfill certain eligibility requirements set by lending commercial
banks. The provision of loans to the right customers after making adequate due diligence would
augment the expectations of having successful loan repayment performance and hence
contributes towards the success of that lending institution. Such success prospect can be achieved
only if each loan officer, branch managers and member of credit management committee able to
clearly identify those success factors that would influence term loans repayment performance
and hence contribute towards successfully settled term loans – considering the case of OIB.
Identifications of major factors that would cause successfully settled term loans performance is
believed to benefit OIB in order to effectively handle the flows of credit management processes.
For instance, the identifications of specific factors that can lead to successfully collected term
loans performance would enhance the overall credit management processes in terms of making a
well-informed credit decisions that would come into play particularly at the two extremes of loan
Added to that, the outcome of this study will hopefully assist credit policy as well as loan
decision making management of OIB by rating the relative importance of those factors assessed
by the study in relation with successfully collected term loans performances of same bank.
Further, the finding of this study believed to add on some new sphere of knowledge to the
existing ones so as to have better understanding about factors that can lead to successful term
Still, the study can also help any interested researchers who would like to conduct investigations
in connection with the same or any related topics of study by considering the case of any other
The study was conducted by considering the repayment characteristics of those borrowers
specific to OIB who had successfully been settled their respective borrowed term loans. Also the
study was limited and hence grounded basically on some selected factors of interest: borrower-
related factors (credit history, business experience, education level, business type and collateral
strength) and loan-related factors (screening, demand for other loan, utilization of loan for the
approved purpose only, loan size and length of loan contracts) that can lead to successfully
settled term loans performance of OIB. By taking into account the objective of this study and
also the findings of relevant studies conducted in the past, the study has prioritized some factors
of interest that can influence the performance of successfully collected term loans – considering
OIB.
This study was also characterized by difficulty to collect first-hand data from widely spread OIB
borrowers across the country due to limited time and resource constraints. In an attempt to
overcome such constraints, structured questionnaires were developed and distributed in order to
collect the required fist-hand data from different OIB staffs operating at various levels (loan
officers, credit analysts, loan recovery and follow up officers, branch managers in addition to
district and management credit committee) who directly involved with loan administrations.
8
The major sections of the study were organized as follows: The first chapter tried to introduce
the overall background of the study. The second chapter dealt with the review of theoretical and
empirical related literatures on the evolution and importance of commercial banks; in addition to
factors that can influence repayment performance of borrowers. The third chapter presented the
research methodology adopted for the study which includes data collection and data analysis
techniques. The fourth chapter discussed about the results of the study findings and then
CHAPTER TWO
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Introduction
It was argued that there is perhaps nothing more important to a bank than the loans they make.
Loans and advances are one of the principal ways through which banks make money. Just as all
businesses have got their products to sell, commercial banks also have their own product: money
generated by extending various loan products. How? Well, banks make money by taking in funds
from depositors and other sources and then lending that money out to borrowing customers.
Here, banks generate money in the form of profit which is actually the difference between what
interest a bank must pay on deposit to obtain funds and the rate at which it charges borrowers on
Meredith (2015) claimed that investment in ones business can also be achieved through the
provision of loans, besides own initial capital. The possibility of securing return on investment
from any business financed through bank loans, however, can be realized only if that business
managed to timely repay its obligations in line with the pre-determined terms and conditions
stipulated in a loan contract that duly signed between both parties: the bank and the borrower.
This chapter, thus, deals with both theoretical literatures and empirical studies undertaken by
previous researchers relevant to the study on hand. It tried to briefly discuss on such theoretical
topics consisting of Principles of Bank Lending Policies, Function of Commercial Banking, Term
The following are basic principles of bank lending policies which normally come into play when
the commercial banks consider the establishment of lending policies for their operations as
i. Liquidity - this suggests banks only make use of depositors’ money for business. These
depositors are usually entitled to their funds every time they are in need of the money.
Banks lend money for a short term because such money can be withdrawn at any time by
the depositors. That is why the banks advance loans on the understanding that they will
be repaid within a short time against security that can be easily marketable and
ii. Safety - implies the safety of the funds lent out by the banks must be safe in a sense that
the borrower should be able to repay the loan and interest in time at agreed regular
capacity to generate enough funds from business entities and the character of such
borrowers. Thus, lending banks should take into consideration the creditworthiness of the
borrowers which governs their character, capacity to repay, and financial standing.
i. Diversity -Jhingan (2008) further suggested that banks consider the composition of the
loan portfolio in line with the desired diversity of the investment in the process of
granting loans to customers. The loans being granted to customers are not normally
loans to various industries, firms, businesses and trades. Hence, commercial banks need
11
to strive to spread risks of investment in loan portfolio by giving out credits to various
ii. Stability- Commercial banks only advance loans to customers whose businesses generate
stable incomes. Any project, business or any customer that applies for a loan facility
should thus be evaluated to determine the possibility of such ventures generating constant
income with which to serve the loan and make repayment on regular basis (Jhingan,
2008).
iii. Profitability- This is the last principles of bank lending policies indicated by Jhingan
(2008) which stated that loans and advances are usually granted with the intention of
earning some income for the banks. This income can only be earned by the bank through
the interest charges being made from the loans granted to customers. Banks earn income
because the interest rate being charged on loans by the commercial banks is normally
standards, it was announced that banks had to place loans status in one of the following five
ii. Special Mention if the loan is being repaid but there may be factors which interrupt
iii. Substandard whenever the income from the firm’s business is insufficient to service
the loan;
12
iv. Doubtful the case where in the debtor unable to repay the loan and hence the bank
v. Loss if either the principal and interest cannot be recovered or, with legal action, a
According Michael (2018), lending financial institutions must extend successful loans that are
paid back in full if they expect to earn high profits. It is followed from a theoretical front that
understanding the concept of credit worthiness is very important as it encompasses the two very
borrowed loan as per terms and conditions stipulated in respective loan contracts. Borrowers’
ability and willingness to repay a bank loan, in turn, can also be achieved through the two
economic concepts known as adverse selection and moral hazard (William, 2018).
Adverse Selection - The idea behind this concept, according to William (2018), suggested the
situation of selecting very risky businesses which most likely to default because of the greater
Moral Hazard – here also it was argued that the possibility of extending loans to borrowers who
- once they have obtained the loans - may have incentives to divert those loans to engage in risky
and/or undesirable activities that will most likely expose lending institution to hazard of default
(William, 2018).
To properly manage and hence overcome the adverse selection and moral hazard problems,
therefore, lending financial institutions have to adhere to the following six basic principles that
required for managing credit risk that result in successful loans (Frederic, 2011): screening,
balance requirements. The following are brief descriptions of such basic principles suggested by
Frederic (2011) for managing credit risk of lending financial institutions as indicated next:
a. Screening is a pre-approval loan process that suggests screening out bad credit risks
from the good ones based on reliable information collected from prospective
b. Monitoring is another important principle of credit risk management that deals with
history with the lending bank), which actually reduce the costs of information
collection and thus make it easier to screen out bad credit risks.
to a given amount of loans for a specified future repayment period of time which, in
turn, promotes a long-term relationship with a borrower and also facilitates the bank
with information about that borrower’s income, asset and liability position, overall
borrower defaults. It also as a means to reduce moral hazard because the borrower has
f. Credit Rationing means refusing to make loans as per the borrowers’ request even
though they are willing to pay the stated interest rate or even a higher rate. Such
14
situation occurs when the lending bank is willing to make a loan but restricts amount
Van (2002) indicated that capacity refers to the ability of the borrower to repay the loan.
Investment credit which will yield sufficient profit will enable the borrower to repay the loan.
The surplus fund that would be resulted from net income after business expenses is used to repay
the credit. Most borrowers can easily repay the principal and interest. However, some of them
find it hard to repay the principal. Cash flow budgeting technique is used to assess repayment
capacity. Van (2002) suggested further suggested good financial management help to improve
the repayment capacity and the profitable use of credit in the following manner:
The outcome of another study conducted by Abreham (2017) suggested that independent
variables including sex, income from other sources, monitoring, credit timeliness, repayment
time suitability and training adequacy were significant and positively influence loan repayment
Moreover, the finding of the study conducted by Metkel (2017) indicated that better repayment
performance is strongly and directly associated with suitability of repayment period and
15
educational level of the borrower and respectively followed by income financed by the loan, age
Ayele (2016) was also conducted a study with an objective to identify the determinants of
successful loan repayment performance in project financing in the case of DB of Ethiopia. The
finding of his study showed that among those explanatory variables including experience,
processing time, loan amount, follow-up, equity debt, distance, education, raw material,
management and market that were supposed to determine the repayment performance of project
financed by DB; variables such as managerial experience of project manager, loan processing
time, educational level, and number of supervisions conducted by the bank, project
implementation period and type of management have got statistically significant and positive
In another study, Fikirte (2011) undertook an investigation to answer basic research questions
that, among others, intended to identify and analyze major determinants of loan repayment
performance which include socio-economic, business and loan related factors. After analyzing
the nature of relationship between loan repayment (dependent variable) and the combined
saving money in the institution by the borrowers, availability of sufficient loan size and also a
continued supervision and follow-up found to be the significant factors that determine loan
Godio (2012) also conducted a study with an objective to analyze and identify major
determinants of loan repayment in commercial banks. Particularly, the study aimed to answer as
16
to which factors connected to individual client, socio-economic, loan and business can influence
loan repayment performance. Following the study, the researcher identified that the leading
causes for poor loan repayment performance of clients include delayed loan approval, inadequate
financing, diversion loan, ineffective credit appraisal request and poor monitoring, market
problem, young age group, higher cost of doing business, shortage of working capital, improper
use of loan against intended purpose, insufficient loan size, delay of loan disbursement and lack
of providing training by the bank are found to be the main reasons and challenges faced by the
lending bank.
Coming to another study, it is found that the following explanatory variables such as livestock
ownership, loan supervision, educational level, loan size amount, income from activities
financed by the loan, timeliness of loan release, suitability of loan repayment period, income
from other activities, age and loan diversions were found to be statistically significant in
determining loan repayment performance of women considered for the purpose of this study
(Medhin, 2015).
Referring to another study, Kibrom (2010) investigated borrowers-, project- and loan-related
characteristics to identify factors that can contribute towards a successful loan repayment
relationship between the explained variable (successful loan repayment) and a combined set of
the explanatory variables, it is found that educational level of the borrowers, repayment period of
the loan, availability of other source of income, business sector, purpose of the loan and type of
labour explains successful loan repayment performance of the borrowers positively and
Mesele et al (2016) aimed to identify and analyze those socio-economic, business- and loan-
related factors that explain loan repayment performance of the small scale enterprises of the
Wolaita Zone Micro Finance Institution (WZMFI). For the purpose of this study, the researchers
identified about 15 explanatory variables and an explanatory research method was used so as to
quantitatively describe the relationships among explanatory variables and the dependent variable
by using both primary and secondary data collected from such area of the study. The result of the
study revealed that, out of fifteen explanatory variables included in the model, only six of them
such as sex of household, educational status, dependency ratio, tropical livestock unit, value of
equipment and repayment suitability were found to be statistically significant. According to this
study, it is also found that, the age of respondents negatively and significantly determines the
loan repayment performance of borrowers whereas education level determines loan repayment
positively and significantly. Also it found that borrowers with small number or no dependants in
Another study also conducted to examine the determinants of loan repayment performance
among smallholder farmers living in Kombolcha and Babile districts of East Hararghe zone,
Ethiopia (Million et al, 2012). The researchers used descriptive statistics and multiple
econometric techniques to analyze and investigate the relative importance of major independent
variables that supposed to influence loan repayment performance. Out of these explanatory
variables, the regression result of the study suggested that agro ecological zone, off-farm activity,
production loss, informal credit, celebration of social ceremonies, number of contact days
supervised by extension agents, and loan income ratio are appeared to be important factors that
determine loan repayment performance of small holder farmers in the study area.
18
Dula (2016) conducted a study with the objective to identify socioeconomic factors that
influence loan repayment status of borrowers of the MFI named Busa Gonofa Microfinance of
Ziway branch. The researcher used descriptive statistics and multiple econometric methods were
employed in order to analyze socioeconomic factors that can influence their loan repayment
performance of MFI clients under consideration. The result of the study suggested that
independent variables such as loan diversion, family size and celebration of social ceremonies
showed a negative significant effect on loan repayment performance while the variables
including income from other activities, livestock holding, membership duration, loan supervision
and training on loan use have a significant positive effect on loan repayment performance.
The study findings conducted by Marcelina, (2017) in assessing the impacts of social-economic
factors on loan repayment performance revealed that there is a significant relationship between
business characteristics (including size, age and location), individual borrowers’ factors
(including the education level, age and experience in borrowing), loan factors (interest rate, loan
Also on the study conducted with an objective to assess the causes of NPLs, Phides (2013) found
that factors including moral hazards, inadequate business, financial, marketing, entrepreneurship
and management skills, fund diversion, multiple loans, adverse customer selection problem, poor
loan policy, inadequate loan monitoring and poor customer services appeared as the causes for
NPLs.
Another finding of the study conducted to assess the creditworthiness and repayment
performance revealed that while farmers with large total operating expenditure-income ratio,
19
longer years of farming and older farmers with adequate supervision were credit worthy whereas
those farmers with better educational level and large farm sizes were non credit worthy (Nkem et
al, 2016).
According to another related study, Mohammad &Hooman (2009) identified variables affecting
repayment performance such as age, farm land hectares, experience, income, interest rate of
received loan, time laps between loan application and disbursement, whether respondent used
loan for investment activity, total application costs, whether respondent owned farm machinery,
loan size, collateral value and number of installments. Out of these variables, it is found that
farmer’s experience, income, loan size and collateral value had positive effect while loan interest
rate, total application costs and number of installment showed a negative effect on loan
Further, Amen (2011) studied factors related to borrower characteristics (such as age, gender,
educational level, other source of income and loan diversion), borrowers business (such as other
sources of credit, urban/rural area and marketplace), institutional characteristics (including loan
processing time, loan supervision, interest rates, screening criteria, grace period and loan size)
and environmental factors that can influence loan repayment behavior in the community banks,
Tanzania. Following the descriptive statistics and multiple regression analysis, the findings of
the study suggested that factors such as age, gender, other source of income, loan diversion,
availability of alternative source of credits, loan supervision, screening criteria and loan size
reveal positive relationship with respect to loan repayment; where as other independent factors
including education level, rural/urban area, borrowers market place, loan processing time and
As per another empirical study, Norhaziah & MohdNoor (2012) aimed to identify various factors
the influence loan repayment performance in microfinance programs, Malaysia. The finding of
the study revealed that factors such as age, religious education, total income and business
formality found to be negatively related with repayment performance; whereas other variables
including gender, business experience, distance to the lender office, number of time visit and
There is also another empirical study that conducted to specify major determinants of loan
Nairobi County. The finding of this study suggested that higher education level, large family
size, large amount of loan applied and longer duration of business result in increased loan
repayment performance, on one hand; while an increase in age, interest rate and change in
gender leads to more loan default, on the other (KIliswa Nancy, 2012).
According to another paper, Kenneth (2016) undertook an investigation with specific objectives
to identify lenders-, borrowers- and loan-related factors can influence loan repayments among
customers of commercial banks in Kenya - specific to Barclays Banks of Kenya limited. Using
multiple regression analysis, the study concluded that there is a significant relationship among
those individual borrowers-, lenders- and loan-related factors and loan repayment performance of
Following are the set of borrower- and loan-related factors that can lead to settled term loans
repayment performances of OIB borrowers who had successfully repaid different term loans
a. Credit History - implies past loan repayment history of a borrower with other
credit history as one of the criteria for successful loan repayment and argued that
loans must be made only to those who present the least risk of failure to repay. Past
repayment history (that is good credit) is the first and probably the most important
increase his/her/their/its productivity and thus to exert credit worthiness in the face
c. Education – refers to the highest level of school a borrower have completed or the
worthiness that would increase repayment capacity of borrowers. (Eze & Ibekwe,
2007).
d. Business Type – this is another borrower-related factor that implies the type of
business sector in which the borrower is engaged. It is argued that productive and
which can be offered as a security whenever the borrower planned to apply for
another or additional loan. Frederic, (2011) argued collateral as one of the important
22
apply for another or additional loan after fully repaying outstanding balance of
existing term loan. Amen-Rabi (2011) stated that banks should establish appropriate
solely for the purpose it was originally approved for by lending financial
sufficient average loan amount relative to borrower’s repayment capacity that the
assumption is that the more the sufficient loan amount disbursed to the requesters,
the more they can finance the proposed business and the more they can succeed the
business profitably. On the other hand, the less approved loan size below the
proposed business plan to the borrower, the higher the possible difficulties they can
face while running the business due to insufficiency of funds available by the
23
the loan funds could be very essential for the borrowers while running their
business (Abreham, 2017). This also represents granting sufficient average loan
d. Duration of Loan - indicate the suitability of loan repayment period that agreed
between the lending financial institution and the borrower during which the
extended loan is expected to be fully repaid back to the lender (Metkel, 2017).
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CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Introduction
In this Chapter, the research identified the procedures and techniques that were used in the
collection, processing and analysis of data. This chapter focused on the research design used,
area of the study, target population of the study, the sampling design and the sample size in
3.2 Methodology
A descriptive study design was chosen to access about factors that can lead to settled term loans
performance by considering the case of OIB into account. In attempt to achieve that, a
quantitative data analysis technique was employed in order to find out the relative importance of
It was stated that quantitative data can be analyzed using descriptive statistics such as measure of
central tendency, frequencies, standard deviation and standard errors. Such descriptive analysis
used to investigate the relative importance of major study factors that can influence the loan
Employing a descriptive research design thus can be used in order to organize, analyze and come
up with the study findings which then interpreted and discussed. Such descriptive analyses
approach was adopted to explain the relative importance of primary data collected from survey
respondents using the structured survey questionnaires. To analyze such collected data, a
quantitative research method was adopted based on the statistical data collected from respective
primary sources. That is to say, first hand data was collected from selected sample size of survey
25
respondents using a convenient data collection instrument namely structured questionnaire that
The study focused on term loans repayment performance of OIB borrowers, who had been
settled the outstanding balances of their respective loans extended to them both at different city
and outlying branches of the same bank, were targeted as the specific area of the study on hand.
However, by considering the prime purpose of this study and also the availability of required
resources (such as time and cost constraints) that needed, the employees of OIB - who directly
engaged in daily loan administrations such as loan processing, credit appraisals, making credit
decisions and subsequent monitoring and follow up operations - were targeted as the specific
area of the study units from which survey respondents were selected to collect the required data
Here it is worthy to emphasize that the core reason that motivated the researcher for
concentrating on OIB employees (who are responsible to handle and manage loan-related daily
activities) as the main source for the required data was subjected to the following: better
knowledge and understanding about subject matter of the study, literacy level needed to provide
appropriate survey responses, besides time and resource constraints that limited the need to
collect the required data directly from those OIB borrowers who spread throughout the country
A population can represent collection of persons, things, or objects under study. For the purpose
of this study, target population consists of OIB staffs who directly work with loan administration
at different organizational levels that responsible for loan processing, credit decision making and
The idea of sampling come into surface so as to select some portion from target population and
then conduct study on the portion (the sample) to gain information about that population (Susan
& Barbara, 2017). Another argument cited by Kenneth (2013) in his study suggested that
population is also known as a “universe” which refers to all the items in the field of inquiry
(Kumar, 2008).
The total numbers of study units or respondents which considered for the purpose of this study
were composed of 243 OIB employees who actually engaged in the day-to-day loan
administration activities - representing population targeted for the study. That is to say, the study
subject targeted for this study consisted of such study units namely different credit management
Management Credit Committee (MCC), Department Credit Committee (DPCC), District Credit
Committee (DCC) and Branch Credit Committee (BCC)), in addition to different loan experts
responsible for handling loan processing and monitoring operations (such as Relationship
Managers, Credit Analysts, Loan and Monitoring Officers) who operate at head office, district
selected from a population for investigation purpose. The members of the sample are called as
participants. The process through which a sample is extracted from a population is called as
sampling. Since it is not easy to investigate and assess every single element of a given
basis of information obtained from the sample (representative of the population), the inferences
It was also suggested that survey sampling describes the process of selecting a sample of
elements from a target population in order to conduct a survey. The purpose of sampling is thus
to reduce the cost and/or the amount of work that it would take to survey the entire target
Regarding as to which sampling technique to employ for this study, defining the type of
appropriate sampling technique appeared to be very important in order to make the study more
Although representative samples are produced by probability sampling, however, there are many
instances in which it turns out difficult - if not impossible - to use a probability sampling
technique. The prime purpose of the study was to collect the required data on factors that could
lead to successfully settled term loans performance of OIB borrowers. However, the limitations
of required resources such as time and finance have influenced the decision as to which sampling
technique to be used.
28
It was argued that if the available resources such as time, cost and efforts are not enough and/or
if the study is meant at exploring an idea rather than understanding a population, non-probability
techniques are well suited. However, if enough resources are available or else if the research is
conducted to develop the understanding about the population, then probability sampling is
Thus it is followed that this study employed a purposive sampling method (one of the non-
probability sampling technique) for two basic reasons: one was to access about factors that could
cause settled term loans repayment performance -case of OIB borrowers- by collecting a first-
hand data from OIB employees who directly deal with daily loan administrations. Another basic
reason of using purposive sampling technique was due to limited resources (such as time and
In order to represent population targeted for the study, selecting larger sample size enables to
In support of the preceding argument, Mark & Natalia (2017) claimed that the natural variation
that results from selecting a sample to represent a larger population decreases as the sample size
increases. Mark & Natalia (2017) added that selecting larger samples reduces sampling error.
Further, it was suggested that a sample between 10-30% of the target population is considered
adequate for generalization of the findings to the whole population (Mugenda & Mugenda
(2003).
In attempt to select a representative sample, the subsequent table (Table – 3.2) was thus
sample size that can lead to generalization of findings on behalf of population considered for this
study.
Table – 3.2: Developing Sample Size on the Basis of Purposive Sampling Technique
Selected
number of
Target
Units of Study Proportion study subjects
Population
(survey participants targeted for study) (purposive) (to whom
(Total)
questionnaires
distributed)
Branch Managers managing at City &
115 0.95 109
Outlying Branches of OIB
Loan Officers operating at City & Outlying
67 0.95 64
Branches of OIB
Credit Analysts & Loan Officers operating at
29 0.95 28
HO Credit Management Department of OIB
Monitoring & Loans Recovery Officers
Working at Monitoring& Recovery 11 0.95 10
Department of OIB
Members of District Credit Committee of OIB 12 0.80 10
Members of Credit Management Committee
9 0.80 7
at Head Office of OIB
Total 243 228
Source: Compiled from HR Record of OIB Staff dated 2018/19
Based on purposive sampling method that developed, as shown using Table – 3.2 indicated just
above, the sample size selected for the purpose of this study, therefore, computed to be 228,
which consisted of 109 branch managers, 64 branch loan officers, 28 credit analysts and loan
officers who operate in the Credit Management Department, 10 officers from Monitoring and
Follow-up Department, 10 members from District Credit committee and finally 7 members from
Management Credit Committee. To assure the representative capacity of those selected samples
30
from 243 population of the study, the overall ratio of selected number of study subjects (that is
228) compared to the size of targeted population (that is 243) appeared to be about 0.94 or 94%.
Individual proportion of study units, which ranged from 0.8 to 0.95, were adopted to calculate
the intended sample size of the study from each of the respective study subjects - as depicted in
Out of the 288 total number of questionnaires that distributed out to those purposively selected
returned back - representing the actual sample size of this study on which data collection, data
In this study, ethical issues were considered as a core concern while seeking access from
individual survey respondents during data collection process. In fact, the privacy and
confidentiality of data collected from participants of survey respondents was assured to them
through distributed data collection instruments indicating that the purpose of collecting the
required data remain purely academic and also given high consideration and respect. The
assurance was also provided in writing stating that no names and the collected data from
3.7.1 Questionnaire
Questionnaire is one of the main methods available for collecting the required data from survey
participants discussed earlier who represent the study subjects of this thesis. In fact, the selection
of this method depends upon a number of factors: availability of resources needed to reach
31
survey participants and hence collect first-hand data from the same, the literacy level of
respondents, knowledge about the subject matter of the study and motivation of the respondents
A five point Likert scale has been employed so as to transform attitudinal scale responses into
quantitative measure and hence represent a quantitative research method (Harry & Deborah,
2012).
Furthermore, it has also been argued that Likert scale data are analyzed using the interval
measurement scale. As far as the type of data analysis procedures concerned, descriptive
statistics were recommended for interval scale items which include the mean for central tendency
Regarding the type of data required for this study, the first-hand data was considered as the main
source that collected from survey participants. The process of data analysis was conducted using
analysis including: frequency, center of data, spread of data, percentile, maximum and minimum
as appropriate.
The questionnaire developed for the purpose of this study was devised by the researcher so as to
collect the required data from survey participants. For this matter, Mathers et al. (2009)
suggested that questionnaires can also be devised by the researcher with an option to design
his/her own questionnaire so at to gather the required data from primary sources.
32
Survey questions designed to ask respondents are the basis of research findings and conclusions.
These questions constitute the ‘input’ for conclusions (the ‘output’). This input passes through a
series of steps – the selection of a sample, the collection of information, the processing of data,
the application of statistical procedures and the writing of a report – and the manner in which all
of these are done can affect the accuracy and quality of your conclusions (Ranjit, 2011).
Considering such reasons including limited literacy level of OIB borrowers targeted for the
purpose of the study, time and resource constraints; the first-hand data was collected from
selected samples of survey respondents of OIB employees, who directly involved in handling
The collections of such primary data from selected samples of respondents were accomplished
by considering the type of information needed for undertaking the study on hand. Of course,
such data was collected in connection with factors specific to borrowers- and loan-related
characteristics that can lead to settled term loans performances – considering the case of OIB.
Validity is the ability of the measuring instrument to measure what it claims to measure or put
simply, it is the accuracy of measurement. It suggests whether or not the instrument measures
what is supposed to be measuring. As William &Frances (2012) stated, validity represents the
extent to which measurements actually measure what they are supposed to measure.
The question asking how it can be established that an instrument is measuring what it is
supposed to measure is very important since it underpins the basis of making judgment. For this
33
matter, one of the available approaches preferred for checking the validity of instrument
(questionnaires) developed for the purpose of this study is regarded as content validity.
Referring to Mark (1995), content validity involves subjective measure of how appropriate
survey items seem to a set of intended reviewers who, of course, have got some basic knowledge
Applying the concept of content validity approach, therefore, survey questionnaires were
related expertise. It turns out that, such individuals were reviewed the contents of survey so as to
ensure if it contained everything it should and doesn’t include anything that it shouldn’t.
To ensure validity, thus, the measuring instrument (questionnaire) was tested so as to ensure that
respondents had no problem in answering the questions and that there would be no problem in
recording data.
Reliability of instrument suggested the degree of stability exhibited when a given measurement
is repeated under identical conditions (Mark, L. (1995). It implies the extent to which the
research methodology and/or data produce the same results over a period of time. In other words,
if the conditions are constant and the same data are used, the output of the system should remain
The concept of reliability can thus be looked at by posing a question: How reliable is an
measurements. If we collect the same set of information repeatedly more than once using the
34
same instrument and get the same or similar results under the same or similar conditions, an
instrument is considered to be reliable. Referring back to Ranjit (2011), reliability is the degree
of accuracy in the measurements made by a research instrument. That means, the lower the
How to measure the reliability of an instrument? There are a number of ways to assess the
reliability of an instrument. For the purpose of this study, however, the researcher tested the
reliability of the instrument applying the so called internal consistency reliability that measure
different aspects of the same concept. It measures internal consistency reliability among a group
of items combined to form a single scale which can be tested by computing the Cronbach’s alpha
(α): a statistic frequently employed to indicate the reliability (or internal consistency) of a
number of items that form a scale using the SPSS. More specifically, Mark, (1995) suggested
that internal consistency reliability determines a reflection of how well different items
complement each other in their measurement of different aspects of the same variable or quality.
Mark (1995) also added that one can conclude a scale is said to have good reliability if
Considering the inconvenience associated with gathering the first-hand data from targeted
borrowers of OIB and also the limitation linked with time and finance constraints, the Likert
Scale procedure was used for measuring attitudinal responses of survey participants
quantitatively.
It is suggested that Likert scale items are created by calculating a composite score from four or
more Likert-type items. And the composite score for Likert scales can then be analyzed using the
interval measurement scale. Regarding the appropriate data analysis procedures using Likert
35
Scales, descriptive statistics that were recommended for interval scale items include the mean for
central tendency and standard deviations for variability (Harry, B. & Deborah, B, 2012).
After collecting the required data, data analysis was conducted by employing descriptive
statistics such as Percentage, Frequency, the Mean and Standard Deviations (SD) values that
would help to generalize the relative importance of those factors of the study.
36
CHAPTER FOUR
4.1 Introduction
In the preceding chapter, the research design employed for this study was presented and
discussed somehow in detail. The purpose of this chapter was to present the results of the study
followed by respective discussions; after conducting a detailed analysis of those data collected
from selected samples of survey participants. In attempt to describe the characteristics of data set
collected from primary sources, thus, descriptive statistical analysis was used to come up with
study conclusions.
It was argued that descriptive statistics summarizes or describes characteristics of a data set. It
consists of two basic categories of measures: measures of central tendency and measures of
variability or spread. Measures of central tendency describe the center of a data set whereas
measures of variability or spread describe the dispersion of data within the set. Descriptive
statistics, in short, help describe and understand the features of a specific data set by giving short
summaries about the sample and measures of the data (WILL, 2019). Furthermore, Sarang,
(2018) added that descriptive statistics involves summarizing and organizing the data so they can
be easily understood. Descriptive statistics, unlike inferential statistics, seeks to describe the data,
but do not attempt to make inferences from the sample to the whole population.
The results of descriptive statistics were used to describe the percentage (frequency), the center
and spread of data that were collected from selected samples of survey participants and hence
assess factors that can influence settled or fully repaid term loans repayment performance – by
To facilitate such descriptive analysis, therefore, the so called Statistical Package for Social
Science (SPSS) version 20.0 was employed to analyze and present data through descriptive
statistical analysis.
Out of 243 target populations of the study, questionnaires were distributed to a total number of
288 purposively selected study subjects. Out of such 228 distributed questionnaires, 196 were
successfully responded and returned back – representing 86% questionnaire response rates.
For this matter Kenneth, O. (2013) cited in his study by referring to Mugenda & Mugenda (2003)
that a response rate of 50% is adequate for analysis and reporting; a rate of 60% is good and a
response rate of 70% and over is excellent. It is followed that the response rate of this study,
which appeared to be more than 70%, was thus excellent and representative of the targeted
population of the study and it conforms to Mugenda and Mugenda (2003) argument.
Those 196 returned questionnaires, therefore, served as the basis for data analysis so as to
present the findings and draw conclusions. That is, out of 228 totally distributed questionnaires,
196 of them were successfully responded and collected back whereas the remaining 32
questionnaires were discarded - as most of them were not returned back and/or not properly
filled out as required. Therefore, the result of data analysis, discussions of the findings and
conclusions of the study were based only on those 196 successfully completed and returned
survey questionnaires.
38
The subsequent descriptive statistics were used in attempt to conduct data analysis about factors
that could cause settled term loans repayment performance - considering the case of OIB. To
facilitate such analysis, the SPSS statistical package was employed so as to simplify the analysis
of data collected from survey respondents by employing some of basic descriptive statistical
• Frequency – to see the number of times each survey statement rated by respondents
of the study.
• Percentage – to assess the proportion of response rates and compare to judge the
relative importance of each factor of the study towards leading to the repayment
• The mean – to assess about the center of collected data from selected samples of
• Standard deviation – to assess the spread out of collected data about the mean
The study required survey respondents to rate the relative importance of a given survey
statements dealing with borrower and loan related factors towards influencing successfully
settled term loans performance - by considering the case of OIB. In this case, therefore, each
factor was analyzed and discussed one after another with the help of the stated descriptive
statistical tools as presented next. That is, subjects of the study were asked to rate both borrower-
and loan-related factors of the study or survey statements by considering the level of their
importance in causing successfully settled term loans of OIB using a five-point Likert Scale. The
The discussions of data analysis were thus made based on the above rating points to reach at
Here descriptive data analysis was carried out considering the following borrower specific
factors: Credit History, Business Experience, Education Level, Business Type and Collateral
Strength. In this line, survey respondents were requested to rate these factors (using a five point
Likert Scale from 1 to 5 respectively against the following: not important, slightly important,
moderately important, important or very important) by considering the extent of their relative
importance towards leading to successfully settled term loans performance of OIB. To discuss
the relative importance of each factor of the study, therefore, the analysis was conducted by
considering the mean score value of each study factor that generated after running the SPSS
package.
a) Credit History:
Referring to Table 4.3 shown bellow, the descriptive result of survey response rates regarding the
importance level of borrowers’ credit history record with lending financial institutions in the past
- towards leading to successfully settled term loans performance of OIB - can be described as
next. It is followed that, out of the total number of 196 subjects of the study, 14 (7.1%) of them
40
believed that credit history is not important, 11 (5.6%) believed that credit history is slightly
important, 25 (12.8%) indicated credit history is moderately important, 67 (34.2%) believed that
credit history is important and the remaining 79 (40.3%) of respondents rated that credit history
is very important.
Though the descriptive result of the study revealed that the majority of study units (that is 79
(40.3%)) rated credit history as ‘very important’, however, the resulting mean 3.95 value
suggested that credit history is rather near or close to ‘important’. This suggestion is so because
the mean value 3.95 of the study is fairly close to the scale value allotted for survey statements
rated as ‘important’, which is 4, in causing successfully collected term loans performance of OIB
In general, based the resulting mean value of the study, survey respondents agreed that credit
history can be fairly viewed as important towards leading to successfully settled term loans
Thus the descriptive result suggested that extending term loans to existing as well as new credit
applicants, that characterized by good truck of loan repayment performances in the past with
respect to any lending financial institutions, can be lead to successfully settled term loans
performances of OIB. That is, granting term loans to borrowers having good record of past credit
information with any lending commercial bank seem to be resulted in fully repaid term loans
repayment performances the bank under question. This is so because credit history represents
record of a borrower’s ability to repay debts and can demonstrates borrower’s responsibility in
repaying debts. Whenever credit is requested, thus, borrower’s credit history is used to assess
41
how he/she/it/they/ manage previous financial responsibilities and thus decide whether to grant a
b. Business Experience:
As shown in the Table 4.4 shown under, the descriptive result of respondents’ survey responses
while rating the importance level of borrowers’ business experience in causing successfully
settled term loans performance of OIB can be discussed as follows. Out of the total number of
196 of survey respondents, none of them believed that business experience is not important, 5
(2.6%) believed that business experience is slightly important, 17 (8.7%) indicated business
and the remaining 94 (48.0%) of respondents rated that business experience is very important.
42
Here also even if the descriptive result of the study showed that the majority of respondents (that
is 94 (48.0%)) rated business experience as ‘very important’, it is fair to argue that this factor
OIB; since the resulting mean value 4.34 obtained against business experience is rather near to
‘important’. This is to say, since the mean value 4.34 of the study is fairly close to the scale value
collected term loans performance of OIB - as indicated in the questionnaires developed for the
In general, based on the above discussion regarding the importance level of business experience,
the study units agreed that business experience can arguably viewed as important towards
leading to successfully settled term loans performances of the bank under consideration.
Thus the study result suggested that granting term loans to those borrowers having sufficient
years of business experience - in relation with the type of business sectors in which they have
actually been engaged in - can lead to successful repayment performances. Extending term loans
to applicants who believed to exactly know how to successfully run the type of business he/she/it
expected to manage could be resulted in fully repaid term loans repayment performances. That
is, borrowers with better knowledge and experiences on the relevant businesses can profitably
run their businesses. Even if crises happen to specific business segment, borrowers with previous
business exposures may recover their business and will succeed consequently contrary to
borrower with no or less business experience. The good experienced the borrowers are, the more
they can succeed their business and repay the loan timely. On the other hand, the less they are
c. Education Level:
Referring to Table 4.5, the study result of survey response rates about the importance level of
borrowers’ education level towards leading to successfully collected term loans performance of
OIB depicted this: out of the total number of 196 of survey respondents, 43 (21.9%) of them
believed that education level is not important, 38 (19.4%) believed that education level is slightly
that education level is important and the remaining 7 (3.6%) of respondents rated that education
However, even the descriptive result of the study showed about 61 (31.1%) of respondents rated
education level as ‘moderately important’, it is evident to argue that this study factor (i.e.
education level) appeared less or slightly important in causing successfully settled term loans
performance of OIB. This view point is so because the resulting mean value 2.68 that generated
44
against borrower’s education level is rather close to ‘slightly important’ since this mean value
(i.e.2.68) is rather some how far away from survey scale value (i.e. 3) that actually fixed for
rating ‘moderately important’ - as indicated in the questionnaires developed for this study. So
based on the mean value discussed just above, education level can arguably be labeled as slightly
important in causing successfully settled term loans performances – considering the case of OIB.
Thus looking into the study result shown in the Table 4.5, respondents agreed that borrowers’
education level representing the highest level of education a person received and successfully
completed appeared to be the least important factor while comparing with other borrower related
factors of the study towards influencing successfully repaid term loans repayment of OIB. That
is, the scored mean value of 2.68 that computed based on survey response rates suggested that
the majority of survey respondents perceived education level as the least borrower-related factor
in causing successfully settled term loans repayment performance when compared with the other
d. Business Type:
Referring to Table 4.6 shown bellow, the descriptive result of survey response rates regarding the
importance level of borrowers’ business type towards leading to successfully settled term loans
performance of OIB revealed that; out of the total number of 196 subjects of the study, 7 (3.6%)
of them believed that business type is not important, 5 (2.6%) believed that business type is
believed that business type is important and the remaining 62 (31.6%) of respondents rated that
Here the result of the study depicted that most of study subjects (that is 90 (45.9%)) rated
business type as ‘important’ and also the resulting mean value of 3.99 (which appeared very
close to 4 of survey rating scale) thus suggested that borrowers’ business type is fair to be
considered as important. This suggestion is so because the resulted mean value 3.99 is very close
to the scale value (i.e. 4) which was allotted for rating survey statements denoted as ‘important’,
Thus the result of this study factor suggested that extending term loans to borrowers who
corporation, or private limited company) believed to cause successfully settled term loans
performances considering the case of OIB. Stated differently, granting term loans to those
arguably less risky business sectors could save lending commercial bank under question from the
possibility of NPLs and hence this can be perceived as the main reason to have a well performing
Table – 4.6: Type of Business Sector versus Settled Term Loans Performance
Type of Business (BUSTYP)
Value Count Percent
Standard Attributes Measurement Scale
Valid 196
N
Missing 0
Central Tendency and Mean 3.99
Dispersion Standard Deviation .953
1 Not Important 7 3.6%
2 Slightly Important 5 2.6%
3 Moderately Important 32 16.3%
Labeled Values
4 Important 90 45.9%
5 Very Important 62 31.6%
Source: SPSS Output of Survey Data
e. Collateral Strength:
Survey respondents further requested to rate the importance level of collateral strength in causing
successfully settled term loans performances of OIB. Accordingly, the subsequent Table 4.7
depicted that, from the total number of 196 subjects of the study, 22 (11.2%) of them believed
that collateral strength is not important, 9 (4.6%) believed that collateral strength is slightly
that collateral strength is important and the remaining 101 (51.5%) of respondents rated that
collateral strength as is very important towards leading to successfully settled term loans
Again here, although the descriptive result of this study factor (i.e. collateral strength) showed
the majority of respondents or 101 (51.5%) of them rated education level as ‘very important’, it
is evident from respective mean value 4.02 that this study factor rather appeared as important in
causing successfully settled term loans performance of OIB. This is so because the resulting
mean value 4.02 that generated against borrower’s collateral strength found almost the same as
47
the rating scale value (i.e. 4) which was allotted for rating survey statements that believed to be
‘important’ (just as indicated in the questionnaires developed for the purpose of this study). In
general, borrowers’ education level hence can be regarded as important towards causing
Thus by looking into the study result depicted under Table 4.7, the majority of survey
respondents agreed that the estimation value of collateral relative to loan outstanding balance can
be perceived as the main reason to have successfully settled term loans performance of OIB.
Stated differently, borrowers who offered collateral having strong market value relative to the
outstanding balances of previously extended term loans usually tended to successfully settle such
existing outstanding balance of loans with an aim to apply for an increased amount of another
At this point, descriptive analysis was conducted against the subsequent loan specific factors of
the study such as screening, demand for other loan, utilization of loan, size of loan and duration
of loan. Just as the case with borrower specific factors discussed above, here also survey
respondents were requested to rate loan related survey statements using a five point Likert Scale
from 1 to 5 respectively against the following: not important, slightly important, moderately
important, important or very important by considering the extent of their relative importance in
causing settled term loans performance of OIB. To compare such relative importance of those
selected loan-related factors, the analysis was conducted by considering the mean score value of
each study factor that generated after running the SPSS package.
a. Screening:
Furthermore the subjects of the study requested to rate the importance level of screening in
leading to successfully settled term loans performances of OIB. As shown in the Table 4.8 that
follows, out of the total number of 196 subjects of the study, 10 (5.1%) of them believed that
screening is not important, 9 (4.6%) believed that screening is slightly important, 32 (16.3%)
indicated screening is moderately important, 67 (34.2%) believed that screening is important and
the remaining 78 (39.8%) of respondents rated that screening as is very important in leading to
But even if the descriptive result of this study factor (i.e. screening) showed that the majority of
respective mean value 3.99 that such study factor rather seems important towards leading to
successfully settled term loans performance of the bank under consideration. This argument is so
since the resulting mean value 3.99 that generated against screening found very close to the
49
survey scale value (i.e. 4) that was allotted for rating survey statements that believed to be
‘important’ in causing successfully settled term loans performance - just as indicated in the
questionnaires developed for the purpose of this study. So, screening can generally be considered
Therefore, the response rates provided by survey respondents suggested that the practice of
enforcing properly endorsed due diligence to safeguard against the possibility of adverse
selection (i.e. selecting very risky businesses which most likely to default because of the greater
possibility that borrowers will be unable to pay back their loans) and also getting into moral
hazards (i.e. extending loans to borrowers who may have incentives to divert disbursed loans to
engage in risky activities other than the approved purposes). Laying down such efforts to sort
out bad loan applications from the good ones can enhance determine risks associated with
extending loans and thus pave away to have successfully collected term loans repayment OIB. In
fact, this process can also be achieved by using the 5C’s framework by lenders in order to
eligible for credit: character (a borrower’s general trustworthiness, credibility and personality),
capacity (whether a borrower’s business generates enough cash flow to signify the ability to
repay a loan in full), collateral (borrower’s assets that are used to guarantee or secure a loan),
capital (amount of money invested by a potential borrower or business owner), and conditions
(to determine conditions under which borrower’s business operating by considering the state of
Moving on the subjects of the study requested to rate the importance level of demand for loan in
causing successfully settled term loans performances of the bank in question. As evident in the
Table 4.9 that follows that out of the total number of 196 subjects of the study, 5 (2.6%) of them
believed that demand for loan is not important, 10 (5.1%) believed that demand for loan is
slightly important, 51 (26.0%) indicated demand for loan is moderately important, 94 (48.0%)
believed that demand for loan is important and the remaining 36 (18.4%) of respondents rated
that demand for other loan as is very important towards leading to successfully settled term loans
performances of OIB.
But, even the descriptive result of this study factor under consideration showed that the majority
of respondents or 94 (48.0%) rated same factor as ‘important’, it can be seen from its respective
mean value 3.74 that this study factor rather seemed close to important towards leading to
51
successfully settled term loans performance of the bank under consideration. This is so because
the resulting mean value 3.74 that generated against demand for loan appeared to be close
somehow to the survey scale value (i.e. 4) that was allotted for rating survey statements that
believed to be ‘important’ while rating factors that can lead to successfully settled term loans
performance of OIB. Hence, demand for other loan can generally be considered as important in
leading to successfully settled term loans performances of the bank under study.
Thus, it is followed that the result of the study suggested that OIB’s borrowers usually tend to
settle the outstanding balance of existing term loans with an aim to apply for another or increased
loans amount. That is, the need to apply for an increased amount or other loans and use the fund
as additional working capital for running his/her/their/its business could serve as incentive and
hence motivate such borrowers to settle the existing balances of previously extended term loans.
Table – 4.9: Demand for another Loan versus Settled Term Loans Performance
c. Utilization of Loan:
Again respondents of the study asked to rate their view regarding the importance level of
utilization of loan only for the purpose it originally approved towards causing successfully
settled term loans performances of the bank in question. As evident in the Table 4.10 that follows
that out of the total number of 196 subjects of the study, 1 (0.5%) of them believed that
utilization of loan is not important, 5 (2.6%) believed that utilization of loan is slightly important,
utilization of loan is important and the remaining 76 (38.8%) of respondents rated that utilization
of loan as is very important towards leading to successfully settled term loans performances of
Here the result of the study depicted that most of study subjects (i.e. 84 (42.9%)) rated loan
utilization as ‘important’ which seemed agree with the resulting mean value of 4.17 of the study
factor under consideration. That is, since the resulted mean value 4.17 found to be very close to
survey scale value (i.e. 4) which allotted to rate survey statements that viewed as ‘important’ in
causing successfully collected term loans performance of OIB. Generally, the utilization of loan
thus can be seen as important towards leading to successfully settled term loans performances of
This is therefore, survey respondents of this study viewed that proper utilizations of disbursed
term loans only for the approved purpose by credit management committee of the bank under
consideration can be lead to successfully repaid term loans performance. This means, proper
utilization of granted term loan without diverting to any risky purpose other - than that it has
originally been disbursed - can be lead to successfully settled term loans performance of OIB.
53
d. Size of Loan:
The same respondents further asked to rate the importance level of disbursed loan size in relation
with requested amount in causing successfully settled term loans performances of OIB. As
depicted in the Table 4.11 that follows that out of the total number of respondents, 6 (3.1%) of
them believed that loan size is not important, 12 (6.1%) believed that loan size is slightly
important, 53 (27.0%) indicated loan size is moderately important, 83 (42.3%) believed that loan
size is important and the remaining 42 (21.4%) of respondents rated that loan size as is very
important towards leading to successfully settled term loans performances of the bank under
question.
Here, the study result indicated that most of respondents (i.e. 83 (42.3%)) rated loan size as
‘important’ which is fairly close to the resulting mean value 3.73 of factor the study under
54
consideration. That is, since the resulted mean value 3.73 appeared to somehow close to survey
scale value (i.e. 4) which fixed to rate survey statements as ‘important’ towards causing
successfully collected term loans performance of OIB. Reasoning that way, loan size thus can be
considered as important in leading to successfully settled term loans performances of the bank
under consideration.
Based on the above discussions, the respondents of this study believed that granting the
sufficient amount of loan size by considering such factors including the size of requested loan
against borrower’s credit history, the value of offered collateral to secure the loan, the repayment
capacity and nature cash flows of a borrower can lead to successfully collected term loans
performance of OIB.
e. Duration of Loan:
As depicted in Table 4.12, survey respondents also asked to rate the importance level of duration
of loan contract in relation with repayment capacity and cash flows towards achieving
successfully settled term loans repayment of OIB. It is followed that out of the total number of
subjects of the study, 7 (3.6%) of them believed that duration of loan contract is not important,
13 (6.6%) believed that duration of loan contract is slightly important, 63 (32.1%) indicated
duration of loan contract is moderately important, 86 (43.9%) believed that duration of loan
contract is important and the remaining 27 (13.8%) of respondents rated that duration of loan
contract as is very important towards leading to successfully settled term loans performances of
Even the descriptive result against the study factor on hand showed that the majority of
respondents or 86 (43.9%) rated same factor as ‘important’, but it can be seen from the resulting
mean value 3.58 that this factor of the study (i.e. duration of loan) rather matched with survey
rating scale labeled as to ‘moderately important’ in causing successfully settled term loans
performance of OIB. That is, since the mean value 3.58 that generated against duration of loan
contract is not large enough with scale value (i.e. 4) that allotted for rating survey statements that
believed to be ‘important’ in leading to successfully settled term loans performance of the bank
of the study. Generally the duration of loan contract can be viewed as moderately important
towards causing successfully settled term loans performances of the bank under question.
Thus considering the discussions made just above, respondents of the study agreed that granting
the required amount of loan by considering enough length of loan duration (in years) and also by
taking into account a fitting mode of installment period (monthly, quarterly, semi annually or
annually that would match with the repayment capacity and cash flows borrowers) within which
56
borrowers could conveniently repaid back the borrowed loans can lead to successfully settled
Table – 4.12: Length of Loan Contract versus Settled Term Loans Performance
Length of Loan Contract (LONCNT)
Value Count Percent
Standard Attributes Measurement Scale
Valid 196
N
Missing 0
Central Tendency and Mean 3.58
Dispersion Standard Deviation .933
1 Not Important 7 3.6%
2 Slightly Important 13 6.6%
Labeled Values 3 Moderately Important 63 32.1%
4 Important 86 43.9%
5 Very Important 27 13.8%
Mark (1995) suggested that internal consistency reliability determines a reflection of how well
different items complement each other in measuring different aspects of the same variable or
quality. Further, Mark added suggesting that a scale is said to possess a good reliability if the
In this line, the subsequent to the descriptive analysis discussed in the preceding section, the
reliability analysis based on ten borrower- and loan-related factors of the study that indicated in
the previous sections has also been done using Cronbach’s Alpha in order to insure the internal
consistency of the questionnaires structured for the study and see if the survey scale measured
57
the same construct. In this regard, the Cronbach’s Alpha result approximated to 0.78 was
produced after running the statistical package called SPSS (Please look at Table – 4.13).
CHAPTER FIVE
The preceding chapter discussed the overall findings of the study in detail. Based on such
findings, thus, this chapter tried to present the summary of the study findings followed by
5.1 SUMMARY
It is a common knowledge to say that any academic writing has got its own objective. As such,
the main objective of this study was to assess and hence identify factors that can lead to fully
repaid term loans repayment performance – considering the case of Oromia International Bank
Share Company. Accordingly, the summarized findings on both borrower- and loan-related
factors that lead to Settled Term Loans Repayment Performance of the study was hereby
presented next.
a. Credit History
The descriptive result of respondents suggested that extending term loans to existing as well as
new credit applicants who characterized by good truck of loan repayment performances in the
past with respect to any lending financial institutions can lead to successfully settled term loans
repayment performance. Stated differently, disbursing term loans to borrowers having good
record of past credit information with any commercial bank can be resulted in fully repaid term
b. Business Experience
The preceding descriptive result depicted that granting term loans to those borrowers having
sufficient years of business experience - in relation with the type of business sectors in which
they have actually been engaged in - can lead to successful repayment performances. That is to
say, extending term loans to credit applicants who believed to know how to successfully run the
type of business he/she/it expected to manage could be resulted in fully repaid term loans
repayment performances.
c. Education Level
Respondents agreed that education level of borrowers appeared to least important while
compared with other factors of the study in causing successfully repaid term loans repayment
performances. That is, the scored mean value of 2.68 that computed based on survey response
rates suggested that the majority of survey respondents perceived education level as the least
borrower specific factor in relation with successfully settled term loans repayment performance –
d. Business Type
The study suggested that extending term loans to borrowers who engaged in a profitable type of
other words, making the disbursement of any term loans to those arguably less risky business
sectors could save lending commercial banks from the possibilities of NPLs and hence this can
also be perceived as the main reason to have a well performing term loans that could be lead to
e. Collateral Strength
The majority of survey respondents selected for the study agreed that the estimation value of
collateral can be perceived as the main reason to have successfully settled term loans repayment
performance. That means borrowers who offered collateral with strong market value usually
tended to successfully repay the outstanding balance of their existing term loans with an aim to
apply for an increased amount of another loan from lending commercial banks.
a. Screening
The response rates provided by survey respondents suggested that the practice of enforcing
properly endorsed due diligence and also the efforts laid down at the early stage of pre-approval
of borrower selection process can heavily enhance any lending financial institutions the
possibility of having successfully repaid term loans repayment performances. That is, sorting out
or rejecting highly risky term loans applications from the good ones can be resulted in fully
The study also suggested that borrowers of commercial banks usually tend to fully repay the
outstanding balance of their existing term loans with an aim to apply for another increased loans
amount. That is, the need to apply for an improved amount of future loans could motivate the
borrowers so as to properly repay back the remaining balance of previously disbursed term loans.
c. Utilization of Loan
Furthermore, the study found out that proper utilizations of disbursed term loans only for the
purpose they originally approved by credit management of lending bank can lead to successfully
61
settled term loans repayment performance. This implies, proper utilization of granted term loan
without diverting to any purpose other than that it has originally been disbursed can be resulted
d. Size of Loan
The study also showed that that granting sufficient amount of term loans considering the actual
repayment capacity of a borrower can be resulted in successfully settled term loans repayment
performance.
Once again the study revealed that extending term loans considering adequate repayment period
that would match with the cash flow of borrowers can lead to successfully settled term loans
repayment performance.
5.2 CONCLUSIONS
The main objective of this study was to access factors that can lead to fully repaid term loans
repayment performance – considering the case of Oromia International Bank Share Company.
After developing the structured questionnaires needed for this study, first-hand data was
collected from purposively selected sample of 196 survey respondents of OIB employees who
directly engaged in a day-to-day loan related banking operations: loan processing, credit
The five point Likert Scale technique was adopted so as to quantitatively measure attitudinal
responses of survey participants with respect factors of the study. The process of data analysis
was then conducted by employing some basic descriptive statistics including frequency,
62
percentage, the mean and standard deviation – which in fact simplified with the help of the
The study found that the following were borrower- and loan-related factors of the study that have
been rated (by survey respondents) considering their relative importance towards causing settled
term loans repayment performances – the case of OIB. The Mean and respective standard
deviation were adopted in an attempt to compare and judge the importance level of those factors
of the study (in descending order) towards leading to settled term loans performance of OIB.
In this regard, the study revealed that business experience 4.34(.745), utilization of loan
4.11(.991), collateral strength 4.02(1.338), business type 3.99(.953), screening 3.99(1.1), credit
history 3.95(1.184), demand for other loan 3.74(.904), loan size 3.73(.968), length of loan
contract 3.58(.933) and education level 2.68(1.165) were borrower- and loan- related factors that
were respectively rated in terms of the level of their relative importance towards leading to
Based on the descriptive results discussed just above, therefore, the study concluded that
borrowers’ business experience rated highly as very important factor that frequently resulted in
causing settled term loans repayment performance of OIB followed respectively by other factors
of the study such as utilization of loan, collateral strength, business type, screening, credit
history, demand for other loan, loan size and length of loan contract; whereas borrowers’
education level rated relatively as the least important factors in causing successfully settled term
5.3 RECOMMENDATIONS
i. Based on the findings and conclusions, the study recommends that each OIB staff
including loan officer, credit analysts, customer relation manager, branch manager and
each credit committee of same bank such as branch credit committee, district credit
committee, department credit committee and management credit committee that operate
with loan administrations should be informed about the relative importance of factors of
the study towards causing successfully settled term loans repayment performances of
ii. The study further recommends that, after properly screening out risky loan applications,
management credit committee of the bank under study should extend sufficient loans
amount along with reasonably enough repayment period by giving priority to such
borrowers of the bank that could demonstrate adequate business experiences in running
profitable or less risky business types; properly utilize the loan for purpose granted only
without diverting to other risky purpose; possess valuable assets that could be offered as
strong collaterals relative to the size of requested loans and also got good truck of credit
record in the past with any lending commercial banks of the country.
Considering time and resource constraints, this study attempted to examine factors that can lead
to successfully settled term loans repayment performance of OIB, by using data collected from
employees of same bank who work with loan related administrations. Thus, when possible, the
study recommends for the need of conducting further studies on the same or similar topic by
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As part of my MBA thesis major in Finance, I am conducting survey to collect data that
required for the proposed study entitled Assessment on Factors Leading to Settled Term Loans
This Likert Scale survey is purely academic and any information provided will be treated
confidentially and used only for academic purpose which is broadly categorized into two main
parts: Part I and Part II. And your valuable participation is sought considering your overall
I am, thus, kindly asking you to take few moments and provide your thoughtful opinions on
how you think the relative importance of the given survey statements regarding the performance
General Instructions:
b) Please rate each survey question considering the extent of its relative importance;
c) Please make a tick mark “√” only once against your choices;
d) Please provide your honest and thoughtful responses.
Survey ID _____
This survey supposed to employ the Likert-Scale method with five point scales. Considering the degree
of their relative importance, therefore, please rate each of the following survey statements (from 1 to
20) by putting a tick mark(√) against any one of the corresponding point scales (from 1 to 5) of your
choice.
Factors causing Fully Repaid Term Loans Repayment Performance – case of Borrowers at OIB
MANY THANKS
75
Descriptive Statistics
Std.
N Minimum Maximum Sum Mean
Deviation
Business Experience 196 2 5 851 4.34 .745
Utilization of Loan 196 1 5 817 4.17 .815
Collateral Strength 196 1 5 787 4.02 1.338
Type of Business Sector 196 1 5 783 3.99 .953
Screening 196 1 5 782 3.99 1.100
Credit History 196 1 5 774 3.95 1.184
Demand for another Loan 196 1 5 734 3.74 .904
Size of Loan 196 1 5 731 3.73 .968
Length of Loan Contract 196 1 5 701 3.58 .933
Education Level 196 1 5 525 2.68 1.165
Valid N (list wise) 196