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Cebu Institute of Technology

University
N. Bacalso Avenue, Cebu City, Philippines

COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING AND ARCHITECTURE

Learning Evidence No. 2


PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
ES031 – Engineering Data Analysis
Presented to the Faculty of the Department of Industrial Engineering
Cebu Institute of Technology - University, Cebu City, Philippines

By:

VIN DANZEL C. DAYONDON


Instructions. Answer the following items. You may refer to the learning materials given to you
on this topic. Handwrite and picture your solutions. Make sure that your solutions are neat,
legible and in the correct order. Picture your handwritten answers and insert a clear copy of
your solutions right after each item.

PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
1. For a manufacturing industry, the number of industrial accidents averages three per week.
a. Find the probability that at most five accidents will occur in a given week.

b. Find the probability that two accidents will occur in a given day.

2. The lifetime of a mechanical assembly in a vibration test is exponentially distributed with a


mean of 400 hours.
a. What is the probability that an assembly on test fails in less than 100 hours?
b. What is the probability that an assembly operates for more than 500 hours before
failure?

c. If an assembly has been on test for 400 hours without a failure, what is the
probability of a failure in the next 100 hours?

3. A manufacturing company implemented a new production process to reduce defective fuses.


From the old process, it was computed that at least 1 defect costs the company an average of
₱6,500,000.00 per production run. After implementing the new process, suppose a large lot
contains 10% defective fuses and four fuses are randomly sampled from the lot.
a. Find the probability that at least one fuse in the sample of four is defective.

b. (Continuing from result in item a) in one production run of 500 eighty-unit lots, how
much would be the loss if the cost to manufacture one unit is ₱ 335.75?

c. How much is the difference from the old process? Did the new process effectively
reduce the company’s losses?

4. The time until recharge for a battery in a laptop computer under common conditions is normally
distributed with a mean of 260 minutes and a standard deviation of 50 minutes.
a. What is the probability that a battery lasts more than four hours?
b. What are the quartiles (the 25% and 75% values) of battery life?

c. What value of life in minutes is exceeded with 95% probability?


5. Each main bearing cap in an engine contains 4 bolts. The bolts are selected at random without
replacement from a parts bin that contains 30 bolts from one supplier and 70 bolts from
another.
a. What is the probability that a main bearing cap contains all bolts from the same
supplier?

b. What is the probability that exactly 3 bolts are from the same supplier?

End of Learning Evidence 2

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