Choice Experiment
Choice Experiment
Choice Experiment
Ermias Tesfaye Teferi * , Tigist Damtew Worku , Solomon Bizuayehu Wassie , Bernd Muller ,
Abdul-Rahim Abdulai , Céline Termote
doi: 10.20944/preprints202410.2466.v1
Keywords: mobile-based extension service; practice-oriented extension service; random parameter logit;
willingness-to-pay; private agricultural advisory; preference heterogeneity
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Article
Abstract: This study investigated vegetable farmers’ willingness-to-pay (WTP) for private agricultural advisory
services in northwestern Ethiopia. Understanding farmers' preferences is a crucial step for modernizing
agricultural advisory services and transforming smallholder agri-food systems. Discrete choice experiment data
from 393 farm households was analysed using a random parameter logit model. The results revealed that
vegetable farmers are willing to pay for practice-oriented private advisory services. The result also showed the
existence of heterogeneity in farmers’ preference for features of vegetable advisory services. Household heads’
educational status and age influenced preferences for advisory service features. Farmers in general preferred
extension services with frequent expert visits and practical engagement on-farm as opposed to digitized options
that rely on short message service (SMS) and voice-based guidance. Additionally, farmers are more willing to
pay for extension services that emphasizes on leafy vegetables as opposed to fruit-bearing or roots and tuber
vegetables. The findings imply initiatives that push for commercializing agricultural advisory services should
strive to achieve a balance between practical application and digitization of extension services accounting for
heterogeneous preferences of smallholder farmers.
Keywords: mobile-based extension service; practice-oriented extension service; random parameter logit;
willingness-to-pay; private agricultural advisory; preference heterogeneity
1. Introduction
Agricultural advisory services (AAS) play a vital role in food system transformation by
promoting productivity, increasing food security, improving rural livelihoods, and promoting
agriculture as an engine of pro-poor economic growth (1–4). Improved AAS is especially critical in
lower- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where agriculture is an engine of growth (5). The (6)
defines agricultural extension as “systems that should facilitate the access of farmers, their
organizations, and other market actors to knowledge, information, and technologies; facilitate their
interaction with partners in research, education, agribusiness, and other relevant institutions; and
assist them in developing their own technical, organizational and management skills and practices.”
Poor public agricultural extension service in African nations poses a significant obstacle to
achieving productivity gains. Recent research showed that the introduction of private extension
services in legume-based and cereal farming systems in countries like Ghana, Mali, Tanzania, and
Niger resulted in an increase in the adoption of enhanced agricultural inputs, such as pesticides (7–
11). Similarly, a study conducted in Burkina Faso found that the agricultural extension service offered
by private groups was superior to the service provided by the government (12). Studies in Kenya and
Cape Verde demonstrated the effectiveness of private AAS, when combined with public extension
systems, in improving efficiency (13,14).
In Ethiopia, the establishment of AAS dates to the imperial regime in 1953 (15) Over the years,
the publicly operated system has undergone significant changes, particularly in terms of geographic
coverage. Despite its long history and increasing access in several parts of the country, research has
shown that the system has struggled to keep up with evolving needs primarily due to factors such as
overworked extension agents, limited collaboration with research, lack of institutional innovation,
and inadequate facilities at farmer training centers (15–17).
The horticultural crops sector suffers most from inefficient AAS (3,18–20). Despite massive diet
shifts in LMICs, experts encourage fruit and vegetable crops for their health and economic benefits
(21–23). Many sub-Saharan African countries, including Ethiopia (24) and others with inefficient
AAS, struggle to produce these essential foods. The low responsiveness of the public AAS to the
diverse and dynamic needs of smallholders sustains previously ineffective management of diseases
and pest outbreaks, outdated inputs and agronomic information, lack of improved storage and
transportation systems, and dysfunctional markets.
Therefore, some have called for building private, responsive, and demand-driven services to
address the inefficiencies created by the current public AAS (16,25). While calls for private extension
gain momentum in Ethiopia, their feasibility remains questionable, especially among farmers used
to free public extension. Specifically, are farmers willing to pay for private extension services to
receive tailored and efficient information? How might farmers respond to such services? Previous
studies in Ethiopia have alluded to farmers' willingness-to-pay (WTP) for AAS. For example, (26)
found that only 10% of farmers are willing to pay for current AAS in eastern Ethiopia. Most
respondents to their survey (64.2%) were favorably disposed to pay if the service was satisfying them
and increased their profits (see also (27)). These findings imply low willingness in some areas but fail
to address which features of AAS are demanded by farmers, especially those engaged in vegetable
production. This study responds to this need by focusing on the vegetable sub-sector. The research
employed a discrete choice experiment approach to examine this critical niche associated with high-
end vegetable produce. The study investigated whether vegetable farmers in northwest Ethiopia are
prepared to pay for a paid extension service that provides timely, adequate, and appropriate
information.
2. Methods
2.1. Study area, sampling, and data
For this study, we collected data from two districts in the Amhara region of northwestern
Ethiopia, Fogera and North Mecha (Figure 1). These districts, near the Lake Tana, Rib, and Koga
irrigation schemes provide access to irrigation water facilities, allowing for the cultivation of a variety
of vegetables, including onions, tomatoes, cabbage, and potatoes (28). We used a choice experiment
approach to gather data from smallholder vegetable producers. Using a Modified Fedorov algorithm,
the Ngene software generated 18-choice tasks with an efficient d-error-minimizing design (29).
Investigators interviewed the sampled household heads for the in-person survey. Two-stage
random sampling was utilized to choose sample households. Initially, two vegetable-growing
districts were targeted. In the second stage, our team randomly picked three kebeles from each
district. The study selected 393 households from selected kebeles using systematic random sampling,
ensuring sample households were proportional to kebele populations. Households from North
Mecha made up 46% of the sample, while those from Fogera accounted for 54%.
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Figure 1. Location of the study area. The left panel shows the study districts of Mecha and Fogera
within the Amhara region in northwestern Ethiopia. The right panel shows the two districts, the main
roads and their location near Lake Tana.
Values used
Attributes to represent Description of each Levels
each level
Focus of vegetable advisory 1, 2 Input focused and Management
service (MVAS) focused
-1,0,1
Frequency of advisory service (FAS) per week, per two weeks, per month
Approach of knowledge exchange 0,1,2
On shops, on-field, by mobile
(AKE)
0,1,2
Types of Vegetables (TVAS) On FV, on LV and on R&T vegetables
80,100,120,140
40% less, 20% less, proposed amount,
Service fee for advisory in ETB (P)
14.5% more
The discrete choice experiment (DCE) attributes and their levels include fruity vegetables (FV),
leafy vegetables (LV), and roots and tubers (R&T); ETB stands for Ethiopian birr, and P is the price.
1
Ethiopia ET: Purchasing Power Parity for non-OECD countries. 14.17 ETB equals 1 US dollar.
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Frequency of Advice service per two weeks Advice service per one month
advisory duration
service
Service fee for 100 ETB per month 140 ETB per month
advisory per
month
Choice
question:
Producers are presumed to optimize their utility in every conceivable scenario, commonly referred
to as a choice set. Thus:
∗ ∗ ∗ ∗
1 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 = 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 (𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛1𝑠𝑠 , 𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛2𝑠𝑠 , … . . , 𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 )
𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 = � (1)
0 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜ℎ𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒
∗
farmer n will choose alternative j if 𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 > 𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛
∗
∀ K ≠ j. In Eq. 1, actual utility is observed through
∗
the utility maximizing choice 𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 , but indirect utility 𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 is not directly observable. Indirect utility
is assumed to be linear, whereas marginal utility is monotonic (i.e., not increasing nor decreasing),
yielding corner solutions in which one choice is selected (40,41). Based on this assumption, the utility
function of farmer n can be written as
∗ ′
𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 = 𝑋𝑋𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 β + 𝜀𝜀𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 (2)
′
Where 𝑋𝑋𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 represents the vector of attributes of each choice for the jth alternative observed by
farmer n, β is the vector of parameters that explain the influence each attribute has on the choice (e.g.,
frequency of advisory service), and 𝜀𝜀𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 is the unobserved (stochastic) component of utility,
independent of the observed components (i.e., X) and equally distributed across individuals and
choices. The unobserved component reflects the hypothesis that unobserved variations and errors
occur in a farmer’s preference for an alternative in any given choice set.
The random parameter logit model allows us to examine farmers’ preferences and willingness
to improve vegetable extension services by varying randomly assigned attributes. (Hensher et al.,
2003) used this model to evaluate the heterogeneity of choices among individuals. The model shows
which attribute preferences are associated with specific types of farmers (e.g., male and female). The
probability that farmer n chooses alternative j in choice set s is assumed to be(42):
𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝( �𝑉𝑉𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 = 1�(𝑋𝑋 ′ 𝑖𝑖1𝑠𝑠 , � 𝑋𝑋 ′ 𝑖𝑖2𝑠𝑠 , … . , (𝑋𝑋 ′ 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 , ∧))�� (3)
′
exp (𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 β)
= ∫ ∑𝑘𝑘 ′ 𝑓𝑓(β| ∧)dβ)
𝑘𝑘=1 exp (𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 β)
′
where 𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 β is the marginal utility parameter at various attribute levels. Λ refers to the
parameters that characterize the distribution of random parameters, such as the mean and covariance
of β (43). In this study, we specify the parameters (i.e., the attributes of vegetable advisory services)
and their respective attribute levels. In Eq. 3, the probability was numerically approximated using a
maximum-likelihood simulation. The coefficients corresponding to each attribute were assumed to
follow a normal distribution. By doing so, their sign can be either positive or negative, indicating
preferences for each attribute. The random parameter logit model was estimated using Stata 15.
Because of the non-cardinal nature of utility, the coefficients generated by a random parameter
logit (RPL) have a limited economic interpretation(41). To gain insights into the behavior of sampled
individuals, economic trade-offs are calculated by dividing non-monetary attributes (e.g., types of
vegetables in the vegetable advisory service) by monetary ones, such as service fee (44).
𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽(𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎)
𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 = (4)
𝛽𝛽6(𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝)
The values indicate a positive, negative, or null WTP ratio. Instead of giving everyone an
identical value for all their traits, the RPLs show whether the coefficients for each person follow a
testable distribution (42). In this study, it is defined as the additional amount of money a farmer is
willing to pay for a marginal change in the vegetable advisory service(45). When an attribute
parameter has a positive ratio, it means that people are ready to pay more for an attribute that
increases their utility — more payment for practical farm advice, for example (46). The monetary cost
that people are willing to bear to accept a modification to a feature that reduces its value may be
represented as a negative ratio (47).
3. Results
3.1. Characteristics of Sample Households
Table 3 provides an overview of the demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the
sample households. Almost all household heads (97%) were male, while females accounted for only
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3%. The mean family size was 7.4 members, while on average, 3.8 members of the household were in
the working age group of above 17 years old. The observed value was comparatively higher than the
mean size of Ethiopian families (4.6) at the national level (48). The average age of the sample
household heads was 44 years, while on average household heads had 23 years of agricultural
experience. The age of the household heads ranged from 19 to 81 years.
Livestock ownership ranged from households with none to those with over 16 tropical livestock
units (TLU). The average livestock holding was 5.2 based on the total number of households. Along
the same lines, the average size of cultivated landholdings held by households in the sample is 1.2
ha, over twice as much as the national landholding, which is 0.55 ha(49). Sample households allotted
an average of 0.4 ha of land for irrigated farming out of the total cultivated land, with a minimum of
0.01 ha and a maximum of 2 ha allocated to the same purpose.
Variables Yes No
Frequency Percent Frequency Percent
Access to Extension/ training 229 58.27 164 41.73
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Notes: Dependent variable is choice; Standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1; or
are statistically significant at 1%, 5% and 10-% level of significance, respectively.
Moreover, the significant standard deviations associated with random parameters indicate
unobserved sources of preference heterogeneity in the sample. The RPL model results also indicated
that each variable exhibited a preference for heterogeneity depending on whether the variable had
statistically significant standard deviations. Here, advice delivered by farmers going to a one-stop-
shop is not statistically significant. Other attributes are significant at the 1% level, such as advice
delivered through mobile calls, SMS frequency of the advisory services, the focus of the advisory
(which is input delivered focus), the type of vegetable (root type), and fruit type vegetable attributes.
This result indicates that the attributes exhibit preference heterogeneity. However, the insignificant
standard deviation for the variable on farmers going to the one-stop-shops implies that all farm
households, regardless of their socioeconomic background, agree that the one-stop-shop extension
service has no more important vegetable extension service attributes than the other attributes.
3.4. Heterogenous effects on choices of vegetable advisory services: Interaction of mixed logit results
The RPL model was estimated by using the included interaction terms. Table 7 shows the
heterogeneous effects on advisory service choice with respect to socioeconomic status based on the
mixed logit/random parameter logit model. These interaction terms allowed us to consider that
people with different demographic, socioeconomic, and attitudinal variables may have different
utilities concerning vegetable-producing advisory services. The interaction between the frequency of
the advisory service attribute and gender is positive and statistically significant at the 5% level (Table
7). This finding indicates that male-headed household farmers have a higher preference for frequent
vegetable extension advisories.
The interaction between the frequency of advisory services and age of the household head was
negative and statistically significant at the 10% level of significance. As farmers grow older, their
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preferences for more frequent vegetable advisory services become lower than those of the youngest.
However, the interaction between education status and frequency of advisory services is positive and
statistically significant at the 5% level. This result shows that farmers who have received education
prefer frequent vegetable advisory services.
The interaction between education and advisory services delivered through mobile devices is
negative and statistically significant at the 1% level, implying that farmers who have received
education are less concerned about advisory services delivered through mobile devices. This result
indicates that farmers with more education prefer the field-visit mode of deliveries by field experts
than receiving information over mobile phones.
The interaction between extension training and root-type vegetable advisory attributes had a
negative significance at 1%, indicating that farmers who received extension training had less
preference for root and tuber-type vegetable extension services than those who did not receive
extension training. However, the statistically significant standard deviation estimates of the
interaction between those attributes and variables suggest that the level of heterogeneity of the
attribute varies beyond what can be explained by the variables.
10
4. Discussion
Agriculture remains the backbone of many sub-Saharan African countries, as it contributes to
maintaining food security, generating employment opportunities, producing foreign exchange, and
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11
providing raw materials for industries (51–53). Therefore, food systems are transformative for most
countries in the region. However, the accessibility of agricultural information to smallholder farmers,
who form the sector's core, remains a critical barrier (54,55) to ensuring equity and inclusivity in food
systems transformation. Many regional governments prioritize identifying the optimal conditions to
ensure that the right information reaches farmers at the right time to aid production decisions. The
Ethiopian government has struggled to facilitate access to information through extension, prompting
calls for private extension to expand its reach to as many farmers as possible. Therefore, this study
examined the conditions under which smallholders in Ethiopia are willing to pay for privately
provided extension services.
The choice experiment showed the heterogeneity in farmers’ WTP for extension. As anticipated
through prior literature on Ethiopian farmers’ WTP for extension services (27,50,56), vegetable
farmers showed some WTP for private extensions delivered through various media. However, a
notable finding of the study was the conditionality associated with willingness. Specifically, the
results indicate that farmers’ willingness is moderated by the elements of the service, such as the
mode of delivery, cost of the service, and type of information provided. There was no blanket
acceptance or WTP for extension services. The findings of this study align with previous research
(16), which emphasizes the need to enhance agricultural extension services in Ethiopia by offering
specialized training tailored to the unique situation. Hence, efforts to establish private extension will
likely fail without paying attention to the differences in farmers' preferences (57). This argument is
further supported by the propensity of farmers to opt out of services when they are not designed to
meet the right conditions.
Furthering the understanding of the specificities of farmers’ WTP is the effect of socioeconomic
(age and education) interaction with extension service attributes. Specifically, there was a significant
association between advisory service frequency and age. As farmers grow older, their preferences for
more frequent vegetable advisory services become lower than those of younger farmers. The age
element, consistent with prior results (27,56,58), could be attributed to experiences gained from
farming as people aged. Farmers gain more experience with age, reducing their need for external
knowledge and information. However, as climate change and many other shocks continue to emerge,
these relationships can be tested over time and must be considered an important topic for research.
Novel research must be conducted to understand how emergent shocks, with the risk of undermining
the existing knowledge older farmers, can influence responses to external knowledge. The results
show a significant association between educational status and the frequency of advisory services that
farmers require and are willing to pay. Specifically, educated farmers prefer vegetable advisory
services more frequently. Educated farmers may know more about the vulnerability of vegetables
to different diseases during production and the importance of extension services for reducing this
vulnerability(58). However, the relationship between education, frequency, and WTP was not generic
for all types of extension services. The negative result of the interaction between education and
advisory services delivered through mobile phones indicated that farmers with more education
prefer the field visit mode of delivery. This critical finding, when applied to a general sample, is worth
discussing further.
Farmers were generally more willing to pay for advisory services delivered by expert field-level
visits than for mobile-assisted and one-stop-shop services, with 1% and 5% levels of significance,
respectively. The potential source of this might be inadequate digital accessibility resulting from the
substandard digital infrastructure experienced by smallholder farmers in Ethiopia (59). This result is
essential for the broader efforts to enhance access to advisory services in Africa and Ethiopia.
Governments and international development entities in the last decade have favored and promoted
widespread digitalization of agriculture, with extension and advisories at the center of such programs
(60–62) Digital extensions and advisories aim to reach hard-to-reach farmers left out of the
overstretched public extension schemes. Ironically, some have questioned whether such digital
efforts are truly built in the interests of farmers. For example, (63) found that farmers tend to prefer
traditional face-to-face meetings. There are several reasons for this preference. Farmers will not
benefit from the delivery of digital extensions in languages (mostly English) inaccessible to
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5. Conclusions
This study found heterogeneity in farmers’ WTP for private, improved extension services, with
the type of crop information (root vs. leafy vegetables) and mode of extension delivery (face-to-face
vs. digital) among some critical differences that impact farmers’ preferences. Farmers emphasized
the importance of in-person extension service delivery. Younger and educated farmers showed more
WTP for frequent private extensions, underscoring socioeconomic variation, including age and level
of education.
The results provide critical insights into the future potential design and implementation of
private extension services in Ethiopia and beyond. Farmers’ WTP for private extension must not be
viewed blindly, regardless of heterogeneities within the smallholder sector and population. Instead,
any attempt to improve such a service must be discussed in the context of questions such as what
type of extension farmers demand. How can an extension service be delivered? What type of products
will such a service be based on? Specialists must design extension services for the specific needs of
farmers, rather than blanket programs that ignore differences in preferences.
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