Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
Download as docx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1/ 8
MODELLING AND SIMULATION
ASSIGNMENT # 01 Submission Date (OCTOBER 23, 2024) BY Ruqia-tul-Afia ROLL # 21021509-040 MATH-406 (MODELLING AND SIMULATION) BS Mathematics (7’A’) Submitted To: Dr Jamshed
Department Of Mathematics
UNIVERSITY OF GUJRAT (HAFIZ HAYAT CAMPUS)
Preface
Population dynamics play a critical role in understanding the behavior of animal populations over time. This assignment explores the fundamental principles of population growth, including birth rates, death rates, and carrying capacity. By developing a mathematical model and simulating it, we can visualize how various factors influence population trends. This assignment is part of the coursework for MATH-406, Modeling and Simulation, which integrates theoretical and practical approaches to system dynamics. Through this model, I aim to enhance my understanding of mathematical modeling and its real-world applications in ecological systems.
Abstract
This assignment presents a mathematical model of animal population dynamics, focusing on the interactions between birth rates, death rates, and carrying capacity. The model uses a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to describe how populations evolve over time. The simulation, conducted in MATLAB, demonstrates the impact of birth and death rates on population growth and decline. The results provide insights into the stability of populations under different environmental conditions and help predict long-term trends in population sizes. This study contributes to the broader understanding of ecological modeling and the use of mathematical tools to forecast biological processes. Population Dynamics Model: Understanding Animal Population Growth
Introduction: Population dynamics is the study of the changes in the size and composition of populations over time. In this model, we focus on animal population dynamics, exploring how factors such as birth rates, death rates, and environmental constraints influence population growth.
Description: This model simulates population dynamics and displays three audiences: Population over time Birth rate over time Death rate over time
Model: The population dynamics model is described by the following equations: dP/dt = bP(1 – P/K) – dP dB/dt = bP(1 – P/K) – dB dD/dt = dP
Mathematical Formulation: Population (P) Population over time Birth(B) Birth rate over time Death(D) Death rate over time
1st ODE (Population over time):
dP/dt = bP(1 – P/K) – dP dP/dt: the rate of change of population size (P) with respect to time (t). In other words, it measures how quickly the population is growing or declining. b( birth rate parameter): Representing the proportion of individuals that give birth per unit time. P( population size): Representing the number of individuals in the population. K: Carrying capacity limits population growth by reducing birth rates and increasing death rates as population size approaches K. P/K: represent the ratio of population size (P) to carrying capacity (K).
2nd ODE (Birth Rate over time):
dB/dt = bP(1 – P/K) – dB Key Components: dB/dt: the rate of change of birth rate (B) with respect to time (t). B: birth rate b: birth rate parameter P: population size K: carrying capacity P/K: the ratio of population size (P) to carrying capacity (K).
3rd ODE(Death Rate over time):
dD/dt = dP Key Components : D: death rate d: death rate parameter P: population size dD/dt: rate of change of death rate dP: the death rate term, proportional to population size.
Parameters: b = 0.05 (Birth rate) d = 0.02 (Death rate) K = 1000 (Carrying capacity)
The population dynamics model presented in this assignment highlights the importance of key factors such as birth rate, death rate, and carrying capacity in determining population growth. By simulating the system over time, we observed how these parameters influence population stability and how a population might approach its carrying capacity under different conditions. The results show that a balance between birth and death rates is crucial for the sustainability of a population. This model serves as a foundation for further studies in ecological dynamics and can be extended to incorporate more complex variables, such as migration or competition between species.
References
1. Brauer, F., & Castillo-Chavez, C. (2011). Mathematical Models in Population Biology and Epidemiology. Springer. 2. Murray, J. D. (2002). Mathematical Biology: I. An Introduction. Springer. 3. Edelstein-Keshet, L. (2005). Mathematical Models in Biology. SIAM. 4. May, R. M. (1976). Simple Mathematical Models with Very Complicated Dynamics. Nature, 261(5560), 459–467.
2024 - Geiß - Anticipating A Risky Future - Long Short-Term Memory LSTM Models For Spatiotemporal Extrapolation of Population Data in Areas Prone To Earthquakes and Tsunamis in Lima Peru
Download Full State Space Approaches for Modelling and Control in Financial Engineering Systems theory and machine learning methods 1st Edition Gerasimos G. Rigatos (Auth.) PDF All Chapters
2024 - Geiß - Anticipating A Risky Future - Long Short-Term Memory LSTM Models For Spatiotemporal Extrapolation of Population Data in Areas Prone To Earthquakes and Tsunamis in Lima Peru
Download Full State Space Approaches for Modelling and Control in Financial Engineering Systems theory and machine learning methods 1st Edition Gerasimos G. Rigatos (Auth.) PDF All Chapters
