Redacted Version 171219
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
7,660km 600 24
of high pressure pipeline above ground installations compressor sites
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https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/820843/
Energy_Consumption_in_the_UK__ECUK__MASTER_COPY.pdf
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80%
Today, 80 per cent of homes rely
on natural gas for heating, as do
many businesses, commercial
properties and public buildings,
including schools and hospitals.
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Executive summary
1. Key messages
In building our business plan:
• We have extensively listened to our stakeholders
to develop a plan that meets their needs, and
embraced the new enhanced engagement
arrangements for RIIO-2.
• We have worked to define and determine the
network capability stakeholders need, testing
this against the Energy Networks Association’s
Common RIIO-2 Scenario and the full range
of Electricity System Operator produced
Future Energy Scenarios.
• We are proposing £553m per year of investment
(39 per cent higher than RIIO-1) to maintain
a safe, reliable and resilient transmission system.
• We have challenged ourselves to ensure
our proposals deliver at the lowest cost and
create optionality as we develop the lowest
cost pathway to net zero. We have an efficiency
ambition of 8 per cent on total costs, which
includes an 11 per cent operating expenditure
efficiency ambition.
• We are committed to a whole energy system
approach, having worked with other network
companies and government to identify a
programme of work needed to test and prove
hydrogen conversion options, which are
critical to developing the pathway to net zero.
• We give evidence for why adjustments
are required to Ofgem’s proposed financial
framework to make sure our plan is sustainably
financeable across a range of credible energy
scenarios.
• Our plan delivers all the outputs stakeholders
need, while reducing our portion of the average
annual domestic consumer bill to £8.85
(excluding inflation).
• We have tested the acceptability of our plan
with consumers, finding that 88 per cent of
domestic and 82 per cent of non-domestic
consumers find the average impact of our
RIIO-2 plan acceptable.
8%
Efficiency ambition
£8.85
Cost of this plan
on our total costs on the average
annual domestic
consumer bill
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Executive summary
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https://www.nationalgridgas.com/document/125911/download
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https://www.nationalgridgas.com/document/127856/download
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Executive summary
0.5%
1% 3%
10%
3%
10%
Key
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Executive summary
We have presented what we plan to do against The costs shown below have had the efficiencies
each stakeholder priority, organised into Ofgem’s from our stretching UK efficiency programme applied
three output categories. and include our baseline costs and the uncertainty
mechanisms we have included in our baseline.
I want the gas system I want to take gas on and off I want you to protect the
to be safe the transmission system transmission system from
Forecast cost £14m per year where and when I want cyber and external threats
(RIIO-1 forecast £17m per year) Forecast cost £280m per year Forecast cost £118m per year;
Key changes from RIIO-1 (RIIO-1 forecast £207m per year) £83m of which is cyber-driven
We have made efficiencies in our systems Key changes from RIIO-1 asset health operational technology
and people-related safety costs. Increased expenditure required to
(OT), £9m of which is business IT
maintain the health of our ageing assets. security plan, £26m of which is
Commitment physical security (RIIO-1 forecast
• We will maintain our first-class level Commitment per year £36m; £2m OT, £9m
of safety whilst continuing to pursue • Invest in our asset health programme to business IT security plan, £25m
the highest level of safety culture
maturity to protect the public,
comply with legislation and our Safety physical security)
Case, whilst maintaining our current
our assets and people. level of reliability, resilience and availability, Key changes from RIIO-1
supported by an annual process to Significant increase in cyber resilience
Consumer benefits assess network capability. expenditure driven by age and
“I want to use energy as and when I • 76 per cent of our asset health spend obsolescence of existing OT, growing
want” – our commitment to safety-related will be delivered through Ofgem’s level of cyber threat and new legislative
inspections, maintenance and asset defined Network Asset Risk Metric. requirements.
replacement avoids disruption to • Redevelop the Bacton terminal using
continuity of gas supply. Commitment
a price control deliverable (PCD) and
“I want you to facilitate delivery uncertainty mechanism (UM) to adjust • Deliver a risk-based strategic
of a sustainable energy system” allowances once final design and costs long-term programme to replace
– our focus on safety protects society are known. key OT used for the safety and
from potential disruption and damage control of critical systems at high
• Address subsidence at King’s Lynn use, high criticality sites using PCDs.
to public health, business, transport using a PCD and UM to adjust
and the natural environment. allowances once final design and • Our business IT security plan will
costs are known. implement a suite of initiatives
to improve cyber resilience across
• Undertake residual balancing, our enterprise IT environment and
maintenance and constraint implement new capabilities in line
management subject to an ODI. with Network Information Systems
• Take a risk-based approach to (NIS) Regulations.
environmental resilience, specifically • Deliver new physical security
to manage the risks with pipeline upgrade solutions where
watercourse crossings. government has determined
• Invest to develop the capabilities of our it to be in the national interest.
people and systems; to allow us to plan, • Regularly review our programme
maintain and operate our network and and utilise UMs to flex our delivery
markets in the most cost-efficient way. if circumstances change, e.g. change
in level of threat or criticality of sites.
Consumer benefits
“I want to use energy as and when I want” Consumer benefits
– enabling a wide range of supplies “I want to use energy as and when
ensures gas is reliably available. I want” – our investments improve the
“I want you to facilitate delivery safety and resilience of the network to
of a sustainable energy system” ride through and recover from malicious
– stakeholders have told us it is in events that threaten to disrupt continuity
consumers’ interests to keep future of GB energy supplies.
energy options open and we will deliver
by determining and delivering the network
capability our stakeholders need.
“I want an affordable energy bill” –
network reliability enables access to the
lowest cost gas supplies, reducing the
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Executive summary
I want you to care for the environment I want you to facilitate the whole energy
and communities system of the future – innovating to meet
Forecast cost £55m per year the challenges ahead
(RIIO-1 forecast £43m per year) Forecast cost £17m per year
(RIIO-1 forecast £13m per year)
Key changes from RIIO-1
Increased expenditure for compressor emissions compliance Key changes from RIIO-1
programme to reduce our carbon footprint and NOx emissions. Taking a leading role in the decarbonisation of heat
Increased commitment to reduce our overall carbon footprint for gas transmission.
in other activities.
Commitment
Commitment • Lead the development of options associated with gas
• Comply with emissions legislation through replacing transmission to facilitate the decarbonisation of heat, industry
two compressors at our Wormington site with more efficient and transport, specifically hydrogen, supported by a UM.
ones, that will reduce NOx emissions from 2026 (via a PCD),
• Lead the development of the gas markets framework by
to meet stakeholder network capability requirements.
collaborating with others to enable the pathway to net zero.
• Deliver a programme of works for emissions legislation
• Collaborate across industry on a hydrogen workplan and
compliance by 2030, we’ll continue to work on solutions
on innovative solutions.
at three more sites using UMs.
• Invest in skilled people and IT systems so we can lead
• Increase our focus on reducing all methane emissions
regulatory change, anticipate future regulatory developments,
through monitoring leaks on the network, and working
and understand how these might affect stakeholders and
on ways to reduce them, supported by a greenhouse
our network.
gas ODI.
• Reduce the carbon footprint of our business by replacing Consumer benefits
100 per cent of our operational vehicles with alternative fuel
“I want you to facilitate delivery of a sustainable energy system”
vehicles where there is a market alternative in 2019, installing
– defining the solutions for decarbonising heat, providing costs
solar panels on our sites, ensuring the energy we use in
and implications for consumers will support a pathway that
our office buildings is from renewable sources and reducing
minimises disruption.
carbon in construction projects.
• Address 80 redundant assets, asset groups or sites measured “I want an affordable energy bill” – whole energy system
by a PCD, enhancing the natural environment around these. collaboration offers networks the potential to respond to
changing needs and reduce consumer costs in the most
• Deliver benefits to wider society, including committing
effective way. Focusing on delivering and embedding
0.3 per cent of the value of major projects spend to support
innovation to deliver the energy transition ensures the
community initiatives and ensuring new construction projects
most effective long-term solutions are taken forward.
protect and promote biodiversity.
Consumer benefits
“I want you to facilitate delivery of a sustainable energy system”
– cutting greenhouse gas emissions reduces our impact
on climate change, with clear benefits for society including
improved air quality. Improving biodiversity and enhancing the
environment when we have demolished a site, brings positive
benefits to nature and communities.
“I want an affordable energy bill” – responsible demolition
protects future consumers from the costs of disposing
assets they may not have benefited from, whilst promoting
environmental net gain activities.
For more information on our price control deliverables (PCDs), uncertainty mechanisms (UMs)
and output delivery incentives (ODIs), please see annexes A3.01 to A3.03 respectively.
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Executive summary
I want to connect to the I want you to be efficient I want all the information I need
transmission system and affordable*
Forecast cost £8m per year
Forecast cost £3m per year Key changes from RIIO-1 (RIIO-1 forecast £8m per year)
(RIIO-1 forecast £4m per year) Building on our RIIO-1 learnings to drive
an enhanced efficiency ambition in RIIO-2. Key changes from RIIO-1
Key changes from RIIO-1 Enhancing our capability
We will be more responsive to the Commitment to share information.
needs of our customers. • Sustain a £30m per year operational
cost efficiency from our RIIO-1 Commitment
Commitment efficiency programme. • Implement best practice open data
• Continue to support the liquidity • Deliver a further £6m per year sharing and governance across the
of the energy market by providing operational cost efficiency across RIIO-2. energy industry, working with network
an efficient process for connection • Deliver a further £11m per year companies to build a whole system view.
and capacity applications. efficiency on our direct capital • Retain our quality of demand
• Actively promote connection investments across RIIO-2. forecast ODI.
opportunities to new customers • Continue to benchmark, market • Invest in our people and IT systems,
including biomethane entry customers test and use native competition taking advantage of technology to
and gas-powered vehicle refuelling throughout RIIO-2. develop new capabilities allowing us
station exit customers. to share information in better ways.
• Be more responsive to the needs Consumer benefits • Be more transparent by continuing
of customers, incentivised through “I want an affordable energy bill” to provide regulatory reporting,
an ODI. – embedding efficiencies, focusing continuing to update our business
• Optimise use of the existing system on the most efficient and effective plan with stakeholders, retaining the
by substituting capacity where possible solutions and reducing returns from independent stakeholder user group
rather than building new capacity, day one of the new price control will and ensuring our leadership team’s
informed by robust options analysis. keep costs down for consumers. remuneration is clearly aligned with
delivering outputs for stakeholders.
Consumer benefits UMs ensure spend is directed
to maximum consumer benefit, Consumer benefits
“I want to use energy as and when even when circumstances change.
I want” – making it easier for new sources “I want an affordable energy bill”
to connect ensures diverse domestic Facilitation of the wholesale market – our information and insights provide
and international sources of gas has a positive impact on the wholesale value for consumers by ensuring that
can access our network efficiently. energy cost for consumers. the gas market runs smoothly and
promotes competition in the wholesale
“I want you to facilitate delivery of a Balancing costs between current and
market, keeping wholesale costs low.
sustainable energy system” – actively future consumers ensures fairness.
promoting new low carbon connection
opportunities assists decarbonisation
with minimal disruption to consumers. Figure 3.02 our consumer value proposition
“I want an affordable energy bill” Our plan provides significant value to consumers; delivering a safe, reliable and resilient
– where possible, we provide capacity network for homes, businesses and communities both today and into the future, and playing
without building new assets, facilitating our part in decarbonising Britain’s energy system. The consumer value proposition focuses
liquidity in the competitive wholesale on those parts of our plan (these could be commitments, outputs or incentives) that go
energy markets which keeps costs beyond minimum requirements and beyond the functions typically undertaken by an energy
low for consumers. network company as business as usual. We have monetised five items:
1. Gas on and off – Resilience solution at Blackrod
2. Protect from cyber and – Security innovation application
external threats
3. Environment and communities – Business carbon footprint reduction
through construction
4. Environment and communities – Natural environment improvements
5. Environment and communities – Community initiatives.
For more information please see annex A10.05.
*Business support costs to deliver stakeholder priorities: forecast cost £75m per year (RIIO-1 cost per year £73m)
Capital and operating expenditure efficiency commitments: -£17m per year
Pass-through costs such as licence fees and tax: forecast cost £192m per year (RIIO-1 cost per year £201m)
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Our costs are fully justified and our plan • Uncertainty mechanisms included in our baseline
is deliverable For asset health works we have forecast the
Our plan is ambitious and the detailed planning costs to address issues at both our Bacton
we have done confirm it is deliverable. The planned terminal and King’s Lynn site. We have proposed
increase in work on the network has required us to include these costs in baseline at £33m per
to think very differently about how we manage our year. However, due to a need to finalise the scope
maintenance and construction activities, whilst and cost for the solution, we propose to adjust the
ensuring we can deliver the service our customers cost at a defined period once we have fully
need. We have considered our plan over a ten-year tendered outcomes for these sites within RIIO-2.
period to accommodate network outages in RIIO-2
and RIIO-3, to minimise network disruption, costs and • Uncertainty mechanisms not included
constraints for our customers. We have proposed clear in our baseline
commitments in the form of price control deliverables Further uncertain mechanisms have not been
to ensure that our activities have clearly defined included in our baseline, but may be necessary.
outputs, against which we can be measured. We are They protect consumers from either the cost
confident our business plan is underpinned by solid uncertainty in our proposal or where we need to
foundations. We have extensively listened to our undertake further work to ensure our proposals
stakeholders and triangulated the outcome of these meet the needs of the customer requirements,
discussions to build a plan that meets their needs. external legislation, future network capability
We accompany our plan with engineering justification needs or as certainty in the pathway to net zero
papers, cost benefit analysis and external becomes clearer.
benchmarking to evidence that our plans is robust.
For our emissions driven investment for compressors
We use native competition to extract value from and associated works at St Fergus, Peterborough and
our supply chain, with 82 per cent of all external King’s Lynn, we propose to use our new annual network
expenditure during RIIO-1 going through a competitive capability process to firm up the requirements at
process. For asset health, all of our capital expenditure these sites. Once the full design and solutions are
over £100k during RIIO-1 was subject to competitive known, we will use a reopener window to agree the
tendering. We will continue to develop these processes solution and associated costs. For transparency,
to extract as much value as possible from the supply we have included an estimate of the likely costs in
chain into RIIO-2. our plan and the trigger points required to ensure we
can deliver the network capability in a timely manner.
Protecting consumers against uncertainty
Uncertainty mechanisms are designed to allocate risk to For external threats, whether physical or cyber,
whoever is best placed to manage it. We have protected uncertainty mechanisms allow us to adjust our
consumers by proposing uncertainty mechanisms plans should we be asked by the external competent
for less certain costs to ensure if customer or authorities to do more to ensure we can deliver
consumers’ needs change so do our allowances. a highly reliable and resilient service. Where our
scope or costs are not yet sufficiently well defined,
We have two types of uncertainty mechanisms to we have provided an estimate of likely costs. We will
deal with the types of uncertainty we are managing. use the uncertainty mechanism reopener windows
to request adjustments to our RIIO-2 allowance
when the details are fully defined.
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Executive summary
Executive summary
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Executive summary
6. What’s changed
This is the third iteration of our business plan, • We have worked extensively to ensure our plan
and the second version we have published. is fully justified and deliverable, and it represents
We have made several changes to reflect the minimum total cost to meet stakeholder needs.
feedback from our stakeholders, the independent We have strengthened the justification underlying
stakeholder user group, the independent RIIO-2 our proposals, including an explanation of all
Challenge Group and updates to Ofgem’s business considered options and enhancing the supporting
plan guidance. engineering justification papers and cost benefit
analyses. We have undertaken a complete review
What’s changed of our unit costs demonstrating where these relate
The main changes we have made to our business to outturn costs in RIIO-1.
plan since July are: • We have explored with stakeholders our role in
• The average annual cost we presented in our meeting the government’s net zero commitment,
July draft plan was £599m (excluding pass-through enhancing our proposals to reflect this. We have
costs, potential customer triggered network included more uncertainty mechanisms to adapt
reinforcement and real price effects). We are to different routes to achieving net zero and propose
proposing to spend £553m per year (excluding a ‘net zero reopener’ uncertainty mechanism.
pass-through costs, real price effects and • We have explained more clearly how our RIIO-1
non-baseline funded uncertainty mechanisms). performance benefits consumers in our RIIO-2 plan.
• We have completed further work to ensure our • We
have included more information on competition,
plan is underpinned by the network capability covering early, late and native competition.
stakeholders need. We link the capability of our • As requested by Ofgem and the RIIO-2 Challenge
network to our business plan proposals through Group, we are using a financial package with a cost
a robust process which evaluates the range of of equity of 4.3 per cent (subject to CPIH) to test
potential energy futures, the level of physical our plan. We are also testing our preferred package
capability on our network, and factors which with a cost of equity of 6.5 per cent (subject to
impact the delivery of this capability. To support CPIH), which is consistent with our July plan.
the development of our plan, we have developed
• We have produced our consumer value proposition
some high-level compressor fleet strategy
(CVP), explaining where our plan provides value for
principles. We have also proposed the introduction
consumers above Ofgem’s minimum requirements.
of an annual process to assess network capability
and reflect any changes as they arise. • We have included more information on price control
deliverables, and our proposed package of output
• We have focused on ensuring our proposals
delivery incentives that stretch our performance
are joined up across the key activities of asset
in areas where additional consumer value can
health, compressor emissions and protection
be attained.
from cyber threats.
• We have triangulated the output of our stakeholder
engagement and applied the conclusions to our
proposals, including the results of the independent
acceptability testing of our business plan.
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Executive summary
Nicola Shaw Phil Sheppard Chris Bennett Alan Foster Fintan Slye Cathryn Ross Dr Clive Elphick Alexandra Lewis
Chair Director Gas Director Chief Financial Director System Sufficiently Sufficiently Treasurer
Transmission Regulation Officer Operator Independent Independent
Director Director
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Executive summary
4 Chapter 3 summarises our key commitments, the associated Annexes A3.01–A3.03 to describe our output
consumer benefits and our consumer value proposition. delivery incentives, price control deliverables
Each of our stakeholder chapters includes section 4 – our and uncertainty mechanisms annexes (2.12).
proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will benefit consumers. Annex 10.05 consumer value proposition.
Meet the needs
of consumers and Chapter 12 – network capability. Annex A12.02-A12.05 network capability reports.
network users
Chapter 20 – Our plan is efficient and affordable, Annex A21.02 sustainable workforce strategy.
providing value for money and chapter 21 – our plan is
deliverable (2.13, 2.20, 2.21).
Chapter 18 – I want all the information I need to run
my business, and to understand what you do and why.
Chapter 19 – I want to connect to the transmission system. Annex A19.01 non-customer
funded diversions.
5 Chapter 13 – I want the gas transmission system to be safe.
Chapter 14 – I want to take gas on and off the transmission
system where and when I want (2.18–2.19).
Maintain a safe Chapter 15 – I want you to protect the transmission system Annex A15.02 business IT security plan.
and resilient network from cyber and external threats (2.22–2.31). Annex A15.07 cyber resillience plan.
6 Chapter 16 – I want you to care about the environment Annexes A16.01 Environmental action plan
and communities (2.32–2.35). (EAP).
Deliver an
environmentally
sustainable network
7 Chapter 17 – I want you to facilitate the whole system
of the future – innovating to meet the challenges ahead
(2.48–2.52).
Enabling whole
system solutions
8 Chapter 20 – Our plan is efficient and affordable, providing value Annex A3.02 uncertainty mechanisms.
for money (2.63–2.64). Annex A22.02 RPEs and ongoing efficiency
Each of our stakeholder chapters includes section 6 – risks (2.61).
Uncertainty and uncertainty.
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Executive summary
10 Chapter 20 – our plan is efficient and affordable, A20.16 Native competition plan.
providing value for money (2.78–2.82, 2.84–2.86, 2.88–2.89).
Competition
A consistent view
of the future
12 Chapter 20 – our plan is efficient and affordable, providing value All annexes associated with chapters 20 and 22
for money and chapter 22 – we can finance our plan (3.10–3.16). and as per annex A8.01.
Each of our stakeholder chapters includes section 7 – Business plan data templates and investment
our proposed costs. decision pack, which includes our engineering
Cost information justification papers and cost benefit analyses
(3.21).
13 Chapter 22 – we can finance our plan (3.23, 3.26–3.28). Annexes A22.01 finance, A22.02 real price
effects and ongoing efficiency.
Financial cost
No. Citizens Advice principle How our plan aligns with the principle
1 Profits are lower than the previous price We are proposing a lower base return in the RIIO-2 period,
control, to more accurately reflect the lowering profits from RIIO-1. Our proposals reflect the risks
relative low risk for investors in this sector. associated with our business, whilst maintaining financeability.
2 The value of any unspent funding We are proposing many measurable outputs (PCDs) in our
for infrastructure projects is returned business plan. If we don’t deliver an output and there’s no
to consumers promptly and in full. good reason, we will return the money to consumers.
3 Industry business plans and regulatory We have built our business plan around our stakeholders’ eight
decisions are directly informed by consumer priorities and our consumers’ three priorities. We will involve
(including future consumer) feedback our stakeholders, including consumer representatives, in annual
and research. updates so it continues to meet consumers’ needs.
4 Companies are required to publish complete We report a lot of information on our performance to financial
information on their performance, financial markets and our regulator. In future, we will clearly show the
structures, gearing and ownership. link between what we deliver for consumers and our financial
rewards. The independent stakeholder user group will
challenge us on the quality of our annual reports.
5 Innovation funding and incentives support We will focus on innovation in a number of areas to reduce
consumers in the transition to a low-carbon carbon emissions. We are also focusing our innovation on
future, particularly those consumers reducing costs for consumers in the medium term, such
in vulnerable circumstances. as applying new digital technologies to our network.
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Procure operating margins in an economic and We have continued to stimulate the market and drive down the cost of
16
efficient manner procuring operating margins
Environment outputs
Develop an integrated and cost-effective plan to
ensure the remainder of our compressor units
17 are compliant with the Integrated Pollutions Integrated plan submitted in May 2018.
Prevention and Control (IPPC) and Industrial
Emissions Directive (IED) legislation
Undertake works at Peterborough and
18 Huntingdon compressor stations as part of IPPC On track to deliver works at each site
legislation
Undertake works at Aylesbury compressor
19 Successfully commissioned 2018
station to ensure compliance with IED
20 Report on our business carbon footprint Published each year in our annual report
We have missed the target five years out of the six. Methane emissions
21 Meet greenhouse gas emissions targets
have ranged from 2,857 to 3,928 tonnes
We have missed the target three years out of the six. Energy usage has
Meet our targets for the amount and the cost of
22 ranged between 3,223 GWh and 4,746 GWh, whilst cost has been
the energy we use to run the network
between £70.5m and £101.2m
Customer satisfaction outputs
Undertake annual satisfaction survey with our Performance has been above target each year. Customer satisfaction
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customers and stakeholders has ranged from 7.2 to 8.0 and stakeholder satisfaction from 7.8 to 8.1
24 Submit annual stakeholder engagement report Performance above target each year. Scores ranged from 4.3 to 6.5
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SO opex
SO opex has been subject to some of the same
pressures as TO opex in terms of financial control and IT
activities. However, business support allowances were
determined more specifically for the SO rather than using
a broad, incomplete benchmark which meant costs are
more in line with allowances in this area. In addition, we
have delivered savings in our Xoserve costs through
lower market change activity and efficiencies.
5 https://futureofgas.uk/
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Phase 1: establish priorities of consumers and 2018-2019 to ensure we reflect evolving stakeholder and
stakeholders consumer needs.
The first phase of our engagement focused on We established eight stakeholder and three consumer
understanding what is important to our stakeholders. We priorities around which our plan has been based as
used insight from business-as-usual (BAU) activities to shown in figure 10.06. We validated these priorities with
target engagement for RIIO-2 from several channels. our stakeholders throughout phases 2 and 3 of our
These included ongoing conversations during our day-to- engagement. We produced our comprehensive ‘listen’
day interactions, specific meetings, workshops, webinars report6 to detail everything we heard in this phase.
and online consultations.
We tested these priorities with stakeholders at a webinar
in January 2018 and continuously over the course of
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Acceptability testing
Willingness to pay
Cultural analysis
Priority
assurance approach helps to give confidence that we
survey
survey
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Bacton – this was an example of a specific regional issue The main findings from the research show that there is a
which we tailored our engagement to specific high level of support for our proposals, 88 per cent of
stakeholders in the Bacton area including North Norfolk domestic and 82 per cent of non-domestic consumers find
Council. We developed five options based on what we the average impact of our RIIO-2 plan acceptable. More
had heard stakeholders needed and presented them back details on can be found in chapter 20 and annex A20.02.
to gain feedback. Stakeholders chose to redevelop the
terminal, sized to our understanding of future Our enduring stakeholder engagement strategy
requirements but allowing for potential future changes. In the fast-changing landscape, we must ensure we
We tested the output of our targeted engagement during continue to focus on the needs of our customers and
a webinar and 67 per cent of stakeholders supported our stakeholders today and in the future. We must ensure
proposal. we continue to listen and act on their views to deliver
benefit to them on a day-to-day basis. It is going to be
Pay now vs pay later – we carried out deliberative even more critical for us to put our stakeholder views at
research on the challenging topic of whether current or the centre of our business plans going forward. We
future consumers should pay in relation to changes to cannot achieve our ambition without working with
asset lives and depreciation. We traded off the domestic our stakeholders.
consumer view that fairness should be the main reasons
not to pass on costs to future consumers. Major energy We build on the best practice methods learned in
users expressed concerns about any reduction in the RIIO-1 and others
depreciation period which may mean their costs go up in Building on learning and best practice from RIIO-1, our
the near term. stakeholder ambition during RIIO-2 is therefore:
We want to learn from our stakeholders, we will involve
Whole system – in July 2019 stakeholders told us we them through every aspect of our business, from
hadn’t been clear enough about our role in the transition shaping our strategic business priorities to the day-to-
to a whole energy system. We undertook additional day running of the business, giving stakeholders the
engagement to understand stakeholder views on areas opportunity to be considered in decision-making
we should lead on and areas we should support and processes.
collaborate on. Now we have engaged with stakeholders We will partner with stakeholders during RIIO-2 to solve
and clarified what we will lead on and agreed this with problems and reach solutions that cannot be reached by
them. These have been incorporated into our final any single organisation such as the transition to net
business plan. zero.
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This shows that: Our draft plan will then be updated and approved
The previous year’s updated business plan will be our through our internal governance process.
starting point for the next year’s update. We will also use the stakeholder insight to inform and, if
We will collaborate with our stakeholders – the outputs necessary, revise our strategic business priorities.
from our main stakeholder engagement activities, Although we’re setting out a timeline, we’re always
planned for the first quarter of each year, will be ‘open for business’ if stakeholders want to talk to us –
combined with other inputs to create a draft updated we’ll be in ongoing dialogue with our stakeholders
business plan. across a range of topics.
We will be transparent and share this draft update with
stakeholders every autumn to make sure we’ve
correctly reflected their input.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
33
National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Giving consumers and stakeholders a stronger voice – how we have built a stakeholder-led plan
stakeholder insight metrics (e.g. materiality analysis and there would be ongoing board member attendance at
segmentation statistics), every meeting.
operational engagement metrics (e.g. number of
stakeholders engaged, appropriate representation and An effective SUG would be an important part of our
stakeholder satisfaction), and, broader stakeholder engagement programme; increasing
impact and outcome metrics (e.g. plan/decisions confidence across the RIIO-2 price control, improving
changed, £ saved for consumers). transparency and decision-making. These factors play a
critical role in ensuring that gas transmission delivers its
Ultimately, the enduring SUG would determine these commitments within the RIIO-2 price control for benefits
metrics, including incorporating their engagement for consumers and wider stakeholders. You can also find
principles as described in annex A10.01, set the relevant more information in our annex A10.01.
targets, and outline their expectations of how we should
report and communicate them to our stakeholders, to It’s also important that our engagement activities
ensure we are as open and transparent as possible. We themselves are proportionate and provide value for
will also continue to work with others on how we can best money. Our ambition is that the costs of our enhanced
measure the non-financial impact of our actions. Our
engagement programme will be heavily outweighed by the
enhanced approach to consumer engagement will allow
benefits we create as a result of our stakeholder-focused
us to test and check that we’re continuing to deliver the
approach. We propose to use a model to deliver our
outputs that consumers want from us, both during RIIO-2
and further into the future. engagement which includes some central coordination to
manage the engagement and business planning process,
Our engagement strategy has senior level buy-in but which mainly relies on employees across our business
Our board have signed on to our RIIO-2 engagement to deliver this work on a day-to-day basis. Our costs to
strategy through a stakeholder charter which commits the deliver enhanced engagement across the RIIO-2 period
board to: are £850k per year. This covers the salary costs of a
the ambition and approach of our RIIO-2 stakeholder small ‘central’ team, the costs associated with running the
engagement strategy enduring SUG, and the costs associated with delivering
approving stakeholder-led business priorities on an additional engagement activities and carrying out the
annual basis appropriate research studies, including the use of expert
tracking and monitoring key stakeholder engagement agencies and consultants where required.
performance metrics twice a year
Bespoke incentives – stakeholder reputational
being actively involved in stakeholder engagement
ODIs to drive performance
activities
We propose two reputational stakeholder ODIs to
assure across our business, at all levels, we continue to
complement the existing customer satisfaction ODI.
build and further embed stakeholder engagement.
Stakeholder experience reputational ODI - we propose
We propose to retain an independent to continue tracking satisfaction of how we have met the
stakeholder user group to hold us to account needs of stakeholders, through all relevant core
One of the best ways of ensuring we go beyond touchpoints.
expectations is for an independent group to hold us to
account, just as they have done in our RIIO-2 plan Proposed new quality of community engagement
preparations. The high-level role of the group would be to reputational ODI - based on learnings from stakeholder
continue to challenge our engagement activities, feedback and observation during RIIO-1, this is about how
scrutinise our business plans and verify our annual we minimise our physical impact in the community.
reporting, including our preparation for RIIO-3. The group Specifically, the quality of engagement with local
would hold us to account and ensure we deliver what our residents, businesses, communities and their
stakeholders want from us. As it is independent, the representatives, before, during and post-construction. We
group itself would define the specifics of how they wish to held a webinar on reputational stakeholder incentives, 75
do this. We will also engage Ofgem on the nature of the per cent agreed with the stakeholder experience ODI with
group’s enduring role. On a periodic basis, members of 25 per cent of respondents unsure, and 56 per cent
the group would change to ensure continued agreed with community reputational ODI with 44 per cent
independency and to provide the opportunity to bring unsure. For more information see annex A3.03.
fresh perspectives. We propose that the group continues
to have a strong consumer voice.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
CVP Monetised
Chapter CVP item
reference value
We have engaged with Citizens Advice, Major Energy Users’ Council and the independent stakeholder user group on
our monetised CVPs. We provide more detail about our CVP in annex A10.05.
35
National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
OUR COMMITMENTS
11. The changing We will be ready to start conversion to hydrogen by
2026
36
National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
37
Our Journey to
HIGH CARBON
ONGOING COMMITMENTS
2020, we will make BEIS Heat Policy
the first low cost, roadmap published
2021 Forecast
What we need by 2021 to deliver
our net zero commitments
Electricity Demand
Installed Elec Capacity
Hydrogen
285TWh per year
108GW
<1TWh
43%
renewable
CCUS 0%
• An industry agreed approach to whole system solutions generation
Gas Demand 804TWh per year
• Funding to allow projects to be undertaken, Green gas production 0
including innovation and government funding
• Clear industry-specific milestones for UK net zero
• Agreement to proposed uncertainty mechanisms
38% 4.5%
27k
• An agile anticipatory investment process with clear
funding decision homes EPC low carbon
• An agreed approach to whole-life environmental charging band C or heating
impacts with an agreed carbon-pricing methodology points above (20,000 homes
1,900
• Key decisions needed on the approach to must switch per
heat decarbonisation week, vs 220
today)
• Clear policy for the distribution of decarbonisation costs gas or hydrogen We will
vehicles facilitate the
use of green
gas
Defined uncertainty mechanisms 2023, our science based target for
needed for future flexibility scope 1 & 2 emissions developed
KEY: banned
210k
Supporting green and blue Hydrogen
300k
All gas boilers
replaced
town
chargers 100%
Supporting green gas 800
cars & vans
gas or electric
hydrogen
Supporting the electricity network vehicles
hydrogen
fuelling
Our own GT footprint stations &
90,000 depot
Our commitments to decarbonising heat 2050, we will achieve chargers
Network capability
We then focus on compressor fleet strategy and how this Our role in facilitating the effective functioning of the gas
aligns with stakeholder need for physical capability on the market has a positive impact on wholesale gas and
network. We summarise the proposals for each of these electricity costs7. The decisions we make today have
areas of the business plan. More detailed explanation and lasting impacts on cost, risk and the level of network
justification for investments on individual sites can be capability we offer to stakeholders.
found in our asset health proposals (chapter 14), our
We recognise the importance of getting the right trade-
cyber and physical threats proposals (chapter 15), our
offs across these, and have worked with our
proposals for redundant assets (chapter 16) and
stakeholders, including directly with consumers, to
compressors impacted by environmental legislation
understand their needs. The risk of disruption resulting
(chapter 16 and annex A16.05 - compressor emissions
from our business plan should be factored into the design
compliance statement).
of the constraint cost management incentive.
There are no significant changes to the proposed levels
For some assets, deferring decisions until there are
of network capability during RIIO-2 in our business plan,
higher levels of certainty (RIIO-3 and beyond) may be
i.e. the initial and target levels of network capability are
preferable, but there are several drivers that mean this is
the same.
not always possible; decisions must be taken now and
Stakeholders have told us that they value being able to actioned during RIIO-2. These drivers include:
flow gas without restriction or disruption. Our plan is Environmental legislation which will restrict compressor
designed to meet our minimum compliance obligations operation from 2030; if we do not act, compressors
and reduce the risk of network constraints to an would have to be decommissioned or face restricted
acceptable level, balancing the impact of potential running hours. Given the number of affected
constraints with the costs to achieve this. Over the range compressors and limited ability to take outages on the
of FES scenarios, we believe that our plan creates a risk network, we need a plan that spans both the RIIO-2 and
of disruption to customers planned gas flows on average RIIO-3 periods, making decisions on whether to
of between 14 and 17 days per annum, which, despite the decommission, replace or maintain compressors (with
increased level of work on the network during RIIO-2, is limited running hours).
broadly similar to the equivalent RIIO-1 level of risk. The Managing an ageing network with many assets at the
consequence of not replacing 20 compressor units end of their design life. We’ve observed more condition-
impacted by environmental legislation and proposing the related issues in RIIO-1 and will need to undertake
decommissioning a further 7 redundant compressor units more interventions during RIIO-2 to maintain the safety
will result in a reduction in network capability during RIIO- of the network for the public and our employees, as well
7
Supported by EY study which concluded that even with perfect significant impacts on GB consumers, adding up to £877m per annum to
foresight and not taking account of an unexpected short-term shock, gas and electricity costs by 2035.
failure to maintain the existing capability of the NTS could have
39
National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Network capability
as the reliability and availability expected by our annum by 2025, and by £252m-£877m per annum by
customers and consumers. 20359. Analysis undertaken in response to a question
The need to address age-related obsolescence of some from the RIIO-2 Challenge Group supports the
of the critical operational technology systems used to outcomes of this analysis. The case study provided to
control our operational processes and equipment. the RIIO-2 Challenge Group explored the impact of a
Increasing cyber threats, and government requirements trip at the Lockerley compressor station during high
in relation to these, requiring investment to protect our levels of demand. It showed that if the compressor
critical national infrastructure. could not be restarted quickly, the trip could result in low
gas pressures in the South West, creating a need to
Across all these drivers, we need to ensure our plan curtail gas flows to power generation in the South West
reflects the time, resources and network access (outages) and potentially other gas consumers. We would expect
needed to deliver safely and with minimal risk and that the costs associated with these constraints would
disruption to customers. We have therefore developed be passed onto gas and electricity consumers.
our plan over a ten-year period to accommodate network Potential inability to respond to the most effective future
outages in RIIO-2 and RIIO-3, to ensure we can minimise energy pathway by closing options down early. This
costs and constraints. includes limiting options to repurpose pipelines for
transporting hydrogen or carbon dioxide as part of a
We’ve reviewed the current charging regime proposals carbon capture scheme.
(UNC Modification 678) that are with Ofgem for
determination and our view is that the outcomes of Efficient constraint management
Ofgem’s decision will not change any of the investment We use a mixture of assets, rules and commercial tools to
decisions we have made for our RIIO-2 plan. avoid and minimise the impacts of potential network
constraints. In the longer term, we are able to make
Impacts of excess and insufficient levels of trade-offs between investing in new assets, maintaining
network capability existing assets, decommissioning assets, using
Even against a backdrop of falling annual demand, we commercial contracts, and accepting constraint risk.
need to ensure that we continue to meet peak demand
(our 1 in 20 licence obligation). This may mean retention In the short term, we can change our asset plans
of specific assets, which whilst used infrequently, are (including moving maintenance outages, recalling assets
essential to ensuring consumer demand can be met already on outage, developing innovative operational
under extreme weather scenarios. strategies or manning sites 24/7), or manage any
constraints through commercial tools, locational energy
With a range of energy scenarios and potential trades or capacity buybacks. Changing asset plans and
supply/demand patterns, there is an inherent risk of utilisation of commercial tools incurs costs.
presenting a plan that delivers a sub-optimal level of
network capability. Summarised below are the key risks What our stakeholders have told us
associated with delivering excess or insufficient levels of Stakeholders have told us that they have limited tolerance
network capability. to disruption in taking gas on and off the network.
Domestic and non-domestic consumers value reliability
Excess capability and when surveyed would be happy to pay more for this.
Stranded or under-utilised assets resulting in higher Major energy users stressed the importance of reliability
network costs for consumers (associated with building, and have pointed out that there are financial and
maintaining and operating assets). commercial consequences for them of supply
Insufficient capability interruptions. This is consistent with UKERC’s study of
Inability to deliver the consumer priority of using energy domestic consumers, which finds that there is an
as and when it is wanted because of disruption to acceptance of additional costs among consumers for
customers’ ability to take gas on and off the network. “ensuring a reliable energy supply”10.
Entry constraints would impact where and when our
customers are able to bring gas onto the network. This We believe there is benefit in keeping future options
would prevent customers flowing cheaper sources of open, i.e. spending small amounts of money now to avoid
gas onto the system, increasing wholesale gas market risk of significant costs for consumers in future. For the
prices. avoidance of doubt, where costs are significant we have
Exit constraints could impact all types of exit users, undertaken an appropriate level of cost benefit analysis
including potential disruption in supplying gas to (CBA) and we have provided supporting engineering
domestic consumers. justification papers. These are referenced from the
Independent analysis by EY8 suggests that constraints relevant parts of our business plan.
on the gas network under certain scenarios could
increase gas and electricity costs by £42m-£246m per In developing our plan, we have also been mindful of the
uncertainty over GB’s energy future. We have deferred
8 10
Please see annex A12.01. See pages 65 - 67 of the Frontier Economics Triangulation report
9
We will continue to develop our approach to CBAs to better consider (annex A10.04) for information on domestic and non-domestic customer
these types of 3rd party impacts. trade-offs between priorities and risk.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Network capability
some asset decisions beyond RIIO-2 and are proposing Sections of pipelines that don’t fall into the above
UMs to ensure the framework has the flexibility to deal categories but contribute to network capability and
with uncertainties in the pathway to net zero. This will resilience (503km, 7%).
allow more time for energy policy to be clarified before we Figure 12.01. Pipeline categorisation as a proportion
define the most appropriate solutions with our of the total length of NTS pipelines
stakeholders.
Our compressor fleet increases the physical capability of Pipelines in the first two categories (92% of the network
our network to move gas away from supply points and to by length) need to be retained and maintained during
points of demand. It also allows gas to be moved around RIIO-2. These pipelines either provide entry or exit
the network to increase or decrease pressures in certain capacity directly to a customer or provide an alternative
locations to meet customer need, including gas path (providing pipeline resilience and facilitating
accommodation of gas flow profiles, and to ensure safe maintenance activities).
operation of the network.
Where a pipeline was in place solely to provide a
Our other assets, such as valves, multi-junctions and connection to one or more customers and they have now
regulators, allow us to control flows and pressures to closed their facility and there are no other customers
meet customer requirements, operate safely and facilitate connected to a section of pipeline, we are proposing to
outages on the network. isolate these sections from the network11. The options for
these pipelines are:
Our proposed asset health investments are targeted to remove them from the ground (high cost, intrusive for
ensure we have the right levels of availability and the environment and local communities).
reliability of the assets to meet customer requirements. grout fill them and leave them in the ground (prevents
Our compressor programme ensures we have the right future reuse/repurposing, e.g. for hydrogen, carbon or
level of compressor capability and resilience (back up) to other products).
meet customer requirements and comply with legislation. isolate from the network and nitrogen fill them (least
Our external threats plan ensures assets are suitably intrusive, relatively low cost and allows reuse at a future
protected and that we comply with legislative cyber date, e.g. for hydrogen, carbon dioxide or other
resilience requirements. products).
Pipeline considerations in our RIIO-2 plan Given the costs, impact and potential for re-use, we are
In developing our RIIO-2 plan, we have considered the proposing to isolate these pipelines from the network and
role of our pipelines in delivering network capability, and nitrogen fill them in RIIO-2.
whether there are opportunities to isolate or
decommission pipelines from our network. The NTS Sections of pipelines that provide network capability and
pipelines sections fall into the following categories: resilience are operational and with sufficient gas flows
along them, enabling in line inspection and maintenance
Sections of pipelines containing an existing or planned of their integrity. To consider options other than retaining
connection to either an entry, exit or storage customer these pipelines during RIIO-2, there needs to be a clear
(5,212km, 68% of the network). demonstration that these pipelines are not required to
Sections of pipelines that are duplicates of other deliver network capability or resilience. The alternative
pipelines but don’t themselves contain a direct option of isolating and nitrogen purging to keep the future
connection to a customer (1,801km, 24%). reuse option open, would include a cost to achieve and
Sections of pipelines that we plan to isolate due to only save the cost of periodic inline inspection (pigging). It
closure of a connected customer’s facility (138km, 2%). would also reduce network resilience, increasing the risk
of disruption to customers. We therefore conclude that it
11
It is not possible to use the normal in line inspection tools on these
pipelines as there would be no gas flow along them. In order to reduce
safety risk we would not leave them containing pressurised natural gas.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Network capability
is the right economic decision to retain the pipelines in available and there are no asset outages or restrictions
this category during RIIO-2 but to continue to review the (referred to as an intact network).
ongoing requirement for them. We have tested this Impact of the removal of selected assets from the
approach with stakeholders and they support it12. analysis. This sensitivity analysis can be used to test
scenarios of:
Pressure downrating of pipelines o asset decommissioning (compressors, pipelines, sites
We have considered the option of reducing the operating and individual assets)
pressure of NTS pipelines as capability requirements o reduction in provision of resilience (back-up)
reduce over time. We have ruled this option out for our compressor units
RIIO-2 plan as we do not believe this option is in the o asset unavailability due to planned maintenance (the
interests of consumers for the following reasons: access plan)
the level of pressure reductions required to materially o unplanned asset unavailability caused by faults and
reduce inspection and maintenance requirements, and defects, or
hence costs, are not credible (e.g. reducing operation o any running hour restrictions from 2030, arising from
from 80% down to 30% of yield strength) our decisions around compressor emissions
there would be additional cost impacts, such as compliance.
requiring compressors to be re-wheeled to operate at All our analysis has been carried out consistent with the
different pressures existing safety, commercial, environmental and legal
lower pressures would result in lower linepack, reducing obligations, including our 1 in 20 licence obligation and
our ability to accommodate within day changes and management of pressures. Our plan contains the
security of supply minimum investment required to meet these obligations.
reducing pipeline capability may limit future decisions to Using a zonal approach to our analysis.
decommission or repurpose pipelines (as each pipeline
becomes more critical to meeting customer needs). Figure 12.02 network capability zones, shown on a
pictorial representation of the NTS
Defining and articulating network capability
The capability of the network can be measured by its
ability to accommodate levels of gas flow onto and off the
network to meet the supply and demand needs of our
customers.
The methodologies we set out in this chapter give a good Process to assess the future network capability need
indication of the range of capability provided by the Figure 12.03 below shows how our business plan is
network; the measures we have developed are reliable underpinned by network capability.
and repeatable. They have formed the basis for the
external engagement. The methodologies themselves are
not included in this document but will be subject to a In developing our cost benefit analysis (CBA) tool, an
separate audit by Ofgem. independent review was completed by Pöyry. The
processes and tools have been further refined for the
Approach to defining network capability RIIO-2 business plan, in particular, updates to the model
We have used the following considerations in defining which calculates compressor running and associated fuel
network capability and to enable meaningful engagement
consumption and emissions.
with stakeholders:
Exploration and articulation of the consumer (domestic
and non-domestic) view on the impact of disruption to
gas flows and the trade-off across cost and reliability.
Quantifying the level of network capability that is
delivered by our assets, assuming they are fully
12
See annex A16.07 for further detail
42
National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Network capability
Figure 12.03 how network capability drives our business plan
Stage 1: The Future Energy Scenarios (FES) 2018 are look at the ranges of customer flows (from stage 1), and
the basis of our business plan. These give us different the level of capability line (from stage 2) and explore the
combinations of supplies and demands out to 2050 and factors that might affect that capability. For example, in
allow us to test our proposals against a range of potential summer (when levels of demand are low) we may need to
future requirements. In determining the capability needed take assets out of service to maintain them, potentially
longer term, we have used the full range of the future replace them, or undertake additional activities such as
energy scenarios, which the ENA common scenario was cyber work. This means the capability will either reduce or
built on, so that the decisions we make now will be fit for we will be able to deliver it less than 100% of the time.
purpose for all scenarios.
The asset health plan reflects what we need to do to
Stage 2: We use our internal modelling tools to model the maintain the level of risk on our network across RIIO-2
physical capability of the network13. Our network analysis and into RIIO-3, and this will have an impact on the
tool models the capabilities of our compressors, our reliability of our assets. The amount of work that we can
pipework and all our other supporting assets. This allows do will impact on the percentage of time that we can
us to establish the level of physical capability across deliver a level of network capability.
different zones of the network. Through this, we identify
where there is potentially too much or too little network To support the development of our plan, we have
capability to meet stakeholder requirements/customer developed some high-level compressor fleet strategy
flows. principles (summarised in figure 12.04). The application
of these principles and outcomes from our network
Stage 3: We consider factors affecting capability, as we capability work on a compressor site by site basis are
can’t deliver the physical capability 100% of the time. We shown later in this chapter.
13
Information on our investment planning processes can be found in the innovation/gas-ten-year-statement-gtys and the Transmission Planning
Gas Ten Year Statement https://www.nationalgridgas.com/insight-and- Code https://www.nationalgridgas.com/charging
43
National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Network capability
Figure 12.04 high level principles of our compressor fleet strategy
Applying our compressor fleet strategy principles, we decommission or reduce their running hours; what access
explore whether improving the reliability and availability of is needed to deliver our plan; where can we defer
certain compressors would allow us to decommission decisions to keep options open until the future becomes
others, developing the most efficient compressor fleet clearer. The decisions we are making in our business
going forward and the impact on physical capability. plan have a lasting impact on cost, risk and the level of
network capability we offer stakeholders. This robust
Stage 4: The key output of our network capability metrics process gives us confidence that our business plan
is understanding the customer impact. This includes proposals will deliver the network capability our
assessing the risk of disruption to customers’ gas flows stakeholders need now, while keeping options open for
on and off the network (constraint risk). From this we can the future.
calculate a constraint cost and compare this with the
proposed business plan investment costs. We iterate this,Articulating levels of network capability
both internally through our CBA process and externally We have recognised the importance of creating metrics
with our stakeholders, to test the assumptions on flows that our stakeholders fully understand and can relate to.
and appetite for disruption. At their highest level, these metrics show the flows that
the network can facilitate, at a range and pattern of
Stage 5: We develop our proposals: what asset health national supply and demand combinations over a range
work is required to maintain our assets, address any of years from 2020 to 2050. To illustrate, we have
obsolescence issues and deliver the required reliability created charts that show a comparison of physical
and availability; what assets can be decommissioned; capability of an intact network with potential stakeholder
what compressors are needed, and do we replace, flows.
Figure 12.05 how to read the entry network capability metrics
Notes:
The different coloured dots are derived from FES and show how stakeholder capability requirements are changing with time. Each
dot on the chart is associated with one of a thousand alternative supply and demand patterns on each day in that year to reflect
possible outcomes within each of the FES scenarios.
The orange capability line is based on an intact network (i.e. assumes all assets are available).
Different sets of assets may move the orange capability line and/or may impact the amount of time this level of capability can be
delivered.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Network capability
Figure 12.06 how to read the exit network capability metrics
Notes:
The capability “red dot” is based on an intact network (i.e. assumes all assets are available).
In some of these diagrams the supply/demand dots are above the 1 in 20 capability (red dot). This is explained in annex A12.02.
Figure 12.05 and 12.06 shows the level of network segmented our stakeholders: core energy industry, non-
capability delivered with an intact network, practically industry infrastructure, research and development, not for
whilst this level of capability is available, it will not be profit/NGO, political and regulatory, and consumer
available 100% of the time. We have developed some communities. We selected a representative sample
additional supporting information that recognises this and taking into consideration size, influence and geography.
shows how often levels of capability could be expected to
be available. Further information can be found in the We ensured the questions and content of the
network capability report (annex A12.02). engagement was framed appropriately and non-leading,
engaging Frontier Economics review the material before it
Stakeholder engagement on network capability was used. We also worked with Frontier Economics to
Foundations for our engagement on network consider the most appropriate channels for engagement.
capability Through this we identified one-to-one meetings,
The network capability engagement has been guided by webinars, and trade association meetings to be the most
findings from the initial stage of our RIIO-2 engagement, appropriate channels to utilise.
our “Shaping the future of gas transmission”
programme14. This established the need to balance the What engagement did we carry out?
three consumer priorities of using energy as and when In late 2018 we held a workshop to ensure our
consumers want, an affordable bill, and facilitating stakeholders and Ofgem had a common understanding of
delivery of a sustainable energy system. It also capacity baselines. Capacity baselines were seen as the
established the stakeholder priority of taking gas on and measure of the capability of the NTS, but they do not fully
off the network where and when stakeholders want. represent the physical capability and so the aim of the
workshop was to ensure all parties understood what
Further to this, we have tested stakeholders’ appetite for capacity baselines are and are not.
disruption, which determined that there was very little
appetite for unplanned disruption on entry15 and no In early 2019, we began our focused network capability
tolerance for disruption on exit. Domestic consumers engagement with webinars and one-to-ones, as well as
would generally like at least as much reliability as they seeking challenge from the independent stakeholder user
have at present and would be happy to pay more for group. This was designed to inform and shape the
investments in this area. Non-domestic consumers (large definition of network capability and design metrics in a
and small consumers) would be happy to pay more in this way that is meaningful for stakeholders.
area for a reduction in the probability of a supply
interruption. Major energy users stressed the importance Since July, we have engaged our stakeholders to test the
of reliability and have pointed out that there are financial developed network capability metrics. We have also
and commercial consequences for them of supply carried out an extensive programme of engagement with
interruptions. consumers (domestic and non-domestic) to explore their
views on the trade-offs underpinning the network
Process followed to map out engagement for network capability need.
capability
We targeted our network capability engagement at a The output from our activities has been independently
subset of our 2,000 stakeholder organisations. We verified and triangulated by Frontier Economics to test our
14 15
https://www.nationalgridgas.com/document/123806/download Maximum 1-2 disruptions per year, maximum duration of 6 hours for
some parties, shorter for others.
45
National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Network capability
conclusions and requirements for our business plan, below, further detail on our engagement can be found in
based on a fair reflection of our stakeholders’ input. A the network capability stakeholder engagement log
summary of the engagement undertaken and the key (annex A12.05).
messages we took from these can be found in table 12.07
Table 12.07 stakeholder engagement on network capability
Stakeholder Customers: Gas Distribution, Networks, Shippers, Entry, Exit
segments Consumers: Domestic, Non-Domestic, Consumers, Representatives
engaged Stakeholders: Regulators, Industry/Trade Bodies, Energy Industry, Consultants/ Supply Chain
Objective Do our metrics give useful information on the current and future capability of the gas transmission network?
Are the levels of risks that consumers are exposed to suitable now and in the future?
How should we balance the interactions across the three consumer priorities now and into the future?
Channel/method Webinars, one-to-ones, Gas Operations Forum, consumer engagement programme and industry meetings
Key messages Overall acceptability of network capability proposals
A very high proportion of domestic consumers accept the business plan proposals in this area. Stakeholders,
including entry and exit customers, were also broadly supportive of the plans. Specific concerns were raised
around flexibility and zonal capacity and the need to consider net zero. Some asked for more information on the
bill implications of network capability.
Use of metrics
Stakeholders had mixed views on whether the level of information provided was sufficient.
Most felt the metrics were either useful or somewhat useful. Additional information requested included: impact on
flows/pressures during incidents; charts for all entry and exit zones; more detailed information around flows and
pressures in each zone, and potential longer-term impact; iterative feedback on the impact of asset
closure/reduction on all zones; more on the quantification of risk; the level of capability we are proposing to
retain. One stakeholder pointed out the analysis did not take account of the underlying value of the capacity to
users. We found that there is broad support from stakeholders for our proposal for an enduring annual process
for engaging on and producing network capability metrics.
Trade-offs and Trading of priorities and risk
stakeholder There is evidence that domestic and non-domestic consumers are prioritising reliability over affordability.
influence on the Domestic consumers would generally like at least as much reliability as they have at present and would be
plan happy to pay more for investments in this area.
Domestic and non-domestic consumers would be happy to pay more in this area for a 1/10,000 reduction in
the probability of a supply interruption.
Major energy users stressed the importance of reliability and have pointed out that there are financial and
commercial consequences for them of supply interruptions but have not directly commented on current levels
and expected future levels of reliability.
This is consistent with UKERC’s study of domestic consumers16, which finds that there is acceptance of
additional costs among consumers for ‘ensuring a reliable energy supply’.
There is some divergence on the trade-offs domestic consumers are making between reliability and affordability.
A significant proportion of domestic consumers prefer to maintain current supply risk levels, while a slightly larger
proportion prefers to pay more for a more secure supply. While it could be argued that we should go further to
reduce reliability risk, there is limited evidence suggesting that stakeholders are unhappy with current risk levels.
SUG and We have developed our messages on network capability since July, following the independent SUG feedback
Challenge Group that our messages weren’t clear, and how our plan had been built. In response we added a dedicated network
feedback capability chapter to our business plan. There was feedback that the network capability process was not clear so
we developed figure 12.03, we have also included how network capability relates to the charging review and the
work carried out by EY.
We have responded to the RIIO-2 Challenge Group feedback on a case study at Lockerley which is referenced in
this chapter and we have included downrating of pipelines as requested by the RIIO-2 Challenge Group.
16 http://www.ukerc.ac.uk/publications/paying-for-energy-transitions.html
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Network capability
network during RIIO-2. Further detail on the level of Levels of network capability delivered by our
disruption and how this is reflected in our proposals for abusiness plan
constraint management incentive can be found in annex We use a sample of the network capability visualisation
A3.03. Our network capability work has informed our charts to explain how these have driven our fleet, and
business plan across our compressor strategy, asset compressor site, strategies. All of these metrics are
health, redundant assets, cyber and physical security. based on an intact network with all assets available.
Given the highly integrated and interactive nature of the
gas network and the inter-dependencies between zones
we have broken this story down into four parts which
cover the seven zones. A complete set of all the network
capability metrics for the seven zones is contained in
annex A12.02.
Figure 12.08 Scotland and the North - entry capability (St Fergus, Teeside, Barrow)
These charts show that with all assets available, the level Under all the scenarios, we see a long-term need for
of physical capability in Scotland and the North exceeds compressors at St Fergus, Aberdeen, Avonbridge and
the current level of stakeholder flows at high levels of Bishop Auckland17 to provide entry capacity at the St
demand and meets it at lower levels of demand. At times Fergus terminal, to move gas South down both the East
of lower demand (i.e. the lower end of the x-axis on the and West coasts, and to meet Scottish assured
charts), we would remove assets from operational service pressures. We therefore propose to maintain capabilities,
for maintenance and repair. This lowers the actual level of improve reliability and xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
network capability available from the intact network. xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx18.
The charts also show that in all the FES scenarios,
capability requirements reduce over time. As a result, we The work required at these sites will require station
have adopted a strategy that will reduce the compressor outages during RIIO-2. To facilitate this work, whilst
capability in this part of the network over the longer term. meeting customer network capability requirements means
The key questions being the timing of decommissioning that we need to retain other compressor sites at
for compressors impacted by emissions legislation where Kirriemuir and Wooler to provide transmission capability
there isn’t a clear long-term need for their replacement down the West and East coasts respectively. We are
with new compressor units. therefore proposing to retain these sites during RIIO-2,
but to minimise the investment in them as much as
possible, with a further decision in RIIO-3 on whether to
17
Figure 12.16 shows the locations of compressors on the network.
18
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Network capability
decommission or derogate them. We are proposing Carnforth, there are compressors which will become non-
decommissioning all the Moffat compressors during RIIO- compliant in 2030 and we are minimising our RIIO-2
2 as this capability is no longer required19. spend on these. A decision on whether to decommission
Compressors in the North West of England move gas or derogate these has been deferred to RIIO-3, in line
from St. Fergus South, with Carnforth and Nether Kellet with the 2030 compliance date and when there will be
also providing exit pressures to customers in the North increased certainty over the requirement for them. With a
West. Our compressors at Nether Kellet are emissions reduction in St. Fergus flows, we are proposing to
compliant and we are proposing to maintain these xxx decommission the Warrington compressor site in RIIO-2.
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx At
Table 12.09 compressor summary – Scotland and the North entry capability
Operational driver for
compression (yes/no)
c
Transmission
19 20
Decision is subject to consultation with employees and trade unions. Excludes costs subject to a proposed uncertainty mechanism.
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Network capability
Figure 12.10: South Wales – entry capability (Milford Haven)
These charts show that under all the FES scenarios, exit pressures in South Wales, when there are low LNG
there is a sustained need for capability that is close to, or imports at Milford Haven, and support pressures in the
above, the capability of an intact network. Even before North West during periods of high storage injections.
considering the reductions in capability arising from Whilst geographically further away, the compressors at
planned or unplanned maintenance, there is a risk of Alrewas support Milford Haven entry flows on the higher
entry constraints at Milford Haven under certain flow days. We are proposing to retain the one compliant
supply/demand scenarios. Given the constraint risk and unit at Alrewas xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
stakeholder feedback around the impacts of disruption, xxxxx. For the non-compliant units at Alrewas, we are
our strategy for this part of the network is to retain seeking to minimise spend with decision on derogation or
capability. decommissioning of these units deferred until RIIO-3.
Decisions on the long-term requirements for compression
At Churchover and Felindre, we are proposing to maintain at Alrewas may also be affected by the outcomes of the
all compliant compressor units, with the two old PARCA application at Milford Haven.
disconnected compressor units at Churchover being
decommissioned during RIIO-2. At Wormington, Pipeline decommissioning
emissions legislation impacts 2 compressors. We have On feeder 14 between Alrewas and Churchover, there is
considered the credible options to maintain the required a short (17km) connecting pipeline from Austrey to
capability, and concluded via CBA, that the optimal Shustoke, which previously supplied a gas distribution
solution is 2 new replacement units at Wormington. The 2 offtake. This offtake was isolated in 2018 and Cadent are
new units will allow us to maintain the capability to deliver proposing to decommission it during RIIO-2. As capability
higher levels of gas flows from Milford Haven, which are to Shustoke will no longer be required from the NTS, we
above the level of capability of the one electric drive are proposing to disconnect and nitrogen fill this pipeline
compressor at the site. They will also support delivery of during RIIO-2, whilst we explore alternative uses for it.
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Network capability
Table 12.11 Compressor summary – South Wales entry capability
Operational driver for
compression (yes/no)
Transmission
xxxxxxx RIIO-2
Age xxxx xxxx
Site xxxxx Spend Proposal
(yrs) xxxxxxx
Profiling
xxxxxxx (£m)
Entry
Exit
South East (Bacton and Isle of Grain entry capability) Bacton entry capability with the same assets, and vice
For Bacton, the network capability delivered by a group of versa). To represent this, our network capability
assets is slightly more complex due to the interaction visualisations for Bacton show two levels of entry
between entry flows at Bacton and the Isle of Grain LNG capability, the higher purple line with low IOG flows and
terminal (IOG). High IOG entry flows meet demand in the the lower orange line with high IOG flows.
South East and displace flows from Bacton (i.e. lowering
Figure 12.12 South East - entry capability(Bacton with Isle of Grain sensitivity)
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Network capability
These network capability charts show that there is a large available outage windows in this area of the network and
amount of uncertainty over requirements in this part of the on this critical site. We therefore need to progress the
network. This uncertainty changes with time, under the solution for the site to maintain the ability to meet the
different FES scenarios and differing IOG flow planned outage window. Recognising the scenario
assumptions. For example, in all of the FES scenarios, uncertainty, we are proposing that investment taking
with high IOG flows there is significant constraint risk, in place post FEED (Front End Engineering Design), is
the steady progression scenario and low IOG flows there subject to an uncertainty mechanism process that can
is no constraint risk (with all assets available). accommodate the latest information available at that time.
Diss and Chelmsford compressors are also key to moving
Environmental emissions legislation impacts two gas away from Bacton and towards the South East at
compressors at King’s Lynn and we need to decide on a higher demand levels and when IOG flows are low. As
long-term approach for these in our RIIO-2 plan. We are these compressors also support meeting South-West
proposing to start building two new compliant units in pressures and exit requirements these are covered in the
RIIO-2, commissioned in RIIO-3 allowing ‘South East and South West (exit capability)’ section
decommissioning of the two non-compliant units. The below.
timing of any such investment is heavily constrained by
Table 12.13 Compressor Summary – South East (Bacton and Isle of Grain entry capability)
Operational driver for
compression (yes/no)
Transmission
xxxxxxx xxxxxxx
Age
Site xxxxxx xxxxxx Main cost drivers Proposal
(yrs)
Profiling
xxxxxxxx xxxx
Entry
Exit
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Network capability
These two sets of exit charts show that current capability South East exit capability
is required but that the customer requirement, in most Our compressors at Diss, Chelmsford and Cambridge are
cases, will reduce over time. The key uncertainty being essential for providing exit pressures and meeting our 1 in
the timeframe over which this reduction will occur. For 20 licence obligations in the South-East. At all of these
example, in the South East under the steady progression sites, we have back up compressors that will be non-
scenario, capability is required to be maintained until at compliant with emissions legislation by 2030. Given the
least 2050. Under the community renewables scenario, uncertainty over the timing of a reduction in network
capability requirements have already reduced by 2030. capability, we are proposing to retain these units during
RIIO-2, with minimal spend, deferring the decision on
South West exit capability their decommissioning or derogation until RIIO-3.
Aylesbury and Lockerley are vital to delivering exit
pressures and our 1 in 20 obligations in the South West. Under certain scenarios, high gas supplies at Bacton
In addition to supporting high demands in the South and/or Isle of Grain, can meet demand in the South East.
West, the gas powered compressors at Aylesbury provide Under other scenarios, with lower flows at these entry
back-up, in the event of issues with electrical supply or points, the compressors at Hatton, Peterborough,
other unplanned outage to the Lockerley site, which only Huntington and Wisbech are required to move gas into
has electrically driven compressors. Our plan therefore this part of the network.
proposes retaining these compressors. Upstream
supplies and pressures are required for these Pipeline disconnections
compressors to operate successfully; this is delivered by Due to the closure and planned decommissioning of the
compressors at Hatton, Peterborough, Huntington and Theddlethorpe entry terminal, we are proposing to
Wisbech. During RIIO-1, we have established the needs disconnect and nitrogen fill the two pipelines (combined
case for compression at Hatton, Peterborough and length of 70.8km) connecting Theddlethorpe to Hatton.
Huntington. Our business plan proposes a new These pipelines have the potential to be part of a future
compressor unit at Peterborough, delivered in RIIO-3, to hydrogen or carbon capture project at Theddlethorpe.
provide resilience (back-up) to the compressors at the
site.
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Network capability
Table 12.15 compressor summary – South East and South West exit capability
Operational driver for xxxxxx RIIO-2
xxxx xxxx
compression (yes/no) xxxxxx Spend Proposal
xxxxxxx
xxxxxxxx (£m)
Transmission
Age
Site
(yrs)
Profiling
Entry
Exit
21 This includes costs for Hatton following the RIIO-2 re-opener decision.
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Network capability
Figure 12.16 proposed compressor fleet at the end of RIIO-1, RIIO-2 and RIIO-322
Figure 12.17 summary of the key areas of our plan impacted by network capability
Compressors – To meet environmental legislation requirements by 2030 we are proposing:
chapter 16 2 new compressor units at Wormington in RIIO-2 and we will design the solution for 6 compressor
units at 3 sites (King’s Lynn, Peterborough and St Fergus) for delivery RIIO-3. We are proposing a
spread of PCDs for those activities where there is clear certainty of need, cost and scope and UMs
where uncertainty remains in order to protect consumers should the need change.
To assess a further 20 non-compliant units as part of the ongoing process to determine the solution,
either limiting the annual running hour limits from 2030 or decommissioning. We will defer decisions
on decommissioning until we’re certain that this will not lead to additional costs to future consumers.
To decommission a further 7 redundant compressor units at 4 sites during RIIO-2.
Asset health Our asset health programme, including on compressors not captured above, is designed to maintain
– chapter 14 overall levels of reliability and availability as experienced by stakeholders in RIIO-1.
Our non-compressor sites and pipelines primarily provide connectivity between entry and exit points.
Where there is a no continued requirement, these are covered in our redundant assets plan.
We propose that our programme of asset health will be subject to PCDs to monitor delivery and the
regulatory under/over delivery mechanisms.
Cyber and physical We are investing to protect our network from external threats, with investment focused on sites where
threats – chapter 15 there are higher levels of certainty over the long-term requirements to meet stakeholder needs. For
sites with less certainty over the longer-term future we are deferring work until RIIO-3 and/or focusing
investment on protecting access to the systems rather than undertaking a full replacement of the
operational technologies we use to control our operational processes and equipment.
We propose that our programmes of work to address external threats are subject to PCDs and UMs to
protect consumers.
Redundant assets Where assets are no longer required to deliver connectivity or capability, we are proposing a
– chapter 16 programme to address these in an environmentally sensitive manner. We are proposing a PCD
associated with the completion of this work.
Constraint Our proposals for a constraint management incentive have been informed by our analysis of network
management capability which allows us to assess where there is a risk that we can’t meet the needs of customers.
incentive – chapter 14
The key investments in these areas are underpinned by capability analysis and metrics. All of the costs associated
cost benefit analysis (CBA) and engineering justification with our compressor emissions, asset health, cyber and
papers (EJPs) linked to the chapters above. These physical threats are covered through EJPs.
include the key assumptions and the range of options
considered compared against a counterfactual option. Network capability – supporting annexes
They are based on the principles of only investing in the Ofgem has requested that, in reviewing network capability
interests of consumers and where it is cost efficient. They for our business plan, we produce three specific reports:
use the same data that has been used in our network
22
End of RIIO-3 position reflects our current best view on future RIIO-3 derogations or decommissioning decisions. Working with stakeholders, we
will continue to review the correct blend of decommissioning and derogations due to marginal cost benefit analysis outputs for some compressors
and the future uncertainty in gas flow patterns on the network.
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Network capability
an initial network capability report setting out the development of the annual process and expect to have
physical capability requirements of the NTS on 1 April further details on timings of the proposed process by end
2021, based on user needs. of March 2020. During RIIO-2 we will use the
a network capability target report setting out user independent SUG to challenge our annual conclusions
requirements for network capability that we will deliver and review whether our proposals reflect the needs of
by the end of the RIIO-2. It sets out our longer term stakeholders. Our ongoing assessment will be used to
forecast of the levels of physical capability the NTS inform any reopeners during the RIIO-2 period.
must provide to service user needs efficiently.
a baseline obligated capacities report setting out the Transmission Working Group 705R
results of our assessment of the appropriateness of the During our discussions with stakeholders on network
current levels of baseline obligated entry and exit capability and baselines, they have raised issues around
capacities including any proposals for revisions to accessing the existing capacity of the network and the
baseline capacities. impact of exit capacity baseline changes on capacity
substitution processes. These concerns are being taken
The requirements for the initial network capability report forwards under Transmission Working Group Mod. 705R
and the network capability target report are met through a (see chapter 17 for more information).
single annex (annex A12.02). This annex uses capability
charts for entry and exit, consistent with the ones Charging review
contained in this chapter, for all zones on the network to We will continue to monitor the outcomes of the charging
meet the requirements of the reports. The baseline review and any resulting change in shipper behaviour on
obligated capacities report is contained in annex A12.03. capacity booking and use of the network. These will
In this annex we are proposing reductions in the level of factor into our longer term thinking on network capability
obligated Entry Capacity at Theddlethorpe (from 610.7 to requirements and capacity baseline levels.
0 GWh/d) and at St Fergus (from 1670.7 to 1500 GWh/d).
Modelling capability innovation
Under our RIIO-2 plan, we are seeking baseline funding
Ongoing activities during RIIO-2
to further improve the capability of our processes, people
Table 12.18 network capability commitment and IT systems in relation to network capability. One
Commitment Output example is our ability to develop a robust approach to
Annual network capability assessment: Run Licence treatment of boundary capability between zones24.
an annual transparent stakeholder engagement Obligation
led process to update our network capability
metrics following the publication of FES and Network capability conclusions
reflect any refinements to our proposed We are aware of the importance of the decisions we are
investment decisions. proposing for our RIIO-2 plan for long-term energy needs
for our stakeholders and consumers. We have built our
We will continue to assess whether our business plan approach to network capability on existing business
meets the stakeholder requirements for levels of network processes, balancing the risks and uncertainties faced to
capability and represents value for money for consumers produce our RIIO- 2 plan. We have worked with
during RIIO-2. Changes may be because of: stakeholders to test our definition of network capability
changing stakeholder needs, articulated through the and to test that our new metrics provide a meaningful way
annual FES publications and ongoing engagement with to show levels of network capability compared to a range
our stakeholders, and an assessment of these on our of potential future stakeholder requirements.
planned programmes of work
reviews of any planned or ongoing works during RIIO-2 Our plans reduce levels of network capability, for example
outcomes from any UMs or reopeners included in the by not replacing 20 compressors impacted by the medium
regulatory arrangements for RIIO-2, and/or combustion plant directive and decommissioning a further
an unexpected issue with an asset, at which time it 7 redundant compressor units. Through the proposed
would be sensible to assess the impacts on our planned annual ongoing network capability assessments, we are
work and what the optimal response should be. creating the opportunity to further amend levels of
network capability as future stakeholder requirements
We propose to make our annual network capability become clearer. We have focused our RIIO-2
assessment a transparent annual process23, we will investments where we have a greater level of certainty
update the metrics in this document and others that may over long-term requirements for the sites. This approach
develop and share the outcome with stakeholders to is aligned with stakeholder and consumer interests.
continually gather feedback as to whether the level of
We are confident our proposals are the right ones to meet
network capability is meeting their needs now and will
stakeholders needs today and keep options open for the
continue to in the future. We have shared our proposal on
future. We will introduce a new annual process so we can
the annual process with stakeholders and, so far, have
update and refine our investments as changes emerge.
received a positive response. We will involve
stakeholders and the enduring independent SUG in the
23 24
Further information see annex A12.02. See annex A12.02 and the GSO section of chapter 14.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
During RIIO-2 we will: maintain our first-class level of safety whilst continuing to pursue the highest level of safety
culture maturity. Our safety culture underpins how we undertake our work. We will comply with legislation through
routine and preventive safety activities to protect the public, our people and assets. We will investigate all near misses
and process safety incidents, embedding any learning in our business processes. Our RIIO-2 plan for safety continues
the best practices we implemented in RIIO-1 ensure the safety of our employees and the public.
We will spend £14.5m per year (3 per cent of our RIIO-2 plan) on the routine and preventive safety activities described
in this priority. This compares to £16.9m per year during RIIO-1. The spend is related to our teams who undertake
strategy and assurance roles across gas transmission and our central corporate team who provides support on our
corporate health and safety commitments. It also accounts for our costs associated with our network emergency
coordinator (NEC) commitments, our IT systems to track performance of our activities and our operational properties to
protect assets and provide appropriate welfare arrangements for employees.
This chapter is just part of our commitment to delivering a safe, reliable and resilient network. In ‘I want to take
gas on and off the network, where and when I want’ our asset health plan, projects, and how we operate the
network take into account the significant safety risk that we minimise every day to protect the public, our
people and assets.
Figure 13.01 RIIO-1 and RIIO-2 spend profile ‘I want the gas system to be safe’
RIIO costs
£25
£20
£15
£m
£10
£5
£0
Reporting year
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
25
http://www.hse.gov.uk/gas/supply/nobel-denton-report.pdf - June 2011
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Number of HSE
Number of Actions
strategy includes; identification of our major hazards, 15 6
Interactions
assessment of risks and application of the Eliminate, 10 4
Reduce, Isolated and Control (ERIC) principles to
manage and reduce the risk from our assets and 5 2
operations. We have an assurance processes 0 0
implementing three lines of defence27 model as per good 16/17 17/18 18/19
practice. Independent experts DNV GL benchmarked Year
our process safety management performance using its HSE Interactions (left axis) Actions (right axis)
International Sustainability Rating System. Our
performance was rated in the upper quartile within a
comparator group of more than 200 worldwide oil and gas Innovation
sites. This objective assessment has helped us to be As safety is a top priority, innovation to improve
clear on what it means to be ‘industry leading’. It has performance has always been important. Through RIIO-
given us a better picture of our strengths and weaknesses 1, we have undertaken several innovation projects
and sharpened our focus on areas where we can improve focused on specific safety improvements and we also
how we manage the inherent risks of our high-hazard seek continual improvement in our safety performance.
assets. Table 13.05 safety innovation projects
Project Description
HSE requirements Development of ‘above ground installation
The HSE is our safety regulator. To ensure we meet their (AGI) safe’ software package allows better
requirements, we have processes in place to stay aware quantitative risk assessments and more
Development
of all legislative and supporting guidance requirements, efficient designs. This led to a one-off
of AGI Safe
saving of £84k at Peterborough
ensure clear policies and procedures are implemented
Compressor Station and will be used in
and maintain a competent workforce to deliver these future applications in RIIO-2.
requirements and deliver risk based targeted assurance. Use of polyethylene (PE) instead of
We work closely with the HSE to ensure we are PE slab concrete slabs to protect pipelines. The
complying with key safety legislation and that risks to protection slabs are cheaper, safer and better for the
people from our activities are ALARP. Specifically, environment to install. To date £767k, has
through: been saved in total.
our activities relating to COMAH, Gas Safety
(Management) Regulations, Pipeline Safety Keeping our employees safe whilst maintaining
Regulations and Pressure Systems Safety health and wellbeing
Regulations Our combined injury frequency rate over the RIIO-1
supporting the HSE’s programme of targeted period up to 31 March 2019 was 0.07. This is good
inspections and investigations performance within the UK Energy Industry Safety
raising awareness of current safety-related Leaders Group range of 0.04 to 0.25. However, we regret
issues/trends through planned liaison meetings. that, over the RIIO-1 period up to 31 March 2019, our
operations incurred one employee and 17 contractor lost-
26
https://www.nationalgridgas.com/about-us/business-planning-riio/how-were-performing
27
The first line of defence is provided by the first line supervisor during normal supervisory activities. The second line of assurance is conducted by a
team within the business who audit and assure a range of work activities in a targeted programme. The third and final level of assurance is provided
by our corporate audit function who conduct periodic audits as set out in their audit plan. Most issues will be identified and corrected or escalated by
the supervisor, with the second and third level assurance teams identifying more systematic and process issues.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
5. How will we deliver? management, rather than penalise the few remaining
The gas transmission SMS framework structure is based negative instances of injury or harm that still occur.
on the Plan, Do, Check, Act (PDCA) model, which is an
iterative process and drives continuous improvement. In our annual planning cycle, we refresh our view of key
This will be a key process that will help us maintain our risks, evaluate opportunities for further risk mitigation and
world-class level of safety whilst continuing to pursue our continuous improvement, and develop SHE plans to
goal of zero harm. We will continue to embed the benefits implement initiatives to improve. The success of SHE
of safety innovations into business as usual and look for management is wholly dependent on the engagement
further ways to improve. and conscious effort from all our employees, particularly
our field-based employees and contractors. Annually, we
Our processes are monitored by an agreed scorecard of run a safety culture survey to understand feedback from
leading and lagging indicators, consistent with good our employees.
practice, and assured by implementing the widely
recognised good practice of the ‘three lines of defence’ People – developing the skills and behaviours that
assurance model. Leaders are incentivised and targeted support safety
on a mix of targets (both leading and lagging). For We define and maintain safety and technical
example, our leaders have leading targets on delivering competencies (STCs) for our operational workforce and
effective and engaging safety leadership visits, delivering any person carrying out any activity that may have a
good quality investigations into incidents and events and direct impact on the safety of the gas transmission
closing the agreed action on time. These targets network.
incentivise the positive effort we put in to safety
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
28
https://www.nationalgridgas.com/safety-and-emergencies/network-gas-supply-emergencies-ngse
29
Institution of Gas Engineers and Managers IGEM/TD1 Standard for steel pipelines and associated installations for high pressure gas transmission
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
During RIIO-1, we have maintained reliability and facilitated the delivery of 99.99%30 of gas requirements in 2018/19,
allowing consumers to use gas as and when they want. Customers have been able to change the volumes, profiles
and locations of their gas flows, often at short notice. We have achieved this despite periods of cold weather, such as
the March 2018 ‘Beast from the East’ and periods of local flooding in 2013.
Overall, to deliver on our proposals in this chapter, we plan to spend an average £279.8m each year with a total spend
during RIIO-2 of £1.4bn. This is an increase from our RIIO-1 annualised spend, which was on average £206.6m. The
change is mainly due to our increased asset health programme to maintain our current level of reliability and
availability. This chapter’s expenditure accounts for 51 per cent of the overall RIIO-2 expenditure.
30
One power station experienced flow restrictions for a three day period
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
Figure 14.01 RIIO-1 and RIIO-2 spend profile ‘I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and
when I want’
RIIO costs
£400
£300
RIIO-2
£m
£200 Uncertainty
mechanism
£100 Baseline
£0
Reporting year
31
RIIO-2 project costs for King’s Lynn subsidence, redevelopment of the Bacton terminal, and £1m for project closure of Feeder 9 project.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
Asset health the international standard for asset management (ISO
1. What is this sub-topic about? 55000:2014) and is: “the coordinated capability to make
Our asset health plan sets out how we will manage, lifecycle cost, risk and performance decisions and thereby
maintain and invest in our existing asset infrastructure to create value for an organisation from its assets”.
deliver the resilient service stakeholders require. Our
asset health proposals are vital to maintain the Our key asset management obligations are:
necessary safety and reliability of our network and To develop and maintain a safe and efficient,
demonstrate compliance with legislation. They will coordinated and economic system of gas transmission,
enable the gas transmission system to play an important which supports competition in the supply of gas.
future role in support of the energy transition. We have To have regard for the effect of our activities on the
developed a series of asset management investment environment.
themes. They reflect strategic groupings of asset types These obligations ensure we take a holistic view of our
and investment drivers and set out how the business will asset health work to support the network capabilities
invest in asset health during the RIIO-2 period. This stakeholders want from us. This section expands on the
sub-topic also describes our asset management strategy, wide range of inputs including tools, methodologies and
track record in RIIO-1, RIIO-2 engagement, overall RIIO-2 data that underpin our asset management approach.
programme and then RIIO-2 proposal for each investment
theme. Our asset management maturity is underpinned by our
routine maintenance activities, which proactively identify
Network capability and fleet strategy asset health issues. The information we collect enables
Our asset health plan focuses on making the right us to prioritise investment decisions. We have set out our
investments at the right time. We are looking to ensure asset management approach in our strategic asset
reliability and affordability for customers, whilst retaining management plan (SAMP), describing our overall
optionality for the future. Our asset health plan is aligned management strategy for the network’s assets and how
with our approach to network capability and our our practices, policies and procedures together form an
compressor fleet strategy contained in chapter 12, integrated asset management system.
ensuring investment proposals are directly aligned to the
customer needs of our network today and in to the future. Track record and learning from RIIO-1
A significant proportion of the assets are reaching, or
Defined price control deliverable projects have reached, the end of their design life (30 years), see
We are proposing projects at Bacton and King’s Lynn with figure 14.04. Some systems face obsolescence and
separate ring-fenced funding, specific price control customers require an increasingly flexible network.
deliverables (PCDs) and uncertainty mechanisms. These Today, our network delivers three times as much
projects will deliver service risk benefits and will energy as the electricity network. The extensive use
contribute to an improvement in reliability for customers. and age of our critical infrastructure means our assets
The justification for these projects is covered under now require greater care, increased monitoring,
separate sections of this chapter. Further information on refurbishment and replacement to maintain a safe,
PCDs and uncertainty mechanisms can be found in reliable transmission system. As a result, we changed the
annexes A3.01 and A3.02. focus in our asset management approach in RIIO-1,
considering both the risk and consequence of any
Investment in cyber and control systems are considered proposed asset investment.
separately under the network and information systems Figure 14.04 NTS sites age profile, excluding
(NIS) directive and are covered in chapter 15. Investment pipelines
in our compressors to address environmental legislation
are covered in chapter 16.
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
The RIIO-1 price control introduced the Network Output leak, but isolations for the work were challenging due to
Measure (NOM) methodology32 to assess whether we are the condition of valves in the area. In this instance, we
delivering our asset health outputs. We have focused were one isolation point away from disconnecting
strongly on delivering work that will manage the level of customers fed from a single fed offtake, disrupting
risk at the lowest cost. We are on target to deliver the supplies xxxxxxxxxxxxxx and potentially UK gas supplies.
absolute level of network risk agreed as part of the RIIO-1
price control and maintain the service risk level our To address the challenges identified in RIIO-1, three main
customers expect, but this has required significant strategies were developed:
additional investment in critical asset health work. 1. Procurement and contracting efficiencies – introduced
to allow a more innovative and flexible approach to
In our RIIO-1 business plan, we signalled the need for delivering future improvements and replacements of
increasing expenditure to address the condition of our needed assets to the NTS.
assets, forecasting £719m. Ofgem concluded that a lower 2. Data enhancement – being able to access and use
level of investment was needed with more efficient the asset and condition data more readily was
delivery and we were granted an allowance of £593m. recognised early on to better understand the needs of
We are forecasting to spend in excess of our RIIO-1 the NTS to meet required performance. Innovative
allowance on asset health by over £100m to maintain the technology and processes have allowed for
safety and reliability of our network. This includes continuous improvement in this area since the
investing over £40m at our Bacton terminal (no separate beginning of RIIO-1 through a comprehensive data
regulatory allowances in RIIO-1 were awarded). Our transformation programme and new system
responsibilities to shareholders mean that we can’t capabilities.
sustain the continued need to spend above our 3. Campaign approach – an initial three-year trial basis,
allowances to maintain the reliability and safety of the revolutionising the way projects are delivered. To
network beyond RIIO-1, and this will significantly impact increase delivery volumes and significantly improve
our ability to meet the expectations of our customers. efficiency and delivery which has proved successful.
There have been comprehensive improvements because
Identifying the need for the additional investment in the of the campaign approach, for example, our National
asset health work was driven by our change in focus Above Ground Installation Renovation Campaign (NARC)
during RIIO-1 to capture more granularity on our asset consisted of £150m of asset health works. During the first
defects and store these in central systems rather than at year of the campaign, £9m of financial efficiencies were
site locations. This has led to the recording of increased realised with £4m coming from utilising pipe-through
defects on the network as seen in figure 14.05. solutions instead of full site replacements and
Furthermore, for our below ground assets, it is difficult to coordinating multiple works under single pipeline
entirely understand the condition of our assets, until shutdowns. The rest was due to competitive tendering,
disruptive inspections take place. Where we have been contractor efficiencies and recompression efficiencies.
able to carry out inspections, however, we have learnt The success of this approach has led us to propose asset
that in many cases asset condition is worse than groupings in our RIIO-2 plan and to ensure our proposed
expected. delivery plan is effective and efficient.
Figure 14.05 annual volume of asset defects recorded
In response to the asset health challenges presented in
RIIO-1, there are two further key initiatives under way to
help prepare for RIIO-2:
32http://www.talkingnetworkstx.com/network-output-measures.aspx - NA
RMs previously known as NOM methodology.
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
2. Survey work for RIIO-2 projects improvement in reliability. We have consumer feedback
Preparatory work, including surveys, will be conducted in that they want to maintain reliability levels (or possibly
the final years of RIIO-1 to ensure we are ready to deliver slightly increase). Our proposal is to maintain risk across
on our business plan proposals for RIIO-2. our asset health work plan (excluding Bacton, funded
through UM arrangements and at this key site specifically;
Innovation in RIIO-1 reducing risk).
Following our innovation strategy, we have driven
efficiencies in the activities we have undertaken and Table 14.07 asset health stakeholder engagement
sought innovative ways to continually improve our Asset health
performance. This has included looking at how we deliver SH All segments engaged.
our asset health programmes of work as well as the segments
information we can gather. The below table highlights engaged
some of the projects we have undertaken and how these Objective What level of risk would stakeholders like to
are incorporated in our RIIO-2 proposals, which map to see?
the fit for the future innovation theme. Channel/ Geographically spread workshops,
method webinars, bilaterals, willingness to pay,
Table 14.06 RIIO-1 innovation acceptability testing.
Project Description Key Customers and stakeholders value the
GRAID We undertook a NIC funded project to provide messages reliability the gas transmission system
network a way of internally inspecting sections of our provides. Any change to this would have
innovation network during ‘live’ gas conditions. The Gas significant impacts to their
competition Robotic Agile Inspection Device (GRAID) was commerciality/ability to carry out their day-to-
(NIC) built to enable this. Following the successful day business.
completion of the project, a roll-out strategy
Domestic consumers and non-domestic
has been proposed through RIIO-2, providing
consumers also place a very high value in
inspection across a number of sites helping to
reliability. Consumers take for granted an
realise the benefits of preventing unnecessary
uninterrupted, safe gas supply. It is
excavations and early asset replacement. The
sacrosanct. It gives them peace of mind,
estimated cost savings across RIIO-2 and
allowing them to focus on other things.
RIIO-3 are £31.7m.
Composite This project looked at using composite plastic Across a range of stakeholder segments,
transition replacement for concrete pit wall transition there is no support for any increase in safety
piece pieces preventing a time consuming and risk – with consumers willing to pay more to
costly concrete excavation and reinstatement. prevent this. Many of our stakeholders have
A case study has been completed showing also called for improvements in reliability
that across the design life there is a saving of across our network, although our customers
over £200k per transition piece. During RIIO- who ultimately pay have a stronger
2, we will look to embed these savings where preference for keeping risk at current levels,
possible. in order to ensure stable bills.
Valve care We used a valve care toolbox to prevent an For more information on our engagement on
toolbox early replacement of a valve, leading to this subject, please see annex A10.03.
significant savings. The learning from this Trade-offs Overall, there was marginally more support
project can be used across our asset base and for increasing reliability, by 10% compared
and be used for similar assets of gas stakeholder to keeping risk the same as RIIO-1.
distribution companies. influence However, the frequency of response is
Business The aim of this innovation project was to on the plan similar across these two options, and the
information develop and trial an intelligent 3D modelling one with more responses recorded varies
modelling process to inform project design for according to which stakeholder group we
(BIM) large-scale construction projects. To date, BIM focus on. Stakeholders who pay the bills
has realised cost savings of £4.6m, having slightly preferred to keep risks the same.
been used on four projects. Our initial option was to improve reliability by
10%, but we have based our plans on
stakeholder feedback and triangulation
3. What have stakeholders told us?
supported by external consultancy to
Our plan has been shaped by stakeholder feedback to maintain reliability as per RIIO-1. We
ensure we maintain reliability across the network, the traded off the higher supported option to the
right level of network capability and keep options open for one which was supported more by those who
future customers. Stakeholder engagement has been paid the bills, which at the time was 40%
central to the development of the justification of our asset cheaper than improve reliability by 10%.
health investments. We engaged stakeholders to Stakeholders have also challenged us to
understand their views on how to manage our asset ensure our asset health plans are built on
health challenge. We developed nine options to robust analysis, are efficient and affordable
understand those stakeholders wanted us to develop into for end consumers and drive innovation. We
have used improved decision support tools
costed options. Three of these options moved forward
and monetised risk modelling to assess the
with conclusions shown in the table 14.07. We received right level of investment in these assets.
strong feedback that stakeholders wanted risk levels
maintained, with a significant proportion wanting an
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
SUG and We have expanded the asset health section Network asset risk metric (NARM) methodology
Challenge of this chapter to step through the Our NARMs methodology, developed with Ofgem and
Group optioneering and justification of our lead with stakeholder reviews, uses monetised risk as a
feedback assets and expanded RIIO-1 performance common currency for safety, reliability and environmental
from feedback from the SUG. Since measures to enable better engagement with
October, we have also included more detail stakeholders. Monetised risk allows us to understand the
on non-lead assets, with additional PCDs.
level of network risk, at the start and end position of the
In response to our July draft plan, the
price control period with and without investment
Challenge Group asked us to provide
information on cost drivers, consideration of
intervention. Without intervention, the current asset risk
options, justification of costs, including the will increase by £3.22m through network ageing. For
proposed profiling of costs, and how RIIO-2 we are committing to remove £2.96m (92%) that
efficiency and innovation will be used to will be removed during RIIO-2 for the level of investment.
reduce costs. Our revised lead asset Although monetised risk increases by £260,000 over
sections in asset health address these RIIO-2, we are maintaining service risk in line with
points. customer and stakeholder expectations. The total long-
term benefit of this investment programme delivers
4. Our proposal for RIIO-2 and how it will £296m33.
benefit consumers
Broadly our asset health plan for RIIO-2 has been
Our asset health plan will invest £1,422.7m over a ten-
developed around three key principles:
year period and specifically £663.9m for the five years of
1. Ensuring we only deliver the network capability our
RIIO-2 to deliver the network availability and reliability,
stakeholders require, whilst maintaining optionality for
necessary to maintain the desired level of service
future customers.
required by our customers and stakeholders. We will
2. In response to RIIO-1 challenges, we have undertaken
achieve this through condition-related investments;
an asset health prioritisation exercise and planned
reducing risk through separately justified projects
surveys at the end of the current price control in
including Bacton site redevelopment, and compressor
preparation for RIIO-2. This work is a reactive
investments. This section sets out the key drivers,
approach to maintaining network reliability and safety
decision criteria and outputs which underpin our planned
based on known issues.
investment for RIIO-2.
3. Based on our learnings from RIIO-1 and the evidence
from our CBAs and NARM outputs, we have planned
preventive interventions in RIIO-2 to reduce long-term
risk and cost.
33
Long-term risk benefits are being developed across the industry as
part of a separate Ofgem engagement and are subject to further
engagement and consultation before finalisation.
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
monetised risk benefits, as there is more refinement where we identified several projects for which conditions
needed to the NARMs methodology which we will develop around funding and delivery were not clearly identified up-
in RIIO-2. front.
The PCD captures specific outputs that are directly funded
For such projects and activities, we propose ring-fencing through the price control, ensuring the conditions attached
with separate funding and, and discount the monetised risk to the funding are clear up-front. The table below highlights
benefit they deliver from any NARM output delivery. our proposals for PCDs and are the output measures
By introducing PCDs, we are building on the lessons which apply to this part of our plan:
learned from the RIIO-1 Mid Period Review processes,
Table 14.09 asset health proposals for PCDs
Measure RIIO-2 proposed RIIO-2 spend for RIIO-2 spend for Percentage of
measure RIIO-2 delivery RIIO-3 delivery plan
NARMs Monetised risk £465,824,602 - 75.61%
No. of cabs re-lifed 26 compressors cabs £24,056,392 £5,609,315 4.82%
re-lifed
No. of pits refurbished 245 pits refurbished £19,465,136 £1,974,648 3.48%
No. of site fences re-lifed 76 site fences re-lifed £12,354,940 £6,278,853 3.02%
No. of pipe supports refurbished 922 pipe supports £12,550,880 £2,008,259 2.36%
refurbished
No. of site lighting system 12 site lighting systems £13,258,596 £213,896 2.19%
replaced/refurbished refurbished
No. of site roads re-lifed 75 site roads re-lifed £5,259,304 £2,541,997 1.27%
No. measure with RIIO-2 spend N/A £44,701,894 - 7.26%
The diagram below shows how our plan has been brought together.
Figure 14.10 approach to the inputs to building our asset health plan
Decision criteria and drivers work is not carried out. Or there is a risk of enforcement
Our asset health plan focuses on providing a resilient action if National Grid is unable to demonstrate
network by making the right investments at the right time compliance with the legislation, regardless of if ultimate
against the current and future network capability needs of risk is realised or not.
our stakeholders. Overall, we are looking to ensure
reliability and affordability for customers, whilst retaining Driver B: NARMs
optionality for the future. The asset contributes to monetised risk through the
NARM process and maintains reliability, but intervention
Our RIIO-2 asset health plan uses three common drivers is not directed through legislation or Safety Case
for investment across all themes. explicitly. Asset condition deteriorates with age and this
Driver A: NARMs, legislation and safety case can be accelerated by harsh environments and asset
Interventions that contribute to the NARM and are utilisation. Factors that provide evidence supporting the
required to ensure compliance with relevant legislation condition and deterioration observed in our asset base
and/or Safety Case, such as industry standards or include defect volumes reported, maintenance records
original equipment manufacturer (OEM) compressor (condition inspections) and increasing age profiles.
overhaul guidance to mitigate risk to individuals and Corrosion is a key condition driver; it is the second
environment. Work in this category is defined as requiring highest risk on the NTS (the highest being third-party
an approved deviation from the enforcement agency if the
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
damage) and is the single biggest life-limiting factor of the position and stakeholders has been determined. We have
NTS. also undertaken a full CBA for each of the options with
the benefits of each option based on our NARMs
Driver C: Maintain reliability on non–lead assets methodology.
The asset investment either supports the lead assets Figure 14.11 summary of chosen options for asset
covered through NARMs, is required to meet legislation health programme
or is driven by obsolescence. This covers a broad range
of assets but predominantly structural integrity and Survey
electrical assets. The reliability of these assets reduces 6.8%
with age and use, and failure of these assets (e.g. pipe Replacement
supports) can have a significant impact on the primary 21.8%
NTS assets (e.g. above ground pipework). For some
assets, access to spares and expertise to carry out
repairs becomes increasingly limited as equipment
becomes obsolete. This is particularly a problem with Intervention
electrical equipment, which has a much shorter asset Removal categories
support life than some of the mechanical assets. We 0.4%
manage relationships with OEMs so that we’re aware of
component lifecycles and we have advance warning of
Minor Major
imminent obsolescence Refurbishment
Refurbishment
21.2% 49.8%
An intervention can have multiple drivers. Each
intervention in our plan has been assigned a primary In choosing the preferred option to be carried forward into
driver from the above based on descending priority from our plan, we have considered the results of our CBA
A to C. The EJPs for each sub-theme provide a further amongst a range of other factors:
breakdown of the investment that can be attributed to The outcomes delivered by each of the options and
each driver. The above categories map to the Ofgem whether these are supported by our stakeholders, i.e.
asset health plan structure with drivers A and B being maintain reliability and deliver the required level of
‘monetised risk NARMs related assets’ and driver C being network capability.
‘non–monetised risk assets.’ The need to achieve legislative compliance may not
necessarily be reflected through the quantified benefits
To optimise our actions and potential investments in delivered through a cost beneficial investment option,
asset health, we consider four key risk factors: safety, for example, the HSE will not tolerate a planned
reliability, environmental and societal risk, which are increase in safety risk.
built into the NARM methodology. Through these service Where there are known asset defects, that need to be
risk metrics and legislative requirements, we manage managed through our plans.
risks on the network as efficiently as possible. Our understanding of individual asset condition has
improved during RIIO-1 but there are still gaps in our
Optioneering knowledge. Our plan reflects the need for a likely
The next stage is to consider options. We have practical mix of intervention types once specific assets
considered a range of intervention and programme are surveyed and their true condition and risk are
options from the ‘do nothing’ position through to understood. For example, a plan cannot be based upon
reductions in risk. Across the themes, four main options 100% refurbishment as this may require a high number
were considered, which our themes expand on: of replacements should a proportion of the assets be
1. do minimum or do nothing, fix on fail determined as non-serviceable.
2. minor refurbishment and minimised replacement The need for a deliverable programme of work, both in
3. risk based re-lifing of assets terms of planning outages, resource availability and
4. full re-life or replacement. contract efficiency. For example, through “bundling”
work it may be more cost-effective to undertake
The programme options have been developed specifically alternative interventions to achieve reductions in
for each investment area and contain a mix of different contract costs, minimise outage risks or avoid an early
individual intervention options and varying intervention repeat intervention in future RIIO periods.
volumes. These programme options have been The overall level of investment required and whether
generated by our subject matter experts to explore the this is affordable for our stakeholders.
credible solutions for different levels of investment. Our For a minority of the sub-themes we have limited
experts have developed these credible options based on alternative programme options. The proposed
their knowledge of known asset health issues and asset programmes for these sub-themes include a minimum
defect data, combined with an understanding of the level of intervention to meet legal compliance or maintain
impact the investment has on our outcomes. reliability at the lowest whole life cost.
Once our preferred programme options have been
Each programme option has been fully costed and the selected, based on the detailed CBA, the workload is
impacts on our performance, legal compliance, risk
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
grouped based on the common drivers A to C as Figure 14.13 RIIO-2 asset health monetised risk
described above.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
6. Risks and uncertainty Whilst undertaking our proposed asset health works, we
The most significant risk we need to manage is an are likely to find additional issues only found when
unexpected asset failure or need to isolate due to an completing intrusive work. Some of these new issues will
unacceptable safety risk that affects our ability to meet be best dealt with while we’re working on site, but we’ll be
the requirements of stakeholders. This could be as a able to defer others until a later date. We need the ability
result of climate change (e.g. a landslip caused by to trade off risk across our asset categories, so we can
significant rainfall, requiring an urgent pipeline diversion) deliver the best outcome for consumers.
or the discovery of an asset type fault (e.g. a particular
valve or pipeline section) that is used across the network. These smaller materiality unexpected occurrences that
These could result in unexpected and unforecastable require a mitigation activity during the RIIO-2 period
costs requiring a mitigation activity that can’t be deferred would be managed by trading off risk across asset types,
and could cost millions of pounds to manage and rectify as permitted under the NARMs methodology.
in addition to the potential consumer disruption.
7. Our proposed costs for RIIO-2
Given the large potential risks described above, we are To deliver our NARM monetised risk target and defined
proposing that the RIIO-1 mechanisms for justified over PCDs, our annualised planned investment in asset health
and under delivery of NARMs outputs are retained for increases in RIIO-2 compared to RIIO-1 and is expected
RIIO-2, which is consistent with Ofgem’s Sector Specific to further increase in RIIO-3.
Methodology Decision in May 2019.
Table 14.15 asset health cost summary
Total Annual Annual
(£ in 18/19 prices) 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
RIIO-2 RIIO-2 RIIO-1 *
Cab Infrastructure 7.0 8.9 6.0 4.2 5.2 31.3 6.3 2.6
Compressor Train 50.0 29.3 7.3 9.1 17.9 113.7 22.7 9.8
Plant and
9.5
equipment 17.8 33.1 38.8 38.6 28.2 156.4 31.3
Valves 6.4 13.9 14.6 13.9 14.4 63.1 12.6 19.2
Pipelines 20.1 26.9 32.0 30.8 33.7 143.5 28.7 16.2
Structural
13.0
Integrity 7.0 9.6 19.5 22.0 21.4 79.5 15.9
Electrical 1.1 6.0 6.8 5.9 8.6 28.5 5.7 2.8
St Fergus
4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.8 0.0
(subsidence)
OPEX 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 15.5 3.1 N/A
GRAID 3.4 3.4 3.0 4.8 3.8 18.3 3.7 1.0
Stopples 0.0 4.5 0.0 1.0 4.5 10.0 2.0 N/A
Total 119.9 138.6 131.1 133.4 140.8 663.9 132.8 74.1
Please note we have provided costs to one decimal place and hence some columns may not equal to the totals.
*Annualised RIIO-1 costs taken from RRP data tables (table 4.2), RIIO-1 gas quality & metering, and control systems not included
in this table. RIIO-2 numbers included in chapter 15.
Figure 14.16 asset health theme costs by driver
Unit costs and benchmarking Our asset health work involves a wide range of activities,
We use native competition to obtain value from our from repeatable standard jobs, with low levels of
supply chain 100 per cent of our capital expenditure differentiating factors, through to those that are more
above £100k during RIIO-1 was subject to native bespoke, and therefore, more difficult to apply standard
competition. costing. We have, however, employed an approach that
considers historical outturn information as the strongest
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
indicator of future unit costs, with over 70% of our plan Figure 14.17 asset health cost waterfall (£m/yr)
using unit costs calculated in this way. Only where this
level of information is not available have we turned to
either supplier quotations (which underpins 15% of our £160
£140
plan), or other estimation techniques (upon which the £120
remaining 15% of our plan is built). £100
£80
The availability of representative cost information for the £60
more bespoke gas transmission activities is challenging, £40
£20
given the low number of directly relevant external £0
reference points available to us and the limited levels of
RIIO-1 actual Upward Downward RIIO-2 forecast
certain types of historical asset interventions. annual (FY14- cost drivers cost drivers
Improvements driven by our transformation programme FY19)
have enriched our available data and will capture cost
data moving forward. Our methodology therefore uses the
best available information for each unit cost, including (in The cost information is annualised to provide a
comparative cost per year. The total RIIO-2 forecast
preferential order): includes the efficiencies described above. This is the
historical outturn cost information, where we can match same for all sub-themes and waterfalls that follow.
like-for-like units against delivered programmes; Further detail on the specific upward and downward
supplier quoted costs, matching like for like units drivers for each investment theme is presented in the
against a tendered but not delivered programme of EJPs.
work;
extrapolation to similar types of work or Each of the seven asset health themes is covered
sub-components of work; and separately with a breakdown of the asset types, options
review of industry wide benchmarking or internal cost considered and the upward and downward drivers for
data. costs here:
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
cab, a compressor cannot be operated. An inability to cab infrastructure is essential to ensuring this availability
operate critical compressor equipment would have is not compromised.
considerable impacts on the ability to balance supply and
demand on the NTS to meet the needs of our customers. In defining our proposed intervention approach, we have
considered a range of programme options and compared
Proposal development these against a baseline option that assumes a reactive
Our proposed investment is fully integrated with our intervention stance. In deciding on the proposed
compressor fleet strategy and provides for replacement or intervention strategy, we have considered the ability to
full re-lifing of those cab infrastructures whose meet the desired engineering and stakeholder outcomes
compressors are required in the longer term as set out in and the resulting cost-benefit.
our network capability chapter 12. Fire suppression
systems must be upgraded to meet current standards. The three options considered for both sub-themes of cab
Those compressors that will be decommissioned or infrastructure against a baseline option that is purely
subject to lower running hours will receive investment reactive were; a maintain risk option, a refurbishment only
corresponding to their shorter remaining life. It is vital for option to manage short term risk in compressor cabs and
the supply of gas to our customers that our compressors ensures legal compliance in fire suppression, and a full
remain available and resilient to the demands and re-life option to significantly reduce risk on the assets,
changes on the NTS and investment in our compressor with the preferred option being to maintain risk.
Table 14.18 cab infrastructure option summary
RIIO-2 Plan Percentage Options
Sub-theme Option summary/considerations
(£) of theme considered
A range of options have been assessed and our chosen option is
Cab
£24,327,297 77.7% 3 the least non-cost beneficial option that maintains risk whilst
infrastructure
maintaining compliance with standards.
Fire A range of options have been assessed and our chosen option is
suppression £6,963,797 22.3% 3 the least non-cost beneficial option that maintains risk whilst
systems maintaining compliance with standards.
Compressor cab asset health investment proposal Figure 14.20 compressor cab asset health theme
summary outputs
The total RIIO-2 proposed expenditure for this theme is
£31.3m.
Two thirds of the compressor cab interventions are
driven directly by legislation and ISO standard
requirements (PM84 HSE/ISO21789 and Pressure
System Safety Regulations 2000 (PSSR)). The
remaining third relates to air intake and exhaust
interventions and is justified separately.
Compressor cab investments are not included in our
NARMs model. Price control deliverables will be agreed
on the significant areas of this proposal to assure the
outputs are delivered.
The volume of cab infrastructure work when compared Figure 14.21 compressor cab asset health theme
to RIIO-1 is increasing, the majority of this plan is built intervention types
on known defect issues gathered through inspection
work carried out in RIIO-1.
10%
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
Comparing our RIIO-2 proposal to our RIIO-1 Figure 14.23 gas generator
programme
The annualised RIIO-2 spend has increased when
compared to RIIO-1 from £1.4m to £5.8m for the
compressor cab asset health theme.
Figure 14.22 compressor cab cost waterfall (£m/yr)
£7
Due to the pattern of gas flows required by our customers
£6
and consumers becoming increasingly variable across the
£5 network. The patterns of gas movement across the
£4 network have changed, with increased, and much more
£3 complex demand on the compression fleet. This has
£2 increased the stresses on the compressor machinery due
£1 to greater frequency of start/stop cycles and more volatile
£0 running hour periods.
RIIO-1 actual Upward Downward RIIO-2 forecast
annual (FY14-FY19)cost drivers cost drivers Changes in usage and especially start/stops on the
compressors has resulted in the need to increase the
Upward drivers
number of overhauls. These interventions ensure that
Asset health prioritisation during RIIO-1 focused spend on
compression assets remain supported by the
high criticality assets resulting in lower overall investment
manufacturer and continue to operate at an acceptable
in compressor cabs compared to forecasts at the start of
level of availability. The frequency of overhauls and
RIIO-1. In part, this has been driven by a significantly
general maintenance on the compressors can be further
lower compressor utilisation, (25% reduction in running
increased by the poor performance of the associated
hours from that forecast at the start of RIIO-1) but also a
assets. The overhaul of a compressor train can typically
recognition that emissions legislation and lowering
take 13 to 26 weeks. There is evidence of increased
demand forecasts both made the future of our
defects and failures on the compressor train leading to
compression fleet requirements uncertain. There are a
compressor unit trips and the associated unavailability of
significant number of compressor cab defects that require
the compressor unit for the duration of any investigation
resolution in the near term. Furthermore, there is a need
and repair. There is also a decreasing start reliability
to bring many of our fire suppression systems up to
meaning gas generators fail to achieve stable running on
standard and this investment is a priority for RIIO-2.
demand.
Downward drivers
Impacts of no investment
All efficiencies in this area are driven through our
Compression balances the flow of gas and linepack levels
business transformation programme. Better asset data,
across the network, ensuring that all terminals and
enhanced planning tools and a sharp focus on unit costs
offtakes are maintained at the right pressure. This
all enable lower overall cost to delivery through enhanced,
requirement is routinely tested and analysed by the
longer term delivery contracting. In preparing our
system Operator and the network capability required by
compressor cab asset health plans, we have ensured
our customers underpins the need for these assets. The
consistency with network capability and our compressor
loss of compression in sections of the NTS has significant
fleet strategy. This has resulted in lower overall costs by
impact on customers flowing gas on and off the network.
avoiding spend at cabs planned for decommissioning and
This has knock-on effects for the operation of gas
driving down interventions and costs at cabs with low use
production facilities, power generation, and domestic and
units in RIIO-2 and RIIO-3.
industrial consumers. These impacts are currently
managed by ensuring that there is redundancy in the
Compressor train compressor fleet, allowing loss of a compressor to be
There are 54 gas generator powered compressor trains compensated for by another machine. However, this
and 7 electrically powered compressor trains across the requires maintaining a fleet of ageing machines at a
NTS (excluding St Fergus). Compressor trains are made constant state of readiness.
up of a centrifugal compressor that pressurises the gas
in the NTS. This may be powered by an electric drive or Proposal development
a power turbine. The latter is driven by a gas generator In defining our proposed intervention approach, we have
which, in turn, requires a starter motor to commence focussed our effort on developing a least whole-life cost
operation. Under certain circumstances the pipework option with a minimum level of intervention in line with
containing gas around the compressor is depressurised OEM guidance and expected machine running
through a vent system. requirements. Significant expert challenge and review has
underpinned the levels of intervention and the proposed
phasing ensures we meet the desired engineering and
stakeholder outcomes whilst smoothing out this workload
and aligning outages across our fleet.
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Much of the cost associated with gas generators is In all cases, the least cost option (do minimum) has been
derived from duty profiles (run hours and number of proposed to maintain compliance with OEM guidelines
start/stops) that have been agreed with other EU-based and associated internal policy to maintain our fleet at
gas generator operators. These are described in best expected levels of reliability and therefore stable risk. A
practice integrity management policies based on OEM maintain risk option compliant with OEM guidelines and
guidelines which we always aim to adhere to as a safety associated internal policy was the selected option for
requirement for operating these machines. compressors.
Compressor train asset health investment proposal Figure 14.26 compressor train asset health theme
summary outputs
The total RIIO-2 proposed expenditure for this theme is
£113.7m.
99% of this asset health work is condition driven and
delivers NARMs outputs. Only the work associated with
vents falls outside of NARMs measures.
71% of this work is driven by OEM guidance to overhaul
gas generators and compressors at predetermined
trigger points (e.g. running hours, no. of starts).
£16.3m of the compressor train costs relate to the
compressor breakdown budget and fleet management
(engine swap-out and strategic spares) and this
represents an annual run rate based on historic
performance.
Figure 14.27 compressor train asset health theme
A significant proportion of our compressor theme is built intervention types
on known defects.
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Figure 14.28 compressor train cost waterfall (£m/yr) requirements; and slamshut valves that close to protect
plant and equipment from over pressurisation.
Figure 14.29 preheaters & heat exchangers
£25
£20
£15
£10
£5
£0
RIIO-1 actual Upward Downward RIIO-2 forecast
annual (FY14-FY19)cost drivers cost drivers
Upward drivers The plant and equipment assets were installed at the
A significant proportion of compressor unit gas generators same time as the sites were built and, by the start of the
are now at or beyond the guideline running hours and in RIIO-2 period, 70% of these sites will have been
need of major overhaul work by the OEM. Virtually all the commissioned for over 40 years and as such have
compressor asset health plans for RIIO-2 are driven from reached or exceeded their original design lives.
known defects. Pipework is subject to the Pipeline Safety Regulations
(PSR) and therefore needs to be designed, constructed
A significant increase in compressor overhaul work has and operated so that the risks are as low as is reasonably
been undertaken during RIIO-1 already, with further practicable. They are subject to a regular inspection
increases in the final two years of RIIO-1 to ensure we regime with the associated resolution actions and repairs.
can continue to operate a resilient network. Total RIIO-1 Whilst the equipment is varied in nature and purpose,
forecast spend in this area is now forecast to be almost except for cladding and cathodic protection, they operate
double that which was forecast at the start of RIIO-1. at full NTS gas pressure and as such are subject to
PSSR. These regulations drive a regular regime of
Our RIIO-2 plans also include much more work on our inspections (6-year and 12-year) and a managed
electric drive compressor assets when compared to resolution of any issues that are identified.
RIIO-1. These assets were commissioned in the run up to
RIIO-1 and are now requiring overhaul and upgrades to The HSE have recognised that managing the integrity of
assure continued reliability and availability. ageing plant and equipment, is a key issue for the
industry. In particular, degradation due to corrosion,
Downward drivers erosion and fatigue. Our external inspection and
In preparing our compressor train asset health plans, we subsequent remediation of defects or ‘features’ to industry
have ensured consistency with network capability and our standards, supplemented by internal policy and
compressor fleet strategy. This has resulted in lower procedure, is accepted by the HSE as an appropriate way
overall costs by avoiding spend at units planned for of operating safe plant and equipment, to comply with
decommissioning and driving down interventions and legislation.
costs at low use units in RIIO-2 and beyond.
Impacts of no investment
Most of the cost efficiencies in this area are driven Lack of investment will result in an unsustainable situation
through our business change programme. Better asset where the volume of corrosion defects will grow to a level
data, enhanced planning tools and a sharp focus on unit where the performance on the NTS cannot be maintained
costs all enable longer term overhaul programmes with and any level of remediation would not keep pace with
which to engage OEMs on. In turn, we have overlaid degradation. This would place the NTS in a state where
efficiency forecasts onto our fleet overhaul programme on only significant asset replacement would counter the
the basis that we can achieve lower overall cost to corrosion issues at significant cost to customers and
delivery through enhanced, longer term delivery consumers.
contracting.
Proposal development
Plant and equipment In defining our proposed intervention approach, we have
The plant and equipment assets comprise equipment on focused our effort on developing a least whole-life cost
all of our compressor stations and 504 above-ground option that enables an optimised ongoing, rolling
installations (AGIs). It includes pipework which is coated programme of work. Significant expert challenge and
as a primary means of corrosion prevention and protected review has underpinned the levels of intervention and the
by cathodic protection (CP) as a secondary means proposed phasing ensures we meet the desired
where it is underground; pipe cladding to mitigate noise engineering and stakeholder outcomes whilst smoothing
and thermally insulate the pipework; filters, scrubbers out the workload. A range of options has been considered
and strainers to remove particulates and liquids from the for each sub-theme of the plant and equipment
gas flow; preheaters to prevent condensate after interventions as set out in table 14.30.
pressure reduction points that meet customer
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For the pipework sub theme, four options were considered For the remaining two plant and equipment sub themes,
against a baseline option that is purely reactive; a reactive three options were considered against a baseline option
compliance option to maintain compliance with PSSR and that is purely reactive, they were: a PSSR, legal
other legal obligations, a minimal proactive compliance compliance and safety impact option that only includes
option which maintains compliance through minimal investment to maintain necessary compliance; a direct
proactive investment and reactive investment in corrosion customer impact option that includes investment to
defects, a proactive option to undertake proactive painting support assets that will impact directly connected
and corrosion management, and an increased proactive customers; and a direct customer and NTS option, which
option which would add cladding replacement to the includes investment to mitigate risks of failure on the NTS;
previous option, with the preferred option being a with the preferred option being the direct customer and
proactive option to maintain risk levels. NTS option.
Table 14.30 plant and equipment options summary
Sub-theme RIIO-2 plan Percentage Options Option summary/considerations
(£) of theme considered
Above ground Range of options identified to balance cost/risk detailed
pipework, within this EJP for this significant area of work. The
£130,776,585 83.6% 4
cladding and CP selected option is the least cost option to meet outputs and
systems legislative requirements.
Range of options identified to balance cost/risk detailed
Filters, scrubbers within this EJP for this significant area of work. The
£17,157,246 11.0% 3
and preheaters selected option is cost beneficial and the least cost option
to meet outputs and legislative requirements.
Pressure Range of options identified to balance cost/risk detailed
reduction, flow within this EJP for this significant area of work. The
£8,506,360 5.4% 3
control and selected option is cost beneficial and the least cost option
slamshut systems to meet outputs and legislative requirements.
Plant & equipment asset health investment proposal Figure 14.32 plant and equipment asset health theme
summary outputs
99% of the plant and equipment proposals deliver
NARMs outputs, with 74% of the proposal driven by
legislation/safety case requirements.
Two of the three sub-themes are cost beneficial (filters,
scrubbers & preheaters and the “pressure reduction,
flow control and slamshut systems” sub-theme).
All elements of the “above ground pipework, cladding
and CP systems” sub-theme is driven by safety
legislation except for the patch, partial and full site
painting element (£24.5m). This work delivers NARMS
outputs and avoids significant future corrosion defect
remediation costs.
Major
22% refurbishment
Minor
10% refurbishment
67% Replacement
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Comparing our RIIO-2 proposal to our RIIO-1 generating an estimated saving of £31.7m (5+5-year
programme period).
The annualised RIIO-2 spend has increased when
compared to RIIO-1 from £7.0m to £28.8m for the plant Valves
and equipment asset health theme. The valve asset base includes over 30,000 isolation and
Figure 14.34 plant and equipment cost waterfall control valves in the range of ½” to 48” in diameter. 66%
(£m/yr) of these are less than 4” diameter. The valves asset is
made-up of locally actuated valves (LAV) which enable
sites, pipelines or pipework sections to be isolated,
£45
£40 remote isolation valves (RIV) which enable a site or
£35 pipeline to be isolated remotely in the event of an
£30 emergency or planned operation, process valves (PV)
£25 which allow isolation of a site or section of site pipework
£20 as part of normal site operations, and non-return valves
£15
(NRV) which ensure process gas flows in the desired
£10
£5 direction whilst preventing reverse flow and segregating
£0 pressure between systems.
RIIO-1 actual Upward Downward RIIO-2 forecast
annual (FY14-FY19)cost drivers cost drivers Figure 14.35 above ground remote valve configuration
Upward drivers
There are several differences in our approach to
managing our plant and equipment assets in RIIO-2 when
compared to RIIO-1. It is of note that our forecast total
spend for RIIO-1 in this area is double that which was
originally anticipated and we no longer classify above
ground pipework and coating asset health work as opex.
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Increased risk of impacting supplies, as a growing considered six programme options and compared these
number of outages on the NTS are required to resolve against a baseline option that assumes a reactive
valve defects. intervention stance. In deciding on the proposed
intervention strategy, we have considered the ability to
The increasing age of the asset and the related defect meet the desired engineering and stakeholder outcomes
count means that these consequences become more and the resulting cost-benefit. All options considered are
likely and drive an increasing risk profile over the period. cost beneficial over the 45-year period. The proposed
option is to maintain risk which pays back in 36 years and
Proposal development is significantly cost beneficial after 45 years.
The development of the final valve proposals for RIIO-2
have focused on ensuring the right blend of interventions The six options considered were: a maintain risk option;
(refurbish, replace, etc.) whilst balancing cost and risk. four variations to do a level of minimal investment on
Learning from RIIO-1 has heavily influenced our approach select sub-groups of valve assets; and an increased
and our plans aim to maintain a steady rate of investment proactive investment option; with the preferred option
to ensure deliverability and consistency to maintain risk. In being to maintain risk.
defining our proposed intervention approach, we have
Table 14.36 valves volume and cost
Percentage Options
Sub-theme RIIO-2 plan (£) Option summary/considerations
of theme considered
A wide range of options assessed to balance cost/risk are
detailed within this EJP for this significant area of work.
Valves £63,145,760 100% 6
The preferred option represents the lowest whole-life cost
to maintain the current levels of risk on our valve assets.
Valves asset health investment proposal summary Figure 14.39 valves asset health theme intervention
The total RIIO-2 proposed expenditure for this theme is types
£63.1m.
100% of the valve asset health proposals deliver 2%
NARMs outputs and 22% of this is driven by Major
legislation/safety case. refurbishment
The valve asset health theme in its entirety is cost Minor
beneficial and pays back within the period defined by refurbishment
48% 48%
Ofgem. Replacement
Valve asset health costs are reducing from RIIO-1.
Volume data confidence is high across the whole theme
Removal
as these proposals and the associated work packages
reflect the RIIO-1 programmes of work and is largely 2%
based on known defects.
Table 14.37 valves volume and cost
Comparing our RIIO-2 proposal to our RIIO-1
programme
The annualised RIIO-2 spend has decreased when
compared to RIIO-1 from £16.1m to £11.6m for valves.
Figure 14.38 valves asset health theme outputs Figure 14.40 valves cost waterfall (£m/yr)
£18
£16
£14
£12
£10
£8
£6
£4
£2
£0
RIIO-1 actual Upward Downward RIIO-2 forecast
annual (FY14-FY19)cost drivers cost drivers
Upward drivers
Knowledge of the condition of our valve assets entering
RIIO-1 was well understood. These assets come under
primary containment as well as safety systems to isolate
our pipelines in emergency situations. Therefore, effort
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and expenditure were focused on these assets during Pressure System Safety Regulations 2000 (PSSR) and
RIIO-1. We continue to assess and invest in our valve Pipeline Safety Regulations 1996 (PSR). We have an
assets on an ongoing basis and, whilst volumes of obligation to complete the necessary maintenance
interventions are largely similar in RIIO-2, lessons learned activities, under these regulations, to manage the process
and best practice from RIIO-1 ensures a lower overall cost safety risks that are associated with operating
per unit whilst we maintain a smoother delivery profile. high-pressure natural gas pipelines.
Downward drivers For some of the pipeline network, alternative gas paths
Several specific innovations have been developed during are available. However, there are many sections where
RIIO-1 and these continue to be benefitted from through redundancy is not present, and these pipelines represent
our RIIO-2 valve campaigns. We have reviewed our valve a single point of failure. Also, a high proportion of our
technical standards with a focus on efficiency within our pipeline network is buried, and the remote and hidden
transformation programme which will lower costs for all nature of the asset makes it time consuming and
future valve replacement. We have also recently launched expensive to inspect and maintain. The key technical
the Refurb and Re-life team within our Pipelines challenges for the pipeline are:
Maintenance Centre (PMC) department. This team will Corrosion as the primary degradation mechanism
enable the lowest cost interventions on valves and a managed through robust inspection and mitigation
range of other assets through expert knowledge, detailed strategies, carrying out PIG runs (i.e. in-line
surveys and a strong incentive to minimise costs to inspections), maintaining coating protection and
extend asset life that can be gained though in-house cathodic protection.
experts. Third-party interference which can damage the pipeline,
addressed by having appropriate depth of cover,
Pipelines watercourse crossings and protection sleeves, where
Figure 14.41 pipelines connect to our assets appropriate, and pro-active and reactive maintenance
regimes.
PIG traps deteriorate with age and use. They require
on-going care to maintain their condition and must be
available to enable regulatory safety compliance to
deliver our in-line inspection requirements.
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Least whole-life cost solution to meet TD/1 standards
Watercourse chosen to mitigate risk through intervention on high
£2,100,046 1.5% 1
crossings risk/defect issues only. This represents the ‘do minimum’
option to maintain compliance.
Least whole-life cost option deployed to mitigate risk on an
Depth of cover £1,081,724 0.8% 1
ongoing basis (do minimum) in line with legislation.
Upward drivers
The RIIO-1 pipeline strategy focussed on in-line
inspection defect investigation and remediation as a
Figure 14.44 pipelines asset health theme outputs
priority. Our RIIO-2 strategy brings greater volumes of the
CIPs defects (an area we are spending over forecasts in
RIIO-1) into the plans, increasing the overall cost of the
pipelines theme to dig and remediate potential end of life
pipeline coating issues. These issues degrade our
cathodic protection system effectiveness and failure to act
in the nearer term will result in significant pipeline failure
risk and/or whole-life cost issues. Note that the annualised
allowance for RIIO-1 is comparable to what we are
requesting for RIIO-2, for all activities except CIPs.
Downward drivers
Several innovations have been developed in pipelines
during RIIO-1, (epoxy sleeves, seam weld identification,
etc.) which will be rolled into RIIO-2. In addition, we found
a better way to deal with river crossing asset health risks
in RIIO-1 reducing costs significantly from the original
RIIO-1 forecast and these lower cost interventions
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continue to feature in our RIIO-2 plan. These have all integrity assets is to be expected, with an increasing need
been built into our proposed unit cost for RIIO-2. for assessment and re-lifing. Many assets are reinforced
concrete and are subject to age-based deterioration, signs
We continue to bundle work around feeder outages which of which are often visible, in the form of cracks and
is a primary driver to keep pipeline work costs low, as well delamination. Not investing at this stage can lead to
as minimising impacts to our customers. The further severe deterioration where spalling occurs, at
enhancements through our transformation programme which point the safety and structural integrity of the asset
related to enhanced planning processes and systems and is prejudiced, and the cost of repair dramatically
the integration of all elements of our asset risk and increases. This principle applies to assets constructed of
planning data enables ongoing improvements in this area. other materials such as roads, security fencing and
access platforms. External factors such as weather and
Structural integrity ground movement impact the integrity of the structural
The structural integrity theme consists primarily of pipe assets and can consequentially affect critical operational
supports and pits that ensure pipework is accessible equipment. Failure of assets associated with site access
and imposed stresses are limited, ducting that provides a can impede critical maintenance which in turn can affect
safe routing for pipework and cabling, security and the operational reliability of the primary NTS assets.
fencing to protect assets from breaches by external
parties, access allowing movement around sites, It should also be noted that good access routes, ladders
buildings in a range of sizes and roles, tanks and bunds and platforms are essential for safe working on sites, and
providing liquid containment and sewerage treatment access roads are often used by members of the public.
and drainage to stop pollution leaving the site and
flooding occurring. Within the structures remit are also containment and
Figure 14.47 pipe supports treatment facilities for required liquid consumables and for
dealing with waste water. Failure to manage deterioration
of these assets would undermine our ability to meet the
requirements of fire response plans and environmental
discharge permits as well as continued operation.
Proposal development
In defining our proposed intervention approach, we have
focused our effort on developing a least whole-life cost
option that enables an optimised ongoing, rolling
programme of work. Significant expert challenge and
The structural assets have been grouped as follows: review has underpinned the levels of intervention and the
proposed phasing ensures we meet the desired
supports, pits and ducting protecting the primary assets
engineering and stakeholder outcomes whilst smoothing
security, fencing, buildings and access ensuring the
out the workload. The five options considered across the
primary assets are secure
three sub-themes for structural integrity against a baseline
tanks, bunds, sewage treatment and drainage protecting
option that is purely reactive were: a fix on fail option
the environment.
which included investment for health and safety
As such, the continued provision of a basic required level
legislation; a primary proactive re-life option which
of performance is necessary, with the most critical
considers assets with a direct potential impact on the
elements such as buildings, concrete foundations and
safety of staff and members of the public; a minimal
pipe supports being essential. In some cases, these
proactive re-life option which focuses on the worst
support compliance with the Pressure Systems Safety
performing or condition assets; a risk based re-life option
Regulations (PSSR) and the Pipeline Safety Regulations
which considers the asset’s condition, criticality and age;
(PSR) as well as some environmental obligations.
and an increased proactive re-life option with all assets
considered for replacement at an earlier condition grade;
Impacts of no investment
with the preferred option being the risk based re-life
As many of the NTS sites are now older than their original
option.
design lives, an increase in failure of the structural
Table 14.48 structural integrity options summary
RIIO-2 plan Percentage Options
Sub-theme Option summary/considerations
(£) of theme considered
Range of options identified to balance cost/risk detailed
Pipe supports/pits
£39,287,182 49.4% 5 within this EJP. Chosen option takes a risk based re-life
and ducting
approach to maintain stable risk.
Security and Range of options identified to balance cost/risk detailed
fencing, access and £33,685,071 42.4% 5 within this EJP. Chosen option takes a risk based re-life
buildings approach to maintain stable risk.
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Range of options identified to balance cost/risk whilst
Treatment and
maintaining environmental compliance detailed within this
drainage, tanks and £6,564,960 8.3% 5
EJP. Chosen option takes a risk based re-life approach to
bunds
maintain stable risk.
Table 14.49 structural integrity volume and cost Comparing our RIIO-2 proposal to our RIIO-1
programme
The annualised RIIO-2 spend has increased compared to
RIIO-1 from £14.3m to £14.6m for the structural integrity
asset health theme.
Figure 14.52 structural integrity cost waterfall (£m/yr)
£18
£16
£14
Structural integrity asset health investment proposal £12
summary £10
The total RIIO-2 proposed expenditure for this theme is £8
£6
£79.5m.
£4
Our entire structural integrity programme is based £2
on known defects. £0
Spend levels are broadly consistent with that of RIIO-1. RIIO-1 actual Upward Downward RIIO-2 forecast
None of the structural integrity investments are included annual (FY14-FY19)cost drivers cost drivers
in our NARMs model. We propose price control Upward drivers
deliverables to assure the outputs are delivered. There are minor upward cost drivers related to increased
Spend is forecast to increase in RIIO-3 as we have volumes of work compared with RIIO-1. Our RIIO-2 plan
taken the view that we will manage the risk through is based on known defects – there are significant known
operational means and risk mitigation practices can be end of life issues across the network that require
deployed where appropriate. resolution.
Figure 14.50 structural integrity asset health theme
outputs Downward drivers
We continue to bundle structural integrity work with AGI
renovation work. Our NARC programme has a proven
track record of delivering this work on time and budget.
Enhancements to our unit costing and long-term planning
processes and systems through our transformation
program will support the potential for longer term
contracting for this type of work generating consistency in
delivery and ongoing delivery contract performance
improvements.
Electrical
The electrical infrastructure provides power to enable the
safe operation of sites across the NTS. Most assets within
Figure 14.51 structural integrity asset health theme the gas transmission system rely on an electrical supply to
intervention types fulfil their function or are protected by equipment that
3% requires an electrical supply. Key components of this
Major asset include standby power supplies that ensure
refurbishment critical services are powered should an electrical outage
11% happen, HV switchgear and transformers which supply
Minor high voltage machines such as compressor electric
46% refurbishment drives, LV switchboards and distribution that provide
Replacement power to equipment across the sites, standby
generators that provide the only means of site power
39% Survey should a longer term electrical outage occur, site lighting
to illuminate the site and support safe work activities and
site electrical systems that provide general power
across the site.
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Figure 14.53 standby generator There are increased outage times when failures do
occur due to obsolete assets and unavailability of
spares.
Impacts of no investment
Without investment in the electrical infrastructure, an
increasing number of elements may need to be isolated to
maintain compliance with the Electricity at Work
Regulations (EAWR) and Dangerous Substances and
Explosive Atmospheres Regulations (DSEAR). These
Electrical supply is taken from the local electrical isolations will lead to increasing impact on the ability to
distribution network but is supported as necessary by operate the NTS, network capability and ultimately the
standby power supplies and generators. HV machines are availability of gas for our customers. Age and
the exception where the back-up function of that machine obsolescence are significant factors that increase the risk
would be covered by other gas generators. of these assets failing. Many of the electrical assets are at
Many elements of the electrical infrastructure are beyond or beyond their intended design life. Failure to continue to
their design life and the ageing infrastructure is invest in these assets can ultimately lead to significant
deteriorating with the number of defects associated with it impacts in operating and controlling key NTS sites.
rising. The impacts of the increasing defects on the
electrical infrastructure are: Proposal development
The failures of standby power supplies and standby A proactive intervention programme is proposed to avoid
generators have prevented compressor units starting, unmanageable levels of defects, together with the
reducing the resilience of the NTS. This could have associated adverse impacts on the safety, operation and
potential impacts on the availability of gas or increase availability of the NTS and any potential legislative
potential for buy backs. non-compliance. It should also be noted that robust
Several of the ageing standby generators have safety electrical infrastructure facilitates the intervention
issues associated with their age, type and the location programmes during RIIO-2. The four options considered
within the site. for both sub-themes of electrical against a baseline option
that is purely reactive were: a fix on fail option with age-
Site lighting is becoming a safety risk across all sites
driven replacement of batteries; a minimal proactive re-life
with many cable failures, corroding floodlight columns
option; a risk based re-life option that considers
and specific task lighting that is inappropriate for the
performance, criticality, condition and age of assets; and
work being undertaken.
an increased proactive re-life option which significantly
improves risk, with the preferred option being risk-based
re-life of assets.
Table 14.54 electrical options summary
Percentage Options
Sub-theme RIIO-2 plan (£) Option summary/considerations
of theme considered
Site A balanced blend of refurbishment and replacement
electrical £23,238,811 81.6% Various intervention options has been proposed to mitigate risk on
systems an ongoing basis to maintain stable risk.
Standby Range of options identified to balance cost/risk detailed
power £5,237,397 18.4% 4 within this EJP. Chosen option takes a risk based re-life
supplies approach to maintain stable risk.
Electrical asset health investment proposal summary Table 14.55 electrical volume and costs
The total RIIO-2 proposed expenditure for this theme is
£28.5m.
All the electrical asset health intervention sub-themes
have been subject to a CBA and all sub-themes are
cost beneficial, paying back within the period defined by
Ofgem.
None of the electrical asset health investments are
included in our NARMs model. We propose price control
deliverables to assure the outputs are delivered.
A significant proportion of the proposed electrical
interventions are replacement interventions due to the
nature of these assets and the interventions required to
remove obsolescence and failure risk.
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Figure 14.56 electrical asset health theme outputs resource reduces the overall cost to deliver and
minimises the impact of electrical outages on our sites.
Additional efficiencies in this area are driven through our
transformation programme. Better asset data, enhanced
planning tools and a sharp focus on unit costs all enable
lower overall cost of delivery through enhanced, longer
term delivery contracting.
3%
8%
Major
refurbishment
Minor
refurbishment
Replacement
89%
£6
£5
£4
£3
£2
£1
£0
RIIO-1 actual Upward Downward RIIO-2 forecast
annual (FY14-FY19)cost drivers cost drivers
Upward drivers
Significant end-of-life issues are driving up volumes of
electrical interventions in RIIO-2. We have faced
significant obsolescence issues on electrical systems for
some time and this has been managed in part through
grey spares in RIIO-1. Without additional investment in
new systems, this approach is unsustainable into RIIO-2
and beyond.
Downward drivers
Our delivery strategy ensures lower delivery costs by
bundling site electrical system upgrades with control
system work. This alignment of outages and contractor
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Bacton collaborative relationship with Oil and Gas
Authority (OGA) and local councils
1. What is this sub-topic about?
Key Stakeholders have long-term strategies for
Bacton terminal is a key site for the network. It delivers messages southern North Sea gas and interconnectors
supplies from the southern North Sea, through that go beyond 2040; so our investment at
interconnector pipelines from the Netherlands and Bacton needs to consider the long term.
Belgium. Bacton is also a key demand on the network, “Investment is required for the long-term
connecting the GB gas market to the European gas reliability and safe operation of the terminal,
market and delivering exports to Europe, as well as to the therefore something fit for purpose is
Great Yarmouth power station and to a gas distribution preferable” – xxxxx, entry customer
network offtake. Over the last two years, we have seen There is consensus that any disruption to
service at Bacton needs to be carefully
days where the terminal delivered 39% of GB gas
planned and minimised; for some parties, it is
supplies and days where it met 30% of GB gas demand. possible to agree and align an outage for up
to two weeks each year, but more than this
Bacton is the only terminal on the network that switches has significant financial impact.
from being net supply to net demand. It is one of two top The stability and absolute level of gas
tier control of major accidents and hazards (COMAH) pressure at Bacton are important for
sites on the network. The terminal also allows pressure maximising recovery of southern North Sea
and flow control of the various pipelines connected to it, gas, reducing offshore compression
which delivers safe pressures and security of supply for requirements, facilitating interconnector flows
(import and export) and for Great Yarmouth
customers and consumers in the South East (including
power station connected to the site.
London). The terminal was commissioned in 1968 to
Key trade- There is consensus that a re-developed
meet stakeholder needs envisaged at that time. Many of offs and terminal will deliver the most efficient
the assets have been operational since then and they are how solution. We asked, “do you support our
over design life (30 years). It is acceptable to extend life engagement decision to progress with a new terminal?”
(dependent on asset condition) but we are now seeing an has Responses 67% – yes, 33% – unsure.
increased rate of deterioration and greater intervention influenced “Excellent opportunity to get ready for future
will be needed in future. Many asset health issues will our plan flow scenarios” – xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
need attention during RIIO-2. customer.
“The best option and future-proof” – xxxxxxx,
entry customer.
2. Our activities and current performance “New terminal will ensure capacity and
The high importance of Bacton to the security of supply in efficiency to support longer-term plans for
the South East, and our obligations to parties connected customers. Not clear to me though if some
to the site, both limit the ability to take outages. During tweaks to existing would also do the same at
RIIO-1, completion of the asset health works at Bacton lower cost” – xxxxx entry customer.
would have been delivered more efficiently through Some customers would like us to expand our
extended terminal or sub-terminal outages but, given the services to include blending and pressure
criticality of the site, we scheduled work around services whilst others disagree. Given the
level of interest in blending, this is an area
sub-terminal outages and completed it in a less efficient,
we are exploring and will consider further in
piecemeal fashion. During RIIO-2, we will need to align our final design options.
disruptive works around customer outages. Other parties
connected to our Bacton terminal are experiencing similar 4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will
issues with their own assets and needing to investment in
benefit consumers
them; for example, Shell invested £350m in its Bacton
We propose to redevelop the terminal at Bacton, Norfolk,
rejuvenation project.
as the most efficient way of meeting future customer
requirements34, which is advocated by stakeholders35.
3. What have stakeholders told us?
Doing so will create a site with appropriate capabilities to
Table 14.59 Bacton stakeholder summary meet the needs of customers and it avoids the need for a
Bacton more expensive and disruptive asset health programme.
Stakeholder Consultant/supply chain, customer – entry, Our ongoing work on network capability will not affect the
segments customer – exit (ten individuals from four
need to address the issues at Bacton. Longer term, this
engaged organisations), customer – shipper, energy
network operator, GDN, industry/trade body, redevelopment will also reduce the hydrocarbon inventory
other energy industry, other non-energy and improve site safety.
industry, regulator/government,
university/think tank. During front end engineering design (FEED), we will
Objective To understand how we should approach the evaluate options and cost to make our Bacton terminal a
asset health issues at the Bacton terminal. net zero emissions site, in line with the government
Channel/ Targeted one-to-ones, workshop, webinars. ambition. We will work with onsite stakeholders,
method We are welcomed as regular attendees at considering aspects such as how can we reduce venting
Southern North Sea CEO forum and have a through design, what sustainable modes of transport and
34 35
FES indicates Bacton will still play a significant role beyond 2040. Bacton EJP includes copies of letters of support for our proposal.
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energy can we implement, can we use waste heat from Cost benefit analysis has confirmed that the redeveloped
compression on site. terminal is a cheaper option than adopting a long-term
asset health programme. Such an asset health
In developing our proposal, we have considered a range programme would take many years to complete due to
of options including: ‘do nothing’; continuing with an asset limited opportunity to take the required outages without
health approach; continuing with an asset health option significant customer disruption. The payback period for a
but with reduced terminal capabilities; and brownfield new terminal is 12 years from 2021 (2033). There is still
redevelopment of the terminal. The options considered, some uncertainty over the final design of the redeveloped
and their relative costs, can be found in the Bacton EJP site, including the requirement for pressure or blending
annex A14.02 and CBA annex A14.03. We have services and the potential charging implications of these.
discounted the ‘do nothing’ option for the site because of
the rising number of defects experienced on the site The complexity of the site (five feeders, UKCS, import
during RIIO-1 and our obligations to manage the major and interconnector import/export) means a simplified site
hazard risks of this upper tier COMAH site. design like those at Easington or Milford Haven is not
feasible. The increased risks of not meeting network
We have considered whether an asset health pressures and of damage to our customer’s plant and
programme, including a reduction in terminal capability, equipment due to liquid entrainment or dust are
could be adopted, either to avoid the terminal considered too high. Many stakeholders raised strong
redevelopment or to allow a decision on the long-term concerns about a simplified site operation36.
future strategy for the site to be deferred until RIIO-3. We
discounted this because the site has several issues that As there remains a level of uncertainty over final site
must be addressed during RIIO-2 and RIIO-3, including: design and hence costs. We are proposing a ring-fenced
obsolescence of the fire and gas system, the distributed PCD and requesting baseline funding subject to an
control system and the gas quality system uncertainty mechanism to protect consumers’ interests.
issues with corrosion and non-sealing valves, and This will facilitate further exploration of stakeholder needs
increased costs associated with operating and from the site and any potential charging implications of
maintaining redundant assets. providing these. These outcomes can then be fed into the
final site requirements, design and costs through the
uncertainty mechanism.
Table 14.60 our proposals
What our Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
stakeholders
have told us
Stakeholders see We will redevelop the Bacton Price control deliverable Lower network costs compared to the
a long-term need terminal to meet the future to reach FEED for the alternative option of an extended and
for the Bacton customer need and allow for Bacton terminal (£4.7m). intrusive asset health programme.
terminal. potential future changes (e.g. See annex A3.01. Access to gas supplies, providing security
connection of storage or of supply and helping keep wholesale gas
There is compression if required and the prices as low as possible.
consensus that a facilitation of decarbonisation). Redeveloping the terminal would also
re-developed Once the redeveloped terminal reduce the amount of gas at the Bacton
terminal will is operational, the existing site, moving from a top tier COMAH site to
deliver the most terminal will be a lower tier COMAH site, reducing ongoing
efficient solution decommissioned. compliance costs for consumers.
to our asset Uncertainty mechanism to be Uncertainty mechanism Adoption of an uncertainty mechanism
health challenges. used to adjust the requested (£139.6m) Trigger: Year around the costs of redeveloping the
baseline funding for the terminal 1 (end of FEED). See terminal gives consumers cost protection
redevelopment, once the final annex A3.02. from this uncertainty.
terminal design is confirmed and UM to be used to set a
there is a more accurate view of second PCD for delivery
the costs. of the final design.
36
More information in annex A14.02 Bacton EJP.
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Innovation We have engaged specialist external consultancy support
In designing and delivering this project, we will look to use from Petrofac. They have confirmed the feasibility of the
innovation from RIIO-1, business information modelling, option to redevelop the Bacton terminal but there are
which uses intelligent 3D modelling process for design of risks, including extensive construction and commissioning
construction projects. We will also look to future proof the difficulties. We will use an uncertainty mechanism to
design as much as possible, looking at how the site could protect consumers’ interests as stakeholder requirements
be used in a net zero world, including applying a net zero are clarified, and final design and costs are refined.
construction approach. Further information can be found in annex A3.02.
37
Note: these costs are included in our asset health spend and not our Bacton project costs.
38
The RIIO-1 asset health cost relating to Bacton are contained within the RIIO-1 annualised average asset health cost in table 14.02.
39
Costs developed with the help of Petrofac, who have developed a preliminary design, construction strategy and timeline to prove deliverability during
RIIO-2.
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
ground movement. During RIIO-1, we’ve carried out work and repair the existing assets; however, investigations
to find out the extent of this. Excavations have found that have found no supporting rock in the current location so
the ground is of poor quality and is not supporting the there is no guarantee that this option would stop the
pipework. We also found that drainage was poor, and subsidence and costs are unpredictable. In addition, as
water wasn’t being removed in a timely manner. During the pipework has already suffered irreversible damage it
the excavation works we found concrete attached to would still have to be replaced.
some of the small pipework placing extra stress on it; this
has since been removed. Throughout 2017 and 2018, 3. What have stakeholders told us?
Premtech carried out stress surveys on the pipework and As this is an issue with an existing site, we have not
found that some of it had a stress level over three times specifically engaged stakeholders about it. However,
the acceptable limit. One of the most concerning parts of maintaining the capability of the site is necessary to
the report shows that the subsidence and pipe movement provide the entry and exit capabilities that stakeholders
between 2017 and 2018 continued to worsen and this is have told us they need at the Bacton terminal.
likely to continue if we don’t intervene. We have
considered whether it is possible to underpin the ground
Table 14.63 King’s Lynn stakeholder summary
What our Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
stakeholders
have told us
They see a We will build a new bi-directional Price control deliverable to Removes the risk of constraining
long-term need for area within the boundary of the reach FEED (£1m). See annex import or export flows at Bacton
capability at the existing King’s Lynn site. This will A3.01.) and any limitations on operation of
Bacton site remove any reliance on existing the network. This provides the GB
(King’s Lynn site pipework, which is under stress due gas market with access to gas
supports delivery to ground subsidence. supplies, improves security of
of this) and we Reopener to be used to adjust the UM to set a second PCD for supply and helps keep wholesale
should meet all funding allowances once the final delivery of the final design. gas prices (ultimately prices to
our safety design is confirmed and there is a (£30.2m) Trigger: Year 1 (end consumers) as low as possible.
obligations. more accurate view of costs. of FEED). See annex A3.02.
4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will Risk and uncertainty
benefit consumers Although Premtech has worked with us on the issues with
In developing our proposal, we have considered a range the King’s Lynn site, we have more work to do to finalise
of options including: do nothing; rebuilding the site; the design, work programme and costs. Because of the
underpinning; site decommissioning; and redevelopment cost uncertainty this creates, we are proposing baseline
of the site with uni-directional capability. The options funding subject to an uncertainty mechanism to protect
considered, and their relative costs, can be found in the consumers, please see annex A3.02 for further detail.
King’s Lynn EJP annex A14.04 and CBA annex A14.05.
6. Our proposed costs for RIIO-2
5. How will we deliver? Our proposed costs have been informed by the work we
This project will be delivered using native competition have undertaken with Premtech. Please note we have
during RIIO-2. We will also look to apply RIIO-1 provided costs to one decimal place and hence some
innovation using BIM, an intelligent 3D modelling columns may not equal to the totals. Pension costs are
process for design of construction projects. We will also based on proportion of total TOTEX.
look at applying a net zero construction approach.
Table 14.65 level of cost evidence for addressing King’s Lynn subsidence
Cost realised from RIIO1 Cost forecast based on NARM or volume-driven
External benchmark
actuals competitive process PCD
Not currently – part of FEED Not currently – part of FEED Yes (partially)40 No
7. Next steps During RIIO-2, we will undertake further work to finalise
We will work with Ofgem on the detail of the proposed the design, plan the work programme and update the
UM for this project. costs (to feed into the uncertainty mechanism).
40
Costs contained in this chapter were developed with the help of Premtech
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Asset management capability. This provides the most cost-efficient delivery of
1. What is this sub-topic about? new talent into the organisation.
To provide a safe and reliable network that is protected
from third party threats, we must invest in the right levels Some of our core roles have a scarce talent pool and are
of resource, supported by the right processes, systems, recognised on the shortage occupation list in the UK;
tools and equipment. These investments can be where required, we make use of the General Work Visa
summarised and grouped as: (Tier 2) to support recruitment activity in these areas. We
People – the costs associated with the supplement this with support from agency partners,
employees/contractors to develop our asset particularly when looking for niche skills such as cyber or
management strategies, deliver maintenance activities, legal experts. In addition, we are continually looking to
carry out reactive maintenance/repairs, respond to grow our own talent in core science, technology,
call-outs41 and operate the St Fergus and Bacton engineering and maths (STEM) areas through our annual
terminals. This also includes the operational training apprenticeship and graduate programmes. Finally, in
required to equip people with the capabilities and some areas it is prudent to supplement our permanent
competences they need for these activities. workforce with contingent labour to maintain flexibility in
IT systems – the costs associated with running and delivering peaks of work such as for major capital
improving the IT systems we use to support the projects; to deliver this we use dedicated managed
management of network assets. service providers.
Asset support costs – the costs associated with
Early in RIIO-1, we undertook a major restructuring
running and maintaining our network assets. This
programme42 and in 2018/19 we again reviewed our
includes having the right tools, equipment, consumables
organisation and costs to create:
and strategic spares to maintain the network as well as
commercial vehicles for the operational field force, and an outcome-led organisation, including both customer
paying utility bills for our operational sites. and service outcomes
specialisation and focus to drive efficiency
Our RIIO-2 plan contains an increase in work from RIIO-1 simplified team interfaces that clarify responsibilities
and it calls for additional project support headcount within clear accountabilities, especially between commercial,
our central and operational teams. To deliver this strategic, engineering and delivery activities.
efficiently and safely, we plan to build on our RIIO-1 asset The opex efficiencies in our operating model will start to
management tools and techniques to enhance our be realised ahead of the RIIO-2 period.
capabilities during RIIO-2.
This recent restructure followed asset management best
2. Our activities and current performance practice and has created three functions: asset owner,
People asset manager43 and asset steward. These functions
Our ability to deliver the service our customers expect work together to set and deliver our business objectives
depends on the availability of suitably skilled people. as shown in figure 14.66 below.
During the last ten years, there has been high demand for
critical engineering skill sets and a consequent reduction Our asset owner teams are accountable for setting the
in suitable candidates from traditional routes across the strategic direction of the transmission owner and
utilities and oil and gas industries. This shortage is managing overall business performance against our
particularly acute in the North Sea area, impacting customers’ and shareholder expectations. They provide
Scotland and the East of England. With up to four-year independent, risk-based, second-line assurance as part
training requirements for many of our staff, we have had of the three lines of defence, to ensure continued, safe
to respond by investing in skills development and and compliant operations. We manage the risks
education to grow the workforce of the future as well as associated with our operations through a ‘3 lines of
recruitment, training and retention to give the business defence’ model. The first line of defence is provided by
continuity of skills. the first line supervisor during normal supervisory
activities. The second line of assurance is conducted by a
Our resourcing business model to deliver this has flexed team within the business who audit and assure a range of
over time, moving to a combination of pro-active, ‘grow work activities in a targeted programme. The third and
your own’ approaches, supplemented by experienced final level of assurance is provided by our corporate audit
external hires with contractor support where cost function who conduct periodic audits as set out in their
effective. Primarily, we seek to hire talented and audit plan. Most issues will be identified and corrected or
experienced people across all our core business areas escalated by the supervisor, with the second and third
using our in-house recruitment team and direct sourcing level assurance teams identifying more systematic and
process issues.
41 43
Including to compressor trips/breakdowns, site alarms, aerial sightings For the purposes of our data tables, the asset owner and asset
of third-party interference, third party requests (emergency, minor work manager resources are combined together since they tend to be more
requests and planned works) and contractual obligations in Network Exit centrally based roles, whereas asset steward resources tend to be more
Agreements. geographically based.
42
The total efficiencies resulting from these programmes can be found
in chapter 20.
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Our asset manager teams provide a centre of engineering installations (AGIs) and high-pressure pipelines. Our
expertise to create and implement asset management asset steward team also includes our specialist Pipeline
strategies and plans that deliver the level of service, risk Maintenance Centre (PMC) depots, providing support
appetite and performance targets set by the strategy and across the gas industry. PMC is the emergency
performance team, while remaining compliant with safety responder to gas pipeline emergencies across Britain's
and legislative requirements. distribution and transmission networks. They also deliver
emergency and reliability response on a 24/7/365 basis
Our asset steward teams perform maintenance, repair across the network, both for our own assets and for those
and operation activities for the network and for external operated by external customers. The opex costs of
customers. The teams are geographically spread, and running PMC are not included in the business plan.
they operate and maintain two upper tier control of major These costs are funded through asset projects,
accident hazards (COMAH) terminal sites. They also emergency response and income for services to other
maintain the compressor stations, above ground networks and customers.
Figure 14.66 asset management roles
IT systems framework and our cost profile reflects the cyclical nature
Managing the network requires numerous IT systems that to deliver this.
enable customers to connect, report events and request
information to ensure safety. We use other IT systems to We are increasing the number of commercial vehicles
analyse vast amounts of data and prioritise, plan and from 175 (2018/19) to 243 by the end of RIIO-1, as we
schedule work, carrying it out in an effective and safe move 68 employees from company cars to commercial
way. vehicles. Transferring these employees from to
commercial vehicles will reduce costs. We estimate this
Understanding the condition of our IT assets is key to will save ~£0.5m during RIIO-1 and embed an enduring
ensuring they are secure and reliable and that we are saving into our RIIO-2 opex costs
managing interventions on them in the most cost-efficient
way. During RIIO-1 we have developed multiple, targeted Asset support costs (utility bills)
condition-monitoring techniques that capture data about Utility costs for our operational sites include electricity,
our assets as well as a data and analytics platform to water and gas with electricity accounting for ~99% of the
make sense of this data. total (this is expected to continue over the RIIO-2 period).
Asset support costs We use electricity for ancillary equipment associated with
Costs to support the running of the assets can be broadly compressors, pipelines cathodic protection systems that
categorised into three main areas: have above ground installation (AGI) site security and
commercial vehicles monitoring systems. Of our electricity consumption, 82%
utility bills relates to ancillary equipment associated with
equipment, consumables and spares. compressors.
Asset support costs (commercial vehicles) Asset support costs (equipment, consumables and
Our commercial vehicle fleet attends remote sites and spares)
provides emergency response, with around three million This part of our business plan captures costs of the tools,
miles per year driven. We will manage these vehicles in equipment, consumables and strategic spares required to
line with our existing replacement and maintenance maintain a reliable network. It also includes our
non-operational capital costs (e.g. vehicles) for PMC.
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3. What have stakeholders told us? levels of resource, supported by the right processes,
Customers have told us about the value of having systems, tools and equipment to deliver the unrestricted
unrestricted access to the network, and the impacts on access they want. As these aren’t topics where there have
them of any disruption to their ability to use the network. been specific options to explore with external
Our asset management activities ensure we have the right stakeholders we have not engaged with stakeholders
about them.
4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will benefit consumers
Table 14.67 our proposals
Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
Our asset management activities will continue to be led by good asset Commitment Efficient management of
management principles and we will continue our external accreditation to costs, lowering consumer
ISO55001. bills.
We will ensure we have the right level of human resource, trained with the right
capabilities, supported by the tools, vehicles, spares and IT systems, to
efficiently deliver customers’ requirements.
Contribute towards the joint gas networks emergency response and Licence Ensure gas is available as
enquiry service. Obligation and when consumers
want.
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People (cost drivers) Several drivers will increase our projects (2 FTEs). The FTE then grows incrementally to
headcount in RIIO-2 so that we can deliver our levels of enable delivery of the asset health plan.
service and investment plans.
IT (cost drivers)
Workforce attrition, including retirement: to secure a In the RIIO-2 period, multiple core systems that manage
sustainable, resilient workforce, allowing for skills our assets, work and field force will be reaching their end
retention and knowledge transfer, we have included of life. This is an opportunity to reassess our systems so
additional resources, particularly in the asset steward that we continue to maintain our safety and reliability
teams for RIIO-2. They will ensure we can manage performance while extracting best value for money from
attrition and allow for apprentices, graduates and our systems. Our overall RIIO-2 IT strategy can be found
engineering trainees to cover the retirement profile. We’ve in annex A20.03.
included an overlap, so they can develop capabilities,
competencies and authorisations on the job rather than Asset support costs (cost drivers)
filling vacant roles after they finish their studies. These Equipment, consumables and spares – the drivers
have been shown as a recruitment peak of an additional behind these costs focus on asset resilience, legislative
26 in year one of RIIO-2 to prepare for the forecast compliance and national spares stock requirements, and
retirement profile as well as covering for normal attrition, they are based on the expected workload on the network
which is higher in the asset steward population (9%) than over the RIIO-2 period. Our RIIO-2 costs are lower than
it is in the wider business (average 2%). These people will RIIO-1 due to procurement process efficiencies and a
be required across the country for a range of disciplines to RIIO-2 5% Opex procurement efficiency commitment.
allow knowledge transfer from retiring team members, so This is partly offset by a small increase in RIIO-2 costs,
our teams can continue to deliver maintenance, operate relating to increased project workload.
the network and respond as required.
Figure 14.70 forecast asset steward44 resources Utility bills – there is a direct link between electricity
required against forecast attrition from current consumption and compressor running and standby hours,
headcount so our RIIO-2 forecast costs take into consideration past
and forecast RIIO-1 consumption. Actual costs will be
driven by the requirements to run compressors to meet
customers’ supply and demand patterns, therefore
fluctuations in costs are expected.
44
Data excludes PMC resources
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Network resilience passes underneath feeder xx and it doesn’t have the
1. What is this sub-topic about? capacity to deal with the required flow of water during
We plan new investments at two locations to increase the flooding events. During heavy rainfall in December 2015,
resilience of the network and protect consumers from the limited capacity of the overflow resulted in water
disruptions to supply that arise from planned or unplanned overtopping the dam. Several homes downstream were
maintenance activities. flooded but the dam was undamaged. The risk for us is
that during a similar future event the top of the dam could
We are proposing to increase the resilience of gas wash out, with potential damage to (or loss of) feeder xx
supplies to xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx area, and the subsequent loss of capability to supply to the
by building a short new pipeline and above ground Blackrod offtake and potentially xxxx consumers.
installation (AGI). xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx Tirley AGI
At the Tirley AGI site, we need to install additional During RIIO-1, due to the inability to isolate individual
isolation valves to allow filter maintenance to be filters for maintenance, we have delayed filter
undertaken without creating restrictions on gas flows in maintenance at Tirley to avoid causing constraints on the
South Wales, including to the important Milford Haven network. Safety policy means the filters can only be
entry terminal. These valves are necessary because of a maintained by isolating the whole site from the network.
2017 revision to company standards for safe isolation of This results in a flow restriction in South Wales, including
assets and adoption of a company minimum standard for reducing entry capacity at the important Milford Haven
isolations. liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal to ~20mcm/d (against
a contractual capacity of ~86mcm/d). The restriction
2. Our activities and current performance would also impact gas flows into South Wales to meet
demand, should Milford Haven not be exporting LNG to
In developing our RIIO-2 plan, we initially identified 62
areas where increased resilience might be beneficial for the network.
consumers. These included offtakes that rely on a single
Continuing to delay maintenance will result in
pipeline and areas of the network that are difficult to
non-compliance with policy, require emergency
maintain, test or inspect without risking disruption to entry
maintenance and/or result in entry constraints if filters
or exit customers.
become blocked. For these reasons, we decided that ‘do
We refined this list based on the significance of the issue, nothing’ wasn’t an option for RIIO-2.
levels of existing mitigations (including use of
3. What have stakeholders told us?
maintenance days where the impact was on a single
We did not want to raise unnecessary concerns about
industrial or power station consumer), views of impacted
security of supply, so we have chosen not to engage with
stakeholders and cost-effectiveness of the potential
wider stakeholders about Blackrod. For Tirley, as these
solutions.
are issues with existing site design and the ability to
undertake routine maintenance safely and in accordance
Gas distribution network (GDN) offtakes that are
with policy, we have not sought external stakeholder input
connected to single transmission pipelines were
on our proposals.
highlighted as a key area, as there is an increased risk of
disruption to consumers when planned or unplanned Table 14.72 stakeholder engagement summary
maintenance impacts these offtakes. Network resilience
Stakeholder GDNs – Cadent and SGN.
segments
Blackrod
engaged
During RIIO-1, we experienced issues along feeder xx Objective Understand the most effective and
(which supplies Blackrod) and these have been cost-efficient way to improve the resilience of
addressed without disruption to end consumers. However, specific areas of the network
under different circumstances they would have resulted in Channel/ Bilaterals
end consumer disruption. Cadent (the GDN connected at method
Blackrod) is only able to swap offtake flows away from Key Blackrod: working with Cadent, we have
Blackrod up to 85% of peak winter demand levels. Such messages explored the issue of being unable to isolate
flow swaps are also reliant on Cadent having an intact the pipeline without risking disruption to
network (i.e. not having assets out for maintenance). domestic consumers, trying to find the best
whole system solution. Solutions on the
Cadent network were more expensive than
In 2013, safe inspection of corrosion at various sites was those available on our network and Cadent is
only possible with Cadent undertaking flow swaps on its supportive of our proposed transmission
own network. If the pipeline had required isolation, solution to this issue.
demand had been higher, or if Cadent had been Working with SGN we explored and
undertaking maintenance on its own network, then those discounted investment in another location to
flow swaps may not have been possible. increase resilience on that part of the
transmission network.
An additional risk for this section of feeder xx has been
identified at Heapey Dam. The overflow for the dam
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will benefit consumers
Table 14.73 our proposals
What our Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
stakeholders have
told us
xxxxxx supports our Deliver a new ~1km, 900mm pipeline and a new Commitment Blackrod provides a consumer value
proposal for AGI . xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx proposition valued at £173m (for more
transmission xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx information on CVP1 please see
investment to xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx annex A10.05).
increase resilience of xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
supplies to the xxxxxxxxxx Increased ability to
Blackrod offtake undertake planned and unplanned
maintenance without disruption to gas
supplies/operational pressures to
customers in the North West.
N/A for Tirley Install new isolation valves that will allow Commitment Reduced risk of planned or unplanned
individual filters at the Tirley site to be isolated disruption associated with filter
and maintained. maintenance at Tirley.
Increased security of supply and market
access to diverse gas supply sources,
resulting in lower costs for all
consumers.
8. Next steps
For Blackrod, we will continue to test the design and cost of our proposed solution. Following agreement that the
project is going ahead, we will further investigate land planning and access.
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I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
Environmental resilience There were flooding events in 2013 and, at Goxhill above
1. What is this sub-topic about? ground installation (AGI), these caused significant
Climate change is increasing the risks to our operations, damage to electrical, communication and security assets
for example, from increased risk of flooding or changes to with a remediation cost of ~£3m.
riverbeds that contain pipelines. For RIIO-2, we will
continue to survey our assets in accordance with industry At the Gravesend Thames South AGI, the site was
standards to support the delivery of a reliable and safe designed to accommodate flood water and no significant
network. damage occurred during flooding in 2013, although minor
site clean-up costs were incurred.
2. Our activities and current performance Figure 14.76 flooding at the Gravesend Thames South
above ground installation in 2013
Pipeline watercourse crossing surveys
During RIIO-1, we have experienced issues where
pipelines cross watercourses. On feeder 9, rapid and
unpredictable estuary movements have reduced the
depth of cover on the pipeline under the Humber river and
we are working on replacing this crossing. There have
also been sand movements at Duddon Sands in Cumbria
and there is a risk of the pipeline becoming exposed.
We’ve responded by increasing monitoring to check for
exposure or free-spanning of the pipeline. Working with a
specialist marine consultancy, we have developed a
contingency remediation plan covering the materials,
resource, methodology and costs to reinstate cover over
the pipeline.
During RIIO-1, we put the work for surveying the river We have considered (and discounted) proactive
crossings out for re-tender. As part of the exercise, we installation of flood defences at our AGI sites as the
evaluated the performance of the incumbent supplier pipeline and AGI assets are themselves largely
against the required specification and policy for the unaffected by the presence of raised water levels45.
survey, which identified some areas for improvement. The Proactive investment therefore does not represent value
process ensured that the new service provider was fully for money for consumers. We are, however, proposing to
meeting all the necessary requirements and ultimately our repeat a survey across the network to assess the risk of
obligations under the Pipeline Safety Regulations. This buoyant lift on pipelines in the event of flooding and
outcome increased costs during RIIO-1. specific local ground conditions. The last survey in 2012
identified 501 pipeline sections that were classified as
For RIIO-2, we will continue with the watercourse susceptible to lift, of which 71 were in the highest risk
crossing surveys based on frequency and information on category. Completion of the survey would support our
asset condition, or their immediate environment. We’ll compliance with Pipeline Safety Regulations and identify
also re-tender the work periodically to ensure costs sections with reduced depth of cover, and hence
remain efficient. increased risk from third party damage.
45 46
Providing appropriate electrical equipment is on raised platforms. See our environment engagement log in annex A16.06.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
“National Grid need to have good risk management, so that they can maintain assets to deliver a reliable
network for the customers.” xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx network company
“In the circumstance that there is a large risk of harm you would have to take a proactive approach.
Therefore, top risks should be prioritised such as erosion of pipelines under rivers, but everything else would
fall into the reactive bracket.” xxxxxxxxxxxxx supply chain
4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will benefit consumers
Table 14.78 our proposals
What our Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
stakeholders
have told us
To adopt a In response to feedback we are taking a risk-based approach to Commitment Minimising risk of
proactive or managing the threats associated with pipeline watercourse unplanned disruption
risk-based crossings. of supply to gas
approach to the We will undertake condition-based monitoring surveys of pipeline customers and
management of watercourse crossings to identify whether the pipeline is at risk of consumers.
environmental additional loading, impact from reduced depth of cover, exposure
risks. or free-spanning. The drivers for this work are compliance with Minimising risks of
the Pipelines Safety Regulations 1996 and meeting the minimum unplanned disruption
requirements in the industry standard IGEM/TD/1. to gas entry
We will continue to maintain watercourse navigation markers Commitment customers, ensuring
in accordance with our obligations under the Merchant Shipping consumers have
Act 1995. security of supply and
We will undertake work to assess the risk of buoyant lift on our Commitment access to the
pipelines in the event of flooding, building on our 2012 survey cheapest sources of
work. gas.
5. How will we deliver? Given the potential risks, we are proposing that the
We will continue to use competitive tenders (native mechanisms for justified over and under delivery of
competition) for the contracts associated with managing NARMs outputs are retained for RIIO-2, which is
environmental risks. Should we identify the need to install consistent with Ofgem’s Sector Specific Methodology
flood defences during RIIO-2, we will look to work with Decision in May 2019.
local communities to explore the best solution, rather than
just for our site(s) in isolation. 7. Our proposed costs for RIIO-2
River crossing surveys represent approximately 80 per
6. Risk and uncertainty cent of the costs in this part of our business plan. We
We are adopting a risk-based approach. If any specific have based the RIIO-2 costs for these activities on
risks are identified during RIIO-2, we would consider tendered contract rates from our procurement events and
whether these must be mitigated during RIIO-2 or could on the known volumes of activity (e.g. based on survey
wait until RIIO-3. If RIIO-2 mitigation is required, our frequencies driven by the industry standard, which would
approach to managing this situation would be to consider be consistent with those undertaken in RIIO-1). For the
risk trading across asset types, as permitted under the remaining ~20% of the costs, our forecast expenditure
asset health methodology. has been based on RIIO-1 costs.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
Gas system operation maintain gas quality within strict limits to protect our
1. What is this sub-topic about? customers and consumers (safety)
As the combined gas transmission system operator, we enable access to allow asset development and
work hard to balance the system for Great Britain and maintenance to be undertaken across the NTS.
enable our directly connected customers’ need to move
gas on and off the network when and where they want. As transmission system operator, we want to continue to
This sub-topic focuses on the core system operator meet our obligations, customer requirements and deliver
activities we undertake to minimise any restrictions, value for consumers. We work across multiple time
disruptions or constraints in the ability for customers to put horizons to ensure we maintain the right level of network
gas on and take off the network. This means we need the capability for Great Britain’s energy needs. The
ability to: timescales of the activities included in this section range
accommodate and balance our customers’ flows on and from ten years ahead for long-term network planning
off the network through to the real-time operation of our network. Figure
maintain pressures below maximum design limits of the 14.81 below provides a high-level illustration of these
system (safety) and above the minimum requirements of activities across the time horizons. For more detailed
our customers (contractual) explanations on our system operator processes, please
refer to the Gas Ten Year Statement (GTYS)47.
Figure 14.81 system operation processes
Supply & Demand Planning Operating Control
Forecasting
Operational Strategy
Take constraints
Short-term supply 1 Month- 1 Week Execute
Define Operational management /
& demand Ahead Risk Operational
Strategy residual balancing
forecasting Assessment Strategy
actions
The main activities captured in this chapter are: facilitate the right network access, capacity products and
Responding to long-term customer requirements by balancing services for our customers.
comparing the capability of the network with those Compliance with our obligations relating to the balancing
requirements, identifying gaps and carrying out and capacity processes, including under the NGGT
engagement and CBAs on the options to meet licence and Uniform Network Code (UNC), for example
customers’ needs. These options include asset around quantities of capacity to be released, processes
investments and/or contractual solutions. We use to be followed and provision of methodology statements
supply/demand data based on FES to carry out network Meeting varying customer needs in our day-to-day.
analysis that identifies risk and supports efficient operation of the network. Continuing to provide the
decision-making. critical continuity of real-time operation through the
Delivery of safe network access48 for maintenance, asset people, processes, systems and infrastructure
health or connection activities and to allow external associated with the Gas National Control Centre.
parties49 to carry out their own maintenance. We analyse Meeting our legal and regulatory obligations, as set out
the risks to optimise access and coordinate in our licence, safety case and the UNC.
maintenance activities with customers to minimise
disruption to consumers. We publish seasonal It is worth noting that taking gas on and off the network
maintenance plans and operate a permit-based process has become increasingly complex throughout RIIO-1 and
as part of the Safe Control of Operation framework. will continue to change in RIIO-2. Whilst the physical
Implementing commercial/regulatory change around growth of the network has largely plateaued, the
capacity/energy balancing processes; ensuring these pressures of a rapidly changing energy landscape need to
processes are in place to reflect the regime and to be considered against a backdrop of ageing pipelines and
47 49
https://www.nationalgridgas.com/insight-and-innovation/gas-ten-year- For example, GDNs, power stations, storage sites and large industrial
statement-gtys customers.
48
Taking assets out of service to allow work to be undertaken.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
compressor assets and new, more stringent predictability of behaviour of flows on and off the NTS
environmental legislation affecting a large proportion of that has previously been relied upon for planning
the compressor fleet. These changes have a substantial purposes. The real-time operational challenge this then
impact on the operation of the NTS. A few examples have presents is that essential maintenance of the NTS
been provided below: assets, and therefore network capability, traditionally
Customer needs – We are seeing a significant shift in scheduled in the summer to align with reduced customer
our customers’ needs and behaviour which is set to demand, has an increased risk of being misaligned with
continue changing rapidly. These changes are driven by new flow requirements, reducing the effectiveness of
the evolving energy landscape, customers’ changing operational and linepack management strategies.
physical operational requirements and the underlying Short term ‘volatility’ – Inter (one gas day to the next)
market fundamentals. The flexibility our customers and intra (within day) flows, customer and market
demand from the system continues to increase and our behaviours have become more volatile. These sudden,
challenge is to accommodate this whilst maintaining a unpredicted and unexpected changes can result in
largely unconstrained network. Our customers’ needs mismatches in flow on and off the system which then
relate to the quantity, location, timing and profile of gas can also exacerbate flow profiling/imbalance across the
entering and leaving the network and can present day and therefore linepack changes in the system.
challenges to real-time operation of the system. In order Examples of what the changes in behaviour by
to try and accommodate these changes in requirements connected customers can be related to include plant
(e.g. increasing interest from non-traditional gas preferences e.g. avoidance of TRIAD periods,
customers, speed of customer connections process and increasing supply trips caused by offshore failures,
investment planning security linked with advanced changing weather patterns and fast cycle storage.
capacity reservations)50, we need to enhance our ability
to predict and model these behaviours across the 2. Our activities and current performance
network time horizons to ensure appropriate levels of Before the start of the RIIO-1 period, we discussed and
assets and tools can be put together with an effective predicted the decline in UKCS gas supplies; a transition
operational strategy, which determines whether flows on away from traditional north to south system flows, of
the day can be met and enable us to manage the reducing aggregate demand, diverse connected supplies,
network risk safely. uncertainty and variability of supply and demand patterns,
Longer term ‘uncertainty’ – The potential range and within day volatility of connected load and the interactions
uncertainty in future energy pathways hinders our ability between wind and combined coal and gas turbine (CCGT)
to theoretically predict and model a future level of generation sources. We also highlighted the impact of
connected load and behaviour on the system and our changing compression requirements and environmental
subsequent ability to manage this behaviour under real- investment drivers. All of these significant changes have
time conditions and considerations. The real-time come to fruition throughout RIIO-1. Over the RIIO-1
operational risk that this presents is a mismatch period so far, we have largely met our customer needs in
between the level of assets and tools available, and managing a largely constraint-free system, despite a
those required to manage the prevailing conditions that number of significant challenges associated with the
materialise on a gas day many years subsequent to the changing energy landscape and network requirements.
original planning time horizon (this may also include
uncertainty of commercial and market frameworks as RIIO-1 systems
well as the physical NTS behaviours). We need to be The RIIO-1 period has seen an unprecedented change in
able to predict and model these future uncertainties to the core systems required for real-time operation of the
inform our long-term investment decision to allow us to system. We refreshed and/or replaced the suite of
maintain a safe and reliable network with enough systems and infrastructure that allow us to monitor and
capability to meet GB’s energy requirements. control the NTS. This investment in RIIO-1 enables us to
Medium to short term ‘variability’ – This is continue to meet our operational and safety requirements
predominantly a result of the transition of GB to a net and structures our IT infrastructure in such a way we can
importer of gas, the associated surplus and diversity of upgrade modular components as the network evolves
supplies against a backdrop of reducing aggregate now and in RIIO-2. One key component of this was the
demand and the level, types and behaviour of the ageing control and market facilitation system – Integrated
connected load. This results in a significantly greater Gas Management System (iGMS), which was no longer fit
number of supply and demand permutations that occur for purpose and beyond its original design life. A new Gas
on any given day with complex market drivers. With the Control Suite (GCS) and associated infrastructure has
move away from UKCS gas, supplies are now linked to now largely been delivered with the physical control and
global markets and trends through LNG and other market operations successfully moved over onto the new
imports, as well as fluctuations associated with new system in 2016. The system was scoped and designed to
renewable energy sources such as wind and solar. meet the current RIIO-1 requirements and configurable to
Market and physical operations are now much more meet future requirements relating to further cyber
complex and intertwined, resulting in a lack of protection, data provision and data analytics. For
50
https://www.nationalgridgas.com/insight-and-innovation/gas-ten-year-
statement-gtys
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
example, we have delivered and integrated SIMONE and manage the risk associated with facilitating
online into the GCS suite to allow forward simulation of increased network access, and to identify and develop
the NTS. These are all designated critical national appropriate commercial options
infrastructure (CNI) systems. We’ve invested for the future greater market intelligence capability both from external
in a system we can maintain and evolve in an evergreen sources and further analytical interrogation of internal
approach. Therefore, whilst the cost to implement the performance data
system was higher than we envisaged at the outset of increased monitoring, intelligence and optimisation of
RIIO-1 this has been offset against reduced costs in real-time plant performance
maintaining it since implementation. Overall expenditure a risk management system capable of making informed
on GCS in RIIO-1, has been roughly in line with planning, and proactive and reactive strategy decisions.
allowances. Our manual processes today will not cope with the vast
amount of data and information that needs to be
RIIO-1 processes processed in real-time and therefore we require greater
During RIIO-1, we have focused on efficient delivery of automation and control and market facilitation systems
our system operator activities including a company-wide enhancements to support this capability build.
efficiency programmes51 that has informed our RIIO-2
proposals. We have matured some of our basic modelling RIIO-1 people
capabilities by automating a number of our manual Our people are crucial for us to be able to adapt to
models and improved our data accuracy which has industry change, to unlock the value of the proposed
resulted in improved accuracy of our forecasts and some systems and process enhancements as well as being able
small efficiencies gains. For further information on how we to deliver value to our customers and consumers. We
have improved how we model the NTS in RIIO-2 and our outline our proposed system operator capability
gas planning and operational standards, please refer to requirements and associated investment in further detail
A20.03 (IT annex). in annex A14.25 of which a critical proportion is set out in
this chapter. These capabilities are required in order to
In RIIO-2, we anticipate a much more challenging successfully deliver our business plan commitments.
environment in optimising asset investment decisions and
market solutions to meet the agreed level of network 3. What have stakeholders told us?
capability. This will drive the need to substantially improve We talk regularly with stakeholders at events such as our
our ability to analyse the network against multiple Operational Forum meetings, both to discuss operational
supply/demand scenarios and network configurations. In issues and to develop deeper understanding of customer
order to play our role in the changing energy landscape, needs. Through our wider RIIO-2 engagement,
we will require a step change in our analytics and stakeholders have told us they require unconstrained
modelling capabilities. We will also require a more access to a safe and efficient network. Please refer to
dynamic operational strategy to extract maximum value annex A14.01 for a detailed log of the gas on and off the
and flexibility from the physical system. In RIIO-2, this NTS engagement log. We have also been engaging with
means we will need to: our stakeholders on our RIIO-2 incentive proposals,
enhance our energy forecasting requirements across all please see annex A3.03 which summarises the existing
time horizons and new incentives we are proposing as part of our RIIO-
enhance real-time and forward simulation and 2 business plan and will be subject to further consultation.
evaluation of multiple scenarios; our ability to forecast
4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will benefit consumers
Table 14.82 our proposals
What our Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
stakeholders
have told us
They have Efficient operation of the system – we will Commitment Efficient and safe
told us they continue to drive efficiency, understand and meet operation of the network
value being customer needs using the assets and commercial and associated
able to flow tools available to us. commercial processes.
gas without Maintaining IT systems – continue to invest in our Commitment
restriction core IT systems52 to ensure they stay secure and up
to date while delivering the level of performance
required by the stakeholders we share data with. We
must also maintain the non-CNI systems that support
day-to-day processes for capacity management,
balancing and information provision.
51
Further information on these can be found in chapter 20. with our directly connected operators and shippers. Elements of these
52
We use a suite of IT systems known as the Gas Control Suite to monitor systems are designated CNI and so they are subject to specific
and control the gas transmission network and to receive and share data regulations governing their resilience and levels of security.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want to take gas on and off the transmission system where and when I want
Building new capabilities – we want to exploit Commitment Efficient operation of the
technologies to develop new capabilities that can network and associated
drive greater value for consumers from the networks commercial processes
and markets, we plan to53: ensures consumers have
• develop enhanced analytical and modelling tools to the gas supplies they
improve our insight to manage risks effectively need at the lowest
• take advantage of automation where it is possible price.
cost-effective to do so.
Get the right Please see annex A3.03 for further information on our incentive proposals.
incentive
framework to Residual balancing ODI Current proposed Efficiency of residual
deliver Retain scheme to drive minimisation of energy costs cap £1.6m / collar £2.8m balancing activity,
maximum to operate the network. Our proposals are tougher to pa minimising impacts on the
benefit to achieve against, recognising the impact of a Target (LPM): 5.6 mcm/d market, customers and
consumers changing energy landscape and we propose (shoulder months) and ultimately cost to end
amending the. linepack component of the scheme to 2.8mcm/d (non-shoulder consumers.
drive the right behaviour during seasonal transitions months) Incentive integral to our
between winter and summer. Target (PPM): 1.5% SAP role as residual balancer.
Maintenance (use of days and changes schemes) ODI Current proposed Alignment of maintenance
Retain existing schemes and expand to cover the cap £1.2m / collar £1.5m plans with customers to
wider range of maintenance activities supported by pa minimise potential
stakeholder feedback. Our schemes will be tougher Targets: Use of days – 11, disruption to them and
to achieve against, recognising that the volume of Changes 7.25% wider markets. Ultimately
planned maintenance is likely to be higher in RIIO-2. reducing costs for end
Proposed expansion to include non-remote valve consumers.
operation (RVO) maintenance.
Entry and exit capacity constraint management ODI Efficient activities to avoid
Retain scheme. Remove a level of risk which and manage constraints
represents “BAU” from cost target. (i.e. provide the
Remove revenue from scheme where we scale back unconstrained access
interruptible/off-peak capacity. required by customers).
This reduces overall costs
and risks for consumers.
Incentive integral to
capacity regime (e.g.
incentive efficiently
managed risk associated
with overselling capacity).
We outline our proposed system operator capability management scheme parameters will need to be refined
requirements and associated investment in further detail based on any changes, including those made to our
in annex A14.25. proposed investment programme or the wider commercial
regime (e.g. baselines, capacity regime etc.). We are
5. Risk and uncertainty continuing to engage stakeholder on the package of
Our proposals for the constraint management incentive incentives for RIIO-2. Based on their feedback, this may
are based on our business plan proposals, informed by change our proposals following submission of this
our work on network capability. Final constraint business plan.
53
Further detail on our proposed project investments during RIIO-2, and the justification of these can be found in the IT investment annex A20.03.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want you to protect the transmission system from cyber and external threats
This is an area of significantly increasing expenditure, driven both by the growing level of threat and by new legislation
steering the action that we must take to protect the network. Our plan proposes £118m per year (21.5% of our RIIO-2
total costs) is included within our baseline allowed revenue for known scope with agreed price control deliverables. We
propose that uncertainty mechanisms allow adjustment to our scope and costs during RIIO-2 in response to changing
circumstances.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want you to protect the transmission system from cyber and external threats
Figure 15.01 RIIO-1 and RIIO-2 spend profile ‘I want you to protect the transmission system from cyber and
external threats’
RIIO Costs
£200
£150
RIIO-2
£m
£100 Uncertainty
mechanism
£50 Baseline
£0
Reporting year
Note: In addition to the expenditure portrayed in the graph we are spending approximately £131m in the RIIO-1 period on asset
health interventions on operational technology assets. This is not shown here to avoid double counting with chapter 14.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want you to protect the transmission system from cyber and external threats
Figure 15.02 the evolving threat landscape
Some of our assets are co-located with those of other Mitigating physical threats – the Physical Security
energy companies and it is important that we work closely Upgrade Programme
and share best practice with these and other operators of The Secretary of State initiated the Physical Security
essential services to achieve joined-up protection across Upgrade Programme (PSUP) and it is now governed by
the energy industry. When considering the impact of any BEIS. It is a national programme to enhance physical
loss of gas transmission supply, the consequential impact security at CNI sites. Requirements arising from this
on both the gas and electricity markets must be programme have been a key driver of our activity both
considered; gas is our largest primary fuel source for before and during the current regulatory period. This will
electricity generation, typically accounting for around 40% continue through RIIO-2. We follow standards and
of electricity production. guidelines for good practices endorsed by BEIS and
CPNI58.
Mitigating cyber threats – the NIS Regulations, 2018
Heightened awareness of cyber threats is underlined in 2. Our activities and current performance
the UK Government’s National Cyber Security Strategy54 Track record: Cyber resilience
and evidenced by the launch in October 2016 of the We have adopted new management systems
NCSC55. The NCSC provides a single point of contact for underpinned by a security standard in keeping with NIST59
expertise and guidance in the prevention of, and response good practices. The approach focuses on five key
to, cyber security incidents. principles: identify, protect, detect, respond and recover.
54 57
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-cyber-security- https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2016/1148/oj
58
strategy-2016-to-2021 https://www.cpni.gov.uk/protecting-my-asset
55 59
https://www.ncsc.gov.uk/ https://www.nist.gov/cyberframework
56
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2018/506/pdfs/uksi_20180506_en.pd
f
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want you to protect the transmission system from cyber and external threats
We have focussed on building the capability of our Track record: Physical security
people. We are consciously competing to bring cyber We are installing enhanced PSUP measures at xx gas
talent in-house. All our personnel who work with sites in compliance with BEIS requirements. The total
operational technology undertake mandatory cyber number of sites with enhanced protection is increasing
security training. from xx at the start, to xx at the end of RIIO-1.
Working with the security services and external
specialists, we have carried out cyber risk assessments We have proactively challenged and reviewed PSUP
and gap analysis, using best practices including NIST, requirements using BEIS and CPNI principles and our
IEC6244360, HSE OG8661 and NIS Regulations. We have assessment of system risk and criticality. Where
completed our NIS self-assessment and improvement appropriate this has led to certain sites being added or
plans acting upon feedback from the NIS Competent dropped by BEIS. The sites dropped have avoided
Authority. £23.8m expenditure on behalf of consumers.
We are currently delivering targeted risk mitigation We have instigated changes in our contracting and
projects during RIIO-1. These have been supported by delivery approach reducing capital cost by 15%
Ofgem through the enhanced security reopener62 process: compared to what we could achieve at the start of the
RIIO-1 period. We currently forecast completing our in-
New data centres (a joint project with NGGT and flight RIIO-1 work in line with Ofgem's 2015 reopener
NGESO). The establishment of new high resilience determination of efficient costs.
centres to host the data that underpins our CNI services
We comply with the Counter-Terrorism Act 2008,
such as the operation of the GNCC.
sections 85 to 90, which governs the arrangements for
Cyber security programmes 1 & 2 (joint with NGGT, policing at gas facilities. The security requirements and
NGESO and NGET). A suite of interrelated and associated costs are set by the government and are
foundational cyber resilience projects. These create the outside our control. Because of this, our policing costs are
building blocks for enhanced capabilities such as the recovered via a cost pass-through uncertainty
formation of our 24/7 cyber security operations centre, mechanism.
monitoring national and worldwide threat and event
3. What have stakeholders told us?
intelligence.
Table 15.03 stakeholder engagement summary
Gas specific cyber investments (NGGT only).
Includes projects to improve Intrusion Detection Stakeholder Key stakeholders: NIS Competent Authority,
segments Ofgem, BEIS, HSE.
Systems and to define a strategic asset replacement
engaged Wider stakeholders: Customers, GDNs,
approach to the impending challenge of how best to consumers.
replace our ageing industrial control systems. This Objectives To inform our priorities for RIIO-2, understand
strategy is to be deployed as part of our cyber resilience government requirements including from new
NIS regulations, inform our risk assessment
plan in the RIIO-2 period. and develop our RIIO-2 scope of work.
Channel / Confidential bilateral meetings with NIS
We are delivering two key security innovation projects: method Competent Authority, Ofgem, BEIS, HSE.
Opensource SCADA (scheme NGGT0114) and Secure Wider stakeholders: Shaping the Future
AGI Intrusion Detection System (scheme NGGT0138). events and consumer research.
These projects63 are piloting new lower cost methods to Key Cyber and physical threats should be high
raise cyber resilience of our Supervisory Control and Data messages priority.
Acquisition (SCADA) systems. “Agree 100% with the critical need to protect
the transmission system against cyber and
We have maximised the useful lives of our ageing external threats…” – xxxxxxxxxx, customer
operational technology assets in the RIIO-1 period, (entry)
“Cyber security is very important to us” – xx,
harvesting grey spares to extend service from equipment
customer (entry)
which is obsolete and for which original equipment “Outputs need to include cyber security and
manufacturer support is no longer available. Where we this needs to be funded” – xxxxxxxxxx,
have replaced OT assets, our "campaign" approach of supply chain
bundling work has brought 30% cost efficiencies. The SUG and The SUG have provided helpful feedback on
unit costs behind our RIIO-2 plan include this cost Challenge calling out efficiencies and providing further
efficiency. Group detail on options considered which we have
feedback included in this chapter. We have also listed
the assets related to cyber to allay the
concerns of double counting between asset
health.
60 62
https://www.isa.org/intech/201810standards/ https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/publications-and-updates/informal-
61
http://www.hse.gov.uk/foi/internalops/og/og-0086.pdf consultation-riio-1-price-control-reopeners-may-2018
63
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In autumn 2018, the independent stakeholder user group In its 2018/19 business plan64, the HSE reflects an
looked at how we are developing the physical and cyber increased focus on the emerging risks of cyber security
security elements of our business plan. The group noted and it has recently updated its operational guidance65 on
that the measures we take are mandated by government cyber security for industrial automation and control
and the security services. To protect national security, the systems. This is specifically relevant to us because we
government restricts what we can say publicly about our operate these systems for major hazard risk reduction and
current level of resilience and the specific measures we continuity of gas supplies, and our planned RIIO-2 cyber
will take in the future to reduce vulnerability. For these resilience activities are in line with latest HSE guidance:
reasons, it is not appropriate for us to engage the group or “Operators subject to both health and safety and NIS
wider stakeholders on the detail of our plan and the legislation should carry out risk assessment(s) that cover
substance of it can’t be influenced by customer or both major accident and loss of essential services
consumer preferences. Our approach is therefore to build consequences and then use the highest risk to determine
the confidential detail of our plan with government the countermeasures to be applied.”
agencies, while providing transparency about the process
that we follow. In its role as economic regulator, Ofgem 4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will
protects consumers by scrutinising our costs to ensure benefit consumers
that only efficiently incurred costs are allowed. We have set out further details of the business plan
proposals for each area in the supporting annexes
The key stakeholders whose requirements have shaped A15.01-A15.10. Annex A15.13 sets out our stakeholder
our plan for dealing with external threats are the engagement summary. In keeping with Ofgem business
government (BEIS), its security specialists (CPNI and plan guidance, our cyber resilience proposals are set out
NCSC), Ofgem (in its role as Competent Authority for the in two sections: (i) a business IT security plan focused
NIS Regulations) and the Health and Safety Executive primarily on cyber security for business systems, and (ii) a
(HSE). We collaborate on best practices across the cyber resilience plan focused primarily on production
National Grid group where we own gas and electricity systems operational technology. Separate EJPs are
transmission and distribution networks across the north provided for our physical security proposals. Collectively,
eastern United States. Working closely with our US these annexes explain in greater depth the drivers for the
colleagues helps us to gain more powerful insights in our activity, the options considered (including ‘do nothing’),
24/7 analysis and management of global security and the analysis of costs and benefits. We have used
information and event data. Where our assets are co- further templates to set out our proposed outputs in the
located with other parties, such as gas distribution form of price control deliverables and, where appropriate,
networks, we work with them to ensure an efficient, our proposals for the design of uncertainty mechanisms
joined-up approach.
64 65
http://www.hse.gov.uk/aboutus/strategiesandplans/businessplans/plan http://www.hse.gov.uk/foi/internalops/og/og-0086.pdf
1819.pdf
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Our business IT security plan will: Confidential PCD funded in RIIO-1 by a Network Innovation
implement a suite of initiatives to improve (£43.3m). Allowance.
cyber resilience across our enterprise IT We propose ex-
environment and implement new ante funding plus
capabilities in line with NIS guidelines. totex incentive
deliver 5 cyber resilience projects specific mechanism for
to the CNI services operated by the SO, well-defined
including enhanced vulnerability scope.
management to enable better prevention
and detection of cyber-attacks.
Use a risk- We will use site specific risk-based Commitment This approach ensures we do not ‘gold
based criticality and security levels to determine a plate’ our solutions. For example, we avoid
approach to proportionate response. investing in measures that are excessively
enhance cyber We will optimise our programme having costly or complex compared to the level of
resilience regard to wider considerations of network risk reduction obtained, or where there is a
capability, compressor fleet strategy, and high chance of regret (e.g. if the site in
possible future decommissioning of question might be decommissioned within
units/sites e.g. in response to emissions the next ten years).
legislation.
We will always consider least functionality
options such as removal of remote control
functionality.
Adjust We will actively monitor potential changes Uncertainty Including uncertainty mechanisms involving
priorities, scope in (i) intelligence on threats, (ii) site mechanism the security agencies to monitor and adjust
and work criticality security levels. Cyber resilience. our delivery during RIIO-2 will ensure our
delivery inside We will discuss such changes with the Trigger: Proposing effort and expenditure continues to be
RIIO-2 period in relevant competent authorities and, where 2 reopener directed at maximising consumer benefit
light of appropriate, seek changes to our windows (start of even when circumstances change.
changing threat programme and price control allowances RIIO-2 and mid
landscape through two uncertainty mechanisms. period). The use of reopeners avoids the possibility
Physical security of windfall gains/losses associated with us
Trigger: Proposing being over/under-funded for the appropriate
2 reopener level of work.
windows (at mid
period and end of
RIIO-2).
Deliver physical We will deliver new physical security Confidential PCD Consumers are assured that relevant sites
security upgrade solutions xxxxxxxxxxxx (£131.9m) are secured to the level deemed
upgrades at Begin a prioritised programme of appropriate by government. Monitoring and
sites required replacement of first-generation security audit processes ensure compliance.
by BEIS assets including replacing 34-year-old
fence sections at x important sites.
Maintain PSUP solutions in line with BEIS
guidance and CPNI high level security
principles
Facilitate Comply with our legislative requirements Uncertainty Consumers benefit from the enhanced
policing at gas (the Counter-Terrorism Act 2008). mechanism security deemed appropriate by
sites Pass-through cost government. Consumers pay no more or
less than the actual cost incurred.
5. How will we deliver? fits with the economic optimal average asset life of 15
To manage our cyber and physical security programmes, years.
we will regularly monitor potential interactions with
network developments. For example, if assets become The programme of work will be subject to competitive
more or less important as we review network capability or procurement events to ensure we achieve value for
as customer activity changes (for example, money. With upfront funding for a longer-term, larger
disconnections) we will re-prioritise our work. portfolio of work, this will provide confidence to the supply
chain and in turn drive efficient delivery. We plan to grow
Through our portfolio planning process, we have our in-house cyber delivery capability by recruiting twelve
confirmed that the proposed cyber resilience operational more people so that we achieve the right balance
technology scope is deliverable as part of our longer-term between internal expertise and outsourcing.
programme that will continue through RIIO-3. The
necessity to balance system access outages with Innovation in RIIO-2
maintaining secure supplies limits how many sites we can Our business plan proposes strategic nationwide
work on simultaneously. Our delivery programme is part deployment of an enhancement to our SCADA system
of an enduring, sustainable asset replacement cycle that into business as usual during the RIIO-2 period to bring
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I want you to protect the transmission system from cyber and external threats
significant immediate cyber resilience benefits while funding should be included in our RIIO-2 price control
avoiding or deferring more costly full asset replacement allowance for the full scope of this planned work. We
decisions. We will continue to focus on applying should be strongly incentivised to deliver this work
innovation to drive efficiency in delivery of our work. We efficiently in the interests of consumers.
will also seek to improve how we can deliver and
implement mitigations against cyber and physical threats, We are working with the NIS Competent Authority to
ensuring we investigate the potential of new technology confirm our RIIO-2 scope informed by our NIS self-
such as artificial intelligence and machine learning for assessment and NIS improvement plans.
example. Within their Sector Specific Methodology Decision
(SSMD), Ofgem stated that there would be two reopeners
Table 15.05 RIIO-2 innovation for works included within the cyber resilience plan and
one reopener for works included within the business IT
Theme Commentary
security plan. Whilst the threats we face on our IT
Modernising our systems to prevent systems is more advanced, it is the more traditional route
Fit for the
cyber threats, ensuring they are of attack that provide a gateway to our OT network. The
future
secure now and into the future. threats we face, no matter how advanced, still constantly
Utilising AI and ML improves threat evolve and provide new challenges in how we best
Ready for detection and prevention. protect our network. For this reason, we propose that two
decarbonisation Smart ‘self-monitoring’ networks that reopeners (start and mid-period) are allowed for both our
provide notifications of threats. cyber resilience plan and business IT security plan.
Modernise our systems for a future
Decarbonised
decarbonised energy network, It should be noted that there are important interactions
energy system
protecting it from cyber threats.
across the whole of our business plan. For example,
elements of our asset resilience and cyber resilience
6. Risk and uncertainty programmes of work will also bring important safety and
The threat landscape has changed significantly during reliability benefits. The scope of work we have included in
RIIO-1, particularly in relation to cyber security. Our close this chapter is consistent with the categories of work in
work with the security agencies has helped us to have a the RIIO-1 enhanced security costs and/or it goes far
good understanding of the work we need to deliver in beyond previous business as usual activity. We expect
RIIO-2 to meet current government requirements. We these areas of work to have their own RIIO-2 outputs,
consider this known work to be ‘no regret’. It constitutes monitoring and reporting regimes.
around 80% of the scope in this part of our RIIO-2 plan.
We propose that in relation to the known work, where the
outputs and costs are sufficiently clear, base revenue
Instead of ‘Use It or Lose It’ treatment described in the performance incentive on us will drive benefits for
SSMD, we propose ex-ante funding plus totex incentive consumers. The uncertain costs we have given are for
mechanism for the baseline element of our cyber indication only. We would use the RIIO-2 reopener
resilience plan. This is because our scope is well defined, windows to bring forward final proposals for the relevant
with clear, ring-fenced, outputs that can be recorded in scope and costs as and when those details are firmed up.
confidential price control deliverables, and where a strong
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I want you to protect the transmission system from cyber and external threats
Our transmission owner OT baseline scope includes: In arriving at our proposed cyber resilience plan, we have
£215m totex for our prioritised programme of considered and costed a wide range of options including:
replacement of control and safety systems at our Scenarios explored in optioneering: do nothing, upgrade
highest used compressor stations and terminals with existing assets, partial system enhancement, repair or
partial cyber upgrades to the remaining compressor refurbish, full system replacement, acceleration/deferral
stations. Our plan is extensively built up from a unit cost of plan.
times volume approach, with rates based upon Network resilience and safety: we have considered the
evidence from outturn cost of previous/in-flight projects network resilience impact and safety consequences
which have been competitively tendered. This posed by both equipment failure and cyber-attack.
programme will continue into RIIO-3 and beyond. Risk-based security levels: we have compared the cost
£141m totex for a combination of refurbishment and of a common resilience target at all sites versus
replacement of our Gas Quality, Telemetry and different levels of cyber hardening proportionate to the
Metering (GQMT) assets located at our Above Ground risk and criticality of the individual sites in question.
Installations. There is no double counting of costs with Future of gas and compressor fleet strategy: We have
the rest of our asset health plan. considered the prioritisation and scope of work at
£55m totex for specific projects to implement enhanced individual sites to mitigate the risk of stranded
cyber resilience capability at the IT/OT interface. One of investment at sites for which the long-term future need
these projects is widescale deployment of our RIIO-1 may be uncertain. We ensure our proposed spend is
innovation to our SCADA system, as a quicker measure focussed on sites most needed to meet the network
to mitigate cyber risks pending replacement of capability required by gas customers. We have ensured
underlying OT assets. We have provided an indication this plan ‘fits’ with our compressor strategy and that it is
of future costs for our less-well defined IT/OT projects deliverable with regard to network outage constraints.
under the banner “costs relating to proposed uncertainty Least functionality options: we have considered
mechanisms”. We would use the RIIO-2 reopener situations where remote operability functionality is
windows to bring forward final proposals for the relevant necessary versus where alternative manual operating
scope and costs as and when those details are firmed philosophy may be possible thereby avoiding the need
up. for cyber hardening of these assets.
£6m opex including for an additional 12 personnel to We have compared our approach with our business in
implement new cyber processes; updating antivirus the US and with other energy network operators of
software, performing software sweeps, first and second essential services in Europe (members of the European
line fault response, incident handling, training and Network for Cyber Security66). This provided insight and
emergency preparedness exercises. independent assurance that we are implementing best
practices.
Table 15.07 business IT security plan costs
Activity spend Total Total
Total Annual Annual
(£m in 18/19 prices) 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 RIIO-2 RIIO-2
RIIO-2 RIIO-2 RIIO-1
Annex ref & BPDT ref baseline UM
TO Cyber Security IT (capex
& opex) 4.8 5.4 4.8 5.3 5.8 26.1 5.2 1.4 19.5 6.7
Annex A15.02 BPDT 3.06(b)
SO Cyber Security IT (capex
& opex) 9.5 5.2 4.8 4.9 5.0 29.3 5.9 7.7 23.8 5.5
Annex A15.02 BPDT 3.09(b)
Total
14.3 10.6 9.6 10.2 10.8 55.5 11.1 9.1 43.3 12.2
(totex controllable costs)
In line with the regulatory treatment described in Ofgem’s economy of scale of sharing common costs with other
SSMD, we propose ex-ante funding plus Totex Incentive National Grid entities including NGET and NGESO.
Mechanism for the baseline element of our NGGT The initiatives are arranged into 11 categories and
Business IT Security Plan. The uncertain costs we have mapped to bring specific improvements in our cyber
given are for indication only. We would use the RIIO-2 posture as monitored through the Cyber Assessment
reopener windows to bring forward final proposals for the Framework. Confidential PCDs record the agreed
relevant scope and costs as and when those details are outputs and their targeted improvements in CAF score.
firmed up. Gas System Operator (GSO) share of 5 cyber resilience
Key features of our NGGT Business IT Security Plan projects that are specific to the CNI services operated
include: by the GSO and Electricity System Operator (ESO)
The allocation to Gas Transmission and Gas System entities.
Operation of corporate security function costs for a suite In other respects, the GSO CNI systems are already
of initiatives to enhance the cyber resilience of National hardened and segregated from business systems, so
Grid’s Enterprise IT environment. We benefit from the the RIIO-2 expenditure for the ongoing maintenance,
66
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I want you to protect the transmission system from cyber and external threats
development or replacement of these systems is Compared to our July draft plan we have removed data
embedded elsewhere in our plan as business as usual centre capex because this project is scheduled to be
activity and reported according to existing BPDT completed in RIIO-1. We have checked that there is no
conventions. ‘double counting’ between this chapter and costs
As well as project specific capex and opex, an allocated elsewhere in our plan.
share of the indirect costs of resources in the National
Grid security shared function is included here. The
activities covered include 24/7 cyber security
monitoring, training and recruitment.
Table 15.08 physical security costs
Activity spend (£m in 18/19 prices) Total Annual Annual
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Annex reference & BPDT reference RIIO-2 RIIO-2 RIIO-1
Major Projects (baseline capex)
15.4 29.4 3.7 0.0 0.0 48.5 9.7 20.8
Annex A15.09 BPDT 3.05
Asset Health (baseline capex)
0.6 12.1 15.4 14.3 6.9 49.2 9.8 0.0
Annex A15.08 BPDT 3.05
Maintenance (baseline opex)
6.2 6.2 7.0 7.3 7.3 34.1 6.8 4.5
Annex A15.10 BPDT 2.05
Total (totex controllable costs) 22.3 47.7 26.1 21.6 14.2 131.9 26.4 25.3
Policing (pass through)
16.0 16.0 16.3 16.7 17.1 82.2 16.4 13.3
BPDT 2.02
In line with the regulatory treatment described in Ofgem’s sections at xxx important sites. The programme will
SSMD, we propose ex-ante funding plus Totex Incentive extend into RIIO-3. Most assets being replaced have
Mechanism for the baseline element of our physical useful lives of 7 to 15 years. We have separated this
security plan. Key features of our physical security plan PSUP asset replacement spend from the generality of
include: our asset health costs so that all PSUP capex costs are
Major projects spend is for delivery of new PSUP ring-fenced with their own Price Control Deliverable.
solutions at xx sites during the first three years of RIIO- Maintenance spend includes 24/7 alarm monitoring,
2. This is a reduction in volume compared to the RIIO-1 routine maintenance and fault repairs. Costs are
period in which we are delivering new PSUP solutions increasing because the number of sites being managed
at xx sites. Our cost estimates are informed by outturn is more than doubling between RIIO-1 and RIIO-2.
costs of the xx sites delivered or to be completed during Efficiencies are obtained through the economy of scale
RIIO-1. This data inherently reflects the outcome of of sharing an alarm receiving centre with Electricity
native competition. Furthermore, we have embedded an Transmission and Cadent. We are pursuing further
efficiency ambition so that the allowance we are efficiency by in-sourcing first and second line support for
requesting for RIIO-2 is £7.5m lower than our equivalent fault resolution.
estimate at the time of the May 2018 reopener. Policing costs are dictated by the Counter Terrorism Act
Asset health spend commences at the start of RIIO-2 as and treated as a cost pass-through. Our RIIO-2 figures
we begin a nationwide programme of planned have been updated since July 2019 to reflect a new
replacement of first-generation security assets, estimate received from the Ministry of Defence.
including replacing 34-year-old perimeter security
Table 15.09 cost assessment criteria
Cost forecast based on NARM or volume-
Cost realised from RIIO-1 actuals External benchmark
competitive process driven PCD
Yes – RIIO-1 actual costs for physical Yes – most RIIO-2 scope Yes – physical security costs
security and OT have been used to arrive at will be subject to native in line with Ofgem 2018 Yes - defined PCDs
RIIO-2 forecasts competition reopener benchmark
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I want you to protect the transmission system from cyber and external threats
Table 15.10 summary of protect the transmission system from cyber and external threats costs by activity
Activity Total Total
Total Annual Annual
spend (£m in 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 RIIO-2 RIIO-2
RIIO-2 RIIO-2 RIIO-1
18/19 prices) baseline UM
Cyber
resilience plan 45.3 96.5 103.0 107.2 103.5 455.4 91.1 1.7 417.4 38.1
(OT) (note 1)
Business IT
14.3 10.6 9.6 10.2 10.8 55.5 11.1 9.1 43.3 12.2
security plan
Physical
22.3 47.7 26.1 21.6 14.2 131.9 26.4 25.3 131.9 0.0
security
Sub-total –
controllable 81.8 154.7 138.7 139.1 128.5 642.8 128.6 36.1 592.5 50.3
costs
Policing – non-
16.0 16.0 16.3 16.7 17.1 82.2 16.4 13.3 0.0 82.2
controllable
Total spend 97.8 170.7 155.0 155.8 145.7 725.0 145.0 49.4 592.5 132.5
Note 1: The RIIO-1 to RIIO-2 OT expenditure trend seen in this table is not a like-for-like comparison. This is because the RIIO-1 figure does not
include some £16m p.a. of mostly asset health investment on our OT assets, which is reported separately in chapter 14 and must not be double
counted. We have provided further insight regarding the like-for-like movements through the OT cost drivers and efficiencies waterfall that follows .
Figure 15.11 RIIO-1 to RIIO-2 Comparison: cyber resilience plan – OT cost drivers and efficiencies waterfall
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A key strand in our vision for the future of the energy sector is concerned with limiting the dramatic impacts that climate
change could have on our environment and way of life. We believe this is vital if we are to operate as a socially
responsible business and play our part in helping Great Britain to meet the challenges of decarbonisation. These
challenges have been laid out by stakeholders as they voice their concerns about climate change, culminating in the
UK government setting out legally binding targets to achieve ‘net zero’ carbon emissions by 2050. We will step up to
meet this challenge by embedding sustainability in our business strategy and using it to guide the way we work. We are
driving more efficient performance and future-proofing our organisation as the environmental and social landscapes
change. We want to protect the environment by providing options to reach net zero carbon by 2050 at lowest impact on
society.
There are various commitments in this chapter which deliver consumer value propositions.
The total RIIO-2 spend for this priority is £275m. This amounts to an average annual spend of £55m (compared to
£43m per year in RIIO-1). This is 10 per cent of the value of our full business plan. Nearly three-quarters of this relates
to our compressor emissions compliance programme. The spend profile across price controls is shown in figure 16.01
below. Note that the spend profile is not linear as most of the spend relates to large capital investment on compressors.
The spend profile increases in 2022 due to work beginning on our compressor fleet at the start of RIIO-2. Compared to
our draft business plan costs, we have moved some of our compressor related spend out of baseline. £172m of the
total RIIO-2 cost relating to compressor spend is now subject to an uncertainty mechanism. Table 16.02 shows the
RIIO-2 spend for this chapter by activity.
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RIIO costs
£125
£100
£75 RIIO-2
£m
Uncertainty
£50 mechanism
£25 Baseline
£0
Reporting year
Please note we have provided costs to one decimal place and hence some columns may not equal to the totals. Pension
costs are based on proportion of total TOTEX.
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67 70
https://www.nationalgrid.com/group/responsibility-and- https://info.eco-act.com/sustainability-reporting-performance-ftse-100-
sustainability/our-progress/defining-our-priorities 2019
68
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/clean-growth-strategy
69
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/25-year-environment-
plan
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We will have senior leadership accountability which The key pieces of legislation that affect our compressors
reflects our corporate focus on the environment. Our are:
leadership bonus plans incentivise the delivery of The Industrial Emissions Directive (IED) 2010,
financial, strategic and operational measures. Measures which combines the Large Combustion Plant Directive
are subject to change to ensure we drive the right focus (LCP) 2001 and the Integrated Pollution Prevention
on our short-term and annual priorities. For further and Control Directive (IPPC) 2008. The IED has
information, please see chapter 18. driven much of the RIIO-1 compressor work.
The Medium Combustion Plant Directive (MCPD)
Air quality - compressor emissions compliance 2015, applies specific limits on emissions to air from
combustion plant from 2030 and is the major driver
behind our RIIO-2 emissions investment programme.
71 73
ISO 14001 is the international standard that specifies requirements for These 71 operational units do not include new units at Peterborough
an effective environmental management system (EMS). and Huntingdon that are currently not commissioned.
72 74
https://www.nationalgridgas.com/document/81026/download http://ec.europa.eu/environment/air/index_en.htm
75
Including King’s Lynn A which was recently disconnected.
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SUG and We have simplified the compressor information provided following feedback to make the information
Challenge Group clearer and improve our deliverability.
feedback
4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will the CBAs and relevant engineering justification papers as
benefit consumers appendices.
Proposals in this section are driven by a need to meet
Where there is a long-term need for compressors to run
customer network capability requirements and to ensure
over and above legislative limits, we will need to invest in
compliance with MCPD legislation. To develop our
our compressor fleet to ensure compliance. Several of
proposals on which compliance solution is appropriate,
our compressors will have to be replaced, which takes
we have carried out CBAs for the compressors affected
around six years to complete and there is only limited
by emissions legislation. It has informed our
availability of network outages to accommodate the work.
understanding of the most cost-effective way of meeting
This means we can’t wait until RIIO-3 to make a start and
our obligations and the needs of our customers while
we need a programme that allows us to provide
delivering the best value to consumers. We have tested a
continuous use of the network from 2021 to 2030. Work is
wide range of options and stress tested our solutions are
required during RIIO-2 to achieve the compliance date.
robust against a range of scenarios. Our CECS sets out
our consideration of the final options alongside outputs of
Table 16.10 output summary air quality – compressor emissions compliance
What our Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
stakeholders
have told us
Domestic Wormington: To meet customer network Price control deliverable Compressors are vital to
consumers capability needs, we will ensure compressor xxxxxxxx - annex A3.01) moving gas around the
consider air emissions compliance at Wormington through system, enabling
quality to be delivery of two new units capable of supporting consumers to use gas as
important. flows of 80 mscm/d that are broadly equivalent and when they want.
rated power to existing capability.
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76
This doesn’t come out as a preferred option due to the age of our non-MCPD compliant assets.
77
We are bound through legislation to undertake a process with relevant environmental bodies which defines the BAT in relation to new build
compressors. BAT is the primary selection mechanism for all new and substantially modified compressor trains and will continue to be so during
RIIO-2 and RIIO-3.
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St Fergus
St Fergus is one of the most strategically important sites
for the NTS, as well as for the wider energy system of the
Analysis UK. Our St Fergus gas terminal handles between 25%
The option that has the highest NPV relative to the and 50% of the UK’s gas supplies, dependent on supply
counterfactual (derogate all non-compliant units) is an and demand patterns. The site has been in continuous
option which proposes derogating one unit at each site operation for over 40 years and is now moving beyond
and decommissioning the other two. However, we believe the design life of the critical original assets. The site is
that this would not lead to the best outcome for one of two upper tier COMAH sites on our network (the
consumers because: other being Bacton terminal) and as such is a major
Peterborough is critical to supporting 1 in 20 demand in accident hazard site, subject to regular HSE and SEPA
the South West for a sustained period beyond 2030. inspections and significant health, safety and
Our forecasts of run hours indicate a sustained environmental legislation. It has the highest emissions of
requirement for around 500 hours of resilience any site on our network.
operation at Peterborough.
Due to the central location of Peterborough and The terminal receives gas from three sub-terminals
Huntingdon, the operational risk and consequential (currently owned by Ancala, Shell and North Sea
impact on customers and consumers of not having a Midstream Partners/Gassco). Uniquely on the NTS,
fully available resilient unit at Peterborough is not National Grid provides 24/7/365 compression services for
adequately represented in the standard CBA. gas received from the NSMP terminal under the terms of
Our forecast of run hours at Peterborough and the Network Entry Agreement (NEA). This is a legacy
Huntingdon is sensitive to changes in forecasts of arrangement dating from when British Gas was privatised
demand in the South East and South West. and cannot be changed unilaterally by National Grid.
Our proposals to decommission or derogate all non-
compliant compressors in the South East, particularly Figure 16.15 St Fergus site diagram
Cambridge, will increase reliance on Peterborough and
Huntingdon.
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A further £64.6m has been requested within our asset 5. How will we deliver?
health investment proposals as no regrets asset health Efficient delivery
work and does not involve investments on either plant 1 Projects will be delivered through our standardised
or 2. Decommissioning of plant 1 is expected to follow in processes, which are set out within our CECS. We are
RIIO-4. incentivised to deliver capital projects efficiently through
Delivery of our proposals will result in: our totex incentive mechanism. Our approach to
The St Fergus terminal having sufficient capability to contracting and procurement is laid out in chapter 20.
meet current and future gas supply forecasts.
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78
We are bound through legislation to undertake a process with relevant substantially modified compressor trains and will continue to be so
environmental bodies which defines the BAT in relation to new build during RIIO-2 and RIIO-3.
compressors. BAT is the primary selection mechanism for all new and
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NOx: Nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions are addressed the last five years to cover our carbon dioxide emissions
through relevant emissions legislation in the previous part because, in those years, we have had to use
of this chapter ‘air quality – compressor emissions compressors more frequently due to changes in supply
compliance’. and demand patterns. We also report on carbon dioxide
emissions via our business carbon footprint (BCF)
Carbon dioxide: CO2 emissions from our gas-fired reporting79.
compressor units are subject to the EU Emissions
Trading Scheme (EU-ETS). This is a market-based cap Methane: Methane, which has 25 times80 the global
and trade programme that applies a carbon price to warming potential of carbon dioxide, is emitted through
emissions. We have bought additional credits in three of our activities.
79 80
https://www.nationalgrid.com/group/responsibility-and- IPCC figure https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/syr/
sustainability/our-progress/our-performance/performance-environmental
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4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will benefit consumers
We aim to reduce the GHG emissions our business produces. We will do this on a carbon dioxide equivalence basis.
because methane is about 25 times more damaging to the environment than carbon dioxide. Our full suite of
environmental commitments can be found in our Environmental Action Plan in annex A16.01.
Table 16.22 output summary ‘our climate commitment’
What our stakeholders Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
have told us
Reducing our carbon Produce an annual environmental report Licence These commitments
footprint should always be a (including BCF reporting). obligation support a sustainable
consideration when carrying Continue to participate in the EU-ETS as EAP NGGT lower carbon future by
out operations, but without required and use this as an opportunity to commitment focusing on reducing
large impacts on provide focus on our CO2 emissions across the (legislative greenhouse gas
stakeholders’ business. driver) emissions such as
Customers would like to see Reduce methane emissions (CO2e) from leaks EAP NGGT methane, carbon dioxide
fugitive emissions measured on the network during RIIO-2 – establish a commitment and others to reduce our
to allow more informed baseline for methane emissions leaks on the impact on climate change,
decisions network through improved monitoring and use with clear benefits for
that information to understand how to begin to society.
reduce these where possible.
We should be applying a Continue to use a single consistent carbon price EAP NGGT Decarbonising our fleet
single cost of carbon in our in our investment decisions for each tonne of commitment will deliver consumer
decision-making processes benefit through reduced
controllable carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e)
local air pollution from
emitted.
particulates.
Current non-operational Replace 100% of our operational vehicle fleet EAP NGGT
emissions should be with alternative fuel vehicles where there is a commitment
addressed market alternative today (in 2019). Currently, this
Carbon neutral
results in 30% of our operational fleet that will be
construction provides a
delivered through purchasing 80 vehicles and
consumer value
install charging points at 45 sites with aim to
proposition valued at
reduce carbon emissions from operational
£0.3m (for more
transport by 22% on RIIO-1 averages to end of
information on CVP3
RIIO-2. Measure: tCO2e, % vehicles replaced. please see annex
Reduce carbon emissions for our business EAP NGGT A10.05).
transport by 10% on RIIO-1 averages to end of commitment
RIIO-2 – Reduce vehicle use by promoting rail Methane emissions
and virtual meetings, promote EVs on company reductions could
car scheme and install electric car charging provide a consumer
points at compressor sites. Measure: tCO2e. value of £2.2m (for more
We will focus on an efficiency-first approach to EAP NGGT information on CVP6
decrease the carbon emissions from our office commitment please see annex
energy use by 20% from a 2019/20 baseline to A10.05).
2026. Measure: tCO2e.
We will purchase 100% of electricity for our EAP NGGT
offices from renewable sources. commitment
We should consider Install renewable generation on our operational EAP NGGT
generating own-use sites for our own use during RIIO-2, starting with commitment
electricity from on-site compressor sites. Measure: # sites with
renewables renewable generation.
We should carbon-offset all Achieve carbon neutral construction for major EAP NGGT
construction activity projects by 2025/26 by further implementing commitment
PAS20260 and PAS2080, supported by an
offsetting policy and based on current business
assumptions that 26,000tCO2e can be offset
with up to £310k. Measure: PAS 2060/80
compliance, construction tCO2e in 2026.
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We are requesting £14.1m across the RIIO-2 period to materials where possible and being responsible
reduce the impact we have on climate change. The custodians. We will look to enhance the environment on
largest expenditure in this chapter relates to methane and around our sites in the interests of consumers.
monitoring and recompression, and the proposed
expenditure for RIIO-2 would be approximately £5.3m. Our network is getting older and we are faced with a
The spend is higher in year one, relating to the purchase challenge about how we should manage redundant
of equipment. This will deliver long-term value for assets in a way that is in line with our environmental and
consumers by allowing us to identify leaks and make sustainability goals, whilst delivering value for consumers.
repairs earlier, reducing venting quantities. Assets become redundant for a number of reasons. The
needs of stakeholders or individual customers may have
Of the remaining spend identified, £0.4m relates to changed, legislation changes may mean that assets can
deployment of renewable generation on our operational no longer be used, or investment in new assets may
sites. It also includes continuing support staff for delivery mean that life-expired assets are no longer required. We
of our environmental commitments. We are also are anticipating more work in this area, caused by the
requesting £2.5m to support the roll-out of low carbon fuel changing uses of the network and our ageing asset base.
vehicles to our operational fleet. This is supported by the
justification paper in annex A16.18. We have identified 80 sites, asset groups or single
assets that are already redundant or will become so
Responsible asset use and caring for the natural during RIIO-2. This includes 138km of our 7,660km
environment pipeline network and three out of 240 block valves. We
will continue to monitor operational assets both as part of
our normal annual planning processes and when
customers tell us of a change in system use, so more
assets may become redundant before and during RIIO-2.
Our approach to addressing redundant assets should be
driven by our social, economic, health and safety and
environmental responsibilities. We are also mindful that
1. What is this sub-topic about? there may be increasing mandates set by government in
The UK government’s 25 Year Environment Plan, the future.
published in January 2018, sets out a comprehensive
As well as addressing our redundant assets, in this
long-term approach to protecting and enhancing the
section we will also describe our commitments around
environment. The vision at the heart of the plan is that the
land and resource use and improving biodiversity as well
current generation will be the first to leave the
as how we are embedding sustainability into the supply
environment in a better state than they found it. As an
chain.
asset-based business, the impact of our assets on the
environment is incredibly important. This impact can be
minimised through responsible procurement and
construction processes, reusing and recycling assets and
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Channel/ Workshops, webinars, bilaterals, consumer listening, interactive slider tool, acceptability testing, surveys,
Method deliberative engagement.
Key Doing nothing is not acceptable to stakeholders. We should consider different approaches for pipelines and
messages compressors.
All options should be considered to repurpose equipment before removal.
Trade-offs Stakeholders were asked if current or future consumers should pay for demolition of assets that are no longer
and required for operational use. 87% said that NGGT should prioritise projects on a risk basis and maintain the
stakeholder remaining assets until the point of removal. Costs should be shared between current and future consumers; 10%
influence on said NGGT should deliver this all in RIIO-2 even if it means costs for current consumers are increased and only
the plan 3% believed that NGGT should defer all works and pass costs on to future consumers.
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Redundant assets proposal detail a smaller number of consumers who haven’t benefited
We have considered what we should do with the from the assets.
redundant assets we have identified. This is a larger
number of redundant assets identified than in RIIO-1 as Based on the environmental impact of our redundant
we have been through an extensive business exercise to assets, our opinion is that addressing these now rather
ensure our understanding of the redundant asset base is than later is the correct approach to take. We plan to
as accurate as possible. To address these assets our develop a programme to prioritise action on assets that
broad options are: pose greatest environmental and safety risks and to
do nothing, but we would still incur maintenance spend comply with our contractual obligations.
disconnection from energy supplies and leaving the
asset or site in place, with expenditure to ensure the site 5. How will we deliver?
environment remains safe Redundant assets
decommissioning i.e. disconnecting the asset or site This will enhance biodiversity; it controls the risk of
from energy supplies and removing part or all of it, re- ground and water contamination and promotes
purposing the materials or sending them for recycling. environmental net gain.
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Quarry and loss Funding for this suite of activities during RIIO-1 was
1. What is this topic about? provided via a quarry and loss reopener rather than
We have contractual relationships with owners of the land through ex-ante funding. Ofgem observed during the
that our pipelines pass through. As part of these contracts RIIO-1 reopener that some of our costs in this space were
we are liable for the impact of our pipelines and this predictable and therefore should be part of funding in the
includes a responsibility to compensate and make good future.
where the presence of a pipeline affects drainage or crop Table 16.33 quarry and loss RIIO-1 innovation
production. Some contracts require us to divert our Projects Description
pipeline if the land is needed for other purposes such as New Use of X,Y,Z coordinate geographic data from
quarrying or development. techniques in-line inspection (ILI) operations and
for the analysing the results against ground level data
measurement from light detection and radar (LIDAR)
2. Our activities and current performance
of pipeline surveys to calculate depth of cover. It is
We are committed to honouring these long-standing
depth of anticipated that this will become part of
contracts. However, we have well-established processes
cover as part standard operating procedures resulting in a
to validate the claim and challenge the amount of any
of easement more accurate reporting mechanism for
compensation when landowners apply for it. In each
process shallow pipelines.
case, we adopt a solution that delivers value for
consumers. For example, we might make annual 3. What have stakeholders told us?
payments, make full and final settlements, or carry out The majority of domestic and non-domestic consumers
investigation and repairs (e.g. for drainage issues). find the current proposal on compensating landowners
During RIIO-1 we made several full and final settlements acceptable. There is mixed appetite for further action in
(106 at the time of our reopener submission) and these this area. We understand that a key stakeholder priority is
reduce some elements of our RIIO-2 liabilities. Examples for us to be efficient and affordable, and this principle
of how we manage such claims can be found in the RIIO- feeds into driving down costs wherever possible.
1 reopener submission in this area81.
81
https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/system/files/docs/2018/05/nggt_quarry_and
_loss_reopener_submission_08may2018_public_version_2.pdf
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Supporting the communities we work in Partnering with designated charities each year including
Macmillan Cancer Support, the Alzheimer’s Society and
City Year UK, raising £2.24m for partnered charities in
RIIO-1 to date.
Encouraging and supporting 5,000 employee
volunteering hours and providing £1.13m to their
1. What is this sub-topic about? chosen charities in matched giving.
We have an impact on many communities when we carry Awarding £1.2m in grants for communities located near
out works ranging from routine maintenance to major to (or impacted by) our business activities.
projects. The expectation from external stakeholders, Spending more than 2,500 hours with young people to
shareholders and communities affected by our work is inspire them about science, technology, engineering
that we should ‘give something back’. Our purpose, vision and maths (STEM) subjects.
and values articulate our desire to exceed the Implementing human rights and supply chain due
expectations of communities. Our work, through our diligence strategies (including meeting modern slavery
employee volunteering and fundraising programmes, and conflict minerals commitments). We are now 12th
supports charities and community organisations. We also best in the FTSE 100 Modern Slavery rating index.
give grants to community groups, so they can deliver a Supporting the government’s Inclusive Economy
range of social, economic and environmental benefits. Partnership to protect and improve mental health and
equip people to get back to work.
2. Our activities and current performance Being a member of the Living Wage Foundation and
Track record promoting commitment to the real living wage, both in
Highlights of our activities during RIIO-1 include: our organisation and in the wider supply chain.
Investing £106m (so far) supporting 42,000 vulnerable Delivering the Energy & Utility Procurement Skills
households across England, Scotland and Wales Accord commitments, which promote skills development
through the Warm Homes Fund. and work towards bridging the skills gap in the energy
Launching a pilot programme called 'Grid for Good', sector; we received a recognition of our contribution.
which is a social mobility project to connect those in Committing to align with the government’s own targets
need to support services and networks. by awarding 33% of annual spend to small and medium-
sized enterprises (SMEs) by 2020.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
82
http://www.ukerc.ac.uk/publications/paying-for-energy-transitions.html
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I want you to facilitate the whole energy system of the future - innovating to meet the challenges ahead
To deliver our proposals for this priority, we plan to spend an average £23.2m annually with a total RIIO-2 spend of
£115.9m. We are proposing that £30.9m of this will come from an innovation incentive allowance and is part of our
non-controllable pass-through costs. Our RIIO-1 annualised spend was on average £18.8m each year. This increase in
RIIO-2 is mainly due to a forecast increase in capex costs relating to our balancing and capacity system. This priority’s
expenditure accounts for 3% of the overall RIIO-2 expenditure.
Figure 17.01 RIIO-1 and RIIO-2 spend profile ‘I want you to facilitate the whole energy system of the future –
innovating to meet the challenges ahead’
RIIO Costs
£30
£25
£20
£m
£15
£10
£5
£0
Reporting year
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
I want you to facilitate the whole energy system of the future - innovating to meet the challenges ahead
What is this stakeholder priority about? In RIIO-2, our proposals aim to deliver on decarbonisation
This priority is about how we, as gas transmission, will and digitisation to support transition to a sustainable
enable the gas industry to deliver net zero environmental energy system, and ensure that all consumers enjoy
targets in a way that delivers benefits to consumers. It reliable, affordable energy. We recognise that the pace of
sets out our ambitions in achieving GB’s 2050 net zero change and deployment of potential solutions may
goal. We look at how the industry can decarbonise heat, exceed the scale of existing funding mechanisms in the
our role in this and how we can drive the decarbonisation RIIO-2 timeframe. So, we will work with Ofgem and other
of the whole energy system. stakeholders to address this. Our proposals will deliver on
Stakeholders told us they want us to lead the whole Ofgem’s output category of ‘delivering a sustainable
energy system of the future, driving the decarbonisation network’. To facilitate the energy transition we will deliver
agenda forward. Stakeholders recognise that we must this through three priority areas:
play an important role in this uncertain energy future. Markets: continuing our increased engagement
They also expect us to look for innovative ways to meet across the industry to lead and deliver market and
the challenges ahead in the energy transition, especially regulatory change.
in decarbonising heat. Decarbonisation of the gas transmission system:
developing options to enable decarbonisation of heat
We know that, as well as focusing on energy transition options using whole systems approaches.
innovation projects, we also need to ensure that Innovation: driving innovation to help meet the
innovation is embedded as business as usual (BAU), challenges of the future while ensuring consumer bills
wherever possible so that solutions are delivered remain affordable.
efficiently for stakeholders and consumers benefit. Systems: enabling and supporting market and
Stakeholders also said we are well placed to have a ‘say regulatory change, through developing the right
and influence’ energy transition policy. systems to deliver a digital future.
Table 17.03 summary of whole energy system of the future – innovating to meet the challenges ahead costs by
RRP category
RRP category 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total Annual Annual
(£m in 18/19 prices) RIIO-2 RIIO-2 RIIO-1
Closely associated 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 2.8 0.6 0.5
indirects (BPDT 2.02)
Direct costs (BPDT 2.02) 5.9 6.3 6.5 6.7 6.7 32.0 6.4 6.4
SO capex total (BPDT 7.3 7.9 16.1 13.8 4.7 49.9 10.0 6.4
3.08)
Items outside of totex 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 30.9 6.2 5.0
including non-
controllable costs
(BPDT 2.02)
Controllable pension 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
costs (BPDT 2.02)
Total non-controllable 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
costs
Grand total 20.0 21.0 29.4 27.3 18.2 115.9 23.2 18.8
Please note we have provided costs to one decimal place and hence some columns may not equal to the totals. Pension
costs are based on proportion of total TOTEX.
83
This is the capex element only.
84
This cost is only the cost that we forecast to be spent through Ofgem’s network innovation allowance (NIA).
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I want you to facilitate the whole energy system of the future - innovating to meet the challenges ahead
Markets Channel/method Workshops, webinars, 1-2-1 meetings,
1. What is this sub-topic about? industry forums, surveys.
This subtopic is about how we are continuing our Key messages There will be a significant amount of
industry change as we move through the
increased engagement across the industry to lead and RIIO-2 period. We should continue to
deliver market and regulatory change. lead the facilitation of industry change
within the gas sector.
2. Our activities and current performance Trade-offs and We have engaged extensively with
Track record stakeholder stakeholders to inform the development
During RIIO-1, we’ve been developing and delivering influence on the of the GMaP. This has led to the
regulatory and market change, focused on GB market plan formation of an independent steering
group of stakeholders that will drive the
compliance with EU legislation driven by the commitment
outputs of the GMaP.
to deliver the Third Energy Package. The work we’ve
done ensured changes benefited GB plc and are
completed in the least disruptive and most efficient way
4. Our proposals for RIIO-2
possible. As the GB transmission owner and system In RIIO-2, our regulatory change strategy continues to
operator, we were responsible for delivering this change move from managing change to driving it. Stakeholders
on behalf of wider GB industry. have said they recognise there will be a significant
amount of industry change as we move into and through
We have also shared the delivery of efficient and effective the RIIO-2 period. Stakeholders want us to continue to
code governance, including adopting any future changes play a key role in improving the efficiency of the market
driven by Ofgem. To do this, we have taken a leading role through supporting customer modifications, improved
in European Network of Transmission System Operators modification governance and focusing on the changing
for Gas (ENTSOG) work groups and we speak regularly need of the gas networks and markets over RIIO-2.
at other industry events.
The RIIO-2 period will see increased focus on
decarbonisation of the energy sectors, in which natural
We have raised 61 Uniform Network Code (UNC)
gas has traditionally met the energy demand, either
modifications. We have also supported customers by
through EU or UK policy drivers and/or changing industry
providing legal text and/or developing the solutions to
trends. However, the direction and speed of change
their modifications for another 57 UNC modifications.
affecting gas markets and, importantly, efficient operation
Some of the deliverables that we have supported are:
for end consumers, are all uncertain and this lack of
gas charging review certainty requires us to be flexible.
development and implementation of EU codes
including constraint management principles, capacity Decarbonisation drivers have had an impact on the role of
allocation methodologies, balancing and gas and this will continue over the RIIO-2 period. The key
interoperability question for now is how to maintain consumer value from
security of supply significant code review. the gas markets as energy markets transition to low
carbon. Additionally, we need to start looking at what
Learning for RIIO-2 industry and market changes may occur in moving to a
During the latter parts of RIIO-1, we have led the Future decarbonised world.
of Gas programme85, exploring where the medium-to
long-term focus should be for the gas industry. It As a result of stakeholder feedback received during
concluded that gas has a critical role in the transition to a engagement on capacity baselines and general access
low carbon economy and set out several commitments arrangements, We have raised modification 0705R –
and policy recommendations. This led to the creation of NTS Capacity Access Review, which has the following
the Gas Markets Plan (GMaP) which we explain further in purpose:
our proposals for RIIO-286.
to review the principles and establish long-term
strategy for the NTS capacity access regime,
3. What have stakeholders told us?
ensuring the regime is appropriate for commercial
behaviours experienced today, simplified and
Table 17.04 industry change stakeholder engagement
Engagement Industry change adaptable whilst being consistent with relevant
topic obligations,
Stakeholder Shippers, customers, supply chain to make recommendations for change and
segments
engaged
addressing short-term problems in accordance with
Objective To understand the level of industry the long-term ambition.87
change stakeholders expected and the
role they want us to take.
85 87
https://futureofgas.uk/ https://gasgov-mst-files.s3.eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/s3fs-
86
https://futureofgas.uk/news/the-future-of-gas-2/ public/ggf/book/2019-10/Request%200705R%20v2.0.pdf
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I want you to facilitate the whole energy system of the future - innovating to meet the challenges ahead
Table 17.05 market transformation proposals
What our Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
stakeholders
have told us
Lead the We will continue to lead the formation of GMaP framework, Commitment “I want you to
facilitation of including a steering group to prioritise a programme of works. facilitate delivery of
industry change Work with the industry to better understand the detail and impacts of Commitment a sustainable
within the gas the prioritised work programme and develop plans for potential energy system” –
sector implementation. supporting and
We will continue to comply with our obligation to provide code Commitment delivering market
administration for the gas market subject to the outcome of the changes and
Energy Code Review. solutions will
We will continue to lead a review of gas transmission access Commitment continue to deliver
arrangements in Transmission Workgroup 705R, and will develop the future energy
appropriate modifications as required by that review group. system.
5. How will we deliver? net zero roadmap (in chapter 11), including what the
To ensure we can lead the development of the GMaP options are for hydrogen transportation in the NTS.
framework, deliver the regulatory and market changes
and provide code administration for the gas market, we 2. Our activities and current performance
need to invest in our capability. We have put resource Track record
into our business plan to undertake this. It is reflected in During RIIO-1 and in preparation for RIIO-2, we have
cost line ’gas system operator activities’. engaged more in discussions about decarbonisation of
the gas industry, what the future of the energy system
The Gas Markets Plan (GMaP) is a programme for the may be and what challenges we should expect around
industry to collaboratively develop and agree a roadmap meeting these potential changes.
of market change activities. The programme aims to:
We speak regularly with the gas distribution and
be as inclusive as possible
electricity transmission networks and meet with
improve transparency and visibility of potential market regulators, collaborating to deliver benefits to customers
change and consumers. Below, we’ve listed some of the topics
create a stakeholder-led process for prioritising that we have worked on, and they are described in more
market change activities. detail in our whole energy system engagement log annex
This will ensure market frameworks continue to provide A17.01.
the consumer with the greatest possible value Future of Gas (FOG)89
throughout the energy transformation. A ‘Future of Gas’
Gas Future Operability Planning (GFOP)90
forum will take place twice a year, bringing the industry
Energy Networks Association (ENA) Gas Futures
together to share knowledge and input into the two to
Group (GFG)
ten-year change plan.
Hydrogen Programme Development Group (HPDG)
A Future of Gas steering group has been formed,
including a variety of stakeholders. The group will agree At round-table events, we’ve talked with industry partners,
which projects should be progressed over the coming promoting how we can work together to enable whole
year, monitor and steer ongoing GMaP projects and set energy system outcomes for consumers and exploring
the strategic direction. More information is available on ideas about decarbonising heat, transport and industry.
our website88. Senior representatives from Ofgem, BEIS, networks,
innovators and other energy industry experts joined us for
Through the Joint Office of Gas Transporters, we will these events. Through the ENA working groups, we’ve
continue to comply with our obligation (with the also contributed to various initiatives from innovation
distribution networks) to provide code administration for projects to the Future Gas Pathways.
the gas market.
One of the key areas that stakeholders have said we
should focus on is the decarbonisation of heat. Through
Decarbonisation the ENA, and alongside the GDNs, a piece of work from
1. What is this sub-topic about? consultancy firm Navigant was commissioned, looking at
This focus area is about actively working with the industry the potential pathways for enabling a net zero gas
to decarbonise and enable whole system solutions network. The results of which were published recently at
through cross-sector collaboration. We highlight our an ENA launch event91.
commitments in investigating the options for
decarbonisation and how this contributes to delivering our
88 91
http://futureofgas.uk/news/the-future-of-gas-2/ http://www.energynetworks.org/gas/futures/gas-decarbonisation-
89
http://futureofgas.uk/news/the-future-of-gas-2/ pathways/pathways-to-net zero-report.htm l
90
https://www.nationalgridgas.com/insight-and-innovation/gas-future-
operability-planning-gfop
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I want you to facilitate the whole energy system of the future - innovating to meet the challenges ahead
Innovation in RIIO-1 Following changes to external drivers, we undertook a
Through the ENA Gas Innovation Governance group review and decided that it was not in consumers’ interests
we’ve been able to get involved in more collaborative to proceed now. We will review the need for this and
projects with GDNs and third parties, and to share other similar works each year. We will also ensure these
learning between each other. We are involved in several processes are embedded into our future ways of working.
innovation projects looking at the transportation of We have also engaged with NGN on our whole system
hydrogen as a means to ‘greener gas’ – it’s a cleaner fuel works and more details on this can be found in a joint
that can help to decarbonise heat. The table below annex A17.06
summarises some of the projects we have undertaken
during RIIO-1. These projects have helped inform our Additionally, through forums such as the Gas
workplan on hydrogen for RIIO-2. Transmission Benchmarking Initiative (GTBI), we will
Table 17.06 innovation in RIIO-1 increase our understanding of how other European TSOs
Example Description are tackling decarbonisation. We will bring ideas over
The project assessed the feasibility of a from our colleagues in our US business where possible.
hydrogen transmission system using the
existing assets. The work was a desk based 3. What have stakeholders told us?
Feasibility of approach undertaken by the health and We have clarified what we will lead, collaborate and
hydrogen safety laboratory (HSL). The results have facilitate on. We tested our proposals on a webinar with
ready NTS indicated that re-purposing of the NTS to
(HyNTS)92 transport hydrogen is technically feasible,
~30 stakeholders, ranging from GDNs to industry trade
from a materials perspective, pending the bodies and regulators, on 2 September 2019. Below is a
outcome of the further work. This has fed into summary of results:
our workplan for RIIO-2. Do you agree with our view of what we are leading,
A physical trial of hydrogen in an offline test collaborating/facilitating on? Yes – 65%; Somewhat
loop using representative grade steel pipeline –24%; No – 1%.
Flow Loop to the NTS. Learning from this project will Do our proposals meet your needs? Yes – 50%;
help in the evidence case for transporting Somewhat–50%.
hydrogen in the network.
A joint project with SGN looking at a
Aberdeen feasibility study into 2% hydrogen blending at Table 17.07 decarbonisation stakeholder engagement
Vision93: St Fergus and H2 pipeline and hub at Engagement Decarbonisation
Aberdeen. This work will continue into RIIO-2. topic
A joint project with SGN and Cadent Stakeholder Networks, customers, think-tanks and
undertaking a feasibility study to explore the segments industry bodies, regulators, major
Isle of Grain’s potential to act as a catalyst for engaged energy users, consumers.
Project hydrogen production and storage, to supply Objective Understand what our stakeholders
Cavendish94: hydrogen to London and the South East of expect us to undertake during RIIO-2 to
England. Early results from this are positive enable the energy transition.
and the next stages of trials will be
undertaken in RIIO-2. Channel/method Workshops (including one hosted jointly
with the GDNs), webinars and online
consultation with major energy users
Learning for RIIO-2 and consumer research.
Throughout RIIO-1, we have shown we consider whole Key messages 1.Support the need for networks and
system approaches when assessing options. One industry to work more collaboratively
example of this in RIIO-1 is with SGN, on options to across sectors, develop regulatory
continue to meet our Scotland 1 in 20 winter demand framework mechanisms and influence
obligations. As described in more detail in our gas ten government policy as part of the cost-
effective transition to a low carbon
year statement95 (GTYS), we have taken these steps to
energy future.
arrive at the best option to meet our obligation: 2. Stakeholders would be interested in
SGN assessed the impact and confirmed options on its us playing a stronger role in driving the
network debate over the future of the UK system.
we explored options on our network and combined They recognise that networks are in a
these with SGN’s options unique position to drive the
we completed cost benefit analysis (CBA) for all options decarbonisation agenda forward. This
led us to organise round-table
we identified preferred options and agreed the timing of discussions with industry, networks,
investment. regulators and policy makers on
discussing the challenges and next
This whole system approach highlighted that the best steps to facilitate the energy transition.
option is for works on our network, because this will
provide the most benefit to customers and consumers.
92 95
https://www.smarternetworks.org/project/nia_nggt0139 https://www.nationalgridgas.com/insight-and-innovation/gas-ten-year-
93
http://www.smarternetworks.org/project/nia_sgn0134 statement-gtys
94
http://www.smarternetworks.org/project/nia_nggt0143
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3. Decarbonisation of heat is an area of 4. Our proposals for RIIO-2
particular challenge and we should Stakeholders have said they expect us to take a leading
support it.96 role in driving and delivering the future energy system.
Trade-offs and We have worked with stakeholders to
Stakeholders also expect us to continue to work more
stakeholder understand and test what we should be
influence on the leading, collaborating on during RIIO-2.
collaboratively with industry and regulators to develop
plan We have provided more information on regulatory framework mechanisms and to influence
the specifics which stakeholders have government policy as part of the cost-effective transition
requested. to a net zero future.97 The Committee on Climate Change
SUG and We have been challenged to be clear on (CCC) and the government, in turn, have said that GB plc
Challenge our role in decarbonisation, in particular should commit to achieving net zero by 2050. We have
Group feedback with what we are leading on, which we already explained in chapter 11 our view of the potential
have continually improved in all pathway to net zero and what this means for our plan.
iterations of our plan. Our proposals reflect what we are planning to do to
For more information on our engagement see annex enable the decarbonisation of heat.
A17.01.
Achieving net zero will require extensive collaboration the widespread conversion to hydrogen and is a viable
across the whole system to identify, scale and deploy the pathway to decarbonisation of heat.
right solutions for consumers for electricity, transport,
heat and industry. We will lead the following workstreams as part of the
HPDG:
Through the Hydrogen Programme Development Group Developing market services for system operation and
(HPDG), we are developing a forward workplan for developing the future system operator – this will identify
hydrogen projects with the ambition of agreeing this in the the modifications of existing and creation of new market
early 2020. This forum includes members from BEIS (who regimes and the timelines to achieve this for the system
Chair the group), Cadent, Wales & West Utilities, operation of a hydrogen network by April 2024.
Northern Gas Networks, Ofgem, Energy Networks Using the NTS for hydrogen transportation – this will
Association (ENA), National Grid, the Institution of Gas identify any physical modifications needed, including
Engineers and Managers (IGEM), Health and Safety NTS operational practices, blending and de-blending
Executive (HSE) and Heating and Hotwater Industry options for a hydrogen transmission through the NTS by
Council (HHIC). The main aim of the workplan is to April 2024. Including a hydrogen trial from 2025.
provide evidence that the gas network is able to support
96 97
“While half of electricity generation is fuelled by gas, there is a “We support National Grid Gas’s proposal to have a greater
huge interaction. The choice between gas and electric heating for the coordination and facilitation role in the industry and across sectors”
future will be interesting.” ENA workshop xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx consumer body
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Through our work, we will be ready to start conversion to to hydrogen from both an asset and a regulatory and
hydrogen by 2026. Our initial work has shown this is market side. Below is a draft timeline of our works. As the
technically feasible and we will be identifying the pace of work on decarbonising industry increases, we will
modifications and market changes required and look to adapt our plans and timescales accordingly. We
undertaking trials during RIIO-2. will also support other workstreams that are being led by
Our projects don’t just focus on the asset elements but the GDN’s and other stakeholders. The outputs of these
also on the market elements, as we see it is important projects will help with meeting the deliverables of BEIS
that all stakeholders understand the scale of the transition heat strategy roadmap that is due to be published in
summer 2020.
As well as playing our role on hydrogen, we believe we internal processes to reflect this as well as developing
should also collaborate on other potential solutions, further processes through ENA working groups.
especially for heat but also for industry, transport and We will collaborate to find and enable the best whole
electricity. Examples could include (but aren’t limited to) systems solutions working across all sectors and vectors.
other heat pathways, biogas and industrial cluster For example, whole system costs will be reduced at
decarbonisation. Cadent’s Blackrod site to improve security of supply for
xxxxxxxxxxx consumers and this improvement has been
We are committed to ensuring whole system solutions are achieved through collaboration, with Cadent, at the
considered where possible and we understand that all Blackrod DN offtake. We will deliver this solution in RIIO-
networks are in a position where we should be working 2 and it is covered in more detail in chapter 14.
together to drive options forward. We will build on the
work done through the ENA whole system working group. We have also been working with industry stakeholders
The workgroup is exploring three main workstreams: including BEIS and the Committee for Climate Change to
Collaboration between network companies across develop a strategy for clean heat. We have worked with
gas/electricity and transmission/distribution. BEIS to understand their approach and identify which
Principles for a whole energy system CBA areas should be explored in greater depth. We have
methodology for investment across energy vectors. identified the areas where we can add most value
Opportunities to embed the principles of the Energy collaborating with the ESO, which will primarily focus
Data Taskforce. We will continue to collaborate with on how the decarbonisation of heat impacts on whole
partners and stakeholders as the industry drives system operability issues.
ahead with the Energy Data Taskforce’s
recommendations on digitalisation and data 5. How will we deliver?
transparency. To deliver our work on decarbonisation, we need to
ensure we have the right capability to undertake this
We will ensure that there is a clear process in place for work. Our work on delivering our hydrogen projects will
ensuring whole system solutions are considered in our require funding to be available. We envisage that BEIS
investment decisions. This will include updating our would provide a source of funding. Additionally, we feel
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some of the projects, such as feasibility studies, could be of collaborators, working with a wider range of third-
delivered through the Network Innovation Allowance parties with expertise in many technical fields. We have
(NIA), while some of the larger projects could use the new also worked more closely with the other gas and
strategic energy transition fund that Ofgem has proposed. electricity networks to co-ordinate innovation portfolios for
We would also seek to look at alternative external funding maximum benefit to consumers. We have provided value
to progress some of these projects. of £4 for every £1 we invested in implemented
innovation99. We have run innovation calls and attended
Net zero UM events to talk to third parties and help them understand
We believe in a regulatory framework that enables and the opportunities for innovation and how they could get
incentivises networks to collaborate and work together involved. Figure 17.10 summarises our activities, spend,
and make changes easily when policy decisions are and the benefits during RIIO-1 so far. Project CLoCC
made98. These plans may have to be adapted as there is (Customer Low Cost Connections) is an example of how
still uncertainty about how to decarbonise the energy we have innovated to respond to stakeholder needs.
landscape. We are proposing a reopener uncertainty Stakeholders told us that our costs and timescales can be
mechanism for net zero to ensure we can respond quickly a blocker to connecting to our network, particularly for
to work towards net zero goals. We propose a materiality smaller, non-traditional gas producers and consumers. In
threshold of 1% with a trigger in year 2 of the price response, we initiated this National Innovation
control. The reopener would be applicable across multiple Competition (NIC) project collaborating with three small
areas, from emissions reduction to large-scale projects on and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The project
hydrogen. For example, this mechanism could be used concluded in 2018, having met its goals of enabling SMEs
for the next steps of Project Cavendish, where there to connect for less than £1m and in less than 12 months
could be a potential for a new NTS hydrogen pipeline to from initial enquiry to ‘gas on’. Read more in chapter 19.
be built from Isle of Grain to Shorne, linking in with SGN
proposal of a new hydrogen distribution pipeline from In RIIO-1, our annual NIA was 0.7 per cent base revenue,
Shorne to Dartford. For further details on our UM resulting in an allowance ranging from £4.3m to £5.5m
proposal, please see annex A3.02. per annum. The allowance is reset at the start of each
financial year, which means unused allowance in a given
Whole system UM year does not roll over to the following year. Our strategy
We will look to work with Ofgem and stakeholders to has been focused on identifying innovation ideas that
develop the whole system re-opener ‘coordinated could develop into projects that deliver value to our
adjustment mechanism’. This will be used to support the customer and satisfy a business need. Our utilisation of
reallocation of project revenues to networks best placed the allowance has not been 100 per cent, however
to deliver these whole system projects. innovation spend year-on-year has increased
demonstrating how our capabilities have developed.
Innovation Figure 17.10 RIIO-1 innovation summary
1. What is this sub-topic about?
Innovation is integral to our business. Innovation has
continued to develop and embed into our organisation
across RIIO-1, and we intend this to continue during
RIIO-2. In this sub-topic, we highlight our strategy for and
bring together how innovation is embedded across our
whole business plan. Innovation has been incorporated
in each chapter, highlighting RIIO-1 innovation and what
we are doing in RIIO-2. Our board have signed on to our
RIIO-2 innovation strategy through an innovation charter
which commits the board to:
the ambition and approach of our RIIO-2 business plan
responsibility for setting a baseline and a five year
measurable target for increasing the innovative culture
of the organisation
an annual deep dive of progress against target, forward
innovation workplan, tracking of innovation benefits,
and embedding lessons learned.
98 99
“It is therefore vital that the business plan is flexible enough to be able https://www.nationalgridgas.com/insight-and-innovation/transmission-
to accommodate these developments in a customer-friendly manner – innovation/delivering-value-innovation
both for those obtaining grid connections and for users of the gas “
xxxxxxxxxx industry body
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key. Innovation can unlock the potential and allow us to
maximise the opportunities in everything we do. Benefits measurement framework
Embedding a cultural change such as innovation does not The gas and electricity networks have agreed to detail a
have a defined period. The efforts we have made over common way forward for benefits reporting. We will use
RIIO-1 to date have clearly begun to embed innovation the benefits measurement framework developed by
into our core culture but there is still some way to go. We Baringa as a starting point and develop it further to
have implemented clearer processes and lines of ensure it meets the needs of stakeholders. We’re also
accountability to empower our teams and develop a considering how to summarise UK-wide benefits from
diverse portfolio of projects with third-parties of all sizes innovation. For more details of this framework, please see
and in many geographical locations. We have also page 19 of annex A17.03.
recently held a joint event with the GDNs, independently
facilitated by ‘Workplace Innovation’, on how we innovate. 3. What have stakeholders told us?
This specifically looked at four themes; emotional
Table 17.11 innovation stakeholder engagement
intelligence, making change happen, engaging to Engagement Innovation
innovate and disrupting the future. The outputs of these topic
sessions will be used to shape how we innovate in the Stakeholder Supply chain, shippers, academics,
future. segments customers, industry trade bodies, networks,
engaged think-tanks and consumers.
Learning for RIIO-2 Objective Understand what and how we should be
Due to the nature of innovation, projects have not always innovating during RIIO-2.
been successful. But when they aren’t, we take learning Channel/ Conferences, seminars, workshops, 1-2-1
from it and update our processes and organisational method meetings and consumer research.
structures to make sure we can innovate more Key Networks should be looking to provide
successfully in future. There is opportunity for a more messages information to policy-makers through
innovation projects or horizon-scanning,
coordinated and focused effort on innovation across our
decarbonisation of heat is an area of
organisation. In RIIO-2, we will collaborate internally with: challenge that we should be supporting.
National Grid Electricity Transmission – focusing on Trade-offs We have worked with stakeholders on ‘how’
innovating to overcome the challenges and exploit the and we innovate and this information is feeding
opportunities for the whole energy system. stakeholder into our RIIO-2 strategy and our innovation
National Grid US – sharing knowledge and influence on culture.
experiences and focusing on best practice across the the plan
organisation, whilst exploiting opportunities to SUG and The NGG board has signed up to an
collaborate with US utilities. Challenge innovation charter which address how
Group throughout our organisation we are
National Grid Partners (NGP) – disrupting our ways of feedback approaching innovation, following direct SUG
working seeking the most cutting edge and feedback.
challenging innovations that have the potential for More detailed information is available in annex A17.03.
game-changing impact across our organisation.
The criteria for an innovation project to be funded via either BAU or allowance funding is outlined below:
BAU Totex funding: higher technology readiness level (TRL), lower risk, benefit within RIIO-2 and greater
certainty of success.
Allowance funding (NIA): lower TRL, high risk, benefit beyond RIIO-2, less certainty of success,
collaborative large-scale projects and decarbonised energy system.
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Figure 17.13 our innovation ambition
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Figure 17.14 our innovation themes
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I want you to facilitate the whole energy system of the future - innovating to meet the challenges ahead
5. How will we deliver? provider (CDSP). They deliver a full suite of vital services
In our approach for RIIO-2, we are expecting that more to gas suppliers, shippers and transporters.
innovation will be undertaken as business as usual
(BAU). We are not asking for any additional innovation Our services must reflect emerging market rules and
stimulus funds for this area, as this will be funded entirely requirements. Our ability to update our systems and
through our baseline totex allowance. Benefits will be services to adapt to the changing energy landscape is
derived through the totex incentive mechanism which critical in delivering what stakeholders need from us. How
shares benefits with consumers. We are committing that we deliver these changes is particularly important for
we will provide a value of £4 for every £1 we invest in stakeholders, as any changes can affect their connected
implemented innovation during the RIIO-2 period. systems and processes. The lifespan of our systems are
However, there will still be a requirement for an dependent upon vendors’ support policies. The average
innovation incentive allowance (NIA) to deliver the higher lifespan is five to seven years, at which point we need
risk energy transition projects; for example, innovation for to plan to refresh or replace the system. This means a
the transition to a net zero future. We are proposing that decision before each price control period has to be made
we would require £30.9m of NIA funding for the RIIO-2 on whether the system needs replacing or replatforming.
period. We believe that rules that are applied to it We build our plans (RIIO-1 and RIIO-2) on this basis and
currently should apply for RIIO-2. i.e. we propose that because RIIO-1 lasted eight years, we included two
10% of this is funded by us. investments in that period due to the lifespan of the
system.
The role of the RIIO-2 independent stakeholder user
group has been crucial to the development of our Learning for RIIO-2
business plans and has added significant value, in In our RIIO-1 business plan we said we’d re-platform
particular to the development of this strategy. As we Gemini at the beginning of the period, replace in the
progress into RIIO-2, we are committed to securing an middle and refresh at the end. Instead, we carried out the
independent panel to challenge our innovation ambition, re-platform forecast at the beginning of RIIO-1 and then a
performance and strategy. Discussions around the role of more substantial re-platform at the end of RIIO-1 without
the independent stakeholder user group are ongoing. replacing the system in the middle.
Once the role and outcome are confirmed we will seek to
engage with this group or establish an offshoot panel with We chose this option because:
key representatives. The volume of regulatory change that would drive the
need to replace Gemini did not materialise. In RIIO-1
Systems our strategy was to manage the change process to
1. What is this sub-topic about? ensure implementation was at minimum cost (and
This subtopic is about how we are developing the required minimum system change). The fact that we
systems our customers need to flow gas, and about how didn’t have to replace the system demonstrates that
we unlock consumer value through enhancing our IT we were effective at executing this strategy.
systems. A re-platform for the Gemini system was enough to
maintain support of the system and there were no
2. Our activities and current performance other technical reasons to replace and was endorsed
Balancing capacity services and systems - track by stakeholders at the Gas Operational Forum.100
record Re-platform rather than replacement has the extra
Shippers are required to book space (known as ‘capacity’) benefit that our options for replacement are kept open
on the network so they can flow gas. We also need them for longer, ensuring the solution is as future-proof as
to tell us when and where they are going to flow the gas, possible.
so we can balance the network safely. The balancing and Our stakeholders and Ofgem expect us to explore the
capacity processes and services we provide are our main most cost-effective approach. We have again applied
interface with shippers, and they are at the core of how this approach to our proposal for RIIO-2.
the gas industry operates. They support the efficient
functioning of the gas market by allowing market Additionally, one of the fundamental principles of the RIIO
participants to balance their portfolio daily and manage regime is the totex incentive mechanism (TIM). It
their capacity bookings up to 17 years ahead, making incentivises us to ensure we make the right decisions in
informed commercial decisions as well as enabling the the best interests of consumers. Through this mechanism,
efficient physical operation of the network. during RIIO-1 we have shared the outperformance we
achieved with our consumers.
Gemini is the main system we use to communicate
commercial information to/from shippers. Gemini is a
system owned by us but managed and operated on our
behalf by Xoserve, the gas industry’s central data service
100
https://www.nationalgridgas.com/sites/gas/files/documents/Gas%20O
ps%20Forum%20full%20pack%20%20-%20Febuary%20%202018.pdf
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3. What have stakeholders told us?
Table 17.15 balancing capacity services and systems We have talked in detail about the current capacity and
engagement balancing services and system as well as about users’
Engagement Balancing capacity services and requirements for their provision in the future. We’ve asked
topic systems stakeholders how useful the current capacity and
Stakeholder Shippers, customers, supply chain. balancing services are and what their functional and non-
segments functional requirements are for a future capacity and
engaged balancing system.
Objective We have talked in detail about the current
capacity and balancing services and We targeted specific groups of stakeholders based on
system as well as about users’
their level of interest/impact and influence on this topic,
requirements for their provision in the
future. We asked how useful the current and we reached them through several channels including
capacity and balancing services are and a specific workshop, webinars, one-to-one meetings,
also what their functional and non- attending industry forums and surveys.
functional requirements are for a future
capacity and balancing system. More recently, we shared our updated proposals for
Channel/method Workshops, webinars, 1-2-1 meetings, Gemini at the operational gas forum. Out of the 20
industry forums, surveys. attendees, 10 completed the survey, out of this 6 stated
Key messages Do the basics well, make it easier for their preferred option was the ‘enhanced solution’ and 2
stakeholders through greater automation said their preferred option was ‘re-write with commercial
and increased reporting functionality
off-the-shelf products’. Two other attendees highlighted
whilst minimising the impact of change.
Trade-offs and We have worked with stakeholders to
‘re-write with bespoke application’ as their preference.
stakeholder understand their requirements to help us For more details about this, please see the engagement
influence on the determine if what was most economical log in annex A17.02.
plan for consumers, is either replacement or
re-platforming.
SUG and Challenge on what could be required
challenge group during RIIO-3. We have stated in both the
feedback next section and in annex A17.04 the
potential future options for RIIO-3.
The current Gemini system will become unsupported in Because cost isn’t the only deciding factor, we’ve
2025. Coupled with this is the need to have a system developed a series of metrics to assess the quantifiable
which is agile in response to industry change and can and non-quantifiable benefits of each option, and these
also respond to feedback received from stakeholders are described in detail in the justification paper annex
throughout this RIIO-2 business planning process. To A17.04. Briefly, these metrics are:
maintain supportability and deliver on stakeholders’ implementation costs
requirements, we have considered five options for service & performance risk
investment in RIIO-2. These options build in terms of the change delivery ease/cost
level of intervention, and therefore costs. The options user experience/interface
considered are: customer impact
1. sustain (invest in system to maintain current subsequent operating costs.
capability and functionality) (£13.6m)
2. hosting modernity (cloud-based hosting) (£19.6m) Following assessment against these metrics, the preferred
3. enhanced solution (invest to improve capability and option is the ‘enhanced solution’– option 3, which is
functionality to meet stakeholder needs) (£24m) £24m over the RIIO-2 period with a completion date of
4. re-write the application using commercial off-the- 2025. Although this is not the least cost option, it is
shelf products (£25m) believed this solution will give the greatest benefits to
5. re-write with bespoke application. (£37m). consumers as it will improve quality of service by
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delivering the enhancements that industry have identified, Additionally, we need to ensure our IT systems which
making shippers’ businesses more efficient which will support commercial and market processes facilitate the
ultimately lower consumer bills. The additional gas regulatory change to enable the decarbonisation
enhancements from delivering this option meet the pathways. As we have stated before we expect a
requirements of a better user experience, system significant amount of industry change that we will be
optimisation and making the application easier to change. expected to deliver and enable for our stakeholders. We
expect to have to do additional regulatory driven Gemini
This option would: system enhancements (~£14.9m). The balancing and
enable easier and faster delivery of change to the capacity processes and services which the Gemini system
application and reduce the run of the business costs supports are at the centre of the GB gas market. Additional
associated with the system there are some regulatory and market driven non-Gemini
improve the user interface changes that we anticipate will impact some of our other IT
provide better and more flexible access to the systems (~£11.0m). These include changes to support
underlying data information provision and operational processes which are
introduce process automation to reduce setup times for supported by MIPI and GCS respectively. This investment
auctions and other processes. covers delivery of changes to the system to reflect industry
For further details, see our EJP annex A17.04 and our change to these areas and more detail can be found in the
CBA annex A17.05. IT investment annex A20.03.
Native competition
Table 17.17 cost certainty Currently, the Gemini enhancement work will be
Cost undertaken through Xoserve. This is because it is the only
Cost forecast NARM or
realised company in the CDSP role. However, as we approach the
based on External Volume
from
RIIO-1
competitive Benchmark driven more detailed scoping of works101 we will try to ensure they
process PCD are the most efficient company to deliver our requirements.
actuals
Yes- Additionally, Xoserve’s costs already face a high degree of
sustain scrutiny through their annual business planning process
No No No and, ultimately, by the Xoserve Board.
element of
options 3),
5. How will we deliver?
The forecast costs for each option have been derived by The Gemini work will be delivered through an upfront
using historical project costs, this has included re- allowance. This will allow us to explore other options for
platforming costs incurred within RIIO-1, application their provision, ensuring that these services are efficient,
change costs (e.g. GB Charging Reforms) and previous fit for the future, and will benefit the industry and end
enhancements delivered. These costs have then been consumers.
scaled up or down depending on the level of intervention
required for the delivery of each option and efficiencies 6. Risks and uncertainty
applied where appropriate. Market estimates have also There are risks around the assumptions, primarily
been used to forecast costs of the Oracle upgrade and associated with the cost of implementing change. There
cloud migration. These costs have been validated with is the added possibility that customers may seek to
WIPRO, a leading global information technology, recharge costs to us to adapt their systems and
consulting and outsourcing company. processes if we are driving levels of change that are
beyond what they may have costed into their contracts.
The Gemini system requires a technical refresh every 5 We have detailed our risks and associated mitigations in
years to ensure that vendor support is maintained our EJP annex A17.04.
regardless of whether this is following a previous sustain
or system replacement. Therefore, even if either of the 2
replacement options were carried out in RIIO-2, the
system would require a further sustain in RIIO-3 (circa
2030). As outlined in the justification paper and
highlighted in the heat map, the “enhanced solution”
option provides the benefits of a supported system whilst
meeting stakeholders needs in the most cost efficient
way. At this stage, there are no signals (e.g. stakeholder
requirements, industry change) that require a replacement
system to deliver additional capability in RIIO-2. More
information on this is included in annex A17.04.
101
This has not been done before the December business plan
submission.
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The total RIIO-2 spend for this area is £39.5m. This is £7.9m annually (compared to £8.1m annually in RIIO-1) and
around 1% of our total business plan. The decrease is caused by a reduction in our Xoserve costs relating to the
balancing and capacity system which is partly offset by an increase in investment in IT systems.
Figure 18.01 RIIO-1 and RIIO-2 spend profile ‘I want all the information I need…’
RIIO costs
£12
£10
£8
£m
£6
£4
£2
£0
Reporting year
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1. What is this stakeholder priority about? our information provides transparency about what we do
This priority is about ensuring we provide the right kinds and why, in terms of our investment decisions,
of information to the wider industry to meet its needs. It’s operational decisions and performance. The following
also about how we communicate with all our stakeholders table lists the specific information that allows us to
and provide transparency about our decision-making. provide transparency in these areas.
Clear information enables stakeholders to operate their Table 18.03 our information
businesses efficiently and effectively. The information we Activity Obligated information Discretionary
share allows market participants to make informed information
decisions. This might be about the investments they Long term Gas Ten Year Statement Gas Future
make, how they trade in the market or how they run their (>10 years) (GTYS) Operability
plant and equipment. Our data and insights provide value Future Energy Scenarios Planning
for consumers by ensuring that the gas market runs (GFOP)
Medium term Summer/Winter Outlook Collaboration
smoothly. Our information also promotes competition in
(one Winter Consultation platform
the wholesale market. Being transparent about decisions year/within Maintenance plans
enables stakeholders to understand how we might act year) Maintenance notices
when similar events occur in future and how they can Capacity auctions
optimise their own operations. In short, information is Charging tariffs
crucial to the efficient operation of the gas industry, which Operational forums
ultimately affects consumer bills. Liaison meetings
Distribution network forums
2. Our activities and current performance Short term (a REMIT information
Our key activities associated with the information few days MIPI information
ahead/on-the- PDWS information
provision priority are summarised in figure 18.02 below. day)
Much of the activity undertaken to operate the network is Post-event Incentives reporting Collaboration
published as information for the industry. (after the day) MIPI information site (day in
Winter Review document brief)
We provide information that covers a broad range of Charging and billing
areas and timescales. We publish documents such as the
System Management Principles Statement and related Track record in RIIO-1
procurement guidelines to set upfront expectations of how During RIIO-1, we have focused our efforts on being
we will operate the system. Long-term insights show how more proactive about the information we provide because
the network could evolve in future and how we plan for we recognise that it has an important part to play in
that. They also provide transparency about the enabling society’s transition to a low-carbon future and
investment decisions we are making. We provide guides the shift to a ‘whole energy system’ approach.
and support for activities such as the connection and Stakeholders can see this in the changes made to the
capacity reservation process. We do this so that GTYS during RIIO-1 because it now shows our decision-
stakeholders know what to expect from us as they go making processes. It captures the thinking behind the
through these processes. choices we make as we move towards a low-carbon
Figure 18.02 our information timelines energy future.
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I want all the information I need to run my business, and to understand what you do and why
identify gaps and make recommendations for how data provide an explicit link to consumer value. More than
can be used more effectively in the energy system. ever before, customers are sharing why they need the
data they ask for, which will become more important as
Innovation in RIIO-1 we progress through RIIO-2. This insight has been
During RIIO-1, we launched the Gas Operational Data used to inform our RIIO-2 proposals.
Community103 to create effective communications
channels with our stakeholders. Taking inspiration from 3. What have stakeholders told us?
outside the energy industry, we are utilising discussion Stakeholders value the information we provide, they see
boards and a voting system to inform any improvements the data we supply as crucial in managing their
to information provision we make. To date, more than commercial processes. More information is available in
250 customers have registered on the innovative and our engagement log in annex A18.01.
agile collaboration platform. The insights we’ve gathered
4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will benefit consumers
Table 18.05 our proposals
What our Commitment Output Type Consumer benefit
stakeholders
have told us
Provide more Quality of demand forecast incentive schemes (day ahead ODI Current Our information and
consistency and 2-5 day schemes). Retain incentives schemes to drive proposed cap: insights provide
and accuracy forecast accuracy. Make incentive tougher to achieve against £8.0m / collar £2.5m value for consumers
of data. by reducing the performance gradient, recognising that per year by ensuring that the
demand forecasting is becoming increasingly challenging. Target: D-1: ~8.5 gas market runs
mcm/d , D-2 to D-5: smoothly.
13.7 mcm/d
Implement system changes to detect and resolve data Commitment It also promotes
inaccuracies and ensure timeliness of our data delivery. competition in the
Revolutionise data publication mechanisms to significantly wholesale market –
increase the availability and resilience of our systems. allowing participants
Provide more Investing in our people and IT systems, taking advantage of Commitment to plan, prepare and
information, technology to develop new capabilities allowing us to share operate effectively.
faster access information in better ways, see more in annex A14.25.
to it and an Commit to establishing a transparent governance structure, Better
easy way to agreed with the industry, to include and publish new data items understanding of
ask for new with greater speed and flexibility than ever before. role we play, giving
kinds of Provide system flexibility to enable changes to our data a clearer link
information. publication mechanisms are quicker and at a lower cost. between consumer
bill and our
Transparency Be more transparent than ever by continuing to provide Commitment
contribution to it and
is key. regulatory reporting, continuing to update our business plan
the service we
with stakeholders (see chapter 10), retaining the independent
provide.
stakeholder user group and ensuring our leadership team’s
remuneration is clearly aligned with delivering outputs for
stakeholders.
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I want all the information I need to run my business, and to understand what you do and why
We recognise that we should be held to account to deliver We will continue with our enhanced stakeholder
on our commitments. We will achieve this in two ways; engagement programme indefinitely outside of the price
firstly, through establishing a transparent governance control preparation process, keeping up conversations
structure, agreed with the industry. Secondly, the specific about our long-term plans even when there is no
IT projects that support this priority will be reported on regulatory need to do so. This should improve the outputs
through the RIIO-2 regulatory reporting. we deliver for all stakeholders and reduce the costs of
delivery as resources become more focused on what
Our aim is to have a customer-focused, data-centric people tell us they want.
approach, not just meeting our obligations on data
provision but also enabling transparency that promotes Our proposal to retain the independent stakeholder
efficiencies in the wholesale market. We have made user group (SUG)
significant strides to achieving this during RIIO-1 and will An enduring role for the SUG in RIIO-2 will add significant
continue our efforts through RIIO-2. value to National Grid, our customers and consumers. An
Customers say the information we provide is important effective SUG will therefore be an important, integrated
and there’s an ever-growing list of improvements they part of our broader stakeholder engagement programme;
would like to see, focusing both on the data itself and on increasing confidence across RIIO-2, improving
how they can access it: transparency of our performance and challenging our
We will be transparent in what we do, enabling decision-making. The challenge and scrutiny provided by
competition and fostering innovation by sharing our data the SUG ensures a more systematic and strategic
openly wherever possible. We will put an emphasis on approach to stakeholder engagement and that
collaborating and sharing data with network companies stakeholder feedback is actioned in the most effective
to build a whole system view. way, with the findings used to directly inform business
We will move towards providing open, automated, and decisions. As well as making our activities more effective
machine-readable data wherever possible. Our data will and cost efficient, the group will help generate systematic
be presumed open, with access only ever being insight (‘data’) which will be an early indicator of changes,
restricted to mitigate security, privacy, legal or which will enable us to be more dynamic in response.
consumer impact risks. This is particularly pertinent to the energy transition and
We will champion open data-sharing and governance will be valuable in areas such as innovation and
across the energy industry. Data access improves decarbonisation. Read more on the enduring role of the
market efficiency and creates the conditions for SUG and our enduring engagement in chapter 10.
innovation across industry, leading to lower consumer
bills and more benefits to society. Ensuring our people are aligned and committed to
delivering the right outcomes
Transparency of our performance We believe that our people play a vital role in delivering
Regulatory reporting the commitments set out in our business plan. Our annual
To make our performance transparent we publish annual bonus plans incentivise the delivery of both financial,
information on our outputs and spend against our strategic and operational measures (such as customer,
allowances. This information can be complicated, but we network delivery, environment, safety and people
will make it easy to understand what we have delivered measures) and the demonstration of our leadership
for consumers and how our financial returns clearly link to qualities and living our values; measures are subject to
what we delivered. A key element of providing change to ensure we reflect the right focus on our
transparency on our performance is having targets for the priorities. This ensures a clear line of sight between
service levels we will provide. In our annual RIIO-1 individual performance and contribution and delivery of
performance report, we explain each year how well we our business strategy and key objectives, which overall
have performed against our outputs. We will continue to will provide value for our customers and investors. The
do this throughout RIIO-2. We are exploring how we tailor current annual bonus scheme comprises of two elements;
our reporting to meet our stakeholders’ needs and clearly the first is has five components, bonus will be based
and simply set out what stakeholders want to know. We on reducing costs (12%), RIIO-1 network output
will continue to engage with them on how to improve our measures (12%), safety (12%), customer satisfaction
annual performance report and adapt it to their changing (12%) and employee enablement (12%). The second
needs. element relates to personal objectives (40%) that are
aligned to priorities of the year; for example, this year we
Updating our business plan with stakeholders are focusing on delivering our customer experience
Stakeholders told us that the opportunity to help shape transformation, our operational and
updates to our annual business plan is something they financial commitments. We will continue with this
expect. They want this to be a genuine two-way framework into RIIO-2 as this allows us to focus on what
engagement process, although they would also find it is important to our stakeholders and will drive the greatest
useful to have regular updates from us about what we’re benefit for consumers. Similarly, our long-term incentive
doing and how we’re performing. Adopting a more plans also include key performance measures taking
externally-focused approach will increase transparency account of our financial, strategic and operational
and ensure we deliver what is important for all priorities. To reinforce the long-term nature of this
stakeholders. incentives, awards are made in shares after a three-year
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I want all the information I need to run my business, and to understand what you do and why
period. Both our short-term and long-term incentive plans and systems than we can absorb through more efficient
are subject to clawback. processes. External uncertainty also exists about the
potential impact on our systems and processes of
5. How will we deliver? changes that become necessary because of uniform
Our IT systems underpin the information we provide and network code evolution. We propose that allowances for
how we share it with stakeholders. During RIIO-2, we will these activities be fixed upfront. On an annual basis,
invest to maintain our systems to ensure they’re reliable utilising the community collaboration platform to engage
and enhance our capabilities to provide more information with stakeholders, we will prioritise the developments that
and different ways to access and use it. To meet these we will pursue over the coming year. Through this
needs, we plan to invest in the following capabilities: approach we will be transparent about the benefits of
digital experience channel and engagement developments and limits of our capacity to implement
insights and innovation. changes in our information provision.
We will continue to support the gas operational data
community and maintain an industry engagement 7. Our proposed costs for RIIO-2
platform to understand what customers want, and to The calculation and invoicing of customers’ energy
ensure we have open conversations about how to balancing, capacity and commodity charges are delivered
prioritise their needs. We will continue to collaborate with by Xoserve either directly or through automated
stakeholders as the industry drives ahead with the Energy processes via the Gemini system. These costs are
Data Task Force’s recommendations of digitalisation and funded 100% in full by us. Capital investments in new
data transparency. We expect to deliver more for our systems are included in chapter 17. Our direct operational
customers during RIIO-2 with broadly the same number costs remain consistent with RIIO-1. The demands of
of people. change will be largely offset by our continued focus on
efficiency. There are several capital investments in our IT
Innovation in RIIO-2 system that we expect to make during RIIO-2. Through
As we move towards a more decarbonised and digitised RIIO-1, we undertook a significant upgrade to our core
environment, it will be important to develop our tools and network control systems. To support resilience whilst
capabilities to deliver the information our customers want. these upgrades were made, investment in related
Table 18.06 RIIO-2 innovation systems was kept at a minimum. There is therefore
Theme Commentary technical debt in our information provision systems that
needs to be addressed through the investments required
Update our systems to collect and
Fit for the during RIIO-2. These investments can be split into asset
provide data to provide efficiencies and
future health-type upgrades to maintain our existing capabilities
improvements.
Ready for Use applications that can provide real and those that will support us in continuing to meet the
decarbonisation benefit to the us and others. needs of our customers and the wider industry, please
Improve existing forecasting tools to see IT annex A20.03.
Decarbonised
enable whole system demand Table 18.07 cost certainty
energy system
forecasting. Cost realised Cost forecast External NARM or
from RIIO-1 based on benchmark volume
6. Risk and uncertainty actuals competitive driven
Developing our information services together with process PCD
customers poses a risk. As customer expectations Yes, opex costs No Yes, IT No
benchmarked
continue to grow, we may need to invest more in people
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Figure 19.01 RIIO-1 and RIIO-2 spend profile ‘I want to connect to the transmission system’
RIIO costs
£8
£6
£m
£4
£2
£0
Reporting year
We will spend £3m per year (0.5 per cent of our RIIO-2 plan) of base revenue to run connections and capacity
processes, including customer service improvements, through enhanced digital tools. We will be investing in the
automation of parts of the connections process to boost efficiency, so more resources can be used to add value to
customer interactions.
We have received a planning and advanced reservation of capacity agreement (PARCA) application in South Wales at
the Milford Haven aggregated system entry point. If this scheme proceeds, we expect physical reinforcement of the
network will be necessary. Funding for this would be outside our base revenue and covered by an uncertainty
mechanism.
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National Grid | December 2019 National Grid Gas Transmission
Number of connection
storage sites. Four of the importation terminals provided
15
over 80% of total GB gas supply in 2017/18.
applications
10
As well as the physical connections, we manage the
5
processes customers use to reserve capacity which
enable them to flow gas onto or off the network. If there is 0
not enough existing network capability, load-related 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
reinforcement of the network may be necessary to
provide additional capacity. Sometimes we also divert Carried Over Received
parts of our network to make way for other national and
local infrastructure developments, for example road, rail Figure 19.03 capacity applications in RIIO-1
and housing developments. The costs are met by the Capacity
relevant developers. We also provide support to our
stakeholders by administering the processes to bring new 20
Number of capacity
industry participants into the market, so they can trade 15
applications
and/or bring gas into or out of GB.
10
2. Our activities and current performance 5
Track record
0
Our connections performance is a current RIIO-1 output
2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
measure monitored by Ofgem. We publish quarterly
reports about our connections performance on our Carried Over Received
website104. We have seen an increase in connection and
capacity application workload. This is driven by: Customer satisfaction
interest from new entrants with smaller flow rates, such We are incentivised to improve our customer and
as biogas and compressed natural gas connections stakeholder satisfaction (CSAT & SSAT). We have
customers modifying terms to maximise value from increased our CSAT score from 7.1 at the start of RIIO-1
existing sites or assets to 7.8 in 2018/19.
customers seeking to align gas connection and capacity Figure 19.04 CSAT and SSAT scores
reservations with electricity capacity market timelines
8.5
increased activity around disconnections and
decommissioning. 8
In response we have issued all customer offers on
time105. We have listened to what customers want and 7.5
innovated through our customer low cost connections
(CLoCC) project to make it easier for new types of 7
customer to connect to our network. 6.5
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Connections and capacity processes
Our connection obligations are set out in the Uniform CSAT score SSAT score
Network Code (UNC). It is the number and type of
connection and capacity applications we receive that We believe improvement in our scores is attributable to
drives our volume of work, rather than the volume of changes we have made during RIIO-1 to become more
connected supply or demand. The level of connection customer-focused. We are listening more intently than
activity is inherently uncertain and dependent on ever before to our customers’ needs (see customer
changing customer and energy market requirements. journey and customer satisfaction sections below).
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107 108
NPS is an index ranging from -100 to +100 that measures the https://www.parliament.uk/documents/post/postpn_383-carbon-
willingness of customers to recommend a company’s products or footprint-electricity-generation.pdf
109
services to others. http://projectclocc.com/
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4. Our proposals for RIIO-2 and how they will benefit consumers
Table 19.07 proposals
What our Commitment Output type Consumer benefit
stakeholders
have told us
Continue to Continue to improve our customer ODI - Current We support affordable energy bills by:
improve satisfaction in RIIO-2 measured by the proposed - providing a better service to new and
customer continued financial incentive. cap 0.5% existing customers, promoting a faster
service, facilitate We will do this through customer journey revenues/ route to market e.g. web portal
decarbonisation work and customer relationship management collar 0.5% - lower connection costs open up new
and the energy systems as we have done throughout RIIO-1 revenues locations where offtake connections were
system and embedding Project CLoCC. Target: 7.8/10 not previously seen as economically viable
transition and We will actively promote NTS connection - keeping costs down helps GB retain a
provide greater opportunities to new classes of customer buoyant energy-intensive industry sector,
visibility of including those developing low carbon in turn supporting employment for UK plc.
capacity for new solutions. We will improve our customer self- Our plan supports a sustainable lower carbon
connections. service capability and provide customers future because we make it easier for lower
with unified, timely and continuous access to carbon biogas to enter our system.
relevant information by continuing to invest in Embedding Project CLoCC could provide
the gas connections applications portal. a consumer value proposition (CVP) of
£33m. For more information on CVP8
please see annex A10.05.
Facilitate the Support the energy market liquidity by Licence Our connections service plays a vital part to
market and meeting timescales for connection and obligation ensure the cheapest sources of gas are
remove blockers capacity offers. available for GB consumers. We are part of a
global gas market. The effectiveness of our
Ofgem has decided to retain our existing processes has an impact upon the
RIIO-1 licence obligation relating to attractiveness of GB as a destination for the
connections – specifically to comply with the economic supply and consumption of gas.
connections process requirements of the We ensure diverse domestic and
UNC. international sources of gas can access our
network efficiently. Diversity contributes
positively to security of supply for consumers.
Optimise use of existing system by Commitment Our plan supports an affordable energy bill
substituting capacity where possible rather because where possible we provide capacity
than building new capacity. without building new assets. This keeps costs
down and avoids uncertainty about the
enduring value of new assets in future.
Deliver more capacity when underpinned by Uncertainty The UM approach avoids anticipatory
customer commitment, informed by robust mechanism - investment (which could give rise to stranded
options analysis and use of incremental Trigger: assets) while enabling a timely response to
capacity reopener. Case-by-case development of new capacity. The UM
basis, 1% approach and associated UNC rules seek to
baseline achieve the right balance between individual
revenue user commitment and socialisation of costs
threshold. across the generality of gas consumers.
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Customer satisfaction survey (CSAT) Our second key enabler for improved delivery is the
We propose to retain the customer satisfaction incentive implementation of our Customer Relationship
(which is wider than connections), using feedback Management (CRM) system. This system will underpin
gathered through the voice of the customer during the how we manage our customer connection process across
second half of RIIO-1 CSAT process. We shared this at its entire lifecycle. CRM is the most efficient and effective
two webinars and an operational forum. The results are way to manage customer data, our processes for
shown below: interacting with customers and our identification of
Favourable for this being a financial incentive: opportunities or issues. Following deployment in 2018
webinar 1 100% overall we’ve begun to digitise parts of that journey but, to ensure
webinar 2 80% customers, 89% all stakeholders. we can offer an end to end simple, tailored and flexible
Favourable for our proposed approach: service to customers, we will need to invest to bring more
webinar 1 100% overall aspects of our customer interactions into the CRM
webinar 2 80% customers, 88% all stakeholders. system’s remit.
For more information please see annex A3.03.
RIIO-2 competition
5. How will we deliver? We have considered Ofgem’s business planning
As the energy market decentralises, we have seen a guidance request to identify projects with a value over
surge in connection requests from smaller customers, £50m that are potentially suitable for early competition.
We identify the network reinforcement project to increase
many of whom are new to the sector with less knowledge
entry capacity at Milford Haven as a candidate that meets
of the gas system and the industry’s ways of working.
this threshold value. However, we “unflag” this project on
These new entrants expect easy to use digital tools to
help them connect to the network and existing customers the grounds that we do not think it is suitable for
are also coming to expect easy and instant access to contestability. This is because alternative, non-asset,
solutions have already been thoroughly considered and
information that helps them run their businesses.
ruled out in our assessment of the PARCA application.
We are uniquely qualified to perform this assessment due
IT systems
to our privileged access to information in our joint role as
The changes we are implementing because of Project
CLoCC are spearheading how we are being more TO and SO in GB. For late competition we have flagged it
responsive to all customer needs. Our new gas as it is over £100m. As the project is in early phases it is
too early to know if this would be suitable for late
connection application portal is now live and this will
competition. As the process progresses, we will work with
benefit all customers regardless of size and type.
Ofgem to determine if the project should be considered
Throughout RIIO-2, we will continue to invest in the
for late competition. For further detail see chapter 20.
portal, related internal systems and other aspects of our
website to improve our customer self-service capability
and provide customers with unified, timely and continuous Native competition
To discover the most efficient costs for large projects,
access to relevant information. We will invest in the IT
such as the Milford Haven capacity increase, we will
capability of digital experience, channels and
apply best practice competitive procurement processes.
engagement. New functionality110 introduced by these
tools makes us more efficient, cutting down paperwork, The specific timing and conduct of tender events will be
reducing administration and saving time. For example: determined on a case by case basis considering where
development consent order land use planning approval is
automatic generation of key files and standard contracts
required.
with customer data
three types of customer journey; standard connection
Customer choice “self-connect” competition
design, bespoke and PARCA
Some customers have told us they would like the
email notification to customers and NGGT employees opportunity to deliver their own local connection works,
about changes in application status rather than relying upon us to connect them to our
customers can self-serve downloading/uploading offers system. We are currently supporting a ‘self-connect’ trial
and acceptances and this will provide valuable learning about the changes
ability to raise and track invoices. in process, roles, responsibilities and commercial
110
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Please note we have provided costs to one decimal place and hence some columns may not equal to the totals. Pension
costs are based on proportion of total TOTEX.
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Delivering £11m per year (4 per cent) efficiency forecast on our baseline direct capital investments. This is
additional to the benefits of previous engineering and asset management innovations that are built into the forecast
costs of our business plan. To achieve the 4 per cent efficiency on our baseline direct capital investments we will
continue to innovate, benchmark, market test and use native competition throughout RIIO-2.
Overall the above deliver a £47m per year reduction in our RIIO-2 costs, which is an 8 per cent efficiency. Beyond
our own efficiency, we will work with Ofgem to identify where competition could be introduced to specific new, large and
separable investment projects.
This chapter demonstrates the value for money of the entire business plan. It also discusses costs not mapped separately
to other stakeholder priorities, including business support costs and non-controllable costs. We include a narrative on IT
costs, to provide a holistic overview of our IT strategy (with specific activities detailed within each stakeholder priority).
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111
Please see annex A12.01.
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Consumers care about keeping their energy bill The study presented consumers with our business plan to
affordable. They see energy networks as dependable. confirm if it delivered what consumers need from the gas
This reflects well on how we have managed risk on transmission system at a cost acceptable to them. The
consumers’ behalf in the past and we must continue to do study included domestic and non-domestic consumers,
so in the future. featuring both qualitative and quantitative research
techniques.
We worked with consumers to ensure our plan
delivers what they need, at a price they are willing to Results demonstrated a high level of acceptability for
pay the business plan:
We spoke to organisations with previous consumer 82 per cent of business consumers and 88 per cent of
experience to help build our approach and we asked the domestic consumers find that the average impact of our
independent stakeholder user group and Citizens Advice RIIO-2 plan is “acceptable” (note that the average
to challenge our proposals at appropriate points in the annual consumer bill we presented was £9.54 by 2026,
process. our final RIIO-2 plan presents a final bill impact of £8.85
per year).
We tested consumer willingness to pay When consumers were asked “what is the maximum
Working with the other transmission networks112 we acceptable change in your transmission bill by 2026?”
appointed consultancy firms Explain and NERA to deliver the average response was payment of a further £11 for
a joint study into willingness to pay (WTP). The research domestic consumers and a 7 per cent increase for non-
took place in early 2019 and has been incorporated within domestic consumers.
our plan. We covered the topics of risk of supply For those who did not find our plan acceptable, reasons
interruptions, improving the environment around mainly related to financial considerations including
transmission sites, supporting local communities, objections to paying a higher bill and energy companies
making too much profit.
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5. Being more efficient to deliver value for have taken to give confidence we are providing value for
money money across our capital and operating expenditures.
To deliver our proposals as cost effectively as possible,
we have challenged ourselves to make sure our costs
are as low as they can be, by embedding the benefits
of past innovations, benchmarking analysis and
making stretching efficiency improvement
commitments. In this section, we describe the steps we
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Competition is structured to generate outcomes in The CEER study seeks to identify the efficiency of the
the interests of current and future consumers overall company approach in terms of the choices made
We constantly work to increase efficiency, mitigate risks about the mix of activities. To compare TSOs on such a
and optimise whole-life costs. basis meaningfully requires many adjustments to
We leverage value by being a better client, regularly eliminate uncontrollable factors and so is challenging.
seeking feedback from our supply chain as to how we Currently, participating TSOs are still seeking to
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Our capital costs will stay efficient relate to the day-to-day running of our business and
For RIIO-2 we will deliver a further £11m per year (4 occur year after year, it is particularly important that
per cent) efficiency forecast on our baseline direct we can demonstrate these costs are efficient.
capital investments. This is additional to the benefits of
previous engineering and asset management innovations We have challenged ourselves in RIIO1 to embed
that are built into the forecast costs of our business plan. opex efficiencies to ensure we are efficient as we
To achieve the 4 per cent efficiency on our baseline direct enter the RIIO-2 period.
capital investments we will continue to innovate, use In RIIO-1 we spent around £1,77m per year on our
native competition to extract as much value as possible operating costs. Just under half of this is direct costs on
from the supply chain, market test and benchmark activities that directly impact our assets, such as
(internally and externally). In addition, we are seeking to maintenance activities and asset inspections. The other
leverage benefits from our transformation programmes half is indirect costs on activities such as those related
and our asset health campaign approach. to planning network changes, IT support costs for our
asset management systems, the running of the Gas
5.2 Operating Expenditure National Control Centre and associated applications, and
Our operating costs are the costs we incur on an ongoing support functions such as HR and finance.
basis to maintain and operate our business. As such they
contribute to almost all the stakeholder priorities in our
RIIO-2 plan, with only business support costs not already
included elsewhere in this plan. Collectively, our
operating costs make up 31 per cent of our total
expenditure for the RIIO-2 period and, because they
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From a broader pay benchmark perspective, we We invited The Hackett Group, a global business
undertake periodic assessment of our overall pay levels benchmarking organisation, to perform a high-level
with the latest review completed in 2018 by Korn Ferry (a benchmarking assessment for our combined business
people and organisational consultancy). We adopt a support costs for electricity transmission, gas
single pay framework across our UK regulated transmission and electricity system operator businesses
businesses which means that all our employee (both against comparable sized non-regulated businesses. For
direct and support function) costs have been recently our IT costs, we also engaged Gartner (an industry-
benchmarked. In summary, total cash remuneration was recognised specialist in IT benchmarking) to perform a
in line with median pay for a comparator of 130 entities in more detailed analysis of our operational and non-
the utilities, oil and gas and chemical sectors. operational IT costs, comparing costs for each key activity
(e.g. application support, networks, storage, end-user
Our business support costs are efficient computing) with those of other companies in their
Our business support functions provide services such as database, adjusting for workload (i.e. number of
IT, property management, HR and finance to all the applications, number of services, number of users). We
National Grid businesses. They help with the delivery of did this because simplistic comparisons of total IT costs
our core activities, for example by procuring materials, between companies do not account for factors such as
helping us to find and retain our people, and managing IT the number and level of availability of business
systems. Our support functions also perform key applications supported.
business activities such as financial control, health and
safety and legal compliance. Our business support costs Because of this analysis, we have reduced the costs of
include associated IT infrastructure costs. Our IT our business support functions by £2m per year to align
functions also invest in shared IT infrastructure and with the upper quartile benchmark. In all other areas, the
hosting investments. These costs are covered in section benchmarking analyses showed that our costs were in
9 of this chapter. line with upper quartile world class efficient level after
accounting for the activities we undertake (such as
We operate a shared services model for these functions, regulatory activities, and our obligations as operators of
where a single function provides services across the critical national infrastructure sites), or in line with peers
National Grid group of businesses. This shared services (the recommended level for effective operation of IT) for
model means each National Grid business benefits from IT function costs. These studies and their findings are
economies of scale and use of expertise in each area, as presented in more detail in our opex annex A20.15.
well as taking a proportion of the costs for each function.
This creates efficiencies for each National Grid business,
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Please note we have provided costs to one decimal place and hence some columns may not equal to the totals
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System access becomes more constrained in RIIO-2 and Strategic workforce planning requires the establishment
beyond with an increasing asset investment plan. We of a framework through which both demand and supply of
have developed our access plan over a 10-year period resources can be described effectively. From a known
to demonstrate deliverability of our work plans across starting point (today), we forecast over time to provide a
both RIIO-2 and RIIO-3. view of how our supply measures up to our projected
demand. The results allow us to develop strategies to
We have a robust supply chain with access to a wide deal with the gaps. These strategies include options such
market to buy the goods and services we need, and we as recruitment of experienced hires, recruitment of
use proven approaches and strategies to deliver apprentices, deployment of contingent labour, internal
efficiently and on time, at lowest cost to consumers. training programmes or partnership with other
companies.
As we always do, we will keep the deliverability of our
plan under review. Our planning cycle is a continuous Workforce capability
process and our plan will continue to be refreshed in the We invest in our people because of the strong resulting
lead up to and throughout RIIO-2. This will make sure it is business benefits, such as improved employee
flexible to reflect stakeholder engagement and the performance, improved morale and satisfaction,
uncertainty in the energy landscape. increased productivity and reduced employee turnover. In
2018/19, UK employees received an average of 5.3 days
1. Our people are key to delivering our plans training. The opportunity to learn and develop is a key
Our most important assets are our people. Workforce strength in the eyes of our employees as we typically
resilience is about having a workforce with the right score 5% above the high performing norm in our
number of people with the right skills, the right, healthy employee engagement survey. Our UK Academy, based
mindset and work-life balance, and diversity that reflects in Eakring, Nottinghamshire delivers operational training
the society we serve. to our new and existing workforce. Ofsted have rated our
academy ‘Outstanding’ for the past three inspections and
We invest heavily in the development of our people to we are the first UK provider of apprenticeships to achieve
ensure that we have a technically skilled, inclusive this milestone. Through our membership of Energy &
and highly engaged workforce, who are engaged in Utility Skills (EU Skills) and the associated National Skills
what we need to achieve, can thrive and feel enabled Academy for Power (NSAP), we collaborate with other
to deliver to the best of their abilities. The aim of networks and suppliers to raise the profile of the utilities
which is to provide our business with the resilience it sector as a key employer of talent in the UK and share
needs to deliver for consumers now and in the future. best practice around training the skills needed in our
Our employee engagement has been at or near high industry.
performing norm levels in the RIIO-1 period. On key
diversity metrics, we do better than the wider UK All our employees are encouraged to have an annual
engineering sector. We know from our employee and development plan with focus on current role, future
industry stakeholders that we do well in engaging and career aspirations and key business capabilities that are
motivating our people and are leading the industry deemed critical to business performance now and in the
with our skills training and our safety record. future. In addition, strong effective leadership is integral
to both individual and company success. We have a
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http://ournationalgrid.com/uk/we-are-ranked-in-top-50-for-social-
mobility/
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https://race.bitc.org.uk/awards-benchmarking/best-employers-race-
2018-0
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Workforce wellbeing
As an outcome of the deliverability review, several
The wellbeing of our people is important to us,
network risks require an alternative solution to avoid the
particularly as we operate in more uncertain times. Our
risk of disruption to customer supply. For example, this
immediate risk profile is mental wellbeing,
could be due to customers on single network spurs.
musculoskeletal injury prevention and occupational
While it is possible in some cases to negotiate
health risk exposure mitigation. We provide all our
commercial solutions, costs per day are expected to be
employees with access to a 24-hour employee
significant and far exceed that of an alternative asset
assistance programme, offering emotional and practical
solution such as a stopple and bypass arrangement to
support for work-related or personal issues. And we work
ensure continuous supply. Such physical solution provide
with various government bodies on wellbeing, helping us
additional benefit by ensuring flexibility for both planned
to better understand what we can do to support the
and unplanned maintenance requirements beyond the
wellbeing of our own people, as well as supporting
RIIO-2 period.
smaller organisations with their own efforts. We are
aiming to:
In RIIO-2, this amounts to 20 stopples with a cost of
1. Create and embed a culture that enables everyone to
xxxxx each, with further requirements to be clarified in
perform to the best of their abilities knowing they are
RIIO-3. These costs are included in our plan in chapter
cared for and can talk openly about their health and
14.
wellbeing.
2. Build a workforce where healthy, engaged and
How we deliver work
supportive employees can succeed and thrive.
Efficient and effective delivery of our capital plan is
3. Be recognised as an employer that leads in employee
dependent on skilled and experienced National Grid
wellbeing, which will enable us to attract and retain the
resources across a range of disciplines. Our Operations
best talent.
team maintains equipment which is key to facilitating
access to the network. This team also provides local site
knowledge and controls safe access to each asset locally
through permit systems, in conjunction with the system
operator.
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women-list/
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3. Financeability
3.1 Approach to the financeability assessment
The majority of our investment is added to the RAV with the regulatory framework allowing recovery through depreciation
and a return on investment. The cost to consumers is spread over the life of the asset and requires us to finance
investment from debt or equity investors. Ofgem have a duty to have regard to our financeability by allowing us to recover
revenues that are sufficient to pay interest and dividends to our finance providers. We also have a financeability duty by
ensuring that we can maintain an investment grade credit rating.
It is in consumers’ interests that we fulfil our financing duties efficiently, so the return and interest costs funded by
consumers are as low as reasonably possible. Maintaining a strong credit rating and providing confidence to investors
that their investment is secure minimises financing costs. We also need to retain sufficient financial capacity and flexibility
to continue operations and investment programmes in the event of economic downturn and outturn of downside risk. At
its very basic level, the financeability assessment is a review of the projected levels of a package of financial ratios, which
test this financial capacity against target levels. Our network is financeable if we can meet the expectations of both our
debt and equity investors. Within this context, we have adopted the following approach to assess financeability:
Target a strong Use a target rating of Baa1/BBB+ to ensure financial resilience and consistency with the
2 credit rating index used to set cost of debt allowances.
Consider a range of Follow methodologies and focus on key metrics used by credit ratings agencies to aid
financial ratios for transparency and consistency. For equity metrics, we target a dividend policy consistent
3 debt and equity with investor expectations and review trends for dividends and earnings profiles. Table
investors 22.05 summarises the ratios targeted.
Consider trends across several price controls to assess the long-term sustainability of
Assess resilience
the financial package, stress test financial resilience through the application of a range
4 within and beyond
of sensitivities and alternative scenarios. This helps us to avoid short-term fixes which
the RIIO-2 period
would increase overall costs.
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We use the scorecard methodology adopted by Moody’s Recently, both Moody’s and Fitch assessed that the water
(Moody’s Grid) and core metrics applied by Moody’s and sector has become riskier and therefore increased the ratio
Standard and Poor’s (S&P) as our primary tools to assess headroom required for AICR by 10bps. We have assumed
financeability from a debt investor’s perspective. that the thresholds applied to energy networks do not
change from where they are today with this risk partially
We have applied the Moody’s approach in line with how
reflected in our targeting the mid-point of the thresholds
Moody’s themselves apply the methodology for the overall
ranges for key ratios.
Grid rating. This involves putting an additional focus on the
core metrics: AICR and net debt/RAV. For the context of this chapter, we concentrate on key
financial ratios in line with the rating agency methodologies
We have also focussed on FFO/net debt as the core ratio
and include a wider range of metrics, including those set
used by S&P in their rating assessment. Engagement with
out by Ofgem’s guidance, in finance annex A22.01.
S&P, review of their rating methodology and consideration
of peers’ ratings leads to the interpretation of 9%-11% Given energy transition and the uncertainty inherent in
BBB+ threshold range. proposed investment for the RIIO-2 period, the network
needs to be financeable at different funded levels of totex
Our assessment considers credit metrics as being
and we stress test the financial package using Ofgem’s
achieved when the mid-point of the relevant thresholds is
proposed scenarios. The impact of downside risk is
met. This is for two reasons.
assessed through:
Firstly, it is in line with credit rating agencies practice,
• interest rate scenario based on -1% compared to forward
where it is expected that metrics will have a buffer above
implied rates as per the base case in each year
the threshold for the relevant rating to apply. If we were to
achieve only minimum thresholds throughout the period, • inflation rate scenario based on +1% in each year
the potential for downside risks would result in a network • RPI – CPI divergence scenario based on -0.5%
with weak financial resilience, increasing the likelihood of movement from assumed wedge
downgrade or being placed on negative watch. This should • 10% totex overspend
not be the case for a “notionally efficient” company which • proportion of index linked debt issued -5% lower than
we are modelling. assumed in the base case.
Secondly, Moody’s has the majority of UK water 3.2. Financeability assessment of Ofgem’s working
companies on negative outlook, reflecting concerns over assumptions
Ofwat’s PR19 determinations. Given the rise in the We test the financeability of the notional company in the
perception of regulatory intervention through items such as first instance for our baseline totex plan using the following
the performance wedge it is credible that this could be assumptions set by Ofgem.
applied to energy networks.
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Table 22.08 key metrics based on Ofgem’s working assumptions including incentive performance
T1 Final Consumer implications
Quantitative Metrics T2
Proposals
Dividend Yield 5.00% 2.96% 2.99% 3.03% 3.04% 3.03% This package leads to higher
consumer bills by risking
Dividend Cover 2.11 1.80 1.27 1.24 1.31 1.32 equity investment which will
Indicated rating from ultimately increase overall
financing costs
Moody's Grid A3 Ba a 1 Ba a 1 Ba a 1 Ba a 1 Ba a 1
Core Metrics Limiting investment funds
now will risk our ability to
AICR 2.08 1.63 1.48 1.47 1.47 1.48
support energy transition
Net Debt / RAV 63% 59.4% 59.9% 60.3% 60.5% 60.4%
S&P : FFO / net debt 11.48% 8.46% 7.76% 7.62% 7.63% 7.70%
A rating Target investment grade Below target investment grade
FFO/net debt is consistently and significantly below The deterioration into RIIO-2 is significant and can be
the target rating from the first year of the RIIO-2 period attributed to the drop in the cost of equity and re-setting the
The FFO/net debt ratio measures the ability of a company gearing levels to align to 60% at the start of the price
to pay off its debt from net operating income. The lower the control. The ratios then become stable, but there is no
ratio, the more likely it is that additional funding is required recovery above the BBB+ minimum threshold in RIIO-2 or
to finance operations or that investment programmes are RIIO-3.
put at risk.
Covering debt expenses at these levels would result in an
Figure 22.09 FFO/net debt ratio under Ofgem’s investment review where we only spend if we have funding
proposed financial package security. This will impact our ability to respond to the
challenges of energy transition and deliver stakeholder-led
outcomes efficiently, increasing costs in the longer term.
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Table 22.10 key metrics based on Ofgem’s working assumptions excluding incentive performance
T1 Final Consumer implications
Quantitative Metrics T2
Proposals
Dividend Yield 5.00% 2.97% 3.02% 3.07% 3.10% 3.11% As credit quality
deteriorates the costs of
Dividend Cover 2.11 1.64 1.10 1.06 1.13 1.13 borrowing increase to
Indicated rating from reflect increased risk of
lending
Moody's Grid A3 Ba a 1 Ba a 2 Ba a 2 Ba a 2 Ba a 2
Core Metrics Financial resilience of the
network to downside cost
AICR 2.08 1.53 1.38 1.37 1.36 1.36
shocks is limited
Net Debt / RAV 63% 59.6% 60.3% 60.9% 61.3% 61.4%
S&P : FFO / net debt 11.48% 8.10% 7.36% 7.19% 7.17% 7.20%
Limited financial resilience of the network providing only one notch of headroom to achieve an
investment grade credit rating. The notional company has
We have already shown that FFO/net debt is significantly
significantly less headroom to absorb downside risks with
below target threshold even before considering downside
limited financial resilience for the network, particularly
risks; a position which deteriorates further when excluding
when considered in the context of our proposed levels of
incentives performance.
investment and the substantial uncertainties related to the
Without the outperformance wedge, Moody’s Grid rating political and economic environment.
falls to Baa2 throughout the majority of the RIIO-2 period,
Figure 22.11 sensitivity analysis to assess implications for AICR using Ofgem’s working assumptions
Including incentives performance Excluding incentives performance
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Figure 22.12 combined totex and macro-economic sensitivity analysis to assess implications for FFO/net debt
and AICR using Ofgem’s working assumptions
11.0%
1.6
Target threshold
10.0% Target threshold
1.5
8.0% 1.3
AICR
7.0% 1.2
6.0% 1.1
Investment Grade
Investment Grade
5.0% 1.0
Sub Investment Grade Sub Investment Grade
4.0% 0.9
FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26
If the company is not considered to be financially resilient, Figure 22.13 AICR using Ofgem’s working
it will cost more to raise debt to fund our investment assumptions for 100% CPIH transition and RPI
programme. As credit quality deteriorates, a narrowing counterfactual
pool of debt investors combined with increasing costs will
ultimately drive higher bills for consumers. Consistent
financial ratios are used by equity investors as a proxy for
dividend affordability, so any additional risk faced by the
shareholder is also likely to place upward pressure on the
cost of equity. Both of these impacts will lead to higher bills,
illustrating why limiting the financial resilience of the
network is not in consumers’ long-term interests.
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As a result, using CPIH transition to support Ofgem’s Ofgem have set out four potential levers (the first four
proposed package will have a detrimental impact on the actions set out in table 22.14) to address these issues to
long-term sustainability of the network, which is key to which we add balancing the risk reward offering through
use of the appropriate allowed return:
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value cannot be sustained in the long term and should not 14%
25 year change
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Table 22.20 key metrics based on Ofgem’s working assumptions with a 5% dividend yield and excluding
incentive performance
T1 Final Consumer implications
Quantitative Metrics T2
Proposals
Dividend Yield 5.00% 5.06% 5.25% 5.46% 5.64% 5.79% Dividend policy is not
sustainable, putting upward
Dividend Cover 2.11 0.97 0.63 0.60 0.62 0.61 pressure on cost of equity
Indicated rating from
No financial resilience to
Moody's Grid A3 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 Baa2 absorb the impact of cost
Core Metrics shocks
AICR 2.08 1.52 1.35 1.32 1.30 1.28
Inability to facilitate
Net Debt / RAV 63% 60.5% 61.9% 63.4% 64.5% 65.5% changing consumer
S&P : FFO / net debt 11.48% 7.96% 7.09% 6.79% 6.64% 6.54% requirements
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Figure 22.21 assessment of Ofgem’s proposed financial package against regulatory principles
Is the regulatory principle Reasoning
met?
Balances risk and reward Return is insufficient to reflect the risks inherent in running a transmission network and is not
aligned with either investor expectations or market comparators.
Demonstrates regulatory Ofgem’s assumptions are inconsistent with past regulatory precedent, particularly in relation to
commitment and a stable setting allowed equity returns. Increasing perceptions of regulatory risk impacts investor
regime confidence leading to increased cost of capital, and therefore bills, in the long term.
Takes a long term Short term fixes are required to make Ofgem’s package debt financeable, these can address
sustainable approach immediate cashflow problems but only by deferring underlying issues into the next price control
and creating an unfair balance of charges between current and future consumers.
Provides strong incentives There is no financial capacity to compensate networks for assuming more risk for developing
new, innovative ways of working which drive lower consumer bills in the long term.
Investors continually trade off risk and return when they offer an equity investor package which can attract and
evaluate investment opportunities and they need to be retain investment to keep financing costs efficient and as
rewarded for the risk they take for investing in National low as possible.
Grid. This requires an allowed equity return which is
comparable and allows the company to maintain It also provides the capacity to compensate networks for
financeability. assuming more risk, enabling delivery of the stretching
outcomes stakeholders are telling us are important to
In finance annex A22.01, we set out in detail our principles- them.
based approach to determining our financial package. The
package we propose can maintain both credit ratings and
Table 22.23 key metrics based on National Grid’s proposed financial package Consumer implications
T1 Final
Quantitative Metrics T2
Proposals Dividend policy is
Dividend Yield 5.00% 4.95% 5.01% 5.07% 5.07% 5.03% sustainable, and in line with
investor expectations
Dividend Cover 2.11 1.40 1.19 1.32 1.52 1.66
Indicated rating from Network is able to borrow
more cheaply and can
Moody's Grid A3 Ba a 1 Ba a 1 Ba a 1 Ba a 1 Ba a 1 absorb the impact of cost
Core Metrics shocks
AICR 2.08 1.69 1.58 1.59 1.62 1.67 Network can operate
Net Debt / RAV 63% 59.6% 60.1% 60.5% 60.5% 60.2% flexibly to facilitate changing
consumer requirements
S&P : FFO / net debt 11.48% 9.50% 9.16% 9.53% 10.11% 10.74%
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Figure 22.24 sensitivity analysis to assess implications for FFO/net debt and AICR using National Grid’s
proposed financial package
3.4 Financeability assessment of the actual company access to a wide range of debt instruments and capital
Our assessment so far has focussed on the financeability markets at an efficient interest rate which is key to
of the notional company but we also need to assess supporting our debt financing strategy.
financeability of the actual company. The onus for ensuring
With this package the equity investor proposition is also
the financeability of the actual companies lies with
misaligned with both our peer group and shareholder
networks, but this can only be assured on a sustainable
feedback. Adjusting to a 5% dividend yield, we see metrics
basis if supported by a package which delivers a
deteriorating further with trends showing a gradual
financeable notional company.
increase in gearing levels. By the end of the period we are
For the actual company, notional gearing is adjusted to above threshold (66.9%), suggesting equity issuance will
actual gearing and actual debt and tax costs are included be required to ensure alignment with an efficient capital
with other financial parameters remaining at notional structure.
values. We also include any cashflows which will be
Of the potential actions to address these issues, the use of
recovered/incurred during RIIO-2 but are related to the
capitalisation and depreciation rates are not applicable as
RIIO-1 price control period. We align our assessment with
they are seen as cash acceleration tools by rating agencies
credit ratings agencies methodology.
and so will not impact their rating of the actual company.
Considering Ofgem’s package, including 0.5% of incentive
Also proposed by Ofgem are equity injections to reduce
performance, we see a deterioration in the results of our
gearing levels. It is unlikely that we would be able to attract
financeability assessment when assessed on an actual
additional investment when higher returns can be earned
basis. We work hard to ensure debt is issued as efficiently
in comparable sectors (e.g. water, tobacco). In reality, it is
as possible to minimise total interest rate
likely that returns would need to be higher to compensate
charges, yet we are still underperforming compared to cost
investors for increasing their exposure to a sector which
of debt allowances which are set based on the 11-15-year
may be perceived as being riskier because of the political
tracker. This is because the duration of the tracker is
and regulatory uncertainty.
inconsistent with the average tenor of the debt we raise,
which is c20 years. A further lever proposed by Ofgem is the refinancing of
expensive debt. From a commercial perspective, our
As already outlined for the notional company, assuming
strategy for the actual company already includes review of
incentives performance at this level is neither a credible
our debt portfolio and making commercial decisions to
assumption nor is it in line with how credit rating agencies
optimise our financial position. In addition, this lever only
will view the network in practice. Taking out any assumed
impacts the financing position of the actual company. The
incentive outperformance shows FFO/net debt falls
interest costs for the notional company are not impacted
significantly below the A- credit rating we aim to support for
as they are based on the cost of debt tracker inputs.
the actual company. We target A- because this ensures
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The NTS charges are paid by the customers of the SO; Customers can take advantage of different charging
being shippers who put gas on and take gas off the system products with varying prices. The impact of our plan on
and distribution networks. These customers pass the customer charges will vary based on their access and use
charges through to end consumers via suppliers. We of the NTS. We therefore use simplifying assumptions to
consider the impact of our plan both on our customers and calculate the impact of our RIIO-2 business plan on
the end consumer. customers. Specifically, as shippers pay both capacity and
commodity charges, an aggregation of these into two
The process for calculating the charges is complex and charge categories, entry and exit, is appropriate and
subject to the particular charging methodology in force at provides a view of the average impact on charges across
the time. When calculating the bill impacts we make the the price control. Our forecast revenue ranges for our draft
simplifying assumption that the charging methodology will business plan submission, after deduction of directly
not change from its current form. This allows us to quantify collected revenues are:
the specific bill impacts associated with our business plan
Table 22.25 forecast revenue charged through entry and exit customer charges
£m (2018/19 price base) 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 RIIO-2 average RIIO-1 average
National Grid framework 935 935 999 990 978 967 919
Ofgem framework 904 914 958 917 887 916 919
A key driver for change in the revenue presented in the October draft business plan to the final plan results from an
additional £22m cost associated with the cost of managing constraints in accordance with the constraint management
incentive (detailed in chapter 14).
Assuming that supply and demand remain at forecast 2020-2021 levels across RIIO-2, results in the following forecast
impact of our plan on customer charges:
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Figure 22.28 forecast upper range of consumer bill based on National Grid’s proposed financial framework
10.50
10.00 0.15
0.40 0.05 0.70
9.50
£ 0.25
9.05 0.15
8.50 8.85
8.00
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Thank you for reading our business plan. Further supporting material is listed below.
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