BES_Future_of_Ecological_Research_Report
BES_Future_of_Ecological_Research_Report
BES_Future_of_Ecological_Research_Report
ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH
IN THE UK
A research agenda for the next 25 years
This report was authored by Yadvinder Malhi, Bridget Emmett,
Jaboury Ghazoul, Rosie Hails, Jane Memmott, Steve Ormerod,
Josephine Pemberton, Nathalie Seddon and Martin Solan.
SUGGESTED CITATION
Malhi Y., et al., (2023) The Future of Ecological Research in the
UK. British Ecological Society, London, UK.
Available at: www.britishecologicalsociety.org/FutureEcology
CONTACT DETAILS
Email: policy@britishecologicalsociety.org
Address: British Ecological Society, 42 Wharf Road, London,
N1 7GS, United Kingdom
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors would like to thank the many people whose
contributions through online consultation and workshops
helped shape the ideas in this report, ensuring it is built
on insight from across the vibrant and diverse ecological
community in the UK.
3.4 WHOLESCAPES 10
4. SUMMARY 12
This change will continue. Atmospheric change alone ensures One overriding concern is the resilience of ecological systems
this, but this comes on top of other drivers. These include to climate change and other drivers. Ecological research needs
direct human pressures on habitat loss, degradation and to focus on analysing ways to increase ecosystem resilience
fragmentation; “new native” species, some of which are invasive; and gain a new understanding of what resilience is in the face
amplified pathogen pressure; and novel pollutants such as of contemporary climate change.
microplastics, pharmaceuticals and long-lived compounds.
What types of resilience should be aimed for – for example,
Opportunities offered through new technologies and ways in ecological function, community composition or natural
of operating, as well as emerging challenges such as species resources – and how can they be maintained under
migration and rising sea levels, will also lead to semi-natural rapidly changing environmental conditions? Under what
and highly managed novel ecosystems in new locations. circumstances does resilience require the transformation of
ecosystems, and what knowledge base can underscore active
These are novel futures and we don’t sufficiently understand management initiatives?
how ecological systems will respond. Nor how we facilitate,
shape and generate positive ecological responses in the There is a need for intensified engagement with social,
context of this rapidly changing and uncertain environment. economic and cultural research. It is crucial to engage with
societal views of what the future should look like to meet
Moreover, there are possibilities to actively create and shape concerns, challenges and needs. This includes understanding
novel ecosystems in the context of climate change, non-native how to accommodate shifting values, for example towards
species and changed disturbance regimes. These require more novel and formerly non-native species and habitats, and the
focus on functional and ecosystem ecology and investigating recovery of biodiversity and ecological functions.
approaches to nature recovery and management. They
would need to be based on strong ecological foundations,
ranging across approaches from regenerative agriculture to
multitrophic rewilding.
A broad range of ecological restoration and stewardship Living laboratories could also embrace social and cultural
projects are being implemented by a range of actors, including research to facilitate a holistic understanding of how ecological
government agencies, non-government organisations, conservation and recovery can embrace multiple values
private landowners, and private corporations seeking to meet and be most ecologically effective and socially acceptable.
carbon or biodiversity targets. These provide an opportunity. As such, they can be hubs for communication and wider
Researchers working closely with practitioners can develop engagement. They can be centres for national debate that are
some of the projects into “living laboratories” that maximise solutions-oriented, and places for collective learning on natural
the potential for gaining robust scientific insight and resource management and conservation across disciplines and
dissemination of good practice. alongside practitioners and land managers.
These research-intensive landscapes and waterscapes, in These sites would make more effective use of citizen science,
some cases encompassing multiple habitats, would focus for example by leveraging ecological information sourced
on understanding the implementation and effectiveness of through smartphone apps. The laboratories could also be
ecological conservation, resilience, adaptation and recovery. spaces for exploring new concepts with communities,
They would implement well-designed ecological monitoring practitioners, industry and business. Examples might include
and experimentation frameworks aimed at deriving rewilding, regenerative agriculture, sustainable farming, natural
mechanistic, systems-level understanding. flood management, biodiversity credits, green finance, nature-
positive markets and transitions to a circular economy.
Living laboratories would provide a forum for:
This includes understanding dynamics at short and long can act as potential brakes or accelerators of climate change.
timescales, how shifts in ecosystem composition lead to Incorporating ecological dynamics, such as demography,
emergent shifts in ecosystem functions, the cumulative impact competition and multitrophic interactions (e.g. predation,
of repeated stressors, criteria for ecosystem collapse and herbivory), into models is also important as these shape
resilience, potential tipping points, ecological surprises and ecosystem properties and dynamics.
extinction and speciation dynamics.
Understanding such dynamics and emergent properties
New challenges mean there is a need for new approaches. can be helped by advances in technology and computation
This includes generating new understanding of the complex power (e.g. deep learning, computer vision). The availability of
interdependencies of species across communities. The multiple types of both qualitative and quantitative data can
dynamics and stability of ecological networks, for example, enable a new level of “digital twin” simulations (advanced
remain beyond our predictive capacities. This makes it very digital representations of the real-world system) and artificial
difficult for us to anticipate and respond to emergent outcomes intelligence approaches to data assimilation.
resulting from changes in community composition.
More than landscapes or seascapes, a wholescape focus raises At a wider scale, a broader sense of wholescapes includes
the level of attention to a larger scale. It moves from detailed understanding the connections between specific ecological
understanding of processes in particular ecological systems systems and wider supply chains, global economic drivers,
(the focus of Living Laboratories above) to the ecological, and societal values. Such understanding ventures beyond a
economic and social connections across larger spatial scales. singular focus on ecology to understanding how ecological
systems interact with social and economic systems.
At the regional scale, the concept of wholescapes recognises For example, it seeks to understand the global spillovers
the connections across ecosystems and management types, from domestic ecological and land-use strategies.
in and across rural, urban, aquatic, coastal and marine
ecosystems. For example, agricultural systems may rely on Robust and repeatable approaches for assessing our ecological
ecological subsidies, such as pollination and pest control, from footprint outside of the UK is also an area we need to prioritise,
adjacent semi-natural ecosystems, and yet also impact those if we are to have an ethical approach to the management of
ecosystems. Terrestrial, aquatic and coastal ecosystems are wholescapes across the UK. We need to recognise the UK’s
connected through processes such as nutrient cycling impact on global systems and also how global connections,
and pollution. systems and trade drive change in the UK.
Such frontiers include poorly understood ecologies, such as Many of these technologies face the challenges of an
those of sediment and soil, the forest canopy, the deep oceans abundance of data, and machine learning and other artificial
and the deep subsurface biosphere. Other frontiers include intelligence approaches can advance extraction of, and make
the ecology of human health and wellbeing (such as human sense of, useful information at levels not previously attained.
interactions with environmental microbiomes), the ecology of
novel pathogens, and the impacts of, and interactions between, A further challenge is how to link these new technologies to
emerging pollutants such as nanoparticles and microplastics. policy and practical needs. Can these new technologies lead
to new metrics for monitoring and tracking ecosystem health,
Technology is rapidly advancing our capacity to understand resilience and recovery? What does this new knowledge
ecosystems, unlocking new insights into even familiar tell us about ecosystem integrity? What are the cumulative
ecosystems. For example: impacts of multiple stressors on ecosystem health (e.g.
novel pollutants and pathogens, nanoparticles), particularly
• Environmental DNA analysis and ecological and functional at microbial levels? How does understanding of the small
genomics can greatly advance understanding of the scales (molecular and microbial levels) scale up and help us
frequently cryptic components of ecological systems understand at ecosystem level?
(e.g. soil fauna and microbial communities, or rare species);
CALL TO ARMS
Ecological research has a key role to play in developing
a more resilient, sustainable and equitable future in
which nature and people thrive. To achieve this, we
need to integrate fundamental and applied research
and work across traditional disciplines, geographies
and communities in these five priority areas.
The British Ecological Society is now looking for a
wide range of partners, communities, decision makers
and funders to join with us and realise this exciting
new vision.
www.britishecologicalsociety.org/FutureEcology
SCIENTIFIC STEERING
COMMITTEE
Nine experts guided the work and set out the vision for the Future of Ecological
Research in the UK. They have all made outstanding contributions to ecology in
the UK and bring expertise across a wide range of areas.