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    Poisson Distribution

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    shounty
    The document discusses the Poisson distribution and its properties. The Poisson distribution models random events that occur continuously and independently at a constant average rate. It can be used when the number of trials is very large and the probability of success is small for each trial. The document provides examples of how to calculate probabilities using the Poisson distribution.

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    Poisson Distribution

    Uploaded by

    shounty
    124 views13 pages
    The document discusses the Poisson distribution and its properties. The Poisson distribution models random events that occur continuously and independently at a constant average rate. It can be used when the number of trials is very large and the probability of success is small for each trial. The document provides examples of how to calculate probabilities using the Poisson distribution.

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    The document discusses the Poisson distribution and its properties. The Poisson distribution models random events that occur continuously and independently at a constant average rate. It can be used when the number of trials is very large and the probability of success is small for each trial. The document provides examples of how to calculate probabilities using the Poisson distribution.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
    124 views13 pages

    Poisson Distribution

    Uploaded by

    shounty
    The document discusses the Poisson distribution and its properties. The Poisson distribution models random events that occur continuously and independently at a constant average rate. It can be used when the number of trials is very large and the probability of success is small for each trial. The document provides examples of how to calculate probabilities using the Poisson distribution.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    Poisson Distribution

    • Poisson distribution applies to


    situation when an event (e.g.,
    accidents) occurs at random points in
    time and space.
    • The observation of such an event is
    characterized by the average or
    expected number of occurrence of
    that event per unit of time and space.
    Assumption of Poisson Distribution
     On an average an event occurs
    at constant rate, say m, per
    unit of time and space( an hour
    in a day or a page in a book)
    Infinite number of trials
    • A unit of time or space, however, be split
    up into large number of subdivisions (A
    second in an hour or a word in a page).
    • Each subdivision of time or space is
    treated as a potential trial where an
    event may or may not happen. (In a
    particular second an accident may be
    there or not; a word may be correct or
    not etc )
    Limiting case of Binomial distribution
    • Hence, the number of trials becomes
    virtually infinite, yet the number of
    occurrence of the event in a given
    interval remains same.
    • The probability of success (p) in a
    single trial( assuming a particular
    instant of time or space in that
    interval) becomes negligible for all
    practical purpose.
    Approximation to Binomial Distribution

     Poisson distribution is a good


    approximation to Binomial
    distribution when number of trials is
    more than 20 and probability of
    success is less than 0.05.
     Assuming that half of the population
    is vegetarian, if 100 investigators ,
    each taking a sample of 10
    individuals to see whether they are
    vegetarian, how ay investigators
    would you expect to report that three
    people or less are vegetarian?
     Find the mean and variance of a
    Poisson Distribution.
     If X is a Poisson variate, such that,
    P(X=2) = 9P(X=4) + 90 P(X=6), then
    find the mean and variance of X.
    A fruit seller from his past experience
    knows that 3% of apples in each basket
    will be defective. What is the probability
    that exactly 4 apples would be defective
    in a basket of 100 apples ?
    The incidence of occupational disease in
    an industry is such that the workers
    have 20% chance of suffering from it.
    What is the probability that , out of six
    workers, four or more will contract the
    disease.
    On the average, one in 400 items is
    defective. If the item are packed in
    boxes of 100, what is the probability
    that, any given box will contain
    ( i ) No defective.
    ( ii ) Less than two defectives .
    ( iii ) One or more defective
    If 5 % of the electric bulbs
    manufactured by a company are
    defective , find out the probability that
    in a sample of 100 bulbs
    ( i ) none is defective.
    ( ii ) 5 bulbs will be defective.
    A company manufactures optical
    lenses. By experience, it was found
    that, any one lens to be defective is
    1/500 .The lens are supplied in packet
    of 100.
    Calculate the number of packets
    containing two defectives in a
    consignment of 20,000 packets
    The distribution of typing mistakes
    committed by a typist is given as :
    Mistakes/page 0 1 2 3 4 5
    No. of pages 142 156 69 27 5 1
    Assuming a Poisson model find out
    the expected number of pages containing
    0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 mistakes respectively.

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